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At least 199 records · Page 11

Dynamo-based scheme for forecasting the magnitude of solar activity cycles

This paper presents a general framework for forecasting the smoothed maximum level of solar activity in a given cycle, based on a simple understanding of the solar dynamo. This type of forecasting requires knowledge of the sun's polar magnetic field strength at the preceding activity minimum. Because direct measurements of this quantity are difficult to obtain, the quality of a number of proxy indicators already used by other authors is evaluated, which are physically related to the sun's polar field. These indicators are subjected to a rigorous statistical analysis, and the analysis technique for each indicator is specified in detail in order to simplify and systematize reanalysis for future use. It is found that several of these proxies are in fact poorly correlated or uncorrelated with solar activity, and thus are of little value for predicting activity maxima. Also presented is a scheme in which the predictions of the individual proxies are combined via an appropriately weighted mean to produce a compound prediction. The scheme is then applied to the current cycle 22, and a maximum smoothed international sunspot number of 171 + or - 26 is estimated.

Layden, A. C.↗

Inferring the interplanetary magnetic field by observing the polar geomagnetic field.

Svalgaard (1968, 1972) and Mansurov (1969) have shown that it is possible to infer the polarity of the interplanetary magnetic field quite reliably from observations of the diurnal variation of polar geomagnetic fields. The effect is most prominent in the vertical component of geomagnetic observatories near the geomagnetic poles during several hours near noon. The interplanetary magnetic field observed with spacecraft near the earth is very similar to the mean solar magnetic field (i.e., the sun observed as though it were a star); thus the fact that observations of the polar geomagnetic field have existed without interruption since 1926 at the Danish Meteorological Institute station at Godhavn, Greenland, means that in effect the inferred solar magnetic field during five sunspot cycles is available for analysis.-

Wilcox, J. M.↗

Active Region Simulation with EBTEL

Active regions (ARs) are areas in the sun’s upper atmosphere that are bright in the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and X-ray spectrum. Coronal loops are one key feature of an AR. They can be described as arcs of plasma resulting from loop-shaped magnetic fields on the sun. The average temperature of these loops is over one million kelvin, which is significantly hotter than the sun’s surface. The mechanism for the heat transfer of these high temperatures remains unknown and is referred to as the coronal heating problem. One leading hypothesis regarding this mystery is that small, impulsive heating events called nanoflares are a major contributor. Here, we explore the contribution of nanoflares in the heating of AR plasma. We utilize the Enthalpy-Based Thermal Evolution of Loops (EBTEL) program to simulate NOAA 12846, as observed on July 25, 2021. We then use that simulation to analyze how the frequency of nanoflare heating events affects the EUV and X-ray observations in existing instruments, including SDO’s AIA and Hinode’s XRT. We also predict how this AR would appear in recently developed X-ray instruments, such as NASA’s MaGIXS.

Active region↗

Sun-weather relationships

The possible processes in the lower atmosphere of the earth initiated or controlled by changes in the output of the sun are investigated. These changes can include solar variation in radiation (as in the constant, or in specific wavelength regions), in particles (as in physical properties of the solar wind, or in solar cosmic rays, or solar-modulated galactic cosmic rays), and in the extended magnetic field of the sun (as in circumstances of the passage of interplanetary sector boundaries). Changes of short term (in the weather) as well as long term (in regional or global climate) are considered.

Source record↗

The origin of the solar wind

The high speed solar wind, which is associated with coronal holes and unipolar interplanetary magnetic field, has now been observed in situ beyond 0.3 a.u. and at latitudes up to 80 degrees. Its important characteristics are that it is remarkably steady in terms of flow properties and composition and that the ions, especially minor species, are favored in terms of heating and acceleration. We have proposed that the high speed wind, with its associated coronal holes, forms the basic mode of solar wind flow. In contrast, the low speed wind is inherently non-stationary, filamentary and not in equilibrium with conditions at the coronal base. It is presumably the result of continual reconfigurations of the force-free magnetic field in the low-latitude closed corona which allow trapped plasma to drain away along transiently open flux tubes. Observations of high speed solar wind close to its source are hampered by the essential heterogeneity of the corona, even at sunspot minimum. In particular it is difficult to determine more than limits to the density, temperature and wave amplitude near the coronal base as a result of contamination from fore- and back-ground plasma. We interpret the observations as indicating that the high speed solar wind originates in the chromospheric network, covering only about 1% of the surface of the sun, where the magnetic field is complex and not unipolar. As a result of small-scale reconnection events in this 'furnace', Alfven waves are generated with a flat spectrum covering the approximate range 10 kHz to 10 Hz. The plasma is likely to be produced as a result of downwards thermal conduction and possibly photoionization at the top of the low density chromospheric interface to the furnace, thus controlling the mass flux in the wind. The immediate source of free (magnetic) energy is in the form of granule-sized loops which are continually carried into the network from the sides. The resulting wave spectrum is such that energy can be efficiently transferred to the ions within a few solar radii of the base of the corona, favoring heavy species and creating stable, fast solar wind.

Axford, W. I.↗

Description of the Sun as a Star: General Physical Characteristics

Numerical parameters characterizing the size and energy output of the sun are presented. These values are the standard yardstick by which other stars are measured. The large number of significant digits tabulated here serve mainly to illustrate the precision to which these parameters are known. Also listed are parameters characterizing the earth's orbit around the sun and the intensity of the sun's radiation at the mean orbital distance. The appearance of the sun depends critically on how it is observed. Each type of radiation observed carries specific information about the physical processes at work on the sun. Special types of instruments reveal aspects otherwise invisible. Coronagraphs reveal the dimmer outer regions of the sun's atmosphere otherwise visible only during total solar eclipses. Spectroscopy can reveal motions, magnetic field strengths, temperatures and densities. In situ measurements have revealed the characteristics of the solar wind and extended our knowledge of the solar magnetic field both near the earth and beyond the orbits of the planets. As an example, the sun's disk observed almost simultaneously in six different wavelengths of light is shown. In visible light we can see the white disk of the sun with the dark spots known as sunspots. By analyzing the spectral lines produced by the sun we can measure the strength of the sun's magnetic field at its surface, producing a magnetogram. This magnetogram reveals that the sunspots are regions of intense magnetic field. Further images of the sun reveal that the sunspot regions are just the bases of systems of hot loops which emit radio-waves, ultraviolet light and X-rays. The sun imaged in a spectral line of hydrogen known as "H alpha" is shown. In this line we also see the long dark "filaments". These filaments form in long channels between areas of opposing magnetic field. Such channels can be seen in the ultraviolet image. Data concerning the sun are obtained with many different kinds of instruments and from many different vantage points, both on the ground and in space. Techniques for observing the sun's various emissions throughout the electromagnetic spectrum are illustrated.

Kucera, Theresa↗

The structure and energy balance of cool star atmospheres

The atmospheric structure and energy balance phenomena associated with magnetic fields in the Sun are reviewed and it is shown that similar phenomena occur in cool stars. The evidence for the weakening or disappearance of transition regions and coronae is discussed together with the appearance of extended cool chromospheres with large mass loss, near V-R = 0.80 in the H-R diagram. Like the solar atmosphere, these atmospheres are not homogeneous and there is considerable evidence for plage regions with bright TR emission lines that overlie dark (presumably magnetic) star spots. The IUE observations are providing important information on the energy balance in these atmospheres that should guide theoretical calculations of the nonradiative heating rate. Recent high dispersion spectra are providing unique information concerning which components of close binary systems are the dominant contributors to the observed emission. A recent unanticipated discovery is that the transition lines are redshifted (an antiwind) in DRa (G2 Ib) and perhaps other stars. Finally, the G and K giants and supergiants are classified into three groups depending on whether their atmospheres are dominated by closed magnetic flux tubes, open field geometries, or a predominately open geometry with a few closed flux tubes embedded.

Linsky, J. L.↗

Influence of magnetic pressure on stellar structure: A Mechanism for solar variability

A physical mechanism is proposed that couples the Sun's dynamo magnetic field to its gravitational potential energy. The mechanism involves the isotropic field pressure resulting in a lifting force on the convective envelope, thereby raising its potential energy. Decay of the field due to solar activity allows the envelop to subside and releases this energy, which can augment the otherwise steady solar luminosity. Equations are developed and applied to the Sun for several field configurations. The best estimate model suggests that uniform luminosity variations as large as 0.02% for half a sunspot cycle may occur. Brief temporal variations or the rotation of spatial structures could allow larger excursions in the energy released.

Schatten, K. H.↗

Extension and Validation of the Pendulum Model for Longitudinal Solar Prominence Oscillations

Context. Longitudinal oscillations in prominences are common phenomena on the Sun. These oscillations can be used to infer the geometry and intensity of the filament magnetic field. Previous theoretical studies of longitudinal oscillations made two simplifying assumptions: uniform gravity and semicircular dips on the supporting flux tubes. However, the gravity is not uniform and realistic dips are not semicircular. Aims. Our aim is to understand the effects of including the nonuniform solar gravity on longitudinal oscillations and explore the validity of the pendulum model with different flux-tube geometries. Methods. We first derived the equation describing the motion of the plasma along the flux tube including the effects of nonuniform gravity, yielding corrections to the original pendulum model. We also computed the full numerical solutions for the normal modes and compared them with the new pendulum approximation. Results. We find that the nonuniform gravity introduces a significant modification in the pendulum model. We also found a cut-off period; i.e., the longitudinal oscillations cannot have a period longer than 167 min. In addition, considering different tube geometries, the period depends almost exclusively on the radius of curvature at the bottom of the dip. Conclusions. We conclude that nonuniform gravity significantly modifies the pendulum model. These corrections are important for prominence seismology, because the inferred values of the radius of curvature and minimum magnetic-field strength differ substantially from those of the old model. However, we find that the corrected pendulum model is quite robust and is still valid for noncircular dips.

Sun: corona↗

Report on the solar physics-plasma physics workshop

The paper summarizes discussions held between solar physicists and plasma physicists on the interface between solar and plasma physics, with emphasis placed on the question of what laboratory experiments, or computer experiments, could be pursued to test proposed mechanisms involved in solar phenomena. Major areas discussed include nonthermal plasma on the sun, spectroscopic data needed in solar plasma diagnostics, types of magnetic field structures in the sun's atmosphere, the possibility of MHD phenomena involved in solar eruptive phenomena, the role of non-MHD instabilities in energy release in solar flares, particle acceleration in solar flares, shock waves in the sun's atmosphere, and mechanisms of radio emission from the sun.

Sturrock, P. A.↗

Study of a Solar X-Ray Telescope

The highly structured nature of the outer solar atmosphere seems to be intimately linked to the presence, at the solar surface, of magnetic fields that have been generated inside the Sun and have emerged to the surface. The corona is brightest (and also hottest) at just those locations where the magnetic field has emerged from inside the Sun. Dynamo theory predicts that strong magnetic fields will be generated deep in the solar interior and that bundles or 'ropes' of magnetic flux will float to the surface. When this happens, a magnetically bipolar region will become visible, extending above the surface in a three-dimensional structure. The field lines penetrate through the surface, showing two magnetic poles, and also exhibit a three-dimensional structure above the surface. The structure created by the field emergence is rooted in the (relatively) cool photosphere and extends through the chromosphere and transition region to the corona. Thus, the magnetic field creates a region, called an active region, which contains portions at temperatures from less than 10(exp 4) K to greater than 10(exp 6) K, and is therefore visible at wavelengths from the infrared through x-rays. The locations where the magnetic field leaves and reenters the visible surface are called the 'footpoints' of the coronal structures associated with the magnetic field. The magnetic fields themselves are not directly visible. However, the hot coronal plasma is, for the most part, constrained to follow the direction of the magnetic field lines in the atmosphere. Now, 100 years after the discovery of x-rays by Wilhelm Roentgen in 1896, we can routinely make observations of the solar corona from outside the Earth's atmosphere in this region of the electromagnetic spectrum. As shown by comparing x-ray images with magnetograms, the bright corona over these bipolar magnetic regions consists of closed structures that seem to follow the orientation of the magnetic field. Although we can see down to the photosphere at x-ray wavelengths when observing the disk of the Sun, this part of the solar atmosphere emits so little that far from the peak of its Planck curve it appears dark in x-ray images. This impression of hot plasma following the magnetic field direction is further strengthened by quantitative studies that calculate coronal magnetic field strength and direction based on photospheric measurements and compare them with the observed brightness and location of the x-ray emitting structures. Such comparisons make it clear that, for the most part, the hot plasma conforms to the geometry of the magnetic field and that the coronal brightness is strongly linked to the strength of the magnetic fields which have erupted to the solar surface from the interior. It is also the case that the larger-scale, fainter corona, as well as coronal holes, are strongly influenced by the large-scale solar magnetic field. We may get a small hint of the reason that the coronal plasma outlines the direction of B by examining the thermal conductivity of a hot plasma in the presence of a magnetic field. This quantity has enormously different values in the directions parallel and perpendicular to the field for a coronal temperature of 10(exp 6) K, a particle density of 10(exp 9)/cu cm and a magnetic field strength of 100 G, the conductivity along the field is approximately 13 orders of magnitude greater than that perpendicular to the field. It is therefore not surprising that a parcel of plasma which is locally heated would conduct that heat preferentially in the direction of the field. We also note that the thermal conductivity parallel to the magnetic field increases with temperature T, while the perpendicular conductivity decreases. To the extent that the loop aspect ratio, i.e., the ratio of loop length to loop width, is determined by the thermal conductivity, we would expect that higher temperature loops are longer and thinner than cooler ones. However, if the loop width becomes smaller than the spatial resolution of the observing instrument, this effect will not be directly observable. For organizational purposes, we provide a listing of some scientific objectives for a Solar-B x-ray telescope, arranged in terms of identifiable features in the corona.

Golub, Leon↗

Delta WIND Mission Science Briefing

The science objectives of the WIND mission are to: 1) provide complete plasma, energetic particle, and magnetic field input for magnetospheric and ionospheric studies; 2) Determine the magnetospheric output to interplanetary space in the up-stream region; 3) Investigate basic plasma processes occurring in the near-Earth solar wind; and 4) Provide baseline ecliptic plane observations to be used in heliospheric latitudes from ULYSSES. The WIND science briefing is presented by George Diller, NASA public affairs; Dr. Robert L. Carovillano, Project Scientist for the Global Geospace Science Initiative, NASA Headquarters; Dr. Mario H. Acuna, Project Scientist for the WIND Project, Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC); Dr. Keith W. Ogilvie, Principle Investigator, Solar Wind Experiment at GSFC; Dr. Jean Louis Bougeret, Principle Investigator, Radio/Plasma Wave Experiment, Paris; and Dr. Eugeny Mazets, Co-Principle Investigator, Russian Gamma Ray Spectrometer Instrument, St. Pertersburg, Russia. Dr. Carovillano presents a cartoon slide of the Solar Terrestrial System and describes the Sun and the Magnetic field of the Earth. Dr. Acuna also presents a cartoon slide describing GEOTAIL, POLAR, WIND, SOHO, ULYSSES and Cluster which are the various tools used to study the complex solar terrestrial system. Dr. Ogilvie explains four particle and wave instruments on WIND. These instruments will be used to study the contributions and characteristics of plasma and plasma waves that occur in the solar wind. Dr. Bougeret explains the European participation in the WIND mission. He also shows a slide presentation of SOHO and the CLUSTER spacecraft. Dr. Mazets explains the main objective of the Transient Gamma Ray Spectrometer (TGRS) aboard the WIND spacecraft, which is to perform high resolution measurements of Gamma Ray Burst spectra and time histories, with emphasis on the search for line features in the energy spectra. The briefing ends with a question and answer period. See NONP-NASA-VT-2000078325 for additional question and answer footage.

Source record↗

Theoretical properties of Omega-loops in the convective zone of the Sun. 1: Emerging bipolar magnetic regions

It is proposed that the observed 500 G intensity of the magnetic fields emerging through the surface of the Sun can be understood from the Bernoulli effect in the upwelling Omega-loops of magnetic field. It is also proposed that the inferred 10(exp 5) G azimuthal flux bundles below the base of the convective zone can be understood as a consequence of the large-scale buoyancy associated with the upwelling fluid in and around the rising Omega-loop. The process fits in naturally with the Babcock-Leighton form of the solar alpha-omega-dynamo. The emerging Omega-loop implies the coherence of the upwelling all the way from the bottom of the convective zone, enhancing the convective heat transport to account for the observed variation of the solar irradiance by about two parts in 10(exp 3).

Parker, E. N.↗

Spatial distribution of cosmic rays in magnetic cycles of the Sun

The space-time distribution of cosmic ray (CR) density is determined from the solution of the anisotropic diffusion equation. The boundary problem is solved in a quasistationary axisymmetric case, taking into account the delay of cosmic rays relative to the cyclic variations of solar activity. The specificty of the modulation model is the use of the empirical dependence of the free path of particles for scattering on the observed latitudinal distribution of solar activity. Another specific feature of the model is an account of an additional effect due to the drift of charged particles towards the helio-equator plane or backward, depending on the direction of the total magnetic field of the Sun.

Alania, M. V.↗

Sun-as-a-star spectrum variability

The sun is observed as a start in order to determine luminosity change, detect minute variability in average granulation and focular signals, and to use as a standard against which other stars might be compared. In this regard, topics discussed include: total irradiance variability as measured from space by the Activity Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitor and Earth Radiation Budget radiometers; Fraunhofer line heights of formation and examples of their variability in visible wavelenghts; ultraviolet and extreme ultraviolet irradiance variability as observed from space; the magnetic origin of irradiance change; and the observed mean magnetic field of the sun.

Livingston, William↗

Energetic protons associated with interplanetary active regions 1-5 AU from the sun

Pioneer 11 has yielded data on approximately 100 energetic proton events at heliocentric distances between 1 and 2 AU. Measurements of absolute intensities, anisotropies, and crude energy spectra are studied in connection with interplanetary active regions (IAR's). It is found that in close vicinity to IAR's, the number of events observed per unit time interval is 10 times greater than in other areas of interplanetary space, and that the frequency of events has a maximum at plus or minus 5 hours of the time IAR edges are crossed. It is also noted that events in IAR vicinity have greater particle densities, softer energy spectra, and smaller time widths than other events. For many events associated with IAR's, particle anisotropies correspond to the net flow of particles along the interplanetary magnetic field toward the sun. This suggests that a mechanism in MHD shocks is responsible for local acceleration in the interplanetary medium.

Pesses, M. E.↗

Toroidal Variable-Line-Space Gratings: The Good, the Bad and The Ugly

Toroidal variable-line-space (VLS) gratings are an important factor in the design of an efficient VUV solar telescope that will measure the CIV (155nm) and MgII (280nm) emissions lines in the Sun's transition region. In 1983 Kita and Harada described spherical VLS gratings but the technology to commercially fabricate these devices is a recent development, especially for toroidal surfaces. This paper will describe why this technology is important in the development of the Solar Ultraviolet Magnetograph Investigation (SUMI) sounding rocket program (the good), the delays due to the conversion between the TVLS grating design and the optical fabrication (the bad), and finally the optical testing, alignment and tolerancing of the gratings (the ugly). The Solar Ultraviolet Magnetograph Investigation, SUMI, has been reported in several papers since this program began in 2000. The emphasis of this paper is to describe SUMI's Toroidal Variable-Line-Space (TVLS) gratings. These gratings help SUMI meet its scientific goals which require both high spectral resolution and high optical efficiency for magnetic field measurements in the vacuum ultraviolet wavelength band of the solar spectrum (the good). Unfortunately, the technology readiness level of these gratings has made their implementation difficult, especially for a sounding rocket payload (the bad). Therefore, this paper emphasizes the problems and solutions that were developed to use these gratings in SUMI (the ugly). Section 2 contains a short review of the scientific goals of SUMI and why this mission is important in the understanding of the 3D structure of the magnetic field on the Sun. The flight hardware that makes up the SUMI payload is described in Section 3 with emphasis on those components that affect the TVLS gratings. Section 4 emphasizes the alignment, testing and optical modeling that were developed to optimize the performance of these gratings.

West, Edward A.↗