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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2024

Photosynthetic responses of switchgrass to light and CO 2 under different precipitation treatments

Switchgrass ( Panicum virgatum L .) is a prominent bioenergy crop with robust resilience to environmental stresses. However, our knowledge regarding how precipitation changes affect switchgrass photosynthesis and its responses to light and CO 2 remains limited. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a field precipitation experiment with five different treatments, including −50%, −33%, 0%, +33%, and +50% of ambient precipitation. To determine the responses of leaf photosynthesis to CO 2 concentration and light, we measured leaf net photosynthesis of switchgrass under different CO 2 concentrations and light levels in 2020 and 2021 for each of the five precipitation treatments. We first evaluated four light and CO 2 response models (i.e., rectangular hyperbola model, nonrectangular hyperbola model, exponential model, and the modified rectangular hyperbola model) using the measurements in the ambient precipitation treatment. Based on the fitting criteria, we selected the nonrectangular hyperbola model as the optimal model and applied it to all precipitation treatments, and estimated model parameters. Overall, the model fit field measurements well for the light and CO 2 response curves. Precipitation change did not influence the maximum net photosynthetic rate ( P max ) but influenced other model parameters including quantum yield ( α ), convexity ( θ ), dark respiration ( Rd ), light compensation point ( LCP ), and saturated light point ( LSP ). Specifically, the mean P max of five precipitation treatments was 17.6 μmol CO 2 m −2 s −1 , and the ambient treatment tended to have a higher P max . The +33% treatment had the highest α , and the ambient treatment had lower θ and LCP , higher Rd , and relatively lower LSP . Furthermore, precipitation significantly influenced all model parameters of CO 2 response. The ambient treatment had the highest P max , largest α , and lowest θ , R d , and CO 2 compensation point LCP . Overall, this study improved our understanding of how switchgrass leaf photosynthesis responds to diverse environmental factors, providing valuable insights for accurately modeling switchgrass ecophysiology and productivity.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Using Boosted Decision Trees to Select High Quality Measurements in the Mu2e Experiment at Fermilab

This thesis presents the implementation and evaluation of a Boosted Decision Tree (BDT) model to improve the selection of high-quality track measurements in the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab. The Mu2e experiment is a high-energy physics experiments seeking to observe a rare theoretical physics process known as Charged Lepton Flavor Violation. A significant challenge faced by the Mu2e experiment are so-called background events, which are events whose data mimics that of the rare physics process the experiment seeks to observe. Without a mechanism to reduce background, it would be impossible to know whether Charged Lepton Flavor Violation occurred or not. To this end, high-quality track measurements must be distinguished from low-quality track measurements. A track can be conceived of as the reconstructed path of a particle that traveled through the Mu2e detector. In addition to other data, data about such tracks is stored using a C++-based framework, specific to the domain of high-energy physics, known as ROOT. A boosted decision tree model was trained using ROOT’s Toolkit For Multivariate Analysis by leveraging variables ancillary to track quality. In evaluation, the BDT achieves a ROC-AUC of 0.927 in discriminating good-quality tracks from poor-quality tracks. Such a score is indicative of both strong discrimination and strong generalization. Subsequently, it is shown that applying a BDT-based quality cut to the distribution of particle momenta significantly enhances the signal-to-background distinction for signal electrons, paving the way for improved sensitivity to Charged Lepton Flavor Violation.

Mullany, Brendan T. [Drew U.] (ORCID:0009000818888↗

DOE OSTI2025

Discovering Ni/Cu Single-Atom Alloy as a Highly Active and Selective Catalyst for Direct Methane Conversion to Ethylene: A First-Principles Kinetic Study

Direct methane conversion to liquid fuels or value-added chemicals is a promising technology to utilize natural resources without resorting to further petroleum extraction. However, discovering efficient catalysts for this reaction is challenging due to either coke formation or unfavorable C-H bond activation. Herein, we design single-atom alloy (SAA) catalysts to simultaneously eliminate the above two bottlenecks based on mechanism-guided strategies: (1) the active single atom enables favorable C-H bond breaking and (2) the less reactive host metal facilitates C-C coupling and thus avoids strong binding of carbonaceous species. Employing electronic structure theory calculations, we screened the stability of multiple SAAs with 3d-5d transition metals atomically dispersed on a copper surface in terms of avoiding dopant aggregation and segregation. We then evaluated reactivities of the stable SAAs as catalysts for direct methane conversion to C2 products, including methane dehydrogenation and C-C coupling mechanisms. Combining selectivity analysis with kinetic modeling, we predicted that nickel dispersed on copper, i.e., Ni/Cu SAA, is a highly active and selective catalyst that can efficiently transform methane to ethylene. This work designs efficient SAA catalysts for direct methane activation and provides chemical insights into engineering compositions of SAAs to tune their catalytic performances.

Kothakonda, Manish↗

DOE OSTI2024

Implementation of an extensible property modeling framework in ESPEI with applications to molar volume and elastic stiffness models

Property models are becoming more widely adopted by commercial Calphad databases, but they are not nearly as common in non-commercial or traditional academic Calphad databases. A primary driver is that user-friendly Calphad modeling tools that support property models are not widely available. Here we present new property modeling capabilities that have been implemented in ESPEI (the Extensible, Self-optimizing Phase Equilibrium Infrastructure). These capabilities include both generating property model parameters from data and improvements to the algorithmic selection of the most appropriate model from a series of candidates. Additionally, two illustrative examples are given that use ESPEI to fit different property models. First, we generate molar volume model parameters for Group IV, V, and VI refractory BCC alloys based on the model by Lu et al. (2005). Second, we demonstrate the extensibility of ESPEI’s property modeling capabilities by implementing a custom PyCalphad model for BCC elastic stiffness parameters to generate and compare parameters to the ones assessed by Marker et al. (2018) using the same data. Property models generated by ESPEI can be used in PyCalphad or further optimized with uncertainty quantification using ESPEI.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Joint modelling of astrophysical systematics for cosmology with LSST cosmic shear

ABSTRACT We present a novel framework for jointly modelling the weak lensing source galaxy redshift distribution and the intrinsic alignment (IA) of galaxies through a shared luminosity function (LF). In the context of a Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Year 1 and Year 10 cosmic shear analysis, we show that our novel approach produces cosmological parameter constraints which are comparable to standard methods, while offering more physical insight into IA and selection effects. We clarify the relationship between individual parameters of a Schechter LF and the redshift distribution of a magnitude-limited sample, showing the consequences of marginalizing over these parameters when modelling IAs in standard cosmic shear analyses. We explore the impact of the shape of the LF on the cosmic shear data vector, and we outline the potential of this method to naturally model selection functions in redshift distribution estimation. Although this work focuses on LSST cosmic shear, the proposed joint modelling framework is broadly applicable to weak lensing surveys.

Šarčević, Nikolina (ORCID:0000000173016415)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dynamical Sketching for Enhanced Communication Efficiency in Federated Learning

Federated learning (FL) has revolutionized distributed machine learning by enabling collaborative model training without sharing local data. However, communication efficiency and privacy guarantees remain significant challenges. This paper introduces a dynamic sketching mechanism in FL, optimizing the trade-off between communication efficiency and model accuracy. By dynamically selecting the sketch matrix size, our approach adapts to the evolving characteristics of the data and the model, ensuring optimal performance across diverse scenarios. We leverage Bayesian optimization to systematically tune the sketch parameters, achieving an effective balance between resource efficiency and model performance. Experimental results on the MNIST dataset using a convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture validate the proposed method's efficiency and scalability. Our dynamic sketching approach significantly outperforms fixed-size sketching techniques, achieving higher compression ratios (up to 62x) and providing better privacy guarantees while maintaining high model accuracy. These findings highlight the robustness and versatility of our approach and make it a valuable solution for privacy-preserving, communication-efficient federated learning.

Afrose, Sharmin [ORNL]↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen Leak Modeling for Development of Smart Distributed Monitoring Under Unintended Releases

Hydrogen is a versatile and clean energy carrier that can be produced from various renewable sources such as wind, solar, and hydropower. Hydrogen has the potential to play a crucial role in decarbonizing industrial processes that are currently reliant on fossil fuels and provide long-duration and/or seasonal energy storage to enable electricity decarbonization. Hydrogen can also be used as a fuel for fuel cell vehicles, providing a zero-emission alternative to traditional internal combustion engines. DOE launched the Hydrogen Energy Earthshot (Hydrogen Shot) in June 2021 to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1 per 1 kilogram in 1 decade ("1 1 1"). While promising, Hydrogen is highly-flammable, and in the presence of oxygen, it can form explosive mixtures. . Therefore, understanding leak scenarios is essential to evaluate and mitigate the safety risks associated with potential hydrogen leaks. An increased understanding of leak behavior, and having tools to model leaks, can help assess how hydrogen would disperse in different environments, influencing emergency response plans and safety measures, and identify potential issues with materials and design systems that can withstand the challenges posed by hydrogen. Recently, researchers have attempted to study hydrogen leaks for development of risk management strategies. However, the focus has been on closed or semi-closed spaces like storage rooms, vehicles, garages, and fueling stations - all promising locations for future hydrogen infrastructure. In this presentation, the modeling environment extends the span of research further by modeling hydrogen leak in an outdoor, open space. We will present the key challenges with modeling hydrogen leaks in an uncontrollable environment, how they were handled, and how modeling results informed sensor selection and placement. A Hydrogen research facility at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) was used as a case study to model hydrogen leaks. In the future, Hydrogen wide area detection methodologies will be developed and tested at this site to monitor for unintended and operational hydrogen releases. The data generated from modeling will be used to develop a predictive model to detect hydrogen leak location based on concentration measured by sensors in this open space. Furthermore, the facility was also chosen because controlled hydrogen releases can be performed. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based modeling approach was taken to model hydrogen leak. The full-scale hydrogen facility was modeled with a large ambient domain. The electrolyzer at the facility can produce a controlled release rate of 27 kg-H2/hr. Site-specific atmospheric and weather condition data such as wind direction, wind speed at various altitudes, and temperature were used as inputs to the model. To capture the variability of weather conditions, a subset of the weather conditions experienced during daytime hours without precipitation over the course of three months was generated; using established data clustering techniques, a total of 100 condition sets were chosen. The results show statistical distributions and ranges of hydrogen concentrations at locations throughout the domain. These distributions are compared to experimental data from a constant mass flow, controlled hydrogen release at the facility. The stochastic wind conditions of the release make direct validation difficult, therefore, statistical comparison approaches were used. Wind conditions are found to significantly impact the release behavior, including direction and concentration. Sensor selection and placement is proposed for the facility and is now based on release behavior predicted for the facility given its weather patterns; this is much more informed than without the modeling results. The methodology and analysis procedure can be translated to other facilities using modified geometries and site-specific weather conditions. Hydrogen holds great promise as a renewable energy fuel, but ensuring safety in its production, storage, and use is paramount. Studying potential leak scenarios in an open space will help develop sensors to detect hydrogen on a large spectrum of concentration and eventually build a smart distributed monitoring system.

CFD↗

DOE OSTI2025

IM3 Phase 2 Official Simulations: GCAM-Demeter-SELECT Annualized Land Use and Land Cover, Wood Harvest and Fertilization Data with Dynamic Urbanization Harmonized to CLM Land Definitions at 0.125 Degrees

Annualized land use land cover data, including wood harvest and fertilizer use data from the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) downscaled to 0.125 degrees for couping with the Community Land Model (CLM). GCAM here refers to GCAM-USA v5.3.im3 which has an enhanced electricity sector and an updated data system needed to represent regional to local scale dynamics. Data is also harmonized with future urbanization projections from the Spatially-Explicit, Long-term, Empirical City developmenT (SELECT) model. Projections/Data are generated using the demeter land use and land cover downscaling model. Original projections were generated at 0.05 degrees before being aggregared to 0.125 degrees. Projections are available for 8 alternative scenarios. Two versions of final data are included- one with managed forests or harvested forest area per pixel broken out and one with the same aggregated into total forests. Following folders are included: demeter_78_PFT_output:This is the final output of dynamic land use land cover change for 78 PFTs as required by CLM raw_outputs_incl_managed_forest: This is the final output but with managed forests broken out as a different PFT. Essentially a 79th PFT is added. wood_harvest_outputs: Wood harvest output per pixel in gC/m2 fertilization_outputs: Fertilizer use per pixel in gN/m2 Each NetCDF file in each folder represents a projection for a separate year, scenario. Land use outputs are organized as PFT level data saved as subdata. Link to GCAM version used- https://data.msdlive.org/records/yb23g-44274 Link to SELECT documentation -https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364815219301707 Link to CLM documentation- - https://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/clm In case of questions contact- kanishka.narayan@pnnl.gov

GCAM-USA↗

DOE OSTI2024

Nuclear Data Sensitivity/Uncertainty Studies of Tantalum-Reflected Systems

Tantalum (Ta) is a refractory metal with high melting point and high corrosion resistance. This makes it useful as a mold material for plutonium casting operations. Unfortunately, there are few criticality benchmarks with high nuclear data sensitivities. Given that, it is desirable to design new experiments to provide additional validation data for nuclear criticality safety, which is the objective of the Thales project. Multiple application models were used to represent process conditions (either normal conditions or credible upset conditions) both at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) and Savannah River Site (SRS). A total of 40 application models were obtained. Given this, it was useful to down-select the number of needed application models. This work documents the down-selection based on several nuclear data sensitivity/uncertainty metrics. In addition to showing the result of the specific down-selection used for the Thales project, this work discusses potential ways to represent a large number of application models with a smaller number of proposed experiment designs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Directed Evolution of an Adenylation Domain Alters Substrate Specificity and Generates a New Catechol Siderophore in Escherichia coli

Nonribosomal peptide synthetases (NRPS) biosynthesize numerous natural products with therapeutic, agricultural, and industrial significance. Reliably altering substrate selection in these enzymes has been a longstanding goal, as this would enable the production of tailor-made peptides with desired activities. In this study, the NRPS EntF and the associated biosynthesis of the siderophore enterobactin (ENT) were used as a model system to interrogate substrate selection by an adenylation (A) domain. We employed a directed evolution pipeline that harnesses an in vivo genetic selection for siderophore production to alter A domain substrate selection. Surprisingly, this led to the formation of a new, physiologically active catechol siderophore in Escherichia coli. We characterized the enzyme variants in vitro and demonstrated transferability of our findings to the well-studied TycC and GrsB NRPSs. Furthermore, this work identifies critical binding pocket residues that allow for altered substrate selection in our model system and expands upon our understanding of iron acquisition in E. coli.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

In Vitro Selection of Antibodies Targeting Yersinia pestis Membrane Lipids Using Nanodisc-Based Antigen Presentation

Proteins are the most common targets for antibody discovery and vaccine development, but their sequence variability can limit the breadth of resulting antigens. Lipids represent an alternative class of antigens due to their structural conservation and roles in host–pathogen interactions. Here, we describe the development and optimization of an in vitro antibody selection workflow using lipid-containing nanodiscs as antigen presentation platforms to enable phage and yeast display selections under conditions adapted for these non-protein targets. Lipopolysaccharide (LPS) nanodiscs were first used as a model system to evaluate selection strategies, including competitive and subtractive approaches to reduce non-specific binders, yielding peptide and single-chain variable fragment (scFv) binders that were affinity matured to improve binding signals. The same approach was subsequently used to select scFv antibodies that recognize lipid nanodiscs prepared from Yersinia pestis membrane lipid extracts. These antibodies show binding to lipid nanodiscs derived from Y. pestis, with evidence of selectivity relative to control nanodiscs. Overall, this work establishes a workflow for antibody selection against lipid-containing nanodisc antigens and highlights practical considerations associated with these targets. The approach may be useful for generating affinity reagents to membrane-associated lipids, although further characterization is required to define antigen specificity and functional activity.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

A robust spectral element implementation of the $k - τ$ RANS model in Nek5000/NekRS

The $k - ω$ Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) model is one of the industry standard approaches for modeling of turbulent flows. It performs better than the $k - ϵ$ model for low Reynolds number flows and is also more suitable for boundary layers with adverse pressure gradients. Major drawback of the model, however, is that the asymptotic value of $ω$ at the walls is singular, necessitating the use of a contrived “sufficiently” large value for $ω$ as the boundary condition for its transport equation. Here, this invariably leads to the solution being sensitive to near wall grid spacing. While an acceptable solution for low order (finite volume) methods, the excessive near wall gradients lead to persistent numerical stability issues in high order codes. To alleviate the problem, specifically in the context of the high order spectral element code Nek5000, a regularized $k - ω$ approach was formulated in our prior work (Tomboulides et al., 2018). The formulation, however, relies on the use of wall distance and its gradients for modeling the closure terms and can pose problems for simulations in complex geometries. This work presents a novel implementation of the $k - τ$ RANS model in Nek5000, where $τ = 1/ω$, eliminating the need for regularization, owing to the asymptotically bounded behavior of the source terms in the $τ$ transport equation, and also eliminating dependence on wall distance. Robustness and stability of the $k - τ$ model is ensured through implicit treatment of the source terms and their careful numerical implementation and demonstrated through several cases aimed at verification and validation. Studies include both canonical and engineering relevant problems, viz., turbulent channel flow, pipe flow, backward facing step, flow over NACA 0012 airfoil and flow in a T-junction. Results from the $k - τ$ model are shown to be consistent with regularized $k - ω$ model and also with the $k - ω$ SST model in OpenFOAM (for select studies). Comparison with experimental data is also shown, where available, to bolster validation efforts for the $k - τ$ model implementation through prediction of key turbulent quantities of interest.

Nek5000↗

DOE OSTI2025

Enhanced pedestal transport driven by edge collisionality on Alcator C-Mod and its role in regulating H-mode pedestal gradients

Experimental measurements of plasma and neutral profiles across the pedestal are used in conjunction with 2D edge modeling to examine pedestal stiffness in Alcator C-Mod H-mode plasmas. Enhanced D α experiments on Alcator C-Mod observed pedestal degradation and loss in confinement below a critical value of net power crossing the separatrix, P net = $P^{crit}_{net}$ ≈ 2.3 MW, in the absence of any external fueling. New analysis of ionization and particle flux profiles reveal saturation of the pedestal electron density, $n^{ped}_{e}$, despite continuous increases in ionization throughout the pedestal, inversely related to P net . A limi to the pedestal $\nabla$n e emerges as the particle flux, Γ D , continues to grow, implying increases in the effective particle diffusivity, D eff . This is well-correlated with the separatrix collisionality, $v^*_{sep}$ and a turbulence control parameter, α t , implying a possible transition in type of turbulence. The transition is well correlated with the experimentally observed value of $P^{crit}_{net}$. SOLPS-ITER modeling is performed for select discharges from the power scan, constrained with experimental electron and neutral densities, measured at the outer midpane. The modeling confirms general growth in D eff , consistent with experimental findings, and additionally suggests even larger growth in Χ e at the same $P^{crit}_{net}$.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data, model inputs, and analysis scripts associated with a manuscript on stream intermittency controls across spatial scales in Pacific Northwest watersheds

NOTE: The manuscript associated with this data package is currently in review. The data may be revised based on reviewer feedback. Upon manuscript acceptance, this data package will be updated with the final dataset and additional metadata. This data package is associated with the manuscript "Hydroclimatic Memory and Watershed Template Shape Stream Intermittency: Multi-scale Attribution Using Process-based Simulation and Explainable ML" by Niroula et al. (2026), submitted to Water Resources Research (WRR). The study investigates the dominant controls on stream intermittency across local, reach, and watershed scales using a coupled process-based simulation and explainable machine-learning framework. Long-term daily simulations from the Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS) were used to generate wetness states and ponded-depth responses over river-corridor cells. These ATS outputs were then aggregated across scales and used to train XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) models. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) was applied to quantify the relative importance of hydroclimatic forcings, watershed template attributes, and antecedent-memory effects in shaping intermittency behavior. The analysis is carried out for three contrasting Pacific Northwest watersheds: Oak Creek (OCW), American River Watershed (ARW), and H.J. Andrews (HJA). Across these testbeds, the package contains ATS-ready watershed inputs, ATS run configuration and selected output files, model-evaluation data products, intermittency-analysis datasets, machine-learning target-feature tables, SHAP outputs, and notebooks used to organize, analyze, and visualize results. At a high level, the package documents a workflow in which ATS provides the physically based simulation backbone and explainable machine learning is used as a post-processing attribution tool. The contents are intended to support interpretation of the manuscript figures and results, provide context for how intermittency metrics were generated at multiple scales, and preserve the key artifacts needed to understand and reuse the analysis workflow. The package contains a high-level directory summary file (`summary.txt`) and four main content folders (1) `evaluation_plots` contains evaluation figures and supporting evaluation datasets; (2) `intermittency_plots` contains intermittency-focused analysis notebook and prepared datasets; (3) `ml-training-and-shap_values_plots` contains ML training inputs, SHAP outputs, and figure-generation notebooks; and (4) `watershed_mesh_and_ats_input` contains ATS model setup materials, forcing inputs, geometry, and selected run files. More specifically, the `evaluation_plots` folder contains the notebook used for ATS evaluation plotting and site-specific evaluation datasets. These include evapotranspiration and water-balance products for three watersheds, as well as an Oak Creek field-measurement discharge file. The `intermittency_plots` folder contains the notebook used for intermittency analysis and the prepared datasets used to analyze intermittent and non-intermittent wetness behavior across the study watersheds. The `ml-training-and-shap_values_plots` folder contains notebooks and outputs for the machine-learning and explainability workflow. This includes the main XGBoost and SHAP notebook(s), a beeswarm plotting notebook, target-feature tables for machine-learning training, SHAP summary tables, and per-sample SHAP value archives. The `watershed_mesh_and_ats_input` folder contains ATS-related watershed inputs and supporting materials. This includes mesh and shape products, ATS-readable LAI and meteorological forcing inputs, selected ATS spinup and transient-run files, and a watershed workflow example notebook. Subdirectories are organized by watershed where applicable.All files are .cpg (codepage files), .csv (comma-separated values), .dbf (database files), .exo (Exodus mesh format), .h5 (HDF5 format), .ipynb (Jupyter notebooks), .pkl (Python pickle), .prj (projection files), .sh (shell scripts), .shp (shapefile geometry), .shx (shapefile index), .txt (text files), or .xml (markup data).

Advanced Terrestrial Simulator↗

DOE OSTI2024

S-OPT: A Points Selection Algorithm for Hyper-Reduction in Reduced Order Models

While projection-based reduced order models can reduce the dimension of full order solutions, the resulting reduced models may still contain terms that scale with the full order dimension. Hyper-reduction techniques are sampling-based methods that further reduce this computational complexity by approximating such terms with a much smaller dimension. The goal of this work is to introduce the points selection algorithm developed by Shin and Xiu as a hyper-reduction method. The selection algorithm was originally proposed as a stochastic collocation method for uncertainty quantification. Since the algorithm aims at maximizing a quantity $\mathcal{S}$ that measures both the column orthogonality and the determinant, we refer to the algorithm as S-OPT. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the performance of S-OPT and to compare its performance with a gappy proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) algorithm. Here, we found that using the S-OPT algorithm is shown to predict the full order solutions with higher accuracy than gappy POD especially when the number of sampling points is small, although we note that S-OPT shows slow asymptotic convergence with respect to the number of samples for some applications, e.g., Lagrangian hydrodynamics.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Understanding the Competition between Alcohol Formation and Dimerization during Electrochemical Reduction of Aromatic Carbonyl Compounds

The electrochemical reductive dimerization of small aromatic carbonyl compounds derived from lignocellulosic biomass is a crucial C−C coupling reaction for upgrading small molecules to longchain hydrocarbons, particularly in the synthesis of drop-in sustainable aviation fuels. Although other electrochemical reduction reactions of these reactants (i.e., hydrogenation and hydrogenolysis) have undergone extensive mechanistic investigation, the understanding of dimerization remains relatively underdeveloped. Most importantly, there is a lack of understanding of the selectivity-determining step between dimerization and monomer reduction and critical factors that can affect this step. In this study, we provide a comprehensive mechanistic model to explain the competition between dimerization and monomer reduction of benzaldehyde under various conditions. Our model proposes that the selectivity between dimerization and monomer reduction depends on the competition between desorption of a ketyl radical from the electrode, necessary for dimerization, and further reduction of the ketyl radical to an alcohol on the electrode by proton-coupled electron transfer (PCET). Computationally comparing the adsorption/desorption energy and PCET activation barrier energy is challenging because conventional DFT calculations substantially underestimate the PCET kinetic barriers. In this study, we employed constrained DFTbased configuration interaction (CDFT-CI) to obtain a reliable comparison of these energies. Our mechanistic model was tested and supported by experimental results obtained with four electrodes (Cu, Pb, Bi, graphite), three pH conditions (acidic, neutral, basic), and three potentials. Our study offers a coherent mechanistic foundation that can explain how each of these conditions impacts the desorption and PCET processes and the selectivities for dimerization and alcohol production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of Global Climate Models for Use in Energy Analysis

The interplay between energy, climate, and weather is becoming more complex due to increasing contributions of renewable energy generation, energy storage, electrified end uses, and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events. Energy system analyses commonly rely on meteorological inputs to estimate renewable energy generation and energy demand; however, these inputs rarely represent the estimated impacts of future climate change. Climate models and publicly available climate change datasets can be used for this purpose, but the selection of inputs from the myriad of available models and datasets is a nuanced and subjective process. In this work, we assess datasets from various global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). We present evaluations of their skills with respect to the historical climate and comparisons of their future projections of climate change for two climate change scenarios. We present the results for different climatic and energy system regions and include interactive figures in the accompanying software repository. Previous work has presented similar GCM evaluations, but none have presented variables and metrics specifically intended for comprehensive energy systems analysis including impacts on energy demand, thermal cooling, hydropower, water availability, solar energy generation, and wind energy generation. We focus on GCM output meteorological variables that directly affect these energy system components including the representation of extreme values that can drive grid resilience events. The objective of this work is not to recommend the best climate model and dataset for a given analysis, but instead to provide a reference to facilitate the selection of climate models and scenarios in subsequent work.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

MINE: maximally informative next experiment—toward a new GWAS experimental design and methodology

Abstract The computational methodology of Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS) currently has several limitations: (i) the number of observations (rows) on a quantitative trait tends to be smaller than the number of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (columns) in the design matrix; (ii) each SNP is usually modeled separately, failing to acknowledge interaction between each other (ie epistasis); (iii) there is implicit linkage disequilibrium (LD) between neighboring SNPs due to their linkage. To overcome these issues, we developed a tool that uses ensemble methods to fit mixed linear models to GWAS data, and these ensemble methods include the development of a new experimental design approach in GWAS, which uses the resultant models and data to select the next informative experiment over time. This new adaptive and staged approach for GWAS experimental design was developed and tested in a 3 yr adaptive model-guided discovery experiment against a fixed classical design. In Sorghum bicolor a total of 79, 86, and 78 accessions were tested in years 1, 2, and 3, respectively out of 343 accessions available in the Bioenergy Association Panel (BAP) each identified for 232,303 SNPs, 1 every 2–3 kb in the genomes. We demonstrated the feasibility of MINE enacted with 8 people in the field per year over 3 yr vs in 1 large classical design enacted with 20 people in 1 yr. The MINE results for chromosomal regions identified controlling dry weight were confirmed against results from previous sorghum GWAS experiments and 1 large classical design for the BAP panel.

Genetics & Heredity↗