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At least 199 records · Page 11

Electricity Bill Savings from Residential Photovoltaic Systems: Sensitivities to Changes in Future Electricity Market Conditions

Customer-sited photovoltaic (PV) systems in the United States are often compensated at the customer’s underlying retail electricity rate through net metering. Calculations of the customer economics of PV, meanwhile, often assume that retail rate structures and PV compensation mechanisms will not change and that retail electricity prices will increase (or remain constant) over time, thereby also increasing (or keeping constant) the value of bill savings from PV. Given the multitude of potential changes to retail rates and PV compensation mechanisms in the future, however, understanding how such changes might impact the value of bill savings from PV is critical for policymakers, regulators, utilities, the solar industry, and potential PV owners, i.e., any stakeholder interested in understanding uncertainties in and potential changes to the long-term customer economics of PV. This scoping study investigates the impact of, and interactions among, three key sources of uncertainty in the future value of bill savings from customer-sited PV, focusing in particular on residential customers. These three sources of uncertainty are: changes to electricity market conditions that would affect retail electricity prices, changes to the types of retail rate structures available to residential customers with PV, and shifts away from standard net-metering toward other compensation mechanisms for residential PV.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Energy Impacts of Envelope Tightening and Mechanical Ventilation for the U.S. Residential Sector

Effective residential envelope air sealing reduces infiltration and associated energy costs for thermal conditioning, yet often creates a need for mechanical ventilation to protect indoor air quality. This study estimated the potential energy savings of implementing airtightness improvements or absolute standards along with mechanical ventilation throughout the U.S. housing stock. We used a physics-based modeling framework to simulate the impact of envelope tightening, providing mechanical ventilation as needed. There are 113 million homes in the US. We calculated the change in energy demand for each home in a nationally representative sample of 50,000 virtual homes developed from the 2009 Residential Energy Consumption Survey. Ventilation was provided as required by 2010 and proposed 2013 versions of ASHRAE Standard 62.2. Ensuring that all current homes comply with 62.2-2010 would increase residential site energy demand by 0.07 quads (0.07 exajoules (EJ)) annually. Improving airtightness of all homes at current average retrofit performance levels would decrease demand by 0.7 quads (0.74 EJ) annually and upgrading all homes to be as airtight as the top 10% of similar homes would double the savings, leading to roughly $22 billion in annual savings in energy bills. We also analyzed the potential benefits of bringing the entire stock to airtightness specifications of IECC 2012, Canada's R2000, and Passive House standards.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

U.S. Residential Miscellaneous Refrigeration Products: Results from Amazon Mechanical Turk Surveys

Amazon Mechanical Turk was used, for the first time, to collect statistically representative survey data from U.S. households on the presence, number, type and usage of refrigerators, freezers, and various “miscellaneous” refrigeration products (wine/beverage coolers, residential icemakers and non-vapor compression refrigerators and freezers), along with household and demographic information. Such products have been poorly studied to date, with almost no information available about shipments, stocks, capacities, energy use, etc. A total of 9,820 clean survey responses were obtained from four distinct surveys deployed in 2012. General refrigeration product survey responses were weighted to demographics in the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s Residential Energy Consumption Survey 2009 dataset. Miscellaneous refrigeration product survey responses were weighted according to demographics of product ownership found in the general refrigeration product surveys. Model number matching for a portion of miscellaneous refrigeration product responses allowed validation of refrigeration product characteristics, which enabled more accurate estimates of the penetrations of these products in U.S. households. We estimated that there were 12.3±1.0 million wine/beverage coolers, 5.5(–3.5,+3.2) million residential icemakers and 2.9(–2.5,+4.5) million non-vapor compression refrigerators in U.S. households in 2012. (All numerical results are expressed with ranges indicating the 95% confidence interval.) No evidence was found for the existence of non-vapor compression freezers. Moreover, we found that 15% of wine/beverage coolers used vapor compression cooling technology, while 85% used thermoelectric cooling technology, with the vast majority of thermoelectric units having capacities of less than 30 wine bottles (approximately 3.5 cubic feet). No evidence was found for the existence of wine/beverage coolers with absorption cooling technology. Additionally, we estimated that there were 3.6±1.0 million hybrid refrigerator-wine/beverage coolers and 0.9±0.5 million hybrid freezer-wine/beverage coolers in U.S. households. We also obtained estimates of miscellaneous refrigeration product capacities, lifetimes, purchase and installation costs, repair frequencies and costs, and maintenance costs. For wine/beverage coolers, we also obtained information on the penetration of built-in units, AC/DC operating capability, the use of internal lights, and distributions of door opening frequencies. This information is essential to develop detailed estimates of national energy usage and life-cycle costs, and would be helpful in obtaining information on other plug-load appliances. Additional information not highlighted in the main report was presented in Appendices.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The Impact of City-level Permitting Processes on Residential Photovoltaic Installation Prices and Development Times: An Empirical Analysis of Solar Systems in California Cities

Business process or “soft” costs account for well over 50% of the installed price of residential photovoltaic (PV) systems in the United States, so understanding these costs is crucial for identifying PV cost-reduction opportunities. Among these costs are those imposed by city-level permitting processes, which may add both expense and time to the PV development process. Building on previous research, this study evaluates the effect of city-level permitting processes on the installed price of residential PV systems and on the time required to develop and install those systems. The study uses a unique dataset from the U.S. Department of Energy’s Rooftop Solar Challenge Program, which includes city-level permitting process “scores,” plus data from the California Solar Initiative and the U.S. Census. Econometric methods are used to quantify the price and development-time effects of city-level permitting processes on more than 3,000 PV installations across 44 California cities in 2011. Results indicate that city-level permitting processes have a substantial and statistically significant effect on average installation prices and project development times. The results suggest that cities with the most favorable (i.e., highest-scoring) permitting practices can reduce average residential PV prices by $0.27–$0.77/W (4%–12% of median PV prices in California) compared with cities with the most onerous (i.e., lowest-scoring) permitting practices, depending on the regression model used. Though the empirical models for development times are less robust, results suggest that the most streamlined permitting practices may shorten development times by around 24 days on average (25% of the median development time). These findings illustrate the potential price and development-time benefits of streamlining local permitting procedures for PV systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An Analysis of Representative Heating Load Lines for Residential HSPF Ratings

This report describes an analysis to investigate representative heating loads for single-family detached homes using current EnergyPlus simulations (DOE 2014a). Hourly delivered load results are used to determine binned load lines using US Department of Energy (DOE) residential prototype building models (DOE 2014b) developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). The selected residential single-family prototype buildings are based on the 2006 International Energy Conservation Code (IECC 2006) in the DOE climate regions. The resulting load lines are compared with the American National Standards Institute (ANSI)/Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI) Standard 210/240 (AHRI 2008) minimum and maximum design heating requirement (DHR) load lines of the heating seasonal performance factor (HSPF) ratings procedure for each region. The results indicate that a heating load line closer to the maximum DHR load line, and with a lower zero load ambient temperature, is more representative of heating loads predicted for EnergyPlus prototype residential buildings than the minimum DHR load line presently used to determine HSPF ratings. An alternative heating load line equation was developed and compared to binned load lines obtained from the EnergyPlus simulation results. The effect on HSPF of the alternative heating load line was evaluated for single-speed and two-capacity heat pumps, and an average HSPF reduction of 16% was found. The alternative heating load line relationship is tied to the rated cooling capacity of the heat pump based on EnergyPlus autosizing, which is more representative of the house load characteristics than the rated heating capacity. The alternative heating load line equation was found to be independent of climate for the six DOE climate regions investigated, provided an adjustable zero load ambient temperature is used. For Region IV, the default DOE climate region used for HSPF ratings, the higher load line results in an ~28% increase in delivered heating load and an ~52% increase in the estimated heating operating cost over that given in the AHRI directory (AHRI 2014).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Keys to the House: Unlocking Residential Savings With Program Models for Home Energy Upgrades

After more than 40 years of effort, energy efficiency program administrators and associated contractors still find it challenging to penetrate the home retrofit market, especially at levels commensurate with state and federal goals for energy savings and emissions reductions. Residential retrofit programs further have not coalesced around a reliably successful model. They still vary in design, implementation and performance, and they remain among the more difficult and costly options for acquiring savings in the residential sector. If programs are to contribute fully to meeting resource and policy objectives, administrators need to understand what program elements are key to acquiring residential savings as cost effectively as possible. To that end, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored a comprehensive review and analysis of home energy upgrade programs with proven track records, focusing on those with robustly verified savings and constituting good examples for replication. The study team reviewed evaluations for the period 2010 to 2014 for 134 programs that are funded by customers of investor-owned utilities. All are programs that promote multi-measure retrofits or major system upgrades. We paid particular attention to useful design and implementation features, costs, and savings for nearly 30 programs with rigorous evaluations of performance. This meta-analysis describes program models and implementation strategies for (1) direct install retrofits; (2) heating, ventilating and air-conditioning (HVAC) replacement and early retirement; and (3) comprehensive, whole-home retrofits. We analyze costs and impacts of these program models, in terms of both energy savings and emissions avoided. These program models can be useful guides as states consider expanding their strategies for acquiring energy savings as a resource and for emissions reductions. We also discuss the challenges of using evaluations to create program models that can be confidently applied in multiple jurisdictions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Residential Electricity Prices: A Review of Data Sources and Estimation Methods

This paper presents an empirical study of residential electricity prices based on a compilation of tariff data collected for Lawrence Berkeley Lab's Tariff Analysis Project (TAP). We also review other data sources commonly used to estimate residential sector electricity prices, including utility data published by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the Typical Bills reports published by the Edison Electric Institute, and household-level electricity consumption and expenditure data included with the EIA's Residential Energy Consumption Surveys. We define three different types of price that can be estimated from the data, construct estimation methods, compare the results and evaluate the relative strengths and weaknesses of each approach. We examine several sources of variation including seasonal, regional, industry structure, and the magnitude of baseline household consumption. The tariff data are also used to explore the impact of moving households from standard tariffs to time-of-use pricing, and to summarize how this affects predictions of electricity bill savings for both demand reduction and demand shifting. (auth)

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Load Flexibility Analysis of Residential HVAC and Water Heating and Commercial Refrigeration

The emergence of connected devices and the Internet of Things has opened the door to the concept of widespread use of building equipment for load-side flexibility. This stems from the increased use of distributed and clean energy resources for electric generation and the growing demand for a more resilient and reliable grid. A significant challenge associated with the use of building equipment as a distributed energy resource is quantifying the magnitude of power or energy flexibility. Unlike batteries that have well-defined and relatively constant capacity and maximum charge/discharge rates, building equipment often has characteristics that vary based on external factors (e.g., weather or occupant behavior). This makes quantifying the availability and flexibility of these resources difficult. Controlling a fleet of equipment while minimizing any adverse impacts to the occupants (e.g., discomfort or food spoilage) is a nontrivial matter. Although there are many different control methodologies available, this study focuses on two: priority-based control (PBC) and model-predictive control (MPC). These were selected because they represent two ends of the control spectrum. PBC is a relatively simple control strategy that requires only the current state of the devices to be controlled and an estimate of how much power each device consumes when turned on. MPC is much more complex and requires a model of the system and forecasts of any disturbances that influence the system. Because MPC has a predictive element, it can prepare for a desired response before the event and therefore is expected to provide a more optimal control relative to PBC. Both MPC and PBC are compared with a baseline simulation that uses feedback control typical of the thermostatically controlled devices being evaluated. This report investigates the load flexibility of three building systems: residential air conditioners, residential water heaters, and commercial refrigeration. Air heating and cooling and water heating account for 45% of residential electricity use, making them good candidates for providing load flexibility. Refrigeration in commercial buildings accounts for 16% of commercial building electricity use, making it another good candidate. Simplified models of each system were generated and validated based on measured data from actual equipment. These models were used to simulate the thermal and power response of the systems using PBC and MPC for a fleet of devices trying to achieve a variety of different responses, including hourly load shed, hourly load up, and daily peak demand reduction. Significant findings from each piece of equipment follow.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Income Trends among U.S. Residential Rooftop Solar Adopters [Slides]

Berkeley Lab tracks and analyzes solar-adopter demographic characteristics. A central element of this work is an annual report describing income trends of residential solar adopters over time and across geographies. The report is based on household-level income estimates for single-family residential solar adopters across the United States, and is intended to serve as a foundational reference document for policy-makers, industry stakeholders, and other researchers interested in demographic trends among residential solar adopters. The report is published with an accompanying interactive data visualization tool that allows users to further explore the underlying data. In addition to the annual report, Berkeley Lab also conducts targeted topical analyses on issues related to solar-adopter demographics and provides direct analytical support to organizations working to expand access to solar energy among low-to-moderate income households.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Measuring and Increasing Residential Energy Code Compliance in Texas (Final Techincal Report)

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Building Energy Codes Program launched a series of research studies in 2014 across several U.S. states to investigate typical energy efficiency practices in residential buildings and identify opportunities to reduce household utility bills. A primary goal of the study was to help document baseline practices in new single-family construction, target areas for improvement relative to the state energy code, and quantify related savings potential. This information was intended to assist states in measuring energy compliance with their codes and to identify areas of focus for future education and training initiatives. Following the original baseline studies, project teams in each state conducted a series of education, training and outreach activities aimed at improving compliance with the state residential energy code. A second baseline study was then implemented in each state with the objective of determining whether the investment in education, training and outreach programs had produced a significant and measurable change in statewide residential energy use. Through the program, DOE planned to establish a sufficient data set to represent baseline construction trends across states and detect significant changes in energy use resulting from education and training activities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Evaluation of Interior Cellular Shades in a Residential Building

Windows are major contributors to energy demand in residential homes because of their inferior thermal resistance compared with the opaque envelope and sometimes from unwanted solar heat gain. Window attachments can help to mitigate this demand by controlling the solar heat gains and enhancing the thermal resistance of the windows. In this study, the energy savings potential of cellular shades in residential homes is studied using experimental testing and energy simulations. The energy performance of the shading devices was experimentally tested during the heating season from December 2019 to May 2020 with a focus on cellular shades. Five shading devices—three single and two double cellular/cell-in-cell shades—were used to compare the performance with generic horizontal (venetian) blinds using two nearly identical sideby-side rooms in a residential building with their exterior window facing east. Another objective of the experimental testing was to evaluate any impact of the side-channel of the shading device on energy savings. To observe the impact of the side-channels on energy savings, from shades in two of the test cases, cellular shades with side-channels were used. From the experimental testing, daily energy savings in the range of 9% to 23% were observed by considering data from 6 p.m. until 6 a.m. of the next day.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Development and testing of residential micro-CHP powered by opposed piston engine (CRADA Final Report)

A micro–combined heat and power (mCHP) prototype powered by innovative opposed piston engine technology was developed to simultaneously provide electricity and heat to residential or light commercial buildings. The mCHP prototype targeted at residential applications includes an opposed-piston four-stroke (OP4S) engine, generator, rectifier, inverter, battery energy storage system, 52 gal water tank, and application accessories for hot water supply and space heating. The OP4S engine can use renewable or regular natural gas, as well as hydrogen, to generate mechanical power and waste heat in form of hot coolant and exhaust gas simultaneously. The waste heat is recovered and stored in the water tank and can be used as a regular hot water supply and/or for space heating application. The tests show that the mCHP prototype enabled power outputs in the range of 3.2 –7.4 kW with up to 26.4% of AC electricity efficiency and up to 93.1% of the overall mCHP efficiency under stoichiometric combustion modes λ=~1.0. The mCHP was also run under lean combustion mode conditions at λ=~1.3. The lean mode operation enables more than 30% improvement in electrical energy efficiency. The maximum AC efficiency of the lean combustion mode attained was 35.2%, with the engine efficiency is approaching 40%. The exceptional electrical efficiency breaks the typical upper boundary of 30% for ICE-based mCHP. The engine exhaust temperatures in the lean modes are substantially less than in the stoichiometric modes. Moreover, the lean cases achieve high overall mCHP efficiencies: the overall mCHP efficiencies are all greater than 93%. Considering the mCHP prototype can achieve low-cost, flexible matching of thermal and electrical loads through reducing the complexity of distribution and installation, and high efficiency the novel technology will promote mCHP acceptance in the US residential and light commercial markets.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Residential HVAC Fault Data Collection Plan – Refrigerant Undercharge and Overcharge Faults

Heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems can develop faults due to poor installation practices or gradual wear and tear, leading to decreased HVAC system’s efficiency, compromised thermal comfort, and shortened equipment lifespan (EERE, 2018). Automated fault detection and diagnosis (AFDD) technologies offer a solution by identifying energy-wasting HVAC faults, such as inadequate indoor airflow and incorrect refrigerant charge, and guiding technicians to enhance system efficiency. In the realm of residential HVAC, AFDD can be implemented through various fault detection and diagnosis capabilities, sensor configurations, and target applications. These technologies typically fall into three categories: smart diagnostic tools, original equipment manufacturer (OEM)-embedded tools, and add-on tools. Smart diagnostic tools employ temporarily installed sensors to directly measure HVAC system characteristics, while OEM-embedded tools utilize factory-installed sensors to identify faults or assess system performance. However, both these types of AFDD technologies are often only accessible for high-end HVAC equipment or require additional sensor installation by qualified technicians, resulting in high investment costs and limited applicability for low-income residential buildings. On the other hand, add-on tools rely solely on data from smart thermostats and meters to detect faults by continuously analyzing equipment runtime or energy usage. As smart thermostat and meter costs decrease and their prevalence increases, these tools can be readily deployed in low-income residential buildings. However, they possess limited capabilities as they rely solely on basic trend analysis. Enhancing such tools with advanced machine learning algorithms can significantly improve their effectiveness.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Decarbonization of Residential Building Energy Supply: Impact of Cogeneration System Performance on Energy, Environment, and Economics

Electrical and thermal loads of residential buildings present a unique opportunity for onsite power generation, and concomitant thermal energy generation, storage, and utilization, to decrease primary energy consumption and carbon dioxide intensity. This approach also improves resiliency and ability to address peak load burden effectively. Demand response programs and grid-interactive buildings are also essential to meet the energy needs of the 21st century while addressing climate impact. Given the significance of the scale of building energy consumption, this study investigates how cogeneration systems influence the primary energy consumption and carbon footprint in residential buildings. The impact of onsite power generation capacity, its electrical and thermal efficiency, and its cost, on total primary energy consumption, equivalent carbon dioxide emissions, operating expenditure, and, most importantly, thermal and electrical energy balance, is presented. The conditions at which a cogeneration approach loses its advantage as an energy efficient residential resource are identified as a function of electrical grid’s carbon footprint and primary energy efficiency. Compared to a heat pump heating system with a coefficient of performance (COP) of three, a 0.5 kW cogeneration system with 40% electrical efficiency is shown to lose its environmental benefit if the electrical grid’s carbon dioxide intensity falls below 0.4 kg CO 2 per kWh electricity.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Importance of Window Installation in Residential Building Envelopes Having Continuous External Insulation in Order to Realize Energy Efficiency

Residential buildings are one of the prime candidates in the United States for reducing energy consumption. Continuous exterior insulation (CEI) is being used increasingly often in residential buildings to improve energy efficiency. Windows constitute 15–40% of a building envelope and are the weakest component in energy performance. The installation of windows in walls with CEI has not been well evaluated. We identified four cases of installing windows in walls with CEI of 25–76 mm (1–3 in.) thickness and analyzed the energy loss between the window and wall interface (flanking loss), structural issues, air leakage, and moisture penetration. Thermal analysis showed that the insulation value (RSI) of the 305 mm (12 in.) perimeter wall surrounding a window decreased by 7.6–34.5% in the four cases when compared with the RSI of the wall without the window. A window installation method is proposed to address the issues likely to occur with installation methods currently being used in the field. An out-of-the-box installation system was also designed to achieve a better thermal performance, cost effectiveness, and structural performance in high-performance residential buildings.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Hygrothermal Performance of Bio-Based Materials in Residential Building Wall Envelope Systems

In the United States, building envelope systems contribute approximately 28% of building energy consumption, with walls being a primary factor. As the construction industry explores new approaches to lower the energy intensity needed to manufacture materials and, in turn, reduce energy consumption, bio-based materials are gaining attention as a promising alternative. While prior studies have demonstrated that bio-based materials can decrease material energy intensity, their long-term hygrothermal behavior within a whole residential wall system is not yet fully understood. This study aims to evaluate the potential of replacing Oriented Strand Board (OSB) and drywall in residential wall systems with bio-based alternatives. The research focuses on two bio-based materials, assessing their hygrothermal performance under Chicago climate condition (Climate Zone 5). To achieve that, a series of laboratory experiments were conducted to measure key properties of the bio-based materials such as thickness, dimensions, density, thermal conductivity (as a function of temperature and humidity), moisture-dependent permeance and water vapor permeability (WVP), and sorption isotherms. These properties were then used in WUFI® simulations to predict the moisture durability of a standard residential wall system in Climate Zone 5. Results show that substituting OSB and drywall with bio-based materials can achieve acceptable moisture durability, effectively mitigating risks of mold growth and structural damage over time.

Palani, Hevar [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000220211994)↗

ResStock Measure Documentation: Residential Two-Stage Geothermal Heat Pump (4.0 COP, 20.5 EER) With Envelope Improvements and Advanced Air Sealing

The goal of this work is to develop energy efficiency, demand flexibility, and other retrofit end-use load shapes (electricity, gas, propane, or fuel oil) that cover a majority of the high-impact, market-ready (or nearly market-ready) measures. "Measures" refers to retrofits that can be applied to buildings during modeling. An "end-use savings shape" is the difference in energy consumption between a baseline building and a building with an energy efficiency, demand flexibility, or other retrofit measure applied. It results in a time-series profile that is broken down by end use and fuel (electricity or on-site gas, propane, or fuel oil use) at each time step. ResStock is a highly granular, physics-based, bottom-up model that uses multiple data sources, statistical sampling methods, and advanced building energy simulations to estimate the annual subhourly energy consumption of the residential building stock across the United States. The baseline model intends to represent the U.S. residential building stock as it existed in 2018. Technical documentation for the inputs and assumptions in the baseline building stock model is available in Reyna et al. (2025). Calibration and validation of the baseline model results are available in the final technical report of the End-Use Load Profiles project (Wilson, et al. 2022). This document focuses on a single end-use savings shape measure: Residential Two-Stage Geothermal Heat Pump (GHP) (4.0 COP, 20.5 EER) With Envelope Improvements. This measure combines a two-stage GHP with envelope improvements as a single package. As this package is a combination of two other measures, this document focused on documenting the results associated with this combination of technologies, with individual measure documents for two-stage GHPs and envelope improvements providing the information on the details of these measures. When the two technologies are combined, envelope improvements can modestly reduce energy consumption by a further 10%-15%, but also reduce the required size of the ground heat exchanger and heat pump by approximately 33% on average across all sites. The cost of installing envelope improvements in these homes is likely to be more than paid for by the reduction in equipment and drilling costs in these buildings for the majority of the stock.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

ResStock Measure Documentation: Residential Single-Stage Geothermal Heat Pump (3.8 COP, 18.6 EER)

The goal of this work is to develop energy efficiency, demand flexibility, and other retrofit end-use load shapes (electricity, gas, propane, or fuel oil) that cover a majority of the high-impact, market-ready (or nearly market-ready) measures. "Measures" refers to retrofits that can be applied to buildings during modeling. An "end-use savings shape" is the difference in energy consumption between a baseline building and a building with an energy efficiency, demand flexibility, or other retrofit measure applied. It results in a time-series profile that is broken down by end use and fuel (electricity or on-site gas, propane, or fuel oil use) at each time step. ResStock is a highly granular, physics-based, bottom-up model that uses multiple data sources, statistical sampling methods, and advanced building energy simulations to estimate the annual subhourly energy consumption of the residential building stock across the United States. The baseline model intends to represent the U.S. residential building stock as it existed in 2018. Technical documentation for the inputs and assumptions in the baseline building stock model is available in Reyna et al. (2025). Calibration and validation of the baseline model results are available in the final technical report of the End-Use Load Profiles project (Wilson et al. 2022). This documentation focuses on a single end-use savings shape measure: Residential Single-Stage Geothermal Heat Pump (GHP).?Single-stage GHPs are able to reduce energy consumption by 31% for the entire stock. Additional results provided below detail how savings changes for sections of the housing stock with different base heating fuel and in different climate zones, as well as the savings potential by state for both heating and cooling. Utility bills and electric panel impacts are also shown and discussed.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗