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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Projecting U.S. coastal storm surge risks and impacts with deep learning

Storm surge is one of the deadliest hazards posed by tropical cyclones (TCs), yet assessing its current and future risk is difficult due to the phenomenon’s rarity and physical complexity. Recent advances in artificial intelligence applications to natural hazard modeling suggest a new avenue for addressing this problem. We develop a deep learning storm surge model to efficiently estimate coastal surge risk in the United States from 900 000 synthetic TC events, accounting for projected changes in TC behavior and sea levels. The derived historical 100 year surge (the event with a 1% yearly exceedance probability) agrees well with historical observations and other modeling techniques. When coupled with an inundation model, we find that heightened TC intensities and sea levels by the end of the century result in a 50% increase in population at risk. Key findings include markedly heightened risk in Florida, and critical thresholds identified in Georgia and South Carolina.

RAFT↗
DOE OSTI2022

Assessing the performance of global thermostat adjustment in commercial buildings for load shifting demand response

Abstract Efficiently leveraging new sources of flexibility is critical to mitigating load balancing challenges posed by variable renewable resources. The thermal inertia of commercial buildings allows us to shift their power consumption on minute to hourly timescales to provide demand response to the grid while maintaining occupant comfort. Global thermostat adjustment (GTA) provides a readily available and scalable approach for implementing load shifting demand response using commercial heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, since it leverages the inherent sophistication of modern building automation systems. However, there is an incomplete understanding of GTA’s performance for this purpose and its impact on building systems and occupant comfort. In this paper, we explore the performance of GTA by analyzing results from nearly nine hundred experiments on eight university campus buildings in Michigan and North Carolina. Using GTA, we manipulate each building’s thermostat setpoints causing the building to shift its power consumption with respect to its baseline. We quantify the magnitude of HVAC power response, energy use of HVAC subsystems, and impact on occupant comfort. Finally, we connect our experimental results with power system operation using an optimization model that coordinates GTA actions across a large collection of grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs) to reduce high ramp rates on the grid and mitigate renewable energy curtailment. Overall, our work finds that the impacts on HVAC subsystems are often complex, and may result in additional energy being consumed by fans and terminal reheat. These effects must be considered when using GTA for load shifting. Additionally, we demonstrate that occupant comfort, as assessed by indoor temperature and humidity, can be maintained during GTA events. From a societal perspective, our modeling work finds that the additional renewable energy that can be integrated through the use of GTA strategies eclipses any additional energy consumed by buildings.

Keskar, Aditya (ORCID:0000000244617980)↗
DOE OSTI2024

Thermally unstable roosts influence winter torpor patterns in a threatened bat species

Abstract Many hibernating bats in thermally stable, subterranean roosts have experienced precipitous declines from white-nose syndrome (WNS). However, some WNS-affected species also use thermally unstable roosts during winter that may impact their torpor patterns and WNS susceptibility. From November to March 2017–19, we used temperature-sensitive transmitters to document winter torpor patterns of tricolored bats (Perimyotis subflavus) using thermally unstable roosts in the upper Coastal Plain of South Carolina. Daily mean roost temperature was 12.9 ± 4.9°C SD in bridges and 11.0 ± 4.6°C in accessible cavities with daily fluctuations of 4.8 ± 2°C in bridges and 4.0 ± 1.9°C in accessible cavities and maximum fluctuations of 13.8 and 10.5°C, respectively. Mean torpor bout duration was 2.7 ± 2.8 days and was negatively related to ambient temperature and positively related to precipitation. Bats maintained non-random arousal patterns focused near dusk and were active on 33.6% of tracked days. Fifty-one percent of arousals contained passive rewarming. Normothermic bout duration, general activity and activity away from the roost were positively related to ambient temperature, and activity away from the roost was negatively related to barometric pressure. Our results suggest ambient weather conditions influence winter torpor patterns of tricolored bats using thermally unstable roosts. Short torpor bout durations and potential nighttime foraging during winter by tricolored bats in thermally unstable roosts contrasts with behaviors of tricolored bats in thermally stable roosts. Therefore, tricolored bat using thermally unstable roosts may be less susceptible to WNS. More broadly, these results highlight the importance of understanding the effect of roost thermal stability on winter torpor patterns and the physiological flexibility of broadly distributed hibernating species.

Biodiversity & Conservation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Accumulation of trace elements in soil and fauna within a site historically contaminated with coal combustion residues

Legacy contaminants tied to energy production are a worldwide concern. Coal combustion residues (CCRs) contain high concentrations of potentially toxic trace elements such as arsenic (As), mercury (Hg), and selenium (Se), which can persist for decades after initial contamination. Coal combustion residue disposal methods, including aquatic settling basins and landfills, can facilitate environmental exposure through intentional and accidental releases. Wildlife exposed to CCRs can experience numerous deleterious effects, such as on development, reproduction, and survival. In the current study, we quantified and compared concentrations of As, Hg, Se, and strontium (Sr) within soils and target fauna (three vertebrate and three invertebrate taxa) from a CCR-contaminated site and a reference site within the U.S. Department of Energy’s Savannah River Site, South Carolina, United States. Our objectives were to (1) compare current concentrations of tested elements in soil and resident fauna to levels from our reference site, (2) assess natural attenuation of elements in soils by comparing current concentrations to historic levels, and (3) evaluate the biomagnification potential of the elements measured via body burden and trophic position correlations among fauna. Here, element concentrations were higher in contaminated soils than reference soils; however, concentrations in 2022 were unchanged from concentrations measured in 2003, suggesting no natural attenuation of tested elements. Additionally, target fauna had elevated As, Se, and Sr levels in comparison to reference samples. A positive correlation was observed in southern toads between Sr concentrations and trophic position, as assessed by nitrogen stable isotope ratios, suggesting potential for biomagnification of Sr within our study system. Collectively, our results demonstrate that legacy contaminants are still present and bioaccumulate in a diversity of taxa in a CCR-contaminated site that has not received effluents in more than 50 years, suggesting monitoring programs in CCR-contaminated sites should be maintained long term in the absence of remediation.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗
DOE OSTI2021

Winter roosting ecology of tricolored bats ( Perimyotis subflavus ) in trees and bridges

Abstract Tricolored bats (Perimyotis subflavus) that roost in subterranean hibernacula have experienced precipitous declines from white-nose syndrome (WNS); however, understudied populations also use during winter non-subterranean roosts such as tree cavities, bridges, and foliage. Our objectives were to determine winter roost use by tricolored bats in an area devoid of subterranean roosts, determine roost microclimates to relate them to growth requirements of the fungal causal agent of WNS, and determine habitat factors influencing winter tree selection. From November to March 2017–2019, we used radiotelemetry to track 15 bats to their day roosts in the upper Coastal Plain of South Carolina and recorded microclimates in accessible tree cavities and bridges. We also characterized habitat and tree characteristics of 24 used trees and 153 random, available trees and used discrete choice models to determine selection. Roost structures included I-beam bridges, cavities in live trees, and foliage. Bridges were warmer and less humid than cavities. Roost temperatures often were amenable to fungal growth (< 19.5°C) but fluctuated widely depending on ambient temperatures. Bats used bridges on colder days (8.7°C ± 5.0 SD) and trees on warmer days (11.3°C ± 5.4). Bats selected low-decay trees closer to streams in areas with high canopy closure and cavity abundance. Bats also appeared to favor hardwood forests and avoid pine forests. Our results suggest that access to multiple roost microclimates might be important for tricolored bats during winter, and forest management practices that retain live trees near streams and foster cavity formation in hardwood forests likely will benefit this species. Our results also suggest tricolored bats using bridge and tree roosts might be less susceptible to WNS than bats using subterranean hibernaculum roosts. Thus, forests in areas without subterranean hibernacula in the southeastern United States that support bats during winter might represent important refugia from WNS for multiple species.

Zoology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Habitat-specific seasonal densities of sympatric raccoons and opossums in the southeastern United States

Raccoon and opossum densities have implications for rabies management, but estimates of seasonal densities of both species are lacking for rural nonagricultural habitats of the southeastern United States, a core portion of their geographic range. Consequently, it remains unclear whether the densities of 1 species limit the other, which is possible considering their substantial niche overlap. We carried out a mark–recapture study of raccoons and opossums in 4 rural nonagricultural habitats (bottomland hardwood forest, riparian forest, upland pine forest, and isolated wetlands) in South Carolina, United States (2020 to 2022), and combined this with previous data from the same habitats (2017 to 2019) to estimate habitat-specific spring and fall densities. Raccoon densities ranged from 5.17 ± 0.96 animals/km 2 (bottomland hardwood fall) to 1.63 ± 0.83 animals/km 2 (upland pine spring) and were on average 19% higher in fall compared to spring. Opossum densities ranged from 10.35 ± 1.98 animals/km 2 (bottomland hardwood fall) to 1.11 ± 1.55 animals/km 2 (upland pine spring) with divergent seasonal patterns among habitats. These low densities across all habitats compared to other studies are likely the result of low resource availability, consistent with other habitats that have minimal anthropogenic influence. We observed a positive association between raccoon and opossum densities across trapping grids, suggesting that raccoons do not suppress opossum densities, but that densities of both species increase with increasing resource availability. Furthermore, our results can be used to inform oral rabies vaccination efforts such as refining bait densities and timing of bait distribution in these habitats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Instrumentation for Assessing DC Electrical Distribution Systems in Buildings

Direct current (DC) distribution systems is emerging as a favorable option over alternating current in buildings due to its energy and non-energy benefits (e.g., efficiency, resilience, safety). However, limited guidelines exist to evaluate the DC electrical distribution infrastructure. This paper aims to fill that gap by detailing our experience with metering a building-level electrical DC distribution system. Our case study is a DC microgrid at the Direct Energy Partners Research & Development facility located in Charlotte, North Carolina. This paper presents our approach, technical challenges, and lessons learned with DC metering and instrumentation.

buildings↗
DOE OSTI2023

An Investigation on the Pollen-Induced Soiling Losses in Utility-Scale PV Plants

Here in this study, the impact of pollen as a PV soiling agent is investigated. The performance data of five utility-scale PV plants in North Carolina, USA, was collected and analyzed using two soiling extraction methods. Satellite and environmental data, including pollen counts, cropland, and vegetation, was also collected and analyzed to identify impacts to soiling losses. During the spring peak pollen season, performance losses of >15% were observed at all five sites. Partial performance recoveries following the pollen season were slow, with lack of correlation with rainfall. This means that the statistical soiling estimation methods that assume abrupt performance recovery from rain are not appropriate for pollen-impacted solar sites. When manual cleanings were performed on site the performance recovery ranged from 5% to 11% indicating persistent soiling impacts are present in this region. The results of this work provide new insights into the phenomenon of pollen deposition on PV systems, demonstrating that 1) soiling can also affect systems located in rainy locations and 2) that its effects cannot be determined using the current estimation methodologies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

An Investigation on the Pollen-Induced Soiling Losses in Utility-Scale PV Plants

Soiling, the accumulation of dust and other contaminants on the surface of photovoltaic (PV) modules, is a common factor that can negatively impact the performance of PV systems. In this study, the authors aim to analyze the impact of pollen on soiling losses in PV systems located in North Carolina, USA, particularly during the spring season. The performance data of two utility-scale PV plants was collected and analyzed using the two soiling extraction methods. Environmental data, including croplands and vegetation was also collected and analyzed to identify correlations with soiling losses. The results of the study may help improve understanding of necessary operation and maintenance activities for PV plants and provide new insights into the phenomenon of pollen deposition on PV systems.

correlation↗
DOE OSTI2025

Proactive Assignment Strategy With Human Choice Models for Boosting Pooled Rideshare Service

This study analyzes various human factors considerations in estimating discounts for pooled rideshare trips. The discounts are utilized in an optimization-based rideshare assignment strategy (proactive strategy) and compared against each other, as well as a heuristic strategy attempting to replicate current real-world pooling rates. Simulations within Austin, Texas and Greenville, South Carolina, reveal the proactive strategy’s ability to increase average vehicle occupancy by 0.23 persons/mile in Austin and 0.52 persons/mile in Greenville. A significant ability to decrease trip rejections and increase profitability is also observed. Finally, the strengths of particular combinations of factors are discussed relative to their effectiveness in each region.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2020

Validation of Synthetic U.S. Electric Power Distribution System Data Sets

There is a strong need for synthetic yet realistic distribution system test data sets that are as diverse, large, and complex to solve as real systems. Such data sets can facilitate the development of advanced algorithms and the assessment of emerging distributed energy resources while avoiding the need to acquire proprietary critical infrastructure or private data. Such synthetic data sets, however, are useful only if they are realistic enough to look and behave similarly to actual systems. This paper presents a comprehensive framework for validating synthetic distribution data sets using a three-pronged statistical, operational, and expert validation approach. Furthermore, it also presents a set of statistical and operational metric targets for achieving realistic data sets based on detailed characterization of more than 10,000 real U.S. utility feeders. The paper demonstrates the use of the proposed validation approach to validate three large-scale synthetic data sets developed by the authors representing Santa Fe, New Mexico; Greensboro, North Carolina; and the San Francisco Bay Area, California.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Data-Driven Pivot-Point-Based Time-Series Feeder Load Disaggregation Method

The load profile at a feeder-head is usually known to utility engineers while the nodal load profiles are not. However, the nodal load profiles are increasingly important for conducting time-series analysis in distribution systems. Therefore, in this paper, we present a pivot-point based, two-stage feeder load disaggregation algorithm using smart meter data. The two stages are load profile selection (LPS) and load profile allocation (LPA). In the LPS stage, a random load profile selection process is first executed to meet the load diversity requirement. Then, a few pairs of pivot points are selected as the matching targets. After that, a matching algorithm will run repetitively to select one load profile at a time for matching the reference load profile at the pivot points. In the LPA stage, the LPS selected load profiles are allocated to each load node on the feeder considering distribution transformer loading limits, load composition, and square-footage. The proposed method is validated using actual data collected in a North Carolina service area. Finally, simulation results show that the proposed method can generate a unique load shape for each load node while match the shape of their aggregated profile with the actual feeder head load profile.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

A TCN-Based Hybrid Forecasting Framework for Hours-Ahead Utility-Scale PV Forecasting

This paper presents a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) based hybrid PV forecasting framework for enhancing hours-ahead utility-scale PV forecasting. The hybrid framework consists of two forecasting models: a physics-based trend forecasting (TF) model and a data-driven fluctuation forecasting (FF) model. Three TCNs are integrated in the framework for: i) blending the inputs from different Numerical Weather Prediction sources for the TF model to achieve superior performance on forecasting hourly PV profiles, ii) capturing spatial-temporal correlations between detector sites and the target site in the FF model to achieve more accurate forecast of intra- hour PV power drops, and iii) reconciling TF and FF results to obtain coherent hours-ahead PV forecast with both hourly trends and intra-hour fluctuations well preserved. To automatically identify the most contributive neighboring sites for forming a detector network, a scenario-based correlation analysis method is developed, which significantly improves the capability of the FF model on capturing large power fluctuations caused by cloud movements. Here, the framework is developed, tested, and validated using actual PV data collected from 95 PV farms in North Carolina. Simulation results show that the performance of 6 hours ahead PV power forecasting is improved by 20% - 30% compared with state-of-the-art methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Effects of social structure and management on risk of disease establishment in wild pigs

Contact heterogeneity among hosts determines invasion and spreading dynamics of infectious disease, thus its characterization is essential for identifying effective disease control strategies. Yet, little is known about the factors shaping contact networks in many 28 wildlife species and how wildlife management actions might affect contact networks. Wild pigs in North America are an invasive, socially-structured species that pose a health concern for domestic swine given their ability to transmit numerous devastating diseases 2 such as African swine fever (ASF). Using proximity loggers and GPS data from 48 wild pigs in Florida and South Carolina, USA, we employed a probabilistic framework to estimate weighted contact networks. We determined the effects of sex, social group, and spatial distribution (monthly home range overlap and distance) on wild pig contact. We also estimated the impacts of management-induced perturbations on contact and inferred their effects on ASF establishment in wild pigs with simulation. Social group membership was the primary factor influencing contacts. Between-group contacts depended primarily on space use characteristics, with fewer contacts among groups separated by >2 km and no contacts among groups >4 km apart within a month. Modeling ASF dynamics on the contact network demonstrated that indirect contacts resulting from baiting (a typical method of attracting wild pigs or game species to a site to enhance recreational hunting) increased the risk of disease establishment by ~33% relative to direct contact. Low-intensity population reduction (<5.9% of the population) had no detectable impact on contact structure but reduced predicted ASF establishment risk relative to no population reduction. Here, we demonstrate an approach for understanding the relative role of spatial, social, and individual-level characteristics in shaping contact networks and predicting their effects on disease establishment risk, thus providing insight for optimizing disease control in spatially- and socially-structured wildlife species.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Co-occurrence of antibiotic, biocide, and heavy metal resistance genes in bacteria from metal and radionuclide contaminated soils at the Savannah River Site

Contaminants such as heavy metals may contribute to the dissemination of antimicrobial resistance (AMR)by enriching resistance gene determinants via co-selection mechanisms. In the present study, a survey was performed on soils collected from four areas at the Savannah River Site (SRS), South Carolina, USA, with varying contaminant profiles: relatively pristine(Upper Three Runs), heavy metals (Ash Basins), radionuclides (Pond B) and heavy metal and radionuclides (Tim’s Branch). Using 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing, we explored the structure and diversity of soil bacterial communities. Sites with legacies of metal and/or radionuclide contamination displayed significantly lower bacterial diversity compared to the reference site. Metagenomic analysis indicated that multidrug and vancomycin antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) and metal resistance genes (MRGs) including those associated with copper, arsenic, iron, nickel and zinc were prominent in all soils including the reference site. However, significant differences were found in the relative abundance and diversity of certain ARGs and MRGs in soils with metal/radionuclide contaminated soils compared to the reference site. Co-occurrence patterns revealed significant ARG/MRG subtypes in predominant soil taxa including Acidobacteriaceae, Bradyrhizobium, Mycobacterium, Streptomyces, Verrumicrobium, Actinomadura and Solirubacterales. Overall, the study emphasizes the potential risk of human activities on the dissemination of AMR in the environment.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Water use of co‐occurring loblolly ( Pinus taeda ) and shortleaf ( Pinus echinata ) in a loblolly pine plantation in the Piedmont

Abstract Measuring water use in co‐occurring loblolly pine (Pinus taedaL.) and shortleaf pine (Pinus echinataMill.) enhances our understanding of their competitive water use and aids in refining watershed water budget model parameters. This study was conducted in a 12‐ha forested headwater catchment in the Piedmont of North Carolina, southeastern U.S., from 2018 to 2019 (pre‐thinning) to 2020 (post‐thinning). Sap flux density (J s ), species‐level transpiration (T s ), and watershed‐level transpiration (T w ) were quantified. Water use efficiency (WUE) in loblolly and shortleaf pines was compared, alongside an investigation into how both species'J s andT s responded to atmospheric vapor pressure deficit (VPD). Loblolly pine had 19%–36% higherJ s than shortleaf pine. DailyT s for loblolly pine ranged from 15.0 to 29.0 L/day whileT s in shortleaf pine ranged from 3.0 to 6.8 L/day. TheT s was significantly higher in loblolly pine when compared to shortleaf pine likely due to higher canopy position and higher growth rates of the former. WUE, defined by annual tree biomass growth per tree water use, was not significantly different between the two. DailyJ s andT s in both species responded nonlinearly to VPD, with loblolly pine being more sensitive and variable. Species‐specific water use should be considered when quantifyingT w and developing reliable models to predict the effects of forest management practices on water resources.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2025

Seasonal Host Shifts for Legionella Within an Industrial Water‐Cooling System

Legionella is a genus of environmental bacteria containing pathogenic species such as Legionella pneumophila that are responsible for Legionnaires' disease, a potentially fatal respiratory infection. Disease aetiology can involve Legionella replication intracellularly within protists and this study aimed to characterise the Legionella -protist relationship to develop novel outbreak prevention targets. Water and sediment samples were collected from a water-cooling tower in South Carolina over a 6-month period. Concomitantly, multiple environmental parameters were recorded. Bacterial and eukaryotic communities were characterised using 16S rRNA gene V4 region and a 252 bp fragment of 18S rRNA gene, respectively. Co-occurrence network analyses were performed to elucidate Legionella -protist correlations through time. We found that Legionella correlated with different protists as the seasons progressed. Acanthamoeba correlated with Legionella in early spring followed by Vannella and Korotnevella in late spring and early summer, and were joined by Echinamoeba in mid-summer. Vannella and Acanthamoeba are known potential hosts for Legionella , while Korotnevella is a potential undocumented host. Of the environmental parameters, temperature showed strong correlation with protists genera, suggesting that Legionella abundance was driven by temperature-dependent protist availability. Our results highlight ecological shifts that are associated with elevated Legionella levels, which offers potential targets to help predict and prevent disease outbreaks.

microbial communities↗
DOE OSTI2026

Overcoming environmental constraints to high-yielding eastern cottonwood productivity in the southeastern United States

The global demand for biomass is rising, and Populus species are among the most productive temperate woody plants. This 6-year study, conducted in Sumter County, South Carolina, USA evaluated the effects of supplemental irrigation and fertilization on crown and leaf traits, dry weight productivity, and clonal variation in Populus deltoides. Eight commercially available clones (‘ST148’, ‘S2C20’, ‘3167’, ‘ST72’, ‘20WV’, ‘S7C1’, ‘ST70’, and ‘S7C15’) were assessed. Drip irrigation was applied to maintain soil tension at either 33 kPa (15% volumetric soil moisture) or 1500 kPa (10%). Nutrient treatments via weekly fertigation applications consisted of two levels: a high annual rate (initially 85 kg elemental nitrogen ha−1 year−1, increasing to 182 kg ha−1 year−1 at Year 3, then reduced to 135 kg ha−1 year−1 thereafter) and a low rate at 50% of the high treatment. Dry weight yields were estimated using standing tree measurements. Results revealed significant clonal differences in leaf area index (LAI) that peaked in Year 3, with the fastest-growing clones exhibiting lower LAI values. At Ages 2 and 3, these clones also showed higher concentrations of K, Ca, B, Cu, and Mn in leaves, along with lower Mg and Zn concentrations. Both annual height and diameter growth varied significantly by treatment and clone, with the largest height increases observed in the low fertilizer treatments from Year 3 onward. Biomass production in all irrigated plots exceeded that of non-irrigated plots across all biomass components at Ages 4, 5, and 6. Furthermore, stem-to-root dry weight ratios increased more rapidly in the best-performing treatment–clone combinations compared to non-irrigated plots. Notably, P. deltoides plots receiving fertilizer had higher soil carbon concentrations (i.e., percent C) compared to adjacent sweetgum, sycamore, and agricultural plots. These findings highlight the potential of targeted irrigation strategies to enhance biomass productivity in P. deltoides plantations.

Tuskan, Gerald [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000301061289)↗