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DOE OSTI2021

Position-specific isotope effects during alkaline hydrolysis of 2,4-dinitroanisole resolved by compound-specific isotope analysis, 13 C NMR, and density-functional theory

Compound-specific isotope analysis (CSIA), position-specific isotope analysis (PSIA), and computational modeling (e.g., quantum mechanical models; reactive-transport models) are increasingly being used to monitor and predict biotic and abiotic transformations of organic contaminants in the field. However, identifying the isotope effect(s) associated with a specific transformation remains challenging in many cases. We describe and interpret the position-specific isotope effects of C and N associated with a SN 2 Ar reaction mechanism by a combination of CSIA and PSIA using quantitative 13 C nuclear magnetic resonance spectrometry, and density-functional theory, using 2,4-dinitroanisole (DNAN) as a model compound. The position-specific 13 C enrichment factor of O–C 1 bond at the methoxy group attachment site (ε C1 ) was found to be approximately -41‰, a diagnostic value for transformation of DNAN to its reaction products 2,4-dinitrophenol and methanol. Theoretical kinetic isotope effects calculated for DNAN isotopologues agreed well with the position-specific isotope effects measured by CSIA and PSIA. This combination of measurements and theoretical predictions demonstrates a useful tool for evaluating degradation efficiencies and/or mechanisms of organic contaminants and may promote new and improved applications of isotope analysis in laboratory and field investigations.

13C NMR↗

DOE OSTI2022

A thermodynamically consistent finite strain phase field approach to ductile fracture considering multi-axial stress states

Phase field models for ductile fracture have gained significant attention in the last two decades due to their ability in implicitly tracking the nucleation and propagation of cracks. However, most crack phase field formulations for elastoplastic solids focus only on the effects of plastic deformation, and do not consider the different multi-axial stress states that may arise in practical designs. In this work, a thermodynamically consistent phase field approach coupled with finite strain plasticity, considering multi-axial stress states is presented. In order to account for the coupling between plasticity and stress states, the Stress-Weighted Ductile Fracture Model (SWDFM) is utilized. The SWDFM represents a criterion for predicting ductile crack initiation under both monotonic and cyclic loadings based on histories of an internal plastic variable, stress triaxiality, and the Lode angle parameter. The excellent performance of the SWDFM for predicting ductile crack initiation motivates for its incorporation into a phase field approach for predicting both crack initiation and propagation through degradation of the fracture toughness. Moreover, based on the second law of thermodynamics, exact requirements are imposed on the rate at which the fracture toughness can evolve. Here, a novel function for degrading the plastic yield surface during the evolution of damage is introduced. This function, in line with experimental observations, leads to an accumulation of plastic deformation in damaged regions of a solid, and avoids numerical instabilities arising from concentrations of large plastic deformations in severely damaged regions. For validating the proposed model, results of computational simulations are compared to data from selected tests considering different multi-axial stress states. Comparisons of the numerical results with data from laboratory experiments demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed framework.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

First-Principles Examination of Multiple Criteria of Organic Solvent Oxidative Stability in Batteries

Oxidative instability of the liquid electrolyte at or near battery cathode oxide surfaces has significant detrimental effects on batteries. Organic solvent molecules are often the fuel and precursors of such degradation processes, releasing electrons and protons that react with cathode oxides and electrolyte anions. These reactions contribute to cathode–electrolyte interphase (CEI) film formation, transition-metal ion dissolution, and phase transformation of the surface regions of the cathode. Here we apply density functional theory calculations to examine four criteria of oxidative stability (oxidation potential, hydrogen removal energies, and initial reactivity on two types of oxide facets) using four different solvent/additive molecules (ethylene carbonate, fluoroethylene carbonate, 1,3-dioxolane, and dimethyl ether). The ranking of molecular stability differs with each criterion. Surprisingly, the all-oxygen-terminated basal planes of layered oxides exhibit lower reaction barriers than spinel surface facets with exposed transition-metal cations, especially for ether solvents; the calculations also suggest basal planes contribute to the dissolution of transition-metal ions. Further, the structure–degradation relation complexity underscores the challenge of understanding the function of the CEI but also offers a guide to future degradation-mitigation strategies including facet engineering. Our predictions and models help establish a framework for future studies relevant to high-voltage conditions.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2022

The Sensitivity of GPz Estimates of Photo-z Posterior PDFs to Realistically Complex Training Set Imperfections

The accurate estimation of photometric redshifts is crucial to many upcoming galaxy surveys, for example, the Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST). Almost all Rubin extragalactic and cosmological science requires accurate and precise calculation of photometric redshifts; many diverse approaches to this problem are currently in the process of being developed, validated, and tested. In this work, we use the photometric redshift code GPz to examine two realistically complex training set imperfections scenarios for machine learning based photometric redshift calculation: (i) where the spectroscopic training set has a very different distribution in color–magnitude space to the test set, and (ii) where the effect of emission line confusion causes a fraction of the training spectroscopic sample to not have the true redshift. By evaluating the sensitivity of GPz to a range of increasingly severe imperfections, with a range of metrics (both of photo-z point estimates as well as posterior probability distribution functions, PDFs), we quantify the degree to which predictions get worse with higher degrees of degradation. In particular, we find that there is a substantial drop-off in photo-z quality when line-confusion goes above ~1%, and sample incompleteness below a redshift of 1.5, for an experimental setup using data from the Buzzard Flock synthetic sky catalogs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Impact of Module Configuration on Lithium-Ion Battery Performance and Degradation: Part I. Energy Throughput, Voltage Spread, and Current Distribution

Batteries are commonly connected in series and parallel to create modules that fulfill the power and energy requirements of specific applications. However, conclusions about battery performance and degradation under different conditions, as well as predictive models, are often derived from single cell cycling results. In this study, we evaluate the performance of six different series-parallel configurations of commercial lithium nickel manganese cobalt cells over hundreds of cycles. Each cell within the modules was individually instrumented for voltage, current, and temperature monitoring. We quantified the impact of module configuration on overall energy throughput, the voltage spread among series-connected cells, and the current heterogeneity in parallel-connected cells. This module cycling study, one of the broadest reported to date, supports systematic evaluation of the performance trade-offs, pack penalty, and safety implications of different module configurations.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Predictive Model for Internal Magazine Temperatures

This report describes data and methodology used to predict temperatures inside magazines used to store explosive devices, based on outside temperatures from a local weather station and data logged by sensors inside a single magazine over a limited period. It follows on earlier work and predictive models. In conjunction with aging models, predicted temperatures can be used to estimate degradation in the performance of explosives over long periods of storage.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2026

Integrated Approach to Ancillary PV Component Reliability Assessment (Final Report)

In this project, we have established a nondestructive, generalized methodology that (1) fuses rich field data with advanced ML for proactive reliability forecasting, (2) dramatically reduces experimental iterations via synthetic dataset generation, and (3) achieves unprecedented regression precision in both anomaly detection and component-level degradation assessment—paving the way for truly predictive maintenance of grid-tied PV inverters under diverse outdoor conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Deciphering Degradation: Machine Learning on Real-World Performance Data (Final Report)

This project addresses a fundamental flaw in solar PV research and solar project financing; the assumed rate of degradation for solar plants. The solar industry currently relies on an out-dated report that observed a 0.5% degradation rate based on a small sample size of systems (~100). While the research conducted at the time was new and innovative, the solar community has not updated this research and universally applies this 0.5% degradation assumption in financial models. Our project updates this assumption by analyzing observed degradation from the industry’s largest dataset of operating solar assets (>10,000 systems) and creating the first machine-learning model based on these observed results to quantify and identify features that drive degradation. There are two strategic goals for this award: reduce the cost of capital (enable solar to attract more capital) and improve the reliability of solar itself. These dual goals are achieved by leveraging an industry dataset to observe system degradation on a large scale, deploying advanced data analysis and machine learning methods to quantify and predict system reliability, and engaging with industry stakeholders to help them accurately price degradation in financial models.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

Biofilm disruption enhances growth rate and carbohydrate-active enzyme production in anaerobic fungi

Anaerobic gut fungi (AGF) are lignocellulose degraders that naturally form biofilms in the rumen of large herbivores and in standard culture techniques. While biofilm formation enhances biomass degradation and carbohydrate-active enzyme (CAZyme) production in some bacteria and aerobic fungi, gene expression and metabolism in AGF biofilms have not been compared to non-biofilm cultures. Here, using the tunable morphology of the non-rhizoidal AGF, Caecomyces churrovis, the impacts of biofilm formation on AGF gene expression, metabolic flux, growth rate, and xylan degradation rate are quantified to inform future industrial scale-up efforts. Contrary to previous findings, C. churrovis upregulated catabolic CAZymes in stirred culture relative to biofilm culture. Using a de novo transcriptome, 197 new transcripts with predicted CAZyme function were identified. Stirred cultures grew and degraded xylan significantly faster than biofilm-forming cultures with negligible differences in primary metabolic flux, offering a way to accelerate AGF biomass valorization without altering the fermentation product profile. The rhizoidal AGF, Neocallimastix lanati, also grew faster with stirring on a solid plant substrate, suggesting that the advantages of stirred C. churrovis cultures may apply broadly to other AGF.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

In-Situ Liquid Cell Transmission Electron Microscopy of Nanoparticles from Spent Nuclear Fuel

Noble Metal Particles (NMP) that are present in SNF play an important role in the Fuel Matrix Degradation (FMD) Model that is being considered for predicting the release rate of radionuclides from a waste package. Previous characterization of chemically separated NMP from SNF showed that these were well-crystallized nanoparticles containing Mo, Tc, Ru, Rh, and Pd with some evidence of actinides. These same chemically separated particles were re-characterized following 10 years of storage as the separated material in water. Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy (STEM) analysis revealed that significant alteration had occurred in this material during storage, resulting in the almost complete degradation of the NMP. We hypothesized that radiolytic damaged had occurred in the material. To support these concepts, we synthesized a mixed Ru-Pd nanoparticle and subjected it to irradiation in the electron microscope in an in-situ liquid cell. We demonstrated that intense radiation can lead to the decomposition of these metallic particles.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Kinetics for the reaction between the solvated electron and dissolved oxygen in n-dodecane from 2.5 to 40 °C

Temperature-controlled, time-resolved picosecond electron pulse radiolysis was utilized to measure the rate of reaction between the solvated electron (eS–) and dissolved oxygen in n-dodecane solutions from 2.5 to 40 °C for the first time. At 20.0 °C, the reaction rate was determined to be k(eS– + O2) = (4.54 ± 0.21) × 1010 M-1 s-1, with an activation energy of Ea = 14.4 ± 1.3 kJ mol-1. These newly determined kinetic parameters are important for predicting and managing the effects of aerated environments on the degradation of organic solvents used in nuclear fuel reprocessing technologies.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2025

Comments on “Failure analysis of corroded hydrogen-blended natural gas pipelines based on finite element analysis and genetic algorithm-back propagation neural network” [262 (2025) 111174]

This is a brief commentary paper to highlight and discuss the determination of hydrogen concentration in pipeline steel, effect of hydrogen embrittlement (HE) on the mechanical properties of the material, burst strength of corroded pipelines using finite element analysis (FEA) simulations, and curve-fit models for assessing remaining strength of X80 corroded pipelines for transporting hydrogen blended natural gas. Recently, Xie et al. [1] proposed a methodology to quantify the impact of HE on material properties and numerically determined burst pressure of X80 corroded pipelines. However, their HE quantification overestimated the degradation of tensile strength for hydrogen blending ratios beyond the original data range, and their FEA results of burst pressure are nonconservative. This work thus recharacterized the hydrogen concentration in the steel pipeline and the effect of HE on tensile strength, and then redetermined burst pressures for a set of typical corrosion defect cases considered by Xie et al. [1] based on an experimentally validated FEA modelling method. With the new FEA results, two empirical corrosion models were proposed for X80 corroded pipelines for hydrogen service. At zero hydrogen blending ratio, the novel empirical models predict burst pressures to be consistent with the industry-accepted corrosion models. Furthermore, both the numerical simulation method and the novel corrosion models are significant contributions to the pipeline industry and the hydrogen community. Application of these results will enhance the safety, reliability, and integrity of natural gas pipelines when used to transport hydrogen.

Burst pressure prediction↗

DOE OSTI2025

An experimentally informed design process for future inertial confinement fusion facilities

The achievement of ignition in the laboratory has renewed interest in defining the requirements for a future high-gain inertial confinement fusion (ICF) facility. Our best chance of predicting future ICF performance is with 3-D radiation hydrodynamic simulations that have been benchmarked against experimental data, but their high computational cost is prohibitive for use in practical design studies. We introduce a hierarchical approach where 3-D simulations are tuned to match experimental measurements and used to train 3-D degradation models in 1-D simulations allowing for accurate predictions over the entire OMEGA direct-drive database. A genetic algorithm was used in combination with the trained 1-D simulations to search for optimal direct-drive implosion designs at driver energies ranging from 20 kJ to 10 MJ. As the fidelity of 3-D codes improves, this approach will provide a viable experimentally informed tool for defining the next ICF facility.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Solubility-limited depolymerization kinetics in the glycolysis of carbonyl-containing polymers

Chemical recycling of condensation polymers is often rationalized on the basis of the intrinsic reactivity of ester and carbonate functional groups. However, under heterogeneous conditions relevant to plastic waste processing and environmental degradation, bulk depolymerization rates often diverge from trends predicted by homogeneous chemistry. Here, we investigate how polymer–solvent compatibility, catalyst strength, and phase behavior govern the heterogeneous glycolysis of carbonyl-containing polymers. Using poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET), glycol-modified PET (PETG), and bisphenol-A polycarbonate (PC) as model systems, we examine depolymerization kinetics at 180 °C with ethylene glycol and bisphenol A as diols under both amphoteric organosalt (TBD : MSA) and strong base (TBD) catalysis. Despite substantial differences in crystallinity and glycol uptake, PET and PETG depolymerize at comparable rates under organosalt catalysis, while PC depolymerizes significantly more slowly under identical conditions. Time-resolved molecular weight analysis and thermal characterization demonstrate that these rate differences do not arise from crystallinity, swelling, or inherent carbonyl reactivity, but instead reflect solubility-limited kinetics that constrain the transition from heterogeneous to homogeneous reaction regimes. When polymer solubility is low, depolymerization remains heterogeneous and slow; when solubility is enhanced—either through increased polymer–diol compatibility or stronger base catalysis—rapid homogeneous depolymerization is observed, reversing apparent reactivity trends. These results establish solubility and phase behavior as primary determinants of depolymerization kinetics in heterogeneous polymer recycling systems. By demonstrating how catalyst selection and solvent compatibility can expose or overcome solubility limitations, this work provides mechanistic insight to design more energy-efficient and selective chemical recycling processes. More broadly, these findings suggest that polymers with limited solvent or water compatibility may resist chemical degradation in the environment, favoring fragmentation and persistence as micro- and nanoplastics. Understanding solubility-controlled depolymerization offers a pathway toward more sustainable polymer design and end-of-life chemical recovery.

Watson-Sanders, Shelby [Department of Chemistry, U↗

DOE OSTI2021

Comparative genome analyses suggest a hemibiotrophic lifestyle and virulence differences for the beech bark disease fungal pathogens Neonectria faginata and Neonectria coccinea

Abstract Neonectria faginata and Neonectria coccinea are the causal agents of the insect-fungus disease complex known as beech bark disease (BBD), known to cause mortality in beech forest stands in North America and Europe. These fungal species have been the focus of extensive ecological and disease management studies, yet less progress has been made toward generating genomic resources for both micro- and macro-evolutionary studies. Here, we report a 42.1 and 42.7 mb highly contiguous genome assemblies of N. faginata and N. coccinea, respectively, obtained using Illumina technology. These species share similar gene number counts (12,941 and 12,991) and percentages of predicted genes with assigned functional categories (64 and 65%). Approximately 32% of the predicted proteomes of both species are homologous to proteins involved in pathogenicity, yet N. coccinea shows a higher number of predicted mitogen-activated protein kinase genes, virulence determinants possibly contributing to differences in disease severity between N. faginata and N. coccinea. A wide range of genes encoding for carbohydrate-active enzymes capable of degradation of complex plant polysaccharides and a small number of predicted secretory effector proteins, secondary metabolite biosynthesis clusters and cytochrome oxidase P450 genes were also found. This arsenal of enzymes and effectors correlates with, and reflects, the hemibiotrophic lifestyle of these two fungal pathogens. Phylogenomic analysis and timetree estimations indicated that the N. faginata and N. coccinea species divergence may have occurred at ∼4.1 million years ago. Differences were also observed in the annotated mitochondrial genomes as they were found to be 81.7 kb (N. faginata) and 43.2 kb (N. coccinea) in size. The mitochondrial DNA expansion observed in N. faginata is attributed to the invasion of introns into diverse intra- and intergenic locations. These first draft genomes of N. faginata and N. coccinea serve as valuable tools to increase our understanding of basic genetics, evolutionary mechanisms and molecular physiology of these two nectriaceous plant pathogenic species.

Salgado-Salazar, Catalina↗

DOE OSTI2021

Monitoring Degradation of Nuclear Cable Insulation Subjected To Sequential and Simultaneous Thermal and Radiation Aging

Predicting useful remaining life of cables in nuclear power plants is a topic of growing interest as plant continue to age. A typical electrical cable consists of polymeric materials, such as the cable jacket and insulation, which are susceptible to degradation due to exposure to both elevated temperatures and gamma irradiation over decades of service. In this work two insulation materials, crosslinked polyethylene (XLPE) and ethylene propylene diene (EPDM) elastomer, were characterized to quantify aging using total color difference and indenter modulus. Since the effects of thermal and gamma radiation are not additive but coupled, the effects of different aging scenarios including sequential and simultaneous aging were also evaluated. In the case of sequential aging, two aging scenarios were explored where the order in which thermal and gamma radiation received were altered. Total color difference of XLPE showed that sequentially aged insulation specimens, which received radiation first, degraded slightly more at maximum exposure than specimens which received thermal first. Similarly, in the case of EPDM, the extent of degradation evaluated using total color difference was found to be most severe in the case of sequentially aged insulation specimens which received radiation first. Indenter modulus was found to be insensitive to aging for XLPE but trended for EPDM. The largest variations were observed for the sequentially aged insulation specimens which received radiation first, similar to what was observed for total color difference.

Pallaka, Madhusudhan Reddy↗

DOE OSTI2022

Spatiotemporal Modeling of Real World Backsheets Field Survey Data: Hierarchical (Multilevel) Generalized Additive Models

Assessing photovoltaic module backsheet durability is critical to increasing module lifetime. Laboratory-based accelerating testing has recently failed to predict large scale failures of widely adopted polymeric materials. Additionally, there is a growing concern on characterizing the non-uniformity of field exposure. Therefore, data from field surveys are critical to assess the performance of component lifetimes. Using a documented field survey protocol, 19 field surveys were conducted. The focus of this survey strategy is to investigate spatial continuity in degradation modes. By combining field survey data with real-time satellite weather data, stressor / response models have been trained. Generalized additive Models (GAM) model was created to predict the value of degradation based on measured predictors. Two different GAM constructions were testing using different implementations of basis splines. The model includes variables on the environmental stressors of the system and the location of each measurement in the PV mounting structure. The incorporation of hierarchical structure into the models allowed for material specific degradation rates, while maintaining the assumption of a global trend. The model performed well with an adjusted R2 of 0.975 for yellowness index prediction.

backsheet↗

DOE OSTI2020

Metastability and Long-Term Degradation in CIGS Devices: Effect of Alkali Treatments, Back Contact and Emitter Layers

Thin-film solar cell technologies often suffer from metastable and long-term performance degradation, which may or may not be reversible. The presence of the transient or degradation issues pose challenges for energy-yield prediction in the field for these technologies. Cu(In,Ga)(S,Se) 2 solar cells are a promising thin-film technology, however, the underlying mechanisms of instability in these devices are not well understood. The most common mechanism of metastability in CIGS solar cells has been speculated to be the configuration changes of (VSe-VCu) divacancy complex. However, the role of metastability in light soaking behavior and the effect of alkali treatments and buffer layers is not understood. The goal of the current project is to understand the effect of alkali treatments and buffer materials on metastability and light soaking behavior and develop a device model to simulate experimental results. Input parameters are taken from literature or derived from first-principle calculations, and are fine-tuned through validation experiments.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗