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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

On the Prediction of Aerosol-Cloud Interactions Within a Data-Driven Framework

Aerosol-cloud interactions (ACI) pose the largest uncertainty for climate projection. Among many challenges of understanding ACI, the question of whether ACI can be deterministically predicted has not been explicitly answered. Here we attempt to answer this question by predicting cloud droplet number concentration N c from aerosol number concentration N a and ambient conditions using a data-driven framework. We use aerosol properties, vertical velocity fluctuations, and meteorological states from the ACTIVATE field observations (2020–2022) as predictors to estimate N c . We show that the campaign-wide N c can be successfully predicted using machine learning models despite the strongly nonlinear and multi-scale nature of ACI. However, the observation-trained machine learning model fails to predict N c in individual cases while it successfully predicts N c of randomly selected data points that cover a broad spatiotemporal scale. This suggests that, within a data-driven framework, the N c prediction is uncertain at fine spatiotemporal scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Methods in PES-Learn: Direct-Fit Machine Learning of Born–Oppenheimer Potential Energy Surfaces

The release of PES-L EARN version 1.0 as an open-source software package for the automatic construction of machine learning models of semi-global molecular potential energy surfaces (PESs) is presented. Improvements to PES-L EARN ’s interoperability are stressed with new Python API that simplifies workflows for PES construction via interaction with QCSchema input and output infrastructure. In addition, a new machine learning method is introduced to PES-L EARN : kernel ridge regression (KRR). The capabilities of KRR are emphasized with examination of select semi-global PESs. All machine learning methods available in PES-L EARN are benchmarked with benzene and ethanol datasets from the rMD17 database to illustrate PES-L EARN ’s performance ability. Fitting performance and timings are assessed for both systems. Finally, the ability to predict gradients with neural network models is presented and benchmarked with ethanol and benzene. PES-L EARN is an active project and welcomes community suggestions and contributions.

kernel ridge regression↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nature of molybdenum carbide surfaces for catalytic hydrogen dissociation using machine-learned potentials: an ensemble-averaged perspective

Molybdenum carbides with an electronic structure similar to noble metals have gained attention as a promising low-cost catalyst for biomass valorization and the hydrogen evolution reaction. However, our fundamental understanding of the catalyst surface and how different phases of these catalysts behave at varying reaction conditions is limited to ground state density functional theory calculations as ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) is computationally prohibitive at relevant length and time scales. Here, in this work, we train a multi-atomic cluster expansion (MACE) machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIP) to study hydrogen dissociation and dynamics over Mo, δ-MoC, α-Mo 2 C, and β-Mo 2 C surfaces at varying temperatures and hydrogen partial pressures. Our simulations identify unique and different molecular and atomic hydrogen adsorption sites on different surfaces that do not depend on the temperature. At low hydrogen pressures, the surface coverage is monolayer, which transitions to two-layer adsorption at higher pressures. We find that atomic hydrogen diffusion and recombinations are preferred over molybdenum atom hollow sites, while the diffusion over carbon-terminated facets was negligible, signifying particularly strong C–H interactions. In contrast, molecular hydrogen adsorption occurs mostly atop Mo or the bridging sites. At a comparable hydrogen loading, β-Mo 2 C (001) is the most active surface for hydrogen dissociation reaction. This work provides insights into the dynamic nature of the hydrogen dissociation chemistry and the diversity of hydrogen adsorption sites on molybdenum carbides.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2021

Machine learning to alleviate Hubbard-model sign problems

Lattice Monte Carlo calculations of interacting systems on nonbipartite lattices exhibit an oscillatory imaginary phase known as the phase or sign problem, even at zero chemical potential. One method to alleviate the sign problem is to analytically continue the integration region of the state variables into the complex plane via holomorphic flow equations. For asymptotically large flow times, the state variables approach manifolds of constant imaginary phase known as Lefschetz thimbles. Furthermore, flowing such variables and calculating the ensuing Jacobian is a computationally demanding procedure. In this paper, we demonstrate that neural networks can be trained to parametrize suitable manifolds for this class of sign problem and drastically reduce the computational cost for different severely afflicted small volume systems. In particular, we apply our method to the Hubbard model on the triangle and tetrahedron, both of which are nonbipartite. At strong interaction strengths and modest temperatures, the tetrahedron suffers from a severe sign problem that cannot be overcome with standard reweighting techniques, while it quickly yields to our method. We benchmark our results with exact calculations and comment on future directions of this work.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Fast Evaluation of Aircraft Icing Severity Using Machine Learning Based on XGBoost

Aircraft icing represents a serious hazard in aviation which has caused a number of fatal accidents over the years. In addition, it can lead to substantial increase in drag and weight, thus reducing the aerodynamics performance of the airplane. The process of ice accretion on a solid surface is a complex interaction of aerodynamic and environmental variables. The complex relationship makes machine learning-based methods an attractive alternative to traditional numerical simulation-based approaches. In this study, we introduce a purely data-driven approach to find the complex pattern between different flight conditions and aircraft icing severity prediction. The supervised learning algorithm Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) is applied to establish the prediction framework which makes prediction based on any set of observations. The input flight conditions for the proposed prediction framework are liquid water content, droplet diameter and exposure time. The proposed approach is demonstrated in three cases: maximum ice thickness prediction, icing area prediction and icing severity level evaluation. Performance comparison studies and error analysis are also conducted to verify the effectiveness and performance of the proposed method. Results show that the proposed method has reasonable capability in evaluating aircraft icing severity.

Li, Sibo (ORCID:000000021705844X)↗
DOE OSTI2023

Characterizing the flux effect on the irradiation embrittlement of reactor pressure vessel steels using machine learning

In-service exposure to high-energy neutrons embrittles reactor pressure vessel (RPV) steels. An increase in the yield stress (Δσ y ) results in a corresponding increase in the brittle to ductile transition temperature (ΔT c ). Most existing models underpredict ΔT c at higher fluence following accelerated irradiations in test reactors. High fluence, up to 10 20 n/cm 2 in some cases, will be reached over extended RPV vessel operation of 80 years, or more, at low service flux. Embrittlement has been extensively studied in accelerated, higher flux test reaction irradiations. However, the use of test reactor data naturally raises the question of flux effects. Here, this study used a machine learning approach trained on a set of hardening data, covering a wide range of flux, fluence, and steel compositions to determine the interactive effects of both irradiation and material variables on Δσ y . The analysis included machine learning-based cross-plots of the variable dependence of Δσ y for six core steels (i.e., CM6, LC, LD, LG, LH, and LI), with controlled differences in their Cu and Ni contents. A primary objective is to evaluate an effective to actual fluence (Φt e /Φt) ratio, as a function of flux, fluence, and steel composition. This is information critical to properly use intermediate flux-high fluence data in calibrating a low flux-high fluence embrittlement model. The predicted Φt e /Φt is reasonably consistent with estimates previously derived from a physics-based solute recombination trap model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Performance Evaluation of Augmented Teleoperation of Contact Manipulation Tasks

At Argonne National Laboratory, an enhanced telerobotic concept has been suggested by providing augmented virtual fixtures for precise and dexterous manipulation. The proposed technology incorporated a human-robot interface that can assist personnel on the processes of Deactivation and Decommissioning in sites of high radiation. It has been implemented on a dual-arm robot system, known as Baxter, by integrating the Robotic Operating System (ROS) with 3D sensors and visual-haptic operator interface. However, what remained before its practical utilization is the capability for precisely placing the virtual fixtures. To this end, the objectives involved camera calibration, which required hardware fabrication and setup, as well as modification and implementation of ROS. The goal of this Research and Development is to develop an augmented-reality- based operator interface for human-inclusive, intelligent, and autonomous robotic system for the Deactivation and Decommissioning (D and D) of radioactive sites. The objectives are to develop: Collaborative Robot; Multi-modal Mixed-Reality Human-Robot Interface; Intelligent and Autonomous Behaviors. In order to achieve this, Baxter's Head-Kinect camera and Left-Hand camera need to be calibrated to overlap the real environment with the simulated environment. Camera calibration, which is crucial for precisely placing the virtual fixtures, was successful after running the simulations. The real and simulated environments overlapped, permitting the utilization of augmented teleoperation and the dexterous manipulation of Baxter for D and D applications in nuclear sites. Future steps: Performance evaluation of augmented teleoperation of contact manipulation tasks: Multiple-Camera 3D Reconstruction and Automation. Oculus Interface: Augmented reality and machine learning for enhanced telerobotic operation (Augmented Tele-autonomy): Machine-learning techniques for complex and flexible autonomous robotic behaviors. Interactive remote operation of robotic systems. Mesh cutting with simulation and real robot.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2018

Unobtrusive Sensor-Based Occupancy Facing Direction Detection and Tracking Using Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms

Facing direction detection plays a critical role in human-computer interaction and has a wide application in surveillance systems, driving awareness recognition, smart home appliances, computer games, and so on. Current detection methods are mainly focused on extracting specific patterns from user's optical images, which raises concerns on privacy invasion and these detection techniques do not usually work in a dark environment. To address these concerns, here this paper proposes an activity recognition system guided by an unobtrusive sensor (ARGUS). By using a low pixel infrared thermopile array sensor, ARGUS is capable of identifying five facing directions (left 45°/90°, right 45°/90°, and front) through the support vector machine classifier. Also two feature extraction methods are compared. One is manually-defined and the other is based on a pre-trained convolutional neural network (CNN) model. The facing direction detection accuracy resulting from manually-defined features reaches 85.3%, 90.6%, and 85.2% at detection distance of 0.6, 1.2, and 1.8 m, respectively. The level of accuracy resulted from using pre-trained CNN features demonstrates a much more reliable performance (89.1%, 95.3%, and 95.1% at distance of 0.6, 1.2, and 1.8 m, respectively). In addition, ARGUS has been successfully applied for occupancy tracking with a root mean square error of 0.19 m.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

ChIMES: A Machine-Learned Interatomic Model Targeting Improved Description of Condensed Phase Chemistry in Energetic Materials

In this report we detail completion of a Physics and Engineering Model Level Two Milestone targeting improved reactive interatomic potentials (IAPs) for energetic materials (EM) through machine learning. The specific goals of this milestone were to develop, validate, and document a new reactive molecular dynamics method for EM, based on machine learning by (1) generating databases of first-principles-derived forces, stresses, and energies for HN3 and 3,4-bis(3-nitrofurazan- 4-yl)furoxan (DNTF) (2) generate atomistic force fields from these databases via ML, and (3) benchmark model performance against first principles calculations. These goals were achieved by (1) further developing a machine learned reactive IAP and generation approach (i.e. the Chebyshev Interaction Model for Efficient Simulation or “ChIMES”), for which resulting IAPs can approach the predictive power of quantum-mechanical approaches at a fraction of the computational expense, and (2) applying the ChIMES framework to develop models for HN3 and DNTF. We find that for simple energetic materials like HN3, high accuracy ChIMES models can be obtained through application of a fitting approach that does not use active machine learning. We demonstrate the suitability of ChIMES models for simulations involving EM by using the HN3 model in multiscale shock technique simulations to predict the HN3 Chapman-Jouguet detonation state and investigate chemical evolution out to 1 ns following shock compression. This model is then used in larger direct shock (DS) simulations for a preliminary investigation of how bubbles (i.e. voids) influence material response under shock compression. We find that more complex EM (i.e. DNTF) necessitate a more sophisticated fitting approach, and develop a new active learning method and python tool to meet this challenge. We demonstrate that this fitting approach yields ChIMES models that out-perform commonly used standard reactive IAPs as well as semi-empirical quantum methods, and discuss the systematic improvability of these actively learned ChIMES models. We also describe challenges related to model development for EM such as DNTF, for which few experimental or previous simulation data are available (e.g. which could otherwise inform generation of training data). To overcome this issue, we establish a semi-empirical quantum ChIMES capability which can be used to efficiently map out relevant thermodynamic and configurational space, and generate ChIMES-IAP training data in a multiscale manner. We also show that these semi-empirical quantum ChIMES models can be used to generate predictions for the shock Hugoniot (the Hugoniot is the locus of thermodynamic states found in a shocked material) equation of state, investigate related thermochemistry, and explore carbon condensation following shock compression. This work represents a substantial advance in our atomistic modeling capability for EM that will provide much needed information on the chemistry of detonation for continued development of continuum models based on the Cheetah thermochemical code.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Identifying quenched jets in heavy ion collisions with machine learning

Measurements of jet substructure in ultra-relativistic heavy ion collisions suggest that the jet showering process is modified by the interaction with the quark-gluon plasma. Modifications of the hard substructure of jets can be explored with modern data-driven techniques. In this study, a machine learning approach to the identification of quenched jets is designed. Jet showering processes are simulated with a jet quenching model JEWEL and a non-quenching model PYTHIA 8. Sequential substructure variables are extracted from the jet clustering history following an angular-ordered sequence and are used in the training of a neural network built on top of a long short-term memory network. We show that this approach successfully identifies the quenching effect in the presence of the large uncorrelated background of soft particles created in heavy-ion collisions.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Applications of machine learning to a compact magnetic spectrometer for high repetition rate, laser-driven particle acceleration

Accurately and rapidly diagnosing laser–plasma interactions is often difficult due to the time-intensive nature of the analysis and will only become more so with the rise of high repetition rate lasers and the desire to implement feedback on a commensurate timescale. Diagnostic analysis employing machine learning techniques can help address this problem while maintaining a high degree of accuracy. We report on the application of machine learning to the analysis of a scintillator-based electron spectrometer for experiments on high intensity, laser–plasma interactions at the Colorado State University Advanced Lasers and Extreme Photonics facility. Our approach utilizes a neural network trained on synthetic data and tested on experiments to extract the accelerated electron temperature. By leveraging transfer learning, we demonstrate an improvement in the neural network accuracy, decreasing the network error by 50%.

Swanson, K. K. (ORCID:0000000286880568)↗
DOE OSTI2020

Detecting depinning and nonequilibrium transitions with unsupervised machine learning

Using numerical simulations of a model disk system, we demonstrate that a machine learning generated order-parameter-like measure can detect depinning transitions and different dynamic flow phases in systems driven far from equilibrium. Furthermore, we specifically consider monodisperse passive disks with short range interactions undergoing a depinning phase transition when driven over quenched disorder. The machine learning derived order-parameter-like measure identifies the depinning transition as well as different dynamical regimes, such as the transition from a flowing liquid to a phase separated liquid-solid state that is not readily distinguished with traditional measures such as velocity-force curves or Voronoi tessellation. The order-parameter-like measure also shows markedly distinct behavior in the limit of high density where jamming effects occur. Our results should be general to the broad class of particle-based systems that exhibit depinning transitions and nonequilibrium phase transitions.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Gaining Perspective on Unconventional Well Design Choices through Play-level Application of Machine Learning Modeling

The recent development of unconventional oil and gas (O&G) reservoirs has led to an abundant hydrocarbon supply, both domestically and globally. However, there is a continued push to develop new and innovative approaches to improve exploration and extraction efficiencies and overall well productivity moving forward. Substantial improvements in unconventional O&G development are expected through optimized well completion and stimulation strategies aimed at maximizing well productivity. Optimizing well designs will require tailoring to the distinctive geologic conditions present for any newly placed well. To better evaluate the impact of well design attributes and their associated interactions on productivity in a major unconventional play, multivariate machine learning-based models that use empirical datasets were developed. A gradient boosted regression tree (GBRT) algorithm was applied. GBRT has been narrowly investigated for O&G applications but enables straightforward parametric importance and influence evaluation, as well as assessment of parameter interaction effects. Models were trained on well design and locational parameters that serve as a proxy for variable geologic conditions to estimate two types of productivity indicator response variables strongly correlated to estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). The dataset utilized consists of over 7,000 well observations that cover the majority of the productive region of the Marcellus Shale. Model performance was evaluated and algorithm parameters tuned by analyzing the goodness-of-fit for simulated results against observed data in a cross-validation approach. Models were found capable of 73–79 percent prediction accuracy on held out testing data of gas equivalent production and can be used to inform future well design and placement decisions for increasing EUR per well and improving overall field-level recovery. Study results indicate that Marcellus well performance improves most with upscaling perforated interval lengths and water and proppant volumes per foot; but relative productivity improvements are spatially dependent across the play. Finally, optimal combinations of water and proppant on well performance were found to vary depending on well location, emphasizing the utility of data-driven models capable of broad application across a play of interest for informing tailored well design approaches prior to their field deployment.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Uncovering dark matter density profiles in dwarf galaxies with graph neural networks

Dwarf galaxies are small, dark-matter-dominated galaxies, some of which are embedded within the Milky Way. Their lack of baryonic matter (e.g., stars and gas) makes them perfect test beds for probing the properties of dark matter—understanding the spatial dark matter distribution in these systems can be used to constrain microphysical dark matter interactions that influence the formation and evolution of structures in our Universe. Here, we introduce a new method that leverages simulation-based inference and graph-based machine learning in order to infer the dark matter density profiles of dwarf galaxies from observable kinematics of stars gravitationally bound to these systems. Our approach aims to address some of the limitations of established methods based on dynamical Jeans modeling. We show that this novel method can place stronger constraints on dark matter profiles and, consequently, has the potential to weigh in on some of the ongoing puzzles associated with the small-scale structure of dark matter halos, such as the core-cusp discrepancy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

A multi-scale pipeline linking drug transcriptomics with pharmacokinetics predicts in vivo interactions of tuberculosis drugs

Tuberculosis (TB) is the deadliest infectious disease worldwide. The design of new treatments for TB is hindered by the large number of candidate drugs, drug combinations, dosing choices, and complex pharmaco-kinetics/dynamics (PK/PD). Here we study the interplay of these factors in designing combination therapies by linking a machine-learning model, INDIGO-MTB, which predicts in vitro drug interactions using drug transcriptomics, with a multi-scale model of drug PK/PD and pathogen-immune interactions called GranSim. We calculate an in vivo drug interaction score (iDIS) from dynamics of drug diffusion, spatial distribution, and activity within lesions against various pathogen sub-populations. The iDIS of drug regimens evaluated against non-replicating bacteria significantly correlates with efficacy metrics from clinical trials. Our approach identifies mechanisms that can amplify synergistic or mitigate antagonistic drug interactions in vivo by modulating the relative distribution of drugs. Our mechanistic framework enables efficient evaluation of in vivo drug interactions and optimization of combination therapies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Many-Body Potential for Simulating Self-Assembly of Polymer-Grafted Nanoparticles in a Polymer Matrix

Many-body interactions between polymer-grafted nanoparticles (NPs) play a key role in promoting their assembly into low-dimensional structures within polymer melts, even when the particles are spherical and isotropically grafted. However, capturing such interactions in simulations of NP assembly is very challenging because explicit modeling of the polymer grafts and melt chains is highly computationally expensive, even using coarse-grained models. Here, we develop a many-body potential for describing the effective interactions between spherical polymer-grafted NPs in a polymer matrix through a machine-learning approach. The approach involves using permutationally invariant polynomials to fit two- and three-body interactions derived from the potential of mean force calculations. The potential developed here reduces the computational cost by several orders of magnitude, thereby, allowing us to explore assembly behavior over large length and time scales. We show that the potential not only reproduces previously known assembled phases such as 1D strings and 2D hexagonal sheets, which generally cannot be achieved using isotropic two-body potentials, but can also help discover interesting phases such as networks, clusters, and gels. We demonstrate how each of these assembly morphologies intrinsically arises from a competition between two- and three-body interactions. Our approach for deriving many-body effective potentials can be readily extended to other colloidal systems, enabling researchers to make accurate predictions of their behavior and dissect the role of individual interaction energy terms of the overall potential in the observed behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Machine learning using host/guest energy histograms to predict adsorption in metal–organic frameworks: Application to short alkanes and Xe/Kr mixtures

A machine learning (ML) methodology that uses a histogram of interaction energies has been applied to predict gas adsorption in metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) using results from atomistic grand canonical Monte Carlo (GCMC) simulations as training and test data. In this work, the method is first extended to binary mixtures of spherical species, in particular, Xe and Kr. In addition, it is shown that single-component adsorption of ethane and propane can be predicted in good agreement with GCMC simulation using a histogram of the adsorption energies felt by a methyl probe in conjunction with the random forest ML method. Here, the results for propane can be improved by including a small number of MOF textural properties as descriptors. We also discuss the most significant features, which provides physical insight into the most beneficial adsorption energy sites for a given application.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗