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At least 199 records · Page 11

Structure and Energetics of Medium-scale Atmospheric Waves in the Southern Hemisphere Summer

The NMC analyses were used to study medium-scale waves during three Southern Hemisphere (SH) summers. The SH summer medium-scale waves are observed to exhibit remarkably regular eastward phase progression, and wave maxima can often be traced continuously around the globe. Frequent downstream development of existing wave patterns is observed. The medium-scale waves at times appear to be longitudinally localized features; at other times they resemble truly global-scale models. The time-mean wave structure is found to be consistent with basic-state propagation characteristics and the conservation of wave activity. There is a tendency for background wind structure to restrict wave propagation. From energetics studies it is found that wave-zonal-mean exchange is a valid concept for describing the SH summer circulation, and that the flow vacillated between periods of highly perturbed and zonally symmetric states. The medium-scale waves result from nonlinear baroclinic instabilities, and exhibit a well-defined life cycle of baroclinic growth, maturity, and barotropic decay.

Randel, W. J.↗

Functional and performance requirements of the next NOAA-Kasas City computer system

The development of the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System for the 1990's (AWIPS-90) will result in more timely and accurate forecasts with improved cost effectiveness. As part of the AWIPS-90 initiative, the National Meteorological Center (NMC), the National Severe Storms Forecast Center (NSSFC), and the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are to receive upgrades of interactive processing systems. This National Center Upgrade program will support the specialized inter-center communications, data acquisition, and processing needs of these centers. The missions, current capabilities and general functional requirements for the upgrade to the NSSFC are addressed. System capabilities are discussed along with the requirements for the upgraded system.

Mosher, F. R.↗

Forecast Impact Simulation Studies

A series of simulation experiments is being conducted as a cooperative effort between the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the National Meteorological Center (NMC) and the Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA), to provide a quantitative assessment of the potential impact of proposed observing systems on large scale numerical weather prediction. For these studies an advanced analysis/forecast simulation system was developed which provides for a more realistic assessment of the impact of proposed observing systems than was possible in earlier studies. This system consists of four elements: (1) An atmospheric model integration to provide a complete record of the true state of the atmosphere (called nature); (2) a conventional data assimilation cycle that is used as the control experiment; (3) a satellite data assimilation that differs from the control in also including fabricated satellite data incorporated in the forecast-analysis cycle; and (4) forecasts produced from both control and satellite initial conditions. Comparison of these forecasts with nature provides an assessment of the impact of satellite data.

Atlas, R.↗

Comparison of Optimum Interpolation and Cressman Analyses

The development of a state of the art optimum interpolation (O/I) objective analysis procedure for use in numerical weather prediction studies was investigated. A three dimensional multivariate O/I analysis scheme was developed. Some characteristics of the GLAS O/I compared with those of the NMC and ECMWF systems are summarized. Some recent enhancements of the GLAS scheme include a univariate analysis of water vapor mixing ratio, a geographically dependent model prediction error correlation function and a multivariate oceanic surface analysis.

Baker, W. E.↗

Variability simulations with a steady, linearized primitive equations model

Solutions of the steady, primitive equations on a sphere, linearized about a zonally symmetric basic state are computed for the purpose of simulating monthly mean variability in the troposphere. The basic states are observed, winter monthly mean, zonal means of zontal and meridional velocities, temperatures and surface pressures computed from the 15 year NMC time series. A least squares fit to a series of Legendre polynomials is used to compute the basic states between 20 H and the equator, and the hemispheres are assumed symmetric. The model is spectral in the zonal direction, and centered differences are employed in the meridional and vertical directions. Since the model is steady and linear, the solution is obtained by inversion of a block, pente-diagonal matrix. The model simulates the climatology of the GFDL nine level, spectral general circulation model quite closely, particularly in middle latitudes above the boundary layer. This experiment is an extension of that simulation to examine variability of the steady, linear solution.

Kinter, J. L., III↗

Discrimination of a major stratospheric warming event in February-March 1984 from earlier minor warmings

As part of its responsibility for stratospheric monitoring, the Climate Analysis Center derives time trends of various dynamic parameters from NMC stratospheric analyses. Selected figures from this stratospheric monitoring data base are published in Climate Diagnostics Bulletin in March and October, after each hemispheric winter. During the Northern Hemisphere winter of December 1983-February 1984 several warming events may be seen in the plot of 60 deg. N zonal mean temperatures for 10 mb. Minor warmings may be noted in early December, late December, mid January and early February. A major warming with the 60 deg. N zonal mean temperatures reaching -40C is observed in late February, associated with a circulation reversal. In all of the minor warming episodes, there is a polarward movement of the Aleutian anticyclone; however, at 10 mb the North Pole remains in the cyclonic circulation of the stratospheric vortex which is not displaced far from its usual position. In the case of the later February major warming, the 10 mb circulation pattern over the North Pole is anticyclonic, and the cyclonic circulation has moved to the south and east with a considerable elongation. Cross sections of heat transport and momentum transport are not dramatically different for the minor and major warming episodes.

Johnson, K. W.↗

Planetary wave-mean flow interaction in the stratosphere: A comparison between the Northern and Southern Hemispheres

Based on satellite-derived data supplied by the National Meteorological Center (NMC), the dynamical interaction between planetary waves and mean zonal winds in the stratosphere is investigated. Special attention is paid to the differences between the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and the Southern Hemisphere (SH). An analysis is made using Eliassen-Palm (E-P) flux diagnostics for the period from June 1981 to May 1982. In a climatological sense, different seasonal evolutions of large-scale motions between the NH and the SH in the stratosphere are demonstrated. Vertical cross-section analysis is presented to show the day-to-day variation in the mean zonal wind and wave activity, in particular, the following phenomena: (1) the poleward shifting of the westerly jet, and (2) episodes after the shifting of the westerly jet.

Shiotani, M.↗

Wave-mean flow interaction during the winter to summer transition in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere

The evolution of the flow and wave-mean flow interactions in the Southern Hemisphere during the period when the final stratospheric warming and the associated reversal of the flow in the upper stratosphere occurred is described. The spring is the most interesting season as far as the wave mean flow interaction in the Southern Hemisphere is concerned. The data for this study are NMC analysis of temperature and geopotential fields between 1000 and 0.45 mb for the period August 31 to November 10, 1979.

Yamazaki, K.↗

The effect of physical parameterizations and initial data on the numerical prediction of the President's Day cyclone

Results are presented from a series of forecast experiments which were conducted to assess the importance of large-scale dynamical processes, diabatic heating, and initial data to the prediction of the President's Day cyclone. The synoptic situation and NMC model forecasts for this case are summarized, and the analysis/forecast system and experiments are described. The GLAS Model forecast from the GLAS analysis at 0000 GMT 18 February is found to have correctly predicted intense coastal cyclogenesis and heavy precipitation. A forecast with surface heat and moisture fluxes eliminated failed to predict any cyclogenesis while a similar forecast with only the surface moisture flux excluded showed weak development. Diabatic heating resulting from oceanic fluxes significantly contributed to the generation of low-level cyclonic vorticity and the intensification and slow rate of movement of an upper level ridge over the western Atlantic.

Atlas, R.↗

A numerical investigation of the summer 1980 U.S. heat wave

The diagnostic framework being utilized by researchers at NASA-Goddard in a numerical analysis of the draught which occurred in the U.S. in 1980 described, along with preliminary results. Attention is focused on the wave structure at 500 mb and comparisons of this structure with NMC data from 1963-77 to define conditions during the initiation, maintenance and decay of a draught. Attempts are also being made to develop a simple index for the diagnosis of heat patterns using as input data from the 500 mb analysis. Early studies involving the examination of the effects of varying boundary conditions have revealed a positive contribution from the soil moisture fields and a negative contribution from the North Pacific sea surface temperature during the event. Studies are continuing to characterize phenomena during draught initiation and decay.

Wolfson, N.↗

The final warming and polar vortex disappearance during the Southern Hemisphere spring

Seven years (1979-1985) of NMC data are used to analyze Southern Hemisphere middle stratosphere winter-to-summer circulation transitions. These transitions are classified into two extreme categories: (1) a mid-October final warming accompanied by a major mid-October wave event (1979 and 1982), and (2) a mid-November final warming with no strong October wave event (1980 and 1981). After the final warming a wave event in late November-early December results in the disappearance of the polar vortex. All of these wave events in conjunction with zonal mean mass motions act to reduce zonal mean gradients of potential vorticity and ozone through horizontal mixing, and hence they act to destroy the vortex and fill the ozone hole. Additionally, it is noted that the final warming and the vortex breakdown are two distinct events separated by 15-40 days. Finally, past studies show that the time of these events has not radically changed.

Newman, Paul A.↗

A computation of the stratospheric diabatic circulation using an accurate radiative transfer model

The global diabatic circulation is computed for the months of January, April, July and October over the altitude region 100 to 0.1 mb using an accurate troposphere-stratosphere radiative transfer model, SBUV and SME ozone data, and NMC temperatures. There is high correlation between the level of wave activity and the local departure of the atmosphere from radiative equilibrium. An excess in the globally averaged net stratospheric heating from 40 to 50 km is computed for all months, and a deficit from 50 to 60 km is computed during solstice. A 20 percent uniform reduction in ozone from 40 to 50 km, or a temperature perturbation with an increase of 5 K at 1 mb, will bring the atmosphere into global radiative equilibrium without significant impact on the diabatic circulation. In the transitional months of April and October, the net heating in the fall hemispheres are very similar, while substantial differences exist between the spring hemispheres.

Rosenfield, Joan E.↗

A study of carbon monoxide distribution determinations for a global transport model

A system of programs which model the chemistry and transport of carbon monoxide and methane in the Earth's atmosphere on a global scale was installed onto the NASA-Langley central scientific computer network. This system, the GLOBAL system, consists of a user-friendly set of procedural files which allow for simplified pre-processing, execution, and post-processing for all program elements. The package includes procedures for obtaining the NMC meteorological data, calculating the vertical winds to satisfy mass conservation, determining the boundary layer, and executing the transport/chemical model for carbon monoxide. In addition, plotting, saving to tape, and reading from tape routines were developed. Final modifications to the subprograms for processing the input data for the transport/chemistry model have improved these data to more accurately reflect true atmospheric conditions. The transfer of the transport/chemistry model from the NCAR CRAY system to the NASA-Langley VPS-32 system was completed. The problems encountered during this process and their resolutions are discussed.

Peters, Leonard K.↗

October lower stratospheric Antarctic temperature and total ozone from 1979-1985

During October, from 1979 to 1985, Southern Hemisphere daily plots of TOMS total ozone and lower stratospheric temperature are shown to be strongly correlated. The same result is found for the monthly averages. Additionally, these data reveal strong wave events during the ozone hole period. October zonal means of TOMS total ozone and NMC temperature are well correlated from year to year, and both are decreasing. Finally, the mid-latitude temperature maximum is found to be radically cooler in 1985 than in either 1979 (a dynamically active year) or in 1980 (a dynamically quiescent year).

Newman, Paul A.↗

Application of TOMS data to weather analysis models

Recent studies of the errors of analysis reflected by numerical weather analysis models are reviewed. Despite the improvements in data coverage and data ingestion methods in the past decade, it is found that significant errors of analysis persist. A case study comparison of Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data and aircraft data with the NMC analysis over the North Atlantic is used to illustrate the size of local errors encountered. The possibility of using TOMS images to locate meteorologically significant features such as troughs and ridges near the tropopause is discussed.

Nastrom, Gregory D.↗

An analysis of tropopause pressure and total ozone correlations

A study of the relationship between total ozone and tropopause pressure was carried out using Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data and National Meteorological Center (NMC) global analyses. The medium scales generally show correlations greater than 0.6 throughout the middle latitudes of both hemispheres with some regions exceeding 0.8. The areas of highest correlations seem to be associated with the storm track regions of both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. A detailed spectral analysis is performed for the medium scales on five pairs of time series of area averaged tropopause pressure and total ozone. In middle latitudes, total ozone and tropopause pressure exhibit generally similar distributions in the power spectrum. In the subtropics and tropics the power in ozone drops off more rapidly with increasing frequency than the power in tropopause pressure. Only in the Northern Hemisphere middle latitudes does one find a clear association between increased power in ozone and tropopause pressure and maxima in the coherency spectrum. Results for large scales are more complicated, showing generally positive correlations at middle latitudes.

Schubert, Siegfried D.↗

Meteorological atlas of the Southern Hemisphere lower stratosphere for August and September 1987

Southern Hemisphere meteorological data for the months of August and September 1987 in the lower stratosphere are shown. National Meteorological Center (NMC) data, Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data, and Goddard Laboratory for Atmospheres (GLA) data are used to display polar stereographic projections of 200 to 100 mb vertical mean temperatures, 100 mb zonal mean geopotential height perturbations, total ozone, Ertel's potential vorticity (Epv), and 50 to 30 mb vertical mean temperatures. In addition, latitude height cross sections at 65 W of potential temperature, Epv, geostrophic isotachs, and temperature are also shown. Finally, a longitude height cross section at 65 S of temperature and geostrophic wind vectors is also shown.

Newman, P. A.↗