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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10

Bridging the Gap for Powering Data Centers

The rapid expansion of data centers, primarily driven by artificial intelligence, is outpacing the adaptability of the U.S. electric grid. This report, developed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) , presents a gap analysis of some of the infrastructure challenges associated with large-scale data center deployment. Drawing from a national workshop hosted by INL in October of 2025, the report synthesizes stakeholder insights, survey data, and technical discussions to identify critical barriers and research needs. Key findings highlight the growing preference for behind-the-meter generation, the perceived inadequacy of legacy interconnection processes, and the urgent need for improved coordination between utilities, regulators, and data center developers. Environmental concerns such as water use and noise pollution, as well as economic constraints like equipment lead times and cost allocation, are also explored. The report outlines national lab capabilities in modeling, simulation, and technical assistance, and proposes targeted R&D priorities to support resilient, scalable, and efficient integration of data centers into the grid.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Materials Data on Ca(GaP)2 by Materials Project

Ca(GaP)2 crystallizes in the hexagonal P6_3/mmc space group. The structure is two-dimensional and consists of two Ca(GaP)2 sheets oriented in the (0, 0, 1) direction. Ca2+ is bonded to six equivalent P3- atoms to form edge-sharing CaP6 octahedra. All Ca–P bond lengths are 2.93 Å. Ga2+ is bonded in a trigonal non-coplanar geometry to three equivalent P3- atoms. All Ga–P bond lengths are 2.45 Å. P3- is bonded to three equivalent Ca2+ and three equivalent Ga2+ atoms to form a mixture of edge and corner-sharing PCa3Ga3 octahedra. The corner-sharing octahedral tilt angles are 0°.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Materials Data on Ba(GaP)2 by Materials Project

BaGa2P2 crystallizes in the monoclinic P2_1/c space group. The structure is three-dimensional. Ba2+ is bonded to six P3- atoms to form distorted edge-sharing BaP6 pentagonal pyramids. There are a spread of Ba–P bond distances ranging from 3.22–3.37 Å. There are two inequivalent Ga2+ sites. In the first Ga2+ site, Ga2+ is bonded in a trigonal non-coplanar geometry to three P3- atoms. There are a spread of Ga–P bond distances ranging from 2.44–2.49 Å. In the second Ga2+ site, Ga2+ is bonded in a trigonal non-coplanar geometry to three P3- atoms. There are a spread of Ga–P bond distances ranging from 2.44–2.48 Å. There are two inequivalent P3- sites. In the first P3- site, P3- is bonded to three equivalent Ba2+ and three Ga2+ atoms to form a mixture of distorted edge and corner-sharing PBa3Ga3 octahedra. The corner-sharing octahedra tilt angles range from 23–100°. In the second P3- site, P3- is bonded to three equivalent Ba2+ and three Ga2+ atoms to form a mixture of distorted edge and corner-sharing PBa3Ga3 octahedra. The corner-sharing octahedra tilt angles range from 22–100°.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Expansion of the Direct Feed High-Level Waste Glass Composition in the High Al Range

Baseline glass compositions have been developed and demonstrated for successful immobilization of Hanford high-level waste (HLW) prepared through a pretreatment process. Recent enhanced waste glass formulations have shown promise to increase the waste loading of pretreated sludge compositions from a broader range of HLW feeds. This project proposes to increase the loading of minimally pretreated Hanford HLW in glass by expanding the existing database and glass property-composition models. Estimated direct-feed high level waste (DFHLW) compositions were generated by the Hanford Tank Operations Contractor and used by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to determine target glass compositions. Gaps in existing data were identified including one high-priority gap in the high Al compositional region. This report summarizes the data collected during the characterization of the DFHLW High Al Glass Matrix. These glasses were intentionally designed with high aluminum concentrations (15 to 30 wt%) and a high likelihood of nepheline formation, which is known to negatively affect glass durability. Some glasses were expected to either fail or approach property constraints to fill data gaps in poorly understood regions of the compositional space due to lack of data. Out of the 50 glasses tested, 14 glasses formed nepheline, while the model predicted nepheline formation in 20 glasses. All quenched glasses met the product consistency test durability constraint; however, 8 glasses failed this constraint after undergoing the canister centerline cooling treatment. Additionally, 17 glasses did not meet the viscosity constraints, 4 failed the EC constraints, and 2 exceeded the allowable T2% for spinel crystal formation. All glasses satisfied the SO 3 solubility limit. The resulting dataset provides valuable information to improve model accuracy and reduce prediction uncertainty. These insights will ultimately support the development of more robust glass formulation strategies, enabling higher waste loadings, reducing operational risks, and expanding the processing envelope.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Rapidly Changing Range Limits in a Warming World: Critical Data Limitations and Knowledge Gaps for Advancing Understanding of Mangrove Range Dynamics in the Southeastern USA

Climate change is altering species’ range limits and transforming ecosystems. For example, warming temperatures are leading to the range expansion of tropical, cold-sensitive species at the expense of their cold-tolerant counterparts. In some temperate and subtropical coastal wetlands, warming winters are enabling mangrove forest encroachment into salt marsh, which is a major regime shift that has significant ecological and societal ramifications. Here, we synthesized existing data and expert knowledge to assess the distribution of mangroves near rapidly changing range limits in the southeastern USA. We used expert elicitation to identify data limitations and highlight knowledge gaps for advancing understanding of past, current, and future range dynamics. Mangroves near poleward range limits are often shorter, wider, and more shrublike compared to their tropical counterparts that grow as tall forests in freeze-free, resource-rich environments. The northern range limits of mangroves in the southeastern USA are particularly dynamic and climate sensitive due to abundance of suitable coastal wetland habitat and the exposure of mangroves to winter temperature extremes that are much colder than comparable range limits on other continents. Thus, there is need for methodological refinements and improved spatiotemporal data regarding changes in mangrove structure and abundance near northern range limits in the southeastern USA. Advancing understanding of rapidly changing range limits is critical for foundation plant species such as mangroves, as it provides a basis for anticipating and preparing for the cascading effects of climate-induced species redistribution on ecosystems and the human communities that depend on their ecosystem services.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Exploring the Use of DSCOVR/EPIC Satellite Observations to Monitor Vegetation Phenology

Vegetation phenology plays a pivotal role in regulating several ecological processes and has profound impacts on global carbon exchange. Large-scale vegetation phenology monitoring mostly relies on Low-Earth-Orbit satellite observations with low temporal resolutions, leaving gaps in data that are important for monitoring seasonal vegetation phenology. High temporal resolution satellite observations have the potential to fill this gap by frequently collecting observations on a global scale, making it easier to study change over time. This study explored the potential of using the Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) onboard the Deep Space Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) satellite, which captures images of the entire sunlit face of the Earth at a temporal resolution of once every 1–2 h, to observe vegetation phenology cycles in North America. We assessed the strengths and shortcomings of EPIC-based phenology information in comparison with the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Enhanced Thematic Mapper (ETM+) onboard Landsat 7, and PhenoCam ground-based observations across six different plant functional types. Our results indicated that EPIC could capture and characterize seasonal changes of vegetation across different plant functional types and is particularly consistent in the estimated growing season length. Our results also provided new insights into the complementary features and benefits of the four datasets, which is valuable for improving our understanding of the complex response of vegetation to global climate variability and other disturbances and the impact of phenology changes on ecosystem productivity and global carbon exchange.

Weber, Maridee A.↗

Simulating PBX 9501 Gap-stick Experiment

It has previously been shown that the rate parameters of the SURF reactive burn model can be adjusted to fit the gap-stick data for PBX 9501 [Johnson et al., 2018, fig 4]. A recent recalibration of the SURF model for PBX 9501 (lot 730-010 at ρ = 1.837 g/cc 3 ) used different reactants and products EOS and an updated fitting form for the burn rate [Menikoff, 2021]. The new calibration fit gap-stick data [Hill et al., 2021] together with data from SDT experiments and curvature effect data. Here the results of gap-stick simulations using the xRage code are shown. They provide insight into the reactive flow in the gap-stick experiment.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

A Meteorology and Snow Data Set From Adjacent Forested and Meadow Sites at Crested Butte, CO, USA

We present meteorology and snow observation data collected at sites in the southwestern Colorado Rocky Mountains (USA) over three consecutive water years with different amounts of snow water equivalent (SWE) accumulation: A year with above average SWE (2019), a year with average SWE (2020), and a year with below average SWE (2021). This data set is distinguished by its emphasis on paired open-forest sites in a continental snow climate. Approximately once a month during February–May, we collected data from 15 to 20 snow pits and took 8 to 19 snow depth transects. Our sampling sites were in open and adjacent forested areas at 3,100 m and in a lower elevation aspen (3,035 m) and higher elevation conifer stand (3,395 m). In total, we recorded 270 individual snow pit density and temperature profiles and over 4,000 snow depth measurements. These data are complimented by continuous meteorological measurements from two weather stations: One in the open and one in the adjacent forest. Meteorology data—including incoming shortwave and longwave radiation, outgoing shortwave radiation, relative humidity, wind speed, snow depth, and air and infrared surface temperature—were quality controlled and the forcing data were gap-filled. These data are available to download from Bonner, Smyth, et al. at three levels of processing, including a level with downscaled, adjusted precipitation based on data assimilation using observed snow depth and a process-based snow model. We demonstrate the utility of these data with a modeling experiment that explores open-forest differences and identifies opportunities for improvements in model representation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Report priority gaps in high temperature thermodynamic data (Interim Progress Report)

This interim progress report (Level 4 Milestone Number M4SF-26LL010203023) summarizes research conducted at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) within the Argillite Host Rock Properties & Processes SF-26LL01020302. Our focus is to assess gaps in data availability and understanding for radionuclide thermodynamics within the context of a “hot repository” concept and expand SUPCRT-NE database development to address higher temperatures needed for a DPC DGR disposal concept. The database is intended to inform the argillite GDSA baseline model. The leading European thermochemical database (Thermochimie) is only applicable to temperatures below 80°C. Thus, a US effort to integrate and expand upon other international thermodynamics database efforts is needed, particular if a “hot repository” concept moves forward.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Data-driven building energy modeling with feature selection and active learning for data predictive control

Three gaps impede the development of cost-effective and accurate data-driven building energy modeling/models (DBEM) for energy forecasting and predictive control strategies. Gap 1: data bias is common in building operation data, but this topic is hardly studied in DBEM; Gap 2: high data dimensionality is common in DBEM, but a systematic and scalable methodology is lacking to solve the problem; Gap 3: the interactions between data bias and high dimensionality have not been systematically studied for DBEM and predictive control in buildings. In this work, to address the three gaps mentioned above, we develop a framework that integrates active learning and feature selection for DBEM used for whole building data predictive control (or DPC, which is a branch of model predictive control). The framework provides a systematic methodology and automatic workflow that starts with raw data from building automation systems to the establishment of data-driven energy models for DPC controllers. The developed strategies and framework are evaluated in a virtual testbed based on EnergyPlus and BCVTB. Improved performance and reduced computational complexity are observed from the DBEM built with the developed framework, as well as the DPC controller based on that DBEM, indicating the effectiveness of the developed framework.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

How Gaps in Time-Series Data Affect Asteroseismic Interpretation

Most pulsating white dwarf stars pulsate with many periods, each of which is a probe of their interior, which has made asteroseismolgy of these stars an active field. However, disentangling the multiple periodicities requires long, uninterrupted strings of data. We briefly describe the history of multi-site observing campaigns that culminated in the development of the Whole Earth Telescope in the late 1980s that still functions today. Through examples from the May 1990 campaign on GD 358, we show how critical it is to eliminate periodic gaps in data to greatly reduce aliasing in Fourier Transforms normally used to analyze the frequency content of pulsating white dwarfs. We close with a brief description of space satellite-based data, along with the advantages and disadvantages of these data compared to ground-based data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Kick Signatures Through Advanced Multi-Phase Data

Existing downhole geophysical sensors, like those used in LWD, offer an opportunity for early kick detection, but they are not currently used for detection or characterization. Downhole acoustic measurements also have the potential for providing reliable gas leak detection based on their high sensitivity to low concentrations of gas present in a gas-liquid mixture. This effort seeks to close a data knowledge gap through numerical simulation and use this data to aid in development of a low-cost, fast, and reliable early kick detection technology for preventing blowouts based on the acoustic signature.

Carney, Janine↗

Data for Filling the Cellulosic Bio-economy Gap by Utilizing a Wedge Approach Combined with Stakeholder Collaboration

The price gap between the market and breakeven prices of cellulosic biomass for farmers represents a significant barrier to the development of a low-carbon cellulosic bioeconomy. Using a bottom-up, agent-based modeling tool that replicates the behaviors and interactions of key stakeholders, this study analyzes the emergence of a cellulosic bioeconomy at the local scale through a wedge approach that examines an integrated portfolio of multiple policy options, including subsidies for small-scale bioproducts and environmental credits. The role of collaboration among multiple stakeholders, such as biomass producers (farmers), bio-refinery industry, government, and society, is assessed for filling the price gap. Using the Sangamon River Basin as a case study site, we evaluate the effectiveness of the wedge approach by comparing simulation results from multiple scenarios, each incorporating different combinations of bioeconomy wedges, with and without stakeholder collaboration. Results underscore that active collaboration among stakeholders acts as a catalyst enlarging the effectiveness of bioeconomy wedges. Including the carbon credits and environmental value in the policy portfolio is found to bridge the price gap through collective contributions from diverse stakeholders, where the cellulosic biofuel and bioproduct industry plays a pivotal role. Although this study is conducted at the local watershed scale, the methodology and findings offer valuable insights for market development in other watersheds and the potential scaling of local markets to regional and national levels.

Economics↗

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Strategic Analysis Support WBS 4.1.1.30

Strategic Analysis Support. The objective of the NREL strategic support project is to provide sound, unbiased, and consistent analyses to inform the strategic direction of the DOE BETO office. This project addresses key technological questions, provides critical data needed to inform strategy, and highlights barriers, gaps and data needs in support of the DOE BETO's mission to improve the affordability of bio-based fuels and products. This task employs various quantitative (techno-economic analysis, TEA) and qualitative (gap analysis) approaches to allow for direct comparisons of biomass conversion technologies across a wide slate of processing platforms and products. Furthermore, this project develops and utilizes novel analyses beyond traditional biorefinery focused TEA/LCAs to identify both technical (e.g., in sustainable design) and non-technical (e.g., in value proposition) barriers, as well as to outline mitigation strategies and R&D needs for emerging technologies. Additionally, the project is tasked with evaluating drivers that support the growing bio-economy, which is achieved by the development and public release of tools to advance the understanding and facilitate comparisons of socio-economic impacts along the supply chain. Critical to the success of this project is the development of defensible methodologies, analyses, and tools that are publicly available to support stakeholders and bioeconomy growth. To develop such high-quality analyses, the biggest challenge to this project, as with most analysis focused projects, is the availability and reliability of the underlying data. Therefore, the project team works extensively with key stakeholders (e.g., policy makers, bioenergy technology developers, and investors) in developing and reviewing the results of these analyses to overcome this challenge. Any remaining uncertainties associated with the analysis efforts are clearly defined and quantified.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Transformer-powered surrogates close the ICF simulation-experiment gap with extremely limited data

Abstract Recent advances in machine learning, specifically transformer architecture, have led to significant advancements in commercial domains. These powerful models have demonstrated superior capability to learn complex relationships and often generalize better to new data and problems. This paper presents a novel transformer-powered approach for enhancing prediction accuracy in multi-modal output scenarios, where sparse experimental data is supplemented with simulation data. The proposed approach integrates transformer-based architecture with a novel graph-based hyper-parameter optimization technique. The resulting system not only effectively reduces simulation bias, but also achieves superior prediction accuracy compared to the prior method. We demonstrate the efficacy of our approach on inertial confinement fusion experiments, where only 10 shots of real-world data are available, as well as synthetic versions of these experiments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Testing of High S Matrix Glasses to Expand DFHLW Glass Compositional Ranges (Rev.1)

Gaps in glass composition-property data for direct-feed high-level waste (DFHLW) have recently been identified. One such gap is the region of high sulfur solubility since previous, pretreated, high-level wastes contained very little sulfur. Filling this data gap will significantly broaden the range of process flowsheet options including minimal washing and will allow for optimized waste loading in DFHLW glasses. This report summarizes the data collected during the characterization of the DFHLW High S Glass Matrix (HS24). A glass matrix of 50 glass compositions was developed to evenly cover the DFHLW composition region for high sulfur glass. Matrix glasses were designed to expand the composition region outside the current component concentration and property limits so as to reduce uncertainties at the limits. The 50 matrix glasses were fabricated and tested for properties important to the success of DFHLW vitrification including: compositions, canister centerline cooling (CCC) crystallinity and isothermal crystallinity, density, viscosity, electrical conductivity (EC), product consistency test (PCT) response, toxicity, and sulfate solubility. Melter materials corrosion testing is reported elsewhere. These glasses were intentionally designed to have high SO 3 solubilities (0.7 to 2.2 SO 3 wt%) in compositional regions that had not been previously explored. Forty-eight glasses showed the measured SO 3 content retained >80% of the target SO 3 and the densities of all the glasses ranged from 2.49 g·cm -3 to 2.74 g·cm -3 . While the model predicted nepheline formation in 5 glasses, one of the tested 50 CCC glasses formed nepheline, and 35 glasses formed Cr-containing phases such as spinels and eskolaite. Only five glasses were amorphous after CCC treatment where 44 glasses with detectable crystals contained =10 wt% crystals and only one glass had > 10 wt% crystals. None of the glasses exceeded the allowable T 2% for spinel crystal formation at 950 ºC (i.e., no glasses had >2 wt% spinel at 950 ºC) during isothermal crystal fraction tests where 10 glasses showed no crystalline phases at or below 950 ºC. All the glasses (except one which failed being slightly lower than the target) satisfied the SO 3 constraint while 98 glasses did not meet the viscosity constraints and 4 failed the EC constraints. Six quenched (Q) and six CCC glasses failed the Defense Waste Processing Facility (DWPF) Environmental Assessment (EA) glass PCT threshold and 3 Q and 4 CCC failed the PCT design constraint. One glass exceeded the WTP delisting limits for Cr via EPA Method 1311 (i.e., Toxicity Characteristic Leaching Procedure, TCLP). It should be emphasized that some of these glasses were specifically designed to approach or even exceed certain property constraints, as filling data gaps in these regions will provide the greatest benefit for future model development by improving accuracy and reducing uncertainties. These insights will ultimately support the development of more robust glass formulation strategies, enabling higher waste loading, reducing operational risks, and expanding the processing envelope.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗