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DOE OSTI2023

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Ced Cedar Bridge

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ced Cedar Bridge. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Ced Cedar Bridge produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Wildfires and prescribed fires are a common occurrence in the NJ Pinelands. Prior to a 1995 nonstand replacing wildfire, the stand was last burned in the very large wildfire in 1963. Plow lines were installed for fire control in December of 2007, followed by a prescribed burns in 2008 and 2013, conducted by the New Jersey Forest Fire Service. Pine looper defoliated the stand in 1998, and Gypsy moth defoliated the understory and deciduos oaks in 2007. Pitch Pines are largely unaffected by defoliation by Gypsy moth.

Skowronski, Nicholas S.↗

NASA NTRS2024

Southern Indiana Ecological Conservation: Assessing Canopy Cover Dynamics and Forest Type Groupings in Southern Indiana to Inform Restoration Activities

As human influence continues to negatively impact natural habitats, timely assessment of ecosystem changes and restoration is critical to protect forest health and biodiversity. In our study, we focused on oak-hickory forests in southern Indiana. Oak-hickory forests were the dominant ecosystem dynamic in present-day Indiana for centuries until European colonization, which brought about fire suppression and, eventually, fire exclusion. Anthropogenic fire exclusion in this fire-adapted habitat led to the encroachment of mesic species, such as beech and maple trees. This process, commonly referred to as mesophication, was the focus of our study. Our team performed a feasibility study in using NASA Earth observations to support our end-user partners, Let the Sun Shine In and the US Forest Service, Hoosier National Forest, in their selection of oak-hickory restoration sites. To aid in our analysis of the forest dynamics of southern Indiana, our team used Landsat 5, 8, and 9 imageries, along with other ancillary datasets to create maps to illustrate areas that would most benefit from partners’ forest restoration and management practices. By constructing a Green Vegetation Fraction change map across our 39-year study period (1984-2023) to visualize the change in forest cover and creating a restoration suitability assessment map to reveal sites that met requirements for oak-hickory growth, we provided our partners with suitable site selection for restorative management and found that 3.3% of our entire study area and 4.4% of the Hoosier National Forest were deemed suitable. Our feasibility study benefits southern Indiana restoration by aiding our partners in efficiently selecting sites for prescribed burning, forest thinning, and other restoration management practices.

restoration↗

NASA NTRS2017

Chapter 8: Droughts, Floods, and Wildfires

Recent droughts and associated heat waves have reached record intensity in some regions of the United States; however, by geographical scale and duration, the Dust Bowl era of the 1930s remains the benchmark drought and extreme heat event in the historical record (very high confidence). While by some measures drought has decreased over much of the continental United States in association with long-term increases in precipitation, neither the precipitation increases nor inferred drought decreases have been confidently attributed to anthropogenic forcing. The human effect on recent major U.S. droughts is complicated. Little evidence is found for a human influence on observed precipitation deficits, but much evidence is found for a human influence on surface soil moisture deficits due to increased evapotranspiration caused by higher temperatures. Future decreases in surface (top 10 cm) soil moisture from anthropogenic forcing over most of the United States are likely as the climate warms under higher scenarios. Substantial reductions in western U.S. winter and spring snowpack are projected as the climate warms. Earlier spring melt and reduced snow water equivalent have been formally attributed to human-induced warming (high confidence) and will very likely be exacerbated as the climate continues to warm (very high confidence). Under higher scenarios, and assuming no change to current water resources management, chronic, long-duration hydrological drought is increasingly possible by the end of this century. Detectable changes in some classes of flood frequency have occurred in parts of the United States and are a mix of increases and decreases. Extreme precipitation, one of the controlling factors in flood statistics, is observed to have generally increased and is projected to continue to do so across the United States in a warming atmosphere. However, formal attribution approaches have not established a significant connection of increased riverine flooding to human-induced climate change, and the timing of any emergence of a future detectable anthropogenic change in flooding is unclear. The incidence of large forest fires in the western United States and Alaska has increased since the early 1980s and is projected to further increase in those regions as the climate warms, with profound changes to certain ecosystems.

Wehner, M. F.↗

NASA NTRS2022

Chile Disasters: Automating Wildfire Risk and Occurrence Mapping in Google Earth Engine to Improve Wildfire Detection and Response Time Efforts

Wildfires in Chile in the last decade were the worst on record, destroying homes and livelihoods, polluting the air, and displacing whole towns. To predict locations where wildfires were likely to start, the Corporación Nacional Forestal (CONAF) created a wildfire risk model within ArcGIS Pro and Google Earth Engine (GEE) that utilized the NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and the NASA Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (STRM) 90-meter datasets. The previous CONAF model was very resource-heavy and time-intensive to run. NASA DEVELOP, in partnership with CONAF, automated the previous model and transferred it fully into GEE where all Earth observation datasets could be used without downloading. The new model substantially reduced the runtime. The final model was used to create a near real-time wildfire monitoring application as well as fire severity maps. The end products will be used by CONAF for wildfire prediction and management to prevent more destruction in the future.

Maria De Los Santos↗

DOE OSTI2026

Persistence and potential of soil organic carbon in nature‐based climate solutions: A review of managed disturbances

Societal Impact Statement Implementing nature-based climate solutions is important for mitigating climate change, which is a global issue, but requires local adjustments in management practices. Using the association between soil carbon and minerals as a proxy for carbon persistence, we evaluated the effect of different management regimes on soil carbon sequestration and loss. We identified areas where management practices that increase carbon inputs should be prioritized and areas where management should focus on avoiding severe disturbances. Using this storage-potential-and-persistence framework to identify how to increase or maintain soil organic carbon storage locally will increase the effectiveness of nature-based climate solutions globally. Summary Increasing soil organic carbon storage could reduce the pace of climate change, but the longevity of this nature-based climate solution depends on the persistence of carbon in soils, not just the input rates into soils. We apply a framework for considering how soil carbon persistence—namely, via the association with minerals—sheds light on soil carbon sequestration. We review how management of disturbances, such as prescribed burning, forestry, and grazing, can change soil carbon storage, persistence, and potential. Past work demonstrated that management of disturbances can sequester soil carbon, but it remains unclear how the potential stabilization of that accrual and vulnerability to loss varies across disturbance types and geographies. We found that there is substantial geographical heterogeneity in the overlap among estimates of carbon accrual, disturbance occurrence, and potential stabilization: Fire-prone grasslands and intensively grazed rangelands occur in areas estimated to have high potential to store mineral-associated organic carbon, and studies also find that adjusted fire and grazing can promote mineral-associated organic carbon. Plantation forestry and burned area span large regions where particulate organic matter is the dominant form, and studies find that particulate organic carbon is disproportionately lost following intense wildfires and forest harvests. Thus, areas with high mineral-associated organic carbon deficits should be prioritized for practices that increase carbon inputs; whereas areas with high proportions of particulate organic carbon should be prioritized for practices that help to avoid severe disturbances. Taken together, the distribution of and changes in persistence mechanisms shed light on the durability of nature-based climate solutions.

fire↗

NASA NTRS1981

Application of remote sensing to selected problems within the state of California

Specific case studies undertaken to demonstrate the usefulness of remote sensing technology to resource managers in California are highlighted. Applications discussed include the mapping and quantization of wildland fire fuels in Mendocino and Shasta Counties as well as in the Central Valley; the development of a digital spectral/terrain data set for Colusa County; the Forsythe Planning Experiment to maximize the usefulness of inputs from LANDSAT and geographic information systems to county planning in Mendocino County; the development of a digital data bank for Big Basin State Park in Santa Cruz County; the detection of salinity related cotton canopy reflectance differences in the Central Valley; and the surveying of avocado acreage and that of other fruits and nut crops in Southern California. Special studies include the interpretability of high altitude, large format photography of forested areas for coordinated resource planning using U-2 photographs of the NASA Bucks Lake Forestry test site in the Plumas National Forest in the Sierra Nevada Mountains.

Colwell, R. N.↗

NASA NTRS2020

High Resolution Global Coupled Chemistry-Meteorology Simulations Using the NASA GEOS Composition Forecast System, GEOS-CF

We will give an overview of the NASA Global Earth Observing System Composition Forecast system (GEOS-CF), a high-resolution (0.25 degree) global composition model developed by the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO). This system combines the GEOS weather and aerosol model with the GEOS-Chem chemistry module (version 12) to provide a holistic view of atmospheric composition that captures a wide range of air pollutants such as ozone, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds, and fine particulate matter. The spatial resolution of 0.25 degrees (approx. 25 km) is fine enough to resolve local features such as nighttime ozone titration previously resolved only by urban or regional models. Furthermore, since there are no boundary conditions for a global model, the GEOS-CF captures large-scale processes such as long-range transport of air pollutants from forest fires. Comparisons against surface observations highlight the model’s overall capability to reproduce the diurnal variability of air pollutants under a variety of meteorological conditions. In addition, we show how machine learning techniques can be used to correct for sub-grid variability, which further improves model estimates at a given surface observation site. The GEOS-CF system offers a new tool for scientists and the public health community alike and is being developed jointly with several government and non-profit partners. As an example, we will show the use of GEOS-CF during the Satellite Coastal and Oceanic Atmospheric Pollution Experiment (SCOAPE). The campaign, conducted in collaboration between NASA and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM), aims to investigate the response of onshore air quality to Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) oil and gas exploration, development and production. Detailed gas-phase chemistry, as provided by GEOS-CF, is critical to understand the formation of air pollution related to hydrocarbon emissions from offshore oil and gas activities. The accuracy of GEOS-CF can be further improved by incorporating detailed offshore emissions compiled by BOEM.

Knowland, K. Emma↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing an Unmanned Aircraft System Pilot (UASP-kit) for Wildland Fire UAS Operators

The use of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) to support disaster management is becoming more widespread. Uninhibited by many of the operational constraints imposed on crewed aircraft, UAS have the potential to augment the aerial response in a number of ways, including supporting situation awareness, thereby accelerating disaster management efforts. The intent of the Scalable Traffic management for Emergency Response Operations (STEReO) activity is to build an ecosystem that will allow small UAS (sUAS) operations to fly safely in the airspace during disaster management events. The first step toward this goal is to develop a small, single-user tool (the UASP-kit) that will enhance an sUAS pilot’s situation awareness of the airspace. User needs for the functions and features of this tool were collected during a walkthrough over multiple days with subject matter experts from the US Forest Service. A prototype of the UASP-kit was then taken on an extended demonstration to multiple users, who were able to interact with it. User feedback was largely positive and users discussed the information they needed to support situation awareness in context. The demonstration also highlighted features that were unintuitive to use, and functions that need to be modified to make the kit more user-friendly and robust.

STEReO↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Developing an Unmanned Aircraft System Pilot Kit (UASP-kit) for Wildland Fire UAS Operators

STEReO↗

NASA NTRS2022

UAV Path Planning for Wildfires - Sustainably Fighting Wildfires with Automated Path Planning for UAVs

As the severity and frequency of wildfires increase, infrastructure, properties, national parks, animal habitats, and human lives (civilians and firefighters) are put at greater risk. This paper examines the possible application of algorithmic path planning for UAV reconnaissance to reduce damage and safety risks, as aforementioned. When the location of a wildfire is known, UAVs are immediately dispatched from an operating base to fly to the fire and support the firefighters as quickly as possible. Then, the algorithm incrementally analyzes different environmental factors to create a path for the UAV to follow. This work focuses on generating a path for the UAV to follow given a set of polygons representing obstacles. The most important features of this algorithm are its fast response time and obstacle maneuverability. The use of an efficient path planning algorithm could potentially save lives, infrastructure, and acres of forest destruction.

UAV↗

NASA NTRS2001

Fires and Smoke Observed from the Earth Observing System MODIS Instrument: Products, Validation, and Operational Use

The MODIS sensor, launched on NASA's Terra satellite at the end of 1999, was designed with 36 spectral channels for a wide array of land, ocean, and atmospheric investigations. MODIS has a unique ability to observe fires, smoke, and burn scars globally. Its main fire detection channels saturate at high brightness temperatures: 500 K at 4 microns and 400 K at 11 microns, which can only be attained in rare circumstances at the I kin fire detection spatial resolution. Thus, unlike other polar orbiting satellite sensors with similar thermal and spatial resolutions, but much lower saturation temperatures (e.g. AVHRR and ATSR), MODIS can distinguish between low intensity ground surface fires and high intensity crown forest fires. Smoke column concentration over land is for the first time being derived from the MOMS solar channels, extending from 0.41 microns to 2.1 microns. The smoke product has been provisionally validated both globally and regionally over southern Africa and central and south America. Burn scars are observed from MODIS even in the presence of smoke, using the 1.2 to 2.1 micron channels. MODIS burned area information is used to estimate pyrogenic emissions. A wide range of these fire and related products and validation are demonstrated for the wild fires that occurred in northwestern United States in the summer of 2000. The MODIS rapid response system and direct broadcast capability is being developed to enable users to obtain and generate data in near real time. It is expected that health and land management organizations will use these systems for monitoring the occurrence of fires and the dispersion of smoke within two to six hours after data acquisition.

Kaufman, Y. J.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Long-term drought promotes invasive species by reducing wildfire severity

Anthropogenic climate change has increased the frequency of drought, wildfire, and invasions of non-native species. Although high-severity fires linked to drought can inhibit recovery of native vegetation in forested ecosystems, it remains unclear how drought impacts the recovery of other plant communities following wildfire. We leveraged an existing rainfall manipulation experiment to test the hypothesis that reduced precipitation, fuel load, and fire severity convert plant community composition from native shrubs to invasive grasses in a Southern California coastal sage scrub system. We measured community composition before and after the 2020 Silverado wildfire in plots with three rainfall treatments. Drought reduced fuel load and vegetation cover, which reduced fire severity. Native shrubs had greater prefire cover in added water plots compared to reduced water plots. Native cover was lower and invasive cover was higher in postfire reduced water plots compared to postfire added and ambient water plots. Our results demonstrate the importance of fuel load on fire severity and plant community composition on an ecosystem scale. Management should focus on reducing fire frequency and removing invasive species to maintain the resilience of coastal sage scrub communities facing drought. In these communities, controlled burns are not recommended as they promote invasive plants.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Profiling overstory survival trends following varying thinning and burning disturbance regimes in a mixed pine-hardwood forest in the US South

Prescribed burning as a silvicultural tool may be effective for achieving various management objectives, yet some practitioners have concerns about inadvertently increasing overstory tree mortality. Using extensive data from a long-term, ongoing study in northcentral Alabama, USA, that systematically applies a variety of thinning and prescribed burning disturbances on mixed pine-hardwood stands, we assess survival trends for different groups of trees. The primary research question is whether more frequent prescribed burns adversely affects overstory survival versus infrequent or no burns; secondary questions explore whether overstory survival trends differ based on thinning level, species group, or size class. Interest is in broad groups of trees, not individual tree survival or mortality; consequently, survival analysis methods are used, including nonparametric Kaplan-Meier (KM) techniques for examining single grouping factors, and parametric accelerated failure time models for analyzing simultaneous effects of multiple covariates. Leveraging relatively recent methodological advances, the statistical techniques are adjusted for interval censored data. KM survival curves showed that more frequent prescribed fires did not result in differing survival trends. Also, trees in unthinned stands had the lowest 14-year survival compared to thinned stands, oaks had the highest survival compared to pines and the others species group, and the smallest size class of overstory trees had the lowest survival. In conclusion, these results support managing transitional mixed pine-hardwoods using thinning and multiple prescribed fires to restore specific species composition and structure.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1993

Assessing fire emissions from tropical savanna and forests of central Brazil

Wildfires in tropical forest and savanna are a strong source of trace gas and particulate emissions to the atmosphere, but estimates of the continental-scale impacts are limited by large uncertainties in the rates of fire occurrence and biomass combustion. Satellite-based remote sensing offers promise for characterizing fire physical properties and impacts on the environment, but currently available sensors saturate over high-radiance targets and provide only indications of regions and times at which fires are extensive and their areal rate of growing as recorded in ash layers. Here we describe an approach combining satellite- and aircraft-based remote sensing with in situ measurements of smoke to estimate emissions from central Brazil. These estimates will improve global accounting of radiation-absorbing gases and particulates that may be contributing to climate change and will provide strategic data for fire management.

Riggan, Philip J.↗

DOE OSTI2023

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Oho Oak Openings

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Oho Oak Openings. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Oho Oak Openings produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Ohio Oak Openings site is located within the Oak Openings Preserve Metropark of northwest Ohio, one of the few remaining oak woodlands/savanna/prairie complexes in the Midwest. Declared one of the "One of America's Last Great Places" by the Nature Conservancy the area consists of four main vegetation types: Oak Woodlands, Oak Savanna, Floodplain Forests and Wet Prairies. The stand surrounding the tower is mainly Oak Woodlands dominated by red, white and black oaks with a relatively abundant population of red maples indicating high soil moisture retention and a history of limited fire disturbances. Most of the area was cleared for agriculture at the time of Euro-American settlements in the mid to late-19th century. A large fraction of the cleared land was later abandoned due to the poor sandy soils. These areas reverted to Oak Savannas and in cases where fire was limited progressively made the transition to Oak Woodlands. Today patches of the forest are burned every few years as part of prescribed burning cycle to control stand density.

Chen, Jiquan↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Mapping Surface Vapor Pressure Deficits From Geostationary Satellites for Fire Weather Monitoring

The increase in the wildfires were observed globally in accordance with global warming, and to real- time monitoring of wildfire risk in broad scale is demanded for wildfire management to prevent the spread of wildfires. Scientists invented a lot of indices to assess the wildfire risk. Vapor Pressure Deficit (VPD) is one of the most important meteorological components for those indices. Compared to other components of fire weather indices, VPD can change quickly from lower risk to higher risk even in sub-hourly. Therefore, real-time fire risk monitoring requires high-resolution and high- temporal VPD spatial map. Here, we developed VPD estimation method using the GOES Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) data. Unlike the polar-orbital satellite data, the ABI can observe target region every 10 minutes, so that we can estimate VPD for fire weather in real-time. The method used to estimate VPD is same with the algorithm of NASA Earth Exchange Gridded Daily Meteorology (NEX- GDM), which estimate meteorological variables from ground weather observation and spatial variables based on random forest (RF). We calculated RF importance to select bands of ABI as input of the model. To validate our results, we compared the spatial pattern of our VPD data with the Real- Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) data over the conterminous USA. We sought possibility of applying our method to the region where no real-time high-resolution weather data is available, such as South America. The developed method can produce real-time high-resolution high-frequent VPD data in the continental scale. The derived data from GOES ABI could contribute to improve the fire weather monitoring and lead to prevent wildfires.

Hirofumi Hashimoto↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Proposition to Optimize Fire Stations for Wildfires

The rising trend in wildfire occurrence and severity has put a strain on wildfire management organizations by spreading out limited resources to meet increasing demand. There has been extensive prior research and data collection to determine the areas of highest risk and to predict regional wildfire damages based on historical trends. Our group aims to utilize this data to best determine fire station placement, optimizing where resources are allocated to reduce the time and investment needed to effectively mitigate wildfires. Using existing research, we are able to calculate optimal fire station locations by utilizing a single-objective facility location problem algorithm incentivized for cost reduction. Further work would be needed to refine the algorithm to accommodate for more realistic factors including access to water and roadways as well as better accounting for the costs involved, but our work serves as a proof of concept and lays the foundation for future research. Implementation of this algorithm would allow public fire planning agencies (such as CAL FIRE and Forest Service) to shift resources to where they would be most effective.

Wildfires↗

DOE OSTI2023

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-xNQ NEON Onaqui-Ault (ONAQ)

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xNQ NEON Onaqui-Ault (ONAQ). This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-xNQ NEON Onaqui-Ault (ONAQ) produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Onaqui-Ault site is located south of the rapidly developing Salt Lake City area, also near Provo and Logan, anchoring this arid urban-rural megatransect. The Onaqui-Benmore area has been grazed by domestic livestock since settlement. By the 1980's, the U.S. Forest Service instituted a light to moderate fall and winter grazing regime that continues today.Fire has always been a component of sagebrush steppe, one of the dominant vegetation types in the area. However, the invasions of exotic annual vegetation, especially Bromus tectorum, also known as drooping brome or cheatgrass, have dramatically shortened fire return intervals. The invasion-fire feedback has resulted in the loss of native perennial species from extensive areas of the region.

Network), NEON (National Ecological Observatory↗