Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Dynamic Link Analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 199 records · Page 11
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Digital Twin for Chemical Science (DTCS) v0.01

Directly visualizing the trajectories of chemistry can unravel novel insights into the behavior of catalysts, gas phase reactions, photo-induced dynamics, and building blocks for quantum information processing. The ability of explicitly identifying, tracking, and tagging the exchange of matter, hence the annihilation and creation of new chemical species, can be best realized through a close coupling of theory and experiment. While the synchrotron-based characterization facilities propelled rapidly in its hardware, providing higher brightness, better resolution, and more precision, the software infrastructure is lagging. We developed DTCS (Digital Twin for Chemical Science) v.01, a central platform that faithfully mimics advanced instrumentations in Scientific User Facilities, by solving a variety of technical challenges in data acquisition, analysis, and model-driven interpretation. Rooted in physics and accelerated by AI, we validated this concept by direct comparison with precise experimental X-ray Photoelectron Spectroscopy (XPS) observations using a ubiquitous metal-water interfacial scenario, i.e., Ag/H2O as our main narrative. The DTCS v.01 input mirrors how the bench chemists work, with the output directly linked to the end station computer, thereby providing a user-friendly, knowledge-driven, and accessible user experience with mechanistic insights standardized in a way that are ready to be published, versioned, and transferred flexibly.

Qian, Jin↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic data-driven multiscale modeling for predicting the degradation of a 316L stainless steel nuclear cladding material

Here, we have developed a long short-term memory stacked ensemble (LSTM-SE) surrogate modeling approach that can provide rapid predictions of microstructural evolution and the resultant mechanical properties of American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) 316L series stainless steel (316LSS) fuel cladding under conditions of varying temperature and radiation dose rate. To acquire training data, we developed and implemented a kinetic Monte Carlo (KMC) model to simulate precipitation kinetics of M 23 C 6 , γ', and G phases within SS316L cladding. Experimentally reported precipitation kinetics of SS316L in literature were linked to the kinetic parameters of the simulated precipitation in our KMC model. The model was then used to simulate microstructure evolution under synthetically generated treatments of varying temperature and radiation dose rate, for periods of up to 3000 hours. Changes in volume fraction, number density, and particle size of precipitates were recorded, and particle area fractions were correlated using statistical methods to develop the surrogate model. Simultaneously, the mechanical properties of the simulated microstructures were evaluated using microstructure-based finite element method (FEM) analysis to determine the elastic modulus, yield stress, ultimate tensile strength, and elongation to failure of the aged microstructures. Using this approach, our surrogate model can predict precipitation behavior within 0.25% volume fraction and mechanical properties within 6% relative error from the values predicted by the KMC and FEM models using 50 training simulations as input. The trained recurrent neural network-based model can return estimations of precipitation kinetics and mechanical properties ~1000 times faster than the physics-based codes. This work demonstrates, as a proof of concept, that reactor material service lifetimes under variable service conditions can be predicted for a statistics-based model from a practicably obtainable dataset.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Response of Ecosystem Productivity to High Vapor Pressure Deficit and Low Soil Moisture: Lessons Learned From the Global Eddy-Covariance Observations

Although there is mounting concern about how high vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and low soil moisture (SM) affect ecosystem productivity, their relative importance is still under debate. Here, we comprehensively quantified the relative impacts of these two factors on ecosystem gross primary production (GPP) using observations from a global network of eddy-covariance towers and two approaches (sensitivity analysis and linear regression model). Both approaches agree that a higher percentage of sites experience GPP reduction from high VPD than from low SM over the growing season. However, the constraint of high VPD and low SM on GPP reduction is tightly linked with climates and plant functional types. Humid and mesic ecosystems including forests and grasslands are dominated by VPD, while the semi-arid and arid ecosystems including shrublands and savannas are dominated by SM. The varying dominant role of these two factors on GPP is closely related to plant stomatal behavior, as predicted by a stomatal conductance model. Additionally, we highlight the non-linear impact of SM on GPP during droughts and the possible underestimation of the SM effects for deep-rooted plants when only using surface-layer SM. Our results shed light on a better understanding of the impacts of VPD and SM on vegetation productivity, with important implications for modeling the response and feedback of ecosystem dynamics to current and future climates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Thiol post-translational modifications modulate allosteric regulation of the OpcA–G6PDH complex through conformational gate control

In cyanobacteria, the redox-sensitive protein OpcA acts as a metabolic switch for G6PDH, enabling rapid adjustment of reducing power generation from glycogen catabolism and thereby precisely regulating carbon flux between anabolic and catabolic pathways. Although redox-sensitive cysteines in OpcA are known to regulate G6PDH, the mechanisms by which redox post-translational modifications (PTMs) on OpcA control G6PDH structure and activity remain unclear. Here, we combine computational modeling with experimental redox proteomics in Synechococcus elongatus PCC 7942 to dissect this mechanism. Experimentally, redox proteome analysis revealed differential redox PTM patterns, particularly on cysteines within the G6PDH-binding site of OpcA. These environmentally sensitive PTM changes at the interface suggest that thiol modifications in this region form a key regulatory node. More broadly, redox proteomics identified site-specific cysteine modifications under light/dark transitions and circadian cycling, linking distinct redox regimes to discrete PTM states. We employed PTM-Psi simulations to show that thiol PTMs near the OpcA–G6PDH interface are critical for allosteric regulation of G6PDH. The thiol PTMs on OpcA affect a putative gate region in G6PDH for substrate ingress and product egress as well as key hydrogen-bond networks within the active site. We infer that PTMs on OpcA tune the conformational landscapes of individual G6PDH subunits toward functionally relevant configurations according to environmental gradients, biasing the enzyme toward catalytically favorable states. Together, our results reveal a molecular mechanism in which thiol PTMs on OpcA modulate G6PDH structure and function through PTM-induced reorganization of conformational dynamics and allosteric communication. These findings demonstrate that PTM-level regulation provides a critical control layer from genotypes to phenotypes that enables cyanobacteria to rapidly adapt to environmental fluctuations through precise metabolic fine-tuning.

Allosteric regulation↗
DOE OSTI2023

Fusing time-varying mosquito data and continuous mosquito population dynamics models

Climate change is arguably one of the most pressing issues affecting the world today and requires the fusion of disparate data streams to accurately model its impacts. Mosquito populations respond to temperature and precipitation in a nonlinear way, making predicting climate impacts on mosquito-borne diseases an ongoing challenge. Data-driven approaches for accurately modeling mosquito populations are needed for predicting mosquito-borne disease risk under climate change scenarios. Many current models for disease transmission are continuous and autonomous, while mosquito data is discrete and varies both within and between seasons. This study uses an optimization framework to fit a non-autonomous logistic model with periodic net growth rate and carrying capacity parameters for 15 years of daily mosquito time-series data from the Greater Toronto Area of Canada. The resulting parameters accurately capture the inter-annual and intra-seasonal variability of mosquito populations within a single geographic region, and a variance-based sensitivity analysis highlights the influence each parameter has on the peak magnitude and timing of the mosquito season. This method can easily extend to other geographic regions and be integrated into a larger disease transmission model. This method addresses the ongoing challenges of data and model fusion by serving as a link between discrete time-series data and continuous differential equations for mosquito-borne epidemiology models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Transcriptomic and functional analyses uncover a conserved effector driving genotype-dependent virulence in the Sphaerulina musiva-Populus trichocarpa interaction

The introduction of invasive microbes compromises the structure, biodiversity, and function of naïve ecosystems. Sphaerulina musiva, a hemibiotrophic pathogen that causes leaf spot and stem cankers in Populus species, exemplifies an invasive fungal pathogen spread by human activities. However, the genetic mechanisms of pathogenicity and virulence are poorly understood, impeding mitigation strategies. We utilized RNA sequencing to identify fungal effectors linked to stem canker formation, informing the development of future strategies for effective disease management. Our analysis revealed 70 genes differentially expressed at 2 weeks and 110 genes at 3 weeks between inoculated trees and controls. Notably, the gene with the highest expression at 2 weeks and the second highest at 3 weeks was homologous to Extracellular protein 2 (Ecp2). Complementary genome-wide association studies linked sequence polymorphisms in this locus to phenotypic variation in disease severity. Infiltration of S. musiva Ecp2 into Populus trichocarpa leaves induced necrosis in susceptible genotypes. Gene disruption using a CRISPR-Cas9 RNP system resulted in a genotype-dependent reduction of stem canker and disease severity. Tracing the evolutionary history of this effector across the fungal kingdom, we uncovered clade-specific gene-family expansions and orthologs in new species. These findings raise questions about the function and adaptive significance of these gene families in fungal lifestyles. Our study provides the first tractable target for breeding resistant poplar genotypes, addressing the challenges of managing S. musiva and uncovering mechanisms that drive its virulence, and provides deeper insights into the evolutionary dynamics of a conserved small-secreted protein with a diversity of functions.

Sondreli, Kelsey L [Oregon State University]↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Novel Spatio-Temporal Regime Tracking Method for Impact Simulations

In this proposal, we present a novel method of tracking the rheological regimes activated during impact cratering events that will allow researchers to gain new insights into cratering mechanics. Rheology describes the stress-strain response of rocks to different conditions. Planetary impact cratering events often occur on too large of a scale to be feasibly captured in controlled experiments. Instead, these dynamic events are primarily studied using multi-physics codes equipped with complex material models that enable calculations of the impact event at scale. However, determining which physical processes are required for the problem of interest is challenging. Because the dominant rheological regimes change with space and time during crater formation, it is difficult to link numerical simulations with observable features of craters at the end of the event. The basis of this work is the implementation of numerical flags that track the activation of each rheological regime throughout impact simulations. We demonstrate this with the ‘Rock Model’ implemented in the CTH shock-physics code. We will use this rheology tracking method to ’zoom in’ on a specific region within an event and track the conditions the rock experiences over time. This work will develop community benchmarks to validate and distribute our implemented rheological models. We will focus on improving the melt models used by the planetary impact modeling community by developing an EOS-aware rheological transition from solid to melt. Through analysis of cell and tracer-particle based tracking data, we will study the effects of different rheologies on modeled outcomes, particularly on the volume and distributions of impacts melts. We will also use this method to link observable features with the rheological mechanisms responsible for them. The deliverables (peer-reviewed papers) from the proposed work are (i) tests of the implemented rheologic processes and demonstrations of the tracking flags; (ii) the first calculations of the spatio-temporal evolution of the dominant rheologies during impact cratering events; and (iii) application to delivery of impactor iron during basin-scale impacts.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Twin-screw granulation: Mechanistic understanding of the effect of material properties on key granule quality attributes through the analysis of mixing dynamics and granulation rate mechanisms

This study focuses on understanding the effect of material properties on granule quality attributes through the analysis of mixing dynamics and granulation rate mechanisms. Powder wettability, binder viscosity, and liquid-to-solid (L/S) ratio were the factors that were investigated in this study. Further, the mixing occurring inside the twin-screw granulator (TSG) was quantitatively assessed by obtaining the axial dispersion coefficient from the experimentally measured residence time distribution (RTD) curves. It was observed that the quality of the nuclei fed to the kneading zone significantly affected the mixing dynamics. The quality of nuclei was governed by nucleation kinetics, which in turn was principally affected by the liquid saturation of the nuclei and the ratio of drop penetration time and encounter time, which in turn were affected by the L/S ratio and binder viscosity respectively. The hydrophobicity of the blend mainly affected the extent of nucleation. The type of nuclei entering the kneading zone and mixing dynamics in the TSG also determined whether the granulation growth mechanism was “layering-dominant” or “viscous-dominant”. It was also shown that the resultant granule quality attributes were a reflection of the growth mechanisms. Ultimately, a mechanistic link between material properties, mixing dynamics, granulation rate mechanisms, and granule quality attributes was established.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Excited-State Bond Contraction and Charge Migration in a Platinum Dimer Complex Characterized by X-ray and Optical Transient Absorption Spectroscopy

Interactions between metal centers in dimeric transition metal complexes (TMCs) play important roles in their excited-state energetics and pathways, and, thus, affect their photophysical properties relevant to their applications, e.g., photoluminescent materials and photocatalysis. In this study, we report electronic and nuclear structural dynamics studies of two photoexcited pyrazolate-bridged [Pt(ppy)(µ-R 2 pz)] 2 -type Pt(II) dimers (ppy = 2-phenylpyridine, µ-R 2 pz = 3,5-substituted pyrazolate): [Pt(ppy)(µ-H 2 pz)] 2 (1) and [Pt(NDI-ppy)(µ-Ph 2 pz)] 2 (2, NDI = 1,4,5,8-naphthalenediimide), both of which have distinct ground state Pt-Pt distances. X-ray transient absorption spectroscopy at the Pt L III -edge revealed a new d-orbital vacancy due to the one-electron oxidation of the Pt centers in 1 and 2. However, while a transient Pt-Pt contraction was observed in 2, such an effect was completely absent in 1, demonstrating how the excited states of these complexes are determined by the overlap of the Pt (d z 2 ) orbitals, which is tuned by steric bulk of the pyrazolate R-groups in the 3- and 5-positions. In tandem with analysis of the Pt-Pt distance structural parameter, we observed photoinduced charge separation in 2 featuring a covalently linked NDI acceptor on the ppy ligand. The formation and subsequent decay of the NDI radical anion absorption signals were detected upon photoexcitation using optical transient absorption spectroscopy. The NDI radical anion decayed on the same timescale, hundreds of picoseconds, as that of the d-orbital vacancy signal of the oxidized Pt-Pt core observed in the XTA measurements. The data indicated ultrafast formation of the charge-separated state and subsequent charge recombination to the original Pt(II-II) species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Understanding the dynamics of vacuole trafficking and secretion for enhanced plant storage reserves

Vacuoles are essential in plants and serve roles in both protein and organelle degradation for reutilization and storage of high energy molecules such as storage proteins which are critical for seed germination under normal and stress conditions and impact biomass production and nutrition. In addition, plants secrete many different molecules such as cell wall components, lipids, waxes and others that are important for plant protection, structure and biomass. Vacuole accumulation and secretion are closely linked and highly regulated pathways within the endomembrane trafficking network. We have discovered many drug-like synthetic small molecules that can suppress vacuole trafficking and enhance secretion; other chemicals can enhance vacuole trafficking and suppress secretion. The ability of our compounds to modulate these pathways indicates that these pathways are tightly coupled and highly regulated. Thus, to achieve the goals of enhanced energy reserves or enhanced secretion it is essential to understand how this dynamic is controlled. Bioactive chemicals have provided us unique insight into natural mechanisms controlling the dynamics of vacuole trafficking and secretion that was not possible previously. One such compound, ES2, negatively modulates secretion while enhancing vacuole trafficking. This is the first compound discovered that targets an essential secretory complex known as the exocyst and will reveal important regulatory domains controlling secretion and vacuole trafficking. During the current funding period, we determined the structure of the EXO70A1 in plants and identifying its binding site. To understand the dynamics of vacuole trafficking it is key to have compounds that inhibit vacuole trafficking as well as enhancing it (ES2). We have used sophisticated image analysis to identify another novel compound ES17 that enhances secretion while negatively modulating vacuole trafficking (opposite of ES2). We have already made rapid progress. Our preliminary data indicates that ES17 very specifically targets a late stage of vesicle fusion with the tonoplast which is highly regulated. Thus, ES17 is an ideal compound to dissect the regulation of vacuole targeting dynamics. In addition, we have now synthesized a biotinylated version of ES17 that is fully functional, permitting the use of chemical proteomics to identify the cognate target with a high probability of success. We propose to investigate the ES17 target which can negatively modulate vacuole trafficking and combine this with knowledge of the ES2 target which can promote vacuole trafficking. Dissecting the mechanisms controlling the dynamics of secretion vs vacuole accumulation and the use of synthetic modulators will permit us to understand and regulate trafficking to enhance secretion to the plasma membrane and cell wall or the accumulation of biological energy reserves for increased biomass, nutritional value, stress resistance, and the secretion of specialized plant products.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

The Discovery of the Long-Period, Eccentric Planet Kepler-88 d and System Characterization with Radial Velocities and Photodynamical Analysis

We present the discovery of Kepler-88 d (P{sub d} = 1403±14 days, Msini{sub d}=965±44 M{sub ⊕}=3.04±0.13 M{sub J}, e{sub d}=0.41±0.03) based on six years of radial velocity (RV) follow-up from the W. M. Keck Observatory High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer spectrograph. Kepler-88 has two previously identified planets. Kepler-88 b (KOI-142.01) transits in the NASA Kepler photometry and has very large transit timing variations (TTVs). Nesvorný et al. performed a dynamical analysis of the TTVs to uniquely identify the orbital period and mass of the perturbing planet (Kepler-88 c), which was later was confirmed with RVs from the Observatoire de Haute-Provence (OHP). To fully explore the architecture of this system, we performed photodynamical modeling on the Kepler photometry combined with the RVs from Keck and OHP and stellar parameters from spectroscopy and Gaia. Planet d is not detectable in the photometry, and long-baseline RVs are needed to ascertain its presence. A photodynamical model simultaneously optimized to fit the RVs and Kepler photometry yields the most precise planet masses and orbital properties yet for b and c: P{sub b}=10.91647±0.00014 days, M{sub b}=9.5±1.2 M{sub ⊕}, P{sub c}=22.2649±0.0007 days, and M{sub c}=214.0±5.3 M{sub ⊕}. The photodynamical solution also finds that planets b and c have low eccentricites and low mutual inclination, are apsidally anti-aligned, and have conjunctions on the same hemisphere of the star. Continued RV follow-up of systems with small planets will improve our understanding of the link between inner planetary system architectures and giant planets.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Assessing complexity and dynamics in epidemics: geographical barriers and facilitators of foot-and-mouth disease dissemination

Introduction: Physical and non-physical processes that occur in nature may influence biological processes, such as dissemination of infectious diseases. However, such processes may be hard to detect when they are complex systems. Because complexity is a dynamic and non-linear interaction among numerous elements and structural levels in which specific effects are not necessarily linked to any one specific element, cause-effect connections are rarely or poorly observed. Methods: To test this hypothesis, the complex and dynamic properties of geo-biological data were explored with high-resolution epidemiological data collected in the 2001 Uruguayan foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) epizootic that mainly affected cattle. County-level data on cases, farm density, road density, river density, and the ratio of road (or river) length/county perimeter were analyzed with an open-ended procedure that identified geographical clustering in the first 11 epidemic weeks. Two questions were asked: (i) do geo-referenced epidemiologic data display complex properties? and (ii) can such properties facilitate or prevent disease dissemination? Results: Emergent patterns were detected when complex data structures were analyzed, which were not observed when variables were assessed individually. Complex properties–including data circularity–were demonstrated. The emergent patterns helped identify 11 counties as ‘disseminators’ or ‘facilitators’ (F) and 264 counties as ‘barriers’ (B) of epidemic spread. In the early epidemic phase, F and B counties differed in terms of road density and FMD case density. Focusing on non-biological, geographical data, a second analysis indicated that complex relationships may identify B-like counties even before epidemics occur. Discussion: Geographical barriers and/or promoters of disease dispersal may precede the introduction of emerging pathogens. If corroborated, the analysis of geo-referenced complexity may support anticipatory epidemiological policies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Linking transportation agent-based model ($\mathrm{ABM}$) outputs with micro-urban social types ($\mathrm{MUSTs}$) via typology transfer for improved community relevance

The human relationship with transportation is shaped by social, economic, demographic, and urban form variables, or socio-spatial factors. The spatial dynamics of these are key to generating and interpreting outputs of transportation models that are most relevant for a community and the diverse mobility needs of its members. Here we present a typology transfer framework, grounded in socio-spatial dynamics shaping people's mobility, to take transportation-themed regional mobility model outcomes, in this case from two agent-based models (ABMs), and extrapolate them to other cities, with less time and resource intensity than new ABM development. The typology transfer process first identifies micro-urban social types (MUSTs) using socio-spatial factors, then defines city types based on spatial patterns of MUSTs to assess across which cities transfer results are likely to best hold. Lastly, a typology transfer multiplier matrix extrapolates a given variable, in our case the Mobility Energy Productivity (MEP) metric, to another city. The full process demonstration uses ABM results from Chicago (POLARIS model) and San Francisco (BEAM model), applying them to New York City. We discuss how MEP or other outputs can be appropriately estimated and used for integrated, human-centered mobility analysis. Key findings include that this MUST framework of user-defined dependent and independent variables allows tailoring ABM results and interpretations to specific community needs and data availability. Findings clarify that positive outcomes can be targeted towards user groups, based on sociospatial characteristics, using a typology approach, such as inclusive access to mobility choices, transportation affordability, and greater efficiency in resource use.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Dynamics of Subsiding Shells in Actively Growing Clouds with Vertical Updrafts

The dynamics of a subsiding shell at the edges of actively growing shallow cumulus clouds with updrafts is analyzed using direct numerical simulation. The actively growing clouds have a fixed in-cloud buoyancy and velocity. Turbulent mixing and evaporative cooling at the cloud edges generate a subsiding shell that grows with time. A self-similar regime is observed for first- and second-order moments when normalized with respective maximum values. Internal scales derived from integral properties of the flow problem are identified. A self-similarity analysis using these scales reveals that contrary to classical self-similar flows, the turbulent kinetic energy budget terms and velocity moments scale according to the buoyancy and not with the mean velocity. The shell thickness is observed to increase linearly with time. The buoyancy scale remains time invariant and is set by the initial cloud–environment thermodynamics. The shell accelerates ballistically with a magnitude set by the saturation value of the buoyancy of the cloud–environment mixture. In this regime, the shell is buoyancy driven and independent of the in-cloud velocity. Relations are obtained for predicting the shell thickness and minimum velocities by linking the internal scales with external flow parameters. The values thus calculated are consistent with the thickness and velocities observed in typical shallow cumulus clouds. The entrainment coefficient is a function of the initial state of the cloud and the environment, and is shown to be on the same order of magnitude as fractional entrainment rates calculated for large-scale models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integrable symplectic maps with a polygon tessellation

Identifying integrable dynamics remains a formidable challenge, and despite centuries of research, only a handful of examples are known to date. In this article, we explore a distinct form of area-preserving (symplectic) mappings derived from the stroboscopic Poincaré cross section of a kicked rotator—an oscillator subjected to an external force periodically switched on in short pulses. The significance of this class of problems extends to various applications in physics and mathematics, including particle accelerators, crystallography, and studies of chaos. Notably, Suris's theorem constrains the integrability within this category of mappings, outlining potential scenarios with analytic invariants of motion. In this paper, we challenge the assumption of the analyticity of the invariant by exploring piecewise linear transformations on a torus ( T 2 ) and associated systems on the plane ( R 2 ), incorporating arithmetic quasiperiodicity and discontinuities. Introducing a new automated technique, we discovered previously unknown scenarios featuring polygonal invariants that form perfect tessellations and, moreover, fibrations of the plane or torus. This work reveals a novel category of planar tilings characterized by discrete symmetries that emerge from the invertibility of transformations and are intrinsically linked to the presence of integrability. Our algorithm relies on the analysis of the Poincaré rotation number and its piecewise monotonic nature for integrable cases, contrasting with the noisy behavior in the case of chaos, thereby allowing for clear separation. Some of the newly discovered systems exhibit the peculiar behavior of “integrable diffusion,” characterized by infinite and quasirandom hopping between tiles while being confined to a set of invariant segments. Finally, through the implementation of a smoothening procedure, all mappings can be generalized to quasi-integrable scenarios with suppressed volume occupied by chaotic trajectories, thereby opening doors to potential practical applications. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Sustainable Shape Memory Elastomers with Reduced Melt Viscosity and Enhanced Stiffness

Melt reactive processing of lignin with nitrile rubber is a promising approach to synthesizing shape memory materials. The strong intramolecular interactions in lignin macromolecular structures, caused by π–π stacking in aromatic rings and hydrogen bonding, often result in large phase separation or low miscibility with rubbers. In this study, we investigated the chemical and molecular characteristics, as well as the stiffness and complex viscosity, of modified kraft lignin melt-reacted with an acrylonitrile/butadiene copolymer containing 41% acrylonitrile (NBR41). To enhance the macromolecular compatibility of kraft lignin with NBR41, kraft lignin was cross-linked with poly(propylene glycol) diglycidyl ether (PPDE) and trimethylolpropane triglycidyl ether (TTE), both rich in epoxy reactive groups capable of forming chemical bonds with hydroxyl and carboxyl groups. Here, our findings demonstrate that the modification of kraft lignin with PPDE and TTE resulted in significantly increased stiffness of the composites. The elastic modulus of NBR41-Kraft lignin-PPDE and NBR41-Kraft lignin-TTE increased by 82 and 162%, respectively. Both the yield strength and Young’s modulus of these two samples showed dramatic improvements. Specifically, the yield strength and Young’s modulus of NBR41-Kraft lignin-TTE increased nearly 4 and 3-fold, respectively, compared to the control sample. Interestingly, despite significant improvements in mechanical properties, the viscosity of NBR41-Kraft lignin-PPDE was substantially lower than that of the control sample. At 210 °C and an angular frequency of 1 rad/s, the complex viscosity of NBR41-Kraft lignin was approximately 100.25 ± 4.77 kPa·s, while that of NBR41-Kraft lignin-PPDE was significantly lower at 56 ± 0.93 kPa·s. These findings were validated through Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy, scanning electron microscopy, dynamic mechanical analysis, thermal characterization, rheological tests, and quasi-elastic neutron scattering techniques.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Detecting forest response to droughts with global observations of vegetation water content

Droughts in a warming climate have become more common and more extreme, making understanding forest responses to water stress increasingly pressing. Analysis of water stress in trees has long focused on water potential in xylem and leaves, which influences stomatal closure and water flow through the soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. At the same time, changes of vegetation water content (VWC) are linked to a range of tree responses, including fluxes of water and carbon, mortality, flammability, and more. Unlike water potential, which requires demanding in situ measurements, VWC can be retrieved from remote sensing measurements, particularly at microwave frequencies using radar and radiometry. Here, we highlight key frontiers through which VWC has the potential to significantly increase our understanding of forest responses to water stress. To validate remote sensing observations of VWC at landscape scale and to better relate them to data assimilation model parameters, we introduce an ecosystem-scale analogue of the pressure-volume curve, the non-linear relationship between 44 average leaf or branch water potential and water content commonly used in plant hydraulics. The 45 sources of variability in these ecosystem-scale pressure-volume curves and their relationship to 46 forest response to water stress are discussed. We further show to what extent diel, seasonal, and 47 decadal dynamics of VWC reflect variations in different processes relating the tree response to 48 water stress. VWC can also be used for inferring belowground conditions – which are difficult to 49 impossible to observe directly. Lastly, we discuss how a dedicated geostationary spaceborne 50 observational system for VWC, when combined with existing datasets, can capture diel and 51 seasonal water dynamics to advance the science and applications of global forest vulnerability to 52 future droughts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

The hazard components of representative key risks. The physical climate perspective

The framework of Representative Key Risks (RKRs) has been adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group II in order to categorize, assess and communicate a wide range of regional and sectoral key risks, expected to become severe as a consequence of the potentially detrimental convergence of changing climate conditions, exposure and vulnerability of human and natural systems, and responses through (mal)adaptation measures. Other papers in this special issue treat each of eight RKRs by holistically assessing their current status and future evolution as a result of this convergence. However, their treatment cannot always organize such assessment according to a systematic gradation of climatic changes, often times having to extrapolate the big-picture evolution of risk from either qualitative effects of “low” medium” and “high” warming, or limited/focused analysis of the consequences of particular mitigation choices (e.g., benefits of limiting warming to 1.5 or 2C). In this study we offer as systematic a representation as possible – given current literature and assessments – of the future evolution of the hazard components of RKRs. We draw on the assessment of changes in climatic impact-drivers relevant to RKRs described in the 6th Assessment Report by Working Group 1 (WGI) supplemented when needed by more recent literature. We identify the relevant hazards for each RKR, based upon the WGII authors’ assessment, and we report on their current state and expected future changes in magnitude, intensity and/or frequency, linking these changes to Global Warming Levels to the extent possible. For some of these quantities - like regional trends in oceanic and atmospheric temperature and precipitation, some heat and precipitation extremes, permafrost thaw and Northern Hemisphere snow cover - a strong and quantitative relationship with global average temperature change has been assessed. For others - like frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones and extra-tropical storms, and fire weather - the link to increasing global temperatures can only be described qualitatively. For some processes - like the behavior of ice-sheets, or changes in circulation dynamics - large uncertainties about the effects of different levels of warming remain, and for a few others - like ocean pH and air pollution - the composition of the scenario of anthropogenic emissions is most relevant, rather than the warming reached. In almost all cases, however, the basic message remains that every small increment in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere and associated warming will bring changes in climate phenomena that will contribute to increasing risk of impacts on human and natural systems when these changes happen in conjunction with these systems’ conditions of exposure and vulnerability, and in lack of effective adaptation. Our picture of the evolution of RKR-relevant climatic impact-drivers complements and enriches the treatment of RKRs in the other papers in at least two ways: by filling in an often only cursory or limited representation of the physical climate aspects driving impacts, and by providing a fuller representation of their future possible evolution which represents an important component – if never the only one – of the potential future evolution of risk severity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗