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At least 1,801 records · Page 100

Global Statistics of Microphysical Properties of Cloud-Top Ice Crystals

Ice crystals in clouds are highly complex. Their sizes, macroscale shape (i.e., habit), mesoscale shape (i.e., aspect ratio of components) and microscale shape (i.e., surface roughness) determine optical properties and affect physical properties such as fall speeds, growth rates and aggregation efficiency. Our current understanding on the formation and evolution of ice crystals under various conditions can be considered poor. Commonly, ice crystal size and shape are related to ambient temperature and humidity, but global observational statistics on the variation of ice crystal size and particularly shape have not been available. Here we show results of a project aiming to infer ice crystal size, shape and scattering properties from a combination of MODIS measurements and POLDER-PARASOL multi-angle polarimetry. The shape retrieval procedure infers the mean aspect ratios of components of ice crystals and the mean microscale surface roughness levels, which are quantifiable parameters that mostly affect the scattering properties, in contrast to a habit. We present global statistics on the variation of ice effective radius, component aspect ratio, microscale surface roughness and scattering asymmetry parameter as a function of cloud top temperature, latitude, location, cloud type, season, etc. Generally, with increasing height, sizes decrease, roughness increases, asymmetry parameters decrease and aspect ratios increase towards unity. Some systematic differences are observed for clouds warmer and colder than the homogeneous freezing level. Uncertainties in the retrievals will be discussed. These statistics can be used as observational targets for modeling efforts and to better constrain other satellite remote sensing applications and their uncertainties.

Van Diedenhoven, Bastiaan↗

Meridional Flow Variations: Implications for Flux Transport Models

Observations of the transport of magnetic elements across the Sun's surface indicate that, in general, the meridional flow extends all the way to the poles. Furthermore, the speed of this flow varies systematically over each solar cycle faster at minimum and slower at maximum. The flow speed on the approach to this (Cycle 24) minimum was substantially faster than it was at the last minimum. This increased flow speed should have produced a short Cycle 23 with strong polar fields in the flux transport dynamos used to predict Cycle 24. This is contrary to what we have seen. The increased flow speed does produce weak polar fields in the surface flux transport models like those used to estimate past irradiance variations. However, these surface flux transport models use meridional flow profiles that do not agree with the observations. Both types of flux transport models are missing identifiable components. We note that the observed changes in the structure of the meridional flow profile are consistent with Spruit's model for the torsional oscillations - suggesting that there may be associated irradiance variations.

Hthaway, David H.↗

Seasonal effects on distributions of minor neutral constituents in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere.

Calculations have been made of the diurnal variations in minor neutral constituents in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere for the condition of 60 deg latitude, summer and winter. Excited molecular oxygen has been added, and the effects of absorption of Schumann-Runge bands have been taken into account. The results show significant seasonal differences, which may be interpreted mainly in terms of the difference of penetration of solar radiation and the duration of sunlit hours. However, the comparison of the observed seasonal and diurnal variations in the airglow emissions from hydroxyl, atomic oxygen (5577 A), and excited molecular oxygen with those calculated from models suggests that effects of large-scale meridional circulation (horizontal and vertical transports) may be important in explaining these observations. It is shown that the concentration of the constituents whose main loss mechanism is recombination with atomic oxygen decreases sharply above 80 km.

Shimazaki, T.↗

A new sunspot umbral model and its variation with the solar cycle

Semiempirical model atmospheres are presented for the darkest parts of large sunspot umbrae, regions have called umbral cores. The approach is based on general-purpose computational procedures that are applicable to different types of stellar atmospheres. It is shown that recent umbral intensity measurements of the spectral energy distribution may be accounted for by an umbral core atmospheric model that varies with time during the solar cycle; the observed center-limb variation can be accounted for by the properties of the model. Three umbral core models are presented, corresponding to the early, middle, and late phases of the solar cycle. These three models also may be regarded as having the properties of dark, average, and bright umbral cores respectively. The effects of atomic, opacity, and abundance data uncertainties on the model calculations are briefly discussed. For comparison, a new reference model for the average quiet solar photosphere is given.

Maltby, P.↗

Estimation of EOP From VLBI: Direct Approach

The currently adopted strategy of Earth Orientation Parameters (EOP) estimation from Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) is to estimate six parameters: Universal Time 1 (UT1), UT1 rate, pole positions, and nutation offsets for each 24-hour session independently. Then the resulting time series of raw EOP are filtered and a regression analysis is performed to obtain nutation coefficients, polhode of the pole, and other physical parameters. Thus, the latter parameters are obtained indirectly in two stages. An alternative approach of direct estimation of the final EOP is presented. Pole coordinates and UT1 are considered as a sum of three components: the low-period component that is modeled by a cubic spline, the harmonic component that includes forced nutation, precession and sub-daily variations of EOP, and the stochastic component that is modeled by a linear spline with segment length 1-2 hours. All parameters are obtained in a single LSQ solution using all available data.

POLAR MOTION↗

Large-scale Observations of a Subauroral Polarization Stream by Midlatitude SuperDARN Radars: Instantaneous Longitudinal Velocity Variations

We present simultaneous measurements of flow velocities inside a subauroral polarization stream (SAPS) made by six midlatitude high-frequency SuperDARN radars. The instantaneous observations cover three hours of universal time and six hours of magnetic local time (MLT). From velocity variations across the field-of-view of the radars we infer the local 2D flow direction at three different longitudes. We find that the local flow direction inside the SAPS channel is remarkably constant over the course of the event. The flow speed, however, shows significant temporal and spatial variations. After correcting for the radar look direction we are able to accurately determine the dependence of the SAPS velocity on magnetic local time. We find that the SAPS velocity variation with magnetic local time is best described by an exponential function. The average velocity at 00 MLT was 1.2 km/s and it decreased with a spatial e-folding scale of two hours of MLT toward the dawn sector. We speculate that the longitudinal distribution of pressure gradients in the ring current is responsible for this dependence and find these observations in good agreement with results from ring current models. Using TEC measurements we find that the high westward velocities of the SAPS are - as expected - located in a region of low TEC values, indicating low ionospheric conductivities.

Clausen, L. B. N.↗

gdess: A framework for evaluating simulated atmospheric CO 2 in Earth System Models

Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) plays a key role in the global carbon cycle and global warming. Climate-carbon feedbacks are often studied and estimated using Earth System Models (ESMs), which couple together multiple model components—including the atmosphere, ocean, terrestrial biosphere, and cryosphere—to jointly simulate mass and energy exchanges within and between these components. Despite tremendous advances, model intercomparisons and benchmarking are aspects of ESMs that warrant further improvement (Fer et al., 2021; Smith et al., 2014). Such benchmarking is critical because comparing the value of state variables in these simulations against observed values provides evidence for appropriately refining model components; moreover, researchers can learn much about Earth system dynamics in the process (Randall et al., 2019). We introduce `gdess` (a.k.a., Greenhouse gas Diagnostics for Earth System Simulations), which parses observational datasets and ESM simulation output, combines them to be in a consistent structure, computes statistical metrics, and generates diagnostic visualizations. In its current incarnation, `gdess` facilitates evaluating a model's ability to reproduce observed temporal and spatial variations of atmospheric CO 2 . The diagnostics implemented modularly in `gdess` support more rapid assessment and improvement of model-simulated global CO 2 sources and sinks associated with land and ocean ecosystem processes. We intend for this set of automated diagnostics to form an extensible, open source framework for future comparisons of simulated and observed concentrations of various greenhouse gases across Earth system models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Mapping electrodynamic features of the high-latitude ionosphere from localized observations - Technique

This paper describes a novel procedure for mapping high-latitude electric fields and currents and their associated magnetic variations, using sets of localized observational data derived from different types of measurements. The technique provides a formalism for incorporating simultaneously such different classes of data as electric fields from radars and satellites, electric currents from radars, and magnetic perturbations at the ground and at satellite heights; the technique also uses available statistical information on the averages and variances of electrodynamic fields. The technique provides a more rigorous way of quantitatively estimating high-latitude electric field and current patterns than other methods and has a capability to quantify the errors in the mapped fields, based on the distribution of available data, their errors, and the statistical variances of the fields. The technique is illustrated by an application to a substorm which was analyzed by Kamide et al. (1982) by an earlier technique.

Richmond, A. D.↗

Global X-ray Spectral Variation of Eta Carinae through the 2003 X-ray Minimum

We report on the results of the X-ray observing campaign of the massive, evolved star Eta Carinae in 2003 around its recent X-ray Minimum, mainly using data from the XMM-Newton observatory. These imaging observations show that the hard X-ray source associated with the Eta Carinae system does not completely disappear in any of the observations during the Minimum. The variation of the spectral shape revealed two emission components. One newly discovered component did not exhibit any variation on kilo-second to year-long timescales, in a combined analysis with earlier ASCA and ROSAT data, and might represent the collision of a high speed outflow from Eta Carinae with ambient gas clouds. The other emission component was strongly variable in flux but the temperature of the hottest plasma did not vary significantly at any orbital phase. Absorption to the hard emission, was about a factor of three larger than the absorption determined from the cutoff of the soft emission, and reached a maximum of approx.4 x 10(exp 23)/sq cm before the Minimum. The thermal Fe\rm XXV emission line showed significant excesses on both the red and blue sides of the line outside the Minimum and exhibited a large redward excess during the Minimum. This variation in the line profile probably requires an abrupt change in ionization balance in the shocked gas.

Hamaguchi, K.↗

Photometry of the Gallilean satellites

The dependence of the magnitudes and colors on both solar and orbital phase angles is derived from photometric observations of the Gallilean satellites. The rotational variations are best defined by the most recent observations; as a consequence of the complex albedo distributions on the satellites, the light curves cannot be represented by simple analytic expressions. The recent data also establish the mean magnitudes on the V photometric system to within + or - 0.02 magnitude and permit accurate geometric albedos to be derived. The dependence of magnitude on solar phase angle, and particularly at very small phase angles, is best shown by the extensive observations from 1926 and 1927. The determined rotational curves are used to reduce these data and express the phase effect in terms of a linear curve for phase angles greater than 6 deg and a quadratic curve for smaller angles. The phase dependence of these satellites is compared with that observed for other small bodies in the solar system; particularly interesting are the anomalously large phase coefficient and opposition effect of Io.

Morrison, D.↗

The rotation of the Sun: Observations at Stanford

Daily observations of the photospheric rotation rate using the Doppler effect made at the Stanford Solar Observatory since May 1976 are analyzed. Results show that these observations show no daily or long period variations in the rotation rate that exceed the observational error of about one percent. The average rotation rate is the same as that of the sunspot and the large-scale magnetic field structures.

Scherrer, J. M.↗

Eclipse radius measurements

Methods for predicting the path edges and reducing observations of total solar eclipses for determining variations of the solar radius are described. Analyzed observations of the 1925 January eclipse show a 0.7 (arc second) decrease in the solar radius during the past fifty years.

Dunham, D. W.↗

Modulation of dayside on and neutral distributions at Venus Evidence of direct and indirect solar energy inputs

The details of solar variability and its coupled effects on the Venusian dayside are examined for evidence of short-term perturbations and associated energy inputs. Ion and neutral measurements obtained from the Orbiter Ion Mass Spectrometer and Orbital Neutral mass Spectrometer are used to show that the dayside concentrations of CO2(+) and the neutral gas temperature are smoothly modulated with a 28-day cycle reasonably matching that of the solar F(10.7) and EUV fluxes. Earlier measurements show less pronounced and more irregular modulations and more conspicuous short-term day-to-day fluctuations in the ions and neutrals, as well as relatively large enhancements in the solar wind, which appear consistent with differences in solar coronal behavior during the two periods. It is suggested that the solar wind variations cause fluctuations in joule heating, producing the observed short-term ion and neutral variations.

Taylor, H. A., Jr.↗

Radio Astronomy Explorer (RAE) 1 observations of terrestrial radio noise

Radio Astonomy Explorer (RAE) 1 data are analyzed to establish characteristics of HF terrestrial radio noise at an altitude of about 6000 km. Time and frequency variations in amplitude of the observed noise well above cosmic noise background are explained on the basis of temporal and spatial variations in ionospheric critical frequency coupled with those in noise source distributions. It is shown that terrestrial noise regularly breaks through the ionosphere and reaches RAE with magnitudes 15 or more db higher than cosmic noise background. Maximum terrestrial noise is observed when RAE is over the dark side of the Earth in the neighborhood of equatorial continental land masses where thunderstorms occur most frequently. The observed noise level is 30-40 db lower with RAE over oceans.

Herman, J. R.↗

Source apportionment of circum-Arctic atmospheric black carbon from isotopes and modeling

Black carbon (BC) contributes to Arctic climate warming, yet source attributions are inaccurate due to lacking observational constraints and uncertainties in emission inventories. Year-round, isotope-constrained observations reveal strong seasonal variations in BC sources with a consistent and synchronous pattern at all Arctic sites. These sources were dominated by emissions from fossil fuel combustion in the winter and by biomass burning in the summer. The annual mean source of BC to the circum-Arctic was 39 ± 10% from biomass burning. Comparison of transport-model predictions with the observations showed good agreement for BC concentrations, with larger discrepancies for (fossil/biomass burning) sources. The accuracy of simulated BC concentration, but not of origin, points to misallocations of emissions in the emission inventories. The consistency in seasonal source contributions of BC throughout the Arctic provides strong justification for targeted emission reductions to limit the impact of BC on climate warming in the Arctic and beyond.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Heterogeneous mantle effects on the behavior of SmKS waves and outermost core imaging

Seismic traveltime anomalies of waves that traverse the uppermost 100–200 km of the outer core have been interpreted as evidence of reduced seismic velocities (relative to radial reference models) just below the core–mantle boundary (CMB). These studies typically investigate differential traveltimes of SmKS waves, which propagate as P waves through the shallowest outer core and reflect from the underside of the CMB m times. The use of SmKS and S(m-1)KS differential traveltimes for core imaging are often assumed to suppress contributions from earthquake location errors and unknown and unmodelled seismic velocity heterogeneity in the mantle. The goal of this study is to understand the extent to which differential SmKS traveltimes are, in fact, affected by anomalous mantle structure, potentially including both velocity heterogeneity and anisotropy. Velocity variations affect not only a wave's traveltime, but also the path of a wave, which can be observed in deviations of the wave's incoming direction. Since radial velocity variations in the outer core will only minimally affect the wave path, in contrast to other potential effects, measuring the incoming direction of SmKS waves provides an additional diagnostic as to the origin of traveltime anomalies. Here we use arrays of seismometers to measure traveltime and direction anomalies of SmKS waves that sample the uppermost outer core. We form subarrays of EarthScope's regional Transportable Array stations, thus measuring local variations in traveltime and direction. We observe systematic lateral variations in both traveltime and incoming wave direction, which cannot be explained by changes to the radial seismic velocity profile of the outer core. Moreover, we find a correlation between incoming wave direction and traveltime anomaly, suggesting that observed traveltime anomalies may be caused, at least in part, by changes to the wave path and not solely by perturbations in outer core velocity. Modelling of 1-D ray and 3-D wave propagation in global 3-D tomographic models of mantle velocity anomalies match the trend of the observed traveltime anomalies. Overall, we demonstrate that observed SmKS traveltime anomalies may have a significant contribution from 3-D mantle structure, and not solely from outer core structure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Heterogeneous mantle effects on the behavior of SmKS waves and outermost core imaging

Seismic traveltime anomalies of waves that traverse the uppermost 100–200 km of the outer core have been interpreted as evidence of reduced seismic velocities (relative to radial reference models) just below the core–mantle boundary (CMB). These studies typically investigate differential traveltimes of SmKS waves, which propagate as P waves through the shallowest outer core and reflect from the underside of the CMB m times. The use of SmKS and S(m- 1)KS differential traveltimes for core imaging are often assumed to suppress contributions from earthquake location errors and unknown and unmodelled seismic velocity heterogeneity in the mantle. The goal of this study is to understand the extent to which differential SmKS traveltimes are, in fact, affected by anomalous mantle structure, potentially including both velocity heterogeneity and anisotropy. Velocity variations affect not only a wave’s traveltime, but also the path of a wave, which can be observed in deviations of the wave’s incoming direction. Since radial velocity variations in the outer core will only minimally affect the wave path, in contrast to other potential effects, measuring the incoming direction of SmKS waves provides an additional diagnostic as to the origin of traveltime anomalies. Here we use arrays of seismometers to measure traveltime and direction anomalies of SmKS waves that sample the uppermost outer core. We form subarrays of EarthScope’s regional Transportable Array stations, thus measuring local variations in traveltime and direction. We observe systematic lateral variations in both traveltime and incoming wave direction, which cannot be explained by changes to the radial seismic velocity profile of the outer core. Moreover, we find a correlation between incoming wave direction and traveltime anomaly, suggesting that observed traveltime anomalies may be caused, at least in part, by changes to the wave path and not solely by perturbations in outer core velocity. Modelling of 1-D ray and 3-D wave propagation in global 3-D tomographic models of mantle velocity anomalies match the trend of the observed traveltime anomalies. Overall, we demonstrate that observed SmKS traveltime anomalies may have a significant contribution from 3-D mantle structure, and not solely from outer core structure.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

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