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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11

Intensive and extensive margins of the peak load: Measuring adaptation with mixed frequency panel data

In this work we investigate the response of daily electricity peak load to daily maximum temperatures across states in Europe and India. We propose a method that decomposes short- from medium/long-run effects, retains the high frequency nature of the load-weather covariation and treats economic growth as a modulating factor. By simultaneously exploiting variation in unexpected daily weather anomalies and decade-long climatic changes in each location we decompose transitory - intensive margin - adjustments from permanent - extensive margin - adjustments. We find that the shocks over the long-run differ substantially from the short-run dynamics. Furthermore, we find evidence that per capita income modulates the adjustments over the short- and long-run. We project that in response to climate change around 2050 the peak load may increase by up to 20%-30% in Southern Europe and in several states in India, depending on the degree of warming and the evolution of socio-economic conditions. Even with a limited scope to two world regions, we identify that the structure of the economy and differences in future income growth matter in shaping the adaptation to climate change. Our decomposition allows to identify how future weather anomalies can further amplify the relative increase associated to the shift in the climate norm. Assuming that the interannual variability of maximum temperatures follows the distribution observed in the past, we find a doubling of the impacts of climate change during the summer in Europe. Uncertainty around the distribution of future weather anomalies may lead to further unexpected peak load amplifications. Our results have important policy implications for power systems’ generation capacity, transmission and storage, as we show that the challenges to accommodate the peak load in days with extreme temperatures may substantially increase already around mid-century.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Floating solar panels on reservoirs impact phytoplankton populations: A modelling experiment

Floating solar photovoltaic (FPV) deployments are increasing globally as the switch to renewable energy intensifies, representing a considerable water surface transformation. FPV installations can potentially impact aquatic ecosystem function, either positively or negatively. However, these impacts are poorly resolved given the challenges of collecting empirical data for field or modelling experiments. In particular, there is limited evidence on the response of phytoplankton to changes in water body thermal dynamics and light climate with FPV. Given the importance of understanding phytoplankton biomass and species composition for managing ecosystem services, we use an uncertainty estimation approach to simulate the effect of FPV coverage and array siting location on a UK reservoir. FPV coverage was modified in 10% increments from a baseline with 0% coverage to 100% coverage for three different FPV array siting locations based on reservoir circulation patterns. Results showed that FPV coverage significantly impacted thermal properties, resulting in highly variable impacts on phytoplankton biomass and species composition. The impacts on phytoplankton were often dependent on array siting location as well as surface coverage. Changes to phytoplankton species composition were offset by the decrease in phytoplankton biomass associated with increasing FPV coverage. We identified that similar phytoplankton biomass reductions could be achieved with less FPV coverage by deploying the FPV array on the water body's faster-flowing area than the central or slower flowing areas. The difference in response dependent on siting location could be used to tailor phytoplankton management in water bodies. Simulation of water body-FPV interactions efficiently using an uncertainty approach is an essential tool to rapidly develop understanding and ultimately inform FPV developers and water body managers looking to minimise negative impacts and maximise co-benefits.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Phase Control of Nanocrystalline Inclusions in Bioprecipitated Titania with a Panel of Mutant Silica-Binding Proteins

The biomimetic route to inorganic synthesis presents an opportunity to produce complex materials with superior properties under ambient conditions and from nontoxic precursors. While there has been significant progress in using solid-binding peptides (SBPs), proteins, and organisms to produce a variety of inorganic and hybrid structures, it has been more challenging to understand the interplay of solution conditions and solid-binding peptide (SBP) sequence, structure, and self-association on synthetic outcomes. Here, we show that fusing the Car9 silica-binding peptide—but not the silaffin-derived R5 peptide—to superfolder green fluorescent protein (sfGFP) enhances the ability of micromolar concentrations of protein to induce rapid titania (TiO 2 ) precipitation from acidified solutions of tetrakis(di-lactato)-oxo-titanate (TiBALDH). TiO 2 is produced stoichiometrically and although predominantly amorphous, contains nanosized anatase and monoclinic TiO 2 (B) inclusions. Remarkably, the phase of these nanocrystallites can be tuned from about 80% TiO 2 (B) to about 65% anatase by using Car9 mutants impaired in their ability to drive the formation of higher-order sfGFP-Car9 oligomers. Our results suggest that the presentation of multiple basic side chains in an extended plane formed by SBP self-association is critical to template the formation of monoclinic crystallites and underscore the subtle influence that single or dual substitutions in dodecameric SBPs can exert on the yield and crystallinity of biomineralized inorganics.

mutagenesis↗

A Circularity Assessment for Silicon Solar Panels Based on Dynamic Material Flow Analysis

This paper examines the impacts of design, operational, and end-of-life (EOL) waste pathways’ parameters on material circularity in silicon solar photovoltaic (PV) modules. Dynamic material flow analysis (DMFA) quantifies time-series material flows through systems’ life cycle stages to identify hotspots of waste generation, estimate resource needs in the future, and guide sustainable material management. We introduce a DMFA framework based on U.S. electricity demand for the period 2000-2100 to assess stocks and flows of bulk PV materials (i.e., solar glass and aluminum frames). We apply the model to a range of scenarios to understand how material demands depend on selected PV-related parameters, different material circularity strategies, and recent module design trends (e.g., bifacials, large-format-high power modules). Our results enable advanced planning for future materials needs and provide insight into potential opportunities to minimize material waste.

circular economy↗

Volumetric nondestructive evaluation for damage in carbon fiber reinforced polymer panels subjected to artificial lightning strikes

Aircrafts and wind turbine blades often get hit by lightning strikes due to their operating locations. With increasing incidents of lightning flashes every year due to global warming, damage assessment of CFRP structures after lightning strike to aircrafts and wind turbine blades is getting increasingly important. Many researchers are involved in designing better and more resilient lighting strike protection materials and often utilize non-destructuve evaluation (NDE) methods such as ultrasonic testing (UT), high-speed digital videograpgy, and high-speed IR thermography. In particular, UT is widely used due to its cost-effectiveness compared to other methods. Using UT imaging can obtain any potential damaged locations caused by lightning strike through the thickness of the composite specimens. Traditional UT and visual inspections only display the damage in units area, when in fact the UT data is volumetric. This study optimized the UT data to measure and display the volumetric damage after artificial lightning strike and is compared to the standardized visual inspection.

Spencer, Ryan↗

Insights from Optimizing HPL Performance on Exascale Systems: A Comparative Analysis of Panel Factorization

High performance LINPACK (HPL) remains the primary benchmark for evaluating supercomputing performance. It includes many parts with substantial internal complexity, and its performance is affected by a large number of parameters that interact in ways that are difficult to predict on large-scale heterogeneous supercomputer systems. We present a comprehensive performance analysis of HPL on Frontier, the world’s first exascale supercomputer, which achieved HPL performance of 1.35 exaflops. Through empirical parameter tuning, detailed modeling, and comparative evaluation, we uncover critical performance insights, share lessons learned, and outline best practices for effective parameter tuning on exascale systems. We introduce and evaluate two novel PDFACT strategies: a dedicated-thread (DT) variant and a GPU-based variant (GPUPDFACT) implementation using HIP cooperative groups, demonstrating that GPU-based factorization outperforms conventional CPU-based PDFACT on Frontier’s architecture. Our findings establish key performance factors for HPL on exascale systems and offer valuable guidance for future high-performance computing and benchmarking efforts.

Lu, Hao [ORNL] (ORCID:000000018941870X)↗