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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11

Evaluation of Lightning Incidence to Elements of a Complex Structure: A Monte Carlo Approach

There are complex structures for which the installation and positioning of the lightning protection system (LPS) cannot be done using the lightning protection standard guidelines. As a result, there are some "unprotected" or "exposed" areas. In an effort to quantify the lightning threat to these areas, a Monte Carlo statistical tool has been developed. This statistical tool uses two random number generators: a uniform distribution to generate the origin of downward propagating leaders and a lognormal distribution to generate the corresponding returns stroke peak currents. Downward leaders propagate vertically downward and their striking distances are defined by the polarity and peak current. Following the electrogeometrical concept, we assume that the leader attaches to the closest object within its striking distance. The statistical analysis is run for N number of years with an assumed ground flash density and the output of the program is the probability of direct attachment to objects of interest with its corresponding peak current distribution.

Mata, Carlos T.↗

Monte Carlo Analysis of the Commissioning Phase Maneuvers of the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) Mission

The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission will perform soil moisture content and freeze/thaw state observations from a low-Earth orbit. The observatory is scheduled to launch in October 2014 and will perform observations from a near-polar, frozen, and sun-synchronous Science Orbit for a 3-year data collection mission. At launch, the observatory is delivered to an Injection Orbit that is biased below the Science Orbit; the spacecraft will maneuver to the Science Orbit during the mission Commissioning Phase. The delta V needed to maneuver from the Injection Orbit to the Science Orbit is computed statistically via a Monte Carlo simulation; the 99th percentile delta V (delta V99) is carried as a line item in the mission delta V budget. This paper details the simulation and analysis performed to compute this figure and the delta V99 computed per current mission parameters.

Monte Carlo simulations↗

Monte-Carlo Estimation of the Inflight Performance of the GEMS Satellite X-Ray Polarimeter

We report a Monte-Carlo estimation of the in-orbit performance of a cosmic X-ray polarimeter designed to be installed on the focal plane of a small satellite. The simulation uses GEANT for the transport of photons and energetic particles and results from Magboltz for the transport of secondary electrons in the detector gas. We validated the simulation by comparing spectra and modulation curves with actual data taken with radioactive sources and an X-ray generator. We also estimated the in-orbit background induced by cosmic radiation in low Earth orbit.

Monte-Carlo simulation↗

High Fidelity Collision Probabilities Estimated Using Brute Force Monte Carlo Simulations

The NASA Conjunction Assessment Risk Analysis team has implemented new software to estimate the probability of collision (P (sub c)) for Earth-orbiting satellites. The algorithm employs a brute force Monte Carlo (BFMC) method which differs from most other methods because it uses orbital states and covariances propagated from their orbit determination epoch times using the full set of Astrodynamics Support Workstation higher order theory models, including the High Accuracy Satellite Drag Model. This paper de-scribes the BFMC algorithm, presents comparisons of BFMC P (sub c) estimates to those calculated using other methods, and discusses the implications for conjunction risk assessment.

Probabilities↗

Direct Simulation Monte Carlo Studies of the Gas Sampling for the VATMOS-SR Mission Concept

VATMOS-SR (Venus ATMOSpheric - Sample Return) is a small spacecraft mission concept which would return a gas sample from the upper atmosphere of Venus to Earth for scientific analysis. This could be the first sample return mission for an extra-terrestrial atmosphere, and potentially the first sample return from an Earth-sized planet. The VATMOS-SR mission concept consists of a SmallSat atmospheric sampling probe (45 deg. sphere/cone geometry, <1 m diameter) that is designed to skim through the Venus upper atmosphere and acquire gas samples below the homopause altitude (around ~110 km altitude), where the different atmospheric gases are mixed. The velocity of the spacecraft where sampling would occur is expected to be between ~10.5 km/s and ~13.1 km/s, depending on the trajectory chosen. This presentation will discuss hypervelocity sampling in the upper atmosphere of Venus, with respect to the VATMOS-SR mission concept. VATMOS-SR would enable critical atmospheric measurements to form a full picture of how, why, and when Venus evolved to be so different from Earth and Mars. The abundances and isotopic compositions of volatile elements (such as N, C, S, O and the noble gases) in planetary atmospheres record volatile delivery during accretion, outgassing from planetary interiors, and atmospheric loss to space. Precise and accurate determinations of atmospheric volatile signatures are the key to understanding the origins and geodynamical evolution of Venus compared to the other terrestrial planets. Hypersonic sampling poses unique technical and scientific challenges. To ensure it is possible to relate the composition of the sampled gases to the free stream atmospheric composition, large-scale numerical simulations are employed to model the flow through the VATMOS-SR sampling system. In particular, an emphasis is placed on quantifying noble gas isotopic fractionation that occurs during the sample acquisition and transfer process in order to determine how measured isotopic ratios of noble gases in the sample compare to actual isotopic ratios in the Venusian atmosphere. The Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) code SPARTA, an open source software package developed by Sandia National Laboratories, is used in this work. SPARTA, based on Bird’s DSMC method, is a molecular-level gas-kinetic technique. As SPARTA is able to model hypervelocity reacting flows in strong chemical and thermal non-equilibrium, this software package is well suited to determine relevant flow properties for the VATMOS-SR mission concept, and to numerically quantify the expected level of elemental and/or isotopic fractionation in the sample acquired by VATMOS-SR. This presentation will show results from 3D simulations correlating the noble gas isotopic fractionation in the gas acquired at hypervelocity speeds to its ambient atmosphere value. In particular, emphasis will be placed at Xenon isotopes of masses 128 and 130, as precise measurements of that ratio would yield a comparison to Earth’s atmosphere. Additionally, sensitivity studies that quantify the uncertainties due to the freestream parameters as well as the modeling parameters will be performed.

direct simulation Monte Carlo↗

Aerial Vehicle Routing and Scheduling for UAS Traffic Management: A Hybrid Monte Carlo Tree Search Approach

We present the Multi-Route Weighted Package Delivery Problem (MRWPDP) and a scalable solution methodology as a major step towards enabling an airspace deconfliction service for drone delivery operations. The problem is motivated by Strategic deconfliction under the FAA’s “Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management” Concept of Operations. MRWPDP falls under a class of vehicle routing and scheduling problems, and as such is NP-Hard. In MRWPDP, a graph network is given which consists of depots, drop-off sites, and multiple routes connecting the two. In addition, routes are weighted by the associated ground risk and total travel distance for package delivery. The goal is to optimally schedule the departure time and assign routes to a known set of vehicles at the depot. We propose a heuristic solution to the problem by borrowing techniques from Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP), Constraint Programming, and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). The resulting hybrid framework is MCTS with Bound-and-Prune (BP) and rapid simulated updates (U), or MCTS-BP-U. This approach is able to quickly provide a feasible solution for MRWPDP, even for large problem instances up to 1000 vehicles. We provide a MILP formulation of MRWPDP and compare its performance against MCTS-BP-U in terms of solution quality. An agent-based model simulation is conducted as a final step to validate the efficacy of our approach.

air traffic scheduling↗

Aerial Vehicle Routing and Scheduling for UAS Traffic Management: A Hybrid Monte Carlo Tree Search Approach

We present the Multi-Route Weighted Package Delivery Problem (MRWPDP) and a scalable solution methodology as a major step towards enabling an airspace deconfliction service for drone delivery operations. The problem is motivated by Strategic deconfliction under the FAA’s “Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management” Concept of Operations. MRWPDP falls under a class of vehicle routing and scheduling problems, and as such is NP-Hard. In MRWPDP, a graph network is given which consists of depots, drop-off sites, and multiple routes connecting the two. In addition, routes are weighted by the associated ground risk and total travel distance for package delivery. The goal is to optimally schedule the departure time and assign routes to a known set of vehicles at the depot. We propose a heuristic solution to the problem by borrowing techniques from Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP), Constraint Programming, and Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS). The resulting hybrid framework is MCTS with Bound-and-Prune (BP) and rapid simulated updates (U), or MCTS-BP-U. This approach is able to quickly provide a feasible solution for MRWPDP, even for large problem instances up to 1000 vehicles. We provide a MILP formulation of MRWPDP and compare its performance against MCTS-BP-U in terms of solution quality. An agent-based model simulation is conducted as a final step to validate the efficacy of our approach.

air traffic scheduling↗