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DOE OSTI2020

Big Data and AI at DoE's Legacy Sites - 20546

More than 30 years have passed since DOE started the decommissioning of nuclear weapon complexes and the clean-up of soil and groundwater. All the sites have been collecting and archiving soil and groundwater monitoring datasets; particularly contaminant concentration time-series. These datasets provide unparalleled opportunities to understand the system behavior (including more fundamental hydrological and geochemical processes, the response to various perturbations, the long-term trend and environmental decay rate towards the regulatory limit). This understanding is critical for providing multiple lines of evidences that can support site closure. In this study, we explore the machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications to the long-term soil and groundwater management at DoE's legacy sites. ML can improve our understanding of the subsurface systems, which is critical for long-term monitoring and management of the sites, while AI can automate or support some of decision-making processes (e.g., anomaly detection, monitoring well placements). The particular focuses are to develop general algorithms to: (1) to identify distinct spatiotemporal patterns and to identify several groups that have similar temporal behaviors, using unsupervised clustering methods, (2) identify the different temporal scales of hydrological responses to climate perturbations by time-series analysis, and (3) reduce the number of monitoring wells by identifying the minimum sufficient number of wells to capture the heterogeneity of the groundwater contaminant plume and concentration distribution, using the Gaussian Process model. We demonstrate our methodology at the Savannah River Site F-Area. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Calculating a minimum overlap period for successful intercalibration of soil moisture sensors

Abstract Long‐term in situ soil moisture monitoring inevitably requires sensors to be replaced. Ensuing discontinuities in the data record can be mitigated by intercalibration, however it is unclear how long the existing sensor needs to remain alongside the newly installed before there is enough overlapping data to generate a robust intercalibration. We used 154 pairs of established and newly installed sensors within the Marena, Oklahoma, In Situ Sensor Testbed to determine if there is a minimum overlap time that should be considered when planning upcoming replacements. Hourly observations of the existing sensor were linearly calibrated to those of the newly installed sensor with coefficients determined from overlap periods incremented by 30 days until a reference period of 2 years was reached. The resulting bias, root‐mean‐square error, and correlation coefficient for sensor pairs indicate that a minimum of 6 to 9 months of overlapping data are required to generate a successful intercalibration. Extending that to a full year before decommissioning the old sensor results in a stable intercalibration with higher confidence.

Agriculture↗

DOE OSTI2023

Digital Twins for Nuclear Power Plants and Facilities

The nuclear digital twin (DT) is the virtual representation of a nuclear energy system across its lifecycle. The nuclear DT uses real-time information and other data sources to improve the process of design, licensing, construction, security, O&M, decommissioning, and waste disposal. By leveraging the knowledge base and experience from the past 40 years of LWR operation, the nuclear DT is helping to accelerate the development and deployment of advanced nuclear technology in areas of passive safety, new fuel forms, instrumentation, and reactor control. For the currently operating nuclear fleet, DTs are reducing the operational risks, increasing plant availability, increasing energy capability, and reducing electricity production costs. For advanced fission and fusion reactors, DTs are being used to design for passive safety and built-in security-by-design. Rapidly deployable small modular reactor (SMR) and microreactor designs compatible with modular construction techniques and advanced manufacturing will be the new normal, reducing the need for large capital expenditures and compressing construction schedules. In addition, lower operational and maintenance costs will be realized by reducing the complexity of operations, staffing needs, and maintenance-related activities.

Kropaczek, Dave↗

DOE OSTI2022

Removable coatings: Thermal stability and decontamination of steel surfaces from 241 Am

This study presents a comparative analysis of several strippable materials for decontamination of steel surfaces from 241 Am. The strippable coatings were chosen to have a history of application, to be commercially available, easily handled and have different composition and formulation. Carbon steel and stainless steel surfaces (coupons) were utilized as the most representative industrial materials, and the experimental series were expanded to include the rusting treatment of these surfaces as it is common for decommissioned old nuclear facilities. The experiments followed the path of pre-screening of the strippable materials (easiness of application, peeling etc.), their characterization with Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy and thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), decontamination factors (DF) or removal efficiencies for different types of steel surfaces, and enhancement of the removal efficiencies of the select strippable coatings via amendment with EDTA. As a result, DF and removal efficiencies for stainless steel (both pristine and with rusting treatment) are higher than for pristine carbon steel, and decontamination factors and removal efficiencies are higher for pristine than for rusted carbon steel across all the coatings. It is also shown that EDTA amendment can improve DF and removal efficiency for a strippable coating (i.e., CC Strip), however other factors should also be considered. Thus, the coating CC Strip exhibited easiness in handling and high DF (up to 97% when EDTA-amended), but its drying period was the longest among the rest of the materials and its thermal decomposition indicates on a risk of intense release of heat in case of a fire event.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Isotope harvesting from a NSCL beam blocker: Isolation of 173,174 lu

A decommissioned beam blocker from the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory was processed for recovery of long-lived Lu radioisotopes at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. The beam blocker was a W alloy that had built up considerable levels of activation from high energy particle irradiation over the course of 20 years. The isolation of 173,174 Lu from the bulk material required a complex chemical separation scheme due to the large mass and the wide variety of elements present. The final yield of 173,174 Lu was 76.7 ± 4.8% with an extremely high radiopurity and chemical purity. The reduction in W mass from the initial material to the final sample was 8 × 10 10 . In conclusion, the results show great promise for extracting large quantities of Lu radioisotopes from these types of W beam blockers at the Facility for Rare Isotope Beams, which will be irradiated at levels significantly higher than the beam blocker investigated here.

and nuclear chemistry↗

DOE OSTI2023

Disjunctive optimization model and algorithm for long-term capacity expansion planning of reliable power generation systems

This paper proposes a new optimization model and algorithm for long-term capacity expansion planning of reliable power generation systems. The model optimizes both investment decisions (e.g., size, location, and time to install, retire and decommission facilities) and operation decisions (e.g., on/off status, operating capacity, and expected power output). It is also able to optimize reserve systems (or backup systems), as well as the main systems, to improve power systems reliability. An impact of operational strategies of generators (i.e., participating in electricity production vs. remaining as idle units during operation) on power systems reliability is considered. Probability of equipment failures and capacity failure states are used to rigorously estimate the power systems reliability depending on design and operation strategies. The optimization model is formulated with Generalized Disjunctive Programming (GDP), which is reformulated as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model using the Hull relaxation. Two reliability-related penalties, such as downtime penalty and unmet demand penalty, are included in the objective function to maximize reliability while minimizing the total net present cost. Furthermore, a bilevel decomposition with tailored cuts is developed to reduce computational times of the multi-scale optimization model. The effectiveness of the proposed model is shown by comparing the results with the results obtained from the expansion planning models that do not explicitly consider reliability. In conclusion, we also show that the proposed bilevel decomposition is computationally efficient for solving large scale problems through 5-years and 10-years planning case studies.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sulfuric Acid Improves the Reactivity of Zeolites via Dealumination

The demand for supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), like fly ash, slag, and silica fume, is projected to rise over the next few decades. However, global decarbonization efforts, such as decommissioning of coal-fired power plants, will limit the supply of SCMs. Therefore, alternative SCM sources are a critical need for the cement and concrete industry. However, the high crystallinity of zeolites limits their pozzolanic reactivity. The goal of this work was to improve the reactivity of two common zeolites, namely clinoptilolite and SSZ-13, by treating them with sulfuric acid. The treatment enhanced zeolite reactivity via dealumination and decreased particle sizes, which led to increased reactivity with calcium hydroxide, as indicated by a 42.0% increase in reaction heat measured by isothermal calorimetry. Here, we elucidate mechanistic understanding that smaller particle sizes induced by acid treatment accelerated peak heat evolution, while free aluminates from dealumination increased heat via direct reaction with aqueous Ca 2+ .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Water intensity of photovoltaic module manufacturing at the terawatt scale

As the U.S. ramps photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing to the terawatt scale and emphasizes re-shoring manufacturing, potential regional impacts on the U.S. water supply should be considered, particularly since many PV companies rely almost exclusively on public water supplies for manufacturing. This work surveys the academic literature and PV manufacturer reports to estimate the water intensity of monocrystalline silicon, multicrystalline silicon, and cadmium telluride modules manufactured at the terawatt scale, determining that on average, cadmium telluride manufacturing is less water intensive on a per megawatt scale – this is anticipated to be true for all thin film PV manufacturing. While much lower than the water intensity of thermoelectric (e.g., coal) energy generation, significant issues and gaps with PV manufacturing data quality in academic studies are identified which cause estimates to vary by over 1000x (0.04 – 49 trillion liters/terawatt). Data issues are discussed and the need for accurate accounting of water resources (e.g., via continuous, updated information during PV manufacturing) is highlighted. The opportunity to reconfigure decommissioned thermoelectric sites to PV manufacturing is also explored. Finally, factors that influence PV manufacturing water intensity, from individual manufacturing steps to trends across the PV industry, are examined and water conservation opportunities are presented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

PV in the circular economy, a dynamic framework analyzing technology evolution and reliability impacts

Rapid, terawatt-scale deployment of photovoltaic (PV) modules is required to decarbonize the energy sector. Despite efficiency and manufacturing improvements, material demand will increase, eventually resulting in waste as deployed modules reach end of life. Circular choices for decommissioned modules could reduce waste and offset virgin materials. We present PV ICE, an open-source python framework using modern reliability data, which tracks module material flows throughout PV life cycles. We provide dynamic baselines capturing PV module and material evolution. PV ICE includes multimodal end of life, circular pathways, and manufacturing losses. We present a validation of the framework and a sensitivity analysis. Results show that manufacturing efficiencies strongly affect material demand, representing >20% of the 9 million tons of waste cumulatively expected by 2050. Reliability and circular pathways represent the best opportunities to reduce waste by 56% while maintaining installed capacity. Shorter-lived modules generate 81% more waste and reduce 2050 capacity by 6%.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

An Atom Probe Tomography Study of the Through Wall Attenuation Effect on Cu-rich Precipitate Formation in a Reactor Pressure Vessel Steel

In this study, high-Cu weld material harvested from an ex service reactor pressure vessel (RPV) steel from Unit 1 of the decommissioned Zion Nuclear Generating Station has been characterized using atom probe tomography. Samples taken from 4 different positions through the thicknesses of the pressure vessel wall from the water-side to the air-side were characterized, along with an unirradiated baseline material. In the baseline material, no precipitates were found and the Cu was observed to be fully in solid solution; however, scanning transmission electron microscopy combined with energy dispersive spectroscopy (STEM-EDS) revealed the presence of ϵ -Cu that form during processing of the material and results in the concomitant decrease of matrix Cu. Following irradiation, a high number density of nano-scale Cu-rich precipitates (CRPs) were observed, uniformly distributed throughout the matrix. The Cu content within the CRPs was found to be ~30-35 at.% regardless of location in the wall. No statistically significant variation in the compositions, mean radius, number density, or volume fraction as a function of location within the wall was observed. The measured matrix Cu level excluding CRPs contribution was found to be ~90 appm higher than the solubility limit suggesting that further nucleation and growth of the CRPs under continued operations would have occurred. These results clearly demonstrate that the neutron energy attenuation has no significant effect on the precipitation kinetics of CRPs regardless of location in the wall in high-Cu RPV steels under irradiation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Correlating microstructure and mechanical properties of harvested high dose Zorita light water reactor internals

Here, in this study, microstructural studies and micro-mechanical testing of an ex-plant material harvested from the decommissioned pressurized water reactor (PWR) is carried out. Irradiated 304 stainless steel (SS) components were harvested by the Electric Power Research Institute, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and members of the José Cabrera Nuclear Power Station (Zorita) in Spain. The bi-crystalline micro-tensile specimens, atom probe tomography (APT) tips, and transmission electron microscopy (TEM) lamellae were fabricated from the baffle plate materials irradiated to 0.05, 15 and 50 dpa to elucidate microstructural, microchemical, and local mechanical properties changes as a function of dose. TEM and APT studies reveal radiation induced Ni, Cr, and Si rich precipitates in the 15 dpa sample that become smaller and partially redissolve into the matrix of the 50 dpa sample (decreasing size and number density). Dislocation loop and cavity number density and size were quantified as a function of dose as well as swelling. Intergranular Ni and Si enrichments with concomitant Fe and Cr depletion were observed in the 15 dpa sample and were more pronounced in the 50 dpa sample. Micro-tensile testing performed in the scanning electron microscope (SEM) at room temperature and 300 °C shows that the material's local yield strength and ultimate tensile strength decreases with increased dose and elevated test temperature and provides further insights via localized strain mapping. Current and previous mechanical data was compared with calculated values using the dispersed barrier hardening model with inputs of dislocation loops, precipitates, and cavities from microstructural characterization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Avoiding thermal runaway in lithium-ion batteries using ultrasound detection of early failure mechanisms

Thermal runaway leading to catastrophic failure has slowed the adoption of lithium-ion batteries, highlighting the need for early warning systems. In this work, ultrasound is used to detect physical changes in 0.950 Ah Li-ion battery cells by inducing conditions associated with thermal runaway. Ultrasound signal features are extracted as the batteries are cycled under baseline conditions and subsequently subjected to constant current and voltage overcharges. Two conditions identifying failure are defined: a warning to detect the start of overcharge and an emergency stop (E-stop), to immediately take the battery out of service. Using changes in ultrasound signal features, consistent warning and stopping classifications are applied to all failure experiments. On average, a warning notification was issued after 15% of the overcharge time and an E-stop was triggered after 35% of total overcharge duration before failure. Further testing suggests that it is possible to avoid thermal runaway by reacting to intermediate, warning notifications prior to an immediate E-stop. In other words, not only can detection derived by ultrasound identify battery failure before a catastrophic event, but can also provide early, actionable warnings so that overcharges can be detected and corrected quickly enough so the battery does not need to be decommissioned.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Advanced storage ring lattice options based on hybrid six-bend achromat for Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource upgrade

Three storage ring lattices have been designed as options for a future upgrade of the Stanford synchrotron radiation lightsource (SSRL). The three options differ in circumference and targeted future site, with one to be built in the tunnel of the present SPEAR3 ring, one as a green field ring on the SLAC campus, and the third in the tunnel of the decommissioned PEP-II ring. The lattices are based on the newly proposed hybrid 6-bend achromat (H6BA) lattice cells, which is ideal for pushing the photon beam brightness while achieving excellent nonlinear dynamics performance. The transparent matching conditions are enforced to minimize the negative impact of the loss of periodicity due to insertion of various long straight sections. Numerical optimization is performed to further improve the nonlinear dynamics. Finally, in addition to reaching very low emittances, the lattices can accommodate traditional off-axis injection and achieve beam lifetimes similar to or exceeding that of typical third generation rings.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2022

A framework to implement human reliability analysis during early design stages of advanced reactors

Nuclear power plants require human actions throughout their lifecycle from design, construction, operation, and decommissioning. However, for advanced reactors (e.g., Generation IV), the reliance on human intervention in safety-related actions is expected to be reduced or completely replaced by automated actions. The Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) Standard for Advanced Non-LWR Nuclear Power Plants requires that the impacts of all operator actions are captured and incorporated in the risk of the modeled plant. Moreover, the Modernization of Technical Requirements for Licensing Advanced Reactors requires human reliability analysis (HRA) to be included throughout all design and PRA development stages. However, due to the lack of details during the early design stages, HRA is often postponed until the design is mature enough. Conducting HRA in later design stages, though it may be adequate in capturing pre-, at-, and post-initiators comes short of informing the design itself in the iterative design lifecycle. Hence, this paper presents a framework to include HRA during the design's early stages, pre-conceptual or conceptual. The proposed framework provides a process for the removal of operator actions that do not contribute to the risk and the identification of all key operator actions that are critical to the safety of the design. The results of this framework are then used to inform the design of those safety-related operator actions to update the design further. Then, using information from the updated design, this framework can be reapplied to investigate the impact of the design update on human reliability. The PRA model of the X-energy's pre-conceptual Xe-100 high-temperature gas-cooled pebble-bed reactor (HTGR-PB) design is used to demonstrate the approach. In the pre-conceptual Xe-100 PRA model, also called Phase 0 PRA model, human actions were considered an integral part of analyzing the plant response to different initiating events. Hence, in this paper, all possible human actions in the Xe-100 PRA model are identified, analyzed, and removed to emulate a design relying only on the available automated control systems. The preliminary results of this assessment show how safe the Xe-100 design is even without crediting any human actions. The results also list necessary sequences in which operator actions are critical to the risk profile of the design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Next-Generation Reverse Logistics Networks of Photovoltaic Recycling: Perspectives and Challenges

With the growing adoption of solar energy as a key component of the global energy transition and its new industrial policy (the Inflation Reduction Act and others), the United States is witnessing a significant increase in solar investments. This surge in installations and domestic and reshored manufacturing of solar photovoltaic (PV) panels brings with it a pressing issue: the proper management of end-of-life (EoL) PV panels. As these panels are decommissioned, either due to reaching the end of their lifespans or due to breakage across the various stages of the forward supply chain, it becomes crucial to establish efficient reverse supply chain logistics systems to address the challenges associated with their disposal, while also unlocking the value of the inherent materials that are of critical value for other forward supply chains. This perspective article examines the challenges regarding EoL PV panels and relevant reverse supply chain and logistics networks, and proposes future research directions based on the gaps observed among academic research, industry, and policy-making challenges. We identify the main bottlenecks and hurdles including, among others, the lack of supportive regulations and absence of structured, optimized recycling infrastructure. To this end, it is proposed that the key to achieving a sustainable reverse supply chain network for solar PV panels lies in relentless end-to-end supply chain cost optimization efforts supported by enabling policies. Moreover, it is proposed that designing systematic decision-making modeling frameworks is vital for examining different possibilities and scenarios for state, region or nation-wide optimization of solar PV reverse supply chain networks. Indicative to this effect, we discuss the development of a Resource-Task-Network (RTN)-based model and demonstrate its application and benefits through a case study. We wrap up with conclusions and future research directions.

circular economy↗

DOE OSTI2020

Detecting Thermally Induced Spinodal Decomposition with Picosecond Ultrasonics in Cast Austenitic Stainless Steels

Given the existential climate crisis faced by mankind and the world, the lifetime and sustainability of nuclear reactors as a carbon-free source of renewable energy depend on the susceptibility of their structural components to environmental degradation. In particular, critical components for light water reactors (LWRs) evolve over decades in service, losing ductility and toughness due to thermal and irradiation aging. Techniques to monitor their health cannot be easily applied in the field due to their destructive, expensive, or immobile nature. Thus, non-destructive evaluation (NDE) methods are sought to monitor and evaluate the health of major LWR components such as core barrels, steam generator tubes, or primary coolant pipes and are often required by policy, such as NRC policy #10-CFR-50.65. In this work we demonstrate the use of gigahertz, non-contact ultrasonics to gauge the state of cast austenitic stainless steels (CASS), used in some of the largest components in LWR primary systems. We do so by linking changes in their surface acoustic wave (SAW) characteristics using transient grating spectroscopy (TGS) to transmission electron microscopy (TEM)-verified evidence of spinodal decomposition and G-phase precipitation. In this thesis, thermal aging is shown to induce SAW peak splitting in spinodally decomposed CASS alloys, correlated strongly with lowered toughness and decreased ductility. Furthermore, statistical testing on the number of SAW peak splits observed show that the second SAW peak significantly appears more frequently and is significantly different in frequency in comparison to counts and frequencies measured in unaged specimens. The ability of this technique to non-destructively detect microstructural degradation at a distance in a predictive manner in the case of CASS motivates extending gigahertz ultrasonics to detect other LWR material degradation modes as an in-vessel inspection technique, such as reactor pressure vessel (RPV) embrittlement. This allows for the greater use of NDE techniques for confident monitoring of LWR structural material health to 80 years and beyond, saving costs by minimizing structural replacements until needed and maximizing energy production by preventing early decommission until necessary.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Earth's Energy Imbalance More Than Doubled in Recent Decades

Abstract Global warming results from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which upset the delicate balance between the incoming sunlight, and the reflected and emitted radiation from Earth. The imbalance leads to energy accumulation in the atmosphere, oceans and land, and melting of the cryosphere, resulting in increasing temperatures, rising sea levels, and more extreme weather around the globe. Despite the fundamental role of the energy imbalance in regulating the climate system, as known to humanity for more than two centuries, our capacity to observe it is rapidly deteriorating as satellites are being decommissioned.

Mauritsen, Thorsten [Department of Meteorology and↗

DOE OSTI2021

Recycling lead and transparent conductors from perovskite solar modules

Abstract Perovskite photovoltaics are gaining increasing common ground to partner with or compete with silicon photovoltaics to reduce cost of solar energy. However, a cost-effective waste management for toxic lead (Pb), which might determine the fate of this technology, has not been developed yet. Here, we report an end-of-life material management for perovskite solar modules to recycle toxic lead and valuable transparent conductors to protect the environment and create dramatic economic benefits from recycled materials. Lead is separated from decommissioned modules by weakly acidic cation exchange resin, which could be released as soluble Pb(NO 3 ) 2 followed by precipitation as PbI 2 for reuse, with a recycling efficiency of 99.2%. Thermal delamination disassembles the encapsulated modules with intact transparent conductors and cover glasses. The refabricated devices based on recycled lead iodide and recycled transparent conductors show comparable performance as devices based on fresh raw materials. Cost analysis shows this recycling technology is economically attractive.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗