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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 181 records · Page 10

Field-dependent magnons in the honeycomb antiferromagnet CoTiO 3

We report field-dependent high-resolution inelastic neutron scattering (INS) measurements on the honeycomb lattice magnet, CoTiO 3 , to study the evolution of its magnon excitations across a spin reorientation transition driven by an in-plane magnetic field. By carrying out elastic neutron scattering in a magnetic field, we show that the sample transitions from a collinear antiferromagnetic state with multiple magnetic domains at a low field to a monodomain state with a canted magnetic structure at a high field. Concurrent with this transition, we observed significant changes in both the energy and the width of the zone center magnon peak. The observed width change was argued to be consistent with an unusual zero-field state with extended domain walls. On the other hand, the magnon spectra near the K point of the Brillouin zone boundary were found to be largely insensitive to the changes in the ordered moment directions and the domain configuration. We argue that this observation is difficult to explain within the framework of the bond-dependent model proposed in a recent INS study [M. Elliot et al., Nat. Commun. 12, 3936 (2021)]. Our paper therefore calls for alternative explanations for the observed K-point gap in CoTiO 3 .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Majorana pair based qubits for fault tolerant quantum computing architecture using superconducting gold surface states

Under certain conditions, a fermion in a superconductor can separate in space into two parts known as Majorana zero modes, which are immune to decoherence from local noise sources and are attractive building blocks for quantum computers. Here we disclose a metal-based heterostructure platform to produce these Majorana zero modes which utilizes the surface states of certain metals in combination with a ferromagnetic insulator and a superconductor. This platform has the advantage of having a robust energy scale and the possibility of realizing complex circuit designs using lithographic methods. The Majorana zero modes are interrogated using planar tunnel junctions and electrostatic gates to selectively tunnel into designated pairs of Majorana zero modes. We give example of qubit designs and circuits that are particularly suitable for the metal-based heterostructures.

Moodera, Jagadeesh S.↗

Innovative Pathways to Net Zero Emissions: Subnational Strategies for Distributed Solar Deployment to Improve Grid Quality and Reduce Energy Costs in Argentina

Through Net Zero World, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the National Energy Secretariat of Argentina, La Pampa's Energy and Mining Secretariat, Pampetrol, and the Administracion Provincial de Energia de La Pampa (APELP) conducted an integrated analysis of the power system of the La Pampa province in Argentina. The study assessed the impact that solar and battery energy storage systems could have on the region grid's reliability and electricity costs, providing insights into long-term decarbonization strategies across Argentina. The analysis demonstrated that these systems are expected not only to help with decarbonization efforts but also to bolster grid resiliency, reduce line losses, and improve voltage regulation while lowering electricity costs. The paper offers a replicable framework for similar studies across other Argentine provinces, which could inform a national grid reliability plan and promote regional coordination. Such coordination will play a key role in supporting a nationwide clean energy transition as Argentina increases its share of renewable energy. By coordinating subnational energy plans with national strategies, Argentina can secure a resilient clean energy future, leveraging the substantial renewable resources available across its provinces.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Clean Energy for the Battery-to-EV Supply Chain: A Roadmap for Indonesia - Summary Brief

Indonesia has a unique opportunity to support the clean energy transition, enhance energy security, and spur economic growth with local battery manufacturing, bridging from the material supply all the way to pack designs and, ultimately, the manufacturing of electric cars. Following the elevation of United States and Indonesia relations to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, leaders of both countries highlighted the importance of Net Zero World support for Indonesia's energy transition, including collaboration on low-carbon battery supply chains. In support of this agreement, Net Zero World has partnered with Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and other Indonesian partners to chart actionable steps for establishing a clean, resilient battery supply chain and circular economy. This partnership aims to position Indonesia as a regional leader in clean energy and can help attract investment in the domestic battery and electric vehicle (EV) sectors.

batteries↗

Unimolecular Dynamics of Partially Deuterated Hydroperoxyalkyl Intermediates (•QOOD) in Cyclohexane and Cyclopentane Oxidation

The hydroperoxyalkyl radicals (•QOOH) formed in cyclohexane and cyclopentane oxidation with carbon radical center at the β site relative to the hydroperoxy group have recently been observed through their infrared fingerprint and time- and energy-resolved unimolecular dissociation dynamics to hydroxyl (OH) radical and cyclic ether products. Partial deuteration shifts the IR transitions associated with OH/OD motion to lower frequencies, providing a new window on the IR spectroscopy and unimolecular dynamics of these transient intermediates. Specifically, the overtone OD stretch (2ν OD ) has been identified at 5215.0 cm –1 and 5216.0 cm –1 for the β-QOOD intermediates in cyclohexane and cyclopentane oxidation, respectively. Unimolecular decay rates of the •QOOD intermediates at these energies have been obtained from the time-resolved appearance of OD products. The experimental rates are compared with statistical microcanonical rates evaluated using RRKM theory, including heavy-atom tunneling associated with simultaneous O–O bond elongation and C–O–O angle contraction along the reaction pathway. The experimental rates provide a further test of the previously determined transition state (TS) barriers, which were computed utilizing a benchmarking approach that builds on higher-level reference calculations for the smaller ethane oxidation system. Here, the experimental rate measurements for both •QOOD intermediates agree well with the computed rates after accounting for small changes in zero-point energy and a minor empirical adjustment of the TS barriers in both systems.

Ethers↗

Transverse Kinematic Imbalance in MicroBooNE's New nue CC0pi Measurements

Neutrino-nucleus cross section measurements require accurate modelling of neutrino interactions. Neutrino beams are not monoenergetic, and the energy of each interaction must instead be modelled using nuclear interaction assumptions. This introduces significant systematic uncertainty into cross section measurements. Effects such as Fermi motion, nuclear correlations, and final-state interactions (FSI) smear the underlying quasi-elastic scattering signal, making it difficult to disentangle genuine quasi-elastic kinematics from nuclear effects across the full range of interaction channels (QE, MEC, RES, DIS) probed in these measurements. Transverse Kinematic Imbalance (TKI) variables, such as $\delta p_T$ and $\delta \alpha_T$, probe this same phase space by exploiting the fact that the incoming neutrino has zero transverse momentum ($\vec{p}_T^{\,\nu} = 0$). Any measured transverse imbalance in the final state therefore arises from nuclear effects rather than from uncertainty in the incident neutrino energy, allowing cross section measurements to select a phase space that is rich in quasi-elastic-like events with minimal contamination from FSI and other nuclear effects, independent of energy reconstruction. Recent unfolded MicroBooNE cross section measurements of electron-neutrino charged-current interactions with zero pions and at least one proton ($\nu_e$ CC0$\pi$, 1eNp0$\pi$) show that several leading nuclear interaction generators (including GENIE variants, NuWro, GiBUU, and NEUT) reproduce the differential cross section in electron energy reasonably well, but consistently struggle to describe the differential cross section in the cosine of the leading proton's angle, yielding lower $p$-values across all seven generators tested. This tension points to a more fundamental, kinematics-driven disagreement between data and generators that is not visible in energy-only cross section observables. This is precisely the regime TKI variables are designed to probe. Following previous TKI cross section measurements with muon-neutrino data in MicroBooNE, this poster presents the case for extending the TKI framework to electron-neutrino cross section measurements as a next step to isolate and characterize the source of the observed generator tension in proton kinematics.

Burridge, Jessica [U. Manchester (main)] (ORCID:00↗

The value of in-reservoir energy storage for flexible dispatch of geothermal power

Geothermal systems making use of advanced drilling and well stimulation techniques have the potential to provide tens to hundreds of gigawatts of clean electricity generation in the United States by 2050. With near-zero variable costs, geothermal plants have traditionally been envisioned as providing “baseload” power, generating at their maximum rated output at all times. However, as variable renewable energy sources (VREs) see greater deployment in energy markets, baseload power is becoming increasingly less competitive relative to flexible, dispatchable generation and energy storage. Herein we conduct an analysis of the potential for future geothermal plants to provide both of these services, taking advantage of the natural properties of confined, engineered geothermal reservoirs to store energy in the form of accumulated, pressurized geofluid and provide flexible load-following generation. We develop a linear optimization model based on multi-physics reservoir simulations that captures the transient pressure and flow behaviors within a confined, engineered geothermal reservoir. We then optimize the investment decisions and hourly operations of a power plant exploiting such a reservoir against a set of historical and modeled future electricity price series. Further, we find that operational flexibility and in-reservoir energy storage can significantly enhance the value of geothermal plants in markets with high VRE penetration, with energy value improvements of up to 60% relative to conventional baseload plants operating under identical conditions. Across a range of realistic subsurface and operational conditions, our modeling demonstrates that confined, engineered geothermal reservoirs can provide large and effectively free energy storage capacity, with round-trip storage efficiencies comparable to those of leading grid-scale energy storage technologies. Optimized operational strategies indicate that flexible geothermal plants can provide both short- and long-duration energy storage, prioritizing output during periods of high electricity prices. Sensitivity analysis assesses the variation in outcomes across a range of subsurface conditions and cost scenarios.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

An NV − center in magnesium oxide as a spin qubit for hybrid quantum technologies

Recent predictions suggest that oxides, such as MgO and CaO, could serve as hosts of spin defects with long coherence times and thus be promising materials for quantum applications. However, in most cases, specific defects have not yet been identified. Here, by using a high-throughput first-principles framework and advanced electronic structure methods, we identify a negatively charged complex between a nitrogen interstitial and a magnesium vacancy in MgO with favorable electronic and optical properties for hybrid quantum technologies. We show that this NV − center has stable triplet ground and excited states, with singlet shelving states enabling optical initialization and spin-dependent readout. We predict several properties, including absorption, emission, and zero-phonon line energies, as well as zero-field splitting tensor, and hyperfine interaction parameters, which can aid in the experimental identification of this defect. Our calculations show that due to a strong pseudo-Jahn Teller effect and low-frequency phonon modes, the NV − center in MgO is subject to a substantial vibronic coupling. We discuss design strategies to reduce such coupling and increase the Debye-Waller factor, including the effect of strain and the localization of the defect states. We propose that the favorable properties of the NV − defect, along with the technological maturity of MgO, could enable hybrid classical-quantum applications, such as spintronic quantum sensors and single qubit gates.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Infrastructure and resource development needs to support a significant expansion of US nuclear capacity

In December 2023, the United States pledged at a United Nations conference to triple nuclear energy by 2050. In May of 2025 a new administration announced plans to quadruple nuclear energy by 2025, setting a new target that requires understanding the key infrastructure and resources needed to achieve large-scale deployment. This study attempts to quantify “what it takes” to deploy an additional 200 GWe of nuclear capacity. It projects demand levels for workforce, fuel, uranium mining and enrichment, waste management, supply chain, land, licensing, and water. Demand growth is also contextualized. For example, the peak number of construction workers required is approximately 215,000, a 37 % increase in the current US utility construction workforce. Up to 80,000 MT/year of mined uranium will be needed, necessitating a 60-fold increase in US mining production or a doubling of global mining if sourced externally. Advanced reactor fuels, uranium mining, and nuclear-grade equipment production would need substantial expansion. Operational workforce, enrichment needs, and licensing submissions also face significant increases. Although water consumption may see relatively lower increases, securing water rights poses unique challenges. This study consolidates various demand metrics in a broad context, highlighting the necessity of early preparations, such as workforce training, to support a tripling of nuclear energy. While it outlines the demand-side requirements, it does not assess the difficulties of ramping up or other supply-side issues. The findings also shed light on the impact of reactor size and reactor technology on various demand metrics.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Estimating energy consumption and GHG emissions in the U.S. food supply chain for net-zero

This work provides a database of the U.S. food system’s energy consumption and GHG emissions at the national and state levels by food supply chain (FSC) stage, fuel type, and food commodity. We estimate that the U.S. FSC consumed a total 4660 TBTU (4900 PJ) of site energy, 7130 TBTU (7500 PJ) of primary energy, and generated 970 MMT of GHG emissions in 2016. Among all the stages, on-farm production is the largest energy consumer (31% primary energy) and GHG emissions contributor (70%), largely due to raising animals. Optimizing distribution can reduce the stage’s energy consumption and GHG emissions and increase products’ shelf-life. Reducing food loss and waste is another good option, as it decreases the amount of food necessary to grow, thus impacting the overall FSC. The database can help stakeholders identify stage- and region-specific strategies and measures to curtail the environmental footprint of the U.S. food system.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Finite-temperature many-body perturbation theory in the canonical ensemble

Benchmark data are presented for the zeroth- through third-order many-body perturbation corrections to the electronic Helmholtz energy, internal energy, and entropy in the canonical ensemble in a wide range of temperature. They are determined as numerical λ-derivatives of the respective quantities computed by thermal full configuration interaction with a perturbation-scaled Hamiltonian, $\hat{H} = \hat{H}_0 + λ\hat{V}$. Sum-over-states analytical formulas for up to the third-order corrections to these properties are also derived as analytical λ-derivatives. These formulas, which are verified by exact numerical agreement with the benchmark data, are given in terms of the Hirschfelder–Certain degenerate perturbation energies and should be valid for both degenerate and nondegenerate reference states at any temperature down to zero. Further, the results in the canonical ensemble are compared with the same in the grand canonical ensemble.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Zero Boil-Off Methods for Large Scale Liquid Hydrogen Tanks Using Integrated Refrigeration and Storage

NASA has completed a series of tests at the Kennedy Space Center to demonstrate the capability of using integrated refrigeration and storage (IRAS) to remove energy from a liquid hydrogen (LH2) tank and control the state of the propellant. A primary test objective was the keeping and storing of the liquid in a zero boil-off state, so that the total heat leak entering the tank is removed by a cryogenic refrigerator with an internal heat exchanger. The LH2 is therefore stored and kept with zero losses for an indefinite period of time. The LH2 tank is a horizontal cylindrical geometry with a vacuum-jacketed, multi-layer insulation system and a capacity of 125,000 liters. The closed-loop helium refrigeration system was a Linde LR1620 capable of 390W cooling at 20K (without any liquid nitrogen pre-cooling). Three different control methods were used to obtain zero boil-off: temperature control of the helium refrigerant, refrigerator control using the tank pressure sensor, and duty cycling (on/off) of the refrigerator as needed. Summarized are the IRAS design approach, zero boil-off control methods, and results of the series of zero boil-off tests.

ZBO↗

Understanding the Existence of a Na 2 Dimer in a High-Spin State

The recent observation of a high-spin Na 2 dimer formed on the surface of liquid helium nanodroplets raises some fundamental questions, as the ground state of Na 2 is known to have zero spin. Is it protected against spontaneous dissociation? What is its binding energy and interatomic distance? Is it stable at a higher temperature? Using calculations based on density functional theory (with and without long-range interaction) and coupled cluster methods, CCSD(T), we show that the bonding in the high-spin Na 2 dimer is governed by van der Waals interaction with binding energy (bond length) varying between −0.030 eV (5.108 Å) and −0.192 eV (4.231 Å), depending on the computational method used. Thus, the experimental method used by Kresin and coworkers can be very useful to study larger metastable high-spin clusters such as Li 4 which was predicted in 1985 to have a tetrahedral structure carrying a magnetic moment of 2 μ B , while its ground state is planar and nonmagnetic.

Basis sets↗

Potential State Regulatory Pathways to Facilitate Low-Carbon Fuels

States and the federal government are increasingly engaged in the challenges around decarbonizing the electric grid. In particular, regulators, consumers, stakeholders, and utilities recognize the need to carefully consider the role natural gas will play in a decarbonized future. A variety of technology and policy options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions associated with natural gas use are available, including energy efficiency programs, demand reduction tools, strategic electrification, and strategies to reduce emissions from natural gas production, transportation, and consumption. Low-carbon fuels – mainly renewable natural gas (RNG) and clean hydrogen – are being considered an important component of decarbonization goals. RNG and hydrogen may be able to meaningfully reduce emissions from processes independent of geologic natural gas, displacing emissions of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas. Although RNG and hydrogen are not cost-competitive today with geologic natural gas and are smaller in scale and potential than other decarbonization options, they can be explored as potential critical tools to decarbonize sectors that are difficult to electrify or shift off of natural gas entirely, such as air travel, industrial processes, maritime transport, long-distance trucking, space heating on cold days, and railroads (Nadel, 2022). The role of this report is to provide informational context for state utility regulators to understand the impacts of and challenges associated with broader integration of low-carbon fuels, followed by examples of state regulatory actions taken to date to facilitate the development of low-carbon fuels. Setting clear guidance to calculate the environmental benefits of low-carbon fuels and continuing federal and state investments in research and development to reduce costs relative to fossil fuels will be important steps to take to signal the desire to grow the market for these fuels. State public utility commissions may play a key role in setting regulatory frameworks for low-carbon fuels and ensuring that ratepayer funds, if utilized, are done so to further the public interest. This report is intended to summarize decisions that states have made to date on low-carbon fuels. In the spirit of understanding the current market and sharing information, this report provides success stories, and lessons learned across states as regulators implement varying strategies to achieve decarbonization objectives while maintaining their focus on affordability, safety, and reliability of the energy system. The report begins with an introduction of the role of natural gas in the U.S. economy (Section I) and background information on natural gas use, decarbonization, and low-carbon fuels (Section II). Next, the report describes the current market by discussing the scale of current production, emissions intensity, resource potential, and costs of low-carbon fuels compared to geologic natural gas (Section III). Following these sections, the report describes four strategies states have employed to facilitate low-carbon fuels: opening exploratory dockets, approving voluntary tariffs for customers, approving interconnection tariffs for producers, and considering portfolio-wide procurement targets (Section IV). This section lists states that have taken actions in each category, citing utility filings, commission decisions, stakeholder comments, and other relevant sources. Finally, the report concludes with suggested questions regulators may wish to consider regarding low-carbon fuels, in the interest of preparing to make decisions in the future (Section V). These questions include: Are there existing regulatory or technical barriers to voluntary purchases of low-carbon fuels? Can customers work with utilities to procure low-carbon fuels; are producers able to interconnect projects without significant barriers to entry? Should the infrastructure and/or commodity costs of low-carbon fuels be socialized among all ratepayers, or borne solely by the large commercial and industrial (C&I) customers currently driving the market? Should regulated natural gas and/or electric utilities own and operate low-carbon fuel production? How should regulators consider the unique decarbonization potential of low-carbon fuels, particularly for hard-to-abate sectors, in decision-making? Is additional direction or clarity from state policymakers needed? What no-regrets approaches can help facilitate both near-term RNG development and long-term development of hydrogen and other zero-carbon fuels? We collectively wish to express our gratitude to the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management, for supporting this report and other technical assistance resources for state regulators on natural gas topics. State regulators operate under a variety of policy environments, and states have vastly different types of energy resources, infrastructure, and customers. While there is no optimal regulatory, policy, or technological solution that will be successful in every state, state regulators can benefit by exchanging lessons learned with their peers across the country. We look forward to continued engagement with our fellow commissioners, commission staff, NARUC, the U.S. Department of Energy, and other stakeholders to develop sound regulation in the public interest.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Hot and dense matter equation of state probability distributions for astrophysical simulations

We add an ensemble of nuclei to the equation of state for homogeneous nucleonic matter to generate a new set of models suitable for astrophysical simulations of core-collapse supernovae and neutron star mergers. We implement empirical constraints from (i) nuclear mass measurements, (ii) proton-proton scattering phase shifts, and (iii) neutron star observations. Our model is also guided by microscopic many-body theory calculations based on realistic nuclear forces, including the zero-temperature neutron matter equation of state from quantum Monte Carlo simulations and thermal contributions to the free energy from finite-temperature many-body perturbation theory. We ensure that the parameters of our model can be varied while preserving thermodynamic consistency and the connection to experimental or observational data, thus providing a probability distribution of the astrophysical hot and dense matter equation of state. Furthermore, we compare our results with those obtained from other available equations of state. While our probability distributions indeed represent a large number of possible equations of state, we cannot yet claim to have fully explored all of the uncertainties, especially with regard to the structure of nuclei in the hot and dense medium.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

All Hands On Deck: Raising the Bar on Whole Building Performance-Based Code Compliance and Above-Code Programs

In 2019 a large-scale national effort was launched with support from U.S. Department of Energy, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and Northwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (NEEA). The project aimed to develop a long-term vision and a roadmap for achieving a practical application of whole building performance-based code and above code program compliance in commercial buildings. The work was aided by engaging over 70 stakeholders across the country representing jurisdictions, above-code programs such as LEED and ENERGY STAR Multifamily Program, members of the ASHRAE Standard 90.1 and other Standard committees, IBPSA and software developers. The performance path requires whole building energy modeling and is gaining momentum. Many see it as the future of the commercial energy codes and the main pathway for achieving zero energy buildings. The paper describes the findings from a stakeholder survey funded by NEEA on the current state of performance-based path, its market penetration, trends, implementation practices and adoption challenges. It discusses the patterns revealed by experience of the states with decades-long history of performance-based compliance such as Florida and California and opportunities for taking advantage of the synergies between code and above-code programs. In addition, the paper provides an overview of the tools and resources developed as part of the effort including the compliance form for ASHRAE Standard 90.1 Section 11 and Appendix G, modeling submittal review manual, and modeler and reviewer qualification requirements. The tools and resources would help remove market barriers, deliver immediate benefits to jurisdictions and rating authorities, and achieve energy efficiency through whole-building performance path.

TSPR, Performance Based Complinace, Washington Sta↗

Analysis and prediction of reaction kinetics using the degree of rate control

“Degree of rate control” (DRC) analysis provides a quantitative approach for analysing the kinetics of multi-step reaction mechanisms that has been widely applied to both heterogeneous and homogeneous catalysis research, as well as electrocatalysis. The DRC of any given transition state or intermediate is defined as a partial derivative such that it approximately equals the fractional increase in net rate to the product of interest per differential decrease in its standard-state free energy for that species (÷RT), holding constant the standard-state free energies of all other transition states and intermediates. Even very complex mechanisms usually have only a few species with non-zero DRCs and are thus the species whose interactions with the catalyst most strongly affect the net rate. These key DRC values thus offer a simple and intuitive route to optimize catalyst materials, especially with the assistance of computational methods like density functional theory (DFT). These high-DRC species are also the species whose energetics must be most accurately measured or calculated to achieve an accurate kinetic model for any reaction mechanism. In simple cases with a single “rate-determining step”, the DRC for its transition state (TS) is + 1. Catalyst-bound intermediates, on the other hand, often have negative DRCs equal to a small integer times their fractional occupancy of catalyst sites. The apparent activation energy equals a weighted average of the standard-state enthalpies (relative to reactants) of all the species (intermediates, transition states and products) in the reaction mechanism, each weighted by its DRC (+RT). It has been shown that the apparent transfer coefficient in electrocatalysis, an inverted form of the Tafel slope, is a weighted average of the number of electrons transferred to generate each intermediate or product species in the mechanism, weighted again by the DRC. Quantitative analysis of kinetic isotope effects (KIEs, or the ratio of net rates for different reactant isotopes) in complex mechanisms has shown that the logarithm of the KIE equals the weighted average over all species in the mechanism of the difference between the two isotopes in their standard-state free energies (÷RT), again weighted by the DRC. The reaction orders with respect to fluid-phase concentrations of reactants, products and intermediates have also been proven to be directly related to DRCs. Thus, there are numerous experimental observables which equate to short linear combinations of DRCs, so that combinations of experimental measurements might provide access to DRC values. Since its invention for transition states in 1994 and its generalization to include intermediates in 2009, the DRC has thus far mainly been calculated for microkinetic models based either entirely on DFT or on DFT with the key energies (i.e., those for high-DRC species) being fine-tuned to match experiments. The relationships summarized in this work provide new opportunities for using experiments earlier in the development and optimization of microkinetic models that require input from computational catalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Renewable Energy and Efficiency Technologies in Scenarios of U.S. Decarbonization in Two Types of Models: Comparison of GCAM Modeling and Sector-Specific Modeling

Energy system projections from quantitative models inform actions ranging from short-term and local decisions, such as those about technology and infrastructure deployment, and global and long-term negotiations and targets. Computational limits require model designers to balance coverage and resolution (i.e., breadth versus depth). Some models, such as the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), represent all energy sources and uses with less resolution than models that focus on a single sector's energy use. GCAM balances global supply and demand of all energy carriers projecting prices using internal calculations for energy sources and costs of greenhouse gas mitigation while capturing interlinkages between the energy system, water, agriculture and land use, the economy, and the climate. This globally comprehensive model was used to frame the Long-Term Strategy of the United States: Pathways to Net-Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050, which the White House released in 2021 and has been used to inform national and global economy-wide climate change mitigation discussions and strategy development for decades. Unlike GCAM, sectoral models focus on a portion of the energy sector and with greater detail and resolution. The Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) electricity-sector model, for example, projects electricity system capacity expansion and operation with high-fidelity representation of emerging technologies for deep decarbonization, such as variable renewable energy and energy storage, and integration of these technologies into the electric grid. The Transportation Energy and Mobility Pathway Options (TEMPO) transportation-sector model enables analysis of household choices, with a focus on adoption, charging, and use of electric vehicles. The Scout buildings-sector model supports detailed consideration of the policies and markets that can accelerate the adoption of electrification and energy conservation measures in buildings. Such sector-specific models are instrumental in informing technology research, sectoral planning strategies, and sector-specific aspects of greenhouse gas mitigation strategies in the United States. The integrated multisector and sector-specific modeling approaches represented by GCAM and these sectoral models are complementary. The integrated multisector approach calculates energy pricing and resource allocation within the model, which is important for consistency when future conditions substantially diverge from current conditions in transformative scenarios. The sector-specific approach facilitates representation of granular details across spatial, temporal, technological, and market dimensions that enable exploration of particular interactions and trade-offs. This report presents the results of recent work to explore the differences and trade-offs between these approaches by comparing GCAM with the sector-specific ReEDS, TEMPO, and Scout models. The report compares both model structures and results, and it addresses their potential relevance and applications.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗