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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Engineering evaluation of the EQSIM simulated ground-motion database: The San Francisco Bay Area region

Ground-motion simulations for infrequent earthquake scenarios are gaining increasing interest in the engineering community for their potential to inform performance-based structural design and assessment, particularly in regions where major earthquakes are expected, but recordings from consistent historical events are not available. However, the absence of empirical data makes the evaluation of such scenarios and the interpretation of the simulation results very challenging. In this context, this paper presents the evaluation of the first EQSIM (v.1.1.0) ground-motion simulations generated for the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) region. The current database, which is at the first stages of development, includes eight realizations of a Hayward Fault M w 7 event. The evaluation of the simulated motions is first conducted on the average ground-motion amplitudes through comparison against the NGA-W2 GMPEs and a selected population of real records. A methodology for selecting a population of real records consistent with the simulated event is proposed. The objective of the proposed evaluation is twofold: (1) build confidence in the realistic character of the simulated motions for their use in engineering applications and (2) offer a critical physics-based interpretation of the simulation results that can help improve key features of the simulation models. To further investigate the implications of using the simulated ground motions for site-specific structural assessments, the ASCE7-16 approach is employed for the analysis of two hazard-consistent near-field sites in the SFBA. Results are discussed. Furthermore, this study offers a critical review of the EQSIM (v.1.1.0) SFBA ground-motion simulations and suggestions for improving the earthquake rupture models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

An Open-Source Virtual Testbed for a Real Net-Zero Energy Community

Net zero energy communities (NZECs) are critical to ensure sustainability and resilience of modernized power systems. System modeling helps overcome technical challenges in designing and operating NZECs. In this paper, we present the modeling work based on a real NZEC. Two sets of models are developed: higher-fidelity physics-based models considering the interaction between subsystems of the studied NZEC and capturing fast-dynamics; and lower-fidelity data-driven models requiring less resource to establish and/or run. All models are validated against measurements from this real NZEC. In addition, we create a simulation framework which streamlines the processes for simulation and thus allows using developed models to form a virtual testbed. To demonstrate the usage of the virtual testbed, a case study is conducted where a building-to-grid integration control is evaluated via simulation. The evaluation results suggest that the tested control significantly smooths the power draw of the studied community and doesn’t sacrifice the thermal comfort to a great extent.

Huang, Sen↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluating Optimization Strategies for Engine Simulations Using Machine Learning Emulators

This work evaluates different optimization algorithms for computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of engine combustion. Due to the computational expense of CFD simulations, emulators built with machine learning algorithms were used as surrogates for the optimizers. Two types of emulators were used: a Gaussian process (GP) and a weighted variety of machine learning methods called SuperLearner (SL). The emulators were trained using a dataset of 2048 CFD simulations that were run concurrently on a supercomputer. The design of experiments (DOE) for the CFD runs was obtained by perturbing nine input parameters using a Monte-Carlo method. The CFD simulations were of a heavy duty engine running with a low octane gasoline-like fuel at a partially premixed compression ignition mode. Ten optimization algorithms were tested, including types typically used in research applications. Each optimizer was allowed 800 function evaluations and was randomly tested 100 times. The optimizers were evaluated for the median, minimum, and maximum merits obtained in the 100 attempts. Some optimizers required more sequential evaluations, thereby resulting in longer wall clock times to reach an optimum. The best performing optimization methods were particle swarm optimization (PSO), differential evolution (DE), GENOUD (an evolutionary algorithm), and micro-genetic algorithm (GA). These methods found a high median optimum as well as a reasonable minimum optimum of the 100 trials. Moreover, all of these methods were able to operate with less than 100 successive iterations, which reduced the wall clock time required in practice. Two methods were found to be effective but required a much larger number of successive iterations: the DIRECT and MALSCHAINS algorithms. A random search method that completed in a single iteration performed poorly in finding optimum designs but was included to illustrate the limitation of highly concurrent search methods. The last three methods, Nelder–Mead, bound optimization by quadratic approximation (BOBYQA), and constrained optimization by linear approximation (COBYLA), did not perform as well.

Probst, Daniel M.↗
DOE OSTI2022

An Evaluation of Co-Simulation for Modeling Coupled Natural Gas and Electricity Networks

Reliance on natural gas for power generation has increased the coupling between gas and power networks. While this coupling can bring operational and economic benefits, it can also yield challenges, as the constraints in one system can impact the other. Co-simulation can capture the constraints and interactions between these systems, but so far, there has been limited comparison of co-simulation results to those of an integrated model. In this work, we develop a new co-simulation framework using the HELICS platform and the SAInt tool for modeling transient gas and AC optimal power flow. We evaluate this co-simulation framework against a fully integrated version of the SAInt power and gas simulators, thus providing a benchmarking of the co-simulation approach. We compare results across the two approaches for two test networks and a network representing the Belgian power and gas networks, testing both normal operating conditions and cases with compressor disruptions. In each of the cases tested, we find nearly identical results from the two approaches across various metrics of interest, such as nodal pressure, gas flow rates, and active power generation. This alignment suggests that co-simulation can yield comparable results to fully integrated models for modeling coupled gas and electricity networks.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evaluation of NCAR CAM5 simulated marine boundary layer cloud properties using a combination of satellite and surface observations

Marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds are a strong modulator of Earth’s radiative energy budget. The feedback of MBL clouds in a changing climate remains one of the largest uncertainties in our understanding of climate sensitivity, and recent studies have also suggested that radiative feedbacks related to MBL clouds may play an important role in low-frequency climate variabilities such as the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Despite their importance in the climate system, simulating MBL clouds in Earth system models (ESMs) has proved to be extremely challenging. The overarching objective of this proposal is to evaluate the MBL cloud simulation skills of the CAM5 with different cloud parameterization schemes through systematic comparison with both ground- and satellite based cloud observations. In particular, we seek to understand the advantages and limitations of the newly developed subgrid cloud parameterization scheme CLUBB (Cloud Layers Unified By Binormals) for simulation MBL clouds through comparisons of CAM5-CLUBB simulations with ARM (CAP-MBL campaign data) and satellite observations, as well as the “conventional” CAM5 and a CAM5 with the so-called super-parameterization (i.e., CAM5-MMF). In the rest of this report, we will briefly highlight our major research achievements.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2017

The atmospheric hydrologic cycle in the ACME v0.3 model

We examine the global water cycle characteristics in the Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy v0.3 model (a close relative to version 5.3 of the Community Atmosphere Model) in atmosphere-only simulations spanning the years 1980–2005. We evaluate the simulations using a broad range of observational and reanalysis datasets, examine how the simulations change when the horizontal resolution is increased from 1° to 0.25, and compare the simulations against models participating in the the Atmosphere Model Intercomparison Project of the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). Particular effort has been made to evaluate the model using the best available observational estimates and verifying model biases with additional datasets when differences are known to exist among the observations. Regardless of resolution, the model exhibits several biases: global-mean precipitation, evaporation, and precipitable water are too high, light precipitation occurs too frequently, and the atmospheric residence time of water is too short. Many of these biases are shared by the multi-model mean climate of models participating in CMIP5. The reasons behind regional biases in precipitation are discussed by examining how different fields, such as local evaporation and transport of water vapor, contribute to the bias. Although increasing the horizontal resolution does not drastically change the water cycle, it does lead to a few differences: an increase in global mean precipitation rate, an increase in the fraction of total precipitation that falls over land, more frequent heavy precipitation (>30 mm day -1 ), and a decrease in precipitable water. One of the most notable changes is the shift of precipitation produced by the convective parameterization to that produced by the large-scale microphysics parameterization. We analyze how changes in moisture and circulation with resolution contribute to this shift in the precipitation partitioning. Because changing horizontal resolution requires some re-tuning, the effect of that tuning was evaluated by performing an additional simulation at 1 but using the tunings from the 0.25 simulation. In conclusion, the evaluation shows that the more frequent heavy precipitation, the decrease in precipitable water, and the shift from convective to large-scale precipitation are predominantly due to resolution changes, while tuning changes have a major influence on the global mean precipitation and the land/ ocean partitioning of precipitation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

SU-F-T-50: Evaluation of Monte Carlo Simulations Performance for Pediatric Brachytherapy Dosimetry

Purpose: Pediatric tumors are generally treated with multi-modal procedures. Brachytherapy can be used with pediatric tumors, especially given that in this patient population low toxicity on normal tissues is critical as is the suppression of the probability for late malignancies. Our goal is to validate the GATE toolkit on realistic brachytherapy applications, and evaluate brachytherapy plans on pediatrics for accurate dosimetry on sensitive and critical organs of interest. Methods: The GATE Monte Carlo (MC) toolkit was used. Two High Dose Rate (HDR) 192Ir brachytherapy sources were simulated (Nucletron mHDR-v1 and Varian VS2000), and fully validated using the AAPM and ESTRO protocols. A realistic brachytherapy plan was also simulated using the XCAT anthropomorphic computational model .The simulated data were compared to the clinical dose points. Finally, a 14 years old girl with vaginal rhabdomyosarcoma was modelled based on clinical procedures for the calculation of the absorbed dose per organ. Results: The MC simulations resulted in accurate dosimetry in terms of dose rate constant (Λ), radial dose gL(r) and anisotropy function F(r,θ) for both sources.The simulations were executed using ∼1010 number of primaries resulting in statistical uncertainties lower than 2%.The differences between the theoretical values and the simulated ones ranged from 0.01% up to 3.3%, with the largest discrepancy (6%) being observed in the dose rate constant calculation.The simulated DVH using an adult female XCAT model was also compared to a clinical one resulting in differences smaller than 5%. Finally, a realistic pediatric brachytherapy simulation was performed to evaluate the absorbed dose per organ and to calculate DVH with respect to heterogeneities of the human anatomy. Conclusion: GATE is a reliable tool for brachytherapy simulations both for source modeling and for dosimetry in anthropomorphic voxelized models. Our project aims to evaluate a variety of pediatric brachytherapy schemes using a population of pediatric phantoms for several pathological cases. This study is part of a project that has received funding from the European Union Horizon2020 research and innovation programme under the MarieSklodowska-Curiegrantagreement.No691203.The results published in this study reflect only the authors view and the Research Executive Agency (REA) and the European Commission is not responsible for any use that may be madeof the information it contains.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Fast Reactor Irradiation Experiment Design in the ATR

Modern modeling techniques were used to investigate a proposed method for fast neutron irradiations in an existing thermal-spectrum reactor, the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR). This method builds upon pre-existing ideas, where fast flux is increased by surrounding the specimens with fissionable “booster fuel” but diverges from historical approaches by using an already developed fuel element design used in the Belgian Reactor 2 (BR2) as the booster fuel while leveraging modern 3-D modeling and simulation techniques. Design evaluations and neutronics simulations were performed to evaluate the performance of a BR2 fuel element irradiated in an ATR flux trap with test pins in the central channel of the BR2 fuel element. These efforts have yielded promising results. Adding a BR2 fuel element in the northeast (NE) flux trap of ATR was predicted to result in a 150% increase to the incident fast neutron flux with a fast (>0.1 MeV) to thermal (<0.625 eV) neutron flux ratio ranging from approximately 50 to 150, dependent on the material used for thermal neutron filtering and volume of moderator within the central channel of the BR2 element. The predicted annual fast neutron fluence (>0.1 MeV) ranges from 7.9 × 1021 to 9.1 × 1021 n/cm2. Given the relatively large fast to thermal neutron flux ratio, the calculated radial power profiles within 4.3 mm outer diameter U10Zr fueled specimens irradiated within the BR2 booster fuel element are adequate representations of those within fast neutron reactors. The predicted radial power profiles are not flat, but they are more prototypic than those seen in advanced fuels tests which began in ATR in 2003. Another distinct advantage of this experiment design is that full-scale test pins can be irradiated to augment the ongoing series of reduced scale advanced fuels tests. The proposed experiment design irradiated within a BR2 fuel element in a flux trap of ATR offers an improved alternative to the current testing of advanced reactor fuels in ATR. Selected results from this design evaluation are presented.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2018

(GO) 2 -SIM: a GCM-oriented ground-observation forward-simulator framework for objective evaluation of cloud and precipitation phase

General circulation model (GCM) evaluation using ground-based observations is complicated by inconsistencies in hydrometeor and phase definitions. Here we describe (GO) 2 -SIM, a forward simulator designed for objective hydrometeor-phase evaluation, and assess its performance over the North Slope of Alaska using a 1-year GCM simulation. For uncertainty assessment, 18 empirical relationships are used to convert model grid-average hydrometeor (liquid and ice, cloud, and precipitation) water contents to zenith polarimetric micropulse lidar and Ka-band Doppler radar measurements, producing an ensemble of 576 forward-simulation realizations. Sensor limitations are represented in forward space to objectively remove from consideration model grid cells with undetectable hydrometeor mixing ratios, some of which may correspond to numerical noise. Phase classification in forward space is complicated by the inability of sensors to measure ice and liquid signals distinctly. However, signatures exist in lidar–radar space such that thresholds on observables can be objectively estimated and related to hydrometeor phase. The proposed phase-classification technique leads to misclassification in fewer than 8 % of hydrometeor-containing grid cells. Such misclassifications arise because, while the radar is capable of detecting mixed-phase conditions, it can mistake water- for ice-dominated layers. However, applying the same classification algorithm to forward-simulated and observed fields should generate hydrometeor-phase statistics with similar uncertainty. Alternatively, choosing to disregard how sensors define hydrometeor phase leads to frequency of occurrence discrepancies of up to 40 %. So, while hydrometeor-phase maps determined in forward space are very different from model reality they capture the information sensors can provide and thereby enable objective model evaluation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

SU-F-I-53: Coded Aperture Coherent Scatter Spectral Imaging of the Breast: A Monte Carlo Evaluation of Absorbed Dose

Purpose: Coherent scatter based imaging has shown improved contrast and molecular specificity over conventional digital mammography however the biological risks have not been quantified due to a lack of accurate information on absorbed dose. This study intends to characterize the dose distribution and average glandular dose from coded aperture coherent scatter spectral imaging of the breast. The dose deposited in the breast from this new diagnostic imaging modality has not yet been quantitatively evaluated. Here, various digitized anthropomorphic phantoms are tested in a Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate the absorbed dose distribution and average glandular dose using clinically feasible scan protocols. Methods: Geant4 Monte Carlo radiation transport simulation software is used to replicate the coded aperture coherent scatter spectral imaging system. Energy sensitive, photon counting detectors are used to characterize the x-ray beam spectra for various imaging protocols. This input spectra is cross-validated with the results from XSPECT, a commercially available application that yields x-ray tube specific spectra for the operating parameters employed. XSPECT is also used to determine the appropriate number of photons emitted per mAs of tube current at a given kVp tube potential. With the implementation of the XCAT digital anthropomorphic breast phantom library, a variety of breast sizes with differing anatomical structure are evaluated. Simulations were performed with and without compression of the breast for dose comparison. Results: Through the Monte Carlo evaluation of a diverse population of breast types imaged under real-world scan conditions, a clinically relevant average glandular dose for this new imaging modality is extrapolated. Conclusion: With access to the physical coherent scatter imaging system used in the simulation, the results of this Monte Carlo study may be used to directly influence the future development of the modality to keep breast dose to a minimum while still maintaining clinically viable image quality.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

The Brazilian Earth System Model ocean–atmosphere (BESM-OA) version 2.5: evaluation of its CMIP5 historical simulation

The performance of the coupled ocean–atmosphere component of the Brazilian Earth SystemModel version 2.5 (BESM-OA2.5) was evaluated in simulating the historical period1850–2005. After a climate model validation procedure in which the main atmospheric andoceanic variabilities were evaluated against observed and reanalysis datasets, theevaluation specifically focused on the mean climate state and the most importantlarge-scale climate variability patterns simulated in the historical run, which wasforced by the observed greenhouse gas concentration. The most significant upgrades in themodel's components are also briefly presented here. BESM-OA2.5 could reproduce the mostimportant large-scale variabilities, particularly over the Atlantic Ocean (e.g., theNorth Atlantic Oscillation, the Atlantic Meridional Mode, and the Atlantic MeridionalOverturning Circulation), and the extratropical modes that occur in both hemispheres. Themodel's ability to simulate such large-scale variabilities supports its usefulness forseasonal climate prediction and in climate change studies.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Simulation of ENSO Teleconnections to Precipitation Extremes over the United States in the High-Resolution Version of E3SM

Abstract We evaluate the simulated teleconnection of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to winter season precipitation extremes over the United States in a long (98 years) 1950 control high-resolution version (HR; 25-km nominal atmosphere model horizontal resolution) of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1). The model bias and spatial pattern of ENSO teleconnections to mean and extreme precipitation in HR overall are similar to the low-resolution model’s (LR; 110 km) historical simulation (four-member ensemble, 1925–59). However, over the southeastern United States (SE-U.S.), HR produces stronger El Niño–associated extremes, reducing LR’s model bias. Both LR and HR produce weaker than observed increase in storm track activity during El Niño events there, but HR improves the ENSO-associated variability of moisture transport over SE-U.S. During El Niño, stronger vertical velocities in HR produce stronger large-scale precipitation, causing larger latent heating of the troposphere that pulls in more moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into the SE-U.S. This positive feedback also contributes to the stronger mean and extreme precipitation response in HR. Over the Pacific Northwest, LR’s bias of stronger than observed La Niña associated extremes is amplified in HR. Both models simulate stronger than observed moisture transport from the Pacific Ocean into the region during La Niña years. The amplified HR bias there is due to stronger orographically driven vertical updrafts that create stronger large-scale precipitation, despite weaker La Niña–induced storm track activity. Significance Statement New high-resolution Earth system models (ESMs) solve mathematical equations of fluid flow at much smaller spatial scales than prevalent ESMs, and thus are prohibitively expensive to compute. However, they can be useful for simulating accurate details of regional climate extremes that are driven by naturally occurring climate oscillations like El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Here, we evaluate the simulation of ENSO-driven precipitation extremes over the United States in the high-resolution version of the U.S. Department of Energy’s new Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1. We find that the high-resolution model improves upon its low-resolution counterpart over the southeastern United States by producing a better transport of moisture into the region from the Gulf of Mexico during El Niño. Over the U.S. Pacific Northwest, the high-resolution model simulates the atmospheric flow in more detail over the complex mountainous terrain. However, it also brings in more moisture from the Pacific Ocean just like the low-resolution model. This causes it to produce precipitation extremes during La Niña years there that are stronger than that observed in the real world.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2014

Evaluation of convection‐permitting model simulations of cloud populations associated with the Madden‐Julian Oscillation using data collected during the AMIE/DYNAMO field campaign

Abstract Regional convection‐permitting model simulations of cloud populations observed during the 2011 Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Madden‐Julian Oscillation Investigation Experiment/Dynamics of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation Experiment (AMIE/DYNAMO) field campaign are evaluated against ground‐based radar and ship‐based observations. Sensitivity of model simulated reflectivity, surface rain rate, and cold pool statistics to variations of raindrop breakup/self‐collection parameters in four state‐of‐the‐art two‐moment bulk microphysics schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is examined. The model simulations generally overestimate reflectivity from large and deep convective cells, and underestimate stratiform rain and the frequency of cold pools. In the sensitivity experiments, introduction of more aggressive raindrop breakup or decreasing the self‐collection efficiency increases the cold pool occurrence frequency in all of the simulations, and slightly reduces the reflectivity and precipitation statistics bias in some schemes but has little effect on the overall mean surface precipitation. Both the radar observations and model simulations of cloud populations show an approximate power law relationship between convective echo‐top height and equivalent convective cell radius.

Hagos, Samson↗
DOE OSTI2014

SU-E-J-65: Evaluation of a Radiation-Induced Cell Proliferation Probability Formula Using Monte Carlo Simulation

Purpose: To evaluate the analytic formula of the cell death probability after single fraction dose. Methods: Cancer cells endlessly divide, but radiation causes the cancer cells to die. Not all cells die right away after irradiation. Instead, they continue dividing for next few cell cycles before they stop dividing and die. At the end of every cell cycle, the cell decides if it undertakes the mitotic process with a certain probability, Pdiv, which is altered by the radiation. Previously, by using a simple analytic model of radiobiology experiments, we obtained a formula of Pdeath (= 1 − Pdiv). A question is if the proposed probability can reproduce the well-known survival data of the LQ model. In this study, we evaluated the formula by doing a Monte Carlo simulation of the cell proliferation process. Starting with Ns seed cells, the cell proliferation process was simulated for N generations or until all cells die. We counted the number of living cells at the end. Assuming that the cell colony survived when more than Nc cells were still alive, the surviving fraction S was estimated. We compared the S vs. dose, or S-D curve, with the LQ model. Results: The results indicated that our formula does not reproduce the experimentally observed S-D curve without selecting appropriate α and α/β. With parameter optimization, there was a fair agreement between the MC result and the LQ curve of dose lower than 20Gy. However, the survival fraction of MC decreased much faster in comparison to the LQ data for doses higher than 20 Gy. Conclusion: This study showed that the previously derived probability of cell death per cell cycle is not sufficiently accurate to replicate common radiobiological experiments. The formula must be modified by considering its cell cycle dependence and some other unknown effects.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of Global Fire Simulations in CMIP6 Earth System Models

Fire is the primary form of terrestrial ecosystem disturbance on a global scale and an important Earth system process. Most Earth system models (ESMs) have incorporated fire modeling, with 19 of them submitting model outputs of fire-related variables to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). This study provides the first comprehensive evaluation of CMIP6 historical fire simulations by comparing them with multiple satellite-based products and charcoal-based historical reconstructions. Our results show that most CMIP6 models simulate the present-day global burned area and fire carbon emissions within the range of satellite-based products. They also capture the major features of observed spatial patterns and seasonal cycles, the relationship of fires with precipitation and population density, and the influence of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the interannual variability of tropical fires. Regional fire carbon emissions simulated by the CMIP6 models from 1850 to 2010 generally align with the charcoal-based reconstructions, although there are regional mismatches, such as in southern South America and eastern temperate North America prior to the 1910s and in temperate North America, eastern boreal North America, Europe, and boreal Asia since the 1980s. The CMIP6 simulations have addressed three critical issues identified in CMIP5: (1) the simulated global burned area being less than half of that of the observations, (2) the failure to reproduce the high burned area fraction observed in Africa, and (3) the weak fire seasonal variability. Furthermore, the CMIP6 models exhibit improved accuracy in capturing the observed relationship between fires and both climatic and socioeconomic drivers and better align with the historical long-term trends indicated by charcoal-based reconstructions in most regions worldwide. However, the CMIP6 models still fail to reproduce the decline in global burned area and fire carbon emissions observed over the past 2 decades, mainly attributed to an underestimation of anthropogenic fire suppression, and the spring peak in fires in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes, mainly due to an underestimation of crop fires. In addition, the model underestimates the fire sensitivity to wet–dry conditions, indicating the need to improve fuel wet-ness estimation. Based on these findings, we present specific guidance for fire scheme development and suggest a postprocessing methodology for using CMIP6 multi-model outputs to generate reliable fire projection products.

Wildfire, Earth system models↗
DOE OSTI2019

SRNL Report on Vendor Solicitation and Selective Ion-Electrode Testing

Effective operation of the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) will require information collected from sampling and/or monitoring to maintain environmental compliance, product quality, and operating efficiency. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) – Office of River Protection (ORP) recognizes the potential long-term benefit of developing real-time, in-line monitoring (RTIM) at the WTP to improve the current strategy of collecting tens of thousands of samples and analyzing them. In-line monitoring can decrease processing time associated with waiting for sample analysis, reduce workers’ exposure to radiation and chemical hazards, decrease secondary waste volumes, potentially improve product quality, and provide production support and enhance overall operational control. The Assistant Manager, WTP chartered an Integrated Technical Team (ITT), which includes personnel from the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL), Bechtel National, Inc., and DOE-ORP, to evaluate the capability and potential benefits of replacing routine sample collection requirements with real-time, in-line monitoring. The initial focus of the ITT is the Direct Feed Low Activity Waste (DFLAW) Program. This work scope is being performed in multiple phases. Phase 1 is Requirements and Opportunities Analysis, Phase 2 is Applications and Benefits Determination, and Phase 3 is Qualification and Demonstration. Phase 1 included 6 tasks and was completed by SRNL in 2017. The tasks in Phase 1 were: (1) determining the functional requirements for determining analytes and properties of streams, (2) determining the technical basis for process control, (3) determining the sampling points within the Low Activity Waste (LAW) facility and Effluent Management Facility (EMF), (4) data quality and management, (5) process control challenges, and (6) preparing a Preliminary Analysis Plan. DOE-ORP was briefed on the findings from the Phase 1 tasks and requested that Phase 2 work focus on establishing a basis for a materials balance approach that minimized process sampling. The Phase 2 work scope contains tasks to evaluate a materials balance only approach as well as continuing scoping evaluations for instruments that could be used for RTIM. The Phase 2 work scope was completed by both SRNL and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). The tasks performed in Phase 2 were: 1. Overall program administration and technical oversight 2. Evaluation of a Material Balance Approach, a. Evaluation of uncertainty of this approach compared to uncertainty of current methods b. Evaluation of automating the material balance within the framework of existing control software, c. Development of the methodology to obtain and evaluate data during cold commissioning to support a material balance approach, and d. Development of a framework to utilize during presentation of the revised approach to stakeholders and regulators. 3. Screening Evaluations of Instruments to Supplement the Material Balance Approach, a. AP-105 melter condensate evaluations, and b. Screening testing with simulants. 4. Evaluation of the current DFLAW feed qualification program to identify analytes that could be eliminated, a. Inorganic analytes, b. Radionuclides, and c. Organic analytes. This report describes the results of Task 3b, Screening testing with simulants. The Savannah River National Laboratory requested demonstrations of commercially available analytical instruments by the vendors or laboratory demonstration. The techniques tested included: Raman spectroscopy, Infrared spectroscopy (IR), laser induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS), X-Ray Fluorescence Spectroscopy (XRF), and ion-selective electrochemical probes. Additionally, the instrumentation would need to be durable enough to withstand the environment of the plant, preferably with little to no maintenance. The insertion point of the instrument would be dependent upon the instrumentation.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2018

The importance of considering sub-grid cloud variability when using satellite observations to evaluate the cloud and precipitation simulations in climate models

Abstract. Satellite cloud observations have become an indispensable tool for evaluating general circulation models (GCMs). To facilitate the satellite and GCM comparisons, the CFMIP (Cloud Feedback Model Inter-comparison Project) Observation Simulator Package (COSP) has been developed and is now increasingly used in GCM evaluations. Real-world clouds and precipitation can have significant sub-grid variations, which, however, are often ignored or oversimplified in the COSP simulation. In this study, we use COSP cloud simulations from the Super-Parameterized Community Atmosphere Model (SPCAM5) and satellite observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and CloudSat to demonstrate the importance of considering the sub-grid variability of cloud and precipitation when using the COSP to evaluate GCM simulations. We carry out two sensitivity tests: SPCAM5 COSP and SPCAM5-Homogeneous COSP. In the SPCAM5 COSP run, the sub-grid cloud and precipitation properties from the embedded cloud-resolving model (CRM) of SPCAM5 are used to drive the COSP simulation, while in the SPCAM5-Homogeneous COSP run only grid-mean cloud and precipitation properties (i.e., no sub-grid variations) are given to the COSP. We find that the warm rain signatures in the SPCAM5 COSP run agree with the MODIS and CloudSat observations quite well. In contrast, the SPCAM5-Homogeneous COSP run which ignores the sub-grid cloud variations substantially overestimates the radar reflectivity and probability of precipitation compared to the satellite observations, as well as the results from the SPCAM5 COSP run. The significant differences between the two COSP runs demonstrate that it is important to take into account the sub-grid variations of cloud and precipitation when using COSP to evaluate the GCM to avoid confusing and misleading results.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗