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At least 199 records · Page 11

Time Series Foundation Models and Deep Learning Architectures for Earthquake Temporal and Spatial Nowcasting

Advancing the capabilities of earthquake nowcasting, the real-time forecasting of seismic activities, remains crucial for reducing casualties. This multifaceted challenge has recently gained attention within the deep learning domain, facilitated by the availability of extensive earthquake datasets. Despite significant advancements, the existing literature on earthquake nowcasting lacks comprehensive evaluations of pre-trained foundation models and modern deep learning architectures; each focuses on a different aspect of data, such as spatial relationships, temporal patterns, and multi-scale dependencies. This paper addresses the mentioned gap by analyzing different architectures and introducing two innovative approaches called Multi Foundation Quake and GNNCoder. We formulate earthquake nowcasting as a time series forecasting problem for the next 14 days within 0.1-degree spatial bins in Southern California. Earthquake time series are generated using the logarithm energy released by quakes, spanning 1986 to 2024. Our comprehensive evaluations demonstrate that our introduced models outperform other custom architectures by effectively capturing temporal-spatial relationships inherent in seismic data. The performance of existing foundation models varies significantly based on the pre-training datasets, emphasizing the need for careful dataset selection. However, we introduce a novel method, Multi Foundation Quake, that achieves the best overall performance by combining a bespoke pattern with Foundation model results handled as auxiliary streams.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Collaborative Extensible User Environment for Simulation and Knowledge Management

In scientific simulation, scientists use measured data to create numerical models, execute simulations and analyze results from advanced simulators executing on high performance computing platforms. This process usually requires a team of scientists collaborating on data collection, model creation and analysis, and on authorship of publications and data. This paper shows that scientific teams can benefit from a user environment called Akuna that permits subsurface scientists in disparate locations to collaborate on numerical modeling and analysis projects. The Akuna user environment is built on the Velo framework that provides both a rich client environment for conducting and analyzing simulations and a Web environment for data sharing and annotation. Akuna is an extensible toolset that integrates with Velo, and is designed to support any type of simulator. This is achieved through data-driven user interface generation, use of a customizable knowledge management platform, and an extensible framework for simulation execution, monitoring and analysis. This paper describes how the customized Velo content management system and the Akuna toolset are used to integrate and enhance an effective collaborative research and application environment. The extensible architecture of Akuna is also described and demonstrates its usage for creation and execution of a 3D subsurface simulation.

collaborative science tools↗

Simple, accurate surrogate models of the elastic response of three-dimensional open truss micro-architectures with applications to multiscale topology design

Elastic meta-materials are those whose unique properties come from their micro-architecture, rather than, e.g., from their chemistry. The introduction of such architecture, which is increasingly able to be fabricated due to advances in additive manufacturing, expands the design domain and enables improved design, from the most complex multi-physics design problems to the simple compliance design problem that is our focus. Unfortunately, concurrent design of both the micro-scale and the macroscale is computationally very expensive when the former can vary spatially, particularly in three dimensions. Instead, we provide simple, accurate surrogate models of the homogenized linear elastic response of the isotruss, the octet truss, and the ORC truss based on high-fidelity continuum finite element analyses. These surrogate models are relatively accurate over the full range of relative densities, in contrast to analytical models in the literature, which we show lose accuracy as relative density increases. The surrogate models are also simple to implement, which we demonstrate by modifying Sigmund’s 99-line code to solve a three-dimensional, multiscale compliance design problem with spatially varying relative density. Here, we use this code to generate examples in both two and three dimensions that illustrate the advantage of elastic meta-materials over structures with a single length scale, i.e., those without micro-architectures.

42 ENGINEERING↗

OpenSNAPI: Toward a Unified API for SmartNICs

The end of Moore’s Law and Dennard Scaling has produced a renaissance in the field of computer architecture. Unable to continue leveraging silicon-level processor improvements to further enhance performance and scalability, system architects have been forced to explore other options. In this new era of heterogeneous architectures and hardware/software codesign, a new class of devices known as “accelerators” has emerged. Independently designed for optimized execution of distinct workloads, these devices have proven critical to the continued advancement of application performance. SmartNICs, accelerator devices integrated with a network controller, have conventionally been utilized to offload low-level networking functionality. However, newer SmartNIC variants, which incorporate a system-on-chip (SoC) with traditional designs, are challenging this precedent. Leveraging significantly augmented resources, these new devices offer increased versatility and the potential to more effectively complement a given architecture’s CPU. In this talk, we introduce the motivation underlying acceleration, explore the fundamentals of SmartNICs, and discuss traditional use cases. We also detail our initial efforts to investigate the feasibility and benefits of SmartNICs as general-purpose accelerators. We present the OpenSNAPI project created to define a uniform application programming interface (API) for this emerging class of devices. Finally, we provide a brief tutorial regarding development of SmartNIC-accelerated applications on Los Alamos National Laboratory’s SmartNIC-enabled platforms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Breaking the mold: Overcoming the time constraints of molecular dynamics on general-purpose hardware

The evolution of molecular dynamics (MD) simulations has been intimately linked to that of computing hardware. For decades following the creation of MD, simulations have improved with computing power along the three principal dimensions of accuracy, atom count (spatial scale), and duration (temporal scale). Since the mid-2000s, computer platforms have, however, failed to provide strong scaling for MD, as scale-out central processing unit (CPU) and graphics processing unit (GPU) platforms that provide substantial increases to spatial scale do not lead to proportional increases in temporal scale. Important scientific problems therefore remained inaccessible to direct simulation, prompting the development of increasingly sophisticated algorithms that present significant complexity, accuracy, and efficiency challenges. While bespoke MD-only hardware solutions have provided a path to longer timescales for specific physical systems, their impact on the broader community has been mitigated by their limited adaptability to new methods and potentials. In this work, we show that a novel computing architecture, the Cerebras wafer scale engine, completely alters the scaling path by delivering unprecedentedly high simulation rates up to 1.144 M steps/s for 200 000 atoms whose interactions are described by an embedded atom method potential. This enables direct simulations of the evolution of materials using general-purpose programmable hardware over millisecond timescales, dramatically increasing the space of direct MD simulations that can be carried out. In this paper, we provide an overview of advances in MD over the last 60 years and present our recent result in the context of historical MD performance trends.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Crossing the Cleft: Communication Challenges Between Neuroscience and Artificial Intelligence

Historically, neuroscience principles have heavily influenced artificial intelligence (AI), for example the influence of the perceptron model, essentially a simple model of a biological neuron, on artificial neural networks. More recently, notable recent AI advances, for example the growing popularity of reinforcement learning, often appear more aligned with cognitive neuroscience or psychology, focusing on function at a relatively abstract level. At the same time, neuroscience stands poised to enter a new era of large-scale high-resolution data and appears more focused on underlying neural mechanisms or architectures that can, at times, seem rather removed from functional descriptions. While this might seem to foretell a new generation of AI approaches arising from a deeper exploration of neuroscience specifically for AI, the most direct path for achieving this is unclear. Here we discuss cultural differences between the two fields, including divergent priorities that should be considered when leveraging modern-day neuroscience for AI. For example, the two fields feed two very different applications that at times require potentially conflicting perspectives. We highlight small but significant cultural shifts that we feel would greatly facilitate increased synergy between the two fields.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Random On-Board Pixel Sampling (ROPS) X-Ray Camera

Recent advances in compressed sensing theory and algorithms offer new possibilities for high-speed X-ray camera design. In many CMOS cameras, each pixel has an independent on-board circuit that includes an amplifier, noise rejection, signal shaper, an analog-to-digital converter (ADC), and optional in-pixel storage. When X-ray images are sparse, i.e., when one of the following cases is true: (a.) The number of pixels with true X-ray hits is much smaller than the total number of pixels; (b.) The X-ray information is redundant; or (c.) Some prior knowledge about the X-ray images exists, sparse sampling may be allowed. Here we first illustrate the feasibility of random on-board pixel sampling (ROPS) using an existing set of X-ray images, followed by a discussion about signal to noise as a function of pixel size. Next, we describe a possible circuit architecture to achieve random pixel access and in-pixel storage. The combination of a multilayer architecture, sparse on-chip sampling, and computational image techniques, is expected to facilitate the development and applications of high-speed X-ray camera technology.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Applying corrective machine learning in the E3SM atmosphere model in C++ (EAMxx)

The Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) is the newest addition to the family of earth system models capable of explicitly resolving convective systems. SCREAM is a kilometer-scale configuration of the advanced E3SM Atmosphere Model (EAMxx), designed for heterogeneous computing architectures. While the enhanced accuracy of kilometer-scale modeling offers significant benefits, it comes with a substantial computational cost, limiting feasible simulation durations to only a few years to a few decades, even on the fastest supercomputers. Machine learning presents an opportunity for scientists to achieve the high accuracy of storm-resolving models at a significantly reduced cost. Building on the previous success of applying corrective machine learning (ML) to the FV3GFS earth system model, this study explores the effects of implementing corrective-ML in EAMxx-SCREAM. We also address the computational challenges of integrating our implementation of corrective-ML, which is written in Python, with the C++/Kokkos EAMxx driver, as well as potential reasons why this approach has not proved as effective for EAMxx-SCREAM as for FV3GFS.

Environmental sciences↗

Tunable Stochasticity in an Artificial Spin Network

Metamaterials present the possibility of artificially generating advanced functionalities through engineering of their internal structure. Artificial spin networks, in which a large number of nanoscale magnetic elements are coupled together, are promising metamaterial candidates that enable the control of collective magnetic behavior through tuning of the local interaction between elements. In this work, the motion of magnetic domain-walls in an artificial spin network leads to a tunable stochastic response of the metamaterial, which can be tailored through an external magnetic field and local lattice modifications. This type of tunable stochastic network produces a controllable random response exploiting intrinsic stochasticity within magnetic domain-wall motion at the nanoscale. An iconic demonstration used to illustrate the control of randomness is the Galton board. In this system, multiple balls fall into an array of pegs to generate a bell-shaped curve that can be modified via the array spacing or the tilt of the board. A nanoscale recreation of this experiment using an artificial spin network is employed to demonstrate tunable stochasticity. Furthermore, this type of tunable stochastic network opens new paths toward post-Von Neumann computing architectures such as Bayesian sensing or random neural networks, in which stochasticity is harnessed to efficiently perform complex computational tasks.

Artificial spin network↗

Smart Methane Emission Detection System Development (Final Report)

Working with the Department of Energy's National Energy Technology Laboratory, Southwest Research Institute® (SwRI®) developed a system to identify methane leaks reliably, accurately, and autonomously at critical midstream sections of the natural gas distribution network in real-time for the purpose of mitigating methane emissions using Optical Gas Imaging (OGI) cameras. SwRI's Smart Leak Detection – Methane (SLED/M) adds a high degree of automation to the process of methane leak detection to minimize sources of human error, minimize response time to a leak event, and maximize midstream visibility. Furthermore, SwRI has been working towards integrating Quantitative OGI (QOGI) capabilities into this existing technology. By leveraging Deep Learning, SwRI now has the capability to estimate fugitive emission leak rates quickly and reliably, which allows operators to detect emissions, quantify leak rate, prioritize repairs, and validate the repairs in a single instrument. The next generation QOGI technology leverages the same cameras used in Leak Detection and Repair (LDAR) programs, with improvements in safety and speed for traditional quantification-based repairs, ultimately leading to less overhead cost for the operators. The goals for this research were to develop two types of models with the following goals: Run in real-time on the edge (≥ 12 Hz), Classification: Achieve less than 5% false positive detection, Classification: Achieve ≥ 95% methane plume detection rate, Regression: achieve ≤ 10 standard cubic feet per hour (scfh) prediction > 70% of the time. In order to achieve these results, multiple infrared (IR) and other sensors were investigated in tandem with the midwave IR (MWIR) OGI to provide additional information to train the underlying models. Information on atmospheric conditions including humidity, temperature, pressure, and solar radiation was provided by a weather station. Several machine learning and deep learning architectures and methods, including looking at quantized classification networks and regressions networks, were explored. As further data was collected, curated, and labeled, it allowed for more refined regressive networks to be adequately trained, leading to better insight into the true flow rates being observed. An important valuable deliverable of this research effort was the development of an advanced network which underwent multiple iterations capable of giving a continuous output. The current network has a predicted mean average percentage error (MAPE) of 12.3% just outside our target goal of 10.00%, but an accuracy of 97.78% at ±50 scfh, well within the overall goal for the Department of Energy (DOE) program. Upon closer inspection, it was observed that more than 10% of datapoints contributing to the MAPE predictions were the result of low flow rate predictions and are beyond the sensitivity of instrument measurement as a result of normal operational variation and noise.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Turbo‐charging crop improvement: harnessing multiplex editing for polygenic trait engineering and beyond

Multiplex CRISPR editing has emerged as a transformative platform for plant genome engineering, enabling the simultaneous targeting of multiple genes, regulatory elements, or chromosomal regions. This approach is effective for dissecting gene family functions, addressing genetic redundancy, engineering polygenic traits, and accelerating trait stacking and de novo domestication. Its applications now extend beyond standard gene knockouts to include epigenetic and transcriptional regulation, chromosomal engineering, and transgene‐free editing. These capabilities are advancing crop improvement not only in annual species but also in more complex systems such as polyploids, undomesticated wild relatives, and species with long generation times. At the same time, multiplex editing presents technical challenges, including complex construct design and the need for robust, scalable mutation detection. We discuss current toolkits and recent innovations in vector architecture, such as promoter and scaffold engineering, that streamline workflows and enhance editing efficiency. High‐throughput sequencing technologies, including long‐read platforms, are improving the resolution of complex editing outcomes such as structural rearrangements—often missed by standard genotyping—when targeting repetitive or tandemly spaced loci. To fully realize the potential of multiplex genome engineering, there is growing demand for user‐friendly, synthetic biology‐compatible, and scalable computational workflows for gRNA design, construct assembly, and mutation analysis. Experimentally validated inducible or tissue‐specific promoters are also highly desirable for achieving spatiotemporal control. As these tools continue to evolve, multiplex CRISPR editing is poised to become a foundational technology of next‐generation crop improvement to address challenges in agriculture, sustainability, and climate resilience.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Real-time supervisory control implementation of SmAHTR power plant - 143

This paper discusses an implementation of a supervisory control system for a nuclear power plant model using Small modular Advanced High Temperature Reactors (SmAHTR). The simulation operates in real-time using a network of computer agents, implemented on Raspberry Pi's (RPi's), where each major task is performed by one or more RPi's running calculations in parallel. The system architecture contains local, module, master, and operator actions to automate all aspects of the plant. Local level controllers run individual control loops to ensure the desired reference signals are met. The module level controllers set the local level reference signals within each SMR unit and detect sensor and actuator failures to adjust those reference signals as needed. Master level controllers balance plant power by calculating required heat power from each reactor and electric power from each generator and sending that data to the module controllers. Finally, the operator level contains an operator interface to summarize data and faults gathered through the controller levels, with options to review plant and reactor details as desired. This control implementation allows the plant to run autonomously, load follow a desired electrical power curve, and detect a growing number of fault scenarios. Ultimately, this type of supervisory control system will reduce labor-intensive surveillance and testing and allow fewer operators to more safely monitor an entire plant. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Computational strategies for design and discovery of nanostructured thermoelectrics

Abstract The contribution of theoretical calculations and predictions in the development of advanced high-performance thermoelectrics has been increasingly significant and has successfully guided experiments to understand as well as achieve record-breaking results. In this review, recent developments in high-performance nanostructured bulk thermoelectric materials are discussed from the viewpoint of theoretical calculations. An effective emerging strategy for boosting thermoelectric performance involves minimizing electron scattering while maximizing heat-carrying phonon scattering on many length scales. We present several important strategies and key examples that highlight the contributions of first-principles-based calculations in revealing the intricate but tractable relationships for this synergistic optimization of thermoelectric performance. The integrated optimization approach results in a fourfold design strategy for improved materials: (1) a significant reduction of the lattice thermal conductivity through multiscale hierarchical architecturing, (2) a large enhancement of the Seebeck coefficient through intramatrix electronic band convergence engineering, (3) control of the carrier mobility through band alignment between the host and second phases, and (4) design of intrinsically low-thermal-conductivity materials by maximizing vibrational anharmonicity and acoustic-mode Gruneisen parameters. These combined effects serve to enhance the power factor while reducing the lattice thermal conductivity. This review provides an improved understanding of how theory is impacting the current state of this field and helps to guide the future search for high-performance thermoelectric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CovTransformer: A transformer model for SARS-CoV-2 lineage frequency forecasting

With hundreds of SARS-CoV-2 lineages circulating in the global population, there is an ongoing need for predicting and forecasting lineage frequencies and thus identifying rapidly expanding lineages. Accurate prediction would allow for more focused experimental efforts to understand pathogenicity of future dominating lineages and characterize the extent of their immune escape. Here, we first show that the inherent noise and biases in lineage frequency data make a commonly-used regression-based approach unreliable. To address this weakness, we constructed a machine learning model for SARS-CoV-2 lineage frequency forecasting, called CovTransformer, based on the transformer architecture. We designed our model to navigate challenges such as a limited amount of data with high levels of noise and bias. We first trained and tested the model using data from the UK and the USA, and then tested the generalization ability of the model to many other countries and US states. Remarkably, the trained model makes accurate predictions two months into the future with high levels of accuracy both globally (in 31 countries with high levels of sequencing effort) and at the US-state level. Our model performed substantially better than a widely used forecasting tool, the multinomial regression model implemented in Nextstrain, demonstrating its utility in SARS-CoV-2 monitoring. Assuming a newly emerged lineage is identified and assigned, our test using retrospective data shows that our model is able to identify the dominating lineages 7 weeks in advance on average before they became dominant. Overall, our work demonstrates that transformer models represent a promising approach for SARS-CoV-2 forecasting and pandemic monitoring.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Single electrons on solid neon as a solid-state qubit platform

Progress towards the realization of quantum computers requires persistent advances in their constituent building blocks-qubits. Novel qubit platforms that simultaneously embody long coherence, fast operation and large scalability offer compelling advantages in the construction of quantum computers and many other quantum information systems 1-3 . Electrons, ubiquitous elementary particles of non-zero charge, spin and mass, have commonly been perceived as paradigmatic local quantum information carriers. Despite superior controllability and configurability, their practical performance as qubits through either motional or spin states depends critically on their material environment 3-5 . In this work, we report our experimental realization of a qubit platform based on isolated single electrons trapped on an ultraclean solid neon surface in vacuum 6-13 . By integrating an electron trap in a circuit quantum electrodynamics architecture 14-20 , we achieve strong coupling between the motional states of a single electron and a single microwave photon in an on-chip superconducting resonator. Qubit gate operations and dispersive readout are implemented to measure the energy relaxation time T 1 of 15 μs and phase coherence time T 2 over 200 ns. These results indicate that the electron-on-solid-neon qubit already performs near the state of the art for a charge qubit 21 .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Understanding Microstructural Effects on Dynamic Performance Towards the Development of Shock Metamaterials

With the recent advances in additive manufacturing (AM), long-range periodic lattice assemblies are being developed for vibration and shock mitigation components in aerospace and military applications with unique geometric and topological structures. There has been extensive work in understanding the static properties associated with varying topology of these lattice architectures, but there is almost no understanding of microstructural affects in such structures under high-strain rate dynamic loading conditions. Here we report the shock behavior of lattices with varying intrinsic grain structures achieved by post process annealing. High resolution 316L stainless steel lattices were 3D printed by a laser-powder bed fusion machine and characterized by computed tomography. Subsequent annealing resulted in stress-relieved and recrystallized lattices. Overall the lattices had strong cubic texture aligning with the x-, y- and z-directions of the build with a preference outside the build direction (z). The recrystallized sample had more equiaxed polygonal grains and a layer of BCC ferrite at the surface of the structure approximately 1 grain thick. Upon dynamic compression the as-deposited lattice showed steady compaction behavior while the heat-treated lattices exhibit negative velocity behavior indicative of failure. We attribute this to the stiffer BCC ferrite in the annealed lattices becoming damaged and fragmenting during compression.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models for generative alloy design

Inverse material design is an extremely challenging optimization task made difficult by, in part, the highly nonlinear relationship linking performance with composition. Quantitative approaches have improved significantly owing to advances in high throughput experimentation and computational thermodynamics. However, existing physics-based tools are mostly forward models; input a chemistry and obtain a prediction. More recently the materials community has leveraged advances in the machine learning community to establish novel inverse design frameworks. Very recently denoising diffusion probabilistic models have been shown to be extremely powerful generators producing synthetic data of various modalities e.g. images, text, audio, tables, etc.. In this work a novel framework for alloy design and optimization is proposed leveraging these class of models. Five key generative tasks are demonstrated (1) unconditional generation (2) composition conditioned generation (3) property conditioned generation (4) multi-feedstock conditioned generation and (5) generative optimization. These methods were tested on three case studies: high entropy alloy design, superalloy binder jet additive manufacturing, and in-situ dual-feedstock wire-arc additive manufacturing. Results indicate that the established models are extremely flexible, expressive, and robust. The architecture’s flexibility and training procedure empower the model to learn complex intra-compositional and composition-property relationships. Furthermore, the probabilistic nature of these models makes them well suited for addressing solution non-uniqueness and tackling uncertainty quantification tasks. While the fidelity and quantity of the underlying training data is paramount, we envision that future alloy design frameworks will make extensive use of these kinds of machine learning models as “search” tools bolstering the utility of experimental and computational approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Computer vision models and advanced TEM imaging for microstructures of irradiated AM316 stainless steels

Advancements were made in automating microscopy-based material characterization, particularly in studying irradiation effects on additively manufactured (AM) materials using machine learning (ML) and computer vision (CV). These automation efforts address the challenges of analyzing complex microstructures, accelerating the detection of irradiation-induced defects. Two CV models were developed at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) to enhance transmission electron microscopy (TEM) analysis of irradiated AM 316 stainless steel. The first model focused on the detection of irradiation-induced dislocation loops, which contribute to material hardening and embrittlement. These loops, categorized as faulted or perfect, were automatically detected and classified using a Mask R-CNN model trained on TEM images from both in-situ and ex-situ ion irradiation experiments. The model achieved high accuracy, with precision, recall, and F1 scores of 0.839, 0.734, and 0.776, respectively, demonstrating its effectiveness in analyzing dislocation loops in irradiated AM materials. The second CV model was developed to analyze the size and wall thickness of dislocation cells in laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) 316 stainless steel. Using a U-Net++ architecture with EfficientNet as the encoder, the model was trained on TEM images to segment and measure cell size and wall thickness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗