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DOE OSTI2025

Survey-wide asteroid discovery with a high-performance computing enabled non-linear digital tracking framework

Modern astronomical surveys detect asteroids by linking together their appearances across multiple images taken over time. This approach faces limitations in detecting faint asteroids and handling the computational complexity of trajectory linking. Here, we present a novel method that adapts “digital tracking” – traditionally used for short-term linear asteroid motion across images – to work with large-scale synoptic surveys such as the Vera Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (Rubin/LSST). Our approach combines hundreds of sparse observations of individual asteroids across their non-linear orbital paths to enhance detection sensitivity by several magnitudes. To address the computational challenges of processing massive data sets and dense orbital phase spaces, we developed a specialized high-performance computing architecture. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method through experiments that take advantage of the extensive computational resources at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. This work enables the detection of significantly fainter asteroids in existing and future survey data, potentially increasing the observable asteroid population by orders of magnitude across different orbital families, from near-Earth objects (NEOs) to Kuiper belt objects (KBOs).

Asteroid discovery↗

DOE OSTI2025

Numerical simulation of asteroid geometry variance on airburst threat

For an atmospheric airburst the primary source of concern when assessing uncertainty is the size and velocity. Determining these properties provides the basis for threat assessment, as the total energy of the asteroid may then be estimated, and the threat investigated thoroughly. Even with clarity as to how much energy an asteroid may deposit, a great deal of uncertainty still exists for the actual energy deposition process. One such source of uncertainty is the geometry of the incoming asteroid. The geometry of an asteroid will alter the stress distribution during entry, which adds uncertainty to when fracture will occur. Here, in this study, we use Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics to model the atmospheric airburst of Tunguska-scale asteroids with varying geometric profiles, including a sphere, ellipsoid, binary and superellipsoid. Each asteroid is modeled as a homogenous structure with strength. We assess uncertainty through a series of planar 2D simulation cases for each geometry, comparing the source of stochasticity across geometries. A single 3D airburst simulation for each geometry is also analyzed. Additionally, the 3D cases are compared to the highly uncertain Tunguska event, predicting variance in burst height across geometries, but all bounded by theoretical burst heights proposed for Tunguska.

Airburst↗

NASA NTRS2012

Spacecraft Conceptual Design for Returning Entire Near-Earth Asteroids

In situ resource utilization (ISRU) in general, and asteroid mining in particular are ideas that have been around for a long time, and for good reason. It is clear that ultimately human exploration beyond low-Earth orbit will have to utilize the material resources available in space. Historically, the lack of sufficiently capable in-space transportation has been one of the key impediments to the harvesting of near-Earth asteroid resources. With the advent of high-power (or order 40 kW) solar electric propulsion systems, that impediment is being removed. High-power solar electric propulsion (SEP) would be enabling for the exploitation of asteroid resources. The design of a 40-kW end-of-life SEP system is presented that could rendezvous with, capture, and subsequently transport a 1,000-metric-ton near-Earth asteroid back to cislunar space. The conceptual spacecraft design was developed by the Collaborative Modeling for Parametric Assessment of Space Systems (COMPASS) team at the Glenn Research Center in collaboration with the Keck Institute for Space Studies (KISS) team assembled to investigate the feasibility of an asteroid retrieval mission. Returning such an object to cislunar space would enable astronaut crews to inspect, sample, dissect, and ultimately determine how to extract the desired materials from the asteroid. This process could jump-start the entire ISRU industry.

asteroid retrieval↗

NASA NTRS2016

A Fragment-Cloud Model for Breakup of Asteroids with Varied Internal Structures

As an asteroid descends toward Earth, it deposits energy in the atmosphere through aerodynamic drag and ablation. Asteroid impact risk assessments rely on energy deposition estimates to predict blast overpressures and ground damage that may result from an airburst, such as the one that occurred over Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013. The rates and altitudes at which energy is deposited along the entry trajectory depend upon how the bolide fragments, which in turn depends upon its internal structure and composition. In this work, we have developed an analytic asteroid fragmentation model to assess the atmospheric energy deposition of asteroids with a range of structures and compositions. The modeling approach combines successive fragmentation of larger independent pieces with aggregate debris clouds released with each fragmentation event. The model can vary the number and masses of fragments produced, the amount of mass released as debris clouds, the size-strength scaling used to increase the robustness of smaller fragments, and other parameters. The initial asteroid body can be seeded with a distribution of independent fragment sizes amid a remaining debris mass to represent loose rubble pile conglomerations, can be given an outer regolith later, or can be defined as a coherent or fractured monolith. This approach enables the model to represent a range of breakup behaviors and reproduce detailed energy deposition features such as multiple flares due to successive burst events, high-altitude regolith blow-off, or initial disruption of rubble piles followed by more energetic breakup of the constituent boulders. These capabilities provide a means to investigate sensitivities of ground damage to potential variations in asteroid structure.

Asteroid↗

NASA NTRS1994

Satellite Dynamics about Asteroids

Current space goals for NASA include planned and proposed missions to asteroids. These missions generally call for a period of orbital operations in close proximity to the asteroid, in some cases coming within 2 radii of the asteroid. A challenge for the navigators of these missions is to predict the orbital environment about the asteroid and to derive pre-mission plans for the control of these orbits. This paper investigates the major perturbations asteroid orbiters will encounter over a range of relevant asteroid sizes.

asteroid↗

NASA NTRS2023

Risk Assessment for Asteroid Impact Threat Scenarios

Asteroid impacts can cause a wide range of damage through multiple potential hazards, from localized blast waves or thermal radiation, to tsunami inundation, to global climatic effects. The level of risk posed by these hazards depends not only upon their extent and severity, but also upon the likelihood of the various damage ranges. Some consequences may be more moderate but very likely, while others may be unlikely but catastrophic. Evaluating the risk from these hazards involves substantial uncertainties across all aspects of the problem, including the properties of the asteroid itself, the specifics of its entry, and the complex high-energy damage physics involved. NASA’s Asteroid Threat Assessment Project performs Probabilistic Asteroid Impact Risk (PAIR) assessments that use fast-running entry and hazard models to evaluate millions of impact cases representing the distributions of these many uncertain parameters. This paper presents current probabilistic asteroid impact risk assessment modeling tools and approaches used for evaluating specific asteroid impact threat cases. We give an overview of the current PAIR model used to support impact threat scenarios and discuss some of the key applications of these assessment in supporting response decisions and planetary defense preparedness. We then present the results and key findings from the recent 2023 PDC hypothetical impact exercise as an example of the primary types of risk results and metrics being developed to inform and support those mitigation and response decisions.

SMD↗

NASA NTRS2024

Detection of Hydration on Nominally Anhydrous S-Complex Main Belt Asteroids

We present the results of a survey of nominally anhydrous Main Belt S-complex asteroids. Thirty-three observations of 29 unique asteroids were obtained using the IRTF+SpeX instrument in prism and LXD short modes. We report for the first time that S-complex main belt asteroids have 3-μm features. The majority of the observations (27 of 33) have a detectable 3-μm feature that is at least 1% band depth or greater (within error), indicating the presence of hydration. Most of the asteroids have bands of 1 –2.5% depth but a notable fraction (9 of the observations) have band depths of >5%. These band depths are comparable with low albedo asteroids in the mid and outer belt that experienced aqueous alteration. We investigate the origin of the hydration, searching for correlations with orbital, physical and circumstantial parameters. However, we do not find any strong or moderate correlations with 3-μm band depth, indicating multiple factors may be at play, including exogenic sources, primordial water and/or solar wind implantation. Additionally, we report the mineralogies of the asteroids, derived from the prism observations.

Main Belt S-complex asteroids↗

NASA NTRS2024

Detection of Hydration on Nominally Anhydrous S-Complex Main Belt Asteroids

We present the results of a survey of nominally anhydrous main belt S-complex asteroids. Thirty-three observations of 29 unique asteroids were obtained using the IRTF+SpeX instrument in prism and LXD short modes. We report for the first time that S-complex main belt asteroids have 3μm features. The majority of the observations(27 of 33)have a detectable 3μm feature that has at least 1% band depth or greater (within error), indicating the presence of hydration. Most of the asteroids have bands of 1%–2.5% depth, but a notable fraction (nine of the observations) have band depths of>5%. These band depths are comparable to those of low albedo asteroids in the middle and outer belt that have experienced aqueous alteration. We investigate the origin of the hydration, searching for correlations with orbital, physical, and circumstantial parameters. However, we do not find any strong or moderate correlations with 3μm band depth, indicating that multiple factors may be at play, including exogenic sources, primordial water, and/or solar wind implantation. Additionally, we report the mineralogies of the asteroids, derived from the prism observations.

Main Belt S-complex asteroids↗

NASA NTRS2013

Near-Earth Asteroid Retrieval Mission (ARM) Study

The Asteroid Redirect Mission (ARM) concept brings together the capabilities of the science, technology, and the human exploration communities on a grand challenge combining robotic and human space exploration beyond low Earth orbit. This paper addresses the key aspects of this concept and the options studied to assess its technical feasibility. Included are evaluations of the expected number of potential targets, their expected discovery rate, the necessity to adequately characterize candidate mission targets, the process to capture a non-cooperative asteroid in deep space, and the power and propulsion technology required for transportation back to the Earth-Moon system. Viable options for spacecraft and mission designs are developed. Orbits for storing the retrieved asteroid that are stable for more than a hundred years, yet allow for human exploration and commercial utilization of a redirected asteroid, are identified. The study concludes that the key aspects of finding, capturing and redirecting an entire small, near-Earth asteroid to the Earth-Moon system by the first half of the next decade are technically feasible. The study was conducted from January 2013 through March 2013 by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in collaboration with Glenn Research Center (GRC), Johnson Space Center (JSC), Langley Research Center (LaRC), and Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC).

Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP)↗

NASA NTRS1974

Asteroids - Surface composition from reflection spectroscopy

Minerals partly composing the surfaces of 14 asteroids are determined by using asteroid reflectance spectra and optical properties of meteorites and other materials. Individual electronic absorption features are identified in the asteroids' spectra. The energies, relative strengths, and shapes of these features are interpreted by using laboratory and theoretical studies. Analysis of the initial 14 asteroid reflectance spectra indicates the presence of the following types of surface materials: six carbonaceous chondrite-like; two stony-iron-like (metal/silicate ratio approximately equal to 1); one iron meteorite-like; one basaltic achondrite-like; and four silicate-metal assemblages (metal/silicate ratio approximately equal to 0.25). These results support the conclusion that the asteroid belt is a source of at least some meteoritic material, and they show a relation between certain asteroids and certain classes of meteorites.

Mccord, T. B.↗

NASA NTRS1975

Asteroids - Spectral reflectance and color characteristics. II

New spectrophotometry for 31 asteroids, and improved data for nine previously observed, is presented, raising the total sample to 98. Several important new spectral types have been found. Asteroid 349 Dembowska is the first large main-belt asteroid found to resemble ordinary chondritic meteorites in spectral properties (it is similar to LL6 chondrites in pyroxene/olivine content). The first two measured Trojan asteroids show unusual spectra not compatible with carbonaceous chondrites or other known meteorites. The spectrum of Mars-crosser 887 Alinda is compatible with unequilibrated chondrites. Most fainter asteroids (especially those in the outer half of the belt) have flat spectra indicating probable carbonaceous composition. Compositional heterogeneity of Hirayama families is common among the 16 families studied to date. But individual asteroids seem to have remarkably uniform surface compositions, indicated by the usual lack of spectral changes with rotation. Spectra of a preliminary sample of proposed meteorite source-bodies are consistent with derivation of meteorites by proposed mechanisms, but further observations are needed.

Mccord, T. B.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Mining the Apollo and Amor asteroids

Earth-approaching asteroids could provide raw materials for space manufacturing. For certain asteroids the total energy per unit mass for the transfer of asteroidal resources to a manufacturing site in high earth orbit is comparable to that for lunar materials. For logistical reasons the cost may be many times less. Optical studies suggest that these asteroids have compositions corresponding to those of carbonaceous and ordinary chondrites, with some containing large quantities of iron and nickel; other are thought to contain carbon, nitrogen, and hydrogen, elements that appear to be lacking on the moon. The prospect that several new candidate asteroids will be discovered over the next few years increases the likelihood that a variety of asteroidal resource materials can be retrieved on low-energy missions.

Oleary, B.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Asteroid surface materials: Mineralogical characterizations from reflectance spectra

Mineral assemblages analogous to most meteorite types, with the exception of ordinary chondritic assemblages, have been found as surface materials of Main Belt asteroids. C1- and C2-like assemblages (unleached, oxidized meteoritic clay minerals plus opaques such as carbon) dominate the population throughout the Belt, especially in the outer Belt. A smaller population of asteroids exhibit surface materials similar to C3 (CO, CV) meteoritic assemblages (olivine plus opaque, probably carbon) and are also distributed throughout the Belt. The majority of remaining studied asteroids (20) of 65 asteroids exhibit spectral reflectance curves dominated by the presence of metallic nickel-iron in their surface materials. The C2-like materials which dominate the main asteroid belt population appear to be relatively rare on earth-approaching asteroids.

Gaffey, M. J.↗

NASA NTRS1978

Asteroid surface materials - Mineralogical characterizations from reflectance spectra

The use of general and specific diagnostic spectral features and parameters to interpret most of the published high-quality reflectance spectra of asteroids is discussed. Such diagnostics are shown to provide the most complete and sophisticated mineralogically and petrologically based interpretation of the asteroid surface materials. Previous investigations of asteroid surface materials are exhaustively reviewed, emphasizing the general approaches employed, sources of information, previous characterizations of asteroid surface materials, and asteroid spectral groups. The interpretive methodology is then applied to spectral reflectance data for many individual members of the various spectral groups. A range of mineral assemblages similar to certain meteorite classes is identified, and evidence is presented for a selective high-temperature event that melted certain asteroid parent bodies and permitted their differentiation as some function of distance from the sun or the protosun and of the size of the protoasteroid. Possible candidates are proposed for the source bodies of different meteorite groups.

Gaffey, M. J.↗

NASA NTRS1978

The asteroids

The asteroids are small rocky bodies that orbit in modestly eccentric and inclined orbits, mainly between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter. With the comets, they are the only known population of residual planetesimals from the earliest epochs of solar system history. The observational characteristics of asteroids are discussed, taking into account aspects of photometry, rotations, masses and densities, spectrophotometry and surface compositions, surface textures and regoliths, size distribution, and erosion and fragmentation occurring as a result of interasteroidal collisions. Questions of dynamics and orbital evolution are investigated and ramifications for planetary evolution are explored. Attention is given to asteroids as planetesimals, aspects of early orbital evolution, the geochemical evolution of asteroids, commensurabilities and Kirkwood gaps, secular resonances, the material transport from the asteroid belt, Poisson's theorem, planetary masses, catalogs and selection effects, families, and Apollo, Amor, and Mars-crossing asteroids.

Chapman, C. R.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Albedo and color contrasts on asteroid surfaces

Asteroids in general display only small or negligible variations in spectrum or albedo during a rotational cycle. Color variations with rotation are described in the literature but are usually comparable to the noise in the measurements. Twenty-four asteroids have been systematically monitored for such color changes. Only 3 Juno, 4 Vesta, 6 Hebe, 71 Niobe, 349 Dembowska, and 944 Hidalgo display color variations larger than 0.03 mag. In each of these cases the asteroid appears redder near maximum brightness. Of seven asteroids monitored polarimetrically, only 4 Vesta shows a convincing variation, attributed to an albedo change with rotation. The lightcurve can be explained by albedo differences alone; Vesta apparently has a nearly spheroidal shape. Nothwithstanding the above results, the degree of uniformity of most asteroid surfaces is remarkable. If asteroids exist with large discrete domains of ferrosilicate, metallic, and/or carbonaceous material together on their surfaces, they have not yet been identified.

Degewij, J.↗

NASA NTRS1979

Diverse puzzling asteroids and a possible unified explanation

Recent observations have led to unconventional models of certain asteroids, suggesting previously unsuspected forms. Some of these include binary asteroids (e.g., 532 Herculina, 18 Melpomene), very irregular asteroids (e.g., the Mars-crossing 1580 Betulia), and very elongated asteroids, unlikely to be collisional fragments (e.g., 624 Hector). A connection is suggested between this observational work and ongoing theoretical work concerning collisions of large comparable-sized asteroids. Such collisions have different consequences from the collisions usually considered. The new work suggests possible sources of elongated and binary asteroids.

Hartmann, W. K.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Infrared /JHK/ photometry of asteroids

We report JHK (1.2, 1.6, and 2.2 micron) photometry for 23 asteroids of various spectral types. All of the TRIAD asteroid classes were sampled. The C and S classes have distinct, infrared color domains. Most R-class asteroids fall within the S-color domain and the observed M asteroids fall within the C-color domain. The E asteroids have neutral colors. Asteroid 446 Aeternitas was discovered to have an unusual J-H color (0.88 mag).

Veeder, G. J.↗