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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Final Report: Performance-structure characterization to improve REBCO Fusion conductor production at SuperPower

Several companies have used ReBCO tapes to make magnets operating at 20 K, at magnetic fields up to 20T suitable for plasma confining for controlled fusion applications. The transport properties of ReBCO conductors should be optimized for such conditions. NHMFL is one of the few laboratories where such tests can be accomplished. Recently, SuperPower Inc. came up with a new product, REBCO MOCVD HM tape, optimized for plasma confining applications. These HM tapes are designed to have increased critical currents at intermediate temperatures of 4.2K

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Ammonium-coordinated exchanger (ACE) functionalized silica sorbents for recovering/removing aqueous anionic contaminants

There are limited studies of functionalized silica anion exchange sorbents used for critical/heavy metal recovery/removal relative to polymeric and other inorganic materials. This work features ammonium-coordinated exchanger (ACE) anion exchange particle sorbents prepared by either acid-washing epoxy-crosslinked polyethylenimine (PEI) hydrogen bonded within/to a silica particle sorbent (two-step method) or reacting a di-chlorinated crosslinker, α,α-dichloro-p-xylene (DPX), with PEI within silica (single-step method). Energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS) and infrared spectroscopy confirmed the presence of -NH 2 + ···Cl - and -NH 3 + ···Cl - groups, which removed oxyanionic species –arsenate, selenate, chromate, sulfate, phosphate, and nitrate– plus bromide from ideal solutions, authentic acid mine drainage (AMD), and authentic flue gas desulfurization (FGD) wastewater. Affinity of the anions for ACE varied across single- and mixed-element solutions. However, affinity for CrO 4 2- was among the highest in both cases. Total anion uptake by the optimized ACE, PEI-E3-HCl_1.1, reached 1.2 mmol anion/g-sorb. (0.56 mmol CrO 4 2- /g), or ∼2.3 mmol negative charge/g-sorb. This was close to the 0.52 mmol CrO 4 2- /g of a commercial anion exchange resin. Near-consistent removal of 20–80 % of each anion from FGD during an eight-cycle adsorption-desorption (1 M NaCl) test predicted good ACE viability for testing under practical conditions at larger scale.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Optimizing Alabama’s CO 2 Storage in Shelby County (Project OASIS): Task 6.0 Deliverable – CarbonSAFE Phase III Readiness

The OASIS CarbonSAFE Phase II Project OASIS (Optimizing Alabama’s CO 2 Storage in Shelby County) is a geologic and reservoir characterization study designed to evaluate deep saline formations for potential long-term carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) storage in central Alabama near the National Carbon Capture Center (NCCC) and Alabama Power’s Plant Gaston. The project centers on understanding the potential of the Cambro-Ordovician Knox Group and underlying strata such as the Conasauga and Rome Formations for geologic storage of CO 2 . These formations were investigated as part of SECARB-USA (DE-FE0031830) and Project OASIS through the drilling of two stratigraphic test wells to obtain electronic well logs, core, and sidewall core plugs. These data provide direct measurements of porosity, permeability, and lithologic variability critical for reservoir characterization. Complementing the well program, a limited 2D seismic survey was conducted to help select the site for Westover #2 as part of SECARB-USA (DE-FE0031830), and a more regional Seismic Exchange (SEI) seismic survey was licensed and interpreted to define structural and stratigraphic frameworks in a new Static Earth Model (SEM), map reservoir continuity, and to identify potential sealing intervals. Integrated with geologic and reservoir modeling, these datasets form the basis for evaluating storage capacity, injectivity, and containment. While this document endeavors to provide readers with a high-level overview of Project OASIS activities and its suitability for subsequent CarbonSAFE Phases, such as a Phase III effort. Other project deliverables and milestones will provide more details on individual subjects.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Retrieving Top-k Hyperedge Triplets: Models and Applications

Complex systems frequently exhibit multi-way, rather than pairwise, interactions. These group interactions can- not be faithfully modeled as collections of pairwise interactions using graphs and instead require hypergraphs. However, methods that analyze hypergraphs directly, rather than via lossy graph reductions, remain limited. Hypergraph motifs hold promise in this regard, as motif patterns serve as building blocks for larger group interactions which are inexpressible by graphs. Recent work has focused on categorizing and counting hypergraph motifs based on the existence of nodes in hyperedge intersection regions. Here, we argue that the relative sizes of hyperedge inter- sections within motifs contain varied and valuable information. We propose a suite of efficient algorithms for finding top-k triplets of hyperedges based on optimizing the sizes of these intersection patterns. This formulation uncovers interesting local patterns of interaction, finding hyperedge triplets that either (1) are the least similar with each other, (2) have the highest pairwise but not groupwise correlation, or (3) are the most similar with each other. We formalize this as a combinatorial optimization problem and design efficient algorithms based on filtering hyperedges. Our comprehensive experimental evaluation shows that the resulting hyperedge triplets yield insightful information on real-world hypergraphs. Our approach is also orders of magnitude faster than a naive baseline implementation.

hypergraphs, motifs, Combinatorial Algorithms↗
DOE OSTI2025

Esterification of 3-quinuclidinol, a marker for the incapacitant BZ, for analysis by EI-GC-MS in OPCW test matrices

The analysis by EI-GC-MS of 3-quinuclidinol (3Q), a marker for the riot control and incapacitating agent quinuclinidyl benzilate (BZ), using several, new acylation strategies is described. After evaluating and optimizing conditions for the acylations, these were tested on their ability to successfully derivatize 3Q in three different matrices featured in the 44th Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) proficiency test (PT). As 3Q is a highly polar compound, the work here describes acylation strategies that generate 3Q analogs with superior gas chromatographic profiles relative to the underivatized material. The acyl groups studied in this work included acetyl, benzoyl, pentafluorobenzoyl and the bis(3,5-trifluoromethyl)benzoyl. The acylated 3Q products provide sharp, detectable peaks with significantly different retention times from that of the unmodified 3Q. Thus, the retention times for acetyl-, benzoyl-, pentafluorobenzoyl- and 3,5-bis(trifluoromethyl)benzoyl-3Q were determined to be 15.9, 24.9, 22.8 and 22.1 min respectively, in stark contrast to the unmodified 3Q which provides a sharp peak with a retention time centered at ~ 13.5 min only at high concentrations (> 10 µg/mL or µg/g) while a broad peak (RT ~ 15–15.5 min) at low concentrations (< 5 µg/mL or µg/g). The developed protocol was used to derivatize 3Q in three separate matrices. The first two matrices were liquid samples featured during the 44th OPCW PT at two separate concentrations in each (5 and 50 µg/mL). The last matrix was a soil sample featured in the same 44th OPCW PT wherein the 3Q had been spiked at a 12 µg/g concentration. The approach involves the extraction of 3Q from all matrices followed by its acylation resulting in a second reportable analytical method for an OPCW PT. The presented derivatization strategies should find wide applicability particularly in laboratories involved with the analysis of this chemical weapon agent degradation product and those participating in the yearly OPCW PTs.

3-quinuclidinol↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of Carbon Support Heat Treatment on the Performance of Ion-Pair High-Temperature PEM Fuel Cells

Heat treatment can significantly alter the physical and chemical properties of carbon supports, thereby influencing the performance of proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cells. This study explores how varying carbon heat treatment temperatures—from 1,000 °C to 2,200 °C—affect the structure and performance of platinum-based catalysts in high-temperature PEM fuel cells. Increasing the heat treatment temperature led to a notable decrease in surface area, along with increases in carbon grain size and hydrophobicity. Although the catalyst supported on carbon treated at 1,000 °C exhibited the highest catalyst activity, the MEA using carbon treated at 1,500 °C delivered the best overall fuel cell performance. This is attributed to an optimized balance between hydrophobicity and accessible surface area, which enhances water management and catalyst utilization. These findings underscore the importance of carbon support engineering in improving the efficiency of ion-pair high-temperature PEM fuel cells.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Novel CHI3L1 ‐Associated Angiogenic Phenotypes Define Glioma Microenvironments: Insights From Multi‐Omics Integration

ABSTRACT The CHI3L1 signaling pathway significantly influences glioma angiogenesis, but its role in the tumor microenvironment (TME) remains elusive. We propose a novelCHI3L1‐associated vascular phenotype classification for glioma through integrative analyses of multiple datasets with bulk and single‐cell transcriptome, genomics, digital pathology, and clinical data. We investigated the biological characteristics, genomic alterations, therapeutic vulnerabilities, and immune profiles within these phenotypes through a comprehensive multi‐omics approach. We constructed the vascular‐related risk (VR) score based onCHI3L1‐associated vascular signatures (CAVS) identified by machine learning algorithms. Utilizing unsupervised consensus clustering, gliomas were stratified into three distinct vascular phenotypes: Cluster A, marked by high vascularization and stromal activation with a relatively low levels of tumor‐infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs); Cluster B, characterized by moderate vascularization and stromal activity, coupled with a high density of TILs; and Cluster C, defined by low vascularization and sparse immune cell infiltration. We observed that the CAVS effectively indicated glioma‐associated angiogenesis and immune suppression by single‐cell RNA‐seq analysis. Moreover, the high‐VR‐score group exhibited enhanced angiogenic activity, reduced immune response, resistance to immunotherapy, and poorer clinical outcomes. The VR score independently predicted glioma prognosis and, combined with a nomogram, provided a robust clinical decision‐making tool. Potential drug prediction based on transcription factors for high‐risk patients was also performed. Our study reveals thatCHI3L1‐associated vascular phenotypes shape distinct immune landscapes in gliomas, offering insights for optimizing therapeutic strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Oncology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Two-level overlapping additive Schwarz preconditioner for training scientific machine learning applications

In this work we introduce a novel two-level overlapping additive Schwarz preconditioner for accelerating the training of scientific machine learning applications. The design of the proposed preconditioner is motivated by the nonlinear two-level overlapping additive Schwarz preconditioner. The neural network parameters are decomposed into groups (subdomains) with overlapping regions. In addition, the network’s feed-forward structure is indirectly imposed through a novel subdomain-wise synchronization strategy and a coarse-level training step. Through a series of numerical experiments, which consider physicsinformed neural networks and operator learning approaches, we demonstrate that the proposed two-level preconditioner significantly speeds up the convergence of the standard (LBFGS) optimizer while also yielding more accurate machine learning models. Moreover, the devised preconditioner is designed to take advantage of model-parallel computations, which can further reduce the training time.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Nanoconfinement of Carbon Dioxide within Interfacial Aqueous/Ionic Liquid Systems

Nanoporous, gas-selective membranes have shown encouraging results for the removal of CO 2 from flue gas, yet the optimal design for such membranes is often unknown. Therefore, we used molecular dynamics simulations to elucidate the behavior of CO 2 within aqueous and ionic liquid (IL) systems ([EMIM][TFSI] and [OMIM][TFSI]), both confined individually and as an interfacial aqueous/IL system. We found that within aqueous systems the mobility of CO 2 is reduced due to interactions between the CO 2 oxygens and hydroxyl groups on the pore surface. Within the IL systems, we found that confinement has a greater effect on the [EMIM][TFSI] system as opposed to the [OMIM][TFSI] system. Paradoxically, the larger and more asymmetrical [OMIM]+ molecule undergoes less efficient packing, resulting in fewer confinement effects. Finally, free energy surfaces of the nanoconfined aqueous/IL interface demonstrate that CO 2 will transfer spontaneously from the aqueous to the IL phase.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Fast Catalysis at Low Overpotential: Designing Efficient Dicationic Re(bpy 2+ )(CO) 3 I Electrocatalysts for CO 2 Reduction

Here we report a series of isomeric, dicationic Re(bpy 2+ )(CO) 3 I com-plexes with bpy (2,2'-bipyridine) modified by two phenyl-CH 2 -(NMe 3 )+ pendants with cations located at variable distances from the active site for electrocatalytic CO 2 reduction in CH 3 CN/2.8 M H 2 O. The position of the cationic groups dramatically increases the rate of catalysis by 800-fold, from 1.2 to 950 s -1 , with a minor increase in overpotential. Acceleration is due to stabilization of the initial CO 2 adduct and lowering of ΔG ‡ for C-OH bond cleavage by Coulombic stabilization of anionic charges. Performance may be enhanced by accumulation in the electrochemical double layer. Transition state stabilization in the optimized isomer unlocks the low overpotential "protonation-first" pathway, highlighting the sizable effects of subtle structural optimization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Protonation Dynamics of Confined Ethanol–Water Mixtures in H-ZSM-5 from Machine Learning-Driven Metadynamics

Zeolites are indispensable heterogeneous catalysts in industrial chemical processes, valued for their strong Brønsted acidity, well-defined microporous frameworks, and tunable pore structures. Their catalytic activity arises primarily from Brønsted acid sites (BAS), typically present as bridging hydroxyl groups (Si–OH–Al). Under aqueous reaction conditions, these protons interact dynamically with water and alcohol molecules, leading to complex solvation and protonation behavior within confined pores. In this study, we investigate the protonation equilibrium occurring between ethanol and water at the BAS of acidic zeolites under varying hydration levels, i.e., C2H5OH–(H2O)n, n=1–4. Local structure was analyzed through an adaptive-learning global optimization algorithm, while enhanced sampling molecular dynamics simulations with Well-Tempered Metadynamics (WMetaD) and machine learning interatomic potentials (MLPs) provide free-energy surfaces (FES) at variable hydration levels. The results reveal a strong dependence of proton localization on the degree of hydration. At low hydration (1 water molecule), the proton resides predominantly on ethanol; with 2 water molecules, it shifts toward water, and at higher hydration (3 or more water molecules), it becomes extensively delocalized over the water cluster. These findings underscore the critical role of solvation in modulating acid site behavior and suggest that a minimum of three water molecules is necessary to fully stabilize the proton on water within the zeolite framework. This solvation threshold has significant implications for catalytic processes, particularly in biomass conversion reactions where alcohol protonation is a key step in dehydration mechanisms.

machine learning↗
DOE OSTI2024

Molecular insights into the in situ early-stage assembly of metal–organic frameworks on cellulose nanofibrils

The integration of metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) into renewable matrices, including those derived from cellulose, to create cellulose/MOF hybrids has attracted significant interest due to the synergistic combination of cellulosic biopolymer properties and MOFs' multifunctional features. The interfacial interactions between cellulose and MOF not only ensure stable bonding, but ultimately also determine the bulk physical properties of the macroscopic composites. However, the mechanistic understanding of the in situ assembly between the two materials remains unclear. In this study, we employ a combination study of synthesis, experimental characterization, and molecular dynamics simulations to explore the early-stage assembly of a cellulose/MOF hybrid. Our results revealed that the growth of MOF clusters on the 2,2,6,6-tetramethyl-1-piperidinyloxy oxidized cellulose nanofibrils (TOCNF) follows an inhomogeneous sequential transformation pathway. The carboxylates of TOCNF form coordination-like bonds with the metal ions, while the hydroxyl groups of TOCNF form hydrogen bonds with MOF ligands. These interactions provide the initial nucleation sites that mediate the growth of MOF clusters and also guide the assembly of larger MOF clusters onto the TOCNF substrate. In conclusion, the fundamental insights into the in situ assembly of MOF nanoparticles on cellulosic substrates are essential for the rational design of high-performance materials with tailored morphology and optimized properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Genomic insights into local adaptation and migration success in reintroduced Coho Salmon of the Wenatchee River basin

ABSTRACT Objective Reintroduction of salmonids into regions where they have been extirpated is a common conservation strategy that is often implemented through natural recolonization, translocation of natural populations, or hatchery-based programs. Locally adapting to specific environmental conditions is critical for long-term population viability, particularly for species like Coho Salmon Oncorhynchus kisutch, which face diverse selective pressures during their migration. This study focused on the mid-Columbia River Coho Salmon reintroduction program managed by Yakama Nation Fisheries, which has successfully reintroduced Coho Salmon into the Wenatchee and Methow River basins, Washington. Notably, these populations have adapted to the longer migration route than those in the founding stock, with selection favoring individuals with an earlier arrival time and that can navigate a 15-km, high-gradient canyon to reach optimal spawning grounds. The objectives of this study were to investigate whether specific genomic regions are under selection for traits associated with return location and timing in Coho Salmon. Methods Low-coverage whole-genome resequencing data were used to screen for genomic regions associated with the phenotypes of interest. Results A weak polygenic signal in female Coho Salmon was found to be associated with return group, with a subset of candidate adaptive regions occurring across eight chromosomes. Conclusions These findings provide insights into the genomic mechanisms underlying local adaptation in reintroduced salmon populations and inform broodstock selection strategies aimed at promoting natural production and long-term population sustainability.

Horn, Rebekah L.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Impact of Selenium and Vitamin E Deficiency on Zika Virus Pathogenesis and Immune Response in Mice

Micronutrient status is recognized to influence host susceptibility to viral infections, yet its impact on Zika virus (ZIKV) pathogenesis remains incompletely understood. We investigated the effects of dietary selenium and combined selenium plus vitamin E deficiency on ZIKV infection outcomes in a type I interferon α/β receptor knockout (Ifnar1 −/− ) murine model. Mice maintained on deficient diets exhibited significantly lower neutralizing antibody titers and reduced levels of key antiviral cytokines (IFN-γ, TNF-α, IFN-α, IFN-β, IL-12p70, CCL5) compared to controls. Correspondingly, higher viral RNA loads were detected in the brains of double-deficient mice, which also experienced greater weight loss and increased mortality. Deep sequencing revealed no major differences in overall viral genome diversity across diet groups; however, specific mutations, including V330L and D67E in the E gene, and V360I in the NS3 gene, were enriched or detected in nutritionally deficient animals. These findings suggest that antioxidant micronutrient deficiency impairs both humoral and cellular immune responses to ZIKV, potentially facilitating enhanced neuroinvasion. While the functional consequences of the identified mutations warrant further investigation, our results underscore the importance of adequate micronutrient intake for optimal antiviral defense. Further studies are needed to clarify the epidemiological significance of these observations.

Biological and medical sciences↗
DOE OSTI2024

Ultrapotent influenza hemagglutinin fusion inhibitors developed through SuFEx-enabled high-throughput medicinal chemistry

Seasonal and pandemic-associated influenza strains cause highly contagious viral respiratory infections that can lead to severe illness and excess mortality. Here, we report on the optimization of our small-molecule inhibitor F0045(S) targeting the influenza hemagglutinin (HA) stem with our Sulfur-Fluoride Exchange (SuFEx) click chemistry–based high-throughput medicinal chemistry (HTMC) strategy. A combination of SuFEx- and amide-based lead molecule diversification and structure-guided design led to identification and validation of ultrapotent influenza fusion inhibitors with subnanomolar EC 50 cellular antiviral activity against several influenza A group 1 strains. X-ray structures of six of these compounds with HA indicate that the appended moieties occupy additional pockets on the HA surface and increase the binding interaction, where the accumulation of several polar interactions also contributes to the improved affinity. The compounds here represent the most potent HA small-molecule inhibitors to date. Our divergent HTMC platform is therefore a powerful, rapid, and cost-effective approach to develop bioactive chemical probes and drug-like candidates against viral targets.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗
DOE OSTI2024

In-vivo Raman microspectroscopy reveals differential nitrate concentration in different developmental zones in Arabidopsis roots

Abstract Background Nitrate (NO 3 − ) is one of the two major forms of inorganic nitrogen absorbed by plant roots, and the tissue nitrate concentration in roots is considered important for optimizing developmental programs. Technologies to quantify the expression levels of nitrate transporters and assimilating enzymes at the cellular level have improved drastically in the past decade. However, a technological gap remains for detecting nitrate at a high spatial resolution. Using extraction-based methods, it is challenging to reliably estimate nitrate concentration from a small volume of cells (i.e., with high spatial resolution), since targeting a small or specific group of cells is physically difficult. Alternatively, nitrate detection with microelectrodes offers subcellular resolution with high cell specificity, but this method has some limitations on cell accessibility and detection speed. Finally, optical nitrate biosensors have very good ( in-vivo ) sensitivity (below 1 mM) and cellular-level spatial resolution, but require plant transformation, limiting their applicability. In this work, we apply Raman microspectroscopy for high-dynamic range in-vivo mapping of nitrate in different developmental zones of Arabidopsis thaliana roots in-situ . Results As a proof of concept, we have used Raman microspectroscopy for in-vivo mapping of nitrate content in roots of Arabidopsis seedlings grown on agar media with different nitrate concentrations. Our results revealed that the root nitrate concentration increases gradually from the meristematic zone (~ 250 µm from the root cap) to the maturation zone (~ 3 mm from the root cap) in roots grown under typical growth conditions used for Arabidopsis, a trend that has not been previously reported. This trend was observed for plants grown in agar media with different nitrate concentrations (0.5–10 mM). These results were validated through destructive measurement of nitrate concentration. Conclusions We present a methodology based on Raman microspectroscopy for in-vivo label-free mapping of nitrate within small root tissue volumes in Arabidopsis. Measurements are done in-situ without additional sample preparation. Our measurements revealed nitrate concentration changes from lower to higher concentration from tip to mature root tissue. Accumulation of nitrate in the maturation zone tissue shows a saturation behavior. The presented Raman-based approach allows for in-situ non-destructive measurements of Raman-active compounds.

Fernández González, Alma↗
DOE OSTI2025

Mechanism of Lithium Ion Exchange Into Spinel Manganese Oxide

Lithium manganese oxide (LMO) is an effective absorbent for lithium recovery from brines, characterized by its high adsorption capacity, excellent regeneration performance, and selectivity. Here, this study investigates the mechanisms of material degradation during lithium loading and unloading in LMO, employing a combination of time‐resolved Raman spectroscopy, X‐ray diffraction, and X‐ray photoelectron spectroscopy. Key findings reveal that the A 1g vibrational mode wavenumber shifts from 635 cm −1 at the onset of lithium ion exchange to 656 cm −1 after 12 min, indicating local symmetry loss and manganese (Mn) loss during lithium intercalation. The proposed lithium exchange mechanism involves initial occupation of tetrahedral interstitial voids, followed by migration into interstitial sites between Mn octahedral sites. Computational modeling suggests that the loss of symmetry in MnO cubane‐like groups occurs as lithium migrates, significantly affecting the Raman spectra. Importantly, the study demonstrates that after 100 cycles of lithium/hydrogen loading, a 24% loss in Mn is observed, which correlates with decreased structural stability; however, the structural integrity of LMO is enhanced when subjected to multiple cycles without complete loading. Here, these insights contribute to the understanding of LMO's performance in lithium recovery applications and highlight potential strategies to optimize its use in future technologies.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling hydrogen markets: Energy system model development status and decarbonization scenario results

Hydrogen can be used as an energy carrier and chemical feedstock to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, especially in difficult-to-decarbonize markets such as medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, aviation and maritime, iron and steel, and the production of fuels and chemicals. Significant literature has been accumulated on engineering-based assessments of various hydrogen technologies, and real-world projects are validating technology performance at larger scales and for low-carbon supply chains. While energy system models continue to be updated to track this progress, many are currently limited in their representation of hydrogen, and as a group they tend to generate highly variable results under decarbonization constraints. Here, the present work provides insights into the development status and decarbonization scenario results of 15 energy system models participating in study 37 of the Stanford Energy Modeling Forum (EMF37), focusing on the U.S. energy system. The models and scenario results vary widely in multiple respects: hydrogen technology representation, scope and type of hydrogen end-use markets, relative optimism of hydrogen technology input assumptions, and market uptake results reported for 2050 under various decarbonization assumptions. Most models report hydrogen market uptake increasing with decarbonization constraints, though some models report high carbon prices being required to achieve these increases and some find hydrogen does not compete well when assuming optimistic assumptions for all advanced decarbonization technologies. Across various scenarios, hydrogen market success tends to have an inverse relationship to success with direct air capture (DAC) and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies. While most model-scenario combinations predict modest hydrogen uptake by 2050 – <10 million metric tons (MMT) – aggregating the top 10 % of market uptake results across sectors suggests an upper range demand potential of 42–223 MMT. The high degree of variability across both modeling methods and market uptake results suggests that increased harmonization of both input assumptions and subsector competition scope would lead to more consistent results across energy system models. The wide variability in results indicates strongly divergent conclusions on the role of hydrogen in a decarbonized energy future.

08 HYDROGEN↗