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At least 181 records · Page 10

Insect diversity in the fossil record

Insects possess a surprisingly extensive fossil record. Compilation of the geochronologic ranges of insect families demonstrates that their diversity exceeds that of preserved vertebrate tetrapods through 91 percent of their evolutionary history. The great diversity of insects was achieved not by high origination rates but rather by low extinction rates comparable to the low rates of slowly evolving marine invertebrate groups. The great radiation of modern insects began 245 million years ago and was not accelerated by the expansion of angiosperms during the Cretaceous period. The basic trophic machinery of insects was in place nearly 100 million years before angiosperms appeared in the fossil record.

NASA Discipline Exobiology↗

Linking Archaeal Molecular Diversity and Lipid Biomarker Composition in a Hypersaline Microbial Mat Community

Lipid biomarkers for discrete microbial groups are a valuable tool for establishing links to ancient microbial ecosystems. Lipid biomarkers can establish organism source and function in contemporary microbial ecosystems (membrane lipids) and by analogy, potential relevance to the fossilized carbon skeletons (geolipids) extracted from ancient sedimentary rock. The Mars Exploration Rovers have provided clear evidence for an early wet Mars and the presence of hypersaline evaporitic basins. Ongoing work on an early Earth analog, the hypersaline benthic mats in Guerrero Negro, Baja California Sur, may provide clues to what may have evolved and flourished on an early wet Mars, if only for a short period. Cyanobacterial mats are a pertinent early Earth analog for consideration of evolutionary and microbial processes within the aerobic photosynthetic and adjacent anoxic layers. Fluctuations in physio-chemical parameters associated with spatial and temporal scales are expressed through vast microbial metabolic diversity. Our recent work hopes to establish the dynamic of archaeal diversity, particularly as it relates to methane production in this high sulfate environment, through the use of lipid biomarker and phylogenetic analyses. Archaeal 16s rRNA and mcrA gene assemblages, demonstrated distinct spatial separation over the 130 mm core of at least three distinct genera within the order Methanosarcinales, as well as an abundance of uncultured members of the Thermoplasmales and Crenarchaeota. Ether-bound lipid analysis identified abundant 0-alkyl and 0-isopranyl chains throughout the core, and the presence of sn-2 hydroxyarchaeol, a biomarker for methylotrophic methanogens. A unique ether isoprenoid chain, a C30:1 , possibly related to the geolipid squalane, a paleobiomarker associated with hypersaline environments, was most abundant within the oxic-anoxic transition zone.

Jahnke, Linda↗

The Diversity of Martian Volcanic features as Seen in the MOC, THEMIS, and MOM Data Sets

This one-year project (which included one-year no-cost tension) focused on the evolution of the summit areas of Martian volcanoes. It extended the studies conducted under an earlier MDAP project (Grant NAG5-9576, Principal Investigator P. Mouginis- Mark). By using data collected from the Mars Orbiter Camera (MOC), Thermal Emission Imaging System (THEMIS), and the Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) instruments, we tried to better understand the diversity of constructional volcanism on Mars, and hence further understand the eruption processes. By inspecting THEMIS and MOC data, we explored the following four questions: (1) Where might near-surface volatiles have been released at the summits of the Tharsis volcanoes? Is the trapping and subsequent remobilization of degassed volatiles [Scott and Wilson, 19991 adequate to produce eruptions responsible for extensive deposits such as the ones identified on Arsia Mons [Mouginis-Mark, 2002]? To answer this question, we investigated the diversity of eruption styles by studying the summit areas of Arsia, Pavonis and Ascraeus Montes. (2) What are the geomorphic characteristics of the valley system on Hecates Tholus, a volcano that we have previously proposed experienced explosive activity [Mouginis-Murk et al., 1982]? Our inspection of THEMIS data suggests that water release on the volcano took place over an extended period of time, suggesting that hydrothermal activity may have taken place here. (3) How similar are the collapse processes observed at Martian and terrestrial calderas? New THEMIS data provide a more complete view of the entire Olympus Mons caldera, thereby enabling the comparison with the collapse features at Masaya volcano, Nicaragua, to be investigated. (4) What can we learn about the emplacement of long lava flows in the lava plains of Eastern Tharsis? The result of this work provided a greater understanding of the temporal and spatial variations in the eruptive history of volcanoes on Mars, and the influence of the volatiles within the top few kilometers of the volcanic edifice. This relationship in turn pertains to the availability of volatiles (both juvenile magmatic volatiles and ground water contained within the near-surface rocks) and to magma supply rates at appreciable distances (tens to hundreds of kilometers) from the centers of volcanoes. Explosive volcanism on Mars, a major factor in the release of water at the surface, may have been driven not only by volatiles within the parental melt, but also by magma encountering water or ice at shallow depth within the volcano [Mouginis-Mark et al., 1982, 1988; Crown and Greeley, 1993; Robinson et al., 19931.

Mouginis-Mark, Peter J.↗

Diverse Metals and Sulfides in Polymict Ureilites EET 83309 and EET 87720

Ureilites are a group of carbon-bearing ultramafic achondrites. The majority of samples are monomict with major and trace element compositions consistent with a restitic origin after extensive loss of basaltic melts and significant loss of their metallic component during anatexis. Monomict ureilites are thought to represent largely intact samples of the ureilite parent body (UPB) mantle. Polymict ureilites, by contrast, are fragmental breccias consisting of welded lithic clasts and isolated mineral fragments thought to be regolith that assembled after major disruption fragmented large portions of the UPB mantle. In most polymict ureilites, the majority of clasts consist of material similar to monomict ureilites gardened from the UPB mantle but other materials, both endogenic and xenogenic to the UPB are also found in polymict ureilites, including clasts texturally and compositionally similar to known chondrite types as well as feldspathic melt rocks and clasts of Ca-Al-Ti-rich assemblages. In this study, we demonstrate that polymict ureilites also contain a variety of metal and sulfide compositions of diverse origins. They offer insight into the final equilibrium conditions of disrupted portions of the UPB mantle and the diversity of materials locally available for regolith formation, and provide evidence for only limited post-regolith formation thermal metamorphism.

Herrin, J. S.↗

Hilbert-Curve Fractal Antenna With Radiation- Pattern Diversity

A printed, folded, Hilbert-curve fractal microwave antenna has been designed and built to offer advantages of compactness and low mass, relative to other antennas designed for the same operating frequencies. The primary feature of the antenna is that it offers the advantage of radiation-pattern diversity without need for electrical or mechanical switching: it can radiate simultaneously in an end-fire pattern at a frequency of 2.3 GHz (which is in the S-band) and in a broadside pattern at a frequency of 16.8 GHz (which is in the Ku-band). This radiation-pattern diversity could be utilized, for example, in applications in which there were requirements for both S-band ground-to-ground communications and Ku-band ground-to-aircraft or ground-to-spacecraft communications. The lack of switching mechanisms or circuitry makes this antenna more reliable, easier, and less expensive to fabricate than it otherwise would be.

Nessel, James A.↗

Reliability of a Test Battery Designed for Quickly and Safely Assessing Diverse Indices of Neuromuscular Function

Spaceflight affects nearly every physiological system. Spaceflight-induced alterations in physiological function translate to decrements in functional performance. Purpose: To develop a test battery for quickly and safely assessing diverse indices of neuromuscular performance. I. Quickly: Battery of tests can be completed in approx.30-40 min. II. Safely: a) No eccentric muscle actions or impact forces. b) Tests present little challenge to postural stability. III. Diverse indices: a) Strength: Excellent reliability (ICC = 0.99) b) Central activation: Very good reliability (ICC = 0.87) c) Power: Excellent reliability (ICC = 0.99) d) Endurance: Total work has excellent reliability (ICC = 0.99) e) Force steadiness: Poor reliability (ICC = 0.20 - 0.60) National

Spiering, Barry A.↗

Reflectance Spectra Diversity of Silica-Rich Materials: Sensitivity to Environment and Implications for Detections on Mars

Hydrated silica-rich materials have recently been discovered on the surface of Mars by the Mars Exploration Rover (MER) Spirit, the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (CRISM), and the Mars Express Observatoire pour la Mineralogie, l'Eau, les Glaces, et l'Activite'(OMEGA) in several locations. Having been interpreted as hydrothermal deposits and aqueous alteration products, these materials have important implications for the history of water on the martian surface. Spectral detections of these materials in visible to near infrared (Vis NIR) wavelengths have been based on a H2O absorption feature in the 934-1009 nm region seen with Spirit s Pancam instrument, and on SiOH absorption features in the 2.21-2.26 micron range seen with CRISM. Our work aims to determine how the spectral reflectance properties of silica-rich materials in Vis NIR wavelengths vary as a function of environmental conditions and formation. Here we present laboratory reflectance spectra of a diverse suite of silica-rich materials (chert, opal, quartz, natural sinters and synthetic silica) under a range of grain sizes and temperature, pressure, and humidity conditions. We find that the H2O content and form of H2O/OH present in silica-rich materials can have significant effects on their Vis NIR spectra. Our main findings are that the position of the approx.1.4 microns OH feature and the symmetry of the approx.1.9 microns feature can be used to discern between various forms of silica-rich materials, and that the ratio of the approx.2.2 microns (SiOH) and approx.1.9 microns (H2O) band depths can aid in distinguishing between silica phases (opal-A vs. opal-CT) and formation conditions (low vs. high temperature). In a case study of hydrated silica outcrops in Valles Marineris, we show that careful application of a modified version of these spectral parameters to orbital near-infrared spectra (e.g., from CRISM and OMEGA) can aid in characterizing the compositional diversity of silica-bearing deposits on Mars. We also discuss how these results can aid in the interpretation of silica detections on Mars made by the MER Panoramic Camera (Pancam) and Mars Science Laboratory (MSL) Mast-mounted Camera (Mastcam) instruments.

Rice, M. S.↗

A Polarization-Diversity Simultaneous-Lobing Angle-Tracking Receiver

This report describes a simultaneous-lobing angle-tracking receiver operating in the 225-260 milli-cycle-per-second telemetry band and employing polarization diversity. Its operation is considered primarily in the context of the Mercury range and tracking of the Mercury capsule. Several methods of providing diversity are briefly considered, and a number of ways of implementing the phase shifts required at one polarization for coherent signal addition are discussed. A prototype receiver is briefly described although circuitry which may be somewhat novel is covered in greater detail. No attempt has been made to include all of the sophistication one might expect in a receiver of this type; circuits have been simplified in some areas where, for example, a manual control can replace an automatic function and reduce complexity. Some conclusions are drawn as to how this receiver might perform in the Mercury environment.

Renhult, W. B.↗

The Diversity of Refractory Organic Material in Comets

Organic matter exists in comets (most notably in 81P/Wild 2 [Stardust], 67P/Churyomov- Gerasimenko (67P/C-G) [Rosetta], chondritic porous IDPS, and UCAMMs) and in primitive carbonaceous chondrites that likely retain some chemistry that reflects an origin in the prenatal cold molecular cloud (Alexander+2017). Heavy isotopic enrichments, 15N/14N and possibly D/H, signify preserved molecular cloud organics. In the cold outer disk, if grains are lofted above the disk mid-plane then organics likely experience significant UV processing (Ciesla+2012). In remote sensing of comet comae, organics in the dust are considered refractory or semirefractory. Semi-refractory organics have limited comae lifetimes and produce distributed sources of molecules (H2CO and CO). Rosetta's close passes of 67P/C-G's nucleus (10-15 km) reveals a distributed source of glycine, methyl amine and ethylamine (Altwegg+2016). Cometary samples and primitive meteorites have two types of organic matter: (1) acid-insoluble organic matter (IOM), which is a macromolecular polymer with a mixture of aromatic and aliphatic moieties, and (2) labile, soluble organics, which includes the amino acids, such as glycine (Stardust, Elsila+2009). Meteoritic IOM is robust, withstanding experimental temperatures of 1200 K (Dobrica+2011, Cody+2008). Nanoglobules are a type of IOM; they have a distinct physical structure, but often share the same chemistry as the other IOM from the same meteorite. Moderate-sized PAHs (20 C-atoms) are detected in Stardust samples (Clemett+2010). Refractory organic IOM is ubiquitous yet has a great diversity of abundances between cometary samples. IOM is in primitive chondrites, 67P/C-G (Rosetta), 81P/Wild 2 (Stardust), 1P/Halley, 26P/Grigg-Skjellerup, UCAMMs, anhydrous IDPs, and in chondritic porous IDPs (CP IDPs) and larger cluster IDPs (e.g., Fray+2016, Fomenkova+94, Busemann+ 09, Dobrica+2011, Dobrica+2012). 81P's refractory organic matter is of two types (De Gregorio+2011): nanoglobules of highly aromatic refractory organic matter and polyaromatic carbonyl-containing organic matter, which is similar to IOM in primitive meteorites and IDPs. Fray+2017 estimate that 50% of carbon in 67P/C-G is in IOM. 67P/C-G's organics appear to lack the soluble organic matter, aliphatic carbon, amino acids, and PAHs (Fray+2016). Other notable aspects of the diversity in IOM in cometary samples are the ranges of atomic ratios of N/C, O/C, and H/C, and the range of isotopic enrichments of 15N/14N and D/H. Aqueous and thermal processing on asteroids changes the balance of soluble to insoluble organics, and may be important for diversifying the range of OM delivered to Earth.

Wooden, Diane↗

Using VSWIR Microimaging Spectroscopy to Explore the Mineralogical Diversity of HED Meteorites

We use VSWIR microimaging spectroscopy to survey the spectral diversity of HED meteorites at 80-µm/pixel spatial scale. Our goal in this work is both to explore the emerging capabilities of microimaging VSWIR spectroscopy, and to contribute to understanding the petrologic diversity of the HED suite and the evolution of Vesta. Using a combination of manual and automated hyperspectral classification techniques, we identify four major classes of materials based on VSWIR absorptions that include pyroxene, olivine, Fe-bearing feldspars, and glass-bearing/featureless materials. Results show microimaging spectroscopy is an effective method for rapidly and non-destructively characterizing small compositional variations of meteorite samples and for locating rare phases for possible follow-up investigation. Future work will include incorporating SEM/EDS results to quantify sources of spectral variability and placing observations within a broader geologic framework of the differentiation and evolution of Vesta.

Fraeman, Abigail A↗

New Perspectives of Ancient Mars: Mineral Diversity and Crystal Chemistry at Gale Crater, Mars from the CheMin X-Ray Diffractometer

The Mars Science Laboratory Curiosity rover arrived at Mars in August 2012 with a primary goal of characterizing the habitability of ancient and modern environments. Curiosity landed in Gale crater to study a sequence of ~3.5 Ga old sedimentary rocks that, based on orbital visible/near-infrared reflectance spectra, contain secondary minerals that suggest deposition and/or alteration in liquid water. The sedimentary sequence that comprises the lower slopes of Mount Sharp within Gale crater may preserve a dramatic shift on early Mars from a relatively warm and wet climate to a cold and dry climate based on a transition from smectite-bearing strata to sulfate-bearing strata. The rover is equipped with cameras and geochemical and mineralogical instruments to examine the sedimentology and identify compositional changes within the stratigraphy. These observations provide information about variations in depositional and diagenetic environments over time. The Chemistry and Mineralogy (CheMin) instrument is one of two internal laboratories on Curiosity and includes a transmission X-ray diffractometer (XRD) and X-ray fluorescence (XRF) spectrometer with a Co-K source. CheMin measures loose sediment samples scooped from the surface and drilled rock powders. The XRD provides quantitative mineralogy of scooped and drilled samples to a detection limit of ~1 wt.%. Curiosity has traversed >20 km since landing and has primarily been exploring the site of a predominantly ancient lake environment fed by groundwater and streams emanating from the crater rim. Results from CheMin demonstrate an incredible diversity in the mineralogy of fluvio-lacustrine rocks that signify variations in source rock composition, sediment transport mechanisms, and depositional and diagenetic fluid chemistry. Abundant trioctahedral smectite and magnetite at the base of the section may have formed from low-salinity pore waters with a circumneutral pH within lake sediments. A transition to dioctahedral smectite, hematite, and Ca-sulfate going up section suggests a change to more saline and oxidative aqueous conditions within the lake waters themselves and/or within diagenetic fluids. The primary minerals detected in fluvio-lacustrine samples by CheMin also suggest diversity in the igneous source regions for the sediments, where abundant pyroxene and plagioclase in most samples suggest a basaltic protolith, but sanidine and pyroxene in one sample may have been sourced from a potassic trachyte, and tridymite and sanidine in another sample may have been transported from a rhyolitic source. Crystal chemistry of major phases in each sample have been calculated from refined unit-cell parameters, providing further constraints on aqueous alteration processes and igneous protoliths for the sediments. Perhaps one of the biggest mysteries revealed by the CheMin instrument is the high abundance of X-ray amorphous materials (15 to 73 wt.%) in all samples measured to date. X-ray amorphous materials were detected by CheMin based on the observation of broad humps in XRD patterns. How these materials formed, their composition, and why they persist near the martian surface remain a topic of debate. The sedimentology and composition of the rocks analyzed by Curiosity demonstrate that habitable environments persisted intermittently on the surface or in the subsurface of Gale crater for perhaps more than a billion years.

Rampe, E. B.↗

Astro2020 Must Issue Actionable Recommendations Regarding Diversity, Inclusion, and Harassment

The 2010 Decadal survey failed to issue any recommendations on diversity and inclusion.Astro2020 cannot make the same mistake. Findings can be ignored by funding agencies;recommendations cannot. In the past decade, multiple groups have assembled detailed actionplans to fix a broken climate within our profession. Astro2020 should play a key role, by synthesizing this work to produce actionable recommendations to support diversity andinclusion and stop harassment within our profession.

Rigby, Jane↗

The Pheno-Evo Model: Evolution of Microbial Phenotypic Diversity in 2D Space

Biologists appreciate microbes for their simplicity and predictability: we assume that a population of genetically identical cells in a uniform environment will all behave the same way. While this assumption is often useful, it is also often wrong. Not only might microbes in a clonal population act differently from one another, the differences may be categorical (growing v. non-growing; toxin-sensitive v. tolerant), and this diversity might be an evolved trait conferring increased fitness on the population. How does such phenotypic heterogeneity evolve? And how does a population find the optimal distribution of phenotypes for a given environment? Efforts at modeling microbial phenotypic heterogeneity often focus on populations with two discrete phenotypic types; phenotypes in continuous distributions remain poorly explored. To address this gap and to explore the role of spatial relationships, we use agent-based modeling to simulate a phenotypically diverse population of microbial cells evolving in the presence of periodic toxic stress. Cells on patches in a 2D grid may degrade toxin, suffer damage from toxin, switch phenotype, and reproduce. An individual's phenotype its toxin degradation rate-- for which there is a tradeoff with reproduction-- and the genotype encodes the distribution of phenotypic values in the population. The rate of toxin diffusion determines how individuals influence their neighbors' environments. We examine the effects of toxin concentration, diffusion rate, and environmental predictability on the survival success of populations with different phenotype distributions, and populations' evolutionary trajectories when phenotype distribution is allowed to evolve. We conduct all simulations on the platform NetLogo, which provides a friendly interface allowing users of any experience level to tweak parameters and run their own simulations. We have also created custom tools in R for analyzing and visualizing the results of multiple runs.

microbial evolution↗

Characterizing the Architectures, Diversity and Habitability of Nearby Planetary Systems: The HabEx Observatory

Ongoing research, upcoming developments in ground-based facilities, and the launch of new space missions (Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite [TESS], James Webb Space Telescope [JWST], and Wide Field Infrared Survey Telescope [WFIRST]) will continue to advance knowledge of the variety and nature of exoplanetary system components over the next decade and a half. However, many key questions will remain: What is the architecture and full diversity of mature planetary systems? What is the linkage between individual planet properties, planetary system architectures and circumstellar dust structures? How diverse are planetary atmospheres over the full range of planet sizes and stellar insulation levels? Are there Earth-sized planets orbiting in the habitable zone (HZ) of nearby sunlike stars, with water vapor in their atmospheres, evidence for surface oceans and signs of life? Are these signs of life really of biotic origin? Answering all of these questions requires direct imaging and spectroscopy from space in reflected light and/or thermal emission. We exclusively discuss reflected light (near ultraviolet [UV] to near infrared [IR]) investigations, identifying some of the observational, technological, and theoretical challenges that must be met to accomplish such a feat. This paper concentrates on one possible implementation strategy currently under study: the HabEx (Habitable Exoplanet) Observatory mission concept.

Mennesson, B.↗

Exploring Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 diversity for Flood inundation mapping using deep learning

Identification of flood water extent from satellite images has historically relied on either synthetic aperture radar (SAR) or multi-spectral (MS) imagery. MS sensors are limited to cloud free conditions, whereas SAR imagery is plagued by noise-like speckle. Prior studies that use combinations of MS and SAR data to overcome individual limitations of these sensors have not fully examined sensitivity of flood mapping performance to different combinations of SAR and MS derived spectral indices or band transformations in color space. This study explores the use of diverse bands of Sentinel 2 (S2) through well-established water indices and Sentinel 1 (S1) derived SAR imagery along with their combinations to assess their capability for generating accurate flood inundation maps. The robustness in performance of S-1 and S-2 band combinations was evaluated using 446 hand labeled flood inundation images spanning across 11 flood events from Sen1Floods11 dataset which are highly diverse in terms of land cover as well as location. A modified K-fold cross validation approach is used to evaluate the performance of 32 combinations of S1 and S2 bands using a fully connected deep convolutional neural network known as U-Net. Our results indicated that usage of elevation information has improved the capability of S1 imagery to produce more accurate flood inundation maps. Compared to a median F1 score of 0.62 when using only S1 bands, the combined use of S1 and elevation information led to an improved median F1 score of 0.73. Water extraction indices based on S2 bands have a statistically significant superior performance in comparison to S1. Among all the band combinations, HSV (Hue, Saturation, Value) transformation of S2 bands provides a median F1 score of 0.9, outperforming the commonly used water spectral indices owing to HSV’s transformation’s superior contrast distinguishing abilities. Additionally, U-Net algorithm was able to learn the relationship between raw S2 based water extraction indices and their corresponding raw S2 bands, but not of HSV owing to relatively complex computation involved in the latter. Results of the paper establishes important benchmarks for the extension of S1 and S2 data-based flood inundation mapping efforts over large spatial extents.

Goutam Konapala↗

Identifying the Wide Diversity of Extraterrestrial Purine and Pyrimidine Nucleobases in Carbonaceous Meteorites

The lack of pyrimidine diversity in meteorites remains a mystery since prebiotic chemical models and laboratory experiments have predicted that these compounds can also be produced from chemical precursors found in meteorites. Here we report the detection of nucleobases in three carbonaceous meteorites using state-of-the-art analytical techniques optimized for small-scale quantification of nucleobases down to the range of parts per trillion (ppt). In addition to previously detected purine nucleobases in meteorites such as guanine and adenine, we identify various pyrimidine nucleobases such as cytosine, uracil, and thymine, and their structural isomers such as isocytosine, imidazole-4-carboxylic acid, and 6-methyluracil, respectively. Given the similarity in the molecular distribution of pyrimidines in meteorites and those in photon-processed interstellar ice analogues, some of these derivatives could have been generated by photochemical reactions prevailing in the interstellar medium and later incorporated into asteroids during solar system formation. This study demonstrates that a diversity of meteoritic nucleobases could serve as building blocks of DNA and RNA on the early Earth.

Yasuhiro Oba↗

Vegetation and vantage point influence visibility across diverse ecosystems: Implications for animal ecology

Visual information can influence animal behavior and habitat use in diverse ways. Visibility is the property that relates 3D habitat structure to accessibility of visual information. Despite the importance of visibility in animal ecology, this property remains largely unstudied. Our objective was to assess how habitat structure from diverse environments and animal position within that structure can influence visibility. We gathered terrestrial lidar data (1 cm at 10 m) in four ecosystems (forest, shrub-steppe, prairie, and desert) to characterize viewsheds (i.e., estimates of visibility based on spatially explicit sightlines) from multiple vantage points. Both ecosystem-specific structure and animal position influenced potential viewsheds. Generally, as height of the vantage point above the ground increased, viewshed extent also increased, but the relationships were not linear. In low-structure ecosystems (prairie, shrub-steppe, and desert), variability in viewsheds decreased as vantage points increased to heights above the vegetation canopy. In the forest, however, variation in viewsheds was highest at intermediate heights, and markedly lower at the lowest and highest vantage points. These patterns are likely linked to the amount, heterogeneity, and distribution of vegetation structure occluding sightlines. Our work is the first to apply a new method that can be used to estimate viewshed properties relevant to animals (i.e., viewshed extent and variability). We demonstrate that these properties differ across terrestrial landscapes in complex ways that likely influence many facets of animal ecology and behavior.

Rachel Stein↗

Bayesian Estimation of Earth’s Undiscovered Mineralogical Diversity Using Noninformative Priors

Recently, statistical distributions have been explored to provide estimates of the mineralogical diversity of Earth, and Earth-like planets. In this paper, a Bayesian approach is introduced to estimate Earth’s undiscovered mineralogical diversity. Samples are generated from a posterior distribution of the model parameters using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations such that estimates and inference are directly obtained. It was previously shown that the mineral species frequency distribution conforms to a generalized inverse Gauss–Poisson (GIGP) large number of rare events model. Even though the model fit was good, the population size estimate obtained by using this model was found to be unreasonably low by mineralogists. In this paper, several zero-truncated, mixed Poisson distributions are fitted and compared, where the Poisson-lognormal distribution is found to provide the best fit. Subsequently, the population size estimates obtained by Bayesian methods are compared to the empirical Bayes estimates. Species accumulation curves are constructed and employed to estimate the population size as a function of sampling size. Finally, the relative abundances, and hence the occurrence probabilities of species in a random sample, are calculated numerically for all mineral species in Earth’s crust using the Poisson-lognormal distribution. These calculations are connected and compared to the calculations obtained in a previous paper using the GIGP model for which mineralogical criteria of an Earth-like planet were given.

Bayesian statistics↗