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At least 181 records · Page 10

Enhanced mid-latitude warming due to poleward shift of sea salt aerosols in a warmer future

Natural aerosols provide large uncertainties regarding the quantification of the climate effects of aerosols, especially those related to aerosol-cloud interactions. Advancing research on the interaction of natural aerosols and climate can provide a better assessment of the climate impacts of anthropogenic activities. Furthermore, as one of the most dominant natural aerosols, sea salt has the highest proportion of mass in natural aerosols. Sea salt can be regarded as a purely scattering aerosol, causing a negative radiative effect by scattering shortwave solar radiation and acting as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) through aerosol-cloud interactions. Future climate change will influence sea salt distribution, thus modifying the radiative effects of sea salt, which will further affect the climate. However, few previous studies have explored the interactions between sea salt changes under warming scenarios and climate change.

Yang, Yang [Nanjing Univ. of Information Science a↗

Investigating the impact of cloud-radiative feedbacks on tropical precipitation extremes

Abstract Although societally important, extreme precipitation is difficult to represent in climate models. This study shows one robust aspect of extreme precipitation across models: extreme precipitation over tropical oceans is strengthened through a positive feedback with cloud-radiative effects. This connection is shown for a multi-model ensemble with experiments that make clouds transparent to longwave radiation. In all cases, tropical extreme precipitation reduces without cloud-radiative effects. Qualitatively similar results are presented for one model using the cloud-locking method to remove cloud feedbacks. The reduced extreme precipitation without cloud-radiative feedbacks does not arise from changes in the mean climate. Rather, evidence is presented that cloud-radiative feedbacks enhance organization of convection and most extreme precipitation over tropical oceans occurs within organized systems. This result suggests that climate models must correctly predict cloud structure and properties, as well as capture the essence of organized convection in order to accurately represent extreme rainfall.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Radiative forcing from the 2020 shipping fuel regulation is large but hard to detect

Reduction in aerosol cooling unmasks greenhouse gas warming, exacerbating the rate of future warming. The strict sulfur regulation on shipping fuel implemented in 2020 (IMO2020) presents an opportunity to assess the potential impacts of such emission regulations and the detectability of deliberate aerosol perturbations for climate intervention. Here we employ machine learning to capture cloud natural variability and estimate a radiative forcing of +0.074 ±0.005 W m -2 related to IMO2020 associated with changes in shortwave cloud radiative effect over three low-cloud regions where shipping routes prevail. We find low detectability of the cloud radiative effect of this event, attributed to strong natural variability in cloud albedo and cloud cover. Regionally, detectability is higher for the southeastern Atlantic stratocumulus deck. These results raise concerns that future reductions in aerosol emissions will accelerate warming and that proposed deliberate aerosol perturbations such as marine cloud brightening will need to be substantial in order to overcome the low detectability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of radiation damage and precipitate distribution on micro-pillar compression testing of irradiated CuCrZr

The results of small-scale mechanical tests are convoluted by the so-called size effect, whereby materials appear stronger when the scale of the test is reduced to the order of microns or less. The dimensional range over which this occurs has been shown to be linked to a change in sample microstructure, such as the addition of defects induced by irradiation. To investigate this response, a CuCrZr alloy was subjected to proton irradiation and mechanically tested using micro compression of pillars with a range in size. It was found that irradiation defects dominate over the extrinsic size effect and the sensitivity to differences in precipitate microstructure was also somewhat reduced, suggesting that size-independent results could be obtained from much smaller test volumes in irradiated material compared to their non-irradiated counterparts. Lastly, comparison was made between the increase in yield strength predicted by models and the experimentally measured values to establish the key parameters driving the strengthening behaviour.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate

Moist air is lighter than dry air at the same temperature, pressure, and volume because the molecular weight of water is less than that of dry air. We call this the vapor buoyancy effect. Although this effect is well documented, its impact on Earth’s climate has been overlooked. Here, we show that the lightness of water vapor helps to stabilize tropical climate by increasing the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). In the tropical atmosphere, buoyancy is horizontally uniform. Then, the vapor buoyancy in the moist regions must be balanced by warmer temperatures in the dry regions of the tropical atmosphere. These higher temperatures increase tropical OLR. This radiative effect increases with warming, leading to a negative climate feedback. At a near present-day surface temperature, vapor buoyancy is responsible for a radiative effect of 1 W/m 2 and a negative climate feedback of about 0.15 W/m 2 per kelvin.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Moving beyond the Aerosol Climatology of WRF-Solar: A Case Study over the North China Plain

Numerical weather prediction (NWP), when accessible, is a crucial input to short-term solar power forecasting. WRF-Solar, the first NWP model specifically designed for solar energy applications, has shown promising predictive capability. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to investigate its performance under high aerosol loading, which attenuates incoming radiation significantly. The North China Plain is a polluted region due to industrialization, which constitutes a proper testbed for such investigation. Here, in this paper, aerosol direct radiative effect (DRE) on three surface shortwave radiation components (i.e., global, beam, and diffuse) during five heavy pollution episodes is studied within the WRF-Solar framework. Results show that WRF-Solar overestimates instantaneous beam radiation up to 795.3 W m -2 when the aerosol DRE is not considered. Although such overestimation can be partially offset by an underestimation of the diffuse radiation of about 194.5 W m -2 , the overestimation of the global radiation still reaches 160.2 W m -2 . This undesirable bias can be reduced when WRF-Solar is powered by Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) aerosol forecasts, which then translates to accuracy improvements in photovoltaic (PV) power forecasts. This work also compares the forecast performance of the CAMS-powered WRF-Solar with that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model. Under high aerosol loading conditions, the irradiance forecast accuracy generated by WRF-Solar increased by 53.2% and the PV power forecast accuracy increased by 6.8%.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparative Effects of Radiation Sterilization Modality on Medical PVC Tubing

As the production volume of single-use, polymer-based medical devices increases each year, so does the need for throughput capacity to sterilize the devices. Around 80% of radiation-sterilized devices are processed using gamma-ray radiation from industrial cobalt-60 sources. Supply chain, security, and disposal concerns are prompting manufacturers and contract sterilizers to explore alternatives to irradiation using cobalt-60 gamma-rays, such as electron beam (E-beam) and X-ray radiation. Advantages of these ‘machine’ sources over radioisotope-based sources are that they do not decay, a characteristic that requires cobalt-60 to be replaced over time, they can be turned off when not in use, and they do not represent the same level of concern regarding misuse. One of the barriers to direct transition from gamma-ray sterilization to E-beam or X-ray sterilization is concern over the relatively unknown effects of sterilization dose of these alternative modalities on the performance of medical device polymers. Commercially available medical devices sterilized with gamma-ray irradiation exhibit acceptable device function, acceptable mechanical performance, and acceptable discoloration. To be viable, alternate sterilization methods must not only achieve acceptable sterilization, but the process must also result in a product with functional, mechanical, and visual effects acceptable to customers and the regulator. Flexible polyvinyl chloride (PVC) is a plastic material that is commonly found in single-use medical devices and is known for its sensitivity to radiation processing. For instance, transparent PVC is known to yellow upon irradiation. To encouraging sterilization alternatives to cobalt-60 gamma-ray, we directly compared the effects of gamma-ray, E-beam, and X-ray radiation exposure at similar sterilization-relevant doses on key properties of medical grade PVC tubing.

cobalt-60↗

The mechanisms and seasonal differences of the impact of aerosols on daytime surface urban heat island effect

The urban heat island intensity (UHII) is the temperature difference between urban areas and their rural surroundings. It is commonly attributed to changes in the underlying surface structure caused by urbanization. Air pollution caused by aerosol particles can affect the UHII through changing (1) the surface energy balance by the aerosol radiative effect (ARE) and (2) planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) stability and airflow intensity by modifying thermodynamic structure, which is referred to as the aerosol dynamic effect (ADE). By analyzing satellite data and ground-based observations collected from 2001 to 2010 at 35 cities in China and using the WRF-Chem model, we find that the impact of aerosols on UHII differs considerably: reducing the UHII in summer but increasing the UHII in winter. This seasonal contrast is proposed to be caused by the different strengths of the ARE and ADE between summer and winter. In summer, the ARE on UHII is dominant over the ADE, cooling down surface temperature more strongly in urban areas than in rural areas because of much higher aerosol loading, and offsets the urban heating, therefore weakening UHII. In winter, however, the ADE is more dominant, because aerosols stabilize the PBL more in the polluted condition, weakening the near-surface heat transport over urban areas in both vertical and horizontal directions. This means that the heat accumulated in urban areas is dispersed less effectively, and thus the UHII is enhanced. These findings shed new light on the impact of the interaction between urbanization-induced surface changes and air pollution on urban climate.urban areas and their rural surroundings. It is commonly attributed to changes in the underlying surface structure caused by urbanization. Air pollution caused by aerosol particles can affect the UHII through changing (1) the surface energy balance by the aerosol radiative effect (ARE) and (2) planetary-boundary-layer (PBL) stability and airflow intensity by modifying thermodynamic structure, which is referred to as the aerosol dynamic effect (ADE). By analyzing satellite data and ground-based observations collected from 2001 to 2010 at 35 cities in China and using the WRF-Chem model, we find that the impact of aerosols on UHII differs considerably: reducing the UHII in summer but increasing the UHII in winter. This seasonal contrast is proposed to be caused by the different strengths of the ARE and ADE between summer and winter. In summer, the ARE on UHII is dominant over the ADE, cooling down surface temperature more strongly in urban areas than in rural areas because of much higher aerosol loading, and offsets the urban heating, therefore weakening UHII. In winter, however, the ADE is more dominant, because aerosols stabilize the PBL more in the polluted condition, weakening the near-surface heat transport over urban areas in both vertical and horizontal directions. This means that the heat accumulated in urban areas is dispersed less effectively, and thus the UHII is enhanced. These findings shed new light on the impact of the interaction between urbanization-induced surface changes and air pollution on urban climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Glassy carbon formation from pyrolysis of polymeric coatings on fiber-optic sensors

Deploying fiber-optic sensors in nuclear reactors requires a detailed understanding of radiation effects on the fiber materials and the transmitted signals. Previous work has shown large wavelength shifts in the reflected spectra obtained from polymer-coated fiber-optic temperature sensors exposed to high neutron fluences. The sensor drift resulting from these wavelength shifts cannot be explained by radiation effects on fused silica glass. These shifts are hypothesized to be caused by the conversion of the polymeric fiber coating to a glassy carbon via radiolysis and/or pyrolysis and subsequent radiation-induced compaction. Here, thermal degradation of these polymeric coatings was studied to provide insight into the potential origins of the sensor drift phenomenon. Acrylate- and polyimide-coated fibers were heated under various temperatures (250–1300 °C) and environments (oxidative and inert), and the resulting coating products were characterized via mass-loss data, scanning electron microscope imaging, and Raman spectroscopy. Results suggest that the polymer decomposition product of both coating types, at least under inert conditions, is indeed a glassy carbon. Analytical models that account for radiation-induced glassy carbon coating compaction show significant compressive fiber strains and predicted wavelength shifts that agree well with experimental measurements, providing additional evidence that supports the hypothesized origins of the sensor drift.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Recent evolution of risk analyses in atomic bomb survivor studies: new methods and applications

Abstract Several decades ago a dramatic leap forward occurred in the development and application of statistical methods for modeling radiation risk at the Radiation Effects Research Foundation (RERF). Poisson regression analysis for grouped person-year cohort data and the linear excess relative risk model were introduced, and subsequently a devoted software system, Epicure® (https://www.hirosoft.com), was developed by researchers at RERF and at the U.S. National Cancer Institute. Numerous advancements in understanding radiation effects on humans were made possible with these methods, which are still the state-of-the-art for risk assessment at RERF and have remained part of the standard toolbox for radiation—and other environmental—epidemiological studies worldwide. Nevertheless, as our understanding of radiation risk has increased, so have the breadth and depth of questions that require answers based on emerging data that are not amenable to these conventional methods. This overview briefly recounts the conventional methods and then describes our recent diversification into the use or development of new statistical approaches to meet the challenges of burgeoning biological data and emerging mechanistic information. We briefly discuss the development and application of new methods, current and planned, that are part of the RERF Statistics Department’s role in supporting institution-wide research, especially in our collaborations involving the Life Span Study, Adult Health Study, and First-generation Offspring Clinical Study. Some approaches to modeling and assessing radiation risk with newer methods mentioned herein have already been published, while some are still in development or are only beginning at the proposal stage.

Oncology↗

Uncertainty in Simulating Twentieth Century West African Precipitation Trends: The Role of Anthropogenic Aerosol Emissions

Anthropogenic aerosol emissions from North America and Europe have strong effects on the decadal variability of the West African monsoon (WAM). Anthropogenic aerosol effective radiative forcing is model dependent, but the impact of such uncertainty on the simulation of long-term WAM variability is unknown. We use an ensemble of simulations with HadGEM3-GC3.1 that span the most recent estimates in simulated anthropogenic aerosol effective radiative forcing. We show that uncertainty in anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing leads to significant uncertainty at simulating multi-decadal trends in West African precipitation. At the large scale, larger forcing leads to a larger decrease in the interhemispheric temperature gradients, in temperature over both the North Atlantic Ocean and northern Sahara. There are also differences in dynamic changes specific to the WAM (locations of the Saharan heat low and African Easterly Jet, of the strength of the West African westerly jet, and of African Easterly Wave activity). We also assess effects on monsoon precipitation characteristics and temperature. We show that larger aerosol forcing results in a decrease of the number of rainy days and of heavy and extreme precipitation events and warm spells. However, simulated changes in onset and demise dates do not appear to be sensitive to the magnitude of aerosol forcing. Our results demonstrate the importance of reducing the uncertainty in anthropogenic aerosol forcing for understanding and predicting multi-decadal variability in the WAM.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cloud Feedback Uncertainty in the Equatorial Pacific Across CMIP6 Models

Cloud feedback is the largest uncertainty in estimating Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity. In this study we focus on the equatorial Pacific, where CMIP6 model cloud feedback spread is notably large. Cloud radiative effects in this region are relevant for the global climate. Our findings show that models predict a consistent shift towards the ascent regime in response to El Nino-like sea surface warming. Models diverge in terms of the radiative impact due to differences in cloud characteristics in ascent and subsidence regimes. Using the observed relationship between circulation regime and cloud radiative effect, we find a reduction in the regional mean cloud feedback estimate from 0.77 to 0.22 W m -2 K -1 , though this does not substantially lessen the model spread in total feedback. Pathways to reduce this spread include: improving confidence in the regional ocean warming pattern, and using observations and models to understand cloud type and circulation interactions.

CMIP6↗

Sensor response and radiation damage effects for 3D pixels in the ATLAS IBL Detector

Pixel sensors in 3D technology equip the outer ends of the staves of the Insertable B Layer (IBL), the innermost layer of the ATLAS Pixel Detector, which was installed before the start of LHC Run 2 in 2015. 3D pixel sensors are expected to exhibit more tolerance to radiation damage and are the technology of choice for the innermost layer in the ATLAS tracker upgrade for the HL-LHC programme. While the LHC has delivered an integrated luminosity of ≃ 235 fb -1 since the start of Run 2, the 3D sensors have received a non-ionising energy deposition corresponding to a fluence of ≃ 8.5 × 10 14 1 MeV neutron-equivalent cm -2 averaged over the sensor area. This paper presents results of measurements of the 3D pixel sensors' response during Run 2 and the first two years of Run 3, with predictions of its evolution until the end of Run 3 in 2025. Data are compared with radiation damage simulations, based on detailed maps of the electric field in the Si substrate, at various fluence levels and bias voltage values. These results illustrate the potential of 3D technology for pixel applications in high-radiation

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Radiation Hardening – Test Capabilities (LANSCE) [Slides]

The Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE) has exceptional facilities for research and testing of radiation effects in electronics. We have the best terrestrial neutron source for sea-level and airplane-altitude environments. We have a thermal neutron test capability at the Lujan Center and a proton beam test capability at the “Blue Room”. LANL has the programmatic mission to develop this radiation-effects program, namely space and satellite environments, high-performance computing (silent data corruption), and weapons delivery systems. We have a strong connection to industry which continues to grow.

42 ENGINEERING↗

The impact of cloud microphysics and ice nucleation on Southern Ocean clouds assessed with single-column modeling and instrument simulators

Abstract. Supercooled liquid clouds are common at higher latitudes (especially over the Southern Ocean) and are critical for constraining climate projections. We take advantage of the Macquarie Island Cloud and Radiation Experiment (MICRE) to perform an analysis of observed and simulated cloud processes over the Southern Ocean in a region and season dominated by supercooled liquid clouds. Using a single-column version of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecast System (IFS), we compare two different cloud microphysical schemes to ground-based observations of cloud, precipitation, and radiation over a 2.5-month period (1 January–17 March 2017). Both schemes are able to reproduce aspects of the cloud and radiation observations during MICRE to within the uncertainty of the data when the thermodynamic profile is prescribed with relaxation. There are differences in water mass and representation of reflectivity between the schemes. A sensitivity study of the cloud microphysics schemes, one a bulk one-moment scheme and the other a two-moment scheme with prediction of mass and number, indicates that several key processes create differences between the schemes. Surface radiative fluxes and total water path are highly sensitive to the formation and fall speed of precipitation. The prediction of hydrometeor number with the two-moment scheme yields a better comparison with observed reflectivity and radiative fluxes, despite predicting higher liquid water contents than observed. With the two-moment scheme, we are also able to test the sensitivity of the results to the input of liquid cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice nuclei (IN). The cloud properties and resulting radiative effects are found to be sensitive to the CCN and IN concentrations. More CCN and IN increase liquid and ice water paths, respectively. Thus, both the dynamic environment and aerosols, integrated through the cloud microphysics, are important for properly representing Southern Ocean cloud radiative effects.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Grain Boundary Effects on Radiation Damage and Tritium Diffusion in Li–Al–O Ceramics from Molecular Dynamics and Experiments

Understanding irradiation damage and tritium transport in LiAlO2 ceramics is essential for their deployment in tritium-producing burnable absorber rods (TPBARs). Grain boundaries (GBs) play an important role in governing radiation response and tritium transport in LiAlO2 and its secondary phase LiAl5O8. Using molecular dynamics simulations, we investigated defect evolution and tritium diffusion during displacement cascades in single-crystal and bicrystal LiAlO2 and LiAl5O8 at 600 K. The results reveal that GBs suppress the damage in the LiAlO2 bicrystals as compared to single crystals, via interstitial emission. The effect is more pronounced for Li defects, than for Al and O. In LiAl5O8 the damage reduction due to introduction of GB is less pronounced overall. Tritium diffusion coefficients at GBs are higher by factors of 2–10 relative to diffusion inside grain bulk. The effect is particularly pronounced in LiAlO2, where S5, S17, and S25 GBs promote rapid tritium transport, whereas LiAl5O8 exhibits slower diffusion due to reduced free volume at its GBs. These findings evince a trade-off that while GBs mitigate radiation damage by absorbing interstitials, they simultaneously provide fast pathways for tritium migration which is not desirable for TPBAR application. The mechanistic insights gained here establish a foundation for microstructural design strategies to balance radiation tolerance and tritium retention in ceramic breeder materials.

Roy, Ankit↗

Nuclear Fuel and Pu Redox Studies from The Glenn T. Seaborg Institute at Idaho National Laboratory

The Glenn T. Seaborg Institute at Idaho National Laboratory (INL-GTSI) focuses on advancing fundamental research in the actinide sciences by providing unique opportunities to early career scientists and engineers to gain experience studying the actinide elements and their associated systems. The INL-GTSI is built from three focus areas that are based on the expertise and supporting infrastructure at INL and include solid state chemistry and physics, solution phase chemistry and physics, and forensic and isotope science. INL is the lead Laboratory for nuclear energy research and development in the U. S. and the research on nuclear fuels performed under the INL-GTSI gives good examples of solid state studies. Uranium-Molybdenum (U-Mo) alloys are leading fuel candidates for conversion of high performance research and test reactors to low-enriched fuels. During irradiation, generated fission gas accumulates into bubbles and self-organizes into a gas bubble superlattice (GBS) that effectively stores fission gases and inhibits fuel swelling. A study on the early self- organizing behavior of the GBS shows that not only grain boundaries but the interfaces between the U-Mo matrix and uranium carbide (UC) impurities are important to GBS formation.[1] In solution, understanding the complex redox behavior of plutonium in aqueous environments is critical for establishing optimized nuclear waste reprocessing solvent systems and storage tank environments. INL-GTSI researchers have produced an experimentally validated multi-scale model of the gamma radiation induced behavior of plutonium ions in concentrated aqueous HNO3 solutions.[2] Here, gamma radiation effected only minimal steady state changes in the redox distribution of the plutonium oxidation states. The redox cycling between Pu(IV) and Pu(III) is demonstrated to be mediated by the •OH/NO3• radical oxidation of Pu(III) and the H2O2/HNO3 driven reduction of Pu(IV). The INL-GTSI offers young researchers the unique chance to work directly with actinide bearing materials in a U. S. National Laboratory environment. Further topical areas of interest to the INL-GTSI include, but are not limited to, fundamental actinide properties, structure/property (electronic, magnetic, thermal) relations, actinide quantum criticality, f- electron interactions, electron correlations, computational studies, new phases, defect effects, interface interactions, isotope production and separation, forensic analytical chemistry, structure and dynamic properties of actinides in non-aqueous media, separations chemistry and kinetics for advanced nuclear fuel cycles, radiation effects, and innovative and advanced ligand design for complexation of the actinides.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Atmospheric Composition and Radiative Forcing Effects due to UN International Ship Emissions Regulations (ACRUISE) Field Campaign Report

Aerosols, or atmospheric particulates, are long known to be able to seed clouds and modify their characteristics (e.g., cloud brightness, coverage, lifetime). However, the impact of aerosols on clouds is highly complex and non-linear. As a result, aerosol-cloud interaction remains the largest uncertainty in our understanding of the Earth’s radiative balance and in any future climate projections. Aerosols are also a principal component of air pollution and are known to adversely affect respiratory and cardiovascular health.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗