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At least 199 records · Page 11

Evaluating proxies for the drivers of natural gas productivity using machine-learning models

We report the extensive development of unconventional reservoirs using horizontal drilling and multistage hydraulic fracturing has generated large volumes of reservoir characterization and production data. The analysis of this abundant data using statistical methods and advanced machine-learning (ML) techniques can provide data-driven insights into well performance. Most predictive modeling studies have focused on the impact that different well completion and stimulation strategies have on well production but have not fully exploited the available in situ rock property data to determine its role in reservoir productivity. We have used machine-learning techniques to rank rock mechanical properties, microseismic attributes, and stimulation parameters in the order of their significance for predicting natural gas production from an unconventional reservoir. The data for this study came from a hydraulically fractured well in the Marcellus Shale in Monongalia County, West Virginia. The data classes included measurements aggregated by well completion stage that included (1) gas production, (2) well-log-derived measurements including bulk density, elastic moduli, shear impedance, compressional impedance, brittleness, and gamma measurements, (3) microseismic attributes, (4) long-period long-duration (LPLD) event counts, (5) fracture counts, and (6) stimulation parameters that included the fluid injection volume and average pumping pressure. To identify observable proxies for the drivers of gas production, we evaluated five commonly used ML approaches including multivariate adaptive regression spline, Gaussian mixture model, random forest, gradient boosting, and neural network. We selected five variables including LPLD event count, seismogenic b-value, hydraulic diffusivity, cumulative moment, and fluid volume as the features most likely to impact gas productivity at the stage level in the study area. The data-driven selection of these parameters for their importance in determining gas production can help reservoir engineers design more effective hydraulic-fracture treatments in the Marcellus Shale and other similar unconventional reservoirs. Plain language summary: We use machine-learning methods and data-driven selection of reservoir parameters to rank and better understand their importance in determining gas production, which can help reservoir engineers design more effective hydraulic-fracture treatments in the Marcellus Shale and other similar unconventional reservoirs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Use of Ferrofluids to Model Materials Processing (MSFC Center Director's Discretionary Fund)

Many crystals grown in space have structural flaws believed to result from convective motions during the growth phase. The character of these instabilities is not well understood but is associated with thermal and solutal density variations near the solidification interface in the presence of residual gravity and g-jitter. To study these instabilities in a separate, controlled space experiment, a concentration gradient would first have to be artificially established in a timely manner as an initial condition. This is generally difficult to accomplish in a microgravity environment because the momentum of the fluid injected into a test cell tends to swirl around and mix in the absence of a restoring force. The use of magnetic fields to control the motion and position of liquids has received recent, growing interest. The possibility of using the force exerted by a non-uniform magnetic field on a ferrofluid to not only achieve fluid manipulation but also to actively control fluid motion makes it an attractive candidate for space applications. This paper describes a technique for quickly establishing a linear or exponential fluid concentration gradient using a magnetic field in place of gravity to stabilize the deployment. Also discussed is a photometric technique for measuring the concentration profile using light attenuation. Although any range of concentrations can be realized, photometric constraints impose some limitations on measurements. Results of the ground-based experiments indicate that the species distribution is within 3 percent of the predicted value.

Leslie, F.↗

A Technique for Rapidly Deploying a Concentration Gradient with Applications to Microgravity

The latter half of the last century has seen rapid advancements in semiconductor crystal growth powered by the demand for high performance electronics in myriad applications. The reduced gravity environment of space has also been used for crystal growth tests, especially in instances where terrestrial growth has largely been unsuccessful. While reduced gravity crystal growth affords some control of the gravity parameter, many crystals grown in space, to date, have structural flaws believed to result from convective motions during the growth phase. The character of these instabilities is not well understood but is associated with thermal and solutal density variations near the solidification interface in the presence of residual gravity and g-jitter. In order to study these instabilities in a separate, controlled space experiment, a concentration gradient would first have to be artificially established in a timely manner as an initial condition. This is generally difficult to accomplish in a microgravity environment because the momentum of the fluid injected into a test cell tends to swirl around and mix in the absence of a restoring force. The use of magnetic fields to control the motion and position of liquids has received growing interest in recent times. The possibility of using the force exerted by a non-uniform magnetic field on a ferrofluid to not only achieve fluid manipulation but also to actively control fluid motion makes it an attractive candidate for space applications. This paper describes a technique for quickly establishing a linear or exponential fluid concentration gradient using a magnetic field in place of gravity to stabilize the deployment. Also discussed is a photometric technique for measuring the concentration profile using light attenuation. Results of the ground-based experiments indicate that the concentration distribution is within 3% of the predicted value. Although any range of concentations can be realized, photometric constraints are discussed which impose some limitations on measurements.

Leslie, Fred↗

Two sides of a fault: Grain-scale analysis of pore pressure control on fault slip

Pore fluid pressure in a fault zone can be altered by natural processes (e.g., mineral dehydration and thermal pressurization) and industrial operations involving subsurface fluid injection and extraction for the development of energy and water resources. However, the effect of pore pressure change on the stability and slip motion of a preexisting geologic fault remains poorly understood; yet, it is critical for the assessment of seismic hazard. In this study, we develop a micromechanical model to investigate the effect of pore pressure on fault slip behavior. The model couples fluid flow on the network of pores with mechanical deformation of the skeleton of solid grains. Pore fluid exerts pressure force onto the grains, the motion of which is solved using the discrete element method. We conceptualize the fault zone as a gouge layer sandwiched between two blocks. We study fault stability in the presence of a pressure discontinuity across the gouge layer and compare it with the case of continuous (homogeneous) pore pressure.We focus on the onset of shear failure in the gouge layer and reproduce conditions where the failure plane is parallel to the fault. We show that when the pressure is discontinuous across the fault, the onset of slip occurs on the side with the higher pore pressure, and that this onset is controlled by the maximum pressure on both sides of the fault. In conclusion, the results shed new light on the use of the effective stress principle and the Coulomb failure criterion in evaluating the stability of a complex fault zone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Fracture Characterization in Enhanced Geothermal Systems by Wellbore and Reservoir Analysis

This report highlights the work that was done to characterize fractured geothermal reservoirs using production data. That includes methods that were developed to infer characteristic functions from production data and models that were designed to optimize reinjection scheduling into geothermal reservoirs, based on these characteristic functions. The characterization method provides a robust way of interpreting tracer and flow rate data from fractured reservoirs. The flow-rate data are used to infer the interwell connectivity, which describes how injected fluids are divided between producers in the reservoir. The tracer data are used to find the tracer kernel for each injector-producer connection. The tracer kernel describes the volume and dispersive properties of the interwell flow path. A combination of parametric and nonparametric regression methods were developed to estimate the tracer kernels for situations where data is collected at variable flow-rate or variable injected concentration conditions. The characteristic functions can be used to calibrate thermal transport models, which can in turn be used to predict the productivity of geothermal systems. This predictive model can be used to optimize injection scheduling in a geothermal reservoir, as is illustrated in this report.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Shallow Marine High-Resolution 3D Seismics for Above-Zone CO2 Monitoring: A Case Study in Offshore Japan

Shallow marine high-resolution 3D (HR3D) seismic utilizes a novel seismic acquisition technology for imaging fine geological features not revealed by conventional 3D surveys. HR3D technology has been previously used for shallow subsurface studies, however is rarely implemented for monitoring injected fluids, and has not previously been used to monitor an active CO2 storage project. In this study, we for the first time demonstrate the acquisition, processing and initial interpretation of a HR3D seismic survey in Tomakomai, offshore Japan, where a large-scale CO2 storage project is being undertaken. As a seismic monitoring tool, the HR3D survey images the geologic overburden (< 1000 ms), aiming to detect potential CO2 leakage pathways above the injection reservoir. The HR3D acquisition system comprises a 210 in3 GI air gun and 4 streamers that are 25 m in length with 10 m inline separation. Each streamer has 8 channels with a 3.125 m group interval, yielding a very small final bin size of 3 x 3 m. The short offset and low-fold coverage of the HR3D data creates new challenges in seismic data processing, which demands a different data processing workflow tailored to the HR3D acquisition. We present a data processing workflow involving multiple software processing packages, which tackled high-resolution related static issues and significantly reduced various noise elements. Dip-steering and structural filtering were employed on the stacked volume to further enhance the lateral coherence and to remove random noise and suppress acquisition footprints. The final volume shows flat and coherent above-zone stratigraphy, suggesting a good seal quality above the CO2 reservoir. The successful implementation of HR3D acquisition and the customized processing workflow verify the feasibility of HR3D seismics for the above- zone monitoring of offshore CO2 injection and storage projects.

Feng, Ye Erickson↗

SHALLOW MARINE HIGH-RESOLUTION 3D SEISMICS FOR ABOVE- ZONE CO2MONITORING: A CASE STUDY IN OFFSHORE JAPAN

Shallow marine high-resolution 3D (HR3D) seismic utilizes a novel seismic acquisition technology for imaging fine geological features not revealed by conventional 3D surveys. HR3D technology has been previously used for shallow subsurface studies, however is rarely implemented for monitoring injected fluids, and has not previously been used to monitor an active CO2 storage project. In this study, we for the first time demonstrate the acquisition, processing and initial interpretation of a HR3D seismic survey in Tomakomai, offshore Japan, where a large-scale CO2 storage project is being undertaken. As a seismic monitoring tool, the HR3D survey images the geologic overburden (< 1000 ms), aiming to detect potential CO2 leakage pathways above the injection reservoir. The HR3D acquisition system comprises a 210 in3 GI air gun and 4 streamers that are 25 m in length with 10 m inline separation. Each streamer has 8 channels with a 3.125 m group interval, yielding a very small final bin size of 3 x 3 m. The short offset and low-fold coverage of the HR3D data creates new challenges in seismic data processing, which demands a different data processing workflow tailored to the HR3D acquisition. We present a data processing workflow involving multiple software processing packages, which tackled high-resolution related static issues and significantly reduced various noise elements. Dip-steering and structural filtering were employed on the stacked volume to further enhance the lateral coherence and to remove random noise and suppress acquisition footprints. The final volume shows flat and coherent above-zone stratigraphy, suggesting a good seal quality above the CO2 reservoir. The successful implementation of HR3D acquisition and the customized processing workflow verify the feasibility of HR3D seismics for the above-zone monitoring of offshore CO2 injection and storage projects.

Feng, Ye E.↗

Application of Electromagnetic Methods for Reservoir Monitoring with Emphasis on Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage

The Controlled-Source ElectroMagnetic (CSEM) method provides crucial information about reservoir fluids and their spatial distribution. Carbon dioxide (CO2) storage, enhanced oil recovery (EOR), geothermal exploration, and lithium exploration are ideal applications for the CSEM method. The versatility of CSEM permits its customization to specific reservoir objectives by selecting the appropriate components of a multi-component system. To effectively tailor the CSEM approach, it is essential to determine whether the primary target reservoir is resistive or conductive. This task is relatively straightforward in CO2 monitoring, where the injected fluid is resistive. However, for scenarios involving brine-saturated (water-wet) or oil-wet (carbon capture, utilization, and storage—CCUS) reservoirs, consideration must also be given to conductive reservoir components. The optimization of data acquisition before the survey involves analyzing target parameters and the sensitivity of multi-component CSEM. This optimization process typically includes on-site noise measurements and 3D anisotropic modeling. Based on our experience, subsequent surveys tend to proceed smoothly, yielding robust measurements that align with scientific objectives. Other critical aspects to be considered are using magnetotelluric (MT) measurements to define the overall background resistivities and integrating real-time quality assurance during data acquisition with 3D modeling. This integration allows the fine tuning of acquisition parameters such as acquisition time and necessary repeats. As a result, data can be examined in real-time to assess subsurface information content while the acquisition is ongoing. Consequently, high-quality data sets are usually obtained for subsequent processing and initial interpretation with minimal user intervention. The implementation of sensitivity analysis during the inversion process plays a pivotal role in ensuring that the acquired data accurately respond to the target reservoirs’ expected depth range. To elucidate these concepts, we present an illustrative example from a CO2 storage site in North Dakota, USA, wherein the long-offset transient electromagnetic method (LOTEM), a variation of the CSEM method, and the MT method were utilized. This example showcases how surface measurements attain appropriately upscaled log-scale sensitivity. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the CSEM and MT methods was examined in other case histories, where the target reservoirs exhibited conductive properties, such as those encountered in enhanced oil recovery (EOR), geothermal, and lithium exploration applications. The same equipment specifications were utilized for CSEM and MT surveys across all case studies.

Barajas-Olalde, César↗

Analysis of seismic moment tensors and in situ stress during Enhanced Geothermal System development at The Geysers geothermal field, California

Seismicity in the vicinity of an Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) demonstration project in the Northwest Geysers at the Prati 32 (P-32) injection well and the Prati State 31 (PS-31) production well is investigated to determine earthquake focal mechanisms, moment magnitudes and in situ stress of events that occur before and during reservoir stimulation starting 2011 October 6. We present a catalogue of 167 waveform-based seismic moment tensors ranging in moment magnitude from 0.6 to 3.9. The moment tensor catalogue is subsequently used to invert for the stress tensor and to investigate possible temporal stress changes resulting from fluid injection. We find an approximate 15-degree counter-clockwise rotation of the least compressive stress σ3 during injection. More remarkable is a change in orientation of the maximum compressive stress σ1 from subhorizontal to vertical when injection operations temporarily cease. The orientation of σ1 returns to subhorizontal when injection operations resume. It is found that there was a systematic reduction in the stress shape factor, R, as the injected water volume increases, indicating an evolution towards a more transtensional stress state.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Utility of Bromide and Heat Tracers for Aquifer Characterization Affected by Highly Transient Flow Conditions

A tracer test using both bromide and heat tracers conducted at the Integrated Field Research Challenge site in Hanford 300 Area (300A), Washington, provided an instrument for evaluating the utility of bromide and heat tracers for aquifer characterization. The bromide tracer data were critical to improving the calibration of the flow model complicated by the highly dynamic nature of the flow field. However, most bromide concentrations were obtained from fully screened observation wells, lacking depth-specific resolution for vertical characterization. On the other hand, depth-specific temperature data were relatively simple and inexpensive to acquire. However, temperature-driven fluid density effects influenced heat plume movement. Moreover, the temperature data contained “noise” caused by heating during fluid injection and sampling events. Using the hydraulic conductivity distribution obtained from the calibration of the bromide transport model, the temperature depth profiles and arrival times of temperature peaks simulated by the heat transport model were in reasonable agreement with observations. This suggested that heat can be used as a cost-effective proxy for solute tracers for calibration of the hydraulic conductivity distribution, especially in the vertical direction. However, a heat tracer test must be carefully designed and executed to minimize fluid density effects and sources of noise in temperature data. A sensitivity analysis also revealed that heat transport was most sensitive to hydraulic conductivity and porosity, less sensitive to thermal distribution factor, and least sensitive to thermal dispersion and heat conduction. This indicated that the hydraulic conductivity remains the primary calibration parameter for heat transport.

Ma, Rui↗

Single-Well Push–Pull Tracer Test Analyses to Determine Aquifer Reactive Transport Parameters at a Former Uranium Mill Site (Grand Junction, Colorado)

At a former uranium mill site where tailings have been removed, prior work has determined several potential ongoing secondary uranium sources. These include locations with uranium sorbed to organic carbon, uranium in the unsaturated zone, and uranium associated with the presence of gypsum. To better understand uranium mobility controls at the site, four single-well push–pull tests (with a drift phase) were completed with the goal of deriving aquifer flow and contaminant transport parameters for inclusion in a future sitewide reactive transport model. This goes beyond the traditional use of a constant sorption distribution coefficient (K d ) and allows for the evaluation of alternative remedial injection fluids, which can produce variable K d values. Dispersion was first removed from the resulting data to determine possible reactions before conducting reactive transport simulations. These initial analyses indicated the potential need to include cation exchange, uranium sorption, and gypsum dissolution. A reactive transport model using multiple layers to account for partially penetrating wells was completed using the PHT-USG reactive transport modeling code and calibrated using PEST. The model results quantify the hydraulic conductivity and dispersion parameters using the injected tracer concentrations. Uranium sorption, cation exchange, and gypsum dissolution parameters were quantified by comparing the simulated versus observed geochemistry. All simulations required some cation exchange and calcite equilibrium, and one simulation required gypsum dissolution to improve the model fit for calcium and sulfate. Uranium sorption parameters were not strongly influenced by the other parameter values but were highly influenced by uranium concentrations during the drift phase, with possible kinetic rate limitations. Thus, a future recommendation for such push–pull tests is to collect more geochemical data during the drift phase. The final uranium sorption parameters were within the range of values determined from prior column testing. The flow and transport parameters derived from these single-well push–pull tests will provide initial parameters for any future sitewide reactive transport model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Stress Controls Rupture Extent and Maximum Magnitude of Induced Earthquakes

Abstract Seismic hazard forecasts of induced seismicity often require estimates of the maximum possible magnitude ( M max ). Empirical models suggest that maximum magnitudes, or expected number of earthquakes, are related to the volume of injected fluid. We perform a suite of 3D physics‐based earthquake simulations with rate‐ and state‐dependent friction, systematically varying the area of the pressurized region and the amplitude of the initial homogeneous or heterogeneous shear stress. Using the resulting catalog we explore the conditions that result in pressure‐controlled versus runaway ruptures that extend outside the pressurized zone. We find that proposed empirical scaling laws correctly predict M max when shear stresses are further from failure (≤90% of maximum shear stress) and for high amplitude stress fields. Runaway ruptures are observed for higher initial shear stresses and smoother stress fields. In these cases, runaway ruptures occur early after the onset of injection and rarely preceded by foreshock activity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Seismic Diffusivity and the Influence of Heterogeneity on Injection‐Induced Seismicity

Abstract The spatiotemporal patterns of injection‐induced seismicity (IIS) are commonly interpreted with the concept of a triggering front, which propagates in a diffusion‐like manner with an associated diffusivity parameter. Here, we refer to this diffusivity as the “seismic diffusivity.” Several previous studies implicitly assume that seismic diffusivity is equivalent to the effective hydraulic diffusivity of the subsurface, which describes the behavior of the mean pressure field in heterogeneous porous media. Seismicity‐based approaches for hydraulic characterization or simulations of IIS using domains of homogeneous equivalent porous media are implicitly based on this assumed equivalence. However, seismicity is expected to propagate with the threshold triggering pressure, and thus not be controlled by the evolution of the mean pressure field. We present numerical simulations of fluid injection to compare the seismic and effective hydraulic diffusivities in heterogeneous formations (including fractured rock). The numerical model combines uncoupled, linear pressure diffusion with the Mohr‐Coulomb failure criterion to simulate IIS. We demonstrate that connected pathways of relatively high hydraulic diffusivity in heterogeneous media (particularly in fractured rock domains) allow the threshold triggering pressure to propagate more rapidly than predicted by the effective hydraulic diffusivity. As a result, the seismic diffusivity is greater than the effective hydraulic diffusivity in heterogeneous porous media, possibly by an order of magnitude or more. Additionally, we present a case study of IIS near Soultz‐sous‐Forêts where seismic diffusivity is found to be at least one order of magnitude larger than the effective hydraulic diffusivity.

Haagenson, Ryan↗

AFR-100 Sodium-CO 2 Reaction Analysis

Pressure-boundary failure within the heat-source heat exchanger (IHTS-fluid to secondary-fluid heat exchanger) in a sodium-cooled reactor will lead to a violent decompression on the secondary side and large pressure transients in the IHTS. If the secondary fluid is water or CO 2 , the pressure transients will be intensified by an energetic reaction between the sodium & water or sodium & CO 2 . The coupling of secondary-fluid injection, reaction dynamics, product gas bubble growth, and sodium system response results in a succession of short duration, high intensity pressure pulses travelling in the heat-source heat exchanger and IHTS. Each pulse has higher amplitude than the preceding one if no mitigating features such as rupture disks and gas spaces are provided in the system design. Pressure pulse absorption features and relief systems must be included in the IHTS design to prevent structural damage to the heat-source heat exchanger, and IHTS piping. In the case of the AFR-100 design, the boundary between the IHTS sodium and the secondary-side CO 2 within the sodium-CO 2 heat exchanger could potentially fail. The resulting fluid-hammer and sodium-CO 2 reaction must be mitigated. A variety of heat exchangers types have been proposed for the sodium-CO 2 side. Thus, the following analysis of the IHTS response to a sodium-CO 2 reaction includes a wide range of potential break sizes to cover this spectrum of heat exchanger types. The IHTS pressure response due to leak sizes ranging from 2.0 mm – 16.1 mm were evaluated. Double-ended guillotine tube breaks at the top, center, and bottom of the tube bundle were also considered. As expected, the peak reaction bubble pressure increased and rupture disk burst time decreased as the break size increased. As currently designed, all components, including the sodium-CO 2 heat exchanger tubes and shell and the IHX tubes, can withstand the maximum pressures calculated.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Characterization of induced seismicity patterns derived from internal structure in event clusters

Microseismicity induced by CO 2 injection at Decatur, Illinois, occurs in distinct clusters and shows no obvious correlation with the proceeding pressure front. Here, we analyze some of these clusters in more depth by using a waveform cross-correlation approach. With this approach we can associate about 1400 events from two clusters, with moment magnitudes between 1.1 and -1.7, with specific formations of much smaller vertical dimensions (tens of meters) than the depth resolution of traveltime-based event locations. The differentiation of reservoir and basement events, and the definition of subclusters by waveform correlation, rather than by location, helps to better analyze the spatiotemporal evolution of the events within a cluster. In the Decatur case, this is characterized by event migration from the reservoir into the adjacent basement. The spatial variation of Brune stress drop and Gutenberg b value exhibits signs of a fluid-driven triggering mechanism at the cluster level, revealing a punctual hydraulic connection between reservoir and basement, most likely associated with basement faults cutting into the reservoir. The observed clustering of microseismicity can thus be explained by the lateral heterogeneity of permeability and crustal strength and is overall consistent with a pressure-induced triggering mechanism. Hence, proper long-term risk mitigation for large-scale fluid injection close to the basement requires prior mapping of small subseismic basement-connected faults.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Evaluation of Stimulation by Shear Slip in Fractured Rock Using a 3D Coupled Thermo-Poro-Mechanical FEM

This paper presents a 3D finite element model for simulating shear slip on fractures in rock in response to coupled thermo-poro-mechanical processes. The modeling is part of a broader effort to investigate the role of pore pressure and cooling by cold water injection on shear slip and permeability increase in granitic rock using laboratory shearing experiments under triaxial conditions. In particular, 3D thermo-poro-mechanical finite element modeling and analysis of injection experiment in fractured rock has been carried out to analyze the role of pore pressure, temperature, fracture deformation and their interactions. 4-noded tetrahedral elements are employed for intact rock deformation and transport processes within the matrix. To represent the mechanical response of a fracture surface, zero thickness contact interface element is developed based on recently developed element partitioning algorithm and procedures for applying hydraulic pressure on the fracture surfaces. A Mohr-Coulomb type criterion is adapted to capture the slip on the fracture and to quantify its reversible and irreversible deformation. The numerical model has been calibrated using results from well controlled, advanced laboratory experiments. Excellent agreement between modeling and experimental observations is achieved. Simulation results illustrate that pore pressure increase and rock matrix/fracture surface cooling cause the fracture system to deform and slip. Fracture slip is promoted due to its normal stress reduction associated with cooling effect of cold fluid injection. The numerical model provides a physics-based understanding of the role of coupled processes on shear stimulation phenomenon and the resulting permeability enhancement.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Fracture-matrix fluid exchange in oil-bearing unconventional mudstones

The poromechanical properties of unconventional reservoir materials are in large part dictated by their mineralogy. Since these properties govern the response to stress experienced during hydraulic fracturing, fluid production, and fluid injection, they play a central role in the formation of microcracks or bedding delaminations which ultimately dominate mass transport. In this work we study access to the porosity of end member unconventional reservoir materials, where the end members are predominantly dictated by carbonate content. Access to the porosity is quantified using state of the art 3D x-ray computed tomography coupled with physics informed data analytics. Xenon gas, which attenuates x-rays, provides a spatiotemporal map of access to the porosity. The accessible porosity is quantified over a range of net confining stress relevant to the manmade disturbances listed above. These experiments demonstrate that heavily carbonated mudstones are nearly impermeable at the core (~ cm) scale, while carbonate free analogues afford better access to the microstructure. Consistent with previous qualitative 2D radiographs, access to the interior of the clastic mudstones is first observed along planar microcracks, followed by slow penetration into the surrounding matrix. Physics informed data analytics of the 3D tomography measurements presented here show that these microcracks do not permit uniform access to the adjacent rock matrix. In addition, variation of the effective pressure elucidates the mechanisms that govern fracture/matrix fluid exchange. Under conditions consistent with hydrocarbon production fluid accumulates in the immediate vicinity of the nearest microcrack. While there is clear evidence that, as intended, part of this accumulation is from the more distant matrix, fluid is also squeezed out of the microcrack. The fluid build-up at the microcrack indicates that migration out of the rock is hindered by the coupled poroelastic response of the microcrack and adjacent rock matrix. We show that these mechanisms ultimately account for the meager oil recovery factors realized in practice. These insights have implications for making reservoir scale predictions based on core scale observations, and provide a basis for devising new asset development techniques to access more porosity, and enhance fluid extraction. Finally, these findings shed light on key features and mechanisms that govern shale storage capacity, with relevance to other important industrial processes, such as geologic CO 2 storage.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Frictional stability-permeability relationships for fractures in shales

There is wide concern that fluid injection in the subsurface, such as for the stimulation of shale reservoirs or for geological CO 2 sequestration (GCS), has the potential to induce seismicity that may change reservoir permeability due to fault slip. However, the impact of induced seismicity on fracture permeability evolution remains unclear due to the spectrum of modes of fault reactivation (e.g., stable versus unstable). As seismicity is controlled by the frictional response of fractures, we explore friction-stability-permeability relationships through the concurrent measurement of frictional and hydraulic properties of artificial fractures in Green River shale (GRS) and Opalinus shale (OPS). We observe that carbonate-rich GRS shows higher frictional strength but weak neutral frictional stability. The GRS fracture permeability declines during shearing while an increased sliding velocity reduces the rate of permeability decline. By comparison, the phyllosilicate-rich OPS has lower friction and strong stability while the fracture permeability is reduced due to the swelling behavior that dominates over the shearing induced permeability reduction. Furthermore, we conclude that the friction-stability-permeability relationship of a fracture is largely controlled by mineral composition and that shale mineral compositions with strong frictional stability may be particularly subject to permanent permeability reduction during fluid infiltration.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗