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DOE OSTI2024

Circular Economy for Photovoltaics in Service of Energy Transition

The challenge of energy transition is immediate and immense; current projections target 75 TW of photovoltaics (PV) capacity by 2050. While any transition to renewable energy technology is preferable to the current fossil-based system, it is ideal to improve the sustainability of PV to minimize negative environmental and social impacts. Circular economy (CE) has been proposed as a method to improve the sustainability of PV, especially for emerging materials like perovskites. CE is a set of actions, principles, and systems which aim to design out waste and keep products and materials in use, to reduce environmental impacts and enable sustainable development. At the most basic level, CE is "reduce, reuse, recycle", the R-actions, in ranked order. CE of a PV technology can be metricized in a variety of ways, such as the Material Circularity Indicator (Smith and Jones, Ellen MacArthur Foundation, 2019) or recycling rates. Unfortunately, standard CE metrics have several shortcomings for measuring renewable energy technologies in the context of deployment for energy transition (Figge 2018, Saidani 2019): 1) Only measure mass flows; 2) De-prioritization of the use phase in favor of mass circularity when scoring; and 3) Tight focus on a single product scale The use phase and energy flows of PV are key to energy transition, and therefore need to be quantified. Additionally, correlating product-scale to system-scale is necessary for quantifying the environmental impacts of energy transition. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) can address some of these concerns, but also focuses on a single product scale and has trouble capturing the dynamics of system-scale energy transition, such as the interaction of module lifetime with manufacturing demands for energy transition deployment schedules. Therefore, we developed an open-source Python-based system dynamics model to quantify the mass, energy and carbon impacts of CE R-actions for PV technologies in the energy transition; PV in the CE (PV ICE) (Ovaitt & Mirletz 2021). The tool captures supply chains from material extraction through end of life, incorporating 5 circular end of life pathways. PV ICE takes in any evolving bill of materials, module properties and deployment schedule to support researchers and decision makers with data-backed insights. In this work, we quantify and compare proposed CE sustainable PV module designs and lifecycle management strategies, spanning currently commercialized technologies, government and industry technology targets, and several low Technology Readiness Level (TRL) emerging PV technologies, including perovskites. Our analyses capture the projected evolutions of lifetime, efficiency and material circularity of these PV technologies, as well as their material supply chains. Our analyses emphasize the importance of examining a suite of metrics to identify priorities and tradeoffs, and inform design or lifecycle management decisions holistically. Previous analyses have demonstrated the central importance of PV module lifetime to support energy transition while minimizing impacts. High levels of material circularity (>90%) enable minimizing lifecycle wastes, can reduce virgin material demands if paired with improving efficiency, but demonstrate tradeoffs in energy return on investment. In the fervor of new material and technology development, it is important to remember that CE is not the end goal; decarbonization and energy transition are the end goal. CE should be used in service to improve the sustainability of PV, and R-actions evaluated for their usefulness and efficacy to this end.

carbon↗

DOE OSTI2024

Privacy-Preserving Control of Partitioned Energy Resources

Distributed energy resources are an increasingly important part of the electric grid. We examine the problem of partitioning a distributed energy resource among many users while providing privacy to them. In this model, clients can send requests to a server, the server can verify that the requests are valid and aggregate them, but it cannot see the actual values in the requests. Without privacy, each user is forced to reveal their daily schedule or energy use. Energy resources add a novel challenge that prior systems do not address: they require verifying limits on private power (a rate over time) and energy (a sum) values. Furthermore, the cryptographic mechanisms must run on embedded energy control systems. We describe Weft, a novel cryptographic system that verifies both power (rate) and energy (integral) constraints on private client values and aggregates them. The key insight behind the approach is to rely on additively homomorphic secret shares, which allows servers to compute sums from rates. We present 3 cryptographic proof systems with different system trade-off for embedded systems: bit-splitting proofs minimize memory use, sorting proofs minimize computation, and commitment proofs minimize network communication. Using bit-splitting proofs, it takes an IoT client using a CortexM microcontroller 4 minutes of compute time to privately control its share of an energy resource for a day at 20s granularity.

Laufer, Evan↗

DOE OSTI2025

Reducing NOx Emissions in Ammonia Combustors

Ammonia continues to attract growing interest as a carbonneutral replacement fuel, motivating numerous research efforts toward understanding fundamental ammonia combustion characteristics. A major challenge for the use of ammonia is the development of combustor technologies for mitigating potentially high NOx emissions from the fuel-bound nitrogen chemical pathways to acceptable levels. Our work focuses on a staged RQL combustor architecture for minimizing the NOx emission levels through burning fuel-rich in the primary stage to formcombustion products containing significant levels of hydrogen in addition to nitrogen and water with minimal NOx formation. The subsequent quench and burnout stages of the combustor must then quickly burn residual hydrogen with flame-temperatures moderated by nitrogen and water forming in the first stage. Chemical Reactor Network modeling was used to understand and identify optimal stoichiometry and residence times in each stage for minimizing NOx emissions and to quantify pressure and temperature effects. Reducing the overall NOx emissions requires relatively long residence times in the primary stage to achieve near equilibrium NO levels due to kinetically controlling processes. For conditions relevant to gas turbines (e.g., 30 atm), our work indicates that NOx emissions below 20 ppm are theoretically achievable in a staged RQL combustor architecture. However, these emission predictions significantly depend on the accuracies of currently available chemical kinetic mechanisms which have not been extensively validated under elevated pressure and temperature conditions relevant to gas turbines.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thermal Optimization and Experimental Demonstration of a Silicon Carbide, Half-Bridge Power Module

This paper describes modeling and experimental work to design and demonstrate a silicon carbide (SiC), single-side-cooled power module. Two SiC metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFET) were used for each switch position and packaged on a metalized ceramic substrate. Thermal modeling was first conducted to optimize the module packaging to minimize junction-to-fluid thermal resistance and device temperature variations. This procedure identified the optimal device placement and baseplate thickness to maximize thermal performance. A heat exchanger - incorporating impinging jets of water-ethylene glycol - was designed to cool the module's baseplate to minimize thermal resistance and pumping power. The heat exchanger used relatively low fluid velocities (<1.5 m/s) to minimize erosion-corrosion effects and relatively large fluid channel sizes (>=1 mm) to prevent clogging. The power module concept was fabricated, and experiments were conducted to measure its thermal performance. Direct current was used to power the module devices, and junction temperatures were measured via device temperature-sensitive parameters. The experimental results were found to be in good agreement with model predictions (within 2%) and yielded junction-to-fluid thermal resistance values as low as about 15 mm2 K/W at relatively low pumping power values. The results demonstrate the improved performance associated with jet impingement cooling and represent an improvement over existing channel-flow-type cold plates, which can enable improvements to power density and reliability.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2026

Measurements of three-flavor neutrino oscillations from a PISCES two-detector fit to the NOvA Experiment data

NOvA is a long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment with two functionally identical detectors: a Near Detector (ND) at Fermilab, placed 1 km from the neutrino source, and a Far Detector (FD) located 810 km away from the ND in Minnesota. NOvA s primary physics goals are to measure the neutrino oscillation parameters $\theta_{23}$ and $\Delta m^2_{32}$ with high precision, determine the neutrino mass hierarchy, and constrain the value of $\delta_{CP}$, primarily via the study of muon neutrino to electron neutrino oscillation. Extracting values for oscillation parameters from fits to data usually relies on treating systematic uncertainties as nuisance parameters, a strategy that suffers from poor scalability as the number of uncertainties becomes larger. This work introduces PISCES (Parameter Inference with Systematic Covariance and Exact Statistics), a novel method that circumvents this scalability problem by encoding systematic uncertainties into a covariance matrix. PISCES utilizes a nested minimization in which optimal systematic pulls are first computed using the covariance matrix in an inner minimization step, then the oscillation parameters are profiled over in the outer minimization. PISCES also uses a Poisson Likelihood term, making it ideal for the inclusion of low-statistic samples in the fits. PISCES is a flexible framework that also supports complex fits, such as a joint Near and Far detector fit. In the standard NOvA analysis, oscillation parameters are extracted using an extrapolation technique in which the ND data indirectly constrain the FD prediction via a ratio method. PISCES, on the other hand, enables a simultaneous ND+FD fit, allowing the high-statistics ND data to directly constrain systematic uncertainties across all samples. This thesis presents the full PISCES joint ND+FD fit for the NOvA three-flavor analysis, details its implementation, and evaluates its performance through extensive robustness tests and fake data studies. It also provides a comparison between the PISCES joint ND+FD results and the standard NOvA extrapolation method using the full NOvA 10-year data set. The results demonstrate that PISCES can successfully fit NOvA data while incorporating the constraints from the ND detectors consistently, using physically motivated systematic uncertainties to account for data/MC discrepancies.

Rajaoalisoa, Miriama [Cincinnati U.]↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Quantum Computational Determination of the Weak Mixing Angle in the Standard Model

The weak mixing angle $s_W$ is a fundamental constant in the Standard Model (SM) and measured at the $Z$ boson mass to be $\widehat{s}^2_W(m_Z) = 0.23129 \pm 0.00004$ in the $\overline{\rm MS}$ renormalization scheme, where $m_Z=91.2\ \text{GeV}$. On the other hand, non-stabilizerness - the magic - characterizes the computational advantage of a quantum system over classical computers. We consider the production of magic from stabilizer initial states, which carry zero magic, in the 2-to-2 scattering of charged leptons in the SM at the tree level, which is mediated by the photon and the $Z$ boson. Using the second order stabilizer Rényi entropy, and averaging over all 60 initial stabilizer states and the scattering angle, we compute and minimize the magic production as a function of $s^2_W$ in the Møller scattering $e^-e^-\to e^-e^-$, which is free of kinematic thresholds. At the centre-of-mass energy $\sqrt{s}=m_Z$, there is a unique minimum in magic production at $\mathbf{s}^{2}_W(m_Z)=0.2317$, which agrees with the measured $\widehat{s}^2_W(m_Z)$ at the sub-percent level. At higher energies, the magic-minimizing $\mathbf{s}^{2}_W$ continues to agree with the empirical value at the percent level or better, up to 10 TeV. The finding suggests the electroweak sector of the SM tends to generate minimal quantum resources from the computational viewpoint.

Liu, Qiaofeng [Northwestern U.]↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Quantum Computational Determination of the Weak Mixing Angle in the Standard Model

Liu, Qiaofeng [Northwestern U.]↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Quantum Computational Determination of the Weak Mixing Angle in the Standard Model

Liu, Qiaofeng [Northwestern U.]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Role of Histidine‐Containing Peptoids in Accelerating the Kinetics of Calcite Growth

Carbonate mineralization, the conversion of CO 2 into stable, thermodynamically favorable carbonate minerals, offers a promising strategy for permanent and environmentally friendly carbon storage, with minimal risk of long-term leakage and minimal monitoring requirements. Drawing inspiration from carbonic anhydrase (CA), a family of zinc-containing metalloenzymes that catalyze the hydration of CO 2 to bicarbonate and promote carbonate precipitation, a class of histidine-containing peptoids was designed that is capable of coordinating with Zn 2+ ions to act as CA mimetics for accelerating calcite step growth. In situ atomic force microscopy (AFM) measurements reveal that these peptoids significantly enhance step advancement, with a more pronounced effect observed when combined with Zn 2+ ions and under higher calcium-to-carbonate activity ratios, indicating that peptoids facilitate the incorporation of CO 3 2− ions at step edges. Solution NMR and 3D atomic force microscopy (3D AFM) analyses show that the coordination of peptoids with Zn 2+ promotes both the deprotonation of HCO 3 − to CO 3 2− and restructures the interfacial hydration layers of calcite, collectively lowering the activation barrier for step growth. These findings establish a design framework for sequence-defined polymers to regulate carbonate mineralization, offering promising applications in CO 2 capture and long-term storage.

CO2 mineralization↗

DOE OSTI2025

Understanding the Cathode Electrochemistry of Humidified Solid‐State Lithium‐Oxygen Batteries

Lithium-oxygen batteries (LOBs) possess a high theoretical energy density, making them potential candidates for next-generation energy storage. However, challenges such as reactive oxygen species-induced component degradation hinder their practical use. Inorganic solid-state electrolytes offer an alternative to degradation-prone aprotic electrolytes, while also protecting lithium anodes from potential atmospheric reactants. Here, this study explores the cathode electrochemistry of solid-state LOBs using humidified oxygen, which forms an aqueous catholyte during initial cycling, thereby improving cathode-electrolyte contact. To quantitatively analyze the cathode electrochemistry, a ‘Humidity-Incorporated’ Differential Electrochemical Gas Monitoring System (HiDEMS) is developed to control humidity and monitor gas consumption and evolution in real time. When studying a Li-O 2 cell that employs a NASICON-type Li 1.3 Al 0.3 Ti 1.7 (PO 4 ) 3 (LATP) solid electrolyte and a porous carbon cathode, a shift in discharge products from Li 2 O 2 to LiOH is observed over repeated cycles. While Li 2 O 2 evolves O 2 during charging, LiOH oxidation leads to minimal O 2 release and increased CO 2 production, originating from oxidation of carbon electrodes. Further, dissolution of Al and P from LATP is observed, likely driven by the formation of the alkaline catholyte. The findings highlight the need for carbon-free cathode materials and more stable solid-state conductors to minimize side reactions and improve rechargeability in humidified solid-state Li-O 2 batteries.

LATP degradation↗

DOE OSTI2026

Manipulating Na/TM Ratio‐Driven Structural Heterogeneity of O3‐NaNi 1/3 Fe 1/3 Mn 1/3 O 2 Cathode for High‐Voltage Sodium‐Ion Batteries

The stability of O3-type NaNi 1/3 Fe 1/3 Mn 1/3 O 2 under high-voltage cycling is dictated by how synthesis encodes lattice strain and redox heterogeneity. Here, in this study, the role of Na:TM stoichiometry is systematically resolved by tuning the NaOH:precursor ratio during solid-state synthesis. The stoichiometric condition (Na:TM = 1.00) yields minimized microstrain, enabling uniform O3–P3 phase evolution and homogeneous multi-metal redox with preserved octahedral symmetry. In contrast, Na-excess compositions inherit disordered intermediates and heterogeneous distortion fields that trigger abrupt multiphase transitions and promote localized charge redistribution. In situ XRD captures the divergence in phase-transition pathways, TXM resolves particle-level redox heterogeneity, and XANES corroborates a stronger and more reversible Fe redox contribution at stoichiometry, shifting to diminished Fe participation and spatially inhomogeneous redox at higher Na content. These results establish Na:TM stoichiometry as a critical synthesis parameter controlling both structural coherence and redox stability. Electrochemically, the stoichiometric composition exhibits smooth voltage profiles with minimal polarization growth and retains nearly 80% of its initial capacity after 100 cycles even at an extended 4.2 V cutoff, whereas Na-excess compositions show significantly reduced initial coulombic efficiency and rapid voltage fade. Precise stoichiometric tuning provides a scalable route to defect-suppressed O3 frameworks, enabling structurally resilient, high-voltage sodium-layered cathodes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Accurate and Data‐Efficient Micro X‐ray Diffraction Phase Identification Using Multitask Learning: Application to Hydrothermal Fluids

Traditional analysis of highly distorted micro X‐ray diffraction (μ‐XRD) patterns from hydrothermal fluid environments is a time‐consuming process, often requiring substantial data preprocessing and labeled experimental data. Herein, the potential of deep learning with a multitask learning (MTL) architecture to overcome these limitations is demonstrated. MTL models are trained to identify phase information in μ‐XRD patterns, minimizing the need for labeled experimental data and masking preprocessing steps. Notably, MTL models show superior accuracy compared to binary classification convolutional neural networks. Additionally, introducing a tailored cross‐entropy loss function improves MTL model performance. Most significantly, MTL models tuned to analyze raw and unmasked XRD patterns achieve close performance to models analyzing preprocessed data, with minimal accuracy differences. This work indicates that advanced deep learning architectures like MTL can automate arduous data handling tasks, streamline the analysis of distorted XRD patterns, and reduce the reliance on labor‐intensive experimental datasets.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Simulating competition in the US bioeconomy to produce hard‐to‐electrify transportation fuels using limited biomass resources

This study presents a novel bioeconomy optimization framework, BiOpt, designed to address critical questions regarding the strategic use of limited US biomass resources for biofuel production. By integrating detailed techno-economic analyses, life cycle assessments, and resource assessment data, BiOpt optimizes resource distributions across competing technologies to maximize economic performance and/or minimize greenhouse gas emissions. Using feedstock scenarios from the 2023 Billion Ton Study, the analysis explores optimal biomass allocations across sustainable aviation fuel, diesel, and marine biofuel conversion pathways given varying production targets and policy incentives. Results demonstrate distinct feedstock preferences and pathway utilizations when prioritizing economic returns vs. emissions reductions. For instance, fats, oils, and greases were highly favored in cost-optimized scenarios, while low-carbon feedstocks such as wet waste dominated greenhouse gas-minimized strategies. The findings underscore the pivotal role of policy incentives and technological advances in shaping biofuel supply chains and provide actionable insights for scaling sustainable biofuel production to decarbonize hard-to-electrify sectors. This framework offers a robust tool for policymakers and stakeholders to evaluate biofuel strategies that balance energy output, economic viability, and environmental impact.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Optimizing Renewable Ammonia Production for a Sustainable Fertilizer Supply Chain Transition

Local renewable ammonia production using electrolytic hydrogen is an emerging approach to alleviate emissions attributed to synthetic nitrogen fertilizer production while also insulating against fluctuations in fertilizer prices and mitigating transportation costs and emissions. However, replacing ammonia currently produced using fossil fuels will not be immediate. To this end, we develop a supply chain transition model, which first optimizes the design and hourly operation of new renewable ammonia facilities to minimize production costs and then optimizes the annual installation timing, production scale, and location of these new renewable facilities along with ammonia transportation to meet county resolution demands. The objective is to augment and eventually replace conventional ammonia market imports in an economically competitive manner. We performed a case study for Minnesota's ammonia supply chain and found that a full transition to in-state renewable production by 2032 is optimal. This is incentivized by the U.S. federal government's clean hydrogen production credits. This transition results in 99 % reduction in carbon intensity along with stable supply costs below $475 per metric tonne. New renewable production facilities are an order of magnitude smaller than existing conventional plants. They use both wind and solar resources and operate dynamically to minimize expensive battery and hydrogen storage capacities.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Provable Repair of Vision Transformers

Vision Transformers have emerged as state-of-the-art image recognition tools, but may still exhibit incorrect behavior. Incorrect image recognition can have disastrous consequences in safety-critical real-world applications such as self-driving automobiles. In this paper, we present Provable Repair of Vision Transformers (PRoViT), a provable repair approach that guarantees the correct classification of images in a repair set for a given Vision Transformer without modifying its architecture. PRoViT avoids negatively affecting correctly classified images (drawdown) by minimizing the changes made to the Vision Transformer’s parameters and original output. Here, we observe that for Vision Transformers, unlike for other architectures such as ResNet or VGG, editing just the parameters in the last layer achieves correctness guarantees and very low drawdown. We introduce a novel method for editing these last-layer parameters that enables PRoViT to efficiently repair state-of-the-art Vision Transformers for thousands of images, far exceeding the capabilities of prior provable repair approaches.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Probing CP and flavor violation in neutral kaon decays with ALPs

We analyze the three-body decays of the long-lived neutral kaon K L → ππa, where a is an axion-like particle (ALP), and compare them to the two-body decay K L → π 0 a. While the latter requires both flavor violation (FV) and CP violation (CPV), the former can proceed via FV alone, allowing the ratio of decay rates to serve as a probe of CPV of the underlying UV theory. We emphasize the importance of weak-interaction-induced contributions, often neglected in recent calculations. We explore both minimal and non-minimal flavor-violating scenarios, and identify classes of models where ALP production from neutral three-body decays is comparable to — or even dominates over — the two-body decay, despite its reduced phase space. Finally, we discuss the phenomenological implications of our results and show how these decays can provide complementary probes of ALP couplings beyond those accessible via charged kaon channels.

Axions and ALPs↗

DOE OSTI2024

Perturbative unorientable JT gravity and matrix models

We consider an orthogonal polynomial formulation of the double scaling limit of multicritical matrix models in the β = 1 Dyson-Wigner class. They capture the physics of 2D quantum gravity coupled to minimal matter on unorientable surfaces, otherwise called unoriented minimal strings. We derive a formula for the density of states valid to all orders in perturbation theory. We show how to define an interpolation between the multicritical models and that a certain interpolation among an infinite number of them provides an alternative definition of unoriented JT gravity. We discuss the strengths and weaknesses of our formulation.

1/N Expansion↗

DOE OSTI2024

Supergravity spectrum of AdS 5 black holes

We embed Kerr-Newman-AdS black holes into N = 8 gauged supergravity and study quadratic fluctuations around the black hole backgrounds of all fields in the larger theory. The equations of motion of the perturbations are partially diagonalized by the group theory of broken symmetry. Nearly all fields in theory have non-minimal couplings, so their equations of motion are not merely massive Klein-Gordon equations with minimal coupling to background gauge fields, and their analogues for fields with spin. In the special case of extremal black holes we identify specific modes of instability, some of which touch supersymmetric locus. For example, we identify scalar fields in supergravity that condense in the near horizon region and transition the black hole into a superconducting phase. We also identify supergravity modes that are susceptible to superradiant instability.

AdS-CFT Correspondence↗