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DOE OSTI2024

Optimal experimental design: Formulations and computations

Questions of ‘how best to acquire data’ are essential to modelling and prediction in the natural and social sciences, engineering applications, and beyond. Optimal experimental design (OED) formalizes these questions and creates computational methods to answer them. This article presents a systematic survey of modern OED, from its foundations in classical design theory to current research involving OED for complex models. We begin by reviewing criteria used to formulate an OED problem and thus to encode the goal of performing an experiment. We emphasize the flexibility of the Bayesian and decision-theoretic approach, which encompasses information-based criteria that are well-suited to nonlinear and non-Gaussian statistical models. We then discuss methods for estimating or bounding the values of these design criteria; this endeavour can be quite challenging due to strong nonlinearities, high parameter dimension, large per-sample costs, or settings where the model is implicit. A complementary set of computational issues involves optimization methods used to find a design; we discuss such methods in the discrete (combinatorial) setting of observation selection and in settings where an exact design can be continuously parametrized. Finally we present emerging methods for sequential OED that build non-myopic design policies, rather than explicit designs; these methods naturally adapt to the outcomes of past experiments in proposing new experiments, while seeking coordination among all experiments to be performed. Throughout, we highlight important open questions and challenges.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

ECAR-6332 Rev 3 RELAP5-3D Thermal-Hydraulic Analysis of MARVEL Microreactor - Final Design

This document reports the thermal hydraulic analyses results for the MARVEL microreactor, final design, including dry criticality, normal operation, operational transients and a set of very-low probability transients caused by accident conditions. The ultimate scope of this document is to demonstrate the MARVEL microreactor thermal hydraulic performances and its inherent safety. First, the list of the operational and accidental transients with the corresponding acceptance criteria are recalled. Then, details of the final design, the key input parameters, the assumptions, and the methodology used for performing the deterministic safety analyses are presented. Finally, the analyses results are provided, demonstrating the satisfaction of the corresponding acceptance criteria.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

DOE OSTI2025

Computational Fluid Dynamics Modeling to Facilitate Qualification of Stack Sampling Probe Location

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling was used to help evaluate modifications to a radiological effluent stack and assist with establishing a stack sampling location that met the mixing criteria for qualification. Requirements for stack sampling location are listed in the American National Standards Institute/Health Physics Society (ANSI/HPS) N13.1-2021 standard. Modeling was performed to help develop a suitable design for increasing building ventilation for the radiological effluent stack. The ANSI/HPS N13.1-2021 criteria for the air monitoring probe location are that the coefficient of variation of velocity uniformity, gaseous tracer uniformity, and particulate tracer uniformity must be less than or equal to 20%. Furthermore, no point in the sampling location may have a gaseous tracer concentration that varies from the mean concentration by more than 30%. Additionally, the flow angle at the sampling location must not be more than 20 degrees. The ANSI/HPS N13.1-2021 standard allows for models (physical or computational) to be employed to perform the full suite of qualification tests, followed by a more limited set of verification tests on the actual stack to qualify the stack sampling location. Here, a series of computational model simulations were employed to evaluate the stack qualification criteria. Significant time and re-source savings are achieved using CFD modeling. CFD modeling demonstrated that the stack meets the criteria at the sample probe location. Verification tests were performed on the modified stack to measure the velocity uniformity and flow angle at the stack sampling location, and results demonstrated that the CFD model results may be used to support the qualification of the stack sampling location.

Air Monitoring↗

DOE OSTI2020

Preliminary design analysis workflow for Division 5 HHA-3200 requirements for graphite core components

This report presents a design analysis workflow for graphite core components and assemblies, based on the design rules of ASME Boiler Pressure and Vessel Code, Section III, Division 5, Article HHA-3000. The workflow contains three stages: developing the design of the graphite core component, modeling the component with the finite element software MOOSE, and assessing if the component passes/fails the criteria of the HHA-3000 design rules. Since the design rules use probabilistic metrics specifically established to evaluate brittle materials, we developed a python library that performs all the statistical calculations necessary for the evaluations of the HHA-3000 criteria.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2022

316L Stainless Steel Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing and Characterization for Potential SNF Canister Production

In this paper, 316L stainless steel (316L SS) straight walls, curved walls, and vessels were printed by wire arc additive manufacturing (WAAM) using the 316L SS welding wire, to demonstrate the feasibility of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) canisters using this advanced manufacturing technique. Helium leak test with leak tight criteria of 1 × 10-7 ref-cc/s were performed on printed vessels with various wall thickness, and testing pressures were from 0.345 MPa (50 psi) to 1.724 MPa (250 psi). Printed wall microstructures were characterized using optical microscopy (OM) and scanning electron microscopy (SEM). Tensile specimens were machined out from printed walls along the length, height, and thickness directions, respectively, and tested at different temperature conditions, room temperature, 80 °C, 150 °C and 250 °C, respectively. Results showed t hat, all five WAAM-printed canisters with different thickness passed the helium leaktight criteria of radioactive materials containers by the ANSI N14.5; Dispersed micrometer-level size inclusions/voids were observed at printed wall cross sections, dendritic microstructures were found with grain size variation through the welding torch shifting direction, and very small amount of δ-ferrite and σ-phase were also observed in those cross sections; The printed walls were ductile, all tensile specimens broke with large plastic deformation/elongation and without brittle failure, and printed specimens yield strengths and tensile strengths under room temperature and 80 °C conditions are higher than minimum values of 316L SS for pressure vessels and for general applications at room temperature required by the ASTM standard, respectively.

Tang, Wei↗

DOE OSTI2020

Source identification by non-negative matrix factorization combined with semi-supervised clustering

Machine-learning methods and apparatus are provided to solve blind source separation problems with an unknown number of sources and having a signal propagation model with features such as wave-like propagation, medium-dependent velocity, attenuation, diffusion, and/or advection, between sources and sensors. In exemplary embodiments, multiple trials of non-negative matrix factorization are performed for a fixed number of sources, with selection criteria applied to determine successful trials. A semi-supervised clustering procedure is applied to trial results, and the clustering results are evaluated for robustness using measures for reconstruction quality and cluster separation. The number of sources is determined by comparing these measures for different trial numbers of sources. Source locations and parameters of the signal propagation model can also be determined. Disclosed methods are applicable to a wide range of spatial problems including chemical dispersal, pressure transients, and electromagnetic signals, and also to non-spatial problems such as cancer mutation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Source identification by non-negative matrix factorization combined with semi-supervised clustering

Alexandrov, Boian S.↗

DOE OSTI2023

ECAR-7210 Rev 0 Steady-state Thermo-mechanical Analysis of the MARVEL Fuel Bundle

This document reports the steady-state thermal-hydraulic and static mechanical analyses of the MARVEL micro-reactor core. The objective of this work is to investigate whether fuel-to-fuel contact could occur due to the thermal deformation of the fuel cladding during the normal operation and to assess the resulting impact on the peak cladding temperatures (PCT) if contact occurs. The scope of the work consists of three computational tasks. First, a conjugate heat transfer analysis using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model was performed to evaluate the PCTs during normal operating conditions. Second, a finite element analysis (FEA) using the cladding temperature field obtained from the CFD analysis was performed to evaluate the thermal deformation of cladding and determine the occurrence of fuel-to-fuel contact. Finally, a CFD analysis of FEA-informed fuel-to-fuel gap (represented by a conservative 0.05 mm uniform gap) was performed to evaluate whether the PCT exceeds the safety criteria.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

DOE OSTI2022

Optical Imaging for Understanding of Thermal Barrier Coated Piston Engine Performance

Thermal barrier coatings (TBC) applied to pistons have been a recently renewed research topic in the field of internal combustion engines. Single cylinder testing of a conventional C15™ Tier 4 final pro-duction steel piston and a TBC coated piston showed that the Yttrium stabilized Zirconia (YSZ) TBC did not significantly alter engine performance, with the TBC piston having slower combustion rates and higher criteria emissions. For deeper understanding, research continued by studying 3D-piston sections optically in a constant pressure vessel using photodiodes, four high-speed cameras (natural luminosity, CH*, and OH*), and visualization of the flame from two orthogonal directions. Particle Im-aging Velocimetry (PIV) algorithms were adapted to perform Combustion Imaging Velocimetry (CIV) to aid in quantification of the observed visual combustion flow field differences. The optical work showed that the TBC piston flame development is slower, spatially different, with lower mixing energy for the TBC variant. Geometric profiles of engine pistons and optical vessel 3D-piston sections were measured using a Coordinate Measurement Machine (CMM), and surface roughness was measured with a stylus surface profilometer. CMM results showed that the TBC piston bowl had reasonable macroscopic accuracy, but the rim had a larger radius with less reentrancy. A discussion of the results and analyses in relation to future TBC effort and direction concludes the work.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Statistical generic design of glass and optimization: Selective review on oxide glasses

Designing a single glass composition for a multidimensional property space is challenging, and the difficulty increases with the number of design criteria. Traditionally, the task is accomplished using multiple statistical models that describe the relationships between composition (C) and property (P) values, i.e., C-P models. Recently, the structure (S)-property (P) statistical modeling has emerged as a complementary approach. The S-P modeling approach has also been shown to be a preferred method for modeling glass properties, particularly when a small data set is available, such as in single-component studies, or when strong nonlinearities exist between composition and properties. The combined model package, C-S-P, implements the concept of generic glass design, i.e., designing glass for performance by first selecting a specific or optimized set of glass network structural groups using S-P models and then transferring the designed structures (genes) to a particular composition using C-S models. This article reviews a set of supporting cases from the previous C-S-P modeling studies of phosphate, silicate, and borosilicate glasses, which are relevant for many critical commercial applications. The methodology for developing the statistical C-S-P database is presented, enabling the application of P?S?C to achieve a generic glass design and optimization, targeting multiple design criteria for both performance and processing properties simultaneously.

Network structure↗

DOE OSTI2022

Derivative-free optimization of a rapid-cycling synchrotron

Here, we develop and solve a constrained optimization model to identify an integrable optics rapid-cycling synchrotron lattice design that performs well in several capacities. Our model encodes the design criteria into 78 linear and nonlinear constraints, as well as a single nonsmooth objective, where the objective and some constraints are defined from the output of Synergia, an accelerator simulator. We detail the difficulties of the 23-dimensional simulation-constrained decision space and establish that the space is nonempty. We use a derivative-free manifold sampling algorithm to account for structured nondifferentiability in the objective function. Our numerical results quantify the dependence of solutions on constraint parameters and the effect of the form of objective function.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Accelerating Multiphase Simulations With Denoising Diffusion Model Driven Initializations

This study introduces a hybrid fluid simulation approach that integrates generative diffusion models with physics‐based simulations, aiming at reducing the computational costs of flow simulations while still honoring all the physical properties of interest. Pore‐scale simulations enhance our understanding of applications such as assessing hydrogen and storage efficiency in underground reservoirs. Nevertheless, they are computationally expensive and the presence of non‐unique solutions can require multiple simulations within a single geometry. To overcome the computational cost hurdle, we propose a method that couples generative diffusion models and physics‐based simulations. While training the data‐driven model, we simultaneously generate initial conditions and perform physics‐based simulations using these. This integrated approach enables us to receive real‐time feedback on a single compute node equipped with both CPUs and GPUs. By efficiently managing these processes within a single compute node, we can continuously monitor performance and halt training once the model meets the specified criteria. To test our model, we generate realizations in a real Berea sandstone fracture which shows that our technique is up to 4.4 times faster than commonly used flow simulation initializations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

GHEP WIBT (Guidelines for Home Energy Professionals Weatherization Installer Badges Toolkit) [SWR-20-69]

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP) are collaborating with the home energy retrofit industry to support the development of skilled workers. The Installer Badges Toolkit provides a flexible, customizable, and voluntary approach to training and skills recognition for WAP implementers, utility programs, private-sector workers, and contractors. In Fiscal Year 2018, DOE, along with the Crew Leader scheme committee, determined the Retrofit Installer Technician (RIT) Job Task Analysis (JTA) could be eliminated and its tasks inserted in the Crew Leader JTA. The RIT tasks became the basis of the Installer Badges. The Badges Toolkit was updated in 2020 to add licensing and copyright agreements. Users must cite the copyright information when using or distributing copies of the Badges Toolkit in any way. The technical content has remained unchanged from previous versions of the Badges Toolkit. The Toolkit for home retrofits consists of 25 Badges, each representing different energy efficiency tasks that an installer could perform on a home. Each Badge defines the desired outcome, criteria to verify, applicable material requirements, and references to Standard Work Specifications (SWS) or other relevant standards. The Badges provide a consistent approach to training by ensuring that installers in different regions are learning the same skills nationwide. Organizations can also customize the Toolkit by choosing only those Badges that are relevant to their program. The Badges Toolkit includes five pieces: "How to Use the Badges Toolkit" provides a brief overview of how a Grantee, Subgrantee, or training provider may approach using the toolkit. The "Badges Toolkit: Worksheet" includes what to consider when determining whether and how to best incorporate the Badges into a weatherization assistance program. The "Crew Leader Job Task Analysis Spreadsheet" indicates how the Badges align with specific areas of the JTA. The "Installer Badges Passport" features separate pages for each Badge, which include places for the installer and the supervisor/trainer to record the number of times a task has been successfully completed. The "Installer Badges Verification Criteria" includes sample inspection checklists for each Badge. These can be modified as needed based on approved variance requests or more stringent requirements. They also provide a basis for consistent inspections and awarding of Badges. Note: All elements of the Badges Toolkit are designed for use by potential program implementers. They are not off-the-shelf products intended for immediate deployment. Program implementers must review and modify as needed, revise verification criteria to match local requirements, complete worksheets, and otherwise define the parameters of their own badging program.

Desai, Jal↗

DOE OSTI2020

Summary Report for the NEPA Impact Analysis. Revision 1

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), located in southeastern New Mexico, has been developed by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) for the geologic (deep underground) disposal of defense-related transuranic (TRU) waste. Containment of TRU waste at the WIPP facility is derived from standards set forth in Title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR), Part 191. The DOE assesses compliance with the containment standards according to the Certification Criteria in Title 40 CFR Part 194 by means of Performance Assessment (PA) calculations performed by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL). WIPP PA calculations estimate the probability of radionuclide releases from the repository to the accessible environment for a regulatory period of 10,000 years after facility closure. The DOE Carlsbad Field Office (CBFO) has initiated a National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) action for a proposal to excavate and use additional transuranic (TRU) waste disposal panels at the WIPP facility. This report documents an analysis undertaken as part of an effort to evaluate the potential environmental consequences of the proposed action. Although not explicitly required for a NEPA analysis, evaluations of a dose indicator to hypothetical members of the public after final facility closure are presented in this report. The analysis is carried out in two stages: first, Performance Assessment (PA) calculations quantify the potential releases to the accessible environment over a 10,000-year post-closure period. Second, dose was evaluated for three hypothetical exposure pathways using the conservative radionuclide concentrations assumed to be released to the accessible environment.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2022

Characterization of the Fusion Zone in Laser Beam Welds on SS304L

Designing a welded joint requires consideration of the welding process, component/assembly structure and weld geometry, material composition, properties, and desired joint performance. The designer must also specify a set of acceptance criteria used to evaluate the welds. This study was conducted to support the design team responsible for specifying the spot weld profile by investigating the relationship between weld process parameters and the weld geometry and properties to further inform design optimization. The subjects of this study are two thin stainless steel 304L (SS304L) components joined by Laser Beam Welding (LBW). The components are the Housing, which contains flexible circuitry, and the Cover that protects the circuitry during handling, installation, and under service loads. Figure 1 illustrates coupon versions of the Cover and Housing used to simulate the interface between these components for weld testing. These coupon representations of assembly components were designed to match the material and relevant geometry related to the welded joint while other features not relevant to the welded joint are excluded.The objective of this study was to characterize the sensitivity of the weld geometry and mechanical properties to the input weld parameters to inform further Finite Element Analysis (FEA) efforts in balancing joint strength against assembly deformation caused by the welding process. Characterization was accomplished by varying laser welding parameters around the current design values and measuring weld geometry on the cross-sections. Nanoindentation with a spherical and flat-ended tip was used on polished section cuts of the weld to obtain direct estimates of the stress-strain response of the Fusion Zone (FZ) for comparison to the Base Metal (BM).

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Double-shell FY2022, Q4 L2 milestone on low-to-mid mode inner shell shape (MRT 7472)

This report summarizes an extensive series of numerical simulations, which have been performed to assess the performance sensitivity of double shell implosions to low (1-4) and midmode (16-200) perturbations on all interfaces of the double shell capsule. This work was performed to satisfy the L2 milestone, the text and completion criteria of which are summarized in Sections 2 and 3 of this report.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2024

Wind Turbine Design Guideline DG03: Yaw and Pitch Bearings

This design guideline describes the design criteria, calculation methods, and applicable standards recommended for use in performance and life analyses of ball and roller (rolling) bearings for yaw and pitch motion support in wind turbine applications. The formulae presented here for rolling bearing analytical methods and bearing-life ratings are consistent with methods currently used by wind turbine designers and rolling bearing manufacturers. The original yaw and pitch bearing design guideline was first drafted in 1999 by industry members and finally published in 2009 by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory. It was conceived as the third in a series of design guidelines, but it was the only one actually published by NREL and since has been known by the name "DG03." Other design guidelines were started, but instead of being published by NREL, they eventually became some of the International Electrotechnical Commission wind turbine standards in use today. This updated design guideline includes advances in research and field experiences made between 2009 and 2023. A better understanding of the operating conditions and damage mechanisms, advances in computational design, and publicly available test results facilitate more reliable yaw and pitch bearing designs.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis of Low-Temperature Resources for Sedimentary Basin Geothermal Play Types: An Example in the Denver Basin

This project is part of a nationwide effort to highlight the advantages of incorporating low-temperature geothermal resource evaluation into the implementation of combined heat and power (CHP), and geothermal direct use (GDU) technologies (e.g., space heating and/or cooling). The initiative aims to hasten the nation's decarbonization process by exploring the potential for using low-temperature geothermal resources (< 150 Degrees Celsius) in selected sedimentary basins that have several population centers. The Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) techniques were modified from earlier studies of sedimentary basin geothermal play types (SBGPTs) that assessed the viability of low-temperature resources. The decision-making process for leveraging low-temperature geothermal resources for GDU and CHP applications is complex and considers a variety of factors, including geological, economic, and risk criteria. This study covers workflows, relevant datasets, python code, and both common and composite maps used to create low-temperature geothermal resource favorability maps for the Denver Basin, which extends across Colorado, Nebraska, and Wyoming. The replication of these methodologies in other SBGPTs can evaluate potential for low-temperature resources. The proposed geothermal PFA approach for low-temperature geothermal resources includes: (1) identifying available relevant data and grouping data sets into PFA criteria (e.g., geological, economic, and risk criteria); (2) analyzing data gaps enable future focalized exploration; (3) performing uncertainty quantification; (4) weighting relevant data; (5) developing favorability and common risk maps for low-temperature geothermal resources to identify potential locations for more focused data collection. This project will facilitate future deployment of CHP and GDU by providing data, tools, and a workflow applicable to low-temperature geothermal resources in sedimentary basins.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗