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At least 181 records · Page 10

THE CLOSE STELLAR COMPANIONS TO INTERMEDIATE-MASS BLACK HOLES

When embedded in dense cluster cores, intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs) acquire close stellar or stellar-remnant companions. These companions are not only gravitationally bound, but also tend to hierarchically isolate from other cluster stars through series of multibody encounters. In this paper we study the demographics of IMBH companions in compact star clusters through direct N-body simulations. We study clusters initially composed of 10{sup 5} or 2 × 10{sup 5} stars with IMBHs of 75 and 150 solar masses, and we follow their evolution for 6–10 Gyr. A tight, innermost binary pair of IMBH and stellar object rapidly forms. The IMBH has a companion with an orbital semimajor axis at least three times tighter than the second-most-bound object over 90% of the time. These companionships have typical periods on the order of years and are subject to cycles of exchange and destruction. The most frequently observed, long-lived pairings persist for ∼10{sup 7} years. The demographics of IMBH companions in clusters are diverse: they include both main-sequence, giant stars and stellar remnants. Companion objects may reveal the presence of an IMBH in a cluster in one of several ways. The most-bound companion stars routinely suffer grazing tidal interactions with the IMBH, offering a dynamical mechanism to produce repeated flaring episodes like those seen in the IMBH candidate HLX-1. The stellar winds of companion stars provide a minimum quiescent accretion rate for IMBHs, with implications for radio searches for IMBH accretion in globular clusters. Finally, gravitational wave inspirals of compact objects occur with promising frequency.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Metallography and microstructure interpretation of some archaeological tin bronze vessels from Iran

Archaeological excavations in western Iran have recently revealed a significant Luristan Bronzes collection from Sangtarashan archaeological site. The site and its bronze collection are dated to Iron Age II/III of western Iran (10th–7th century BC) according to archaeological research. Alloy composition, microstructure and manufacturing technique of some sheet metal vessels are determined to reveal metallurgical processes in western Iran in the first millennium BC. Experimental analyses were carried out using Scanning Electron Microscopy–Energy Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy and Optical Microscopy/Metallography methods. The results allowed reconstructing the manufacturing process of bronze vessels in Luristan. It proved that the samples have been manufactured with a binary copper–tin alloy with a variable tin content that may relates to the application of an uncontrolled procedure to make bronze alloy (e.g. co-smelting or cementation). The presence of elongated copper sulphide inclusions showed probable use of copper sulphide ores for metal production and smelting. Based on metallographic studies, a cycle of cold working and annealing was used to shape the bronze vessels. - Highlights: • Sangtarashan vessels are made by variable Cu-Sn alloys with some impurities. • Various compositions occurred due to applying uncontrolled smelting methods. • The microstructure represents thermo-mechanical process to shape bronze vessels. • In one case, the annealing didn’t remove the eutectoid remaining from casting. • The characteristics of the bronzes are similar to other Iron Age Luristan Bronzes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A dynamical study of the black hole X-ray binary Nova Muscae 1991

We present a dynamical study of the Galactic black hole binary system Nova Muscae 1991 (GS/GRS 1124–683). We utilize 72 high-resolution Magellan Echellette spectra and 72 strictly simultaneous V-band photometric observations; the simultaneity is a unique and crucial feature of this dynamical study. The data were taken on two consecutive nights and cover the full 10.4 hr orbital cycle. The radial velocities of the secondary star are determined by cross-correlating the object spectra with the best-match template spectrum obtained using the same instrument configuration. Based on our independent analysis of five orders of the echellette spectrum, the semi-amplitude of the radial velocity of the secondary is measured to be K{sub 2}=406.8±2.7 km s{sup −1}, which is consistent with previous work, while the uncertainty is reduced by a factor of 3. The corresponding mass function is f(M)=3.02±0.06 M{sub ⊙}. We have also obtained an accurate measurement of the rotational broadening of the stellar absorption lines (vsini=85.0±2.6 km s{sup −1}), and hence the mass ratio of the system q=0.079±0.007. Finally, we have measured the spectrum of the non-stellar component of emission that veils the spectrum of the secondary. In a future paper, we will use our veiling-corrected spectrum of the secondary and accurate values of K{sub 2} and q to model multi-color light curves and determine the systemic inclination and the mass of the black hole.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Undercooling minimization in ultrasound coupled DTA measurements of molten salts

Molten salts are ionic liquids that are used for the electrolytic pyroprocessing of metals and as heat transfer fluids in very high temperature processes. Recently, halide-based molten salt reactors (MSR) have gained momentum for high density and environmentally responsible electricity generation. The function of these reactors and their fuel cycle depend on a knowledge of the halide salt’s thermodynamic properties [1]. Therefore, high accuracy phase equilibria of MSR relevant base halide and actinide containing salts are needed. Modern thermal analysis of the phase transitions of halide salts is usually done during heating at relatively high scan rates with commercial devices. Normally such measurements are adequate for pure or pseudo-binary salts. However, as the number of components in the mixture increases, accurately resolving the liquidus becomes increasingly difficult. Reversing the scanning mode greatly increases the sensitivity of phase transition measurements but can decrease accuracy due to undercooling [2] — a common occurrence in molten halide systems [3]. This work presents the development of a differential thermal analysis (DTA) cell intended for use in radiological gloveboxes. Non-contact ultrasonic agitation of the halide salt is implemented to limit kinetic limitations on crystallization during cooling to minimize undercooling [4]. Measurements on halide salts are also presented to elucidate the effect of non-contact mixing on undercooling. Reference [1] S. Boyd and C. Taylor, “3 - Chemical fundamentals and applications of molten salts,” in Molten Salt Reactors and Thorium Energy, T. J. Dolan, Ed., Woodhead Publishing, 2017, pp. 29–91. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-08-101126-3.00003-8. [2] K. Nitsch, A. Cihlár, and M. Rodová, “Molten state and supercooling of lead halides,” J. Cryst. Growth, vol. 264, no. 1, pp. 492–498, Mar. 2004, doi: 10.1016/j.jcrysgro.2004.01.011. [3] L. Rycerz, “Practical remarks concerning phase diagrams determination on the basis of differential scanning calorimetry measurements,” J. Therm. Anal. Calorim., vol. 113, no. 1, pp. 231–238, Jul. 2013, doi: 10.1007/s10973-013-3097-0. [4] Md. H. Zahir, S. A. Mohamed, R. Saidur, and F. A. Al-Sulaiman, “Supercooling of phase-change materials and the techniques used to mitigate the phenomenon,” Appl. Energy, vol. 240, pp. 793–817, Apr. 2019, doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.02.045.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Accretion onto a Supermassive Black Hole Binary before Merger

While supermassive binary black holes (SMBBHs) inspiral toward merger they may also accrete matter from a surrounding disk. To study the dynamics of this system requires simultaneously describing the evolving spacetime and the magnetized plasma. We present the first relativistic calculation simulating two equal-mass, nonspinning black holes as they inspiral from a 20 M (G = c = 1) initial separation almost to merger. Our results imply important observational consequences: for instance, the accretion rate $\dot{M}$ onto the black holes first decreases and then plateaus, dropping by only a factor of ~3 despite the rapid inspiral. An estimated bolometric light curve follows the same profile, suggesting some merging SMBBHs may be significantly luminous past the predicted circumbinary disk decoupling. The minidisks are nonstandard: Reynolds, not Maxwell, stresses dominate, and they oscillate between two states. In one part of the cycle, "sloshing" streams transfer mass between minidisks, carrying kinetic energy at a rate sometimes as high as the peak minidisk bolometric luminosity. We also discover that episodic accretion drives time-varying minidisk tilts. These complex dynamics all contribute to unique cyclical behavior in the light curves of late-time inspiraling SMBBHs. The poloidal magnetic flux on the black holes is roughly constant at a dimensionless level $\phi$ ~ 2–3, but doubles just before merger; for significant black hole spin, this flux predicts powerful jets with variability driven by binary dynamics, another potentially unique electromagnetic signature. This simulation is the first to employ our multipatch infrastructure PATCHWORK MHD, decreasing the computational expense to ~3% of conventional single-grid methods' cost.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Microstructural development from interdiffusion and reaction between U–Mo and AA6061 alloys annealed at 600° and 550 °C

The U.S. Material Management and Minimization Reactor Conversion Program is developing low enrichment fuel systems encased in Al-alloy for use in research and test reactors. Monolithic fuel plates have local regions where the Usingle bondMo fuel plate may come into contact with the Al-alloy 6061 (AA6061) cladding. This results in the development of interdiffusion zones with complex microstructures with multiple phases. In this study, the microstructural development of diffusion couples, U–7 wt%Mo, U–10 wt%Mo, and U–12 wt%Mo vs. AA6061, annealed at 600 °C for 24 h and at 550 °C for 1, 5, and 20 h, were analyzed by scanning electron microscopy with x-ray energy dispersive spectroscopy. The microstructural development and kinetics were compared to diffusion couples U–Mo vs. high purity Al and binary Al–Si alloys. As a result, the diffusion couples developed complex interaction regions where phase development was influenced by the alloying additions of the AA6061.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Comparison of Fuel Loading Pattern Optimization Results using Exhaustive Search for Fresh Fuels and Local Search for Burned Fuels

Fuel loading pattern optimization is a combinatorial optimization problem from the mathematical point of view. However, exhaustive search is impractical because enormous computational cost is necessary due to huge search space. For this reason, various optimization methods have been developed so far, but no methods are able to guarantee to reach the optimum solution. In the present study, search space is divided into subspaces using key parameters that well represent characteristics of a loading pattern and then promising subspaces are extensively searched. In the present method, balance between division of a search space into subspaces and a search method used in a subspace is essential. For example, when the number of division is set to be one, it is equivalent to the exhaustive search thus is impractical. Similarly, when the division to subspaces is too coarse, an optimum (or near optimum) solution cannot be found through local search in each subspace since design space of a subspace is still too large. Contrary, if division to subspaces is too fine, number of subspaces becomes to large thus promising subspaces cannot be found. In the present study, search space is divided focusing on the location of fresh fuel assemblies with gadolinia since it has significant impact on core characteristics. Number of possible loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies is not very large thus exhaustive search is possible. Local fine search is executed by considering location of burned fuels for each loading pattern of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assembly. If the same solution is obtained by multiple local searches starting from different initial burnt fuel locations (but the same loading patterns for gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies), the obtained solution is highly likely the optimum in the subspace. In more general, the present method is based on the 'divide and conquer' approach, which is familiar in the optimization field. Namely, after division of search space into subspaces and then promising subspace is searched. Once the promising subspace is found, the subspace is further subdivided into subspaces and repeat the above procedures. This method would be efficient when appropriate balance between search space division method and performance of local search is achieved. The previous works utilizes the similar approach. In reference [1], exhaustive search in small region in a core is carried out focusing on loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. In reference [2], rough exhaustive search based on the 'batch-wise' loading pattern is performed with the assist of the linear programming. By contrast, in the present study, exhaustive search is carried out for loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. The random Multi-start Local Search (MSLS) with the direct search or the exhaustive binary swap is used to find out optimal solutions in a subspace, which consists of loading patterns having the same arrangement of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Coal-fueled Pressurized Chemical Looping Combustion with a Spouting Fluidized Bed

The goal of this final project report is to comprehensively summarize the work conducted on project DE-FE0025098. In accordance with the Statement of Project Objectives (SOPO), the University of Kentucky Center for Applied Energy Research (UKy-CAER) (Recipient) has developed a coal-based combined cycle integrated with a pressurized chemical looping combustion (PCLC) technology to achieve high plant efficiency while capturing CO 2 at low cost. The project involved the design, fabrication, commissioning, parametric testing, and performance validation of the spouted bed approach as coal feeding to narrow the major near-term technical gaps that impede the application of PCLC into solid fuel and scale-up. Specifically, UKy-CAER provided detailed front-end design of a 50 kWth PCLC facility, produced approximately 500 lbs of oxygen carrier (OC) from industrial by-product, Red Mud in addition to commercially available ilmenite, and completed a 70+ hour-long experimental campaign to evaluate the coal feed system and performance and flexibility of the 50 kWth facility with various coal, operating pressures, fluidization agent, and OCs. Project results verified UKy-CAER’s proposed approach to address the major technical gaps of solid-fueled PCLC technology which includes: (1) cost-effective materials for OCs with high reactivity, cyclic capacity, chemical stability, and high resistance to agglomeration with coal ash; (2) fast reaction rates during solid-solid chemical looping combustion (CLC) for reduction of the OC inventory and reactor size; (3) simple and effective ash separation from binary mixtures of the OCs and solid fuel ash; (4) spouting bed coal feeding to suppress OC agglomeration in the reducer resulting from the initial coal devolatilization step, coal tar formation; and (5) pollutant removal to avoid sulfur accumulation in the system or their emission into the hot spent air stream which could result in a second train for SOx removal and potentially cause failure of the flue gas turbine blade. UKy-CAER’s economical cycling material and novel spouted bed reducer configuration shows promise, as summarized in this report, as an effective means for improved plant efficiency with reduced process complexity.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

r -process Nucleosynthesis from Hyperaccreting Neutron Stars in Common Envelopes

We investigate nuclear reactions and feedback in hyperaccreting neutron star environments, considering accretion rates in the range 0.3–3 × 10 4 M ⊙ yr −1 , typical of short-period compact-object binaries in common envelopes. Our models account for weak reactions, neutrino energy loss, nuclear energy release, pair production, degenerate equations of state, and general relativistic hydrodynamics. Depending on the accretion rates, these systems can develop both proton- and neutron-rich atmospheres with strong convective instabilities linking the neutrino sphere to the outgoing accretion shock inside the radiation trapping zone. Convection drives nucleons through multiple heating and cooling cycles, with photodisintegration dominating during the heating phase and heavy element synthesis during the cooling phase, ejecting material with abundances that depend on the accretion rate and depth of the final decompression trajectory. The turbulent nature of convective currents is conducive to creating a wide range of nuclear products through a variety of effects, including nuclear statistical equilibrium freeze-out and the r-, p-, and γ-processes. We also observe a novel multistep process in reheated trajectories, consisting of proton-capture and photodissociation reactions operating on r-process seeds, producing overall neutron-deficient isotopes. A significant amount of infalling gas experiences high entropy and short (millisecond) freeze-out timescales capable of making r-process elements with high overabundances through a disequilibrium effect between neutrons and α-particles that does not require an excess of neutrons.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Cost-Efficiency balanced polymer acceptors based on lowly fused Dithienopyrrolo[3, 2b]benzothiadiazole for 16.04% efficiency All-Polymer solar cells

All-polymer solar cells (All-PSCs) attracted increasing attention due to the outstanding thermal stability and mechanical properties. The current prevailing polymer acceptors for most efficient All-PSCs are polymerized high-performance small molecule acceptor of Y6, i.e. the dithienothiopheno[3,2-b]-pyrrolobenzothiadiazole (BTTP) based polymers. However, the BTTP-based polymers often show relatively shallow highest occupied molecular orbital (HOMO) energy level and high figure of merit (FOM), which limit the rational selection of paring donor polymers. Herein, we presented two low-cost polymer acceptors, namely as BTP-T2F and BTP-2T2F, based on lowly fused dithienopyrrolo[3,2b]benzothiadiazole (BTP, removing two thiophene cycles from BTTP). Here the BTP-based polymers exhibited deeper HOMO levels around –5.90 eV, which could match variable donor polymers with low-lying HOMO levels, such as low-cost PTQ10. Additionally, the synthesis was significantly simplified compared to BTTP-based polymers. A power conversion efficiency (PCE) of 14.32% was achieved in binary blend device containing PTQ10:BTP-2T2F. By adding a miscibility-enhancing PBDTCl-TPD as a third component, the top PCE of 16.04% was obtained in ternary blend All-PSCs. Combining the high device performance and low estimated cost, extraordinary cost-efficiency balance was realized within these BTP-based polymer acceptors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

An Introduction to the FCRD Transmutation Fuels Handbook 2015

Transmutation of minor actinides such as Np, Am, and Cm in spent nuclear fuel is of international interest because of its potential for reducing the long-term health and safety hazards caused by the radioactivity of the spent fuel. For this reason, the DOE Fuel Cycle Research and Development (FCRD) Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC) has been performing research on nuclear fuel technologies that could be used in conjunction with a future actinide transmutation mission. One important approach to transmutation involves incorporating the minor actinides into U-Pu-Zr alloys, which can be used as fuel in fast reactors. It is, therefore, important to understand the properties of U-Pu-Zr alloys. The Idaho National Laboratory has recently published a handbook intended to summarize key properties of these alloys for researchers. This handbook focuses on phases and key thermophysical properties of elements and alloys in the U-Pu-Zr system. It is envisioned as the first of a series, which will serve as a summary of current knowledge about important properties of transmutation fuels. Future volumes will include information about properties and materials not covered in the first edition, as well as updates to information in this edition of the handbook. The handbook is intended to serve two audiences. One audience is researchers, who may find it useful to know what has been measured, where it has been published, and what kinds of information are needed. A second audience is modelers, who need a concise summary of information about specific properties and the accuracy with which they are known. The two audiences have different needs, and the handbook is a compromise intended to be useful to both. Therefore, it includes summaries of research results and needs, but generally does not present the original data. It also includes numerous graphs and, where available, equations that provide convenient approximations to materials properties for modelers. It is important to understand that most of the equations provided in this handbook are derived by fitting polynomials to data and have no physical basis; while they can be used with caution for design studies, fuel modelers will probably want to use the original experimental data to develop or validate their own equations and/or models. Although the handbook includes some citations to research involving development of models, its primary focus is experimental data. Many of the measurements of the U-Pu-Zr system were made before 1980. Where possible, the handbook relies on previous reviews of experimental data rather than presenting new interpretations of the old information. It is expected that researchers will refer to the original literature for details that are not presented in the handbook. Metals and alloys in the U-Pu-Zr system are uniquely difficult to study for a number of reasons. Experimental designs may need to be modified to allow researchers to work with these hazardous materials safely. Kinetics of phase transformations are commonly sluggish, and it is highly unlikely that all of the samples in previous research had equilibrium phases and microstructures. Thermal cycling effects (changes in sample characteristics that are not fully reversed during cooling) are commonly reported and may be significant. Careful control of impurities (particularly oxygen) during sample fabrication and data collection is both crucial and difficult, and concentrations below 100 ppm in samples may significantly affect thermophysical properties. For all of these reasons, differences between measured values for similar alloys are commonly far larger than the estimated errors for individual measurements. Further research on well-characterized materials with careful control of impurities is needed for all of the alloys discussed here. The 2015 FCRD Handbook summarizes currently available information about U, Pu, Zr, and their binary and ternary alloys. It contains information about phase diagrams and related information (including phases and phase transformations); heat capacity, entropy, and enthalpy; thermal expansion; and thermal conductivity and diffusivity. In addition to presenting information about materials properties, it attempts to provide information about how well the property is known and how much variation exists between measurements. Although the handbook includes some references to publications about modeling, its primary focus is experimental data. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Alkyl decorated metal–organic frameworks for selective trapping of ethane from ethylene above ambient pressures

Here the trapping of paraffins is beneficial compared to selective olefin adsorption for adsorptive olefin purification from a process engineering point of view. Here we demonstrate the use of a series of Zn 2 (X-bdc) 2 (dabco) (where X-bdc 2- is bdc 2- = 1,4-benzenedicarboxylate with substituting groups X, DM-bdc 2- = 2,5-dimethyl-1,4-benzenedicarboxylate or TM-bdc 2- = 2,3,5,6-tetramethyl-1,4-benzenedicarboxylate and dabco = diazabicyclo[2.2.2.]octane) metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) for the adsorptive removal of ethane from ethylene streams. The best performing material from this series is Zn2(TM-bdc)2(dabco) (DMOF-TM), which shows a high ethane uptake of 5.31 mmol g -1 at 110 kPa, with a good IAST selectivity of 1.88 towards ethane over ethylene. Through breakthrough measurements a high productivity of 13.1 L/kg per breakthrough is revealed with good reproducibility over five consecutive cycles. Molecular simulations show that the methyl groups of DMOF-TM are forming a van der Waals trap with the methylene groups from dabco, snuggly fitting the ethane. Further, rarely used high pressure coadsorption measurements, in pressure regimes that most scientific studies on hydrocarbon separation on MOFs ignore, reveal an increase in ethane capacity and selectivity for binary mixtures with increased pressures. The coadsorption measurements reveal good selectivity of 1.96 at 1000 kPa, which is verified also through IAST calculations up to 3000 kPa. This study overall showcases the opportunities that pore engineering by alkyl group incorporation and pressure increase offer to improve hydrocarbon separation in reticular materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

TESS Hunt for Young and Maturing Exoplanets (THYME). V. A Sub-Neptune Transiting a Young Star in a Newly Discovered 250 Myr Association

The detection and characterization of young planetary systems offer a direct path to study the processes that shape planet evolution. We report on the discovery of a sub-Neptune-sized planet orbiting the young star HD 110082 (TOI-1098). Transit events we initially detected during TESS Cycle 1 are validated with time-series photometry from Spitzer. High-contrast imaging and high-resolution, optical spectra are also obtained to characterize the stellar host and confirm the planetary nature of the transits. The host star is a late-F dwarf (M {sub ⋆} = 1.2M {sub ⊙}) with a low-mass, M dwarf binary companion (M {sub ⋆} = 0.26M {sub ⊙}) separated by nearly one arcminute (∼6200 au). Based on its rapid rotation and Lithium absorption, HD 110082 is young, but is not a member of any known group of young stars (despite proximity to the Octans association). To measure the age of the system, we search for coeval, phase-space neighbors and compile a sample of candidate siblings to compare with the empirical sequences of young clusters and to apply quantitative age-dating techniques. In doing so, we find that HD 110082 resides in a new young stellar association we designate MELANGE-1, with an age of 250{sub −70}{sup +50} Myr. Jointly modeling the TESS and Spitzer light curves, we measure a planetary orbital period of 10.1827 days and radius of R {sub p} = 3.2 ± 0.1R {sub ⊕}. HD 110082 b’s radius falls in the largest 12% of field-age systems with similar host-star mass and orbital period. This finding supports previous studies indicating that young planets have larger radii than their field-age counterparts.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A spectroscopic analysis of the K0 III binary ϵ Cygni

Spectroscopic observations of ϵ Cyg (K0 III) taken over 12 seasons from 1999 to 2010 with a resolving power ∼100,000 are analyzed for radial velocities, granulation properties, and projected rotation rate. The new radial velocities, which are on an absolute velocity scale with convective blueshifts removed, contribute to the determination of the 55-year orbit parameters, but are insufficient to be definitive. Line-depth ratios show photospheric temperature variations amounting to ∼4 K, likely arising from a magnetic cycle. A small velocity variation, ∼100 m s{sup −1}, may mimic the temperature variations. Fourier analysis of the line broadening yields the projected rotation rate v sin i = 1.0 ± 0.2 and macroturbulence dispersion ζ{sub RT} = 4.45 ± 0.05 km s{sup −1}. A possible rotation modulation in velocity with a period of ∼1.5 years is noted. The third signature of granulation, i.e., greater blueshifts for weaker lines, is measured and indicates a photospheric velocity gradient in ϵ Cyg that is 1.1 ± 0.1 times the Sun's, which is consistent with previously measured K giants. Mapping the line bisector of the Fe i λ6253 line on to the third-signature plot results in a flux deficit with a maximum 4.9 km s{sup −1} redward of the line core and an amplitude of 16.5% ± 0.5% of the core depth, values typical of K giants. A 145 K disk-averaged temperature difference between granules and lanes is implied.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Dominant Controls on Preferential Flow and Their Implications for Future Soil Water Fluxes

Abstract Soil water flow, particularly preferential flow (PF), is a critical control on hydrological and biogeochemical processes, including groundwater recharge, contaminant transport, and carbon cycling. However, it remains challenging to predict PF occurrence across large environmental gradients. Here, we developed a deep learning (DL) model to estimate event‐scale soil water flow velocity and the probability of PF occurrence using high‐frequency soil moisture and precipitation data from 33 sites across the National Ecological Observatory Network. The model demonstrated high skill in predicting the binary occurrence of PF (91% F1‐score; 85% accuracy) but the performance was limited in predicting soil water velocity ( R 2 = 0.31). We found that precipitation characteristics (duration, volume, and intensity) were the most important predictors for soil water velocity. Among the non‐precipitation event variables, sand content showed relatively high predictive skill, though differences among non‐event climate variables were generally modest. Lower sand content was associated with increased predicted soil water velocity, a finding that highlights the role of soil structure in producing more non‐uniform flow, which contrasts with traditional uniform flow models. Projecting a reduced DL model under both moderate and high‐emissions future climate scenarios (2060–2099 Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5), we found ∼7.3% increase under RCP4.5 and ∼15% under RCP8.5 of soil water velocities compared to the historical simulation, while modeled likelihood of PF changed little. These findings suggest climate change is not making PF more frequent, but it is making existing PF pathways more efficient with important consequences for associated nutrient and contaminant transport under climate change. Plain Language Summary Water movement in soil is critical for water quality. While often modeled as a uniform flow process, in reality water moves rapidly through cracks and burrows in what is called “preferential flow” (PF), which limits natural filtration and can transport pollutants. We developed a deep learning model, trained on data from 33 U.S. sites, to predict when and how fast this PF occurs based on precipitation, soil, and climate data. The model showed that precipitation characteristics (duration, intensity, volume) were the most important predictors of PF. Lower soil sand content/higher clay content was associated with faster water flow, likely due to clay soils forming aggregates and cracks that water moves through rather than infiltrating uniformly. Further analyses based on climate projections suggest that the speed at which PF occurs will become more rapid under future climate scenarios compared to historical simulation. This highlights the need to represent PF in soil water models when assessing future water quality. Key Points The effect of precipitation peak intensity on soil water velocities declined with increasing precipitation intensity Antecedent soil moisture failed to predict preferential flow (PF), contrasting the high predictive power of sand content Climate predictions suggest that soil water velocities through PF paths will increase ∼15% by 2099

Li, Bonan↗

Sythesis of MCMC and Belief Propagation

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Belief Propagation (BP) are the most popular algorithms for computational inference in Graphical Models (GM). In principle, MCMC is an exact probabilistic method which, however, often suffers from exponentially slow mixing. In contrast, BP is a deterministic method, which is typically fast, empirically very successful, however in general lacking control of accuracy over loopy graphs. In this paper, we introduce MCMC algorithms correcting the approximation error of BP, i.e., we provide a way to compensate for BP errors via a consecutive BP-aware MCMC. Our framework is based on the Loop Calculus (LC) approach which allows to express the BP error as a sum of weighted generalized loops. Although the full series is computationally intractable, it is known that a truncated series, summing up all 2-regular loops, is computable in polynomial-time for planar pair-wise binary GMs and it also provides a highly accurate approximation empirically. Motivated by this, we first propose a polynomial-time approximation MCMC scheme for the truncated series of general (non-planar) pair-wise binary models. Our main idea here is to use the Worm algorithm, known to provide fast mixing in other (related) problems, and then design an appropriate rejection scheme to sample 2-regular loops. Furthermore, we also design an efficient rejection-free MCMC scheme for approximating the full series. The main novelty underlying our design is in utilizing the concept of cycle basis, which provides an efficient decomposition of the generalized loops. In essence, the proposed MCMC schemes run on transformed GM built upon the non-trivial BP solution, and our experiments show that this synthesis of BP and MCMC outperforms both direct MCMC and bare BP schemes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Cooperative control of a DNA origami force sensor

Abstract Biomolecular systems are dependent on a complex interplay of forces. Modern force spectroscopy techniques provide means of interrogating these forces, but they are not optimized for studies in constrained environments as they require attachment to micron-scale probes such as beads or cantilevers. Nanomechanical devices are a promising alternative, but this requires versatile designs that can be tuned to respond to a wide range of forces. We investigate the properties of a nanoscale force sensitive DNA origami device which is highly customizable in geometry, functionalization, and mechanical properties. The device, referred to as the NanoDyn, has a binary (open or closed) response to an applied force by undergoing a reversible structural transition. The transition force is tuned with minor alterations of 1 to 3 DNA oligonucleotides and spans tens of picoNewtons (pN). The DNA oligonucleotide design parameters also strongly influence the efficiency of resetting the initial state, with higher stability devices (≳10 pN) resetting more reliably during repeated force-loading cycles. Finally, we show the opening force is tunable in real time by adding a single DNA oligonucleotide. These results establish the potential of the NanoDyn as a versatile force sensor and provide fundamental insights into how design parameters modulate mechanical and dynamic properties.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗