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At least 181 records · Page 10

Heavy ion dynamics and auroral arc formation in the Jovian magnetosphere

This paper gives a brief review of some of the current controversial issues surrounding the Jovian aurora. In particular, the manner of its excitation be it that of electron or heavy ion precipitation is examined critically in the context of proposed models for magnetospheric dynamics, particle energization, and auroral energy input. A model for the X-ray aurora based on bremsstrahlung by a primary electron beam and its ionization secondaries is high-lighted and the connection to the outward magnetospheric transport of heavy ion plasma from the satellite Io is made.

Barbosa, D. D.↗

LEICA - A low energy ion composition analyzer for the study of solar and magnetospheric heavy ions

The SAMPEX LEICA instrument is designed to measure about 0.5-5 MeV/nucleon solar and magnetospheric ions over the range from He to Ni. The instrument is a time-of-flight mass spectrometer which measures particle time-of-flight over an about 0.5 m path, and the residual energy deposited in an array of Si solid state detectors. Large area microchannel plates are used, resulting in a large geometrical factor for the instrument (0.6 sq cm sr) which is essential for accurate compositional measurements in small solar flares, and in studies of precipitating magnetospheric heavy ions.

Mason, Glenn M.↗

Changes in atmospheric circulation amplify extreme snowfall fueled by Arctic sea ice loss over high-latitude land

Arctic sea-ice retreat has been linked to increased winter precipitation and heavy snowfall over land, likely due to a combination of enhanced evaporation from ice-free Arctic marginal seas (AMS) and changes in atmospheric circulation. However, their relative roles and contributions remain uncertain. Here, we show that a greater proportion of AMS evaporative moisture reached high-latitude land during the cold seasons from 1980–1989 to 2012–2021. Atmospheric circulation changes added an additional 13 % increase in the AMS moisture contribution, accounting for 11 % of the total increase in AMS-sourced land precipitation. Notably, 46 % of the increase in AMS-sourced extreme snowfall is attributed to circulation-driven landward moisture transport, representing an 84 % increase beyond the effect of enhanced AMS evaporation alone. Further analysis indicates that both the rise in Arctic moisture and the atmospheric circulation shifts are primarily driven by anthropogenic forcing. These findings highlight how atmospheric circulation changes amplify extreme snowfall fueled by AMS evaporation, underscoring the synergistic effects of Arctic sea ice loss and circulation change on high-latitude winter precipitation.

Anthropogenic forcing↗

Multispectral observations of the Jovian aurora

The upper atmospheres of the Earth and the outer planets form a screen on which precipitating charged particles, like the electron beam in a television, trace fleeting, but revealing patterns of visible, ultraviolet, infrared, and x ray emissions that offer valuable clues to processes occurring within the planetary magnetospheres. At Earth, years of in situ measurements, as well as ground based observations, have yielded a picture (still fuzzy) where the interaction of the solar wind with the magnetosphere of the Earth provides a complex path for the storage and release of energy during magnetic substorms; the ultimate manifestation of terrestrial auroral processes. More recent global imaging of substorm events from high above the Earth (greater than 3.5 R(sub e)) by Dynamics Explorer have made a unique contribution towards understanding the global and temporal evolution of such auroral events by providing a morphological perspective and by providing the crucial observational link that allows the separation of spatial and temporal variations inherent in the interpretation of in situ data. A similar role was played by the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) during the recent encounter of Ulysses with Jupiter in helping to define a new paradigm in Jovian auroral physics. The old paradigm portrayed Jupiter's magnetosphere as totally dominated by internal processes (i.e. Io related tori, heavy ions, etc.) where energetic heavy ion precipitation in the inner magnetosphere was solely responsible for the observed auroral phenomena. Ulysses and HST portray a more Earth-like paradigm where electron acceleration in the outer magnetosphere near the boundary with the solar wind plays a distinct role in the formation of auroral hot spots, yet energetic heavy ions also enter into the picture (similar to the role of the energetic ions from the terrestrial ring current during magnetic substorms). These heavy ions as a result of excitation during their transit through the atmosphere produce the x ray emissions observed in Roentgensatellit (ROSAT) x ray energy spectra.

Source record↗

How Could Future Climate Conditions Reshape a Devastating Lake‐Effect Snow Storm?

Abstract Lake‐effect snow (LES) storms, characterized by heavy convective precipitation downwind of large lakes, pose significant coastal hazards with severe socioeconomic consequences in vulnerable areas. In this study, we investigate how devastating LES storms could evolve in the future by employing a storyline approach, using the LES storm that occurred over Buffalo, New York, in November 2022 as an example. Using a Pseudo‐Global Warming method with a fully three‐dimensional two‐way coupled lake‐land‐atmosphere modeling system at a cloud‐resolving 4 km resolution, we show a 14% increase in storm precipitation under the end‐century warming. This increase in precipitation is accompanied by a transition in the precipitation form from predominantly snowfall to nearly equal parts snowfall and rainfall. Through additional simulations with isolated atmospheric and lake warming, we discerned that the warmer lake contributes to increased storm precipitation through enhanced evaporation while the warmer atmosphere contributes to the increase in the storm's rainfall, at the expense of snowfall. More importantly, this shift from snowfall to rainfall was found to nearly double the area experiencing another winter hazard, Rain‐on‐Snow. Our study provides a plausible future storyline for the Buffalo LES storm, focusing on understanding the intricate interplay between atmospheric and lake warming in shaping the future dynamics of LES storms. It emphasizes the importance of accurately capturing the changing lake‐atmosphere dynamics during LES storms under future warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multispectral observations of the Jovian aurora

This paper presents and analyzes images of the Jovian aurora gathered by the Hubble Space Telescope Faint Object Camera (FOC) and the ROSAT Position Sensitive Proportional Counter (PSPC) to determine the function of energetic heavy ion precipitation in the inner magnetosphere and electron acceleration in the outer magnetosphere. Hubble data includes hydrogen auroral spectra and reduced images of Jupiter's north and south poles. One important result is that acceleration of electrons may be largely responsible for the discrete auroral emission features seen in the data set. ROSAT PSPC data presented includes a photon energy spectrum. A two line emission model is shown to produce the best fit to the data. The production of these emission lines occurs as a result of recombination lines that are produced from the slowing of the energetic ion beam as it enters the Jupiter upper atmosphere. It is noted that the observed energetic ion precipitation does not contain sufficient power to explain the observed ultraviolet aurora; it is therefore concluded that both electrons and ions play a role in the Jupiter auroral emissions, but that the bulk of the ultraviolet emissions comes from electron processes.

Source record↗

Observations of the Jovian System with the Chandra X-Ray Observatory

The {\sl Chandra X-ray Observatory) observed the Jovian system on 25-26 Nov 1999 with the Advanced CCD Imaging Spectrometer (ACIS), in support of the Galileo flyby of Io, and on 18 Dec 2000 with the imaging array of the High Resolution Camera (HRC-I), in support of the Cassini flyby of Jupiter. These sensitive, very high spatial-resolution X-ray observations have revealed that Jupiter's northern x-ray aurora originates at a spot fixed in a coordinate system rotating with the planet at latitude (60--70 deg north) and longitude (160--180 deg System III). Contrary to previous expectations, this location is poleward of the main FUV auroral oval and the foot of the Io Flux Tube, and is apparently connected magnetically to a region of the outer magnetosphere beyond $\sim$30 Jupiter radii. The northern auroral x-ray emission varies with a period $\sim$45 minute and has a an average power of $\sim$1 GW. The earlier view that Jupiter's x-ray aurora resulted from the precipitation of heavy ions from the outer edge of the lo Plasma Torus is now in doubt. Jupiter's disk also emits x-rays with a power of $\sim$2 GW, perhaps resulting from reprocessing of solar x-rays in its atmosphere. These observations reveal for the first time x-ray emission from the Io Plasma Torus, with a power of $\sim$0.1 Gw. The origin of this emission is not currently understood, although bremmstrahlung from non-thermal electrons may play a significant role. Finally, we report the discovery of very faint ($\sim$1--2 MW) soft x-ray emission from the Galilean satellites Io, Europa, and probably Ganymede, most likely as a result of bombardment of their surfaces by energetic ($ greater than $10 keV) H, O, and S ions from the region of the Io Plasma Torus.

Elsner, R. F.↗

The International Summer School on Land Cover Change and Hydroclimate of the La Plata Basin

The La Plata Basin (LPB) in southern South America has been subject to land cover and land use changes (LCLUCs) since colonial times and with an accelerated rate in the last decades and over extensive areas. The work of Ameghino even suggested that there were relations between those land use changes and the frequency of droughts and floods in the region. Despite this early knowledge, not much is known of the potential impacts of LCLUC on the hydroclimate of the La Plata basin. Besides, over the last century much of the La Plata Basin has had a reported increase in precipitation and heavy rains, and these changes along with an increase in population growth - have resulted in more adverse effects from flooding. To draw attention to these issues, during two weeks in November 2009 the International Summer School on Land Cover Change and Hydroclimate of the La Plata Basin was organized at the grounds of the Itaip Hydropower Plant in Brazil. The school was the result of the combination of interests between the La Plata Basin Regional Hydroclimate Project, the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), and the International Hydroinformatics Center (IHC) in Itaip . LPB is an umbrella project endorsed by the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) and the Climate Prediction and Variability (CLIVAR), both of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). LPB has made a priority to train young scientists and promote interdisciplinary collaborations in areas related to Climate, Hydrology, Ecology and Agriculture. The IAI, with a similar agenda, was a natural partner to develop this Summer School, which in turn benefited from Itaipu s interest in relating with the scientific community of neighboring countries. The choice of location (Itaip Technological Park) was made so that participants could relate research usually done at academic institutions to applications and operations at one of the largest hydropower plants in the world. The school was attended by 45 advanced graduate students and young scientists with different backgrounds from seven countries, including less technically advanced ones in the region..

Berbery, Ernesto Hugo↗

Assessment of Extremes in Global Precipitation Products: How Reliable Are They?

Global gridded precipitation products have proven essential for many applications ranging from hydrological modeling and climate model validation to natural hazard risk assessment. They provide a global picture of how precipitation varies across time and space, specifically in regions where ground-based observations are scarce. While the application of global precipitation products has become widespread, there is limited knowledge on how well these products represent the magnitude and frequency of extreme precipitation—the key features in triggering flood hazards. Here, five global precipitation datasets (MSWEP, CFSR, CPC, PERSIANN-CDR, and WFDEI) are compared to each other and to surface observations. The spatial variability of relatively high precipitation events (tail heaviness) and the resulting discrepancy among datasets in the predicted precipitation return levels were evaluated for the time period 1979–2017. The analysis shows that 1) these products do not provide a consistent representation of the behavior of extremes as quantified by the tail heaviness, 2) there is strong spatial variability in the tail index, 3) the spatial patterns of the tail heaviness generally match the Köppen–Geiger climate classification, and 4) the predicted return levels for 100 and 1000 years differ significantly among the gridded products. More generally, our findings reveal shortcomings of global precipitation products in representing extremes and highlight that there is no single global product that performs best for all regions and climates.

Risk assessment↗

What is the Relationship Between Heavy Ion Outflow and High-Latitude Energetic Precipitation?

Second quarter progress report for year 3 on contract NASW-99002 "What is the Relationship between heavy ion outflow and high latitude energetic particle precipitation". In this Project we are studying the relationship between the fluxes, mean energies, and field-aligned flow speeds of escaping suprathermal H+ and 0+ measured by the TEAMS instrument on FAST and the energy flux of precipitating electrons obtained from the LBHL images taken by the UVI camera on POLAR. In this portion of the project we are using UVI images to tell us when substorm onsets occur and how the auroral zone changes during the course of a substorm. We are correlating this information with TEAMS flux measurements made over the auroral zone at times close to these substorms. The goal is to understand how the flux of suprathermal ion outflow varies with substorm phase.

Wilson, Gordon R.↗

Uncertainty in Simulating Twentieth Century West African Precipitation Trends: The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions

Anthropogenic aerosol emissions from North America and Europe have strong effects on the decadal variability of the West African monsoon (WAM). Anthropogenic aerosol effective radiative forcing is model dependent, but the impact of such uncertainty on the simulation of long-term WAM variability is unknown. We use an ensemble of simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 that span the most recent estimates in simulated anthropogenic aerosol effective radiative forcing. We show that uncertainty in anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing leads to significant uncertainty at simulating multi-decadal trends in West African precipitation. At the large scale, larger forcing leads to a larger decrease in the interhemispheric temperature gradients, in temperature over both the North Atlantic Ocean and northern Sahara. There are also differences in dynamic changes specific to the WAM (locations of the Saharan heat low and African Easterly Jet, of the strength of the West African westerly jet, and of African Easterly Wave activity). We also assess effects on monsoon precipitation characteristics and temperature. We show that larger aerosol forcing results in a decrease of the number of rainy days and of heavy and extreme precipitation events and warm spells. However, simulated changes in onset and demise dates do not appear to be sensitive to the magnitude of aerosol forcing. Our results demonstrate the importance of reducing the uncertainty in anthropogenic aerosol forcing for understanding and predicting multi-decadal variability in the WAM.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

What is the Relationship Between Heavy Ion Outflow and High-Latitude Energetic Particle Precipitation?

This document is the fourth quarter progress report for year two on contract NAW-99002 'What is the relationship between heavy ion outflow and high latitude energetic particle precipitation'. In this project we are studying the relationship between the fluxes, mean energies, and field-aligned flow speeds of escaping suprathermal H+ and O+ measured by the TEAMS instrument on FAST and the energy flux of precipitating electrons obtained form the LBHL images taken by the Ultraviolet Imagery (UVI) camera on the Polar spacecraft. We have analyzed data from three time intervals, 7-11 Feb, 25-31 Jan, and 1-6 Feb 1997. We find that there indeed is a relationship between the O+ escape fluxes and the intensity of the aurora at the foot point of the field line. The time delay between an auroral intensification and the corresponding increase in escape flux is very short, only a few minutes. At low auroral luminosity the relationship between escape flux and luminosity appears to break down due possibly to the lack of sensitivity of the auroral emissions to large fluxes of low energy electrons.

Wilson, Gordon R.↗

Preparation and Characterization of Various Kraft Lignins and Impact on Their Pyrolysis Behaviors

Lignin-derived chemicals and fuel products have received much attention in the context of bio-refinery. In this study we prepared and characterized various lignin samples from black liquor (BL), a major byproduct from the pulp and paper manufacturing processes, and studied the pyrolysis behaviors of these isolated lignin samples at 600 °C under a N2 atmosphere. Three lignin samples were isolated from the Kraft pulping BL of Loblolly pine linerboard grade process (KL, obtained by direct evaporation; L10, obtained by precipitation at pH 10; L3, obtained by precipitation at pH 3), while another three were from the Kraft pulping BL of Loblolly pine bleach grade process (KB, B10, B3). The inorganic elements present in lignin samples were analyzed using an inductively coupled plasma (ICP) analyzer. The KL and KB samples contained a larger amount of inorganic elements, especially Na and S, than did the other lignin samples. Owing to large quantities of inorganic elements, the ash contents in KL and KB were higher than in the precipitated lignin samples (L10, B10, L3, and B3). These inorganic elements have a significant effect on the subsequent pyrolysis process, as a result, more extensive depolymerization of lignin occurred in KL and KB samples, leading to the formation of fewer pyrolysis oils, with lower molecular weights. NMR analyses of pyrolysis oils show that more methoxyl groups and ether bonds were cleaved, resulting in fewer methoxyl groups and aromatic C–O bonds for the KL and KB heavy oil than for the precipitated lignin heavy oil.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Chandra Observations of X-Rays from Jupiter During the Cassini Flyby

"Observations of jovian x-rays made with the Earth-orbiting Chandra x-ray observatory on 18 December 2000 in support of the Cassini flyby of Jupiter demonstrate that most of Jupiters northern auroral x-rays come from a hot spot located poleward of the main auroral oval and magnetically connected to a region in the outer magnetosphere beyond 30 jovian radii. The hot spot is fixed in magnetic latitude and longitude and occurs in a region where anomalous infrared1-5and ultraviolet6 emissions have been observed. The auroral x-ray emissions were observed to pulsate with an approximately 40-minute period, a period similar to that reported for high-latitude radio and energetic electron bursts observed by Ulysses7, and by Galileo and Cassini.8 These results call into question the prevailing view that the jovian x-ray emissions are excited by the steady precipitation of energetic heavy ions from the outer edge of the Io plasma torus and are forcing a reconsideration of our understanding of the source mechanisms and energetics of the jovian x-ray aurora."

Gladstone, G. R.↗

Chandra Observations of X-Rays from Jupiter During the Cassini Flyby

Observations of jovian x-rays made with the Earth-orbiting Chandra x-ray observatory on 18 December 2000 in support of the Cassini flyby of Jupiter demonstrate that most of Jupiters northern auroral x-rays come from a hot spot located poleward of the main auroral oval and magnetically connected to a region in the outer magnetosphere beyond 30 jovian radii. The hot spot is fixed in magnetic latitude and longitude and occurs in a region where anomalous infrared1-5and ultraviolet6 emissions have been observed. The auroral x-ray emissions were observed to pulsate with an approximately 40-minute period, a period similar to that reported for high-latitude radio and energetic electron bursts observed by Ulysses7, and by Galileo and Cassini8. These results call into question the prevailing view that the jovian x-ray emissions are excited by the steady precipitation of energetic heavy ions from the outer edge of the Io plasma torus and are forcing a reconsideration of our understanding of the source mechanisms and energetics of the jovian x-ray aurora.

Gladstone, G. R.↗

A Pulsating X-Ray Hot Spot on Jupiter

Previous observations of jovian auroral x-ray emissions provided limited spectral information and extensive but low spatial resolution images. These emissions have been thought to result from charge exchange and excitation of energetic sulfur and oxygen ions precipitating from the outer edge of the Io Plasma Torus; bremsstrahlung emission from precipitating energetic electrons is too inefficient to produce the x-ray emissions. However, new high spatial resolution observations demonstrate that most of Jupiter's northern auroral x-rays come from a hot spot located much further north than the footprint of the Io Plasma Torus and which is even poleward of the main ultraviolet auroral oval. The hot spot appears fixed in magnetic latitude and longitude and occurs in a region where anomalous infrared and ultraviolet emissions have also been observed. Interestingly, the hot spot x-rays pulsate with an approximately 40-minute period, a period similar to that reported for high-latitude radio and energetic electron bursts observed by near-Jupiter spacecraft. These results invalidate the idea that jovian x-ray emissions are mainly excited by steady precipitation of energetic heavy ions from the region of the Io Plasma Torus. Instead, the x-rays appear to result from currently unexplained processes in the outer magnetosphere that produce highly localized and highly variable emissions over an extremely wide range of wavelengths.

Gladstone, G. R.↗

Chandra X-Ray Observations of the Jovian System

High-spatial resolution Chandra x-ray observations have demonstrated that most of Jupiter's northern auroral x-rays come from a hot spot located significantly poleward of the latitudes connected to the inner magnetosphere. This hot spot appears fixed in magnetic latitude and longitude and coincides with a region exhibiting anomalous ultraviolet and infrared emissions. The hot spot also exhibited approximately 45 minute quasi-periodic oscillations, a period similar to those reported for high-latitude radio and energetic electron bursts observed by near-Jupiter spacecraft. These results invalidate the idea that jovian auroral x-ray emissions are mainly excited by steady precipitation of energetic heavy ions from the inner magnetosphere. Instead, the x-rays appear to result from currently unexplained processes in the outer magnetosphere that produce highly localized and highly variable emissions over an extremely wide range of wavelengths. The Chandra observations also revealed for the first time x-ray emission (about 0.1 GW) from the Io Plasma Torus, as well as very faint x-ray emission (about 1-2 MW) from the Galilean moons Io, Europa, and possibly Ganymede. The emission from the moons is almost certainly due to Kalpha emission of surface atoms (and possibly impact atoms) excited by the impact of highly energetic protons, oxygen, and sulfur atoms and ions from the Torus. The Torus emission is less well understood at present, although bremsstrahlung from the non-thermal tail of the electron distribution may provide a significant fraction. In any case, further observations, already accepted and in the process of being planned, with Chandra, some with the moderate energy resolution of the CCD camera, together with simultaneous Hubble Space Telescope observations and hopefully ground-based IRTF observations should soon provide greater insight into these various processes.

Elsner, R. F.↗

Evaluating precipitation distributions at regional scales: a benchmarking framework and application to CMIP5 and 6 models

Abstract. As the resolution of global Earth system models increases, regional-scale evaluations are becoming ever more important. This study presents a framework for quantifying precipitation distributions at regional scales and applies it to evaluate Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) 5 and 6 models. We employ the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) sixth assessment report (AR6) climate reference regions over land and propose refinements to the oceanic regions based on the homogeneity of precipitation distribution characteristics. The homogeneous regions are identified as heavy-, moderate-, and light-precipitating areas by K-means clustering of Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) version 6 final run product (IMERG) precipitation frequency and amount distributions. With the global domain partitioned into 62 regions, including 46 land and 16 ocean regions, we apply 10 established precipitation distribution metrics. The collection includes metrics focused on the maximum peak, lower 10th percentile, and upper 90th percentile in precipitation amount and frequency distributions; the similarity between observed and modeled frequency distributions; an unevenness measure based on cumulative amount; average total intensity on all days with precipitation; and number of precipitating days each year. We apply our framework to 25 CMIP5 and 41 CMIP6 models, as well as six observation-based products of daily precipitation. Our results indicate that many CMIP5 and 6 models substantially overestimate the observed light-precipitation amount and frequency, as well as the number of precipitating days, especially over midlatitude regions outside of some land regions in the Americas and Eurasia. Improvement from CMIP5 to 6 is shown in some regions, especially in midlatitude regions, but it is not evident globally, and over the tropics most metrics point toward degradation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗