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DOE OSTI2024

Experimental Whole-Ecosystem Warming Enables Novel Estimation of Snow Cover and Depth Sensitivities to Temperature, and Quantification of the Snow-Albedo Feedback Effect

Climate change is reducing the amount, duration, and extent of snow across high-latitude ecosystems. But, in landscapes where persistent winter snow cover develops, experimental platforms to specifically investigate interactions between warming and changes in snowpack, and impacts on ecosystem processes, have been lacking. We leveraged a whole-ecosystem warming experiment in a boreal peatland forest to quantify how snow duration, depth, and fractional cover vary with warming of up to +9°C. We found that every snow-related quantity we examined declined precipitously as the amount of warming increased. The importance of deep, continuous snow cover for moderating shallow soil temperature is highlighted by an increase in soil temperature variance and the frequency of short-duration freeze-thaw cycles in the warmer plots. We used a paired-plot approach to estimate the magnitude of the snow-albedo feedback effect, and demonstrate that albedo-driven warming linked to reduced snow cover varies between December (+0.4°C increase in maximum air temperature) and March (+1.2°C increase) because of differences in insolation. Overall, results show that even modest future warming will have profound impacts on northern winters and cold-season ecosystem processes. Plot-level data from this warming experiment, and emergent relationships between warming and quantities related to snow cover and duration, could be of enormous value for testing and improving the representation of snow processes in simulation models, especially under future climate scenarios that are outside of the range of historically observed variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Directed energy deposition additive manufacturing of functionally graded Al-W composites

Directed energy deposition using laser heat sources (DED-L) is a metal additive manufacturing method that can be used to fabricate functionally graded materials by feeding multiple powder streams directly into a laser-generated melt pool. Additionally, the composition can be spatially varied by independent control of the materials feed rates. DED-L additive manufacturing is used in this work to create continuously graded Al/W composites that span 0–55 vol% W in Al over length scales from 0.6 to 1.2 mm with individual layers on the order of 0.1 mm and powder particle sizes on the order of 10 µm. The obtained composition and thickness ranges are comparable to those typically achieved using conventional powder metallurgy approaches and enables fabrication of composites to be used as a high impedance graded density impactor (GDI) in dynamic ramp compression experiments to study matter under extreme conditions. DED-L additive manufacturing of a GDI presents an opportunity to reduce GDI fabrication time to less than a day compared to many weeks by conventional methods. It is also possible to scale the deposition by DED-L to essentially unlimited dimensions in the lateral directions, whereas conventional methods become limited.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

FEA-aided investigation of the effective thermal conductivity in a medium with embedded spheres

For multiple applications in nuclear energy, the ability to accurately represent material behavior with a simplified model is important to facilitate practical engineering-scale simulations. Here, we focus on the homogenized thermal response of a medium containing spherical inclusions, similar to a fuel form (compact or pebble) containing (TRISO) particles. A review on effective thermal conductivity (ETC) modeling is performed considering a random distribution of mono-sized spherical inclusions in a continuous matrix, with a primary focus on the analytical models. Finite element simulations are performed to evaluate each analytical model in varying material conditions. The model predictions are compared with the expected results obtained from the finite element predictions in addition to the Wiener and Hashin-Shtrikman bounds. Lastly, we included a practical discussion on the homogenization applied to a TRISO fuel pebble.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Effects of Synthesis Conditions on the Structure and Conductivity of Hydrogen-Substituted Graphdiyne

This study investigates how synthesis conditions influence the structure and conductivity of hydrogen-substituted graphdiyne (HsGDY). By varying the reaction temperature and solvent, we find that small changes in conditions markedly affect triple-bond retention and electronic continuity. Solid-state 13 C NMR and Raman spectroscopy reveal that elevated temperatures drive alkyne loss and partial graphitization, with N,N-dimethylformamide (DMF) promoting faster degradation than pyridine. The resulting decline in alkyne content directly correlates with reduced conductivity, indicating that preserving conjugation is essential for charge transport. These findings clarify how the synthetic environment governs the structural and electronic evolution of graphdiyne frameworks, providing insight into the controlled preparation of conjugated carbon networks.

alkyne retention↗

DOE OSTI2020

Seasonal Controls of CO 2 and CH 4 Dynamics in a Temporarily Flooded Subtropical Wetland

Subtropical and tropical wetlands play a prominent role in the global carbon (C) cycle; yet factors that influence their C fluxes remain uncertain. We collected measurements from a temporarily flooded subtropical wetland over 3 years to investigate environmental drivers impacting CO 2 and CH 4 fluxes. The wetland was a sink of CO 2 (-469 to -380 g C-CO 2 · m -2 · year -1 ) and a source of CH 4 (25.1 to 32.1 g C-CH 4 · m -2 · year -1 ) to the atmosphere. Dry season CH 4 emissions represented 41 to 49% of the annual budget, reflecting the importance of continuous CH 4 flux measurements. Gross primary productivity (GPP) increased with temperature and radiation, and the influence of VPD on GPP varied with soil inundation. Higher water tables decreased Reco and increased GPP, and a higher GPP in turn lead to enhanced R eco likely through enhancements of GPP on autotrophic respiration. This suggests that the impact of the water table on R eco depends on the cancelling effects of hydrology and GPP. Emissions of CH 4 increased with soil temperature, water table, and GPP until soils were inundated at which point temperature and GPP became the main drivers. Water table and temperature influenced GPP and CH 4 fluxes, and increases in GPP directly enhanced CH 4 emissions. In addition to impacting C fluxes directly through water table depth, hydrology also determined the hierarchy of the dominance of factors controlling C fluxes and their response. The positive climate forcing of subtropical wetlands may be dictated by plant-mediated and climate interactions, with hydrological factors playing a major role in determining the greenhouse gas sink or source strength of subtropical wetlands.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Historical and Future Global Irrigation Energy Consumption by Fuel and Region

Irrigation energy use is a significant component of agricultural production costs, contributing directly to the energy and emissions intensity of crop production and ultimately to food prices. Understanding the existing structure of irrigation energy consumption help achieve food-energy-water security and environmental goals. We present a comprehensive global data set detailing country-level irrigation energy consumption, emphasizing the comparative use of electric, diesel, and emerging solar pumps. To our knowledge, no such data set exists. We draw from a literature review to develop a logistic transformed regression model to estimate the shares of fuel sources for irrigation across countries over historical years to construct a global data set of country-level irrigation energy consumption by multiple fuel sources. Additionally, we compare our estimates of irrigation energy use with agricultural energy use as reported by the International Energy Agency and other external sources. We then use this data to project future irrigation energy use with the Global Change Analysis Model, which is a multisector dynamics model, to showcase the usage of this data set. Projections under the reference scenario show a global shift in fuel types for irrigation pumping, while patterns vary across regions, with India and Pakistan leading in solar-powered irrigation growth and countries like the USA and China continuing to rely primarily on grid electricity. This data set provides a resource to understand the role of irrigation fuel choices within the broader energy sector, as well as the connected agricultural, land use, and water sectors under alternative future scenarios, enabling informed decision making toward efficient agricultural practices.

Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)↗

DOE OSTI2024

2023 Central Hanford Ecological Integrity Assessments Monitoring Report

The Hanford Site is comprised of an expanse of shrub-steppe habitats that provides exceptional ecological value to plants and animals located on the site and in the surrounding greater Columbia Basin. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)-managed portion of the Hanford Site, referred to from here on as Central Hanford, has been the focus of various ecological monitoring efforts, including vegetation monitoring. The scope and goals of vegetation surveys have varied greatly since the Hanford Site was established, but previous studies have documented a rapidly changing landscape, making it clear that continued vegetation monitoring is integral to preserving the ecological value of Central Hanford. A new vegetation monitoring effort was initiated in 2023 using methods based on ecological integrity assessments (EIA) (Natural Heritage Report [NHR] 2020-05) developed by the Washington Natural Heritage Program (WNHP), a division of the Washington State Department of Natural Resources (DNR) and NatureServe®. The methods were modified and supplemented to meet monitoring goals at the Hanford Site. The 2023 EIA monitoring effort consisted of field surveys to evaluate vegetation and soil condition across Central Hanford. Surveys were focused on upland habitats, and areas under consideration for upcoming projects were prioritized. Vegetation cover estimates were used to score a variety of metrics for vegetation conditions in each area. In 2023, approximately half of the site was surveyed. Monitoring methods and results for the 2023 field season are summarized in this report, and management recommendations are also provided.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Phase diagram to demarcate supercritical, transcritical, and continuous phase regimes for binary fluid equilibrium mixing relevant to combustion applications

Here, a robust methodology to develop phase diagrams of binary fluid mixtures at fixed thermo dynamic conditions (pressure, temperature, and mole fraction) as well as of two initially separated fluids undergoing mixing near critical conditions are presented for fluids and con ditions relevant to rockets, gas turbines, and diesel engine applications. Phase equilibria of mixtures is first examined to provide insight into the continuous-phase mixing behavior (including but not limited to supercritical behavior), and to develop a broadly applicable phase-diagram for binary fluid mixtures at fixed conditions. Next, adiabatic mixing theory and reduced Helmholtz equations of state are used to predict the thermodynamic conditions required to attain continuous-phase binary fluid mixing near critical conditions. Then, a 3D surface diagram (P,T fuel ,T amb ) separating single and two-phase regions is constructed by varying the ambient pressure and the initial temperatures of the two fluids. Polynomial fits of the 3D surfaces for 10 different binary mixtures are tabulated for nitrogen-alkane and methane-oxygen blends relevant to air-breathing and propellant based engines, respectively.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Utility-Scale Solar, 2024 Edition: Empirical Trends in Deployment, Technology, Cost, Performance, PPA Pricing, and Value in the United States [Slides]

Berkeley Lab’s “Utility-Scale Solar, 2024 Edition” presents analysis of empirical plant-level data from the U.S. fleet of ground-mounted photovoltaic (PV), PV+battery, and concentrating solar-thermal power (CSP) plants with capacities exceeding 5 MWAC (PV plants of 5 MWAC or less, including residential rooftop systems, are covered separately in Berkeley Lab’s companion annual report, Tracking the Sun). Key findings from this year’s report include: -18.5 GWAC of new utility-scale PV capacity came online in 2023, bringing cumulative installed capacity to more than 80.2 GWAC across 47 states. Installed costs continued to fall in 2023. Relative to 2022, capacity-weighted averages decreased by 8% to -$\$1.43$/WAC (or $\$1.08$/WDC). Costs, based on a 7.1 GWAC sample of 76 plants completed in 2023, have fallen by 75% (averaging 10% annually) since 2010. Plant-level capacity factors vary widely, from 6% to 36% (on an AC basis), with a sample median of 24%. -Levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of new 2023 projects increased slightly to $\$46$/MWh prior to the application of tax credits but continued to fall to $\$31$/MWh when accounting for federal incentives. PPA prices have largely followed the decline in solar’s LCOE over time, but newly signed longer-term PPA prices have increased since 2021, to an average of $\$35$/MWh (levelized, in 2023 dollars). -Solar’s average energy and capacity value (i.e., ability to offset costs of other power generation sources) across the U.S. was $\$45$/MWh in 2023. Solar’s average market value was lowest in CAISO ($\$27$/MWh), the market with the greatest solar generation share, and highest in ERCOT ($\$67$/MWh). -Newer solar projects had greater market value in 2023 than their generation costs, yielding $\$1.1$ billion in benefits. Projects built in 2022 delivered on average $\$15$/MWh more market value than their costs in 2023. -Solar’s combined value from wholesale electricity markets, public health and climate damage reduction were greater than generation costs and incentives, yielding $\$13.7$ billion in net benefits in 2023. We estimate U.S. health benefits of $\$24$/MWh and reduced global climate damages of $\$101$/MWh. -Adding battery storage is one way to increase the value of solar. Deployment of 52 new PV+battery hybrid plants set a record with 5.3 GW installed in 2023. Our public data file tracks metadata and PPA prices from more than 100 PV+battery hybrid projects that are already online or that have secured offtake arrangements. -Looking ahead, a massive pipeline of at least 1,085 GW of solar capacity dominates the nation’s interconnection queues at the end of 2023. Nearly 571 GW, or 53%, of that total was paired with a battery – in CAISO it was a staggering 98%. Historically only 10% of the requested solar capacity is built. -For more information, and to explore related interactive data visualizations, go to utilityscalesolar.lbl.gov.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Modeling Continuous Online Refueling with SCALE 6.3.1 and Serpent-2 in the EIRENE Novel Molten Salt Reactor Design

The Molten Salt Reactor (MSR) is a Generation IV advanced fission reactor design in which the coolant, and in some cases the fuel itself, is in the form of liquid molten alkali-halide salts with a fluoride or chloride ionic base. In liquid-fueled MSRs, reactor refueling may be performed online, where fresh fuel salt is added to the core during operation without the need for shutdown periods. Refueling for these reactor designs is typically modeled using either a batch or continuous refueling approach, both of which can be simulated with the SCALE 6.3.1 and Serpent-2 code systems. However, the specific manner in which they are implemented can vary depending upon the desired rate of refueling, whether the refueling rate is constant or variable, and consideration of salt drainage for systems where the in-core salt volume is kept constant. In a novel MSR fuel cycle concept termed the “Sourdough” fuel cycle, fuel salt is allowed to “grow” within the core, with excess salt either being transferred to an external holding tank to maintain a constant core volume or diverted to an upper plenum within the core to allow for volume growth. In this work, continuous refueling was modeled in a thermal-spectrum, LEU-fueled, small MSR design operating with the Sourdough fuel cycle using the SCALE 6.3.1 and Serpent-2 codes. Two different continuous refueling approaches were simulated, with the performance of each being compared to determine which is most suitable for use with the Sourdough fuel cycle concept.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

The hygrothermal performance of continuous and cavity wood fiber insulation

Wood fiber insulation is an emerging material known for its effective thermal performance and moisture management properties, making it a compelling alternative to conventional insulation. Its vapor permeability and ability to regulate indoor humidity contribute to improved building durability and comfort, particularly in varying climate conditions. The goal of this project is to characterize the hygrothermal performance of a new wood fiber insulation product line in U.S. climate zones and to facilitate the design and construction of the product in residential and light commercial building envelopes. This study investigates the thermal and hygrothermal performance of wood fiber insulation, both as continuous and cavity insulation. The research employs an exhaustive simulation task and an environmental chamber test of a wood fiber insulation. Over 400 simulations were conducted to study the hygrothermal characteristics of bio-based wood fiber insulation in various building envelope configurations across four climate zones. Environmental chamber tests were conducted under controlled winter conditions representative of Climate Zone 5A (Chicago, IL) to complement the simulation results. The chamber tests focused on the hygrothermal performance of the wood fiber insulation and the sheathing board to assess the insulation's ability to manage moisture in a cold climate. Simulation and environmental chamber test results were analyzed to evaluate the insulation's consistency and efficacy across diverse climatic zones. Results show that with a proper moisture control strategy, both cavity and continuous wood fiber insulation can work properly in both new and retrofit constructions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2024

The Hygrothermal Performance of Continuous and Cavity Wood Fiber Insulation

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Efficient atmospheric, solar, and supernova neutrino propagation through the Earth

Algorithms for computing neutrino oscillation probabilities in sharply varying matter potentials such as the Earth are becoming increasingly important. As the next generation of experiments, DUNE and HyperK as well as the IceCube upgrade and KM3NeT, come online, the computational cost for atmospheric and solar neutrinos will continue to increase. To address these issues, we expand upon our previous algorithm for long-baseline calculations to efficiently handle probabilities through the Earth for atmospheric, nighttime solar, and supernova neutrinos. The algorithm is fast, flexible, and accurate. It can handle arbitrary Earth models with two different schemes for varying density profiles. We also provide a c ++ implementation of the code called NUF ast- E arth along with a detailed user manual. The code intelligently keeps track of repeated calculations and only recalculates what is needed on each successive call which can also help provide significant speed-ups.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reconstruction of 3D Concrete Microstructures Combining High-Resolution Characterization and Convolutional Neural Network for Image Segmentation

After water, concrete is the second most used material in the world. Concrete’s forming adaptability and low-cost constituents make it a predominant material used in the construction of civil infrastructures in nuclear power plants such as concrete biological shields, containment buildings, turbine buildings, fuel handling and storage buildings, underground piping for cooling, cooling towers, and so on. Depending on environmental and operating conditions, these passive structures are subject to time-dependent phenomena that can either enhance (e.g., continued hydration) or degrade concrete’s structural performance. Unlike components such as the reactor pressure vessel and the primary circuit, concrete composition varies regionally because it is manufactured using local aggregates and cement. Hence, concrete performance metrics over time cannot be derived confidently using empirical relations. Alternatively, the specific characteristics of the local concrete constituents and their assemblage in concrete must be considered.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Modeling Needs for Power Semiconductor Devices and Power Electronics Systems: Preprint

As energy systems move towards wide-spread electrification, penetration of power semiconductor devices and power electronics continues to grow at a rapid pace. This paper attempts to review the state of the art in power semiconductor modeling and the existing state of modeling in general when in it comes to design of devices and systems. The modeling needs for semiconductor devices vary depending on the end goal, and the level of abstraction needed towards model formulation also changes with the size and complexity of system to be designed. Finally, key aspects of thermal design and modeling for power electronics are also discussed.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Seasonal mixing from intermittent flow drives concentration-discharge behaviour in a stream affected by coal mine drainage

Abandoned mining operations continue to severely degrade many ecosystems worldwide by releasing acidic water and/or heavy metals into surface and groundwater. Contaminant concentrations in affected streams vary with discharge in patterns that reflect both geochemical reactions and variable mixing of contaminated and non-contaminated waters. However, controls on concentration-discharge (C-Q) patterns remain unclear, particularly for constituents that experience changing solubility across redox and pH gradients. Understanding the C-Q behaviour of contaminants aids in predicting both downstream transport and effects on aquatic life under variable flow. Here, we examined the C-Q behaviours of non-reactive (Na, K, Ca, Mg, Cl - ) and reactive (Fe, Mn, Al, H + , SO 4 2- ) solutes in a stream contaminated with acid mine drainage in northeastern Ohio, USA. Concentration-discharge patterns at the watershed outlet primarily reflected mixing of contaminated baseflow with intermittent inputs of high pH water draining from a passive limestone treatment system into the stream. The treatment system acted as an ephemeral tributary that mitigated contamination in the stream by diluting solutes, raising pH, and driving metal precipitation, but only when flow was present during wet seasons. Consequently, AMD-derived reactive solutes (H + , Fe, Mn, Al) decreased with increasing stream discharge while relatively conservative solutes (e.g., Ca, Mg, K, Na) decreased only slightly or were chemostatic. This study highlights both the unique C-Q patterns of reactive solutes when compared to those of non-reactive solutes and the potential for intermittent streams to control C-Q behaviour in headwater catchments.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Water intensity of photovoltaic module manufacturing at the terawatt scale

As the U.S. ramps photovoltaic (PV) manufacturing to the terawatt scale and emphasizes re-shoring manufacturing, potential regional impacts on the U.S. water supply should be considered, particularly since many PV companies rely almost exclusively on public water supplies for manufacturing. This work surveys the academic literature and PV manufacturer reports to estimate the water intensity of monocrystalline silicon, multicrystalline silicon, and cadmium telluride modules manufactured at the terawatt scale, determining that on average, cadmium telluride manufacturing is less water intensive on a per megawatt scale – this is anticipated to be true for all thin film PV manufacturing. While much lower than the water intensity of thermoelectric (e.g., coal) energy generation, significant issues and gaps with PV manufacturing data quality in academic studies are identified which cause estimates to vary by over 1000x (0.04 – 49 trillion liters/terawatt). Data issues are discussed and the need for accurate accounting of water resources (e.g., via continuous, updated information during PV manufacturing) is highlighted. The opportunity to reconfigure decommissioned thermoelectric sites to PV manufacturing is also explored. Finally, factors that influence PV manufacturing water intensity, from individual manufacturing steps to trends across the PV industry, are examined and water conservation opportunities are presented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Temporal Variability of Emissions Revealed by Continuous, Long-Term Monitoring of an Underground Natural Gas Storage Facility

Temporal variability contributes to uncertainty in inventories of methane emissions from the natural gas supply chain. Extrapolation of instantaneous, “snapshot-in-time” measurements, for example, can miss temporal intermittency and confound bottom-up/top-down comparisons. Importantly, no continuous long-term datasets record emission variability from underground natural gas storage facilities despite substantial contributions to sector-wide emissions. We present 11 months of continuous observations on a section of a storage site using dual-frequency comb spectroscopy (DCS observing system) and aircraft measurements. Here, we find high emission variability and a skewed distribution in which the 10% highest 3 h emission periods observed by the continuous DCS observing system comprise 41% of the total observed 3-hourly emissions. Monthly emission rates differ by >12×, and 3-hourly rates vary by 17× in 24 h. We find links to the operating phase of the facility—emission rates, including as a percentage of the total gas flow rate, are significantly higher during periods of injection compared to those of withdrawal. We find that if a high frequency of aircraft flights can occur, then the ground- and aircraft-based approaches show excellent agreement in emission distributions. A better understanding of emission variability at underground natural gas storage sites will improve inventories and models of methane emissions and clarify pathways toward mitigation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗