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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10

Quantifying the economic costs of power outages owing to extreme events: A systematic review

Quantifying the economic cost of long-duration power outages is crucial to justifying investments in resiliency and reliability improvements. However, extensive study on the subject complicates the identification of power outage costs and determining the most suitable approach to quantify them for an individual, specific facility, particularly in the context of extreme events. Here, this research provides a systematic review of economic studies estimating the impact of environmental disasters at the microeconomic and macroeconomic levels. Of 326 articles, evaluating the costs of power outages in extreme events, this work identified 22 studies that attempted to quantify the economic costs. These findings indicate that quantifying power outage costs lacks standardization, posing challenges for comparing different studies. Most analyses aiming to quantify these costs for utilities, sectors, and the overall economy rely on outdated survey data, which offer generalized rather than specific cost estimations. The costs of power outages exhibit a significant dependence on factors such as the sector involved, the type of customer affected, and the outage duration. To quantify industry costs, the research in this study suggests that using the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's online, open-access Customer Damage Function Calculator is the best option for individual-level assessments of industries, hospitals, offices, education centers, and similar facilities. However, the Interruption Cost Estimate Calculator can estimate outage costs across industrial, commercial, and residential sectors for macroeconomic outcomes. Finally, this article discusses the relative strengths of these methods and tools and the potential directions for future research.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Predicting High Energy Arcing Fault Zones of Influence for Aluminum Using an Arc Flash Modeling Approach: Evaluation of a model bias, uncertainty, parameter sensitivity and zone of influence estimation

This report documents the development of an arc flash hazard model to calculate the incident energy and zone of influence from high energy arcing faults involving aluminum. The NRC has identified the potential for (HEAFs) involving aluminum to increase the damage zone beyond what is currently postulated in fire probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) methodologies. To estimate the hazard from HEAFs involving aluminum an arc flash model was developed. Differences between the initial model and nuclear power plant (NPP) fire PRA scenarios were identified. Modification of the initial model established from existing literature and test data was used to minimize these differences. The developed model was evaluated against NRC datasets to understand the model prediction and relative uncertainties. Finally, a range of fire PRA zone of influences (ZOI) were developed based on the developed model, target fragility estimates and update HEAF PRA methodology. The results were developed to support an NRC LIC-504 evaluation in tandem with other modeling efforts. The report documents the effort and provides a reference for any future advancements in arc flash modeling.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A mechanistic model of a PWR-based nuclear power plant in response to external hazard-induced station blackout accidents

Natural hazard-induced nuclear accidents, such as the Fukushima Daiichi Accident that occurred in Japan in 2011, have significantly increased reactor safety studies in understanding nuclear power plant (NPP) responses to external hazard events such as earthquakes and floods. Natural hazards could cause the loss of offsite power in nuclear power plants, potentially leading to a Station Blackout (SBO) accident that significantly contributes to the overall risk of nuclear power plant accidents. Despite the fact that extensive research has been conducted on the station blackout accident for nuclear power plant, further understanding of these events is needed, particularly in the context of the dynamic nature of external hazards such as external flooding. This paper estimates the progression of station blackout events for a generic pressurized water reactor (PWR) in response to external flooding events. The original RELAP5-3D model of the Westinghouse four-loop design pressurized water reactor was adopted and modified to simulate the external flood-induced station blackout accident, including the short-term and long-term station blackout scenarios. A sensitivity analysis of long-term station blackout, examining reactor operation times and analyzing key parameters over time, was also conducted in this work. The results of the analyses, especially the critical timing parameters of key event sequences, provide useful insights about the time during the external flooding event, which is important for plant operators to make timely decisions to prevent potential core damage. This paper represents significant progress toward developing an integrated risk assessment framework for further identifying and assessing the effects of the critical sources of uncertainties of nuclear power plant under external hazard-induced events.

Liu, Tao↗

Methodological guidelines on concrete degradation based on predictive models and the release of MOSAIC for industry use

In light-water reactors (LWRs), the concrete biological shield (CBS) designates the concrete structure directly facing the reactor pressure vessel (RPV). The primary function of the CBS is to protect equipment and personnel from the neutron and gamma radiation exiting the RPV. Most CBSs in operation in the United States also provide structural support to the RPV. Based on a long-term structural analysis, the structural integrity of the CBS to transfer the in-service passive load to the foundation, dynamic loading during an earthquake, and thermal loading during a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) must be maintained. Based on test reactor data for accelerated conditions, the mechanical properties of irradiated concrete are affected when exposed to neutron fluence higher than ≈ 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV). At 80 years of operation, the fluence estimates at the surface of the CBS range between 1×10 19 and 7×10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV): the fluence value depends mostly on the design. Although fluence attenuates through the CBS by virtue of the shielding properties of concrete, about 5% to 10% of the CBS wall depth is affected by high fluence. The main degradation mechanism is the so-called radiation-induced volumetric expansion (RIVE) caused by the amorphization of aggregate-forming minerals. RIVE causes large deformation of up to 18% in pure quartz, and it also reduces the structural properties of concrete. The structural effects of long-term exposure to fast neutron irradiation in LWRs was studied in the report entitled “Assessment of the Effect of the Irradiation-Induced Degradation on the In-Service Structural Performance of the Concrete Biological Shields” (M3LW-23OR0403013). This report illustrates that (1) irradiation-induced damage expands further than the region subject to a cumulative fluence of 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV) to reach the steel reinforcement location, and (2) the irradiation-induced damage region shows no substantial residual bearing capacity and should not be accounted for in the integrity assessment of the CBS.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

EMP Testing of NAE Magnetic Motor Starters

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) performed a high-altitude nuclear electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) critical generation station component vulnerability test campaign with a focus on high-frequency, conducted early-time (E1) HEMP for the Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER). This report provides vulnerability test results to investigate component response and/or damage thresholds to reasonable HEMP threat levels that will help to inform site vulnerability assessments, mitigation planning, and modeling calibrations. This work details testing of North American Electric (NAE) magnetic motor starters to determine the effects of conducted HEMP environments. Motor starters are the control elements that provide power to motors throughout a generating plant; a starter going offline would cause loss of power to critical pumps and compressors, which could lead to component damage or unplanned plant outages. Additionally, failed starters would be unable to support plant startup. Six industrial motor starters were tested: two 2 horsepower (HP) starters with breaker disconnects and typical protection equipment, two 20 HP starters with breaker disconnects, and two 20 HP starters with fused disconnects. Each starter was placed in a circuit with a generator and inductive motor matching the starter rating. The conducted EMP insult was injected on the power cables passing through the motor starter, with separate tests for the generator and motor sides of the starter.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Monte Carlo Approach to Approximating the Effects of Pore Geometry on the Phase Behavior of Soil Freezing

Abstract Freezing in porous media is associated with a host of dynamic phenomena that stem from the presence and mobility of premelted liquid at subzero temperatures. Accurate assessments of the progressive liquid‐ice phase transition is required for predictive models of frost damage, glacier‐till coupling, and many other cold regions processes, as well as for evaluating the capacity for water storage in near‐surface extraterrestrial environments. We use a Monte Carlo approach to sample the pore space in a synthetic 3D packing of poly‐dispersed spherical particles and evaluate local geometrical constraints that allow us to assess changes in the relative proportions of pore fluid and ice. By approximating the phase boundary geometry in fine‐grained pores while considering both the curvature of the liquid‐ice interface and wetting interactions with matrix particles, our model predicts changes in phase equilibrium in granular media over a broad temperature range, where present accounting for the colligative effects of chloride and perchlorate solutes. In addition to formulating the constitutive behavior needed to better understand properties and processes in frozen soils, our results also provide insight into other aspects of phase equilibria in porous media, including the formation of methane hydrates in permafrost and marine sediments, and the partitioning between liquid water and vapor in the vadose zone.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Wind Turbine Drivetrain Reliability Research - Gearbox Bearing Axial Cracking Failure Mode Example

The U.S. Department of Energy's National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory have been conducting wind turbine drivetrain (formerly gearbox) reliability research for many years. Although the drivetrain focus has not changed, detailed projects are adjusted every few years based on dynamic needs seen in the field across the wind industry. This webinar will walk through the research methodology by using wind turbine gearbox bearing axial cracking failure mode as an example. The detailed steps include: 1) top failure mode identification based on actual failure data collected from project partners, 2) bench-top testing to identify possible contributing factors and formulate a damage metric, 3) physics domain modeling and validation through testing, 4) reliability assessment and prognosis based on the physics domain model and data domain inputs, and further enhancement through machine learning algorithms, using actual wind plant operational and failure event data. Hopefully, the presented work is of interest to the IISE community, and some members can apply their expertise to wind turbine and plant applications, helping enhance wind power generation technology advancement and its broader deployment.

axial cracking↗

A graph embedding‐based approach for automatic cyber‐physical power system risk assessment to prevent and mitigate threats at scale

Abstract Power systems are facing an increasing number of cyber incidents, potentially leading to damaging consequences to both physical and cyber aspects. However, the development of analytical methods for the study of large‐scale power infrastructures as cyber‐physical systems is still in its early stages. Drawing inspiration from machine‐learning techniques, the authors introduce a method inspired by the principles of graph embedding that is tailored for quantitative risk assessment and the exploration of possible mitigation strategies of large‐scale cyber‐physical power systems. The primary advantage of the graph embedding approach lies in its ability to generate numerous random walks on a graph, simulating potential access paths. Meanwhile, it enables capturing high‐dimensional structures in low‐dimensional spaces, facilitating advanced machine‐learning applications, and ensuring scalability and adaptability for comprehensive network analysis. By employing this graph embedding‐based approach, the authors present a structured and methodical framework for risk assessment in cyber‐physical systems. The proposed graph embedding‐based risk analysis framework aims to provide a more insightful perspective on cyber‐physical risk assessment and situation awareness for power systems. To validate and demonstrate its applicability, the method has been tested on two cyber‐physical power system models: the Western System Coordinating Council (WSCC) 9‐Bus System and the Illinois 200‐Bus System , thereby showing its advantages in enhancing the accuracy of risk analysis and comprehensiveness of situational awareness.

Sun, Shining↗

Radiation Effects Related to Repaired BWR Core Shrouds

The material properties of the core shroud and supporting tie rod components are important factors for Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) life extension considerations. Given the variability of nickel and boron content found in 304 stainless steel shroud plates, and XM-19 and Inconel X-750 tie rod materials, this paper combines the latest spectral information in the vicinity of the core shroud to calculate hydrogen and helium gas production limits as well as atomic displacement damage spanning 80 full-power years (FPY) using the SPECTER code. Results indicate that, whereas boron has little effect on the atomic displacement damage, helium production from boron can be important and must be included in weldability assessments. Since the boron concentration is uncertain, helium generation is calculated assuming a composition range based on specifications and reported measurements. The results show that helium production caused by transmutations in the 304 SS shroud material are dominated by the concentration of boron and will have a significant impact on weldability after only a few years of service. For tie rods, the susceptibility to irradiation-assisted stress corrosion cracking (IASCC) has been assessed by determining helium production in Inconel X-750 IASCC specimens irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) reactor and correlating with the helium produced in a BWR. As a tie rod material in a high thermal neutron flux environment, Inconel X-750 is more likely to be IASCC sensitive during service in a BWR due to helium than the XM-19 stainless steel alloy because of a greater nickel content and boron concentration. Weldability of the core shroud plate material, IASCC of the tie rod materials, and the gamma photon contribution to radiation damage are discussed.

radiation damage in materials, BWR↗

SELF-HEALING PNEUMATIC ACTUATOR DIAPHRAGMS

In the oil and gas industry, damaged diaphragms in pneumatic actuators can lead to unintended methane leaks, increasing emissions. In this work, replacement self-healing diaphragms are manufactured for a commercial pneumatic actuator. To enable self-healing, hollow microvascular networks are created within the diaphragms using sacrificial 3D printed PLA w/ tin(II) oxalate. These microvascular networks are filled with healing chemistries and, upon damage, rupture. After rupturing, the healing chemistries mix and cure to “heal” the damage and reduce leaks. Separate actuator test stands using nitrogen gas and using natural gas were developed to assess the healing performance of diaphragms. A fatigue stand was also developed to evaluate the effects of the different microvascular network geometries on the fatigue life of diaphragms. Our results demonstrate self-healing in diaphragms subjected to damage and tested for leaks. In fatigue testing, our results indicate that the introduction of microvascular networks does not influence the fatigue life.

Self-healing, pneumatic actuator↗

Damage to living trees contributes to almost half of the biomass losses in tropical forests

Abstract Accurate estimates of forest biomass stocks and fluxes are needed to quantify global carbon budgets and assess the response of forests to climate change. However, most forest inventories consider tree mortality as the only aboveground biomass (AGB) loss without accounting for losses via damage to living trees: branchfall, trunk breakage, and wood decay. Here, we use ~151,000 annual records of tree survival and structural completeness to compare AGB loss via damage to living trees to total AGB loss (mortality + damage) in seven tropical forests widely distributed across environmental conditions. We find that 42% (3.62 Mg ha −1 year −1 ; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.36–5.25) of total AGB loss (8.72 Mg ha −1 year −1 ; CI 5.57–12.86) is due to damage to living trees. Total AGB loss was highly variable among forests, but these differences were mainly caused by site variability in damage‐related AGB losses rather than by mortality‐related AGB losses. We show that conventional forest inventories overestimate stand‐level AGB stocks by 4% (1%–17% range across forests) because assume structurally complete trees, underestimate total AGB loss by 29% (6%–57% range across forests) due to overlooked damage‐related AGB losses, and overestimate AGB loss via mortality by 22% (7%–80% range across forests) because of the assumption that trees are undamaged before dying. Our results indicate that forest carbon fluxes are higher than previously thought. Damage on living trees is an underappreciated component of the forest carbon cycle that is likely to become even more important as the frequency and severity of forest disturbances increase.

Zuleta, Daniel↗

Bayesian calibration of a physics-based crystal plasticity and damage model

In this work, we present a model parameter calibration procedure for a physics-based crystal plasticity model. The calibration process utilizes a powerful statistics-based Bayesian calibration method. Calibration of the crystal plasticity parameters makes use of experimentally-measured data, i.e. compressive stress–strain response, from $\langle$100$\rangle$ and $\langle$123$\rangle$ single crystal copper dynamically loaded via Kolsky bar tests. The calibration of damage parameters is achieved using experimentally-measured free-surface velocity history data from plate impact test on $\langle$100$\rangle$ and $\langle$110$\rangle$ single crystal copper, which generates shock compression followed by dynamic tensile failure. A validation assessment is then carried out by comparing the calibrated model predictions and experimental measurements of the dynamic tensile damage generated in an impacted bicrystal copper plate. Lastly, a model-informed rationale for the experimentally-observed dependence of the spatial distribution of ductile damage (porosity) on crystallography is provided.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Development of Surveillance Test Articles for Materials Degradation Management in MSR Environments

Materials in molten salt reactors (MSR) undergo accelerated degradation from corrosion, irradiation, and cyclic loads at elevated temperatures. Establishing a materials surveillance program to enable the assessment of material deterioration is critical to assure structural integrity of MSRs components. This presentation summarizes recent efforts towards the development of surveillance test articles for collecting various damages for monitoring materials degradation. Surveillance test articles with reduced dimensions were designed to capture creep-fatigue damage from cyclic loading at elevated temperatures. The strain evolution of test articles during thermal cycling was analyzed both numerically and experimentally. Out-of-reactor thermal cycling demonstrated successful capture of strain range for materials assessment. Moreover, test articles were subject to both mechanical loads and molten salt exposure, and the damage due to stress and corrosion was investigated. Additionally, damage inference models were developed to predict the remaining life of materials based on the accumulated damage in surveillance test articles.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Report Summarizing Boiling Transition (Dryout) Testing of FeCrAl Cladding

Nuclear fuel and cladding in a light water reactor must maintain integrity under all normal operational and anticipated operational occurrences. In a Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) some Anticipated Operational Occurrences (AOOs) and Anticipated Transients Without SCRAM (ATWS) events have been known to result in cladding damage due to dryout with conventional Zircaloy-2 claddings. This work presents an assessment of commercially-fabricated, accident tolerant iron-chromium-aluminum (FeCrAl) alloy C26M cladding in such events with regard to the ballooning failure mode for unirradiated cladding In the severe accident test station (SATS), an experiment has been developed to gauge accident tolerance of fuel cladding materials under simulated cyclic dryout conditions. Thermal cycling from 300°C to 650°C was implemented on C26M and Zircaloy-2 tubes. The C26M tube did not fail after 54 cycles. The Zircaloy- 2 tube run under the same parameters as the C26M tube failed during the fourth cycle, consistent with expectations from the literature. Due to thermal gradients present in the furnace, both tubes experienced a maximum temperature at ~780°C. Due to differences in tube geometry, the hoop stress of the C26M tube was significantly higher than that of the Zircaloy-2 tube, 76 MPa at the maximum peak temperature compared to 55 MPa at burst, respectively. The cyclic dryout experiments show an increased performance of C26M over Zircaloy-2 under simulated conditions, an indication of C26M possessing superior high temperature oxidation resistance, mechanical properties and potentially resistance to fatigue.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Development of an advanced ultrasonic phased array for the characterization of thick, reinforced concrete components (Final Scientific/Technical Report)

There are no nondestructive evaluation (NDE) tools capable of characterizing microscale damage throughout the thickness of concrete components, due to the multiphase, heterogeneous and multiscale nature of concrete. Ultrasound is only scattered by features at the same length scale, or smaller, than the wavelength of a wave’s dominant frequency. Successful imaging of microscale damage using ultrasound requires that the ultrasonic wavelength be on the order of a few millimeters (or smaller), yet the heterogeneous microstructure of concrete, with its fine and coarse aggregates, is on this same (and higher) micrometer/millimeter length scale, causing excessive ultrasonic wave scattering even in “good” concrete. The proposed solution applies non-collinear wave mixing to spatially image microscale damage, while still maintaining penetration through thick concrete components. This microscale imaging is possible by combining nonlinear wave mixing, with advanced phased array hardware and software to develop a breakthrough tool that will bring revolutionary changes in NDE of concrete infrastructure in terms of image resolution and depth of penetration. This work uses non-collinear wave mixing which exploits the physics that material nonlinearities such as microscale damage, cause interactions between two intersecting ultrasonic waves due to cross-mixing, which can lead to the generation of a third wave with a frequency and wave number of the sum or difference of the incident waves. The concrete material volume at this mixing point is characterized/imaged. This project delivered a single-sided nonlinear ultrasonic phased array imaging device, that can image microscale damage (microcracks of 100 micrometers) through a 0.5 m thick concrete component and assessed the commercial feasibility of such arrays for improved crack detection.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Sensitivity analysis of numerical modeling input parameters on floating offshore wind turbine loads in extreme idling conditions

Abstract. Floating offshore wind turbine (FOWT) systems are subject to complex environmental loads, with significant potential for damage in extreme storm conditions. Design simulations in these conditions are required to assess the survivability of the device with some level of confidence. Aero-hydro-servo-elastic engineering tools can be used with a reasonable balance of accuracy and computational efficiency. The models require many input parameters to describe the air and water conditions, the system properties, and the load calculations. Each of these parameters has some possible range, due to either statistical uncertainty or variations with time. Variation in the input parameters can have important effects on the uncertainty in the resulting loads, but it is not practical to perform detailed assessments of the impact of this uncertainty for every input parameter. This work demonstrates a method to identify the input parameters that have the most impact on the loads to focus further inspection. The process is done specifically for extreme storm load cases defined in the International Electrotechnical Commission design requirements for floating offshore wind turbines. The analysis was performed using the International Energy Agency Wind 15 MW offshore reference wind turbine atop the University of Maine VolturnUS-S reference platform in two US offshore wind regions, the Gulf of Maine and Humboldt Bay. It was found that the direction of incident waves and current, yaw misalignment, and the length of mooring line sections were among the primary sensitivities.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

High-Throughput Ion Irradiation and Microstructural Characterization of Multi-Principal-Element Alloys

Multi-principal-element alloys (MPEAs) have garnered interest in the nuclear community for their apparent resistance to microstructural damage under irradiation. While both experimentation and simulation have demonstrated reduced hardening and void swelling in MPEAs, the relationship between composition and irradiation response is still poorly understood since a rich experimental database for MPEAs does not yet exist. In this work, to accelerate the generation of experimental irradiation-response data for MPEAs, high-throughput synthesis, irradiation, and characterization techniques have been employed. Specifically, additive manufacturing has been used to produce arrays of various MPEAs (1-cm2 coupons), which have been subsequently irradiated using 4-MeV Ni2+ ions to a peak damage of 200 dpa at 500 °C. Hardening and void swelling have been assessed using nanoindentation and trenching via plasma focused ion beam (PFIB), respectively. Trends in the experimental data relating hardening and void swelling behavior to composition have been analyzed using different machine learning approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Role of Material Condition in Precursor Corrosion Damage and Stress Corrosion Crack Initiation Behavior of Alloy 600 in PWR Primary Water

Stress corrosion crack (SCC) initiation testing has been performed on a 15% cold-worked UNS N06600 (Alloy 600) heat in the mill-annealed (MA), solution annealed (SA), and thermally treated (TT) conditions to assess the role of grain boundary (GB) carbides on stress-assisted intergranular attack (IGA) and short crack nucleation and growth. The SCC initiation tests were conducted at constant load equivalent to materials yield stress in 360oC simulated PWR primary water with dissolved hydrogen at the Ni/NiO stability line. Results revealed the highest SCC initiation susceptibility in the Alloy 600 MA material followed by the TT and SA materials, suggesting the GB carbide distribution did not have a controlling effect on SCC initiation resistance. Quantitative assessments were conducted on IGA and short cracks to help understand this phenomenon and the role of GB carbides on precursor damage development that lead to differences in macroscopic SCC initiation behavior are discussed.

Zhai, Ziqing↗