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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,801 records · Page 100

Testing Nesting DXTRAN Spheres for Neutron Transport in Air

The deterministic transport sphere (DXTRAN sphere) is a technology that can be utilized in MCNP for improving sampling in the vicinity of a particular geometry, when the solid angle, between the source and particular geometry, is small. At a collision event, a DXTRAN particle is created and deterministically transported to the DXTRAN sphere, while the colliding particle (NONDXTRAN particle) continues transporting as if no DXTRAN event had occurred. Weight is balanced by killing the NONDXTRAN particle when traversing the DXTRAN sphere. If set up correctly, the DXTRAN particle placed on the DXTRAN sphere has a high probability of interacting with the geometry within the DXTRAN sphere. The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) states that the estimated mean approaches a normal distribution with known variance as the number of random samples grows sufficiently large. In reality the variance is seldom known and therefore must be estimated. In a Monte Carlo calculation, one must determine when the number of random samples is sufficiently large for the CLT to be satisfied. For the CLT to be satisfied, the first two moments (mean and variance) must exist. The second moment, the variance of a normal distribution is estimated. The slope test, which uses the largest 201 history scores of each tally fluctuation chart (TFC) bin fit to a Pareto function, is used to determine if the largest history scores decrease faster than 1/x{sup 3}. If the slope is less than 3, then enough histories have not yet been sampled such to meet the second moment existence requirement of the CLT. Usually, a slope of less than 3 indicates that the effects of high weight scores have not been satisfactorily sampled; such a consequence can also be manifested in examining trends in the 4. moment, the variance of the variance (VOV). For example, when examining the TFC, if the VOV is monotonically decreasing for a few sets of histories and then drastically increases for the next set of histories, chances are a rare high weight score, significantly greater than the average score, was encountered. As a result of the 1/R{sup 2} term, a point detector can achieve an extremely high weight, much greater than the average, as the distance from collision to point detector approaches zero. To remedy this difficulty, a 'radius of exclusion' is applied, where within the radius of exclusion 'the point detector estimate is assumed to be the average flux uniformly distributed'. A DXTRAN sphere can suffer from the same weight fluctuation as collisions in the vicinity of the DXTRAN sphere produce much larger weights than collisions happening far from the DXTRAN sphere. If the rare large weight put on the DXTRAN sphere then scores in a tally, there will be a significant increase in the VOV and the slope may drop below 3. To compliment that analysis, here we utilize an air composition and density that varies as a function of altitude, detailing the trials and tribulations of attempting to pass the 10 statistical checks for a variety of single and nested DXTRAN sphere approaches. The objective here is to illuminate important considerations for radiation transport problems with small solid angles in a scatter medium of few mean free paths (MFPs)

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Advanced Power Electronics and Electric Machines

The advanced power electronics and electric machines (APEEM) research group at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has developed world-class experimental and modeling capabilities for designing and evaluating efficient and reliable power electronics and electric machines thermal management systems. They also design, fabricate and characterize advanced power electronics packaging, and are developing state-of-health monitoring techniques. These researchers deliver safe, reliable, high performing, power-dense components that allow seamless integration between renewable energy sources, electric transportation, and the grid, helping to make widespread electric vehicle (EV) adoption and greenhouse gas emissions reduction more feasible. This document outlines the group's major capabilities in the areas of power electronics; module development and characterization; thermal modeling and management; thermomechanical reliability analysis of devices, modules, inverters/converters, and electric machines; physics-of-failure-based reliability analysis; and microelectronics. It also overviews the group's state-of-the-art equipment for fluid-based thermal management; thermal measurement & characterization; thermomechanical reliability analysis; micro- and power electronics measurement & characterization; and prototype fabrication, as well as the group's world-class modeling and simulation capabilities.

advanced gate drivers↗

The Land Surface in Earth System Reanalysis

Current global atmospheric reanalysis products such as ERA-5, MERRA-2, and JRA-55 provide estimates of land surface states and fluxes, including soil moisture, soil temperature, snow mass, latent and sensible heat fluxes, and runoff. These land surface estimates are based on land surface process models and, depending on the reanalysis product, on precipitation observations or the assimilation of land surface observations of soil moisture and snow conditions from satellites and in situ networks. The land models used in the current global atmospheric reanalysis systems are generally focused on water and energy balance processes, with prescribed static land cover and prescribed climatological vegetation conditions. That is, current global atmospheric reanalysis products do not reflect changes in land use or land cover, nor do they provide dynamic estimates of the land carbon cycle. These and other gaps, including the omission of anthropogenic processes such as irrigation in the land model, need to be addressed in the development of the next generation Earth system reanalysis systems. This presentation provides an overview of the state-of-the-art and future developments of land surface estimates in global reanalysis systems.

Rolf Reichle↗

The sublimation temperature of the cometary nucleus Observational evidence for H2O snows

It is shown that information on the chemical composition of cometary snows can be inferred from the distance r(0) between sublimating states in the cometary nucleus. Consideration is given to three techniques for measuring r(0): estimation of the dependence on distance of non-gravitational forces (NGF); estimation of the dependence on distance of molecular emissions; and (3), analysis of the cometary light curve. The dependence on distance of the NGFs suggests that the observed sublimations of short-period coments are determined by water snow. Light curves of newly discovered comets appear to confirm this result. The large production rates of H and OH in cometary atmospheres suggest that they are due to dissociation of H2O in the vapor states. Estimates of r(0) for eleven different comets are given in a table.

Delsemme, A. H.↗

A First Estimation of County-Based Green Water Availability and Its Implications for Agriculture and Bioenergy Production in the United States

Green water is vital for the terrestrial ecosystem, but water resource assessment often focuses on blue water. In this study, we estimated green water availability for major crops (i.e., corn, soybean, and wheat) and all other users(e.g., forest, grassland, and ecosystem services) at the county level in the United States. We estimated green water resources from effective rain(ER) using three different methods: Smith, U.S. Department of Agriculture-Soil Conservation Service (USDA-SCS), and the NHD plus V2 dataset. The analysis illustrates that, if green water meets all crop water demands, the fraction of green water resources available to all other users varies significantly across regions, from the Northern Plains (0.71) to the Southeast (0.98). At the county level, this fraction varies from 0.23 to 1.0. Green water resources estimated using the three different ER methods present diverse spatiotemporal distribution patterns across regions, which could affect green water availability estimates. The water availability index for green water (WAI_R) was measured taking into account crop water demand and green water resources aggregated at the county level. Beyond these parameters, WAI_R also depends on the precipitation pattern, crop type and spatially differentiated regions. In addition, seasonal analysis indicated that WAI_R is sensitive to the temporal boundary of the analysis.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Digital Laser Speckle Technologies in Measuring Blood Flow in Biotissues and the Stressed-Strained State of the Maxillodental System

A method has been developed for estimating the stressed-strained state in the ″orthodontic apparatus–dentin″ system with the use of laser-optical diagnostics based on speckle photography. We have determined the indices of the stressed-strained state in the ″orthodontic apparatus–dentin″ system depending on the composition and form of the orthodontic arch cross section. We have determined the optimum indices of the stressed-strained state of orthodontic arches in patients with periodontium diseases in combination with maxillodental anomalies and deformations, to which the following arches correspond: from copper–nickel–titanium (CuNiTi) alloy with circular (0.012″, 0.013″, 0.014″, 0.016″, 0.018″), and rectangular (0.014 × 0.025″, 0.016 × 0.025″) cross sections, from titanium–molybdenum alloy (TMA) with a rectangular cross section (0.016 × 0.025″), and from stainless steel (SS) with a circular (0.016″, 0.018″) cross section. Direct correlation has been established between indices of the stressed-strained state in the ″orthodontic apparatus–dentin″ system and the periodontium capillary pressure (r = 0.78, p < 0.05), as well as inverse strong correlation with the periodontium microcirculation intensity (r = –0.88, p < 0.05).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Space shuttle propulsion parameter estimation using optimal estimation techniques

The first twelve system state variables are presented with the necessary mathematical developments for incorporating them into the filter/smoother algorithm. Other state variables, i.e., aerodynamic coefficients can be easily incorporated into the estimation algorithm, representing uncertain parameters, but for initial checkout purposes are treated as known quantities. An approach for incorporating the NASA propulsion predictive model results into the optimal estimation algorithm was identified. This approach utilizes numerical derivatives and nominal predictions within the algorithm with global iterations of the algorithm. The iterative process is terminated when the quality of the estimates provided no longer significantly improves.

Source record↗

Open-Loop Control of Adjustable Tuned Mass Dampers for Floating Wind Turbine Platforms

In this study, we demonstrate the ability of adjustable tuned mass dampers (TMDs) to reduce the platform motion of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs). The TMDs are located in the hull and provide control authority by varying the amount of water ballast and compressed air in a reservoir over time. The optimal TMD settings depend on the wind and wave conditions of the FOWT. We present an open-loop control scheme that changes the TMD natural frequency based on sea state and a simple method for estimating the peak wave period and significant wave height. The performance of this open-loop control is compared to ideal control of the TMDs (set knowing the exact sea state), a TMD with a constant natural frequency targeting the design load case with the greatest platform motion, and a baseline set of simulations of the platform without TMDs. The constant natural frequency case performs nearly as effectively as the actively controlled case, suggesting that the TMDs can be simply designed for extreme load conditions and provide consistent control over a range of environments; however, the methods used to find the optimal TMD parameters and estimate sea state statistics could be used in other aspects of FOWT control and design.

artificial intelligence↗

The redox state of planetary basalts

Redox variations of terrestrial and lunar basalts and the redox variations in single cooling units (e.g., lava flows and lava lakes) are reviewed. Estimates for the redox states of inner solar system planetary basalts are presented; these estimates are based on consideration of a number of cosmogenic properties, models for planetary interiors, and the sequence of condensation with heliocentric distance from the protosun. It is suggested that basalts on Mercury and the Moon crystallized below the iron-wustite buffer curve; Venusian basalts are more oxidized than those on Mercury, less oxidized than those on earth, and crystallization within the field of wustite stability is thought likely; basalts on earth are dominantly in the field of magnetite stability; Martian basalts are estimated to crystallize in the upper regions of magnetite stability and well into the hematite field of stability expressed in terms of temperature and oxygen fugacity.

Haggerty, S. E.↗

Modeling golden eagle‐vehicle collisions to design mitigation strategies

ABSTRACT The incidental take of golden eagles ( Aquila chrysaetos ) as a result of wind energy development requires some form of compensatory mitigation. Although several options have been proposed, only one has been formerly accepted and implemented, and the lack of options can limit the permit process for wind facilities. We developed a model to estimate numbers of golden eagles that die when struck by vehicles when eagles scavenge road kill to evaluate removal of road‐killed carcasses as an additional mitigation option. Our model estimates vehicle collision rates as a function of eagle densities, road traffic volume, and animal carcass abundance at the scale of a Wyoming, USA, county during fall‐winter, and quantifies the effects of different mitigation strategies, including estimates of uncertainty. We evaluated the plausibility of our model estimates by predicting mortality rates for each county in Wyoming and comparing overall state mortality to current estimates of mortality using derived estimates from expert judgment. We also developed a context‐dependent analysis of potential mitigation credits controlling for carcass number, traffic volume, and background carcass removals. We found that mitigation credit should be highest in areas with greatest number of carcasses. Collision mitigation is a potentially useful addition to the mitigation toolbox for wind energy development or other activities that need to offset predicted golden eagle mortality and satisfy incidental take permit requirements. © 2018 The Authors. Journal of Wildlife Management Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Lonsdorf, Eric↗

Investigation of the epoch state filter

A navigation filtering technique has been formulated using as state variables the initial or epoch position and velocity of the spacecraft. The estimate of this initial state is then improved by filtering new measurements. The current state may be obtained by a conic extrapolation of the epoch state. Results of a digital computer simulation of the epoch state filter show that this formulation of the navigational problem results in less computer run time and less computer storage space than conventional techniques. The errors produced by this technique have been demonstrated to be comparable to those obtained by conventional maximum-likelihood filtering.

Edwards, J. A.↗

The learnability of Pauli noise

Recently, several quantum benchmarking algorithms have been developed to characterize noisy quantum gates on today’s quantum devices. A fundamental issue in benchmarking is that not everything about quantum noise is learnable due to the existence of gauge freedom, leaving open the question what information is learnable and what is not, which is unclear even for a single CNOT gate. Here we give a precise characterization of the learnability of Pauli noise channels attached to Clifford gates using graph theoretical tools. Our results reveal the optimality of cycle benchmarking in the sense that it can extract all learnable information about Pauli noise. We experimentally demonstrate noise characterization of IBM’s CNOT gate up to 2 unlearnable degrees of freedom, for which we obtain bounds using physical constraints. In addition, we show that an attempt to extract unlearnable information by ignoring state preparation noise yields unphysical estimates, which is used to lower bound the state preparation noise.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

An Uncertainty Quantification Framework for Prognostics and Condition-Based Monitoring

This paper presents a computational framework for uncertainty quantification in prognostics in the context of condition-based monitoring of aerospace systems. The different sources of uncertainty and the various uncertainty quantification activities in condition-based prognostics are outlined in detail, and it is demonstrated that the Bayesian subjective approach is suitable for interpreting uncertainty in online monitoring. A state-space model-based framework for prognostics, that can rigorously account for the various sources of uncertainty, is presented. Prognostics consists of two important steps. First, the state of the system is estimated using Bayesian tracking, and then, the future states of the system are predicted until failure, thereby computing the remaining useful life of the system. The proposed framework is illustrated using the power system of a planetary rover test-bed, which is being developed and studied at NASA Ames Research Center.

Health Monitoring↗

Secondary battery management system

A method and system for managing a battery system. The method including receiving at least one measured characteristic of the battery over a pre-defined time horizon from the at least one sensor, receiving at least one estimated characteristic of the battery from a electrochemical-based battery model based on differential algebraic equations, determining a cost function of a Moving Horizon Estimation based on the at least one measured characteristic and the at least one estimated characteristic, updating the electrochemical-based battery model based on the cost function, estimating at least one state of the at least one battery cell by applying the electrochemical-based battery model, and regulating at least one of charging or discharging of the battery based on the estimation of the at least one state of the at least one battery cell.

MirTabatabaei, Anahita↗

Secondary battery management system

A method and system for managing a battery system. The method including receiving at least one measured characteristic of the battery over a pre-defined time horizon from the at least one sensor, receiving at least one estimated characteristic of the battery from a electrochemical-based battery model based on differential algebraic equations, determining a cost function of a Moving Horizon Estimation based on the at least one measured characteristic and the at least one estimated characteristic, updating the electrochemical-based battery model based on the cost function, estimating at least one state of the at least one battery cell by applying the electrochemical-based battery model, and regulating at least one of charging or discharging of the battery based on the estimation of the at least one state of the at least one battery cell.

MirTabatabaei, Anahita↗

Estimation of emigration, return migration, and transit migration between all pairs of countries

We propose a method for estimating migration flows between all pairs of countries that allows for decomposition of migration into emigration, return, and transit components. Current state-of-the-art estimates of bilateral migration flows rely on the assumption that the number of global migrants is as small as possible. We relax this assumption, producing complete estimates of all between-country migration flows with genuine estimates of total global migration. We find that the total number of individuals migrating internationally has oscillated between 1.13 and 1.29% of the global population per 5-year period since 1990. Return migration and transit migration are big parts of total migration; roughly one of four migration events is a return to an individual’s country of birth. In the most recent time period, we estimate particularly large return migration flows from the United States to Central and South America and from the Persian Gulf to south Asia.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

A Direct Adaptive Control Approach in the Presence of Model Mismatch

This paper considers the problem of direct model reference adaptive control when the plant-model matching conditions are violated due to abnormal changes in the plant or incorrect knowledge of the plant's mathematical structure. The approach consists of direct adaptation of state feedback gains for state tracking, and simultaneous estimation of the plant-model mismatch. Because of the mismatch, the plant can no longer track the state of the original reference model, but may be able to track a new reference model that still provides satisfactory performance. The reference model is updated if the estimated plant-model mismatch exceeds a bound that is determined via robust stability and/or performance criteria. The resulting controller is a hybrid direct-indirect adaptive controller that offers asymptotic state tracking in the presence of plant-model mismatch as well as parameter deviations.

Joshi, Suresh M.↗

Theoretical Pathway toward Improved Reverse Osmosis Membrane Selectivity for Neutral Solutes: Inspiration from Gas Separations

We report highly rigid membrane materials with tailored structures have exhibited permeabilities and selectivities that exceed the polymer upper bound in gaseous and organic solvent separations for challenging mixtures containing species that are similar in size and shape. One potential question is whether such membrane materials can maintain meaningful guest diffusivities in situations where the microporous spaces are essentially full of guest molecules. Here, we use a simplified transition state theory approach to estimate the diffusivity of water and small organics within a microporous membrane. The transition state theory model is parameterized using experimental values from zeolites and carbon molecular sieve materials found in the literature. We demonstrate the differences in transport and Maxwell–Stefan diffusivities based on guest species loading with different isotherm behaviors. These calculations theorize a path forward for highly selective reverse osmosis membranes for aqueous phase separations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

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