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At least 181 records · Page 10

Unlocking aquifer sustainability through irrigator-driven groundwater conservation

Groundwater depletion caused by intensive pumping for irrigated agriculture is a global threat to economies, food security, and ecosystems. Pumping reductions are required to confront this threat, but their implementation is a “wicked” problem due to interlinked hydrological, social, and economic factors. In the US High Plains Aquifer, an irrigator-led conservation effort known as the Sheridan 6 Local Enhanced Management Area (SD-6 LEMA) is a rare example of successful collective action in agricultural-groundwater systems. In its first decade, the area has exceeded water use reduction goals and decreased depletion rates by over 50% without significantly affecting net income. In this Perspective, we highlight factors underlying the SD-6 LEMA’s effectiveness, and identify transferable governance tenets for other groundwater dependent regions striving for sustainable management of groundwater resources. These tenets include flexibility through multi-year allocations, regulatory oversight to support the irrigators’ plans, and a strong scientific foundation for sustainable agricultural-groundwater systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The evolution of coal porosity during pyrolysis

Gasification of coal, municipal waste, or other organic materials is a potential hydrogen source that entails complex thermal decomposition and transport processes. This study provides a multiscale analysis of these processes for sub-bituminous (Usibelli, Healy, Alaska) and lignite (Center, North Dakota) coals and provides data useful for process design. The chemistry, mineralogy, and pore structures of pyrolyzed coal and their evolution with thermal decomposition are discussed. Samples pyrolyzed at 200–1000 °C were analyzed by small-angle neutron scattering; ultra-small, small-, and wide-angle X-ray scattering; and other complementary techniques. Scanning electron microscopy showed new pores in the high-temperature-pyrolyzed material. Upon heating, the coals became progressively denser, and the concentration of hydrogen decreased. Changes in pore volume fell into three temperature ranges: an initial, low-temperature range that, for the Usibelli coal, involved an increase in overall porosity; a mid-temperature range associated with pore volume loss; and a high-temperature range associated with significant porosity increase and char formation. This transformation was paralleled by changes in fractal dimension and correlation length. The higher the pyrolysis temperature the greater the small-pore-volume fraction and overall surface area became. Pyrolysis increased the lateral size of coal crystallites, decreased the amorphous fraction, and increased the aromatics fraction and overall coal rank. Comparisons of neutron and X-ray scattering data and subsequent water uptake studies showed that pre-dried coals can re-hydrate relatively rapidly upon exposure to air, which can significantly affect the porosity calculated from small-angle-scattering data. Fits to the cumulative porosity curves provide a method for modeling the physical and chemical transformation of hydrogen-containing feedstock during gasification.

Anovitz, Lawrence {Larry} [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000226↗

PERSIANN Dynamic Infrared–Rain Rate Model (PDIR) for High-Resolution, Real-Time Satellite Precipitation Estimation

Precipitation measurements with high spatiotemporal resolution are a vital input for hydrometeorological and water resources studies; decision-making in disaster management; and weather, climate, and hydrological forecasting. Moreover, real-time precipitation estimation with high precision is pivotal for the monitoring and managing of catastrophic hydroclimate disasters such as flash floods, which frequently transpire after extreme rainfall. While algorithms that exclusively use satellite infrared data as input are attractive owing to their rich spatiotemporal resolution and near-instantaneous availability, their sole reliance on cloud-top brightness temperature (T b ) readings causes underestimates in wet regions and overestimates in dry regions—this is especially evident over the western contiguous United States (CONUS). We introduce an algorithm, the Precipitation Estimations from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) Dynamic Infrared–Rain rate model (PDIR), which utilizes climatological data to construct a dynamic (i.e., laterally shifting) T b –rain rate relationship that has several notable advantages over other quantitative precipitation-estimation algorithms and noteworthy skill over the western CONUS. Validation of PDIR over the western CONUS shows a promising degree of skill, notably at the annual scale, where it performs well in comparison to other satellite-based products. Analysis of two extreme landfalling atmospheric rivers show that solely IR-based PDIR performs reasonably well compared to other IR- and PMW-based satellite rainfall products, marking its potential to be effective in real-time monitoring of extreme storms. This research suggests that IR-based algorithms that contain the spatiotemporal richness and near-instantaneous availability needed for rapid natural hazards response may soon contain the skill needed for hydrologic and water resource applications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Benchmark Exercise Report for Experimental Study of Bubble Scrubbing in Water Coolant Pool

Mechanistic assessments of radionuclide release during postulated accidents are expected to be included in advanced reactor license applications. The mechanistic source term (MST) provides an opportunity for vendors to realistically evaluate the radiological consequences of an incident, and may aid in justifying reduced emergency planning zones and plant sites. However, the development of MSTs for advanced nuclear reactors is challenging because there are numerous phenomena that can affect the transport and retention of radionuclides. As part of a trial MST assessment for a metal-fueled, pool-type sodium cooled fast reactor (SFR), led by Argonne National Laboratory, a simplified radionuclide transport code (SRT code) was developed, which includes models to estimate the quantity of fission product aerosols scrubbed in the sodium pool during postulated accident scenarios. In a pool-type SFR, when fission products are released into the coolant pool due to failure of fuel pins, most of the radionuclides are scrubbed by the coolant pool, but some have the potential to migrate to the cover gas region through entrainment within gas bubbles. The SRT code contains a model that evaluates this scrubbing behavior and calculates the fraction of fission product aerosols that reach the cover gas. Due to a lack of available validation data for sodium pool scrubbing, the U.S. Department of Energy funded an experiment at the University of Wisconsin-Madison to measure aerosol scrubbing by injecting air bubbles containing aerosol into a coolant pool. Prior to performing an experiment with liquid sodium, a water loop experiment was performed. Their experiment evaluated the effect of changing the aerosol size, aerosol density, aerosol concentration, bubble size, and pool depth on the aerosol scrubbing efficiency of the pool. In this benchmark experiment, the base tests were conducted by repeated tests of isolated bubbles. Afterwards, more prototypic tests with bubble swarms were performed to evaluate the interactions between the bubbles. The bubble swarm test was able to confirm that a larger amount of aerosol scrubbing occurred than the single bubble test. It was also confirmed that as the bubble size, aerosol density, and pool height increase, the extent of pool scrubbing also increases and does not change with the aerosol concentration. In addition, since the degree of scrubbing is the lowest at aerosol sizes between 0.01 and 1 μm, that is, the largest amount of aerosol is emitted, it was confirmed that the analysis of this size in MST is the most important. This benchmark experiment informs the direction of future sodium experiments.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A Study of Support Effects for the Water-Gas-Shift Reaction over Cu

The water–gas-shift (WGS) reaction was studied on a series of supported Cu catalysts in which the MgAl 2 O 4 (MAO) support was modified by depositing ZnO, CeO 2 , Mn2O 3 and CoO using Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD). Addition of Cu by one ALD cycle gave rise to catalysts with nominally 1-wt% Cu. A 1.1-wt% Cu/MAO catalyst prepared by ALD exhibited twice the dispersion but ten times the WGS activity of a 1-wt% Cu/MAO catalyst prepared by impregnation, implying that the reaction is structure sensitive. However, Cu catalysts prepared with the ZnO, CeO 2 , and Mn 2 O 3 films showed negligible differences from that of the Cu/MAO catalyst, implying that these oxides did not promote the reaction. Cu catalysts prepared on the CoO film showed a slightly lower activity, possibly due to alloy formation. The implications of these results for the development of better WGS catalysts is discussed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Metal fluxes at the sediment–water interface in a free water surface constructed wetland

Metal biogeochemistry in the sediment, water, and the sediment–water interface (SWI) was studied in a free water surface constructed wetland. Concentrations of labile copper (Cu), zinc (Zn), sulfate, chloride, and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) were measured with the diffusive gradients in thin film (DGT) and peeper. A good agreement between peeper- and DGT-measured metals was observed for Cu (regression r 2 = 0.3, 95% CI of the slopes > 0), but not for Zn (95% CI of the slopes overlapped with 0), which was attributed to the different complexed compounds between Cu and Zn in porewater. The depth profile of labile metals in sediment porewater varied with time and was consistent with the solid-phase metal deposition, showing higher concentrations in the surface layer (3 to –3 cm) than in the bottom layer (–4 to –13 cm). The depth-averaged labile Cu and Zn concentrations measured by DGT were 1.0 and 3.1 µg/L, and labile sulfate, chloride, and DOC concentrations measured by peeper were 1.8, 3.6, and 2.1 mg/L, respectively. A sharp decrease in sulfate occurred in September when sulfate concentrations became the lowest among sampling months. This was caused by the seasonal sulfur cycles in the wetland, where the dominant sulfur reaction is sulfate reduction in warm seasons and sulfide oxidation in cold seasons. Different metal-removal mechanisms were observed in the two wetland cells; sulfur dynamics controlled the removal processes in the cell without frequent disturbance but failed to influence metal removal in the cell with frequent disturbance due to the interruption of anoxic layers. The flux ratios that compare labile element concentrations between the water column and the SWI (R-Cu, R-Zn, R-DOC, R-sulfate, and R-chloride) were generated to determine metal diffusive fluxes at the interface. Labile Zn was mostly transported from the water to the SWI during all seasons (R-Zn < 1 for all months except January). Labile Cu moved from the SWI to the water during the warm months (R-Cu < 1), which was explained by the bioturbation-induced transport of organic matter based on the positive correlations between R-Cu and R-DOC. In general, sediment can serve either as a sink or a source depending on the environmental conditions, metal speciation, and presence of living organisms. Here, metal flux at the SWI is a key component in the biogeochemical cycling of a constructed wetland.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Advanced supercritical water-based process concepts for treatment and beneficial reuse of brine in oil/gas production

Produced water generated from oil/gas reservoirs is a cost burden for oil/gas producers, with over 21 billion barrels of the waste generated in 2019. Average disposal costs range from 4.00–8.00·bbl -1 , with up to 20·bbl -1 spent on transportation alone. Dissolved solids content is a contributing factor which limits economical treatment options for this waste stream. This work proposes a novel technique that can handle high salinity waste, employing favorable properties past the critical point of water. In this study, process simulation of two supercritical water desalination (SCWD) scenarios was completed. Zero liquid discharge (ZLD) and brine concentration operating scenarios were compared, weighing the associated economics and benefits for each case. The results were shown to be economically feasible for brines with a high dissolved solids content, ranging from 3.49 to 17.28·bbl -1 in an expanded sensitivity analysis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Competitive exchange between divalent metal ions [Cu(II), Zn(II), Ca(II)] and Hg(II) bound to thiols and natural organic matter

Mercuric Hg(II) ion forms exceptionally strong complexes with various organic ligands, particularly thiols and dissolved organic matter (DOM) in natural water. Few studies, however, have experimentally determined whether or not the presence of base cations and transition metal ions, such as Ca(II), Cu(II), and Zn(II), would compete with Hg(II) bound to these ligands, as concentrations of these metal ions are usually orders of magnitude higher than Hg(II) in aquatic systems. Different from previous model predictions, a significant fraction of Hg(II) bound to cysteine (CYS), glutathione (GSH), or DOM was found to be competitively exchanged by Cu(II), but not by Zn(II) or Ca(II). About 20–75% of CYS-bound-Hg(II) [at 2:1 CYS:Hg(II)] and 14–40% of GSH-bound-Hg(II) [at 1:1 GSH:Hg(II)] were exchanged by Cu(II) at concentrations 1–3 orders of magnitude greater than Hg(II). Competitive exchange was also observed between Cu(II) and Hg(II) bound to DOM, albeit to a lower extent, depending on relative abundances of thiol and carboxylate functional groups on DOM and their equilibrium time with Hg(II). When complexed with ethylenediaminetetraacetate (EDTA), most Hg(II) could be exchanged by Cu(II) and Zn(II), as well as Ca(II) at increasing concentrations. Furthermore, these results shed additional light on competitive exchange reactions between Hg(II) and coexisting metal ions and have important implications in Hg(II) chemical speciation and biogeochemical transformation, particularly in contaminated environments containing relatively high concentrations of Hg(II) and metal ions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

International fuel performance study of fresh fuel experiments for PCMI effects during RIA experiments

This paper presents the results of High-burnup Experiments for Reactivity-initiated Accident (HERA) Modeling & Simulation (M&S) exercise. The HERA project under the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) Second Framework for Irradiation Experiments (FIDES-II) program is focused on studying Light Water Reactor (LWR) fuel behavior during Reactivity-Initiated Accident (RIA) conditions. The Part I M&S cases are based on a series of tests in the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) facility in the United States and the Nuclear Safety Research Reactor (NSRR) in Japan. The purpose of this work is to evaluate the test design to accomplish its goals in establishing clearer understanding of the effects of power pulse width during RIA conditions. Further, the blind predictions using various computational tools have been performed and compared amongst to interpret the behaviors of high burnup fuels during RIA. While many international participants evaluate the thermal–mechanical behavior of fuel rod under different conditions, a considerable scatter of outputs comes out for the cases due to the disparity between codes in predicting mechanical behaviors. In general, however, the results of thermal–mechanical analysis elaborate that nominal design conditions the shorter pulse width tests in NSRR should cause cladding failures while the TREAT tests appear to have more split prediction of failure or not. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis varying key testing parameters reveals the considerable effect of power pulse width and total energy deposition on prediction of fuel rod failure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Hydrolysis of Metal Dioxides Differentiates d-block from f-block Elements: Pa(V) as a 6d Transition Metal; Pr(V) as a 4f “Lanthanyl”

Gas-phase reactions of pentavalent metal dioxide cations M V O 2 + with water were studied experimentally for M = V, Nb, Ta, Pr, Pa, U, Pu, and Am. Addition of two H 2 O can occur by adsorption to yield hydrate (H 2 O) 2 M V O 2 + or by hydrolysis to yield hydroxide M V (OH) 4 + . Displacement of H 2 O by acetone indicates hydrates for Pr V , U V , Pu V , and Am V , whereas nondisplacement indicates hydroxides for Nb V , Ta V , and Pa V . Computed potential energy profiles agree with the experimental results and furthermore indicate that acetone unexpectedly induces dehydrolysis and displaces two H 2 O from (H 2 O)VO(OH) 2 + to yield (acetone) 2 VO 2 + . Structures and energies for several M V , as well as for Th IV and U VI , indicate that hydrolysis is governed by the involvement of valence f versus d orbitals in bonding: linear f-element dioxides are more resistant to hydrolysis than bent d-element dioxides. Accordingly, for early actinides, hydrolysis of Th IV is characteristic of a 6d-block transition metal; hydration of U V and U VI is characteristic of 5f actinyls; and Pa V is intermediate between 6d and 5f. The praseodymium oxide cation Pr V O 2 + is assigned as an actinyl-like lanthanyl with properties governed by 4f bonding.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Coalescence-Induced Spontaneous Shedding of Microdroplets on Superhydrophobic Surfaces Featuring Enclosed Micropillars with Hierarchical Roughness

This study investigated water vapor condensation on superhydrophobic surfaces (SHSs) featuring micropillars enclosed by wall lattices and having three-tier hierarchical roughness. A total of five samples were created with three (NW-J, W200-J and W400-J samples) having large micropillar depth (~6 μm) and two (NW-S and W200-S samples) having small micropillar depth (~1 μm). Two distinct condensate removal modes were observed during condensation: coalescence-induced jumping on samples with large micropillar depth and coalescence-induced shedding on samples with small micropillar depth. The results showed that the diameter of the shedding droplet on the W200-S sample having small micropillar depth could be as small as 107 μm, as compared to the theoretical critical diameter of 267 μm for gravitational shedding on the same sample. The enhanced functionality of the three-tier nanotextures on the W200-S sample could effectively suppress localized pinning of the three-phase contact line and Wenzel neck formation during the growth of condensate droplets. Consequently, during multidroplet coalescence, the released surface energy easily overcomes the solid–liquid adhesion, leading to spontaneous shedding of merged droplets. The inclusion of the wall lattice aids condensate growth by the droplet self-alignment along the walls and promoting coalescence. As a result, the W200-S sample exhibited the highest condensate collection as well. In conclusion, the proposed surface design has great potential for scaling up and implementation in heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning equipment due to the simplicity of the surface morphology and the facile spray-coating method used to achieve hierarchical roughness.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dissipation Scaled Internal Wave Drag in a Global Heterogeneously Coupled Internal/External Mode Total Water Level Model

This study showcases a global, heterogeneously coupled total water level system wherein salinity and temperature outputs from a coarser-resolution (~12 km) ocean general circulation model are used to calculate density-driven terms within a global, higher-resolution (~2.5 km) depth-averaged total water level model. We demonstrate that the inclusion of baroclinic forcing in the barotropic model requires modification of the internal wave drag term to prevent excess degradation of tidal results compared to the barotropic model. By scaling the internal tide dissipation by an easy to calculate dissipation ratio, the resulting heterogeneously coupled model has complex root mean square errors (RMSE) of 2.27 cm in the deep ocean and 12.16 cm in shallow waters for the M 2 tidal constituent. While this represents a 10%–20% deterioration as compared to the barotropic model, the improvements in total water level prediction more than offset this degradation. Global median RMSE compared to observations of total water levels, 30-day sea levels, and non-tidal residuals improve by 1.86 (18.5%), 2.55 (42.5%), and 0.36 (5.3%) cm respectively. The drastic improvement in model performance highlights the importance of including density-driven effects within global hydrodynamic models and will help to improve the results of both hindcasts and forecasts in modeling extreme and nuisance flooding. With only an 11% increase in model run time compared to the fully barotropic total water level model, this approach paves the way for high resolution coastal water level and flood models to be used alongside climate models, improving operational forecasting of total water levels.

Blakely, Coleman Peter [University of Notre Dame, ↗

The high-yield direct synthesis of dimethyl ether from CO 2 and H 2 in a dry reaction environment

Direct dimethyl ether (DME) synthesis from CO 2 and H 2 is considered a promising production route. However, this process is thermodynamically and kinetically restricted by the presence of water as a byproduct. In this study, a water-conduction membrane was incorporated into the direct DME synthesis reactor to generate a dry reaction environment. In the absence of water, the activities of the CO 2 hydrogenation catalyst (CZA) and methanol dehydration catalyst (HZSM-5) were boosted 4- and 10-fold, respectively, and single-pass CO 2 conversion of up to 73.4%, far beyond equilibrium, and DME yields of up to 54.5% were obtained. Moreover, the good protection of the catalysts against fast deactivation was demonstrated.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Increasing freshwater and dissolved organic carbon flows to Northwest Alaska’s Elson lagoon

Manifestations of climate change in the Arctic are numerous and include hydrological cycle intensification and permafrost thaw, both expected as a result of atmospheric and surface warming. Across the terrestrial Arctic dissolved organic carbon (DOC) entrained in arctic rivers may be providing a carbon subsidy to coastal food webs. Yet, data from field sampling is too often of limited duration to confidently ascertain impacts of climate change on freshwater and DOC flows to coastal waters. This study applies numerical modeling to investigate trends in freshwater and DOC exports from land to Elson Lagoon in Northwest Alaska over the period 1981-2020. While the modeling approach has limitations, the results point to significant increases in freshwater and DOC exports to the lagoon over the past four decades. The model simulation reveals significant increases in surface, subsurface (suprapermafrost), and total freshwater exports. Significant increases are also noted in surface and subsurface DOC production and export, influenced by warming soils and associated active-layer thickening. The largest changes in subsurface components are noted in September, which has experienced a ~50% increase in DOC export emanating from suprapermafrost flow. Direct coastal suprapermafrost freshwater and DOC exports in late summer more than doubled between the first and last five years of the simulation period, with a large anomaly in September 2019 representing a more than fourfold increase over September direct coastal export during the early 1980s. These trends highlight the need for dedicated measurement programs that will enable improved understanding of climate change impacts on coastal zone processes in this data sparse region of Northwest Alaska.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stokes-dependent droplet collection efficiency on a NACA 0012 airfoil from droplet-informed simulations with statistical overloading

Accurate modelling of ice accretion on aircraft wings requires analysing droplet impingement on the surface to optimize the design of ice-protection systems. We perform Euler–Lagrange simulations of a droplet-laden flow impinging on a NACA 0012 airfoil. Our study includes water droplets with eight discrete sizes ranging from 1 to 160 microns. We vary the free-stream velocity of the incoming airflow in the range 60 ≤ U ≤ 240 m s −1 and the chord length of the airfoil in the range 0.5 ≤ c ≤ 2 m. Due to the dilute nature of supercooled clouds, one-way coupling is used in the simulations. The effects of droplet breakup and collision are also neglected. To reduce the computational cost, we employ statistical overloading of droplets, allowing us to simulate millions of impinging droplets in a time span on the order of milliseconds. Our results show that the droplet collection efficiency, which measures the likelihood of droplet impingement on the airfoil surface, increases with droplet size and free-stream velocity but decreases with airfoil size. We demonstrate that collection efficiency, impingement velocity and impingement angle are primarily dictated by a single non-dimensional parameter, the droplet Stokes number. We also identify a critical stagnation-streamline Stokes number below which impingements do not occur and use it to estimate the minimum droplet size for impingement. In addition, we observe droplet behaviour to become Stokes number independent at large values of the Stokes number. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Heat and mass transfer in frost and ice’.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

In-Operando XRD Study of the Effects of Water Vapor on Phase Formation in LSM/YSZ SOFC Cathodes

Here, in-operando XRD was conducted on anode supported SOFC button cells with LSM-YSZ cathodes operated at varying cathode air compositions under constant current conditions for over 1000 h. 1-hour XRD scans were continuously collected throughout the entire operation duration. By taking the sum of measured intensities from all of the collected patterns, the resulting cumulative XRD count times allowed the identification of minor phases present at concentrations as low as <0.1 wt%. In dry air with no contaminants, the cathode exhibited improving power output during the first couple of hundred hours, followed by stable operation. The effect of 3% H 2 O + 12% CO 2 on the LSM-YSZ cathode was very similar to the effect of 3% H 2 O alone, exhibiting performance degradation. Increasing contaminants in the cathode air were found to decrease the performance of the cells. In-operando XRD discovered an increase in MnO concentration and decrease in La 2 O 3 . A gradual expansion of the LSM lattice resulting from loss of Sr or O was discovered in the LSM/YSZ cathodes tested in humid cathode air. The inverse relationship between the unit cell volume and operating voltage suggests a possible correlation between Sr segregation and performance degradation in the LSM/YSZ cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Tracking moisture sources of precipitation over Central Asia: A study based on the water-source-tagging method

Central Asia is a semi-arid to arid region that is sensitive to hydrological changes. We use the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5), equipped with a water tagging capability, to investigate the major moisture sources for climatological precipitation and its long-term trends over Central Asia. Europe, the north Atlantic and local evaporation, which explain 33.2±1.5%, 23.0±2.5% and 19.4±2.2% of the precipitation, respectively, are identified as the most dominant moisture sources for northern Central Asia (NCA). For precipitation over southern Central Asia (SCA), Europe, the north Atlantic and local evaporation contributes 25.4±2.7%, 18.0±1.7% and 14.7±1.9%, respectively. In addition, the contributions of South Asia (8.6±1.7%) and Indian Ocean (9.5±2.0%) are also substantial for SCA. Modulated by the seasonal meridional shift of subtropical westerly jet, moisture originating from low- and mid-latitude is important in winter, spring and autumn, while northern Europe contributes more in summer. We also explain the observed drying trends over southeastern Central Asia in spring and over NCA in summer during 1956-2005. The drying trend over the southeastern Central Asia in spring is mainly due to the decrease of local evaporation and weakened moisture fluxes from the Arabian Peninsula and Arabian Sea associated with the warming Western Pacific. The drying trend over NCA in summer can be attributed to the decrease of local evaporation and reduced moisture from northern Europe due to the southward shift of the subtropical westerly jet.

Jiang, Jie↗