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DOE OSTI2025

Segmental Dynamics and Vitrification in Associating Copolymer Melts: Role of Cluster Formation, Microdomains, and Cross-Linking

A microscopic statistical mechanical theory of the structure, self-assembly, and activated segmental relaxation is employed to study associating copolymer melts with high attractive sticker fractions, local clustering, and disordered microphase ordering. The stickers are dynamically pinned in a manner that does not affect equilibrium structure which mimics the much slower physical bond breaking process or postassembly cross-linking of sticky monomers. Local sticker clustering and microdomain spatial correlations significantly modify the activated relaxation of nonstickers and glass transition temperature, T g . A re-entrant glass-melting feature is predicted as sticker attraction strength is initially increased corresponding to a speed up of segmental relaxation, and hence reduction of T g relative to the cross-linked homopolymer network. A mechanistic analysis reveals three competing effects: a purely kinetic slowing down of nonstickers down due to cross-linking, disordering of the nonsticker local cage and weakening of effective forces they experience due to sticker physical clustering, and a longer range impact of microdomain scale correlations that results in nonmonotonic dynamical effects. At high enough attraction strength, a qualitative change emerges corresponding to a sticker fraction dependent elevation of T g , which eventually surpasses that of the cross-linked homopolymer network. Dynamically, the new physics arises from a complex evolution of the amplitude of the collective elastic field that dresses the large amplitude mobile segment hopping within a coupled local-nonlocal description of the alpha relaxation. Furthermore, the results are qualitatively consistent with recent experiments on associating PDMS and PPG telechelics of fixed sticker fraction but with chemically different end groups of variable attraction strengths. Finally, possible tests using simulation and the influence of material or model specific interaction potentials and other real world complications are discussed.

Copolymers↗

DOE OSTI2026

Exploring high-intensity laser-driven secondary sources via high-order spectral pulse shaping for high-energy-density experiments

We present here the results of an investigation that aims to explore the impact of spectral pulse shaping on the generation of high-energy electrons (>1 MeV) and x rays (∼5–9 keV) using a high-intensity (I∼10 21 W/cm 2 ) laser system. The study involved a systematic scan of a broad parameter space in group delay dispersion and third-order dispersion, with variations up to 4 × 10 3 fs −2 and 6 × 10 4 fs −3 , respectively, to identify optimal conditions for enhancing secondary source yields. Several spectral phase conditions were found to significantly enhance the generation of hot electrons and x rays by amounts reaching up to 50% relative to the transform-limited pulse. The experiment, conducted at the Scarlet laser facility (800 nm, 5 J, 30 fs) at the Ohio State University, highlights the potential of spectral pulse shaping as a powerful tool for tuning secondary laser-driven sources. These findings are particularly relevant for advancing brighter x-ray and electron probes for high-energy-density science.

Physics - Plasma physics↗

DOE OSTI2024

An in situ imaging investigation of the effect of gas flow rates on directed energy deposition

Gas flow rates in Directed Energy Deposition (DED) Additive Manufacturing (AM) can significantly affect the quality of built parts by altering melt pool geometry. Using a DED process replicator and in situ synchrotron radiography, together with analogous experiments in an industrial DED machine, we investigate the impact of carrier gas and shield gas flow rates on build quality. The results reveal that there is a critical shield gas flow rate above which melt pools are flattened, tracks widen, and thus layer thickness decreases. The reduction in layer thickness is most prominent in conditions with low carrier gas flow rate, as the highly turbulent shield gas flow may divert slow moving powder particles away from the melt pool, decreasing capture efficiency. Very high flow rates increase internal porosity, as fast-moving particles impacting the melt pool surface can entrain chamber gas behind them. High gas flow rates also cool the melt pool, creating shallower melt pools with increased thermal gradients near the solidification front, increasing pore entrapment in the solidified track.

Additive manufacturing↗

DOE OSTI2025

Increasing the Scale of the Mass Spectrometry Query Language Compendium with Explainable AI

A significant bottleneck in metabolomics data interpretation is the effective use of domain knowledge to assign structural information based on fragmentation patterns. The mass spectrometry query language (MassQL) aims to make this process accessible and applicable across multiple analysis platforms. While advanced computational methods are capable of predicting compound structures from fragmentation data, AI/ML approaches often rely on complex, opaque criteria that are difficult to interpret or modify. As a result, their predictive patterns cannot be readily translated into human-readable rules, such as those used in MassQL. Here, in this study, we introduce ChemEcho, a machine learning embedding method that converts tandem mass spectrometry data into sparse feature vectors containing peak and neutral mass subformulae to enhance explainable AI/ML-based methods. An advantage of this approach is that decision trees trained using these feature vectors can be directly translated to MassQL. Using a battery of decision trees trained using ChemEcho embeddings to predict molecular attributes, we generated over 1500 MassQL queries for 765 molecular features and evaluated their precision and recall. From these queries, the 50 highest-performing queries were integrated into the MassQL compendium. This set of generated MassQL queries included environmentally and biologically relevant classes such as PFAS and molecules containing phosphate or sulfate substructures. To illustrate the impact these queries would have on a typical metabolomics experiment, these MassQL queries were applied to a public metabolomics data set─resulting in a marked increase in the structural information derived from tandem mass spectra. Access and reuse of these queries is expected to enhance structural annotation in untargeted experiments, leading to more specific claims and advancing many applications in metabolomics.

Harwood, Thomas V. [USDOE Joint Genome Institute (↗

DOE OSTI2026

Origins of Enhanced Ion Transport in Nanostructured Anion-Conducting Polyelectrolytes

Ion-conducting polymer chemistry and microstructure profoundly impact membrane water uptake and ionic conductivity. Water uptake strongly impacts ionic conductivity; yet excess water uptake compromises ion-exchange membrane mechanical properties. Although nanophase separation has been proposed to overcome this trade-off, it is unclear how polymer backbone architecture governs ionic nanostructure and its subsequent impact on water uptake and conductivity. Here, we integrate experiments and molecular dynamics simulations to elucidate the role of backbone chemistry in governing ionic nanostructure, hydration behavior, and ion transport in anion-conducting polyelectrolytes (ACPs). We systematically investigate hydrocarbon polynorbornene (PNB)-based ACPs with three distinct backbone architectures: vinyl-addition polymerization (VAP), ring-opening metathesis polymerization (ROMP), and hydrogenated ROMP. While maintaining comparable ion exchange capacities (IECs) and identical side-chain chemistry, we isolate the effects of backbone structure. We show that nanophase-separated ionic nanostructures originate in the dry state and evolve upon hydration through heterogeneous water uptake, with water preferentially partitioning into ion-rich domains. This nanophase separation arises from a delicate interplay between ionic segregation propensity and the entropic barrier imposed by backbone stiffness. Specifically, flexible backbones intensify attractive ion–ion interactions by reducing the entropic penalty for backbone deformation, promoting nanophase separation, while rigid backbones suppress ionic nanostructure formation. Nanophase-separated ion domains locally concentrate water upon hydration, which in turn enables the connectivity required for fast transport at lower water concentration values. Furthermore, these findings demonstrate that backbone chemistry can be tuned as a design lever to promote nanophase separation and enhance ion transport without excessive water uptake.

Anions↗

DOE OSTI2026

TEMPEST3 surface runoff water chemistry and organic matter composition

Coastal flooding, driven by storm surges and sea level rise, can mobilize organic matter (OM) via runoff, while introducing compositionally distinct OM (e.g., estuarine OM) into the system. To understand event-scale OM dynamics, we monitored source waters and surface runoff during an ecosystem-scale field manipulation experiment, TEMPEST (Terrestrial Ecosystem Manipulation to Probe the Effects of Storm Treatments), in June 2024. The TEMPEST experiment is part of the COMPASS-FME (Coastal Observations, Mechanisms, and Predictions Across Systems and Scales – Field, Measurements, and Experiments) project and designed to investigate biogeochemical and ecological impacts of freshwater and seawater flooding on coastal terrestrial-aquatic interface ecosystems by simulating freshwater and seawater storm events in two 2000m2 coastal upland forest plots (freshwater and brackish seawater plots). The temporal coverage of this dataset is during the TEMPESTⅢ event (June 11-13, 2024). This dataset contains: - Surface runoff discharge measured by flumes - Sensor data (specific conductivity, salinity, dissolved oxygen, and temperature) - Particle size distribution - Total suspended sediment concentrations (TSS), particulate and dissolved organic carbon (POC, DOC) concentrations, total nitrogen and total dissolved nitrogen (TN, TDN) concentrations - Bulk particulate and dissolved OM compositions (stable C and N isotopes of particulates and optical measurements of chromophoric dissolved OM) - High resolution mass spectrometry analysis data - Water isotope data All data files are plain-text CSV (comma-separated value), and no special software is required to read them.

COMPASS-FME↗

DOE OSTI2025

Cloud radiative effects significantly increase wintertime atmospheric blocking in the Euro-Atlantic sector

Reliable simulation, prediction, and complete theoretical understanding of atmospheric blocking remain challenging despite its significant socio-economic impacts. Generations of climate models have notoriously underestimated blocking frequency, particularly over the Euro-Atlantic sector. Identifying factors controlling blocking frequency and dynamics is therefore essential for improving its simulation. Here, using a cloud-locking experiment, we show that cloud radiative effects (CREs) significantly increase the frequency of Euro-Atlantic blocking. CREs enhance upstream diabatic source of wave activity, both directly through longwave heating and indirectly through their feedback on latent heating, with the latter playing the dominant role. The resulting increase in the upstream diabatic source feeds into local wave activity downstream and promotes blocking formation. Qualitatively similar results are shown by multi-model experiments with radiatively inactive clouds to longwave radiation, albeit with a larger impact from mean-state changes. The results underscore the necessity of accurately representing cloud-radiation interactions in weather and climate models for improved prediction of blocking events.

Atmospheric dynamics↗

DOE OSTI2025

CMS HGCAL ECON-D ASIC : Impact of CMOS fabrication process tuning on performance and radiation tolerance

The CMS experiment’s High Granularity Calorimeter (HGCAL) upgrade will replace CMS’s existing endcap calorimeters in preparation for the High Luminosity LHC. To effectively use over 6 million channels of this “imaging”calorimeter, CMS has developed two novel Endcap Concentrator (ECON) ASICs to perform data compression/selection on detector. The ECON-D ASIC operates on the 750kHz data path, and the ECON-T ASIC on the 40MHz trigger path. These 65 nm CMOS ASICs are radiation tolerant to 200 Mrad and low power, operating at less than 2.5 mW/channel. The first full-functionality prototype ECONs were produced and characterized in 2021-23, and an initial engineering run was performed in 2024. ECON-D radiation testing for the engineering run revealed that the chip’s internal SRAMs produce intermittent read errors for a non-negligible fraction of chips. Further investigation indicated that the SRAM performance is highly sensitive to the exact parameters of the CMOS fabrication process. To both study this process sensitivity and mitigate SRAM performance issues, twenty ECON wafers were produced in 2025 with a range of doping concentrations designed to tune the underlying transistor threshold voltage by 0%, 5%, 10%, and 15% from nominal. This talk will present first measurements of ECON-D performance, power consumption, and radiation tolerance for these four variations of CMOS process.

Syal, Chinar [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Challenges and Optimization of Mu2e Proton Target Design with Radiative Cooling

Mu2e, the Muon-to-Electron Conversion Experiment, aims to identify physics beyond the Standard Model, namely, the conversion of muons to electrons without the emission of neutrinos. The muons are produced from pions generated in a production target when it is hit by an 8 GeV proton beam from the Fermilab Booster/Main Injector. The proton target design space is strongly constrained by a one-year operating lifetime and the need for radiative cooling in a vacuum environment. Uncertainties in the lifetime of the existing baseline design – a monolithic, segmented tungsten target – are large, particularly due to unknown impacts of radiation damage at the very high proton fluences expected in the experiment. We have begun evaluation of a new design utilizing Inconel 718 over the WL10 used in the existing target design. As a result, the structural design of the target has evolved significantly. This evolution focuses on lowering the target temperature, minimizing obstruction to muons, increasing structural stability, maximizing fatigue lifetime, simplifying the fabrication process, and more. The thermal management, structural stability and fatigue lifetime are emphasized here. These optimizations have led to a promising new target design for the Mu2e experiment.

Liu, Z. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Experiment to Investigate the On-set of Transient Fission Gas Release Under Simulated LOCA Conditions

Continuing efforts to better understand the phenomenon of transient fission gas release in irradiated commercial light water reactor fuel undergoing a simulated loss of coolant accident (LOCA) will be discussed in this work. During heating associated with LOCA conditions there is an additional release of fission gas beyond what is typically released during steady state operation. The exact timing of this release could impact the cladding balloon and rupture as the LOCA progresses in an actual accident. Recent experiments performed on the upgraded Severe Accident Test Station at Oak Ridge National Laboratory have expanded the current assessment of transient fission gas release. This system evaluates fission gas release by sweeping fission gas out of the LOCA test furnace and into cryogenically cooled cold traps where radioactive noble gas fission products are measured by gamma spectrometry. Additionally, the sweep gas can be monitored by a gas mass spectrometer to provide additional data on noble gas release and changes in the sweep gas atmosphere during heating. Several different conditions have been evaluated that explored the response of irradiated fuel to different thermal ramp conditions and different overpressure conditions. This further confirmed the impact of an overpressure in suppressing transient fission gas release. Further experiments are planned to evaluate the on-set temperature of transient fission gas release under a known overpressure. This test will progressively step through different temperature conditions while maintaining hydrostatic pressure on the fuel that is representative of high burnup fuel conditions. The available results from this type of testing will be discussed. Post-test microscopy will be compared to other transient fission gas release and standard LOCA tests to further understand the microstructural source of transient fission gas release.

Harp, Jason [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000253458440)↗

DOE OSTI2025

2025 Workshop on Envisioning Frontiers in AI and Computing for Biological Research: Position Papers

This workshop aims to identify key research directions for transforming biology using artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML) and computational methods to facilitate the discovery of new behaviors, mechanisms, and designs of biological processes relevant to DOE missions, underpinning a broader U.S. bioeconomy. By developing novel AI/ML technologies to analyze and interpret complex biological data, researchers can organize and simulate biological processes at various scales as well as advance predictive understanding and manipulation of biological systems. This integration of computation, experimentation, and next-generation experimental technologies can lead to discoveries in new biological behaviors and mechanisms relevant to DOE missions. The focus is on how advanced computational and mathematical methods can impact this mission by exploring digital twins, foundation models, automated laboratory experiments, modeling of complex living systems, and data-driven approaches for the biodesign of plants and microbial systems. While data management is important, it is not the primary focus of this workshop, which will assess the current state, trends, and AI/ML challenges at the interface between biology and computational science to identify opportunities for high-impact research at their intersection. The goal is to define research needs and opportunities that align with biological sciences, computational sciences, and applied mathematics research.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Financial Analysis of the High Flow Experiment conducted at the Glen Canyon Dam during Water Year 2023

The Glen Canyon Dam (GCD) is a Colorado River Storage Project (CRSP) power resource that is a component of the Salt Lake City Area Integrated Projects (SLCA/IP). The 2016 record of decision (ROD) for the GCD long-term experimental and management plan (LTEMP) final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) specified criteria for GCD monthly water releases, daily and hourly operating limits, and experimental releases. This report examines the financial implications of the high flow experiment (HFE) conducted at GCD during the spring of Water Year (WY) 2023 as required by the LTEMP HFE Protocol. This report is part of a series of reports that describe the financial costs of LTEMP experimental releases since the 2016 ROD was adopted in January 2017. Previous reports analyzed the impact of several past HFEs and Bug Flow Experiments. This report focuses on the HFE conducted in April 2023. For this experimental release, financial costs of approximately $1.33 million were incurred because the HFE required sustained water releases exceeding the power plant’s maximum turbine flow rate. In addition, during the experiment, operators were not allowed to shape GCD power production, either to follow Firm Electric Service (FES) customer day-ahead energy deliveries or to respond to market prices. This study identifies the main factors contributing to the HFE costs and examines the interdependencies among these factors. It applies an integrated set of tools to estimate Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) financial impacts by simulating GCD under two types of cases; namely, (1) a “With Experiment” case that mimics the operations that actually occurred and (2) a “Without Experiment” case that simulates operations under the assumption that the HFE did not occur. The “With Experiment” case mimics operations during the HFE and the entire month the HFE occurred. It complies with LTEMP hourly and daily operating criteria. The “Without Experiment” case assumes that the HFE did not occur. The monthly water release volume is assumed to be identical under both cases. The Colorado River Storage Project Python-based model (CRiSPPy) model was the main modeling tool used to simulate the dispatch of the GCD hydropower plant and associated water releases from Lake Powell. In the modeling process, the research team used extensive data sets and historical information on SLCA/IP power plant characteristics, hydrologic conditions, and WAPA’s power purchases and sales prices. In addition to estimating the financial impact of the HFE, the team used the CRiSPPy model to gain insights into the interplay among ROD operating criteria, exceptions made to criteria to accommodate the HFE, and WAPA operating practices.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Interpretive modeling of tungsten divertor leakage during experiments with neon gas seeding

Abstract Many existing and future tokamaks with tungsten divertors operate, or will operate, with low- Z impurity seeding, but the direct effect of these seeded impurities on tungsten Scrape-off-Layer (SOL) transport has not been explored in detail. This paper reports on a DIII-D experiment designed to test how tungsten divertor leakage from the Small-Angle Slot V-Shaped, tungsten-coated divertor is impacted by neon seeding at a variety of injection rates and poloidal injection locations. Measurements from the experiment show an inverse relationship between the neon injection rate and the tungsten core penetration factor. Interpretive modeling is performed with a combination of the SOLPS-ITER and DIVIMP codes to assess the underlying tungsten behavior. The modeling results show that the reduction in tungsten divertor leakage is driven by both an increase in the divertor collisionality as well as a reduction in the ion temperature gradient near the divertor target. Collisions between low- Z impurities and tungsten impurities are found to have a significant impact on the tungsten SOL transport, such that ignoring the low- Z impurity collisional effects on the tungsten transport can result in an overestimate of the divertor leakage by an order-of-magnitude. Given the importance of these localized interactions, neon seeding from the closed, slot-like divertor has a clear advantage in being able to reduce tungsten divertor leakage without the high levels of neon core contamination that occur when seeding from other poloidal locations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Modeling frequency instability in high-quality resonant experiments

Modern resonant sensing tools can achieve increasingly high quality factors, which correspond to extremely narrow linewidths. In such systems, time variation of the resonator’s natural frequency can potentially impact its ability to accumulate power and its resulting sensitivity. One such example is the Dark SRF experiment, which utilizes superconducting radio frequency (SRF) cavities with quality factors of Q ∼ 10 10 . Microscopic deformations of the cavity lead to stochastic jittering of its resonant frequency with amplitude 20 times its linewidth. Naively, one may expect this to lead to a large suppression in accumulated power. In this work, we study in detail the effects of frequency instability on high-quality resonant systems, utilizing the Dark SRF experiment as a case study. We show that the timescale of jittering is crucial to determining its effect on power accumulation. Namely, when the resonant frequency varies sufficiently quickly, the system accumulates power as if there were no jittering at all. This implies that the sensitivity of a jittering resonator is comparable to that of a stable resonator. In the case of Dark SRF, we find that jittering only induces a ∼ 10 % loss in power. Our results allow the dark-photon exclusion bound from Dark SRF’s pathfinder run to be refined, leading to a constraint that is an order of magnitude stronger than previously reported (corresponding to a signal-to-noise ratio that is four orders of magnitude larger). This result represents the world-leading constraint on dark photons over a wide range of masses below 6 μ eV and translates to the best laboratory-based limits on the photon mass m γ < 2.9 × 10 - 48 g .

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2025

The Dynamic Networks Experiments: Virtual Experiments to Quantify Gains in Nuclear Explosion Monitoring

We describe an ongoing series of virtual experiments conducted collaboratively by four United States National Laboratories: Sandia National Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. These Dynamic Network Experiments (DNEs) provide an experimental framework to evaluate the potential impact of new research tools on nuclear explosion monitoring. The second DNE (DNE2), completed in 2024, exploited waveform data (seismic, infrasound, and electromagnetic) that was recorded by multi-modal sensors within and near the Nevada National Security Site and synthetic radionuclide signatures over multiple time periods. During the execution of DNE2, we processed and analyzed data through a multi-stage event processing pipeline that ingested raw data, performed quality control, detected signals, built events from these signals, located these events, and characterized the events’ source types and sizes. For each stage and over the entire event processing pipeline, we evaluated performance changes by comparing the performance of new data processing methods, models, and algorithms against a baseline. We also performed an additional execution phase to assess event processing pipeline function, speed, and efficiency against that of an expert analyst, including computational and manual efforts. Finally, we assessed the impact and effort of modern computing infrastructure on the monitoring pipeline. This paper describes key elements of the DNEs, from formulation through execution, as demonstrated in DNE2. The DNEs introduce several novel concepts to quantitatively measure the potential impact of new methods on explosion monitoring, including the collaborative design of multi-modal datasets, performance and logistical metrics, and integrated analyses.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Can we achieve atmospheric chemical environments in the laboratory? An integrated model-measurement approach to chamber SOA studies

Secondary organic aerosol (SOA), atmospheric particulate matter formed from low-volatility products of volatile organic compound (VOC) oxidation, affects both air quality and climate. Current 3D models, however, cannot reproduce the observed variability in atmospheric organic aerosol. Because many SOA model descriptions are derived from environmental chamber experiments, our ability to represent atmospheric conditions in chambers directly affects our ability to assess the air quality and climate impacts of SOA. Here, we develop an approach that leverages global modeling and detailed mechanisms to design chamber experiments that mimic the atmospheric chemistry of organic peroxy radicals (RO 2 ), a key intermediate in VOC oxidation. Drawing on decades of laboratory experiments, we develop a framework for quantitatively describing RO 2 chemistry and show that no previous experimental approaches to studying SOA formation have accessed the relevant atmospheric RO 2 fate distribution. We show proof-of-concept experiments that demonstrate how SOA experiments can access a range of atmospheric chemical environments and propose several directions for future studies.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

DOE OSTI2026

Automated scanning probe microscopy of combinatorial ferroelectric libraries: Gaussian-process-guided exploration and noise-aware experiment planning

Combinatorial materials libraries provide an efficient route for mapping composition–property relationships, but their broader impact depends on rapid, quantitative, and functionally relevant characterization. Scanning Probe Microscopy (SPM), including piezoresponse force microscopy (PFM), offers significant potential for quantitative, functionally relevant combi-library readouts. Here, we implement a fully automated SPM workflow for ferroelectric combinatorial libraries and benchmark Gaussian-process-based Bayesian optimization strategies for autonomous experiment planning. The workflow integrates automated probe motion, contact optimization, imaging, and dual amplitude resonance tracking-PFM spectroscopy, and uses scalarized spectroscopic observables to guide subsequent measurements. Stage motion, probe engagement, in-contact tuning, imaging, spectroscopy, and the choice of the next measurement location all proceed without human input. We demonstrate the approach on Sm-doped BiFeO 3 and Zn x Mg 1−x O libraries. By comparing vanilla Bayesian optimization with a measured-noise variant, we show that explicit treatment of local reproducibility can improve modeling of composition-dependent response when the measured variance is physically meaningful, but can also reduce robustness when variability is dominated by outliers or topographic artifacts. Furthermore, these results establish automated SPM as a bridge between combinatorial synthesis and quantitative functional characterization.

Liu, Yu [University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (U↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Field Guide to Corralling the Chaos: A Conceptual Framework for Using Models to Guide Opportunistic Field Studies of Natural Disturbances

Watersheds regulate biogeochemical processes and provide ecosystem services to human societies, but disturbances can fundamentally alter these processes across space and time. Determining when and where to sample to capture disturbance impacts in watersheds remains a central challenge. Manipulation studies and long-term monitoring are often constrained by scope, and opportunistic studies often lack pre-disturbance data needed to statistically determine disturbance impacts. We identify a persistent knowledge gap: the absence of a clear, transferable framework to guide opportunistic disturbance research where pre-disturbance data collection is not a feasible option. To address this gap, we present a conceptual framework that intentionally integrates modeling and empirical observation in an iterative, stepwise model–experiment workflow. We demonstrate its application through two contrasting case studies: wildfire impacts on headwater streams using a pre-disturbance preparedness approach, and saltwater flooding impacts on coastal forests using an ‘ex-post-facto’ approach. From these applications, we assess strengths, limitations, and the critical role of team science for transferability across disturbance types and study designs. Broadly, this framework offers a scalable path towards more rigorous, timely, and actionable disturbance science that can inform watershed management, hazard risk reduction, and ecosystem resilience.

Coastal Biogeochemistry↗