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Chaos in the Solar System

The physical basis of chaos in the solar system is now better understood: In all cases investigated so far, chaotic orbits result from overlapping resonances. Perhaps the clearest examples are found in the asteroid belt. Overlapping resonances account for its kirkwood gaps and were used to predict and find evidence for very narrow gaps in the outer belt. Further afield, about one new "short-peroid" comet is discovered each year. They are believed to come from the "Kuiper Belt" (at 40 AU or more) via chaotic orbits produced by mean-motion and secular resonances with Neptune. Finally, the planetary system itself is not immune from chaos. In the inner solar system, overlapping secular resonances have been identified as the possible source of chaos. For example, Mercury in 1012 years, may suffer a close encounter with Venus or plunge into the Sun. In the outer solar system, three-body resonances have been identified as a source of chaos, but on an even longer time scale of 109 times the age of the solar system. On the human time scale, the planets do follow their orbits in a stately procession, and we can predict their trajectories for hundreds of thousands of years. That is because the mavericks, with shorter instability times, have long since been ejected. The solar system is not stable; it is just old!

Lecar, Myron↗

Outer Planet Exploration with Advanced Radioisotope Electric Propulsion

In response to a request by the NASA Deep Space Exploration Technology Program, NASA Glenn Research Center conducted a study to identify advanced technology options to perform a Pluto/Kuiper mission without depending on a 2004 Jupiter Gravity Assist, but still arriving before 2020. A concept using a direct trajectory with small, sub-kilowatt ion thrusters and Stirling radioisotope power systems was shown to allow the same or smaller launch vehicle class as the chemical 2004 baseline and allow a launch slip and still flyby in the 2014 to 2020 timeframe. With this promising result the study was expanded to use a radioisotope power source for small electrically propelled orbiter spacecraft for outer planet targets such as Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto.

Oleson, Steven↗

Impact of Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) Induced Drag on High Ballistic Coefficient Aerocapture at Neptune

This paper presents analyses illustrating the benefits of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) drag force control for a capsule performing aerocapture at Neptune relative to the same capsule utilizing conventional aerodynamic-only control across a range of design and flight conditions. MHD technology utilizes an onboard mag-net to create a magnetic field that interacts with the ionized plasma surrounding the capsule at hypersonic velocities, thus creating an electron current and inducing a Lorentz force used to increase capsule drag. The study assumes a 4.57-meterMars Science Laboratory (MSL) 70-degree sphere-cone capsule aerodynamic shape arrives hyperbolically at Neptune and aerocaptures into a synchronous Tri-ton orbit (3986 km x 430,000 km orbit inclined 157 degrees) that offers repeated flyby opportunities. Hyperbolic arrival velocity and the capsule entry mass (i.e., ballistic coefficient) are varied over a wide range of values to study the impact of these variables on key flight performance and sizing parameters. Results show reduced heat rates, heat loads, and thermal protection system mass for MHD cases at all conditions, with the benefit of MHD relative to conventional aerodynamic-only options increasing as ballistic coefficient increases, suggesting the payoff for MHD is significantly better for high-mass entry system design concepts with high ballistic coefficients.

Entry Descent and Landing↗

Optimum solar electric interplanetary mission opportunities from 1975 to 1990

A collection of optimum trajectory and spacecraft data is presented for unmanned interplanetary missions from 1975 to 1990 using solar electric propulsion. Data are presented for one-way flyby and orbiter missions from Earth to Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto. The solar system model assumes planetary ephemerides which very closely approximate the true motion of the planets. Direct and indirect flight profiles are investigated. Data are presented for two representative flight times for each mission. The launch vehicle is the Titan 3 B (core)/Centaur, and a constant jet exhaust speed solar electric propulsion system having a specific mass of 30 kg/kw is completely optimized in terms of power level and jet exhaust speed to yield maximum net spacecraft mass. The hyperbolic excess speeds at departure and arrival and the launch date are optimized for each mission. For orbiter missions, a chemical retro stage is used to brake the spacecraft into a highly eccentric capture orbit about the target planet.

Mann, F. I.↗

Tidal evolution in the Neptune-Triton system

Triton, which is currently spiralling toward Neptune due to tides raised on both bodies, possesses an obliquity which may lie close to either a zero-deg 'state 1' or a 100-deg 'state 2' which correspond to the two stable Cassini extrema of its rotational Hamiltonian. The Kaula (1966) tidal formalism is presently used to model the past and future evolution of the system in both states. For nominal parameters in state 1, Triton will reach Neptune's Roche limit in about 3.6 Gyr with a decrease in orbital inclination to 145 deg from the current 159 deg; in the case of state 2, Triton's inclination will increase to 180 deg in 10-100 million years and then transition to state 1, subsequently reaching the Neptune Roche limit in about 1.4 Gyr.

Chyba, C. F.↗

TESS Spots a Hot Jupiter with an Inner Transiting Neptune

Hot Jupiters are rarely accompanied by other planets within a factor of a few in orbital distance. Previously, only two such systems have been found. Here, we report the discovery of a third system using data from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS). The host star, TOI-1130, is an eleventh magnitude K-dwarf in Gaia G-band. It has two transiting planets: a Neptune-sized planet (3.65±0.10 Rꚛ) with a 4.1 days period, and a hot Jupiter (-1.50(+0.22,-0.27) R(J)) with an 8.4 days period. Precise radial-velocity observations show that the mass of the hot Jupiter is -0.974(+0.044, 0.043) M(J). For the inner Neptune, the data provide only an upper limit on the mass of 0.17M(J)(3σ). Nevertheless, we are confident that the inner planet is real, based on follow-up ground-based photometry and adaptive-optics imaging that rule out other plausible sources of the TESS transit signal. The unusual planetary architecture of and the brightness of the host star make TOI-1130 a good test case for planet formation theories, and an attractive target for future spectroscopic observations.

Exoplanet astronomy↗

Performance Analysis of Magnetohydrodynamic Drag Modulation for Actively Controlled Aerocapture at Neptune

Missions to the Ice Giants are a top priority for flagship missions this coming decade. However, a fully propulsive orbital insertion into these planets requires an immense amount of fuel, taking a significant portion of the spacecraft mass and restricting the scientific payload. To mitigate this, aerocapture has been heavily investigated. Although simulations have shown that aerodynamically controlled aerocapture can successfully insert into an orbit around both Ice Giants, the deep atmospheric pass required necessitates a complex, mass expensive, and sometimes prohibitive thermal protection system. Magnetohydrodynamic drag modulation serves as a potential alternative control method for aerocapture which could not only save propellant mass compared to fully propulsive orbital insertion, but also save thermal protection system mass compared to conventional aerocapture methods. Both aerodynamically controlled and magnetohydrodynamically controlled aerocapture methodologies were simulated in NASA Langley’s high-fidelity six degree-of-freedom flight dynamics code, the Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories II. Each method was simulated to identical missions to Neptune using a numerical predictor-corrector algorithm to optimize the control towards the target orbit. The results concluded that magnetohydrodynamic drag modulation can successfully capture and performs on par with aerodynamic drag modulation while significantly reducing the heatflux and aeroshell complexity.

Danny N Nguyen↗

A dynamical history of the inner Neptunian satellites

The dynamical history of Neptune's satellite system is presently inferred on the basis of a Triton capture-origin scenario in which that moon's elongated postcapture orbit generated chaotic perturbations of the original satellites' eccentricities; this, in turn, led to mutual collisions among the inner satellites until a ring of debris was formed. Neptune's inner satellite system thereby reformed on equatorial orbits after the orbtal circularization of Triton. Attention is given to the 4.7-deg inclination of 1989N6, which may be due to a temporary inclination-resonance capture.

Banfield, Don↗

K2-138 g: Spitzer Spots a Sixth Planet for the Citizen Science System

K2 greatly extended Kepler's ability to find new planets, but it was typically limited to identifying transiting planets with orbital periods below 40 days. While analyzing K2 data through the Exoplanet Explorers project, citizen scientists helped discover one super-Earth and four sub-Neptune sized planets in the relatively bright (V = 12.21, K = 10.3) K2-138 system, all which orbit near 3:2 mean-motion resonances. The K2 light curve showed two additional transit events consistent with a sixth planet. Using Spitzer photometry, we validate the sixth planet's orbital period of 41.966 ± 0.006 days and measure a radius of 3.44 (+0.32,-.031)Rꚛ, solidifying K2-138 as the K2 system with the most currently known planets. There is a sizeable gap between the outer two planets, since the fifth planet in the system, K2-138 f, orbits at 12.76 days. We explore the possibility of additional nontransiting planets in the gap between f and g. Due to the relative brightness of the K2-138 host star, and the near resonance of the inner planets, K2-138 could be a key benchmark system for both radial velocity and transit-timing variation mass measurements, and indeed radial velocity masses for the inner four planets have already been obtained. With its five sub-Neptunes and one super-Earth, the K2-138 system provides a unique test bed for comparative atmospheric studies of warm to temperate planets of similar size, dynamical studies of near-resonant planets, and models of planet formation and migration.

Kevin K. Hardegree-Ullman↗

Neptune may have polar rings

Perturbations from Neptune's highly inclined satellite Triton can maintain rings passing nearly over Neptune's poles. These hypothetical polar rings are nearly perpendicular to Triton's orbit as well, and lie within several degrees of the plane of Voyager II's trajectory through the Neptunian system. Polar rings can coexist with equatorial rings at different radii. A randomly oriented torus of debris around Neptune has a probability of several percent to settle into a polar ring. Voyager II stands a significant chance of encountering a polar ring.

Dobrovolskis, Anthony R.↗

Applications of Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Systems for Deep Space Science Missions

Nuclear thermal propulsion (NTP) systems occupy a unique area in the space propulsion technology landscape due to their ability to combine moderate-to-high thrust systems normally seen in chemical propulsion systems with specific impulses that are closer to those observed in some electric propulsion systems. Consequently, NTP systems have the potential to greatly expand access to deep space and can enable a variety of missions that achieve the science goals outlined in NASA’s decadal surveys. This paper leverages previous analysis performed to show the applicability of NTP systems for notional science missions, expanding the analyzed portfolio to encompass additional science mission profiles and demonstrating how the use of NTP affects various mission parameters, such as trip time and delivered mass. This paper also outlines efforts to improve the fidelity of the existing NTP design concepts and vehicles that are utilized by leveraging previous work on nuclear propulsion systems for human-Mars missions. The fidelity of the analysis in this work is improved over previous studies, permitting commensurate improvements in the analyses of previous mission concept studies –the Triton lander, the solar polar orbiter, and the interstellar medium probe missions.

Nuclear thermal propulsion↗

GJ 3929: High-precision Photometric and Doppler Characterization of an Exo-Venus and Its Hot, Mini-Neptune-mass Companion

We detail the follow-up and characterization of a transiting exo-Venus identified by TESS, GJ 3929b (TOI-2013b), and its nontransiting companion planet, GJ 3929c (TOI-2013c). GJ 3929b is an Earth-sized exoplanet in its star’s Venus zone ( P b = 2.616272 ± 0.000005 days; S b = 17.3 +0.8 -0.7 S ⊕ ) orbiting a nearby M dwarf. GJ 3929c is most likely a nontransiting sub-Neptune. Using the new, ultraprecise NEID spectrometer on the WIYN 3.5 m Telescope at Kitt Peak National Observatory, we are able to modify the mass constraints of planet b reported in previous works and consequently improve the significance of the mass measurement to almost 4σ confidence ( M b = 1.75 ± 0.45 M ⊕ ). We further adjust the orbital period of planet c from its alias at 14.30 ± 0.03 days to the likely true period of 15.04 ± 0.03 days, and we adjust its minimum mass to m sin i = 5.71 ± 0.92 M ⊕ . Using the diffuser-assisted ARCTIC imager on the ARC 3.5 m telescope at Apache Point Observatory, in addition to publicly available TESS and LCOGT photometry, we are able to constrain the radius of planet b to R p = 1.09 ± 0.04 R ⊕ . GJ 3929b is a top candidate for transmission spectroscopy in its size regime (TSM = 14 ± 4), and future atmospheric studies of GJ 3929b stand to shed light on the nature of small planets orbiting M dwarfs.

Exoplanets↗

An explanation for Neptune's ring arcs

The Voyager mission revealed a complex system of rings and ring arcs around Neptune and uncovered six new satellites, four of which occupy orbits well inside the ring region. Analysis of Voyager data shows that a radial distortion with an amplitude of approximately 30 kilometers is traveling through the ring arcs, a perturbation attributable to the nearby satellite Galatea. Moreover, the arcs appear to be azimuthally confined by a resonant interaction with the same satellite, yielding a maximum spread in ring particle semimajor axes of 0.6 kilometer and a spread in forced eccentricities large enough to explain the arc's 15-kilometer radial widths. Additional ring arcs discovered in the course of this study give further support to this model.

Porco, Carolyn C.↗

Triton - Voyager's finale

The investigation of the Neptunian satellite Triton by the Voyager 2 is described with interpretations of the object's nature and composition. The orbit, seasonal cycle, and southern-hemisphere solstice are described, and the composition of the satellite is discussed. Triton's mass and radius are known, and the objects is made up of about 70 percent rock and organics and 30 percent ice by mass. Triton's interior is warm and geologically active considering its distance from the sun, and large amounts of frozen methane and nitrogen are theorized to contribute to the object's high reflectivity. Also noted in the Voyager color images are creeping ice, cryogenic lava, and dark streaks on the south polar cap from nitrogen gas leaks driven by a type of greenhouse effect. Triton represents a class of satellite that has not been observed previously: a moon-sized body in a retrograde inclined orbit from the class of objects that coalesced to form Neptune.

Brown, R. H.↗

Trajectory and System Analysis For Outer-Planet Solar-Electric Propulsion Missions

Outer-planet mission and systems analyses are performed using three next generation solar-electric ion thruster models. The impact of variations in thruster model, flight time, launch vehicle, propulsion and power systems characteristics is investigated. All presented trajectories have a single Venus gravity assist and maximize the delivered mass to Saturn or Neptune. The effect of revolution ratio - the ratio of Venusian orbital period to the flight time between launch and flyby dates - is also discussed.

Cupples, Michael↗

Bounds on dark matter in solar orbit

The possibility is considered that a spherical distribution of dark matter (DM), matter not visible with current instruments, is trapped in the sun's gravitational field. Bounds are placed from the motion of Uranus and Neptune, on the amount of DM that could be so trapped within the radius of those planets' orbits, as follows: from the Voyager 2, Uranus-flyby data new, more accurate ephemeris values are generated. Trapped DM mass is bounded by noting that such a distribution would increase the effective mass of the sun as seen by the outer planets and by using the new ephemeris values to bound such an increase.

Anderson, John D.↗

TPS to Enable a Uranus Orbiter Probe

Recent mission studies point to delivery of the probe either at Uranus or at Neptune will require 3-D Woven TPS, either the two layer HEEET or the single layer 3MDCP. Recent studies point to 3MDCP being more mass efficient. The 3MDCP capability being developed to support MSR EES is sufficient if the probe size is 1.25 m or less. If the prove diameter is larger than 1.25 m, a possibility then Dual layer HEEET which is scalable is at TRL 6 is certified and ready. It is possible to develop a seam approach that would allow 3MDCP and the mass savings could warrant development of a seam capability. Depending on the outcome of the planned Flagship mission study that Ames plans to support, Ames is already working on a concept that can be developed and demonstrated in the coming years. If in case Aerocapture is demonstrated through a Earth Flight Test and becomes part of the mission design for Uranus, this makes delivery of the probes from orbit easier. Whether the probe is to delivered from Orbit or not, still 3-D Woven (HEEET or 3MDCP) is the only TPS qualified to enable the Ice Giant in situ probes.

Matthew J Gasch↗

The Cosmic Shoreline

Volatile escape is the classic existential problem of planetary atmospheres. The problem has gained new currency now that we can study the cumulative effects of escape from extrasolar planets. Escape itself is likely to be a rapid process, relatively unlikely to be caught in the act, but the cumulative effects of escape in particular, the distinction between planets with and without atmospheres should show up in the statistics of the new planets. The new planets make a moving target. It can be difficult to keep up, and every day the paper boy brings more. Of course most of these will be giant planets loosely resembling Saturn or Neptune albeit hotter and nearer their stars, as big hot fast-orbiting exoplanets are the least exceedingly difficult to discover. But they are still planets, all in all, and although twenty years ago experts could prove on general principles that they did not exist, we have come round rather quickly, and they should be welcome now at LPSC. Here we will discuss the empirical division between planets with and without atmospheres. For most exoplanets the question of whether a planet has or has not an atmosphere is a fuzzy inference based on the planet's bulk density. A probably safe presumption is that a low density planet is one with abundant volatiles, in the general mold of Saturn or Neptune. On the other hand a high density low mass planet could be volatile-poor, in the general mold of Earth or Mercury. We will focus on planets, mostly seen in transit, for which both radius and mass are measured, as these are the planets with measured densities. More could be said: a lot of subtle recent work has been devoted to determining the composition of planets from equations of state or directly observing atmospheres in transit, but we will not go there. What interests us here is that, from the first, the transiting extrasolar planets appear to have fit into a pattern already seen in our own Solar System, as shown in Fig. 1. We first noticed this in 2004 when there were just two transiting exoplanets to consider. The trend was well-defined by late 2007. Figure 1 shows how matters stood in Dec 2012 with approx.240 exoplanets. The figure shows that the boundary between planets with and without active volatiles - the cosmic shoreline, as it were - is both well-defined and follows a power law.

Zahnle, Kevin J.↗