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NASA NTRS1987

Results from the pushbroom microwave radiometer flights over the Konza Prairie in 1985

Four flights were conducted by the NASA C-130 aircraft sensor platform bearing the 'pushbroom' microwave radiometer (PBMR) over the Konza Prairie in central Kansas in 1985, in order to monitor soil surface variations. When the brightness temperature maps thus obtained were analyzed, a striking difference was noted between burned and unburned watersheds; the latter had a very high emissivity despite having saturated soils, while the former had low values that increased with the gradual drying of the soils. The lack of sensitivity for the unburned watershed is tentatively attributed to the build-up of a thatch layer by the decaying vegetation, which serves as a good microwave absorber when wet.

Schmugge, T. J.↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wet to Dry Controls Lanthanide Scandate Synthesis

The choice of temperature and gas conditions used in a water pressure-controlled reactor is guided by density functional theory (DFT) to synthesize nearly phase pure lanthanide scandate nanoparticles (LnScO 3 , Ln = La, Nd, Sm, Gd). In this synthetic method, low water vapor partial pressures, well below water’s gas liquidus, inhibit particle growth, while an excess of water vapor results in undesired rare earth hydroxide and oxyhydroxide secondary phases. The optimal humidity for high-purity LnScO 3 particle synthesis is shown to vary with the lanthanide; DFT is used to calculate the thermodynamics of secondary phase formation for each lanthanide tested, such that the role of water vapor may be quantified and used to maintain phase purity (greater than 96 mol%) across the series. Furthermore, the combination of thermodynamic calculation and experimental confirmation with this pressure-controlled reactor provides an opportunity to explore analogous syntheses of other inorganic perovskite nanoparticles.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Scalable and Cost-Effective Roll-To-Roll Additive Manufacturing of Highly Durable and Thermal Insulating Silica-Carbon Aerogel (Final Report)

The research objective of this project is to demonstrate low cost silica aerogel insulation materials with high R-value and low installed price of R7.5/inch, and $0.94/ft2-inch, respectively, which can meet the cost and performance targets of the Department of Energy’s 2030 Building Technology Office Emerging Technologies program. The main tasks of this project include the following three topics: a) Low-cost silica gel precursor: Repeat silica sol gel chemical approach which is reproducible and scalable. Also explore suitability of water-glass on silica aerogel system to further control cost efficiency. In addition, our aim is to synthesize hollow silica using low-cost precursors. Sodium silicate (water glass) was chosen as our silica source because of its availability and low price compared to the other precursors; b) In situ ambient pressure-drying (APD) and surface modification: confirm and improve silica aerogel under cost-effective continuous ambient pressure-drying and investigate silica aerogel performance under time and temperature dependence; c) Roll-to-Roll (R2R) manufacturing with the targeted structure, thermal and mechanical characteristics: evaluate 3D printing with silica aerogel precursor to modify aerogel formation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Development of a Lower Cost, High Volume, Commercially Available, Precursor for Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Automotive and Wind Blade Applications

Essentially all carbon fibers used in structural applications are presently manufactured from solution spun polyacrylonitrile (PAN) precursor. Solution spinning is accomplished at relatively low temperatures using very large amounts of environmentally unfriendly solvents that impart major impact to line speed and costs involved with handling and reclaiming the solvents and associated “waste streams” required in spinning and extracting those solvents. Dralon and others have demonstrated the dry spinning of PAN in the production of some acrylic fibers for textile applications, but to this point it has not been demonstrated in the production of carbon fibers. In dry spinning, the PAN polymer is also dissolved into similar solvents, although typically less solvent is utilized to maintain a somewhat higher solids content of 20-50%. The use of lower overall solvent quantities and elimination of the need for solvent/water separation simplifies and reduces the cost of solvent recovery operations. Other portions of the precursor production and carbon fiber manufacturing processes are quite similar. The work described in this report demonstrated that dry spun acrylic fiber can be an attractive candidate for carbon fiber precursor of potential interest to applications looking to capture the specific stiffness (stiffness per unit mass) and specific strength (strength per unit mass) of carbon fiber when produced at a discount relative to commercial carbon fibers in the market today. Dralon has determined that the dry spinning process utilized for producing fibers used as precursors in this project requires 27% less energy versus producing comparable fibers via the industry standard wet spinning process. Identification of carbon fiber manufacturers, as well as applications development and targeted marketing, will be required to achieve significant in-roads into mission areas of interest to DOE, such as automotive applications and wind turbine blades. In support of that activity, initial data produced in this project indicate the innovative approach as described in this report can meet at least the baseline property requirements identified for these applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dry electrodes with a printed cellulose–graphene ink for low-profile strain sensors in electromyography

Dihydrolevoglucosenone, commonly known as Cyrene, is a renewable and fully biodegradable cellulose-waste derived, environmentally friendly solvent, presenting a non-toxic alternative to N-methyl-2-pyrrolidone (NMP). Currently, solution-based processing of graphene and other similar van der Waals solids favor toxic solvents such as NMP, limiting their use for biosensing. However, with the use of Cyrene, bio-compatible printable devices are possible, and studies have already demonstrated its use in temperature and other biosensing methods through screen-printing. Screen-printing unfortunately often requires masks that constrain the minimum acquirable feature size to be above hundreds of centimeters and wastes material, adding to process complexity and cost. Conversely, inkjet-printing is an attractive alternative for the maskless patterning of hierarchically assembled structures, with micron length scales attainable. Graphene's high conductivity positions it ideally for long-wear sensors such as dry electrodes or respiration monitors. Here, we demonstrate the potential of Cyrene-based graphene inks through few-layer inkjet printing on flexible substrates for the first time, to produce non-toxic conductors toward a strain-mediated mechanism for biosensing, used to detect bodily motion for wearable electronics. The challenges overcome in this study include engineering ink chemistry and printing parameters such that Cyrene's relatively high viscosity compared to typical inkjet solvents, still allows for droplet ejection in a conventional material printer, yielding well-resolved clean line-edges in contrast to other solvents that exhibit diffuse line-edges possibly from stray droplets and ink-splashing. Temperature-dependent transport measurements on the inkjet-printed Cyrene-based graphene films showed the conductivity to be largely temperature-invariant but at lower temperatures below 100 K, conductivity decreased, likely as a result of increased inter-membrane separation arising from thermal contraction. Additionally, temperature-dependent Raman spectroscopy showed the red-shift in the G-band, 2D-band and D-band peaks, as temperature increased. As a result, by validating flexion motion detection of the proximal interphalangeal joint demonstrated in this study, our work is the first of its kind to successfully additively manufacture inkjet-printed Cyrene-based graphene strain sensors on flexible substrates for bio-sensing and wearables.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2000

Sensing Water Vapon via Spacecraft Radio Occultation Observations

The radio occultation technique has been used to characterize planetary atmospheres since the 1960's spanning atmospheric pressures from 16 microbars to several bars. In 1988, the use of GPS signals to make occultation observations of Earth's atmosphere was realized by Tom Yunck and Gunnar Lindal at JPL. In the GPS to low-Earth-orbiter limb- viewing occultation geometry, Fresnel diffraction yield a unique combination of high vertical resolution of 100 m to 1 km at long wavelengths (approx. 20 cm) insensitive to particulate scattering which allows routine limb sounding from the lower mesosphere through the troposphere. A single orbiting GPS/GLONASS receiver can observe - 1000 to 1400 daily occultations providing as many daily, high vertical resolution soundings as the present global radiosonde network, but with far more evenly distributed, global coverage. The occultations yield profiles of refractivity as a function of height. In the cold, dry conditions of the upper troposphere and above (T less than 240 K), profiles of density, pressure (geopotential), and temperature can be derived. Given additional temperature information, water vapor can be derived in the midddle and lower troposphere with a unique combination of vertical resolution, global distribution and insensitivity to clouds and precipitation to an accuracy of approx. 0.2 g/kg. At low latitudes, moisture profiles will be accurate to 1-5% within the convective boundary layer and better than 20% below 6 to 7 km. Accuracies of climatological averages should be approx. 0. 1 g/kg limited by the biases in the temperature estimates. To use refractivity to constrain water vapor, knowledge of temperature is required. The simplest approach is to use the temperature field from an analysis such as the 6 hour ECMWF global analysis interpolated to the locations of each occultation. A better approach is to combine the temperature and moisture fields from such an analysis with the occultation refractivity in a weighting scheme based on the errors in each data field. A ID variational combinational approach has been developed at the UKMO. We win present results from both approaches from GPS/MET data taken in June and July 1995 and compare them with the ECMWF global 6 hour moisture analyses which are derived largely from TOVS and radiosonde data. Overall, the atmosphere below the 500 mb level appears somewhat drier in general than the ECNIWF humidity field. A 2-D (latitude vs. height) climatological snapshot derived from a 2-week span of GPS/MET data will be compared to the humidity climatology of Peixoto and Oort derived from radiosonde data from 1963-1973. Differences between the GPS results and Peixoto and Oort may be the signature of a climate trend over the past 30 years.

Kursinski, E. Robert↗

DOE OSTI2023

Wildland Fires in the Subtropical Hill Forests of Southeastern Bangladesh

The first ever comprehensive study on wildland fires in Bangladesh is carried out to develop a fire prevention and prediction method. The major causes of huge wildland fires (88%) in the subtropical Chittagong Hill forest (43% of total) of southern Bangladesh are reported as shifting cultivation, grazing and unauthorized settlement. We used satellite hotspot (HS) data from 2003 to 2021 (a total of 54,669 HSs) to clarify the spatio-temporal structure of wildland fires. Fire weather conditions were analyzed using various weather data and synoptic-scale weather maps at different air levels. Fires concentrated from March through April or a transitional period from the dry season, caused by the Asian winter monsoon, to the wet season, due to the Asian summer monsoon. Fire occurrence depended on dry conditions and pre-monsoon showers and their timing. The difference in 925 hPa heights of high and low pressure systems may be attributed to the different types of the Asian winter and summer monsoons. The average maximum air temperature and incident shortwave solar energy in April were the highest and strongest, contributing fire-prone weather conditions. Based on the analysis, a fire prevention and prediction method will be developed, and this report may also facilitate the establishment of future CO 2 reduction measures for Bangladesh.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Nanowire-Based Materials as Coke-Resistant Catalyst Supports for Dry Methane Reforming

In this paper, nanowire-supported catalysts loaded with nickel are shown to be coke resistant compared to nanoparticle-supported catalysts. Specifically, Ni-loaded titania-based nanowire catalysts were tested with the dry methane reforming process in a laboratory-scale continuous packed-bed atmospheric reactor. The CO 2 conversion rate stayed above 90% for over 30 h on stream under coke-promoting conditions, such as high flow rates, low temperatures, and a high ratio of CH 4 to CO 2 . The coke (C x H y , x>>y) on the spent catalyst surface for both nanowire- and nanoparticle-supported catalysts was characterized by TGA, temperature-programmed reduction (TPR), and electron microscopy (SEM/TEM/EDS), and it was revealed that the types of carbon species present and their distribution over the morphology-enhanced materials played a major role in the deactivation. The CO 2 conversion activity of Ni supported on titania nanoparticles was reduced from ~80% to less than 72% in 30 h due to the formation of a graphitic coke formation. On the other hand, Ni particles supported on nanowires exhibited cube-octahedral morphologies, with a high density of non- (111) surface sites responsible for the increased activity and reduced graphitic coke deposition, giving a sustained and stable catalytic activity during a long time-on-stream experiment.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS1995

Low-temperature and low atmospheric pressure infrared reflectance spectroscopy of Mars soil analog materials

Infrared reflectance spectra of carefully selected Mars soil analog materials have been measured under low atmospheric pressures and temperatures. Chemically altered montmorillonites containing ferrihydrite and hydrated ferric sulfate complexes are examined, as well as synthetic ferrihydrate and a palagonitic soil from Haleakala, Maui. Reflectance spectra of these analog materials exhibit subtle visible to near-infrared features, which are indicative of nanophase ferric oxides or oxyhydroxides and are similar to features observed in the spectra of the bright regions of Mars. Infrared reflectance spectra of these analogs include hydration features due to structural OH, bound H2O and adsorbed H2O. The spectal character of these hydration features is highly dependent on the sample environment and on the nature of the H2O/OH in the analogs. The behavior of the hydration features near 1.9 micrometers, 2.2 micrometers, 2.7 micrometers, 3 micrometers, and 6 micrometers are reported here in spetra measured under Marslike atmospheric environment. In spectra of these analogs measured under dry Earth atmospheric conditions the 1.9-micrometer band depth is 8-17%; this band is much stonger under moist conditions. Under Marslike atmospheric conditions the 1.9-micrometer feature is broad and barely discernible (1-3% band depth) in spectra of the ferrihydrite and palagonitic soil samples. In comparable spectra of the ferric sulfate-bearing montmorillonite the 1.9-micrometer feature is also broad, but stronger (6% band depth). In the low atmospheric pressure and temperature spectra of the ferrihydrite-bearing montmorillonite this feature is sharper than the other analogs and relatively stronger (6% band depth). Although the intensity of the 3- micrometer band is weaker in spectra of each of the analogs when measured under Marslike conditions, the 3-micromter band remains a dominant feature and is especially broad in spectra of the ferrihydrite and palagonitic soil. The structural OH features observed in these materials at 2.2-2.3 micrometers and 2.27 micrometers remain largely unaffected by the environmental conditions. A shift in the Christiansen feature towards shorter wavelengths has also been observed with decreasing atmospheric pressure and temperature in the midinfrared spectra of these samples.

Bishop, Janice L.↗

NASA NTRS1995

Low-temperature and low atmospheric pressure infrared reflectance spectroscopy of Mars soil analog materials

Infrared reflectance spectra of carefully selected Mars soil analog materials have been measured under low atmospheric pressures and temperatures. Chemically altered montmorillonites containing ferrihydrite and hydrated ferric sulfate complexes are examined, as well as synthetic ferrihydrite and a palagonitic soil from Haleakala, Maui. Reflectance spectra of these analog materials exhibit subtle visible to near-infrared features, which are indicative of nanophase ferric oxides or oxyhydroxides and are similar to features observed in the spectra of the bright regions of Mars. Infrared reflectance spectra of these analogs include hydration features due to structural OH, bound H2O, and adsorbed H2O. The spectral character of these hydration features is highly dependent on the sample environment and on the nature of the H2O/OH in the analogs. The behavior of the hydration features near 1.9 micron, 2.2 micron, 2.7 micron, 3 micron, and 6 microns are reported here in spectra measured under a Marslike atmospheric environment. In spectra of these analogs measured under dry Earth atmospheric conditions the 1.9-micron band depth is 8-17%; this band is much stronger under moist conditions. Under Marslike atmospheric conditions the 1.9-micron feature is broad and barely discernible (1-3% band depth) in spectra of the ferrihydrite and palagonitic soil samples. In comparable spectra of the ferric sulfate-bearing montmorillonite the 1.9-micron feature is also broad, but stronger (6% band depth). In the low atmospheric pressure and temperature spectra of the ferrihydrite-bearing montmorillonite this feature is sharper than the other analogs and relatively stronger (6% band depth). Although the intensity of the 3-micron band is weaker in spectra of each of the analogs when measured under Marslike conditions, the 3-micron band remains a dominant feature and is especially broad in spectra of the ferrihydrite and palagonitic soil. The structural OH features observed in these materials at 2.2-2.3 micron and 2.75 microns remain largely unaffected by the environmental conditions. A shift in the Christiansen feature towards shorter wavelengths has also been observed with decreasing atmospheric pressure and temperature in the midinfrared spectra of these samples.

Bishop, Janice L.↗

NASA NTRS2016

Food Fortification Stability Study

NASA has established the goal of traveling beyond low-Earth orbit and extending manned exploration to Mars. The length of proposed Mars missions and the lack of resupply missions increases the importance of nutritional content in the food system, which will need a five year shelf life. The purpose of this research is to assess the stability of vitamin supplementation in traditionally processed spaceflight foods. It is expected that commercially available fortification nutrients will remain stable through a long duration exploration mission at sufficient levels if compatible formulation, processing, and storage temperatures are achieved. Five vitamins (vitamin E, vitamin K, pantothenic acid, folic acid, and thiamin) were blended into a vitamin premix (DSM, Freeport, TX) such that the vitamin concentration per serving equaled 25% of the recommended daily intake after two years of ambient storage. Four freeze-dried foods (Scrambled Eggs, Italian Vegetables, Potatoes Au Gratin, Noodles and Chicken) and four thermostabilized foods (Curry Sauce with Vegetables, Chicken Noodle Soup, Grilled Pork Chop, Rice with Butter) were produced, with and without the vitamin premix, to assess the impact of the added fortification on color and taste and to determine the stability of supplemental vitamins in spaceflight foods. The addition of fortification to spaceflight foods did not greatly alter the organoleptic properties of most products. In most cases, overall acceptability scores remained above 6.0 (minimum acceptable score) following six months and one year of low-temperature storage. Likewise, the color of fortified products appears to be preserved over one year of storage. The only exception was Grilled pork Chop and Chicken Noodle Soup whose individual components appear to degrade rapidly over one year of storage. Finally, most vitamins appear to be stable during long-term storage. The only exception was thiamin, which degraded rapidly during the first year of storage at 35˚C. It was previously believed that the imprecise method of fortification would prove problematic for nutrient quantification; however this was only an issue in stored samples of Grilled Pork Chop, Italian Vegetables and Curry Sauce with Vegetables. Year two data may further reveal the extent to which this is a problem, as well as identify overall quality changes over time.

Sirmons, T.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Atmospheric Rivers Impacting Northern California Exhibit a Quasi-Decadal Frequency

Periods of water surplus and deficit in Northern California follow a pronounced quasi-decadal cycle. This cycle is largely driven by the frequency of atmospheric rivers (ARs), affecting the region’s wet and dry periods. Our analyses demonstrate that the quasi-decadal cycle of AR frequency relies on moisture transport associated with the position and intensity of the Aleutian Low. In observations, the Aleutian Low is shown to covary with tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. A modeling experiment, which incorporates ocean observations from the equatorial Pacific into the fully coupled climate model, provides support that the quasi-decadal cycle of the Aleutian Low is forced by the tropical Pacific. Subsequently, the tropical Pacific modulates the wet season moisture transport toward California on decadal time scales, affecting AR frequency. These results provide metrics for improving interannual-to-decadal prediction of AR activity, which drives hydrological cycles in Northern California.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Exploratory Precipitation Metrics: Spatiotemporal Characteristics, Process-Oriented, and Phenomena-Based

Abstract Precipitation sustains life and supports human activities, making its prediction one of the most societally relevant challenges in weather and climate modeling. Limitations in modeling precipitation underscore the need for diagnostics and metrics to evaluate precipitation in simulations and predictions. While routine use of basic metrics is important for documenting model skill, more sophisticated diagnostics and metrics aimed at connecting model biases to their sources and revealing precipitation characteristics relevant to how model precipitation is used are critical for improving models and their uses. This paper illustrates examples of exploratory diagnostics and metrics including 1) spatiotemporal characteristics metrics such as diurnal variability, probability of extremes, duration of dry spells, spectral characteristics, and spatiotemporal coherence of precipitation; 2) process-oriented metrics based on the rainfall–moisture coupling and temperature–water vapor environments of precipitation; and 3) phenomena-based metrics focusing on precipitation associated with weather phenomena including low pressure systems, mesoscale convective systems, frontal systems, and atmospheric rivers. Together, these diagnostics and metrics delineate the multifaceted and multiscale nature of precipitation, its relations with the environments, and its generation mechanisms. The metrics are applied to historical simulations from phases 5 and 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Models exhibit diverse skill as measured by the suite of metrics, with very few models consistently ranked as top or bottom performers compared to other models in multiple metrics. Analysis of model skill across metrics and models suggests possible relationships among subsets of metrics, motivating the need for more systematic analysis to understand model biases for informing model development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS2017

Food Fortification Stability Study

NASA has established the goal of traveling beyond low-Earth orbit and extending manned exploration to Mars. The length of proposed Mars missions and the lack of resupply missions increases the importance of nutritional content in the food system, which will need a five-year shelf life. The purpose of this research is to assess the stability of vitamin supplementation in traditionally processed spaceflight foods. It is expected that commercially available fortification nutrients will remain stable through a long duration exploration mission at sufficient levels if compatible formulation, processing, and storage temperatures are achieved. Five vitamins (vitamin E, vitamin K, pantothenic acid, folic acid, and thiamin) were blended into a vitamin premix (DSM, Freeport, TX) such that the vitamin concentration per serving equaled 25% of the recommended daily intake after two years of ambient storage. Four freeze-dried foods (Scrambled Eggs, Italian Vegetables, Potatoes Au Gratin, Noodles and Chicken) and four thermo-stabilized foods (Curry Sauce with Vegetables, Chicken Noodle Soup, Grilled Pork Chop, Rice with Butter) were produced, with and without the vitamin premix, to assess the impact of the added fortification on color and taste and to determine the stability of supplemental vitamins in spaceflight foods. The addition of fortification to spaceflight foods did not greatly alter the organoleptic properties of most products. In most cases, overall acceptability scores remained above 6.0 (minimum acceptable score) following six months and one year of low-temperature storage. Likewise, the color of fortified products appears to be preserved over one year of storage. The only exceptions were Grilled pork Chop and Chicken Noodle Soup whose individual components appeareddegrade rapidly over one year of storage. Finally, most vitamins appeared to be stable during long-term storage. The only exception was thiamin, which degraded rapidly during the first year of storage at 35˚C. It was previously believed that the imprecise method of fortification would prove problematic for nutrient quantification; however, this was only an issue in stored samples of Grilled Pork Chop, Italian Vegetables and Curry Sauce with Vegetables. Year two data may further reveal the extent to which this is a problem, as well as identify overall quality changes over time.

Sirmons, T.↗

NASA NTRS1996

Low Temperature Mechanical Testing of Carbon-Fiber/Epoxy-Resin Composite Materials

The use of cryogenic fuels (liquid oxygen and liquid hydrogen) in current space transportation vehicles, in combination with the proposed use of composite materials in such applications, requires an understanding of how such materials behave at cryogenic temperatures. In this investigation, tensile intralaminar shear tests were performed at room, dry ice, and liquid nitrogen temperatures to evaluate the effect of temperature on the mechanical response of the IM7/8551-7 carbon-fiber/epoxy-resin system. Quasi-isotropic lay-ups were also tested to represent a more realistic lay-up. It was found that the matrix became both increasingly resistant to microcracking and stiffer with decreasing temperature. A marginal increase in matrix shear strength with decreasing temperature was also observed. Temperature did not appear to affect the integrity of the fiber-matrix bond.

Nettles, Alan T.↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Zero-Emission Process for Direct Reduction of Iron by Hydrogen Plasma in a Rotary Kiln Reactor

This project’s goal was to demonstrate a hydrogen plasma (H-plasma)-rotary kiln process for reducing iron ore to iron as part of the steel manufacturing process. The H-plasma provides a greater thermodynamic driving force for reducing iron ores than thermal processes such as the DRI process, enabling lower reaction temperatures. We estimated that our process technology can reduce energy consumption by 45% compared to the blast furnace process and ~15% compared to the DRI process. Steel manufacturing produces about 1.8 tons of CO2/ton of steel with iron ore reduction accounting for about one-third of the CO2 produced in the overall manufacturing process. We estimated our process has the potential to reduce GHG emissions from ironmaking by 35% with today’s grid and by up to 88% with a future low-carbon grid while being cost competitive with the current blast furnace route. We demonstrated reduction of hematite and magnetite rich materials at temperatures from 600 to 800°C. We achieved 90-95% metallization on 100 gr samples in batch reduction experiments in the H-plasma rotary kiln furnace at 600-650°C. Attempts to perform tests in a continuous operation mode identified problems with the ore feed mechanism. We identified solutions but there was not time nor budget to correct these for this project

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Zero-Emission Process for Direct Reduction of Iron by Hydrogen Plasma in a Rotary Kiln Reactor

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2025

Elevated Forest Canopy Loss After Wildfires in Moist and Cool Forests in the Pacific Northwest

Wildfire frequency, intensity, and rate of spread are increasing across the Western U.S, resulting in more severe ecosystem impacts. Significant tree mortality can occur years after fire events, but this has received little attention compared to the immediate tree loss during a fire. We overlapped forest cover loss data with burn severity maps in the U.S. Pacific Northwest and quantified the total and delayed forest canopy loss after fires. We found that wildfires resulted in total canopy loss fraction (CLF) of 84%, 53%, and 22% within 3 years in areas burned at high, moderate, and low severity, respectively. The delayed canopy loss accounted for approximately 1/3, 1/2, and 2/3 of the total canopy loss for high, moderate, and low severity burns. Delayed canopy loss was greater in moist and cool areas than in dry and warm areas, likely because tree species in wetter environments were less adapted to survive when fires did occur. Across all forests, delayed CLF doubled as temperature increased from the climatological mean to a hot anomaly and tripled as vapor pressure deficit increased from a wet anomaly to a dry anomaly. Fire impacts on forest ecosystems are likely to intensify under future climate scenarios as wildfires expand into areas that historically experienced infrequent fires. The impacts can also be exacerbated by more frequent compound extreme events, such as droughts, heatwaves, and fires. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted forest management strategies, particularly in mesic forests, to mitigate future fire impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗