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At least 199 records · Page 11

Southeast Atmosphere Studies: Learning from Model-Observation Syntheses

Concentrations of atmospheric trace species in the United States have changed dramatically over the past several decades in response to pollution control strategies, shifts in domestic energy policy and economics, and economic development (and resulting emission changes) elsewhere in the world. Reliable projections of the future atmosphere require models to not only accurately describe current atmospheric concentrations, but to do so by representing chemical, physical and biological processes with conceptual and quantitative fidelity. Only through incorporation of the processes controlling emissions and chemical mechanisms that represent the key transformations among reactive molecules can models reliably project the impacts of future policy, energy and climate scenarios. Efforts to properly identify and implement the fundamental and controlling mechanisms in atmospheric models benefit from intensive observation periods, during which collocated measurements of diverse, speciated chemicals in both the gas and condensed phases are obtained. The Southeast Atmosphere Studies (SAS, including SENEX, SOAS, NOMADSS and SEAC4RS) conducted during the summer of 2013 provided an unprecedented opportunity for the atmospheric modeling community to come together to evaluate, diagnose and improve the representation of fundamental climate and air quality processes in models of varying temporal and spatial scales. This paper is aimed at discussing progress in evaluating, diagnosing and improving air quality and climate modeling using comparisons to SAS observations as a guide to thinking about improvements to mechanisms and parameterizations in models. The effort focused primarily on model representation of fundamental atmospheric processes that are essential to the formation of ozone, secondary organic aerosol (SOA) and other trace species in the troposphere, with the ultimate goal of understanding the radiative impacts of these species in the southeast and elsewhere. Here we address questions surrounding four key themes: gas-phase chemistry, aerosol chemistry, regional climate and chemistry interactions, and natural and anthropogenic emissions. We expect this review to serve as a guidance for future modeling efforts.

atmospheric chemistry↗

Comparison of Histograms for Use in Cloud Observation and Modeling

Cloud observation and cloud modeling data can be presented in histograms for each characteristic to be measured. Combining information from single-cloud histograms yields a summary histogram. Summary histograms can be compared to each other to reach conclusions about the behavior of an ensemble of clouds in different places at different times or about the accuracy of a particular cloud model. As in any scientific comparison, it is necessary to decide whether any apparent differences are statistically significant. The usual methods of deciding statistical significance when comparing histograms do not apply in this case because they assume independent data. Thus, a new method is necessary. The proposed method uses the Euclidean distance metric and bootstrapping to calculate the significance level.

Green, Lisa↗

Use of Aerosol Observations From Aircraft in Satellite Remote Sensing and Modelling Comparisons

Aerosol extensive and intensive properties vary throughout the world and remain one of the largest uncertainties in determining future climate both because of difficulties in their measurement and their modelled behaviors. Here we highlight the contributions of airborne sampling by the sunphotometer 4STAR (Spectrometers for Sky-Scanning Sun Tracking Atmospheric Research) from two different parts of the world; Korean peninsula and region during the KORUS-AQ experiment (KORean-US Air Quality in May-June 2016) and over the South East Atlantic during ORACLES (ObseRvations of CLouds above Aerosols and their intEractionS in August-September-October 2016, 2017, and 2018) field campaign. The high temporal and spatial resolution, afforded by airborne sampling during KORUS-AQ, are used to determine the variability of aerosol intensive and extensive properties, which is a metric than can be compared in between multiple different observations and models, even over varying surfaces and spanning multiple different aerosol emission sources. We show the consistency over spatial scales of the AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth), and the aerosol intensive properties (Angstrom exponent - AE, fine mode fraction - FMF) observed by 4STAR, GOCI (Geostationary Ocean Color Imager Yonsei aerosol retrieval v2), MERRA-2 reanalysis (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, v2), and from airborne in situ aerosol optical measurements by LARGE (NASA Langley Aerosol Research Group Experiment). The majority of AODs due to fine mode aerosol is observed at altitudes lower than 2 km and is dependent on the prevailing meteorological conditions. AE and FMF are found to be more spatially variable than AOD during all of KORUS-AQ, even when accounting for potential sampling biases. This may indicate that microphysical processes like aerosol particle formation, growth, and coagulation impact the dominant aerosol size at shorter scales than their combined effect on the aerosol optical depth by the aerosol emission, transport, and removal. Averaging between measurements and model, the distance at which the correlation to itself is reduced by 15% is 65 km for AOD, and 22.7 km for AE. Vertically resolved measurement from an aircraft enable the direct measurements of aerosols overlying clouds. When aerosol overlie bright clouds, their radiative impact on the incident light can be either positive or negative. This difference in radiative impact promotes difficulties in remote sensing aerosol properties, which have shown biases in AOD retrievals when clouds are underneath. The AOD above clouds measured by 4STAR during ORACLES are used to build and improve upon the current Near-Real-Time MODACAERO algorithm for above cloud AOD from MODIS, into a continuity product for NASA EOS/SNPP/JPSS.

Aerosol↗

Progress in Modeling Global Atmospheric CO2 Fluxes and Transport: Results from Simulations with Diurnal Fluxes

Progress in better determining CO2 sources and sinks will almost certainly rely on utilization of more extensive and intensive CO2 and related observations including those from satellite remote sensing. Use of advanced data requires improved modeling and analysis capability. Under NASA Carbon Cycle Science support we seek to develop and integrate improved formulations for 1) atmospheric transport, 2) terrestrial uptake and release, 3) biomass and 4) fossil fuel burning, and 5) observational data analysis including inverse calculations. The transport modeling is based on meteorological data assimilation analysis from the Goddard Modeling and Assimilation Office. Use of assimilated met data enables model comparison to CO2 and other observations across a wide range of scales of variability. In this presentation we focus on the short end of the temporal variability spectrum: hourly to synoptic to seasonal. Using CO2 fluxes at varying temporal resolution from the SIB 2 and CASA biosphere models, we examine the model's ability to simulate CO2 variability in comparison to observations at different times, locations, and altitudes. We find that the model can resolve much of the variability in the observations, although there are limits imposed by vertical resolution of boundary layer processes. The influence of key process representations is inferred. The high degree of fidelity in these simulations leads us to anticipate incorporation of realtime, highly resolved observations into a multiscale carbon cycle analysis system that will begin to bridge the gap between top-down and bottom-up flux estimation, which is a primary focus of NACP.

Collatz, G. James↗

An Analysis of Neptune's Stratospheric Haze Using High-Phase-Angle Voyager Images

We have inverted high-phase-angle Voyager images of Neptune to determine the atmospheric extinction coefficient as a function of altitude and the scattering phase function at a reference altitude. Comparisons between theoretical model and observations help separate the contributions from molecular Rayleigh and aerosol scattering and help determine the variation of the aerosol size, concentration, and scattering properties with altitude. Further comparisons between models and data allow us to place constraints on the location and composition of the hazes, the concentration and downward flux of certain condensible hydrocarbon gases, the eddy diffusion coefficient in the lower stratosphere, and the thermal profile in parts of Neptune's stratosphere. We find that a distinct stratospheric haze layer exists near 12(sub -1, sup +1) mbar in Neptune's lower stratosphere, most probably due to condensed ethane. The derived stratospheric haze production rate of 1.0(sub -0.3, sup +0.2) x 10(exp -15) g cm(exp -2) sec(exp -1) is substantially lower than photochemical model predictions. Evidence for hazes at higher altitudes also exists. Unlike the situation on Uranus, large particles (0.08-0.11 microns) may be present at high altitudes on Neptune (e.g., near 0.5 mbar), well above the region in which we expect the major hydrocarbon species to condense. Near 28 mbar, the mean particle size is about 0.13(sub -0.02, sup +0.02) microns with a concentration of 5(sub -3, sup +3) particles cm(exp -3). The cumulative haze extinction optical depth above 15 mbar in the clear filter is approx. 3 x 10(exp -3), and much of this extinction is due to scattering rather than absorption; thus, if our limb-scan sites are typical, the hazes cannot account for the stratospheric temperature inversion on Neptune and may not contribute significantly to atmospheric heating. We compare the imaging results with the results from other observations, including those of the Voyager Photopolarimeter Subsystem, and discuss differences between Neptune and Uranus.

Moses, Julianne I.↗

Io: Escape and ionization of atmospheric gases

Models for the Io oxygen clouds were improved to calculate the two dimensional sky plane intensity of the 1304 A emission and the 880 A emission of atomic oxygen, in addition to the 6300 A emission intensity. These three wavelength emissions are those for which observational measurements have been performed by ground based, rocket, Earth orbiting satellite and Voyager spacecraft instruments. Comparison of model results and observations suggests that an oxygen flux from Io of about 3 billion atoms sq cm sec is required for agreement. Quantitative analysis of the Io sodium cloud has focused upon the initial tasks of acquiring and preliminary evaluation of new sodium cloud and Io plasma torus data.

Smyth, W. H.↗

2008 GEM Modeling Challenge: Metrics Study of the Dst Index in Physics-Based Magnetosphere and Ring Current Models and in Statistical and Analytic Specifications

In this paper the metrics-based results of the Dst part of the 2008-2009 GEM Metrics Challenge are reported. The Metrics Challenge asked modelers to submit results for 4 geomagnetic storm events and 5 different types of observations that can be modeled by statistical or climatological or physics-based (e.g. MHD) models of the magnetosphere-ionosphere system. We present the results of over 25 model settings that were run at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) and at the institutions of various modelers for these events. To measure the performance of each of the models against the observations we use comparisons of one-hour averaged model data with the Dst index issued by the World Data Center for Geomagnetism, Kyoto, Japan, and direct comparison of one-minute model data with the one-minute Dst index calculated by the United States Geologic Survey (USGS).

Rastaetter, L.↗

Comparisons of global topographic/isostatic models to the Earth's observed gravity field

The Earth's gravitational potential, as described by a spherical harmonic expansion to degree 180, was compared to the potential implied by the topography and its isostatic compensation using five different hypothesis. Initially, series expressions for the Airy/Heiskanen topographic isostatic model were developed to the third order in terms of (h/R), where h is equivalent rock topography and R is a mean Earth radius. Using actual topographic developments for the Earth, it was found that the second and third terms of the expansion contributed 30 and 3 percents, of the first of the expansion. With these new equations it is possible to compute depths (D) of compensation, by degree, using 3 different criteria. The results show that the average depth implied by criterion I is 60 km while it is about 33 km for criteria 2 and 3 with smaller compensation depths at the higher degrees. Another model examined was related to the Vening-Meinesz regional hypothesis implemented in the spectral domain. Finally, oceanic and continental response functions were derived for the global data sets and comparisons made to locally determined values.

Rummel, Reiner↗

Global Cloud Cover: Comparison of Satellite, Model, and Volunteer Data

Observing and better understanding clouds and aerosols are priorities in the NASA Earth Science Decadal Survey, US National Climate Assessment, and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Report. The Global Learning & Observations to Benefit the Environment (GLOBE) Program is NASA's largest and longest running citizen science program in the Earth Sciences that collects cloud observations. Since January 2017, NASA GLOBE students and citizen scientists have submitted over 800,000 cloud observations worldwide using both paper-based and smartphone app platforms. In this presentation, we compare satellite, model, and volunteer-reported total cloud cover. The comparison reveals a systematic misreporting of obscured skies (sky not visible due to smoke, dust, haze, etc.) versus overcast skies (100% total cloud cover) by GLOBE participants. We discuss implications for improving procedures for volunteer reporting under overcast and obscured sky conditions, and relevance for reporting extreme air pollution events in areas with little or no formal institutional monitoring networks.

Starke, Matthew↗

He I lines in B stars - Comparison of non-local thermodynamic equilibrium models with observations

Profiles of He gamma-gamma 4026, 4387, 4471, 4713, 5876, and 6678 have been obtained in 17 stars of spectral type B0-B5. Parameters of the nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium models appropriate to each star are determined from the Stromgren index and fits to H-alpha line profiles. These parameters yield generally good fits to the observed He I line profiles, with the best fits being found for the blue He I lines where departures from local thermodynamic equilibrium are relatively small. For the two red lines it is found that, in the early B stars and in stars with log g less than 3.5, both lines are systematically stronger than predicted by the nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium models.

Heasley, J. N.↗

Inclusion of specular reflectance in vegetative canopy models

A detailed comparison of the observed soybeans and corn canopy reflectance with that calculated from three vegetative canopy reflectance models have shown systematic angular deviations. A likely cause of these effects is noninclusion of leaf specular reflectance. In this paper a formulation to calculate the component of canopy specular reflectance as a function of incident solar and view zenith angles, leaf area index, leaf angle distribution, and leaf specular reflectance has been developed. The SAIL model has been modified to include this component and the results are compared with an extensive observational data set on soybeans. It is shown that the systematic differences between the SAIL model and observations dependent on scattering azimuth are removed. An analysis of variance shows model improvement of 30 percent over the uncorrected SAIL model.

Reyna, E.↗

Three Dimensional Model Simulation of Constituent Transport in the Lowermost Stratosphere

The composition, transport and photochemistry of the lowermost stratosphere, i.e., that part of the atmosphere which is above the tropopause, poleward of the tropics, and at potential temperature lower than the potential temperature of the tropical tropopause (about 380K) are of practical interest for understanding global ozone behavior. Because this region is a transition between transport regimes characterized by different scales of dynamics, it is especially difficult to model realistically. Through comparisons of observations of ozone, carbon dioxide and water vapor with results from a chemistry and transport model using winds from a global meteorological assimilation system, we have established that the model provides a good representation of several important aspects of constituent behavior. These include the constituent gradients near the tropopause as well as the annual cycle of constituents and the altitude dependence of the annual cycle from the tropopause into the middle stratosphere. This talk draws together these results to form a unified picture of transport into the lowermost extratropical stratosphere. In particular, the importance of convective transport to the distribution of both short-lived, and long-lived constituents in the lowermost stratosphere will be evaluated.

Douglass, Anne R.↗

A Comparison of ARTEMIS Observations and Particle-in-cell Modeling of the Lunar Photoelectron Sheath in the Terrestrial Magnetotail

As an airless body in space with no global magnetic field, the Moon is exposed to both solar ultraviolet radiation and ambient plasmas. Photoemission from solar UV radiation and collection of ambient plasma are typically opposing charging currents and simple charging current balance predicts that the lunar dayside surface should charge positively; however, the two ARTEMIS probes have observed energydependent loss cones and high-energy, surface-originating electron beams above the dayside lunar surface for extended periods in the magnetosphere, which are indicative of negative surface potentials. In this paper, we compare observations by the ARTEMIS P1 spacecraft with a one dimensional particle-in-cell simulation and show that the energy-dependent loss cones and electron beams are due to the presence of stable, non-monotonic, negative potentials above the lunar surface. The simulations also show that while the magnitude of the non-monotonic potential is mainly driven by the incoming electron temperature, the incoming ion temperature can alter this magnitude, especially for periods in the plasma sheet when the ion temperature is more than twenty times the electron temperature. Finally, we note several other plasma phenomena associated with these non-monotonic potentials, such as broadband electrostatic noise and electron cyclotron harmonic emissions, and offer possible generation mechanisms for these phenomena.

Lunar↗

Orion Meteoroid and Debris Analysis with a Single Kevlar® Layer Enhancement to the Propulsion Tank Multi-Layer Insulation: Comparison of the Observed Data and the Adjusted Ballistic Models

In a continual mass optimization effort for the Orion vehicle by NASA and its prime contractor Lockheed Martin Space, along with the European Space Agency (ESA) and its contractors Airbus and Thales Alenia Space-Italy (TAS-I), a series of shield characterization shots have been performed to quantify the ballistic enhancement of a single-layer of Kevlar® in multi-layer insulation (MLI). This enhanced MLI is part of Orion’s propulsion subsystem, and it is planned to replace a double-layer Kevlar® configuration starting at the Artemis IV mission. This effort has included fifty-two shield characterization shots for five different shield configurations over the four Orion propellant storage vessels. These storage vessels are located in the European Service Module (ESM). This shield characterization has been managed by the Hypervelocity Impact Technology (HVIT) group in NASA Astromaterials Research and Exploration Sciences at Johnson Space Center (JSC) for the NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) and the Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle (MPCV) program office in coordination with Lockheed Martin Space and Thales Alenia Space-Italy (TAS-I). The shield characterization has used the two-stage, light-gas-gun at the Remote Hypervelocity Test Laboratory (RHTL) of NASA JSC White Sands Test Facility (WSTF) for acceleration of projectiles to representative orbital impact speeds. From this shield characterization effort, a revised ballistic limiting equation (BLE) has been developed for each of the five representative shielding configurations of the ESM pressure vessels. This document provides a brief description of the shield configurations considered for the Orion program and the shield characterization findings. These results are compared to the assumed BLE for each configuration going into the Artemis missions that utilize this version of ballistic enhanced MLI. The models are integrated into a fourteen day High Lunar Orbit (HLO) mission as a representative reliability prediction impact for Orion, and it has been found that the predicted risk of a loss-of-crew (LOC) event is actually a little less than half of the assumed value that launched this design modification opportunity.

Joshua E Miller↗

A simulation of the winter and summer circulations with the NMC Global Spectral Model

The medium range forecast model of the NMC has been integrated to produce winter and summer simulations. It is found that the model climatology is similar to that of the observed atmosphere as well as climatologies of other general circulation models. The stationary and transient features of the model circulation are described, including both tropical and extratropical regions. The model hydrological cycle, radiative balance, and surface heat budget are discussed. Comparison with observations shows that the model is colder than that observed in the troposphere and cools in the lower stratosphere in the tropics and near the poles in both simulations. It is suggested that the upper branch of the Hadley cell is poorly simulated in the integrated model. The simulations are in reasonable agreement with the observations in sea level pressure, the structure of the tropospheric zonal jets, and the winter hemispheric stationary waves.

Kinter, J. L., III↗