Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “life estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 181 records · Page 10
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2004

Risk Analysis

A National Academies panel says the Hubble Space Telescope is too valuable ;or gamblingon a long-shot robotic mission to extend its service life, and urges Directly contradicting Administrator Sean O'Keefe, who killed a planned fifth shuttle servicing mission to the telescope on grounds it was too dangerous for a human crew in the post-Challenger environment, the expert committee found that upgrades to shuttle safety actually should make it less hazardous to fly to the telescope than it was before Columbia was lost. Risks of a telescope-servicing mission are only marginally greater than the planned missions to the International Space Station (ISS) O'Keefe has authorized, the panel found. After comparing those risks to the dangers inherent in trying to develop a complex space robot in the 39 months remaining in the Hubble s estimated service life, the panel opted for the human mission to save one of the major achievements of the American space program, in the words of Louis J. Lanzerotti, its chairman.

Morring, Frank, Jr.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing Deep Learning Models for System Remaining Useful Life Predictions: Application to Aircraft Engines

Prognostics and health management (PHM) is an important part of ensuring reliable operations of complex safety- critical systems. System-level remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is a much more complex problem than making estimations at the component level, and system-level RUL methodologies remain sparse in the literature. Model-based approaches have traditionally worked in the past for components such as capacitors, MOSFETs, batteries, or hard-drives (to name a few examples), but developing high fidelity dynamics models of cyber physical systems that can be used to study the effects of multiple degrading components in the system remains a challenging task. Some initial work on model-based System RUL predictions was demonstrated in Khorasgani, et al [1], but, to generalize the system-level prognostics problem, we have to resort to pure data driven and hybrid approaches. In this work, we propose an end-to-end data- driven framework for developing deep learning models to predict remaining useful life of cyber physical systems operating under unknown faulty conditions. The raw data is organized with a data schema that improves the model development process and down stream data analysis tasks. Due to the unknown faulty conditions, the raw sensor data is transformed into signals that expose the underlying degradation processes, which are then used for model development. Bayesian Optimization is used to tune the model parameters prior to training and validation. We show that this approach results in accurate predictions within 3 cycles to end of life (EOL). We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach by applying it to the N-CMAPSS turbofan engine dataset recently released by NASA, which includes high fidelity degradation modeling, real world operating conditions, and a large set of fault operating modes.

Prognostics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Nickel(II) Bisporphyrin‐Fused Pentacenes Exhibiting Abnormal High Stability

Abstract A series of largely π‐extended multichromophoric molecules including cross‐conjugated, half cross‐conjugated, conjugation‐interrupted and linearly conjugated systems were synthesized and characterized. These multichromophoric molecular systems revealed interesting structural‐property relationships. Bisporphyrin‐fused pentacenes Pen‐1 b and Pen‐2 a showed rich redox chemistry with 7 and 8 observable redox states, respectively. The linearly‐conjugated bisporphyrin‐fused pentacenes ( Pen‐1 b and Pen‐2 a ) possess much narrower HOMO–LUMO gaps (1.65 and 1.42 eV redox, respectively) and higher HOMO energy levels than those of their pentacene analogues (2.23 and 2.01 eV redox, respectively), similar to those of much less stable hexacenes and heptacenes. An estimated half‐life of >945 h was obtained for bisporphyrin‐fused pentacene Pen‐2 a , which is much longer than that of its pentacene analogue ( BPE‐P , half‐life, 33 h).

Hu, Yi↗
DOE OSTI2021

Incorporating bubble growth volume feedback to improve simulation of the response of a structure containing liquid and gas to sudden energy input

The SNS target module is a stainless-steel structure that contains and directs mercury. The mercury is struck with short, intense proton pulses to create neutrons. The pulses deposit energy and cause loads on the target structure and mercury cavitation. Helium bubbles are introduced into the mercury to reduce loads and cavitation. This gas complicates the prediction of the target module’s physical response. The current method used to simulate the structural response to the proton pulse incorporates a simple but effective approach to approximate mercury cavitation effects. This method cannot account for the changes from injected non-condensable gas. The ability to model the target vessel response is a prerequisite for estimating its life. Known approaches for simulating a bubbly fluid mixture’s response are computationally expensive and impractical for detailed engineering models. A constitutive model is proposed for target mercury with injected gas bubbles, with the intent of providing more accurate mercury–vessel response behavior without the computing costs required to track individual bubbles. The model’s assumptions and a computational model embodiment are described. The bubbly mercury computational model is subjected to test problems to assess its potential utility. Here, the model was able to better predict the effect of gas on wave propagation.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2020

Cell degradation quantification—a performance metric-based approach

A safe and reliable battery operation needs effective diagnostic tools. A quantitative failure analysis (FA) to enable cell qualification and quantify its effectiveness for reliable and safe operation of rechargeable Li batteries (RLB) is shown here. The method can identify and quantify potential failure based on the state of charge (SOC) under any operating conditions. A precise and accurate electrochemical analytic diagnosis (eCAD) of 14 rechargeable Li || NMC622 cells of the same build are used as an example. The FA by eCAD can quantitatively decipher good, bad and ugly cells in cycle aging. The cell qualification is based on thermodynamic SOC, not experimental conditions. The method provides a quantitative failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) to reveal diverse “dead Li” formation that affects the reversibility of the Li anode and charge retention in the cell. This cell qualification method highlights the potential to improve cell quality for safe operation, with strong implications for early fault detection, FA, risk mitigation, state estimation and life prediction for reliable and safe RLB operations

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Virtual Power Plants: Pilots, Challenges, and Innovations Shaping Future Development

Virtual Power Plants (VPPs) aggregate distributed energy resources (DERs) to provide grid services traditionally delivered by centralized power plants. This article reviews the current state of VPP deployment, highlighting business models, compensation mechanisms, and global pilot projects. While VPPs offer benefits such as grid flexibility, resilience, and cost savings, challenges remain in communication infrastructure, regulatory frameworks, market access, and customer engagement. To address these, we propose a scalable, privacy-preserving hierarchical VPP architecture that coordinates with distribution utilities and preserves customer data. We also present the Integrated T&D Control Room of the Future as a key test bed for validating and accelerating VPP adoption. These innovations can help transition VPPs from pilot programs to integral components of a modern, reliable power grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Assessment of Accelerated Stress Testing Data for Silicon Photovoltaics Using Tensor Decomposition Methods

In this work, we examine the use of high-order tensor decompositions to analyze degradation pathways emerging from accelerated stress testing of silicon photovoltaic (PV) modules. Matrix-based decompositions are powerful tools for studying two-dimensional data arrays and form the foundation of a host of classical data analysis techniques. Tensors are high-order extrapolations of matrices that are able to account for more parameter dimensions, and a variety of tensor decomposition methods have been developed that similarly seek to extend insights from matrix decompositions to higher dimensions. Applying and interpreting tensor decomposition methods to sequences of PV module image data, we seek to uncover and isolate different degradation modes occurring from accelerated stress testing procedures. Further, we consider the contributions of different modes to PV module performance degradations.

data analysis↗
DOE OSTI2024

Exploring the Performance and Reliability of Screen-Printable Fire-Through Copper Paste on PERC Solar Cells

In this work, we present the performance and reliability of a fire-through copper (Cu) paste which has been screen printed on c-Si solar cell with passivated emitter rear contact (PERC). The Cu paste is fired through silicon nitride (SiN) anti-reflection coating at a peak temperature of 630 degrees C . SEM images of the Cu paste show a Cu core with ~200 nm oxide shell around the particles. This conductive oxide layer acts as a diffusion barrier between Cu and Si and prevents the degradation of cell performance during accelerated aging conditions. An efficiency of 19.250% has been achieved with Voc=654mV,FF= 76.68%, Jsc=38.40 m.A/cm 2 for champion PERC cells. Accelerated testing of the PERC mini-modules in damp heat chamber with 85 degrees C and 85% humidity have demonstrated that the devices are operational even after 1,500 hours. Devices with screen printed Ag contacts on the front side have been studied in parallel to the Cu contacts for comparison.

copper↗
DOE OSTI2020

Literature Review of Documented Persistent Secondary Uranium Sources at DOE LM Sites

The U.S. Department of Energy Office of Legacy Management (LM) has the responsibility to protect human health and the environment at 101 legacy uranium sites across the nation by implementing long-term surveillance and maintenance requirements. Included in these responsibilities is to provide for the safe and environmentally sound disposal, long-term stabilization, and control of uranium mill tailings in a manner that minimizes or eliminates radiation health hazards to the public at 21 Uranium Mill Tailings Radiation Control Act (UMTRCA) Title I sites; 6 UMTRCA Title II sites; and 9 Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act/Resource Conservation and Recovery Act sites. These sites are former uranium mills (processing sites), or sites with wastes from processing sites encapsulated in engineered disposal cells (disposal sites), or sites where components of atomic weapons were manufactured. During site characterization, groundwater contamination was often discovered and evaluated or modeled for future movement with the inclusion of uranium sorption in the groundwater plume. Much of this original work did identify uranium processing wastes as the original contaminant source. However, more recent work has identified the existence and influence of persistent secondary uranium sources that may prevent uranium in groundwater from attenuating as quickly as initial evaluations or modeling indicated. By understanding these processes, better decisions can be made to choose the appropriate remediation and closure strategies, identify long-term surveillance and maintenance activities, and more accurately estimate life-cycle costs. The purpose of this report is to summarize the literature available on documented persistence secondary uranium sources at LM sites as part of the Applied Studies and Technology Persistent Secondary Contaminant Sources Project.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

Corrosion of 347 stainless steel in the presence of uranyl sulfate solution and radiation

The U.S. molybdenum 99 (Mo-99) industry is pursuing production of fission-made Mo-99 using a uranium solution such as uranyl sulfate. In this process, uranyl sulfate solution containing low-enriched uranium will be bombarded by neutrons creating Mo-99 and other fission products. During the production, the uranyl sulfate solution will be irradiated until an acceptable activity level of Mo-99 is produced. The uranyl sulfate solution containing Mo-99 and other fission products will then undergo a series of separation steps. First, uranyl sulfate can be separated from Mo-99 using a primary titania column to recover Mo-99, with the uranyl sulfate solution to be used for another irradiation cycle. Then, raffinate from a primary titania column containing Mo-99 can be concentrated and purified using a LEU modified Cintichem process developed by Argonne National Laboratory. During irradiation, the temperature of the uranyl sulfate solution can reach near boiling (up to ~80° C assumed), causing radiolysis of water and the resultant formation of hydrogen peroxide. Because high-radiation fields will be present during each irradiation cycle, it is important to determine the corrosion rates of SS-347 under such conditions to estimate the life cycle of the target solution vessel. The buildup of corrosion products from the SS components in the uranyl sulfate solution also needs to be well understood because potential accumulation of iron, nickel, and other corrosion products may affect the Mo-99 recovery and purification process. To study the corrosion rates of SS-347 material under conditions relevant to future Mo-99 production facility, SS-347 coupons in uranyl sulfate solution at ~80° C were irradiated using Argonne’s Van de Graaff generator, which can generate high-radiation fields without fissioning of uranium or production of activation products.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

On the Life Expectancy of High-Power CW magnetrons for Superconducting Accelerators*

Utilization of the high-power CW magnetrons as RF sources in SRF accelerators was proposed in a number of works, e.g., [1, 2]. But typically, the CW high-power magnetrons are designed as RF sources for industrial heating, and the lifetime of the tubes is not the first priority as it is required for high-energy accelerators. The high-power CW magnetrons use cathodes made of pure tungsten. The emission properties of the tungsten cathodes are not deteriorated much by electron and ion bombardment, but the latter causes sputtering of the cathode in the magnetron crossed fields. The sputtered cathode material covers the magnetron interior. That leads to sparks and discharges in a magnetron limiting its lifetime. Thus, the life expectancy estimates are highly important for application of CW magnetrons in SRF accelerator projects.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pueblo of Laguna Village Community Solar

The project was to install approximately 11.44 kilowatts (kW) rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) system on the Mesita Village Community Center, an approximately 9.24 kW rooftop solar PV system on the Paguate Village Community Center, an approximately 21.56 kW rooftop solar PV system on the Paraje Village Community Center, and an approximately 11.00 kW rooftop solar PV system on the Seama Community Center, for a total of about 53.24 kW on four village community centers. The systems were expected to generate approximately 93,329 kWh annually. Installing solar PV systems on the four village community centers would have helped achieve the Pueblo of Laguna’s six energy objectives: community development (decreased utility bills, funds for other needs), economic development (training and participation in the renewable energy economy), energy reliability (future storage), community resilience (alternative sources), relationship to people and the natural world (reducing fossil fuel use), and energy sovereignty (Pueblo decision-making). Installing solar PV systems would have also met specific project goals to offset not less than 85% of each selected building’s annual electricity use, ranging from 87% to 103% of demand; save a minimum of 70% of the cost of utility bills per year for each building, ranging from 75% to 77% percent (including service charges); and would have had payback periods shorter than the estimated useful life of the project

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Computer Design Tool for Ceramic Receivers

Gen3 solar receivers and other components will experience a combination of high temperatures and high stress caused by thermal stress and internal pressure. Under these conditions metallic components, even those manufactured from nickel-based superalloys, have poor reliability. Engineering ceramics could be a solution, as these materials have excellent high temperature strength. However, accurately assessing the reliability of a ceramic component operating in these conditions requires an entirely different approach compared to metallic materials. This paper describes the implementation of statistical models for evaluating the reliability of high temperature ceramic components in srlife – an open-source software package for estimating the life of high temperature concentrating solar power equipment. This new capability allows users to make fair comparisons between competing metallic and ceramic component designs and to accurately assess the plant efficiency and economics of ceramic solar receivers and other components.

Messner, Mark (ORCID:0000000200404385)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Time-Dependent Failure Assessment of Ceramic Receivers

The outlet temperature targets for Gen 3 Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) systems pose a significant challenge to the structural reliability of high temperature metallic components, including those manufactured from nickel-based superalloys. Advanced ceramics present a potential solution due to their excellent high-temperature strength. However, accurate assessment of ceramic components requires an entirely different approach compared to metallic components. This paper describes the implementation of time-dependent reliability analysis of ceramic components in srlife – an open-source software package for estimating the life of high temperature CSP components. This new capability will allow high temperature CSP designers to make fair comparisons between competing metallic and ceramic designs and accurately assess the performance of different ceramic materials for CSP receivers and other components. The current version of the tool is available at https://github.com/Argonne-National-Laboratory/srlife.

Barua, Bipul (ORCID:0000000247184113)↗
NASA NTRS1975

Statistical estimation of service cracks and maintenance cost for aircraft structures

A method is developed for the statistical estimation of the number of cracks to be repaired in service as well as the repair and the maintenance costs. The present approach accounts for the statistical distribution of the initial crack size, the statistical nature of the NDI technique used for detecting the crack, and the renewal process for the crack propagation of repaired cracks. The mean and the standard deviation of the cumulative number of cracks to be repaired are computed as a function of service time. The statistics of the costs of repair and maintenance, expressed in terms of the percentage of the cost of replacement, are estimated as a function of service time. The results of the present study provide relevant information for the decision of fleet management, the estimation of life cycle cost, and procurement specifications. The present study is essential to the design and cost optimization of aircraft structures.

Yang, J.-N.↗
NASA NTRS1979

Advanced electric propulsion system concept for electric vehicles

Seventeen propulsion system concepts for electric vehicles were compared to determine the differences in components and battery pack to achieve the basic performance level. Design tradeoffs were made for selected configurations to find the optimum component characteristics required to meet all performance goals. The anticipated performance when using nickel-zinc batteries rather than the standard lead-acid batteries was also evaluated. The two systems selected for the final conceptual design studies included a system with a flywheel energy storage unit and a basic system that did not have a flywheel. The flywheel system meets the range requirement with either lead-acid or nickel-zinc batteries and also the acceleration of zero to 89 km/hr in 15 s. The basic system can also meet the required performance with a fully charged battery, but, when the battery approaches 20 to 30 percent depth of discharge, maximum acceleration capability gradually degrades. The flywheel system has an estimated life-cycle cost of $0.041/km using lead-acid batteries. The basic system has a life-cycle cost of $0.06/km. The basic system, using batteries meeting ISOA goals, would have a life-cycle cost of $0.043/km.

Raynard, A. E.↗