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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10

Land Surface Modeling 2.0 for agricultural climate change impact assessments

Focus Area: This white paper addresses DOE AI4ESP focus area #2 by providing a sketch blueprint for a next generation, hybrid AI/process-based global Land Surface Modeling (LSM) framework to improve projections of climate change impacts on the land surface system including agriculture and the hydrological cycle. Science Challenge: Climate change impacts on agriculture are highly uncertain: -50% to +150% global production changes for major grains under high-end climate change, for example. The core challenge in land surface system predictability is the large gap between the scale at which the relevant biological processes act and the scale at which the risks need to be assessed. Conventional empirical and process-based modeling approaches are insufficient. A new multi-scale modeling paradigm which employs AI/ML to learn from new streams of remote sensing data and targeted ’gene-to-global’ simulations is needed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Model Hierarchy for Mountainous Hydrological Observatories (MH 2 O)

Focal area: Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system comprising of a hierarchy of models (e.g., AI driven model/component/parameterization selection)

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Physics-Informed Deep Learning for Multiscale Water Cycle Prediction

This paper falls under Focal Area #2: Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system comprising of a hierarchy of models (e.g., AI-driven model/component/parameterization selection).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Probabilistic Machine Learning and Data Assimilation

This white paper responds to Focal Area 1. The associated portfolio of research activities is well-suited to DOE’s asset mix of HPC platforms, climate expertise, climate simulation codes, and AI expertise, which creates an opportunity to use manifold-finding probabilistic AI methods to create more powerful data assimilation techniques that increase the fidelity and forecasting skill of Earth System Prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Process Discovery through Assimilation of Complex Biogeochemical Datasets

This white paper addresses two of three focal areas identified in the white paper call: 1) Biogeochemical data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning and 3) Insight gleaned from complex data using AI. We focus on AI application to complex biogeochemistry (BGC) data (e.g. laboratory experimental data, field manipulation data, literature data), which is an untapped source of information for improving Earth System Predictability (ESP).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Representing the Unrepresented Impact of River Ice on Hydrology, Biogeochemistry, Vegetation, and Geomorphology: A Hybrid Physics-Machine Learning Approach

Focal areas include: Predictive modeling through the use of AI techniques and AI-derived model components; the use of AI and other tools to design a prediction system composed of a hierarchy of models (e.g., AI driven model/component/parameterization selection). Insight gleaned from complex data (both observed and simulated) using AI, big data analytics, and other advanced methods, including explainable AI and physics- or knowledge-guided AI.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

AI4ESP: Process Discovery through Assimilation of Complex Geochemical Datasets

This white paper addresses two of three focal areas identified in the white paper call: 1) Biogeochemical data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning and 3) Insight gleaned from complex data using AI. We focus on AI application to complex biogeochemistry (BGC) data (e.g. laboratory experimental data, field manipulation data, literature data), which is an untapped source of information for improving Earth System Predictability (ESP).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Artificial Intelligence for the Methane Cycle

This report derives from the March 2023 Artificial Intelligence for the Methane Cycle (AI4CH 4 ) virtual work shop, co-organized by staff from the Earth and Environmental Systems Sciences Division (EESSD), within the U.S. Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research program (BER), and computational ecologist Dr. Pamela Weisenhorn from Argonne National Laboratory. AI4CH 4 provides a follow-up to the 2021 Artificial Intelligence for Earth System Predictability workshop series (ai4esp.org) co-organized by two DOE programs—BER and Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Loop Thermosyphon Enhanced Solar Collector

A two-phase loop thermosyphon solar collector was developed to transfer thermal energy efficiently and passively from a concentrated solar collector to a thermal desalination process. The two-phase flow in the loop thermosyphon is driven by a difference in gravitational pressure head between the liquid return line and the two-phase riser located between the evaporator and condenser. A numerical model incorporating mass, energy, and pressure drop balances was developed to predict system performance and use as a design tool. Three iterations of loop thermosyphon solar collectors were designed, fabricated, and tested to validate the numerical analysis and demonstrate system integration. Additionally, a novel solar receiver design was evaluated based on volumetric absorption of the concentrated sunlight by an optically absorptive two-phase working fluid. Life tests were performed to evaluate the working fluid thermal stability and resistance to ultraviolet degradation. A glass receiver tube and associated glass-to-metal junctions were developed. Finally, a full-scale loop thermosyphon was integrated with a parabolic trough solar collector and tested on-sun.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Magnetotransport of Sm 2 Ir 2 O 7 across the pressure-induced quantum-critical phase boundary

Rare-earth pyrochlore iridates host two interlocking magnetic sublattices of corner-sharing tetrahedra and can harbour a unique combination of frustrated moments, exotic excitations and highly correlated electrons. They are also the first systems predicted to display both topological Weyl semimetal and axion insulator phases. We have measured the transport and magnetotransport properties of single-crystal Sm 2 Ir 2 O 7 up to and beyond the pressure-induced quantum critical point for all-in-all-out (AIAO) Ir order at $p_c$ = 63 kbar previously identified by resonant X-ray scattering and close to which Weyl semimetallic behavior has been previously predicted. Our findings overturn the accepted expectation that the suppression of AIAO order should lead to metallic conduction persisting down to zero temperature. Instead, the resistivity-minimum temperature, which tracks the decrease in the AIAO ordering temperature for pressures up to 30 kbar, begins to increase under further application of pressure, pointing to the presence of a second as-yet unidentified mechanism leading to non-metallic behavior. The magnetotransport does track the suppression of Ir magnetism, however, with a strong hysteresis observed only within the AIAO phase boundary, similar to that found for Ho 2 Ir 2 O 7 and attributed to plastic deformation of Ir domains. Around $p_c$ we find the emergence of a new type of electronic phase, characterized by a negative magnetoresistance with small hysteresis at the lowest temperatures, and hysteresis-free positive magnetoresistance above approximately 5 K. The temperature dependence of our low-temperature transport data are found to be best described by a model consistent with a Weyl semimetal across the entire pressure range.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Edge at the Pier: EPCAPE Software-Defined Sensing Field Campaign Report

The Eastern Pacific Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment (EPCAPE) was aimed to enhance the understanding of cloud and aerosol properties in the region surrounding La Jolla, California. To address challenges in data collection and processing from various instruments, an edge computing device known as Waggle Sage Node (WSN) was deployed at the Ellen Browning Scripps Memorial Pier. WSN is a distributed-sensing platform designed to collect and analyze environmental data at the edge. Sage is a multi-agency-supported project that designs and builds a new kind of national-scale reusable cyberinfrastructure to enable artificial intelligence (AI) at the edge based on the Waggle platform. Sponsors include the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR), DOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), DOE Biological and Environmental Research (BER) through DOE Artificial Intelligence for Earth System Predictability (AI4ESP), Argonne Laboratory-Directed Research and Development (LDRD). Sage (https://sagecontinuum.org/) is funded as a National Science Foundation Mid-Scale Research Infrastructure (MSRI) project (https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1935984). This robust, multi-architecture edge computing platform facilitated environmental monitoring during the campaign. This report details the scientific objectives, deployment process, and key results of integrating Waggle into the EPCAPE field campaign.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

GOTHIC Aerosol Source Depletion Studies

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory has continued work to develop an aerosol-laden flow modeling capability with the Generation of Thermal Hydraulic Information in Containment (GOTHIC TM ) computer code to perform simulations for thermal hydraulic conditions and aerosol transport and deposition in spent fuel casks. This report describes our recent work to expand our model that was originally developed in 2019 to allow for thermal characterization, carrier gas flow determination, and tracking of particulate behavior throughout the entire canister volume. This was achieved through conversion of decay heat source in all fuel tubes within the model from heaters to thermal conductors in GOTHIC as well as remeshing the internal volume of the canister. These model improvements allowed for simulations of base case scenarios for comparison of similar efforts by our collaborators with alternative tools at Sandia and Oak Ridge. Several characteristics of the GOTHIC code were elucidated by this effort and were documented for consideration in how the code is used for this effort moving forward. For instance, treatment of particle size distributions, initial spatial distributions, mesh gradients, and minimum volume concentrations were identified as important issues for consideration. Ultimately, the current version of the code is capable of tracking temperatures, flow rates, and particle behavior throughout the canister internal volume. This report presents predicted depletion times and preferred deposition patterns within the canister. Additionally, this report documents code performance and insights for further model development and use for comparisons to other codes and for predicting system behavior in experiments being performed and planned by our collaborators.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Final report: Insights from ARM observations into aerosol processing and transport by extratropical cyclones and aerosol effects on cyclone clouds

This project advanced understanding of aerosol–cloud interactions in extratropical cyclones using observations from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Eastern North Atlantic (ENA) observatory and ACE-ENA field campaigns, along with satellite datasets and numerical modeling. We have quantified the susceptibility of frontal clouds to aerosols, showing that this susceptibility is similar to that in non-frontal clouds despite substantial (factor 2) differences in droplet concentrations between these cloud types, and also significant differences in cloud albedo. A key finding was that Aitken-mode (here, 60-100nm diameter) aerosols play a disproportionately important role in droplet activation in frontal clouds, and concentrations of these particles are frequently strongly biased in climate models. Activation of aerosols depends strongly on updraft speeds, and via collaboration with Argonne National Laboratory we contributed to quantifying these better with the ARM radar wind profiler at the ENA site. Our studies in the North Atlantic have analogs in the Southern Ocean, and to draw these out we examined data from the MARCUS and SOCRATES field campaigns. We identified new particle formation within extratropical cyclones as a potentially important source of cloud condensation nuclei in these pristine marine environments. By combining ARM observations with perturbed parameter ensemble simulations, we demonstrated that surface observations can effectively constrain aerosol–cloud adjustments and reduce uncertainty in simulated cloud liquid water path responses by approximately 15%, yielding stronger constraints on historical aerosol cooling effects. The work further established precipitation processes as a dominant control on aerosol–cloud interactions and Earth system predictability.

Gordon, Hamish [Department of Chemical Engineering↗

Identifying synoptic controls on boundary layer thermodynamic and cloud properties in a regional forecast model

Although most of our understanding of boundary layer cloudiness is based on idealized, subtropical, barotropic marine environments, boundary layer clouds exist across a range of conditions. In this study, we use the Naval Research Laboratory's Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) and an automated cold-front-relative analysis framework to explore the boundary layer structure associated with low clouds across a transect through the cold front of a midlatitude synoptic cyclone. The model credibly captures boundary layer structure in line with conceptual models of midlatitude cyclones and ground-based observations at Graciosa Island in the Azores. The warm sector is conditionally unstable, with clouds that are too shallow and with too little liquid water, compared to cloud property retrievals from satellite and surface-based instruments. The cold-frontal region exhibits convection associated with weak stability and ascent. Northwest of the cold front, the boundary layer is well mixed, deeper, and capped by a strong inversion maintained by large-scale subsidence. Simulated clouds in frontal and post-frontal regions are mostly too thick, with too much liquid water and too little cloud base drizzle. The post-frontal clouds are associated with grid-scale updrafts, which appear to be the model's attempt to represent mesoscale organization of cellular convection typically observed in the cold sector of midlatitude cyclones. The deep, well-mixed post-frontal boundary layers and cloudiness are maintained by strong surface fluxes, as in cold air outbreaks. Our analysis framework serves as a unique approach to model verification, and our results offer insights into differences in boundary layer cloud behavior between subtropical and synoptic cold-sector regimes.

Eissner, Jordan M. [Univ. of Kansas, Lawrence, KS ↗

System and method for wave prediction

A method and system for prediction of wave properties include collecting time series data streams from one or more wave measurement devices and processing the data using a wave-prediction algorithm to identify the frequency components of the data and compute wave parameters. The wave-field is propagated in space and time to predict wave height, speed, and velocity at a target location. A sliding window approach is used to continuously update the prediction in real-time.

Previsic, Mirko↗

Systems and methods for predictive lane change

A system includes a controller comprising at least one processor coupled to a memory storing instructions that, when executed by the at least one processor, cause the at least one processor to perform operations comprising: receiving information indicative of operation of the vehicle and of a driving condition for the vehicle; determining that a speed of the vehicle is less than a target speed for the vehicle based on the received information; determining, in response to the determination that the speed is less than the target speed, that the lane change and takeover event is at least one of feasible or efficient based on the received information; and providing, in response to the determination regarding the lane change and takeover event, a notification.

Borhan, Hoseinali↗

System and method for wave prediction

A method and system for prediction of wave properties include collecting time-series data streams from one or more wave measurement devices and processing the data to identify data parameters to establish boundary conditions of a numerical model. The numerical model may be used to compute a predicted wave field of time-series data for a variety of wave properties at a target location.

Previsic, Mirko↗