Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Selection Bias”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 181 records · Page 10

The contributions from the progenitor genomes of the mesopolyploid Brassiceae are evolutionarily distinct but functionally compatible

The members of the tribe Brassiceae share a whole-genome triplication (WGT), and one proposed model for its formation is a two-step pair of hybridizations producing hexaploid descendants. However, evidence for this model is incomplete, and the evolutionary and functional constraints that drove evolution after the hexaploidy are even less understood. Here, we report a new genome sequence of Crambe hispanica , a species sister to most sequenced Brassiceae. Using this new genome and three others that share the hexaploidy, we traced the history of gene loss after the WGT using the Polyploidy Orthology Inference Tool (POInT). We confirm the two-step formation model and infer that there was a significant temporal gap between those two allopolyploidizations, with about a third of the gene losses from the first two subgenomes occurring before the arrival of the third. We also, for the 90,000 individual genes in our study, make parental subgenome assignments, inferring, with measured uncertainty, from which of the progenitor genomes of the allohexaploidy each gene derives. We further show that each subgenome has a statistically distinguishable rate of homoeolog losses. There is little indication of functional distinction between the three subgenomes: the individual subgenomes show no patterns of functional enrichment, no excess of shared protein-protein or metabolic interactions between their members, and no biases in their likelihood of having experienced a recent selective sweep. We propose a "mix and match" model of allopolyploidy, in which subgenome origin drives homoeolog loss propensities but where genes from different subgenomes function together without difficulty.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

MACAW v1.0

The ability to embed molecules in a numeric space is essential in order to build mathematical and machine-learning models describing molecular properties or other processes affected by molecules. MACAW is a cheminformatic tool that allows embedding small molecules into a multidimensional numeric space. In the embedding, each molecule is assigned a numeric vector that captures information of the molecule in relation to other molecules, and that vector can be used as input to mathematical models. Molecules that are more similar to each other are embedded closer in this numeric space, whereas molecules that are more different are embedded further away. One advantage of the MACAW embedding technology compared to established alterantives is that it is fast and does not require extensive computational resources or expertise. In particular, MACAW embeddings can be used as input to mathematical models without the need for variable cleaning or feature selection, saving time and simplifying their use. On the other hand, MACAW also contains methods to generate new molecules and to recommend new molecules satisfying a desired molecular property. The generation of new molecules can be biased based on an input set of molecules, effectively generating molecular diversity around it. In its turn, MACAW's molecular recommendation tool is a novel method for evolving molecules in silico towards a desired molecular specification. In this method, the biased molecular generator tool is applied iteratively in combination with a molecular selection step. As a result, in each iteration the molecules selected by the software are increasingly closer to the desired specification. Both the molecular generation and the molecular recommendation tools are very fast, efficient, and intuitive to use.

Roger, VincentBlay↗

A variant selection framework for genome graphs

Abstract Motivation Variation graph representations are projected to either replace or supplement conventional single genome references due to their ability to capture population genetic diversity and reduce reference bias. Vast catalogues of genetic variants for many species now exist, and it is natural to ask which among these are crucial to circumvent reference bias during read mapping. Results In this work, we propose a novel mathematical framework for variant selection, by casting it in terms of minimizing variation graph size subject to preserving paths of length α with at most δ differences. This framework leads to a rich set of problems based on the types of variants [e.g. single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), indels or structural variants (SVs)], and whether the goal is to minimize the number of positions at which variants are listed or to minimize the total number of variants listed. We classify the computational complexity of these problems and provide efficient algorithms along with their software implementation when feasible. We empirically evaluate the magnitude of graph reduction achieved in human chromosome variation graphs using multiple α and δ parameter values corresponding to short and long-read resequencing characteristics. When our algorithm is run with parameter settings amenable to long-read mapping (α = 10 kbp, δ = 1000), 99.99% SNPs and 73% SVs can be safely excluded from human chromosome 1 variation graph. The graph size reduction can benefit downstream pan-genome analysis. Availability and implementation https://github.com/AT-CG/VF. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Blinding scheme for the scale-dependence bias signature of local primordial non-Gaussianity for DESI 2024

The next generation of spectroscopic surveys is expected to achieve an unprecedented level of accuracy in the measurement of cosmological parameters. To avoid confirmation bias and thereby improve the reliability of these results, blinding procedures become a standard practice in the cosmological analyses of such surveys. Blinding is especially crucial when the impact of observational systematics is important relative to the cosmological signal, and a detection of that signal would have significant implications. This is the case for local primordial non-gaussianity, as probed by the scale-dependent bias of the galaxy power spectrum at large scales that are heavily sensitive to the dependence of the target selection on the imaging quality, known as imaging systematics. We propose a blinding method for the scale-dependent bias signature of local primordial non-gaussianity at the density field level which consists in generating a set of weights for the data that replicate the scale-dependent bias. The applied blinding is predictable, and can be straightforwardly combined with other catalog-level blinding procedures that have been designed for the baryon acoustic oscillation and redshift space distortion signals. The procedure is validated through simulations that replicate data from the first year of observation of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument, but may find applications to other upcoming spectroscopic surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Machine learning-based inversion for acoustic impedance with large synthetic training data: Workflow and data characterization

Where wells are sparse or training data are difficult to label with high-quality wireline-derived impedance logs, machine learning (ML)-based inversion of acoustic impedance typically depends on small training data sets, leading to biased prediction. We have advanced a novel workflow that applies large synthetic seismic training data to reduce facies-related bias. Using a geologically realistic model as the truth model, we randomly select sparse seed wells to perform sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS) for impedance models of the same geometry and simulate facies variability. We implement random forest regression on 30 features extracted from the synthetic volume. We observe that more seed wells tend to reduce facies-induced bias by sampling more types of facies, resulting in a better prediction. We then focus on the responses of SGS models to facies changes, the number of seed wells necessary for a useful synthetic model, and how much a synthetic model can help ML-based inversion. Here, we observe that the SGS synthetic training model outperforms well-direct training in general. For modeled clastic shore-zone systems in Miocene Gulf of Mexico, two or more seed wells are necessary for a significant reduction of root-mean-square error and outliners, and improvement of facies imaging. In a field-data test, we apply a similar workflow to quantitatively predict acoustic impedance, which is then converted to a sand-volume map at a high-frequency sequence (10–100 m), revealing detailed facies and sandstone patterns. Such results are valuable in many geologic and engineering applications, such as hydrocarbon and CO 2 reservoir prospecting, reserve estimation, simulation, etc.

3D seismic↗

ZnTiN 2 as an Electron-Selective, Protective Layer on Si Photocathodes

Photoelectrochemical production of fuels requires photoelectrodes that efficiently convert sunlight to electrochemical energy by producing photovoltage and photocurrent and maintain this ability over time under a variety of pH, illumination, and applied bias conditions. Work in the photovoltaic community has demonstrated that interfaces with high charge carrier selectivity provide high photovoltages. This offers a co-design opportunity to create semiconductor photoelectrodes with contact layers that are both carrier-selective and offer protection from degradation in aqueous solutions. In this work, we explored the ternary nitride ZnTiN 2 as an electronselective, protective layer for Si-based photocathodes. We demonstrated that ZnTiN 2 formed a heterojunction with p-type Si that facilitated electron movement toward the ZnTiN 2 surface for light-driven reduction reactions. Across a variety of electrolyte conditions, ZnTiN 2 /Si produced an open circuit voltage of ca. 400 mV vs the solution potential, while bare Si produced 220−480 mV vs the solution potential depending on conditions. ZnTiN 2 was also shown to protect Si over 72 h at open circuit in the dark in 0.1 M KHCO 3 aqueous solution at pH 10.5, with a 2.4% loss in open circuit voltage compared to a 17% loss for unprotected Si. A protective effect was also observed under illumination during methyl viologen reduction at pH 3.5 for 21 h, with a 2.5% loss in open circuit voltage observed for ZnTiN 2 /Si compared to a 25% loss in open circuit voltage for unprotected Si under the same conditions. Elemental characterization revealed the presence of oxides on the surface of ZnTiN 2 that are consistent with the Pourbaix diagram after photoelectrochemical operation; these oxides appeared to support durability without hindering charge carrier extraction to drive electrochemical work. This work highlights the promise of ZnTiN 2 for durable photoelectrochemical applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

ADAPTIVE GROUP TESTING WITH MISMATCHED MODELS

Accurate detection of infected individuals is one of the critical steps in stopping any pandemic. When the underlying infection rate of the disease is low, testing people in groups, instead of testing each individual in the population, can be more efficient. In this work, we consider noisy adaptive group testing design with specific test sensitivity and specificity that select the optimal group given previous test results based on pre-selected utility function. As in prior studies on group testing, we model this problem as a sequential Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) to adaptively design the groups for each test. We analyze the required number of group tests when using the updated posterior on the infection status and the corresponding Mutual Information (MI) as our utility function for selecting new groups. More importantly, we study how the potential bias on the ground-truth noise of group tests may affect the group testing sample complexity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Comparing the Photometric Calibration of DESI Imaging and Gaia Synthetic Photometry

Abstract The relative photometric calibration errors in the DESI Legacy Imaging Surveys (LS), which are used for DESI target selection, can leave imprints on the DESI target densities and bias the resulting cosmological measurements. We characterize the LS calibration systematics by comparing the LS stellar photometry with Gaia DR3 synthetic photometry. We find the stellar photometry of LS DR9 and Gaia has an rms difference of 4.7, 3.7, 4.4 mmag in DECam grz bands, respectively, when averaged over an angular scale of 27 ′ . There are distinct spatial patterns in the photometric offset resembling the Gaia scan patterns (most notably in the synthesized g -band) which indicate systematics in the Gaia spectrophotometry, as well as honeycomb patterns due to LS calibration systematics. We also find large and smoothly varying photometric offsets at decl. < −29.°25 in LS DR9 which are fixed in DR10.

Zhou, Rongpu (ORCID:0000000153814372)↗

Entropy agnostic data encoding and decoding

Entropy agnostic data encoding includes: receiving, by an encoder, input data including a bit string; generating a plurality of candidate codewords, including encoding the input data bit string with a plurality of binary vectors, wherein the plurality of binary vectors includes a set of deterministic biased binary vectors and a set of random binary vectors; selecting, in dependence upon a predefined criteria, one of the plurality of candidate codewords; and transmitting the selected candidate codeword to a decoder.

Seyedzadehdelcheh, Seyedmohammad↗

Entropy agnostic data encoding and decoding

Entropy agnostic data encoding includes: receiving, by an encoder, input data including a bit string; generating a plurality of candidate codewords, including encoding the input data bit string with a plurality of binary vectors, wherein the plurality of binary vectors includes a set of deterministic biased binary vectors and a set of random binary vectors; selecting, in dependence upon a predefined criteria, one of the plurality of candidate codewords; and transmitting the selected candidate codeword to a decoder.

SeyedzadehDelcheh, SeyedMohammad↗

The Dark Energy Survey supernova program: cosmological biases from supernova photometric classification

ABSTRACT Cosmological analyses of samples of photometrically identified type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) depend on understanding the effects of ‘contamination’ from core-collapse and peculiar SN Ia events. We employ a rigorous analysis using the photometric classifier SuperNNova on state-of-the-art simulations of SN samples to determine cosmological biases due to such ‘non-Ia’ contamination in the Dark Energy Survey (DES) 5-yr SN sample. Depending on the non-Ia SN models used in the SuperNNova training and testing samples, contamination ranges from 0.8 to 3.5 per cent, with a classification efficiency of 97.7–99.5 per cent. Using the Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species (BEAMS) framework and its extension BBC (‘BEAMS with Bias Correction’), we produce a redshift-binned Hubble diagram marginalized over contamination and corrected for selection effects, and use it to constrain the dark energy equation-of-state, w. Assuming a flat universe with Gaussian ΩM prior of 0.311 ± 0.010, we show that biases on w are <0.008 when using SuperNNova, with systematic uncertainties associated with contamination around 10 per cent of the statistical uncertainty on w for the DES-SN sample. An alternative approach of discarding contaminants using outlier rejection techniques (e.g. Chauvenet’s criterion) in place of SuperNNova leads to biases on w that are larger but still modest (0.015–0.03). Finally, we measure biases due to contamination on w0 and wa (assuming a flat universe), and find these to be <0.009 in w0 and <0.108 in wa, 5 to 10 times smaller than the statistical uncertainties for the DES-SN sample.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The Role of Data Filtering in Open Source Software Ranking and Selection

Faced with more than 100M open source projects, a more manageable small subset is needed for most empirical investigations. More than half of the research papers in leading venues investigated filtering projects by some measure of popularity with explicit or implicit arguments that unpopular projects are not of interest, may not even represent "real" software projects, or that less popular projects are not worthy of study. However, such filtering may have enormous effects on the results of the studies if and precisely because the sought-out response or prediction is in any way related to the filtering criteria.This paper exemplifies the impact of this common practice on research outcomes, specifically how filtering of software projects on GitHub based on inherent characteristics affects the assessment of their popularity. Using a dataset of over 100,000 repositories, we used multiple regression to model the number of stars -a commonly used proxy for popularity- based on factors such as the number of commits, the duration of the project, the number of authors and the number of core developers. Our control model included the entire dataset, while a second filtered model considered only projects with ten or more authors. The results indicated that while certain characteristics of the repository consistently predict popularity, the filtering process significantly alters the relationships between these characteristics and the response. We found that the number of commits exhibited a positive correlation with popularity in the control sample but showed a negative correlation in the filtered sample. These findings highlight the potential biases introduced by data filtering and emphasize the need for careful sample selection in empirical research of mining software repositories. We recommend that empirical work should either analyze complete datasets such as World of Code, or employ stratified random sampling from a complete dataset to ensure that filtering is not biasing the results.

Malviya Thakur, Addi↗

First Cosmology Results using Supernovae Ia from the Dark Energy Survey: Survey Overview, Performance, and Supernova Spectroscopy

We present details on the observing strategy, data-processing techniques, and spectroscopic targeting algorithms for the first three years of operation for the Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program (DES-SN). This five-year program using the Dark Energy Camera mounted on the 4 m Blanco telescope in Chile was designed to discover and follow supernovae (SNe) Ia over a wide redshift range (0.05 < z < 1.2) to measure the equation-of-state parameter of dark energy. We describe the SN program in full: strategy, observations, data reduction, spectroscopic follow-up observations, and classification. From three seasons of data, we have discovered 12,015 likely SNe, 308 of which have been spectroscopically confirmed, including 251 SNe Ia over a redshift range of 0.017 < z < 0.85. We determine the effective spectroscopic selection function for our sample and use it to investigate the redshift-dependent bias on the distance moduli of SNe Ia we have classified. The data presented here are used for the first cosmology analysis by DES-SN (“DES-SN3YR”), the results of which are given in Dark Energy Survey Collaboration et al. The 489 spectra that are used to define the DES-SN3YR sample are publicly available at https://des.ncsa.illinois.edu/releases/sn.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Dark Energy Survey year 6 results: Magnification modeling and its impact on galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing cosmology

Gravitational lensing magnification alters the observed spatial distribution of galaxies and must be accounted for to prevent biases in cosmological probes of the large-scale structure. We investigate its effects on the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 galaxy clustering and galaxy-galaxy lensing analyses using the fiducial lens (position tracer) sample M ag L im++. Magnification bias is parameterized by a coefficient that describes the response of the number of selected objects per unlensed area element to a change in the lensing convergence. We quantify this coefficient using the BALROG synthetic source injection catalog to account for the complexity of the selection function, and compare these results with simplified estimates. The resulting values of the magnification coefficients for each redshift bin are [3.16 ± 0.08, 2.76 ± 0.21, 4.09 ± 0.15, 4.42 ± 0.16, 4.90 ± 0.29, 4.83 ± 0.25]. Relative to Year 3, this analysis provides more precise and accurate magnification bias estimates through a larger BALROG area and reweighting to better match the data properties. Here, the cosmological results are robust when tested against various magnification parameter prior choices and also when adding cross-clustering between lens redshift bins. Neglecting magnification, however, introduces significant systematic shifts: relative to the fiducial analysis with Gaussian priors centered on the BALROG -derived estimates, we observe shifts of 1.37σ in S 8 and -0.84σ in Ω m (with cosmic shear included: -0.61σ in S 8 and -0.71σ in Ω m ), in agreement with findings from simulated data, demonstrating that magnification must be modeled to avoid biases. Freeing the magnification bias in lens bin 2 leads to unphysical negative values, further justifying its exclusion from the fiducial Year 6 analysis.

Cosmological parameters↗

Reducing model error using optimized galaxy selection: weak lensing cluster mass estimation

Galaxy clusters are one of the most powerful probes to study extensions of General Relativity and the Standard Cosmological Model. Upcoming surveys like the Vera Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time are expected to revolutionise the field, by enabling the analysis of cluster samples of unprecedented size and quality. To reach this era of high-precision cluster cosmology, the mitigation of sources of systematic error is crucial. A particularly important challenge is bias in cluster mass measurements induced by the mismodelling of photometric redshift estimates of source galaxies. This work proposes a method to optimise the source sample selection in cluster weak lensing analyses drawn from wide-field survey lensing catalogs to reduce the bias on reconstructed cluster masses. We use a combinatorial optimisation scheme and methods from variational inference to select galaxies in latent space to produce a probabilistic galaxy source sample catalog for highly accurate cluster mass estimation. We show that our method reduces the critical surface mass density Σ crit relative modelling bias on the 60-70% level, while maintaining up to 90% of galaxies. We highlight that our methodology has applications beyond cluster mass estimation as an approach to jointly combine galaxy selection and model inference under sources of systematics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Unlocking the Dynamics of Ion Migration and Voltage Bias Stress Effects through Crystallite Engineering in Metal Halide Perovskites

Understanding the interplay between crystal engineering and the coupled electronic-ionic charge transport properties of metal halide perovskites remains a critical issue in the field. In this work, we developed an experimental approach to tune the crystallite orientation of methylammonium lead iodide (CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 ) while maintaining their overall crystal structure. This approach allows us to selectively manipulate crystallite orientations to control out-ofplane ion migration and mitigate voltage bias stress effects in CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 thin films. By employing advanced diffraction and spectroscopic techniques, we achieved a comprehensive characterization of the anisotropic crystallite properties in CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 thin films with distinct preferred orientations. Our findings reveal that specific crystallite orientations, particularly those that limit halide ion migration pathways along the (200) crystallographic plane, significantly suppress out-of-plane ion migration. This suppression reduces hysteresis and alleviates voltage bias stress effects in CH 3 NH 3 PbI 3 solar cells, ultimately enhancing device stability and performance. These insights not only deepen our understanding of the relationship between crystallite orientation and device functionality but also highlight a promising strategy for regulating ion migration in MHP-based devices. This approach holds significant potential for advancing the stability and efficiency of perovskite solar cells and extending its applicability to other optoelectronic devices.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A new method to construct a horizontal resolution-dependent wind speed adjustment factor for tropical cyclones in global climate model simulations

A new method to construct a horizontal resolution-dependent wind speed adjustment factor for evaluating tropical cyclones (TCs) in global climate models (GCMs) is presented here. In contrast to the previous studies that used idealized axisymmetric wind fields, this study analyzes 48 hours of 10-second surface wind fields from 1-km TC simulations. The adjustment factor is derived from filtering the simulated TC wind fields onto various horizontal grid spacings typical of those used in GCMs. The new adjustment factor leads to TCs with greater intensity than the existing adjustment factors for horizontal grid spacings smaller than 30 km. This difference is attributed to more realistic wind fields in the TC simulations that contain highly asymmetric, localized patches of higher wind speeds instead of axisymmetric wind fields. Applying the new adjustment factor to select GCM simulations suggests the common interpretation of low-intensity bias in GCM-simulated TCs might be slightly exaggerated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The LSST DESC data challenge 1: generation and analysis of synthetic images for next-generation surveys

Data Challenge 1 (DC1) is the first synthetic data set produced by the Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC). DC1 is designed to develop and validate data reduction and analysis and to study the impact of systematic effects that will affect the LSST data set. DC1 is comprised of r -band observations of 40 deg 2 to 10 yr LSST depth. In this paper, we present each stage of the simulation and analysis process: (a) generation, by synthesizing sources from cosmological N -body simulations in individual sensor-visit images with different observing conditions; (b) reduction using a development version of the LSST Science Pipelines; and (c) matching to the input cosmological catalogue for validation and testing. We verify that testable LSST requirements pass within the fidelity of DC1. We establish a selection procedure that produces a sufficiently clean extragalactic sample for clustering analyses and we discuss residual sample contamination, including contributions from inefficiency in star–galaxy separation and imperfect deblending. We compute the galaxy power spectrum on the simulated field and conclude that: (i) survey properties have an impact of 50 per cent of the statistical uncertainty for the scales and models used in DC1; (ii) a selection to eliminate artefacts in the catalogues is necessary to avoid biases in the measured clustering; and (iii) the presence of bright objects has a significant impact (2σ–6σ) in the estimated power spectra at small scales (ℓ > 1200), highlighting the impact of blending in studies at small angular scales in LSST.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗