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DOE OSTI2023

Our teams design high-resolution MeV x-ray radiography systems for National security missions [Poster]

The NNSS has been at the forefront of custom high-fidelity x-ray/gamma radiographic imaging solutions that serve our national security for over five decades. Our radiography team utilizes expertise in physics modeling and analysis, along with optical, mechanical, and electrical design, in close collaboration with our customers, to develop imaging methods and capabilities that go beyond their needs. Conceptual designs are developed through R&D efforts to provide solutions for the specific problem at hand. Field systems are designed and built in-house, then qualified utilizing a range of facilities across the National Security Enterprise. Radiographic imaging systems are deployed by our team in the most challenging environments. The NNSS has a strong math and programming team that provides novel on-site image analysis methods that extract crucial information from data returned in field tests.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2026

Demonstration and analysis of volumetric additive manufacturing via sub-orbital spaceflight testing

Computed Axial Lithography (CAL) represents a significant advancement in the emerging field of Volumetric Additive Manufacturing (VAM). CAL addresses key limitations of traditional photopolymer additive manufacturing technologies, by eliminating the need for layering and support structures. Unlike conventional methods, CAL prints components by illuminating all points within a desired geometry simultaneously, using tomographic reconstruction to form the object in a single step. This unique approach eliminates the relative motion between the object and the precursor material, enabling faster printing speeds and reducing the waste associated with support structures. However, CAL parts require post-processing steps before they can be utilized. CAL's core attributes make it particularly suited for In-Space Manufacturing (ISM), due to its fast fabrication times, wide breadth of materials it can use, and minimized footprint. CAL has been successfully demonstrated in microgravity during parabolic flight experiments. However to fully validate and understand CAL's behaviour in microgravity, all manufacturing and post-processing steps must be integrated. In June 2024, we conducted SpaceCAL Mission 3, testing this entire workflow on a suborbital flight aboard Virgin Galactic's SpaceShipTwo. During ~140 s of microgravity, the system autonomously manufactured and post-processed four parts using PEGDA700 resin. Post-flight analysis showed that 2/4 parts were recognisable, while others were distorted due to bubble formation from residual water droplets, off-axis optical aberrations, and non-uniform solvent rinsing. Despite these limitations, this study represents the first integrated CAL workflow in space, providing an initial experimental demonstration and analysis for closed-loop in-space manufacturing.

Waddell, Taylor [Department of Mechanical Engineer↗

DOE OSTI2022

A Strategy for NACS investment in Machine Learning

The Nuclear and Chemical Sciences (NACS) Division furnishes the expertise in the scientific areas of chemical, nuclear and isotopic sciences that are foundational in the Laboratory’s national security missions. This expertise is maintained and advanced through identification, development and application of state-of-the-art theoretical, computational and experimental methods and tools. Recent developments in artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) techniques enabled by advances in computing capabilities and widespread availability of powerful software implementations have made use of these techniques ubiquitous across both science and industry. While the scope of AI/ML applications is incredibly large and evolves very rapidly, the topics most relevant to NACS missions fall into the general category of detecting, categorizing or identifying features in large, complex datasets using either supervised or unsupervised learning. This covers both basic scientific data analysis and the development of efficient surrogate models of real-life technological systems, experimental detectors, or theoretical models. To remain at the forefront of its core scientific disciplines, NACS must both cultivate ML expertise as well as continuously explore applying this expertise to new problems or utilizing new methods. This document identifies the key areas where this support is critical and provides a strategy for investing in them.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2025

Delving into the depths of NGC 3783 with XRISM II. Cross-calibration of X-ray instruments used in the large, multi-mission observational campaign

Context. Accurate X-ray spectroscopic measurements are fundamental for deriving basic physical parameters of the most abundant baryon components in the Universe. The plethora of X-ray observatories currently operational enables a panchromatic view of the high-energy emission of celestial sources. However, uncertainties in the energy-dependent calibration of the instrument transfer functions (e.g. the effective area, energy redistribution, or gain) can limit - and historically, did limit - the accuracy of X-ray spectroscopic measurements. Aims. We revised the status of the cross-calibration among the scientific payload on board four operation missions: Chandra, NuSTAR, XMM-Newton, and the recently launched XRISM. XRISM carries the micro-calorimeter Resolve, which yields the best energy resolution at energies ≥2 keV. For this purpose, we used the data from a 10-day-long observational campaign targeting the nearby active galactic nucleus NGC 3783, carried out in July 2024. Methods. We present a novel model-independent method for assessing the cross-calibration status that is based on a multi-node spline of the spectra with the highest-resolving power (XRISM/Resolve in our campaign). We also estimated the impact of the intrinsic variability of NGC 3783 on the cross-calibration status due to the different time coverages of participating observatories and performed an empirical reassessment of the Resolve throughput at low energies. Results. Based on this analysis, we derived a set of energy-dependent correction factors of the observed responses, enabling a statistically robust analysis of the whole spectral dataset. They will be employed in subsequent papers describing the astrophysical results of the campaign. Aims. We revised the status of the cross-calibration among the scientific payload on board four operation missions: Chandra, NuSTAR, XMM-Newton, and the recently launched XRISM. XRISM carries the micro-calorimeter Resolve, which yields the best energy resolution at energies ≥2 keV. For this purpose, we used the data from a 10-day-long observational campaign targeting the nearby active galactic nucleus NGC 3783, carried out in July 2024. Methods. We present a novel model-independent method for assessing the cross-calibration status that is based on a multi-node spline of the spectra with the highest-resolving power (XRISM/Resolve in our campaign). We also estimated the impact of the intrinsic variability of NGC 3783 on the cross-calibration status due to the different time coverages of participating observatories and performed an empirical reassessment of the Resolve throughput at low energies. Results. Based on this analysis, we derived a set of energy-dependent correction factors of the observed responses, enabling a statistically robust analysis of the whole spectral dataset. They will be employed in subsequent papers describing the astrophysical results of the campaign.

Active Galactic Nuclei, individual: NGC 3783↗

DOE OSTI2025

Non-propagating structures and propagating waves in solar wind turbulence revealed by simulations and observations

Structures and waves are common features of solar wind turbulence at various scales. The interplay between structures and waves is important for processes such as the turbulent energy cascade, plasma heating, and particle scattering. Our understanding of turbulence has been advanced by not only new space missions and numerical simulations, but also techniques that have been developed to interpret the rapidly growing turbulence data. We review basic models of turbulence with a specific focus on the analysis methods for understanding magnetic structures and waves. MHD and kinetic waves in single-spacecraft time series measurements can be identified through mode decomposition or their characteristic polarization signatures. The structures in this paper are considered as zero-frequency, non-propagating or convected modes embedded in the solar wind. The synergy between observations and simulations is most evident in the application of spatial-temporal analysis to multi-spacecraft observation and turbulence simulations. The spatial-temporal analysis has greatly improved our understanding of structures and waves in turbulence. We conclude by discussing prospects for future research.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Demonstration and Evaluation of a Non-Invasive, Low-Cost, Strap-On Sensor for Natural Gas Meters

The U.S. General Services Administration (GSA) is interested in installing internet-connected, gas submeters to better understand gas consumption in its portfolio of buildings. The GSA in partnership with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory conducted a demonstration to assess a specific submeter technology. This technology was implemented at two GSA separate facilities located in Dallas, Texas. This demonstration evaluated hardware and software installations and integrations, data integrity and accuracy, and included an economic analysis. This demonstration evaluated a gas submeter technology provided by the vendor Vata Verks, who produces a non-invasive strap-on submeter. The company was founded with a mission to conserve water (and eventually gas) cheaply and simply, as explained on its website. The product intends to streamline submeter deployments for gas and water by eliminating most hardware costs while allowing for easy integration of submetered data into other systems such as the Building Automation System and removing tenant and building disruption This demonstration evaluated the product features when used on a gas utility meter.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

DOE OSTI2025

R&D Effort of Geologic Hydrogen Production at the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL)

Geologic hydrogen (geoH2) is an emerging technology with massive current market interest and distinct potential to change the paradigm of hydrogen production. Two major subsurface processes influence the amount of geoH2 that are available for energy extraction: 1) geochemical reactions of H2O and Fe2+-bearing rocks which can produce hydrogen in the subsurface environment, where 2) various active microbial communities consume hydrogen as an energy source before the hydrogen reaches the surface. The net gain of hydrogen from these two competing processes dictates the production rate of geoH2. A recent study (Templeton et al., 2024) suggested that for most natural geoH2 systems, five orders of magnitude of production rate enhancement are needed to make geoH2 production economical in the near term. Effective enhancement of the production rate requires an in-depth understanding of the two geoH2 processes, in order to promote the H2-generating geochemical processes and suppress the H2-consuming microbial processes. However, current significant knowledge gaps in these two processes hinders the efforts to formulate strategies to enhance geoH2 production. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is a U.S. Department of Energy National Laboratory with the core mission of leading research, innovation, and strategic partnership to deliver solutions for a clean energy based economy. NREL's extensive research portfolio in hydrogen, bioenergy, geothermal, industrial decarbonization, and energy analysis makes us well positioned to conduct interdisciplinary research and facilitate technology deployment in the geoH2 space. In this presentation, we will discuss ongoing geoH2 research and engagement efforts at NREL, including: 1) geochemical investigation to understand the reaction mechanisms and production rate and potential of different source minerals and rocks, 2) microbiological investigation to understand methanogenesis and acetogenesis in the subsurface geoH2 environment, and identify effective inhibitors for these microbial processes, and 3) preliminary analysis for geoH2 production in the State of Minnesota, where abundant Fe-rich rocks for stimulated geoH2 production and ample opportunity to utilize geoH2 in transforming iron and steel industries are currently available.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2022

Designing Monte Carlo Simulation and an Optimal Machine Learning to Optimize and Model Space Missions

This paper investigates applying artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to attitude control system of satellites to optimally tune the controller using high performance computing. This methodology is applied to the Virtual Telescope for X-ray Observation mission, which is a precise formation of two separate spacecraft observing multiple objects in the space in the X-ray domain. The mission is divided into phases based on the instrumentation and the mission goal. To reach an stable precise formation robust to stochastic slew and slew rate (i.e., Euler angles and angular velocities) in a minimal constrained time T , consumed energy of the attitude control system, denoted as E, and root-mean-square state error of attitude control system, denoted as e, are minimized. Monte-Carlo simulation is used for the sensitivity analysis of optimization and designing a controller. Deep neural networks (DNN), Gaussian processes (GP), and support vector regression (SVR) learn this optimization as a surrogate model, while their hyperparameters are optimized in a novel approach. THETA supercomputer at Argonne Leadership Computing Facility (ALCF) is used for optimizing the hyperparameters of DNN. The surrogate model meets the requirements of the mission, and it shows a better performance over the optimization and Monte-Carlo. The optimal DNN can satisfy the mission requirements e and T while reducing E for 90% compared to the other given methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Thermal and kinematic properties of ejecta in SN1987A revealed by XRISM

We present an analysis of high-resolution spectra from the shock-heated plasmas in SN 1987A, based on an observation using the Resolve instrument onboard the X-Ray Imaging and Spectroscopy Mission (XRISM). The 1.7–10 keV Resolve spectra are accurately represented by a single-component, plane-parallel shock plasma model, with a temperature of $2.84_{-0.08}^{+0.09}$ keV and an ionization parameter of $2.64_{-0.45}^{+0.58}$ × $10^{11}\,\,{\rm s\,\, cm}^{-3}$. The Resolve spectra are also well reproduced by the 3D magneto-hydrodynamic simulation presented by Orlando et al. (2020, A&A, 636, A22) suggesting substantial contribution from the ejecta. The metal abundances obtained with Resolve align with the Large Magellanic Cloud value, indicating that the X-rays in 2024 originate from “non-metal-rich” shock-heated ejecta and the reverse shock has not reached the inner metal-rich region of ejecta. Doppler widths of the atomic lines from Si, S, and Fe correspond to velocities of 1500–1700 km s$^{-1}$, where the thermal broadening effects in this non-metal-rich plasma are negligible. Therefore, the line broadening seen in Resolve spectra is determined by the large bulk motion of ejecta. For reference, we determined a $90\%$ upper limit on non-thermal emission from a pulsar wind nebula at $4.3 \times 10^{-13}$ erg cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$ in the 2–10 keV range, aligning with NuSTAR findings by Greco et al. (2022, ApJ, 931, 132). Additionally, we searched for the $^{44}$Sc K line feature and found a $1\sigma$ upper limit of $1.0 \times 10^{-6}$ photons cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$, which translates to an initial $^{44}$Ti mass of approximately $2 \times 10^{-4}\, M_{\odot }$, consistent with previous X-ray to soft gamma-ray observations (Boggs et al. 2015, Science, 348, 670; Grebenev et al. 2012, Nature, 490, 373; Leising 2006, ApJ, 651, 1019).

ISM: supernova remnants↗

DOE OSTI2024

Conditional Experts for Improved Building Damage Assessment Across Satellite Imagery View Angles

Rapid building damage assessment (BDA) is vital in guiding disaster response missions and estimating population distribution across impacted areas. While commercial satellite imagery providers have enabled near-daily monitoring of the Earth, near-realtime assessment of disaster scenarios frequently requires analysis of off-nadir imagery, as satellites are often far from impacted areas for at-nadir post-event imaging to occur Such scenarios are, however, underrepresented in existing BDA datasets and methodologies. With this motivation, we investigate generalization capabilities of current BDA practices across overhead view-angles and strategies for their improvement. Using a labeled dataset of images capturing conflict-related damages, we first train a baseline BDA architecture using imbalanced and balanced datasets with respect to view-angle. Then, we explore conditional convolutions parameterized on image features, image nadir, and their combination as a mechanism for conditioning on view-angles. Experiments demonstrate the limitations of current practice and the potential of conditional mechanisms to increase model robustness to view-angle variations.

Ambrozio Dias, Philipe↗

DOE OSTI2022

Essential Function Analysis Capability

The Essential Function Analysis Capability (EFAC) is an extension of the All Hazards Knowledge Framework (AHA) and is a dynamic analytical framework that enables critical infrastructure knowledge discovery and decision support across the five mission areas – prevention, protection, mitigation, response and recovery. EFAC provides the ability to store and model infrastructure systems as a linked multigraphs providing an intuitive and natural representation. These infrastructure systems can then be tied to the organizational and essential function breakdown of an entity. This capability provides the foundation to rapidly evaluate and understand the potential consequences of manmade and natural disaster on these infrastructure systems and essential functions.

Hoover, MichaelJ.↗

DOE OSTI2021

GDSA PFLOTRAN Development (FY2021)

The Spent Fuel & Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is to develop a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes fiscal year (FY) 2021 advances of the PFLOTRAN Development group of the SFWST Campaign. The mission of this group is to develop a geologic disposal system modeling capability for nuclear waste that can be used to probabilistically assess the performance of generic disposal concepts. In FY 2021, development proceeded along three main thrusts: software infrastructure, code performance, and process model advancement. Software infrastructure improvements included implementing an Agile software development framework and making improvements to the QA Test Suite. Code performance improvements included development of advanced linear and nonlinear solvers as well as design of flexible smoothing algorithms for capillary pressure functions. Process modeling advancements included the addition of flexible thermal conductivity function definitions and refinement of multi-continuum reactive transport to support Sandia’s participation in DECOVALEX

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2022

PFLOTRAN Development FY2022

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

Rays for Roots - Integrating Backscatter X-Ray Phenotyping, Modeling and Genetics to Increase Carbon Sequestration and Switchgrass Resource Use (Final Report)

To increase carbon (C) deposition in the soil and enhance crop resource use efficiency, characterizing root form and function is essential. Several root and soil traits have been linked to increased root-to-soil C transfer. Technology that could provide high-resolution characterization of many of these traits in field conditions would revolutionize our ability to study and understand how to increase C sequestration. In this effort, we developed an initial early prototype backscatter X-ray system for non-destructive imaging of root traits. We collected initial backscatter X-ray data in field and lab settings and carried out early analysis of these data. Along with this prototype, we also developed a suite of root phenotyping approaches including advanced minirhizotron image analysis, soil core imaging, and mesocosm imaging. Minirhizotron (MR) tubes are clear tubes inserted into the soil in the field and used to image roots and the surrounding soil. Our team has developed deep learning-based methods that can segment roots from soil that can learn from imprecise image-level labels. The ability to learn or fine-tune our deep learning algorithms from image-level labels allows easier and faster application of these approaches to new locations and new plant species. We have successfully implemented and applied our MR analysis approaches to thousands of switchgrass MR images collected across geographical regions. An advantage of MR imaging is the ability to collect root and soil images over time. Our soil core analysis included collecting hundreds of soil core samples from harvested switchgrass fields and imaging these cores with both X-ray CT and backscatter X-ray imaging. Initial segmentation approaches for the X-ray CT images of these cores have been developed and applied. An advantage of soil core analysis is that it preserves the three-dimensional structures of the roots and soil in the core collected. Our group also developed photogrammetry-based mesocosm root imaging and phenotyping approaches. In this approach, a plant was grown in a large mesocosm with a three-dimensional grid of thin supporting lines inserted throughout the mesocosm. After the plant (and, correspondingly, the root architecture is grown and established) the soil media was removed and the supporting lines approximately preserved the three-dimensional root architecture. Then, we applied photogrammetry techniques to create a three-dimensional digital representation of the root architecture for which we developed analysis algorithms including skeletonization. We carried out our phenotyping development with powerful switchgrass resources and physiological and agroecosystem modeling to deliver novel technology. This project contributes to multiple ARPA-E missions including reduction of foreign imports of energy, reduction of energy-related emissions including greenhouse gases, and ensuring that the United States maintains a technological lead in developing and deploying advanced energy technology. Furthermore, the developed tools could transform public and private plant breeding and could be broadly applicable to other crops and, potentially, other application areas. Our team of engineers, plant and soil scientists, and modelers i) developed an early prototype backscatter X-ray platform that can operate in field conditions; ii) developed a suite of root phenotyping and characterization approaches as described above; iii) developed and carried out plant biology and physiology roots studies and; iv) developed and implemented mechanistic physiological modeling.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

PFLOTRAN Development FY2021

The Spent Fuel & Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is to develop a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for valuating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes fiscal year (FY) 2021 advances of the PFLOTRAN Development group of the SFWST Campaign. The mission of this group is to develop a geologic disposal system modeling capability for nuclear waste that can be used to probabilistically assess the performance of generic disposal concepts. In FY 2021, development proceeded along three main thrusts: software infrastructure, code performance, and process model advancement. Software infrastructure improvements included implementing an Agile software development framework and making improvements to the QA Test Suite. Code performance improvements included development of advanced linear and nonlinear solvers as well as design of flexible smoothing algorithms for capillary pressure functions. Process modeling advancements included the addition of flexible thermal conductivity function definitions and refinement of multi-continuum reactive transport to support Sandia’s participation in DECOVALEX. This report fulfills the GDSA PFLOTRAN Development Work Package Level 3 Milestone – PFLOTRAN Development, FY2021, M3SF-21SN010304072.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

Deployable Wind-Hybrid Power Systems for Defense and Disaster Response Applications

This report presents an analysis of the performance of deployable energy systems comprised of wind energy systems integrated with diesel generators, photovoltaic systems, and battery storage to meet the load requirements of a representative U.S. Army forward operating base. The analysis is conducted using HOMER, a microgrid analysis software that can search through a wide range of parameters to design and optimize microgrid power systems. The search parameters include the system architecture, the wind and solar resources, and the availability of diesel fuel. The results of the analysis measure the relative performance of the different systems and environments in terms of the overall transportation cost to deploy the system and the ability to provide resilience in terms of meeting mission critical loads.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2021

Visible-light Phase Curves from the Second Year of the TESS Primary Mission

We carried out a systematic study of full-orbit phase curves for known transiting systems in the northern ecliptic sky that were observed during Year 2 of the TESS primary mission. We applied the same methodology for target selection, data processing, and light-curve fitting as we did in our Year 1 study. Out of the 15 transiting systems selected for analysis, seven—HAT-P-7, KELT-1, KELT-9, KELT-16, KELT-20, Kepler-13A, and WASP-12—show statistically significant secondary eclipses and day–night atmospheric brightness modulations. Small eastward dayside hot-spot offsets were measured for KELT-9b and WASP-12b. KELT-1, Kepler-13A, and WASP-12 show additional phase-curve variability attributed to the tidal distortion of the host star; the amplitudes of these signals are consistent with theoretical predictions. We combined occultation measurements from TESS and Spitzer to compute dayside brightness temperatures, TESS-band geometric albedos, Bond albedos, and phase integrals for several systems. The new albedo values solidify the previously reported trend between dayside temperature and geometric albedo for planets with 1500 K < T {sub day} < 3000 K. For Kepler-13Ab, we carried out an atmospheric retrieval of the full secondary eclipse spectrum, which revealed a noninverted temperature–pressure profile, significant H{sub 2}O and K absorption in the near-infrared, evidence for strong optical atmospheric opacity due to sodium, and a confirmation of the high geometric albedo inferred from our simpler analysis. We explore the implications of the phase integrals (ratios of Bond to geometric albedos) for understanding exoplanet clouds. We also report updated transit ephemerides for all of the systems studied in this work.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2020

The potential role of organics in new particle formation and initial growth in the remote tropical upper troposphere

Abstract. Global observations and model studies indicate that new particle formation (NPF) in the upper troposphere (UT) and subsequent particles supply 40 %–60 % of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) in the lower troposphere, thus affecting the Earth's radiative budget. There are several plausible nucleation mechanisms and precursor species in this atmospheric region, which, in the absence of observational constraints, lead to uncertainties in modeled aerosols. In particular, the type of nucleation mechanism and concentrations of nucleation precursors, in part, determine the spatial distribution of new particles and resulting spatial distribution of CCN from this source. Although substantial advances in understanding NPF have been made in recent years, NPF processes in the UT in pristine marine regions are still poorly understood and are inadequately represented in global models. Here, we evaluate commonly used and state-of-the-art NPF schemes in a Lagrangian box model to assess which schemes and precursor concentrations best reproduce detailed in situ observations. Using measurements of aerosol size distributions (0.003 < Dp < 4.8 µm) in the remote marine troposphere between ∼0.18 and 13 km altitude obtained during the NASA Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) mission, we show that high concentrations of newly formed particles in the tropical UT over both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans are associated with outflow regions of deep convective clouds. We focus analysis on observations over the remote Pacific Ocean, which is a region less perturbed by continental emissions than the Atlantic. Comparing aerosol size distribution measurements over the remote Pacific with box model simulations for 32 cases shows that none of the NPF schemes most commonly used in global models, including binary nucleation of sulfuric acid and water (neutral and ion-assisted) and ternary involving sulfuric acid, water, and ammonia, are consistent with observations, regardless of precursor concentrations. Through sensitivity studies, we find that the nucleation scheme among those tested that is able to explain most consistently (21 of 32 cases) the observed size distributions is that of Riccobono et al. (2014), which involves both organic species and sulfuric acid. The method of Dunne et al. (2016), involving charged sulfuric acid–water–ammonia nucleation, when coupled with organic growth of the nucleated particles, was most consistent with the observations for 5 of 32 cases. Similarly, the neutral sulfuric acid–water–ammonia method of Napari (2002), when scaled with a tuning factor and with organic growth added, was most consistent for 6 of 32 cases. We find that to best reproduce both nucleation and growth rates, the mixing ratios of gas-phase organic precursors generally need to be at least twice that of SO2, a proxy for dimethyl sulfide (DMS). Unfortunately, we have no information on the nature of oxidized organic species that participated in NPF in this region. Global models rarely include organic-driven nucleation and growth pathways in UT conditions where globally significant NPF takes place, which may result in poor estimates of NPF and CCN abundance and contribute to uncertainties in aerosol–cloud–radiation effects. Furthermore, our results indicate that the organic aerosol precursor vapors may be important in the tropical UT above marine regions, a finding that should guide future observational efforts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗