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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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195 records · Page 11

OGLE-2018-BLG-0022: First Prediction of an Astrometric Microlensing Signal from a Photometric Microlensing Event

In this work, we present the analysis of the binary microlensing event OGLE-2018-BLG-0022 that is detected toward the Galactic bulge field. The dense and continuous coverage with the high-quality photometry data from ground-based observations combined with the space-based Spitzer observations of this long timescale event enables us to uniquely determine the masses M 1 = 0.40 ± 0.05 M ⊙ and M 2 = 0.13 ± 0.01 M ⊙ of the individual lens components. Because the lens-source relative parallax and the vector lens-source relative proper motion are unambiguously determined, we can likewise unambiguously predict the astrometric offset between the light centroid of the magnified images (as observed by the Gaia satellite) and the true position of the source. This prediction can be tested when the individual-epoch Gaia astrometric measurements are released.

Cheongho Han↗

Influence of regional anthropogenic changes over Nile region on the climate system during the late Holocene (~2500 years before present)

The societal impacts of climate change during the late Holocene leads to regional anthropogenic changes over the Nile region floodplain and could have acted in tandem with natural factors like major volcanic eruptions on the regional climate system to magnify the local climatic impacts. This study aims to explore and investigate the sensitivity of climatic changes to the regional anthropogenic changes due to various factors over the Nile river floodplains during the late-Holocene (2.5K years before present). The GISS ModelE Earth system model will be used to simulate the various scenarios of regional increasing/decreasing river fraction, changes in vegetation type and cover, along with changes in land surface type against the no-changes scenario in absence of volcanic eruptions. The spatial coverage of the Nile river basin is estimated using the GIS shapefile based on elevation data from Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) at 3 Arc-seconds (approx. 90-meter) horizontal resolution. The extent of flooding in the model grid (2.0°x2.5° in latitude and longitude) is estimated using the existing high-resolution (0.125°x0.125°) gridded topographic elevation information and mapped over the Nile river floodplains. This study also focuses on evaluating the NASA GISS ModelE for resolving the climate feedbacks and response on climate system due to anthropogenic changes and volcanic eruptions. It is also aimed to analyze and quantify the impact of various anthropogenic factors over the African monsoon system and rainfall over the region, which feeds the Nile River.

Anthropogenic changes↗

Climate change reshapes the drivers of false spring risk across European trees

(1) Temperate forests are shaped by late spring freezes after budburst—false springs—which may shift with climate change. Research to date has generated conflicting results, potentially because few studies focus on the multiple underlying drivers of false spring risk. (2) Here, we assessed the effects of mean spring temperature, distance from the coast, elevation and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) using PEP725 leafout data for six tree species across 11648 sites in Europe, to determine which were the strongest predictors of false spring risk and how these predictors shifted with climate change. (3) All predictors influenced false spring risk before recent warming, but their effects have shifted in both magnitude and direction with warming. These shifts have potentially magnified the variation in false spring risk among species with an increase in risk for early‐leafout species (i.e., Aesculus hippocastanum , Alnus glutinosa , Betula pendula ) versus a decline or no change in risk among late‐leafout species (i.e., Fagus sylvatica , Fraxinus excelsior , Quercus robur ). (4) Our results show how climate change has reshaped the drivers of false spring risk, complicating forecasts of future false springs, and potentially reshaping plant community dynamics given uneven shifts in risk across species.

false spring↗

Climate change reshapes the drivers of false spring risk across European trees

Temperate and boreal forests are shaped by late spring freezing events after budburst, which are also known as false springs. Research has generated conflicting results on whether or not these events will change with climate change, potentially because---to date---no study has compared the myriad climatic and geographic factors that contribute to a plant's risk of a false spring. We assessed and compared the strength of the effects of mean spring temperature, distance from the coast, elevation and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) using PEP725 leafout data for six temperate, decidious tree species across 11,648 sites in Central Europe and how these predictors shifted with climate change. Across species before recent warming, mean spring temperature and distance from the coast were the strongest predictors, with higher mean spring temperatures associated with decreased risk in false springs (–7.64% per 2°C increase) and sites further from the coast experiencing an increased risk (5.32% per 150km from the coast). Elevation (2.23% per 200m increase in elevation) and NAO index (1.91% per 0.3 increase) also increased false spring risk. With climate change, elevation and distance from coast---i.e., the geographic factors---remain relatively stable, while climatic factors shifted in magnitude for mean spring temperature (down to -2.84% in risk per 2°C), and in direction, with positive NAO phases leading to lower risk (-9.15% per 0.3). The residual effects of climate change---unexplained by the climatic and geographic factors already included in the model---magnified the species-level variation in risk, with risk increasing among early-leafout species (i.e., Aesculus hippocastanum, Alnus glutinosa and Betula pendula) but a decline or no change in risk among late-leafout species (i.e., Fagus sylvatica, Fraxinus excelsior and Quercus robur). Our results show that climate change has reshaped the major drivers of false spring risk and highlight how considering multiple factors can yield a better understanding of the complexities of climate change.

Climate change↗

Biofilm Management in a Microgravity Water Recovery System

Biofilm growth continues to be a significant concern for NASA’s current and future water systems. The International Space Station (ISS) Water Processor Assembly (WPA) produces potable water from a combination of humidity condensate and urine distillate. The WPA waste tank requires significant management to prevent biofilm growth from impacting downstream components. This issue is magnified for future NASA manned missions due to the need to place the vehicle’s life support system in a dormant state during uncrewed operations (e.g., when the vehicle is in Mars orbit during the surface mission). NASA personnel and the Center for Biofilm Engineering at Montana State University are evaluating various methods for mitigating biofilm growth, including reduced nutrient levels, thermal treatment, sonic waves treatment, and identifying effective biocides in this application. This paper provides an overview of the current status of this effort.

Yo-ann Velez Justiniano↗

REQUIEM-2D Methodology: Spatially Resolved Stellar Populations of Massive Lensed Quiescent Galaxies from Hubble Space Telescope 2D Grism Spectroscopy

We present a novel Bayesian methodology to jointly model photometry and deep Hubble Space Telescope 2D grism spectroscopy of high-redshift galaxies. Our requiem2d code measures both unresolved and resolved stellar populations, ages, and star formation histories (SFHs) for the ongoing REsolving QUIEscent Magnified (REQUIEM) Galaxies Survey, which targets strong gravitationally lensed quiescent galaxies at z ∼ 2. We test the accuracy of requiem2d using a simulated sample of massive galaxies at z ∼ 2 from the Illustris cosmological simulation and find that we recover the general trends in SFH and median stellar ages. We further present a pilot study for the REQUIEM Galaxies Survey: MRG-S0851, a quintuply imaged, massive (log M ⁎ / M ʘ = 11.02 ± 0.04) red galaxy at z = 1.883 ± 0.001. With an estimated gravitational magnification of µ = 5.7 - 0.2 + 0.4, we sample the stellar populations on 0.6 kpc physical size bins. The global mass-weighted median age is constrained to be 1.8 - 0.2 + 0.3 Gyr, and our spatially resolved analysis reveals that MRG-S0851 has a flat age gradient in the inner 3 kpc core after taking into account the subtle effects of dust and metallicity on age measurements, favoring an early formation scenario. The analysis for the full REQUIEM-2D sample will be presented in a forthcoming paper with a beta release of the requiem2d code.

Strong gravitational lensing↗

Analysis of Impacts of Terminal Restrictions on Departures in D10 TRACON

The D10 – Dallas-Fort Worth Terminal Radar Approach CONtrol (TRACON) is an air traffic facility that controls and manages aircraft and airspace that consists of multiple airports located in the North Texas area. From an air traffic management standpoint, one of the main challenges in the D10 TRACON is the departure fix capacity as multiple airports compete for resources. This problem is magnified when en route demand/capacity imbalance and inclement weather around the TRACON reduce the capacity at the terminal fixes. This leads to multiple, dynamic Traffic Management Initiative (TMI) restrictions being issued by the Air Traffic Control (ATC) on departing flights. This, in turn, propagates delay to the surface of each airport within the metroplex. The NASA Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2) Phase 3 is deployed in D10 to demonstrate new technologies developed to manage the Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface (IADS) traffic in a metroplex environment where multiple airports are interacting and sharing resources at the terminal boundary. This paper uses the ATD-2 terminal restriction data collected in the D10 TRACON to quantify the impact of restrictions on the demand, analyze the relation between terminal restrictions and departure taxi time on airport surface, and establish relationships between restrictions and surface delay. We found that the restrictions on departure flights have a direct adverse effect on departure excess taxi time on the airport surface.

ATD-2↗

Analysis of Impacts of Terminal Restrictions on Departures in D10 TRACON

The D10 – Dallas-Fort Worth Terminal Radar Approach CONtrol (TRACON) is an air traffic facility that controls and manages aircraft and airspace that consists of multiple airports located in the North Texas area. From an air traffic management standpoint, one of the main challenges in the D10 TRACON is the departure fix capacity as multiple airports compete for resources. This problem is magnified when en route demand/capacity imbalance and inclement weather around the TRACON reduce the capacity at the terminal fixes. This leads to multiple, dynamic Traffic Management Initiative (TMI) restrictions being issued by the Air Traffic Control (ATC) on departing flights. This, in turn, propagates delay to the surface of each airport within the metroplex. The NASA Airspace Technology Demonstration 2 (ATD-2) Phase 3 is deployed in D10 to demonstrate new technologies developed to manage the Integrated Arrival, Departure, and Surface (IADS) traffic in a metroplex environment where multiple airports are interacting and sharing resources at the terminal boundary. This paper uses the ATD-2 terminal restriction data collected in the D10 TRACON to quantify the impact of restrictions on the demand, analyze the relation between terminal restrictions and departure taxi time on airport surface, and establish relationships between restrictions and surface delay. We found that the restrictions on departure flights have a direct adverse effect on departure excess taxi time on the airport surface.

ATD-2↗

Fault Detection and Performance Monitoring of Propellers in Electric UAV

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are used in various industries such as agriculture and logistics, to name but a few, where their applications are beyond basic mapping, surveillance, and photography. In near future, UAVs are expected to be used in package delivery service and larger electric vertical takeoff and landing vehicles will be employed for urban air mobility applications (air taxi). Thus, several electric propulsion systems will enter the low-altitude airspace with frequent take offs and landings. To achieve state-of-the-art safety standards under such high traffic density, UAVs will require in-time fault detection and performance monitoring of critical powertrain components. This work focuses on propeller blade performance and damage detection in electric UAVs. Propellers are the fastest moving component in an UAV; even a minor defect in the propeller blades could cause performance deterioration, with consequent challenges in flying through the planned trajectory or adhere to the safety requirements of the operation. Monitoring and updating aerodynamic efficiency of each rotor would therefore enable the detection of off-nominal propeller conditions thus magnifying the state-awareness of powertrain monitoring systems based on the acquired electrical signals. We use an extended Kalman filter-based parameter estimation algorithm that incorporates time history responses from UAV powertrain in conjunction with a full powertrain system model. Propeller fault detection is achieved by incorporating the aerodynamic parameters of propeller into the powertrain model. The proposed technique is successfully validated with numerical simulations.

Unmanned aerial vehicles↗

Next-generation wildlife tracking devices and integrated sensors for measuring species-environment interactions and advancing conservation

Global land use and climate change have magnified the importance of collecting accurate animal movement and environmental data to improve our ability to model species interactions with the environment and promote effective conservation. Advanced animal tracking devices that couple cutting-edge technologies with our expanding need for ecological information is critical. In addition to further optimizing device size to monitor small, sensitive species, new paradigms for collecting, storing, and transmitting data about animals and their environments will propel wildlife tracking devices forward. Advanced telemetry capabilities will increase our ability to pair location and sensor data from tagged wildlife with remote sensing data. The USGS Western Ecological Research Center, NASA Ames Research Center, and collaborators have been developing new wildlife tracking devices and integrated environmental sensors to address these challenges. We describe a new, miniaturized solar GPS-enabled Globalstar satellite transmitter with accelerometer capability that is 20% lighter and 25% less expensive than existing commercially available tags. We also introduce a novel peer-to-peer, solar-powered network tag that uses long-range, low-power, wireless platform technology. Concurrently, we began adapting a carbon nanotube (CNT) sensor to detect dimethyl sulfide (DMS), a trace gas relevant to marine ecology and climate studies. CNT sensors offer a small, lightweight, and low-power technology that can detect changes in resistance across carbon nanotubes coated with adsorbent selected to specifically bind with a variety of reactive trace gasses. We flew a prototype sensor in a small UAS and sampled an apparent increase in DMS concentration consistent with a well-defined marine frontal boundary. Currently we are integrating project components to create a hybridized architecture of networked peer-to-peer and satellite tags with integrated CNT and additional on-board and remote sensors to advance animal tracking and to provide information for next generation wildlife conservation.

Ian G. Brosnan↗

Extreme Lows of Wheat Production in Brazil

Wheat production in Brazil is insufficient to meet domestic demand and falls drastically in response to adverse climate events. Multiple, agro-climate-specific regression models, quantifying regional production variability, were combined to estimate national production based on past climate, cropping area, trend-corrected yield, and national commodity prices. Projections with five CMIP6 climate change models suggest extremes of low wheat production historically occurring once every 20 years would become up to 90% frequent by the end of this century, depending on representative concentration pathway, magnified by wheat and in some cases by maize price fluctuations. Similar impacts can be expected for other crops and in other countries. This drastic increase in frequency in extreme low crop production with climate change will threaten Brazil's and many other countries progress toward food security and abolishing hunger.

Brazil↗

Supervised Autonomy for Communication-Degraded Subterranean Exploration by a Robot Team

The importance of autonomy in robotics is magnified when the robots need to be deployed and operated in areas that are too dangerous or not accessible for humans, ranging from disaster areas (to assist in emergency situations) to Mars exploration (to uncover the mystery of our neighboring planet). The DARPA Subterranean (SubT) Challenge presents a great opportunity and a formidable robotics challenge to foster such technological advancement for operations in extreme and underground environments. Robot teams are expected to rapidly map, navigate, and search underground environments including natural cave networks, tunnel systems, and urban underground infrastructure. Subterranean environments pose significant challenges for manned and unmanned operations due to limited situational awareness. In the first phase of the DARPA Subterranean Challenge (held in August 2019; targeting underground tunnels and mines), Team CoSTAR, led by NASA JPL, placed second among 11 teams across the world, accurately mapping several kilometers of two mine systems and localizing 17 target objects in the course of four one-hour missions. While the main goal of Team CoSTAR at the end of this threeyear challenge (August 2021) is a fully autonomous robotic solution, this paper describes Team CoSTAR’s results in the first phase of the challenge (August 2019), focusing on supervised autonomy of a multi-robot team under severe communication constraints. This paper also presents the design and initial results obtained from field test campaigns conducted in various tunnel-like environments, leading to the competition.

Otsu, Kyohei↗

OGLE-2019-BLG-0960 Lb: the Smallest Microlensing Planet

We report the analysis of OGLE-2019-BLG-0960, which contains the smallest mass-ratio microlensing planet found to date (q = 1.2–1.6 × 10^(−5) at 1σ). Although there is substantial uncertainty in the satellite parallax measured by Spitzer, the measurement of the annual parallax effect combined with the finite source effect allows us to determine the mass of the host star (M(L) = 0.3–0.6 Mꙩ), the mass of its planet (m(p) = 1.4–3.1 Mꚛ), the projected separation between the host and planet (a(⊥) = 1.2–2.3 au), and the distance to the lens system (D(L) = 0.6–1.2 kpc). The lens is plausibly the blend, which could be checked with adaptive optics observations. As the smallest planet clearly below the break in the mass-ratio function, it demonstrates that current experiments are powerful enough to robustly measure the slope of the mass-ratio function below that break. We find that the cross-section for detecting small planets is maximized for planets with separations just outside of the boundary for resonant caustics and that sensitivity to such planets can be maximized by intensively monitoring events whenever they are magnified by a factor A > 5. Finally, an empirical investigation demonstrates that most planets showing a degeneracy between (s > 1) and (s < 1) solutions are not in the regime (|log s| ≫ 0) for which the "close"/"wide" degeneracy was derived. This investigation suggests that there is a link between the "close"/"wide" and "inner/outer" degeneracies and also that the symmetry in the lens equation goes much deeper than symmetries uncovered for the limiting cases.

Jennifer C. Yee↗

Economic incentives modify agricultural impacts of nuclear war

A nuclear war using less than 1% of the current global nuclear arsenal, which would inject 5 Tg of soot into the stratosphere, could produce climate change unprecedented in recorded human history and significant impacts on agricultural productivity and the economy. These effects would be most severe for the first five years after the nuclear war and may last for more than a decade. This paper calculates how food availability would change by employing the Environmental Impact and Sustainability Applied General Equilibrium model. Under a robust world trading system, global food availability would drop by a few percentage points. If the war would destabilize trade, it would magnify by several times the negative ramifications of land productivity shocks on food availability. If exporting countries redirect production to domestic consumption at the expense of importing countries, it would lead to the destabilization of international trade. The analysis suggests that economic models aiming to inform policymakers require both economic behavior analysis and biophysical drivers. Policy lessons derived from a crop model can be significantly nuanced when coupled with economic feedback derived from economic models. Through the impact on yield, farmers could shift production among crops and reallocate land use to maximize profits, showing the importance of general equilibrium effects such as product and input substitution and international trade. Although the global impact on corn and soybean production would be significant when just considering crop production, it could be considerably smaller under the economic model. However, this would be at the expense of other sectors, including livestock. In addition, the costs borne from disruptions to climate would vary significantly across regions, with significant adverse effects in high latitude regions. The severity of the shocks in the high-latitude areas would marginalize the farmers' product and input substitution ability.

Nuclear war↗

Static Pressure Orifice Imaging & Data Correlation

The quality of static pressure ports has historically been shown to be capable of biasing the resulting measurements of static pressure over the surface. Some of the flaws in the port quality can be recognized visually through magnified imaging of the port with a microscope. Through digital analyses of images of a large quantity of existing pressure ports and estimation of the deviations from the true static pressure for each port, a correlation could potentially be constructed to estimate whether a port will generate a significant error based upon its surface-level appearance. This presentation pursues this hypothesis through attempted correlation of subsonic data collected on the 4-inch-diameter cone cylinder during the 2019 characterization tests in the NASA Glenn Research Center's 8- by 6-Foot Supersonic Wind Tunnel (8x6 SWT).

8x6 SWT↗