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Performance of differenced range data types in Voyager navigation

Voyager radio navigation made use of differenced range data type for both Saturn encounters because of the low declination singularity of Doppler data. Nearly simultaneous two-way range from two-station baselines was explicitly differenced to produce this data type. Concurrently, a differential VLBI data type (DDOR), utilizing doubly differenced quasar-spacecraft delays, with potentially higher precision was demonstrated. Performance of these data types is investigated on the Jupiter to Saturn leg of Voyager 2. The statistics of performance are presented in terms of actual data noise comparisons and sample orbit estimates. Use of DDOR as a primary data type for navigation to Uranus is discussed.

Taylor, T. H.↗

Performance of differenced range data types in Voyager navigation

Voyager radio navigation made use of a differenced rage data type for both Saturn encounters because of the low declination singularity of Doppler data. Nearly simultaneous two-way range from two-station baselines was explicitly differenced to produce this data type. Concurrently, a differential VLBI data type (DDOR), utilizing doubly differenced quasar-spacecraft delays, with potentially higher precision was demonstrated. Performance of these data types is investigated on the Jupiter-to-Saturn leg of Voyager 2. The statistics of performance are presented in terms of actual data noise comparisons and sample orbit estimates. Use of DDOR as a primary data type for navigation to Uranus is discussed.

Taylor, T. H.↗

Reduction of flow-measurement uncertainties in laser velocimeters with nonorthogonal channels

An analysis of certain geometrical limitations inherent in the application of laser velocimeters with nonorthogonal channels has led to the development of advanced-LDA-calibration and data-acquisition techniques that minimize systematic and statistical errors, respectively. The data-acquisition technique optimizes the number of velocity samples collected from three velocimeter channels as a function of local turbulence intensity, vector direction, and prescribed confidence interval. Linear velocity surveys and streamline traces measured in a turbulent flow field with a three-dimensional laser velocimeter are presented and the validity and accuracy of the theoretical analysis are discussed.

Snyder, P. K.↗

Statistical and physical evolution of quasi-stellar objects

The relationship between the physical evolution of discrete extragalactic sources, the statistical evolution of the observed population of sources, and the cosmological model are discussed. Three simple forms of statistical evolution - pure luminosity evolution (PLE), pure density evolution (PDE), and generalized luminosity evolution (GLE) are considered in detail together with what these forms imply about the physical evolution of individual sources. Two methods are used to analyze the statistical evolution of the observed distribution of QSOs from combined flux-limited samples. It is shown that both PLE and PDE are inconsistent with the data over the redshift range between 0.2 and 2.2 and that a more complicated form of evolution such as GLE is required, independent of the cosmological model. This result is important for physical models of AGN, and in particular, for the accretion disk model which recent results show may be inconsistent with PLE.

Caditz, David↗

A deep x-ray survey of the Pleiades cluster and the B6-A3 main sequence stars in Orion

We have obtained deep ROSAT images of three regions within the Pleiades open cluster. We have detected 317 X-ray sources in these ROSAT PSPC images, 171 of which we associate with certain probable members of the Pleiades cluster. We detect nearly all Pleiades members with spectral types later than G0 and within 25 arcminutes of our three field centers where our sensitivity is highest. This has allowed us to derive for the first time the luminosity function for the G, K, and M dwarfs of an open cluster without the need to use statistical techniques to account for the presence of upper limits in the data sample. Because of our high X-ray detection frequency down to the faint limit of the optical catalog, we suspect that some of our unidentified X-ray sources are previously unknown, very low-mass members of the Pleiades. A large fraction of the Pleiades members detected with ROSAT have published rotational velocities. Plots of L(sub x)/L(sub bol) versus spectroscopic rotational velocity show tightly correlated 'saturation' type relations for stars with (B - V)(sub O) greater than 0.60. For each of several color ranges, X-ray luminosities rise rapidly with increasing rotation rate until v sin i approximately equals 15 km/s, and then remain essentially flat for rotation rates up to at least v sin i approximately equal to 100 km/s. The dispersion in rotation among low-mass stars in the Pleiades is by far the dominant contributor to the dispersion in L(subx) at a given mass. Only about 35 percent of the B.A. and early F stars in the Pleiades are detected as X-ray sources in our survey. There is no correlation between X-ray flux and rotation for these stars. The X-ray luminosity function for the early-type Pleiades stars appears to be bimodal, with only a few exceptions. We either detect these stars at fluxes in the range found for low-mass stars or we derive X-ray limits below the level found for most Pleiades dwarfs. The X-ray spectra for the early-type Pleiades stars detected by ROSAT are indistinguishable from the spectra of the low-mass Pleiades members. We believe that the simple explanation for this behavior is that the early-type Pleiades stars are not themselves intrinsic X-ray sources and that the X-ray sources and that the X-ray emission actually arises from low-mass companions to these stars.

Caillault, Jean-Pierre↗

Gamma-ray bursts are time-asymmetric

A simple test for time asymmetry is devised and carried out on the brightest gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) detected by the Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) on board the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory. We show evidence that individual bursts are time-asymmetric on all timescales tested, from a timescale shorter than that of pulses which compose GRBs to a timescale similar to a greater envelope that contains these pulses. We also find bursts which manifest significant asymmetry only on timescales comparable to the duration of burst, and bursts for which no clear asymmetry on any timescale is present. The sense of the asymmetry is that bursts and/or component structures rise in a shorter time than they decay. We also find that our whole sample of bursts taken together is time-asymmetric, in that there are sifnificantly more bursts and pulses where the rise is more rapid than the decay, on all timescales tested and for all energy bands tested. When our whole GRB sample is binned at 64 ms and integrated over all BATSE energies, the statistical significance is at the 6 sigma level. Models that predict time symmetry are therefore excluded.

Nemiroff, R. J.↗

A deep imaging survey of the Pleiades with ROSAT

We have obtained deep ROSAT images of three regions within the Pleiades open cluster. We have detected 317 X-ray sources in these ROSAT Position Sensitive Proportional Counter (PSPC) images, 171 of which we associate with certain or probable members of the Pleiades cluster. We detect nearly all Pleiades members with spectral types later than G0 and within 25 arcminutes of our three field centers where our sensitivity is highest. This has allowed us to derive for the first time the luminosity function for the G, K, amd M dwarfs of an open cluster without the need to use statistical techniques to account for the presence of upper limits in the data sample. Because of our high X-ray detection frequency down to the faint limit of the optical catalog, we suspect that some of our unidentified X-ray sources are previously unknown, very low-mass members of Pleiades. A large fraction of the Pleiades members detected with ROSAT have published rotational velocities. Plots of L(sub X)/L(sub Bol) versus spectroscopic rotational velocity show tightly correlated `saturation' type relations for stars with ((B - V)(sub 0)) greater than or equal to 0.60. For each of several color ranges, X-ray luminosities rise rapidly with increasing rotation rate until c sin i approximately equal to 15 km/sec, and then remains essentially flat for rotation rates up to at least v sin i approximately equal to 100 km/sec. The dispersion in rotation among low-mass stars in the Pleiades is by far the dominant contributor to the dispersion in L(sub X) at a given mass. Only about 35% of the B, A, and early F stars in the Pleiades are detected as X-ray sources in our survey. There is no correlation between X-ray flux and rotation for these stars. The X-ray luminosity function for the early-type Pleiades stars appears to be bimodal -- with only a few exceptions, we either detect these stars at fluxes in the range found for low-mass stars or we derive X-ray limits below the level found for most Pleiades dwarfs. The X-ray spectra for the early-type Pleiades stars detected by ROSAT are indistinguishable from the spectra of the low-mass Pleiades members. We believe that the simplest explanation for this behavior is that the early-type Pleiades stars are not themselves intrinsic X-ray sources and that the X-ray emission actually arises from low-mass companions to these stars.

Stauffer, J. R.↗

Uncertainty in cloud optical depth estimates made from satellite radiance measurements

The uncertainty in optical depths retrieved from satellite measurements of visible wavelength radiance at the top of the atmosphere is quantified. Techniques are briefly reviewed for the estimation of optical depth from measurements of radiance, and it is noted that these estimates are always more uncertain at greater optical depths and larger solar zenith angles. The lack of radiometric calibration for visible wavelength imagers on operational satellites dominates the uncertainty retrievals of optical depth. This is true for both single-pixel retrievals and for statistics calculated from a population of individual retrievals. For individual estimates or small samples, sensor discretization can also be significant, but the sensitivity of the retrieval to the specification of the model atmosphere is less important. The relative uncertainty in calibration affects the accuracy with which optical depth distributions measured by different sensors may be quantitatively compared, while the absolute calibration uncertainty, acting through the nonlinear mapping of radiance to optical depth, limits the degree to which distributions measured by the same sensor may be distinguished.

Pincus, Robert↗

Detection of X-ray Emission From Galaxies Inside The Bootes Void

We report the x-ray properties of Bootes void galaxies detected by the ROSAT All-Sky Survey (RASS). By searching the fields of 26 radio and 27 emission-line-selected void galaxies, we have detected 9 x-ray emitting void galaxies at >2.7-sigma confidence level. Five of these 9 galaxies are in the IP,AS subsample. We expect 2 detections at the redshift of the Bootes void based on previous positional cross-correlation studies of the RASS and IRAS Point Source Catalogue sources. Three of the x-ray emitting galaxies are AGNs (IRAS~14288+5255, Mrk~845, and IRAS 15195+5050), and the remaining 6 are all likely emission line galaxies (PC~1357+4641, CG~547, CG~922, IRAS~14SOO+4804, CG~637, and IRAS~15092+3940). The far infrared flux levels of the AGN sources implies most of the observed x-ray emissivity is from starburst activity. We have carried out timing and spectral analysis for the narrow-line Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk~845. Poor statistics prevents detailed analysis of the remaining sources. only two galaxies in our sample, BHI 1514+3819 and FSS 1515+3823, were observed during ROSAT pointed observations resulting in a nondetection at the 1-sigma level.

Kim, Chulhee↗

Detection of X-Ray Emission from Galaxies Inside the Bootes Void

We report the X-ray properties of Bootes void galaxies detected by the ROSAT All-Sky Survey (RASS). By searching the fields of 26 radio and 27 emission-line-selected void galaxies, we have detected nine X-ray-emitting void galaxies at greater than 2.7 sigma confidence level. Five of these nine galaxies are in the IRAS subsample. Two of the IRAS galaxies were previously identified in positional cross-correlation studies of the RASS and IRAS Point Source Catalogue sources. Three of the X-ray-emitting galaxies are active galactic nuclei (AGNs; IRAS 14288+5255, Mrk 845, and IRAS 15195+5050), three are emission-line galaxies (PC 1357+4641, CG 547, and CG 922), and the remaining three are of unknown spectral type (IRAS 14500+4804, CG 637, and MAS 15092+3940). The far-infrared flux levels of the AGN sources imply that most of the observed X-ray emissivity is from starburst activity. We have carried out timing and spectral analysis for the Seyfert 1 galaxy Mrk 845. Poor statistics prevents detailed analysis of the remaining sources. Only two galaxies in our sample, BHI 1514+3819 and FSS 1515+3823, were observed during ROSAT pointed observations resulting in a nondetection at the 1 sigma level.

Kim, Chulhee↗

Novel Materials for Prosthetic Liners

Existing materials for prosthetic liners tend to be thick and airtight, causing perspiration to accumulate inside the liner and potentially causing infection and injury that reduce quality of life. The purpose of this project was to examine the suitability of aerogel for prosthetic liner applications. Three tests were performed on several types of aerogel to assess the properties of each material. Moisture vapor permeability was tested by incubating four aerogel varieties with an artificial sweat solution at 37.0 C and less than 20% relative humidity for 24 hours. Two aerogel varieties were eliminated from the study due to difficulties in handling the material, and further testing proceeded with Pyrogel in 2.0 and 6.0 mm thicknesses. Force distribution was tested by compressing samples under a load of 4448 N at a rate of 2.5 mm/min. Biofilm formation was tested in a high-shear CDC Biofilm Reactor. Results showed that 2.0 mm Pyrogel blanket allowed 55.7 plus or minus 28.7% of an artificial sweat solution to transpire, and 35.5 plus or minus 27.8% transpired through 6.0 mm Pyrogel blanket. Samples also outperformed the load-bearing capabilities of existing liner materials. No statistically significant difference was found between the two Pyrogel thicknesses for either moisture vapor permeability or force distribution. In addition, biofilm formation results showed no change between the two Pyrogel thicknesses. The breathability and load bearing properties of aerogel make it a suitable material for application to prosthetic liners.

Ragolta, Carolina I.↗

Evidence for Ultra-Fast Outflows in Radio-Quiet AGNs: Detailed Photoionization Modeling of Fe K-Shell Absorption Lines - 2

X-ray absorption line spectroscopy has recently shown evidence for previously unknown Ultra-fast Outflows (UFOs) in radio-quiet AGNs. In the previous paper of this series we defined UFOs as those absorbers with an outflow velocity higher than 10,000km/s and assessed the statistical significance of the associated blue shifted FeK absorption lines in a large sample of 42 local radio-quiet AGNs observed with XMM-Newton. In the present paper we report a detailed curve of growth analysis and directly model the FeK absorbers with the Xstar photo-ionization code. We confirm that the frequency of sources in the radio-quiet sample showing UFOs is >35%. The outflow velocity distribution spans from \sim10,000km/s (\sim0.03c) up to \siml00,000kmis (\sim0.3c), with a peak and mean value of\sim42,000km/s (\sim0.14c). The ionization parameter is very high and in the range log\xi 3-6 erg s/cm, with a mean value of log\xi 4.2 erg s/cm. The associated column densities are also large, in the range N_H\siml0(exp 22)-10(exp 24)/sq cm, with a mean value of N_H\siml0(exp23)/sq cm. We discuss and estimate how selection effects, such as those related to the limited instrumental sensitivity at energies above 7keV, may hamper the detection of even higher velocities and higher ionization absorbers. We argue that, overall, these results point to the presence of extremely ionized and possibly almost Compton thick outflowing material in the innermost regions of AGNs. This also suggests that UFOs may potentially play a significant role in the expected cosmological feedback from AGNs and their study can provide important clues on the connection between accretion disks, winds and jets.

Tombesi, Francesco↗

Computing Risk of Pyrotechnic Devices Using Lot Acceptance Testing

This paper presents an application of statistical engineering to solve the problem of determining the effects of reducing test sample sizes and environment levels in lot acceptance testing (LAT) of ordnance devices used by NASA and DoD space systems. Unlike environmental testing of dedicated qualification hardware, ordnance devices have a test-like-you-fly exception and use lot acceptance sampling or LAT. LAT is performed by randomly selecting a predefined number of devices from an individual lot and exposing them to a more severe dynamic shock and vibration testing environments than flight (sometimes as high as 6 decibels over flight environments) and then performing a destructive test on the device. Recent trends have been suggested to reduce LAT costs by reducing environment test levels or the number of devices per LAT, or both. A method is given here to compute flight risk, so the proposed methods can be compared by subject matter experts to the baseline LAT methods. In addition, this method can be used to determine the best methods to include in future LAT standards for pyrotechnic devices.

Computing Risk↗

Data Science and the Knowledge Discovery Adventure

This talk will cover the important steps involved in the data science and knowledge discovery process: • Initial fact gathering (interview domain experts, review reports, articles, state-of-the-art) • Identify the problem (prediction, classification, statistical analysis, etc.) • Survey supporting data sources • Understand the data (numerical, categorical, text, sampling rate, data quality issues, etc.) • Selecting relevant features and sources • Acquire the data (set up agreements with the data stewards, APIs to download, etc.) • Merge data sources (temporal, spatial, common key, other ontologies...) • Feature Engineering (non linear domain knowledge or physics-based relationships) • Build data processing pipeline (may need to tap into data stream, develop parallel processing algorithm, federated learning etc.) • Build model and test (tune hyper-parameters, cross validation.) • Analyze/Validate results (do the results make sense. Does it answer the original question). • Deploy/Publish (Monitor and assess benefits)

Data science↗

Statistically Significant Evidence of a Release of Zinc from Pit 1 at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Experimental Test Site 300 (90-Day Report)

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) is submitting this 90-Day Report in accordance with Waste Discharge Requirements Order No. 93-100, Provision 4. This letter report is provided in reference to several seven-day letters in which LLNL reported that ground water sample analytical results from monitoring wells Kl-05, Kl-08, Kl-09, and W-PITl-2326 indicated "statistically significant evidence of a release" of zinc from LLNL's Site 300 Experimental Test Facility landfillPit 1 (Figure 1).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Brightest cluster galaxies are statistically special from z = 0.3 to z = 1

ABSTRACT We study brightest cluster galaxies (BCGs) in ∼5000 galaxy clusters from the Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) Subaru Strategic Program. The sample is selected over an area of 830 deg2 and is uniformly distributed in redshift over the range of z = 0.3−1.0. The clusters have stellar masses in the range of 1011.8−1012.9M⊙. We compare the stellar mass of the BCGs in each cluster to what we would expect if their masses were drawn from the mass distribution of the other member galaxies of the clusters. The BCGs are found to be ‘special’, in the sense that they are not consistent with being a statistical extreme of the mass distribution of other cluster galaxies. This result is robust over the full range of cluster stellar masses and redshifts in the sample, indicating that BCGs are special up to a redshift of z = 1.0. However, BCGs with a large separation from the centre of the cluster are found to be consistent with being statistical extremes of the cluster member mass distribution. We discuss the implications of these findings for BCG formation scenarios.

Dalal, Roohi (ORCID:0000000279989899)↗

Identification and Analysis of Backwater Nursery Habitats in the Middle Green River, Utah, during 2014, 2017, and 2018 Using High-Resolution Optical Remotely Sensed Imagery

Low-velocity channel-margin habitats, known as backwaters, serve as important nursery habitats for the endangered Colorado pikeminnow (Ptychocheilus lucius) in the middle Green River between Jensen and Ouray, Utah. The backwater synthesis report for the 1987–2013 period (Grippo et al. 2017) reported a decreased number of backwaters per river mile (RM) and an increased mean backwater size across the middle Green River. Information about backwaters is critical for understanding habitat characteristics that are important for Colorado pikeminnow recruitment. The goal of this study was to determine backwater number and size in the middle Green River using high-resolution imagery for 2018 to add to our understanding of long-term trends of backwater habitat availability across the reach. For comparative analysis of backwater habitats between 2004 and 2018, information for 2004, 2006, 2013, 2014 and 2017 from our previous studies was also utilized (Grippo et al. 2017; Hamada et al. 2017, 2021, and in review). Across the 2004, 2006, 2013, 2014, 2017, and 2018 study years, mean daily flow at the Jensen gage during image collection ranged from 1,220 cfs (2004) to 2,940 cfs (2014), which was approximately 140% greater in 2014 than in 2004. The number of delineated backwaters ranged from 88 (2013) to 245 (2017), and total backwater area ranged from 118,938 m 2 (2006) to 209,611 m 2 (2014). Mean backwater size ranged from 822 m 2 (2017) to 1,508 m 2 (2018), but there was considerable variability in backwater size for each of the study years. Backwater areas differed significantly among the study years based on a Kruskal-Wallis Rank Sum test ( P < 0.001). Pairwise Wilcoxon tests indicated that the median backwater areas in 2017 and 2014 were significantly lower than in the other sample years ( P ≤ 0.05), even though these years had the highest total backwater area. 2018 had the greatest median backwater area, although the distribution of backwater area values was not statistically different from backwater areas measured in 2013 ( P > 0.05). These two years also had the lowest maximum backwater area values among all sample years. The distribution of backwater area values was not significantly different ( P > 0.05) among the 2006, 2004, and 2013 sample years.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

PROBING THE LOW-REDSHIFT STAR FORMATION RATE AS A FUNCTION OF METALLICITY THROUGH THE LOCAL ENVIRONMENTS OF TYPE II SUPERNOVAE

Type II supernovae (SNe) can be used as a star formation tracer to probe the metallicity distribution of global low-redshift star formation. We present oxygen and iron abundance distributions of Type II SN progenitor regions that avoid many previous sources of bias. Because iron abundance, rather than oxygen abundance, is of key importance for the late stage evolution of the massive stars that are the progenitors of core-collapse supernovae, and because iron enrichment lags oxygen enrichment, we find a general conversion from oxygen abundance to iron abundance. The distributions we present here are the best yet observational standard of comparison for evaluating how different classes of supernovae depend on progenitor metallicity. We spectroscopically measure the gas-phase oxygen abundance near a representative subsample of the hosts of Type II SNe from the first-year Palomar Transient Factory (PTF) SN search, using a combination of Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) spectra near the SN location (9 hosts) and new longslit spectroscopy (25 hosts). The median metallicity of these 34 hosts at or near the SN location is 12+log(O/H) = 8.65, with a median error of 0.09. The median host galaxy stellar mass from fits to SDSS photometry is 10{sup 9.9} M{sub Sun }. They do not show a systematic offset in metallicity or mass from a redshift-matched sample of the MPA/JHU value-added catalog. In contrast to previous SN host metallicity studies, this sample is drawn from a single survey. It is also drawn from an areal rather than a targeted survey, so SNe in the lowest-mass galaxies are not systematically excluded. Indeed, the PTF SN search has a slight bias toward following up transients in low mass galaxies. The progenitor region metallicity distribution we find is statistically indistinguishable from the metallicity distribution of Type II SN hosts found by targeted surveys and by samples from multiple surveys with different selection functions. Using the relationship between iron and oxygen abundances found for Milky Way disk, bulge, and halo stars, we translate our distribution of Type II SN environments as a function of oxygen abundance into an estimate of the iron abundance, since iron varies more steeply than oxygen. We find that though this sample spans only 0.65 dex in oxygen abundance, the gap between the iron and oxygen abundance is 50% wider at the low-metallicity end of our sample than at the high-metallicity end.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

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