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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11

Study of neutron beta decay with the Nab experiment

The current three sigma tension in the unitarity test of the Cabbibo-Kobayashi-Maskawa (CKM) matrix is a notable problem with the Standard Model of elementary particle physics. A long-standing goal of the study of free neutron beta decay is to better determine the CKM element Vud through measurements of the neutron lifetime and a decay correlation parameter. The Nab collaboration intends to measure a, the neutrino-electron correlation, with accuracy sufficient for a competitive evaluation of Vud based on neutron decay data alone. This paper gives a status report and an outlook.

Baessler, Stefan↗

Review of Grey Box/Black Box Data Contamination Metrics on Open and Commercial Models

Dataset contamination is a problem where benchmarks and tasks used to evaluate the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) have been incorporated into the training dataset of the models. This gives a false sense of performance that can overestimate how these models will function on truly unseen data. This problem becomes worse with commercial LLMs with larger and non-accessible training data, so techniques have been developed to try to measure the degree to which a model is contaminated with a benchmark’s data. To understand the effectiveness of these techniques, particularly when evaluating contamination on coding tasks, we review trends and categorize techniques by the degree of access to the model that is required. The research literature on this topic has reported mixed effectiveness of these techniques, so we select a set of black box (text access only) and grey box (access to model loss/probabilities required) techniques and apply them to both commercial and non-commercial models. We implement these metrics as part of a framework to test the contamination of Python code in LLMs to see to what extent we can replicate the effectiveness (or ineffectiveness) of these contamination detection techniques. Though we find mixed results in the capabilities of these metrics to identify contamination, we do observe evidence that they can identify contamination (broadly) in fine-tuned models when both a baseline and fine-tuned model is present. Additionally, similarity metrics were able to identify between contaminated and uncontaminated data even in situations where the data is distributionally similar (e.g., drawn from the same set of code projects).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dense granular flows with MFIX-Exa

This report extends the linear spring dashpot collision model the discrete element method available in MFIX-Exa to include static a static tangential friction force. Additionally, two rolling friction models frequently used in the literature are also implemented. The governing equations are provided with an emphasis on the new terms. The new model is validated by comparison to existing experimental data of single particle oblique collisions. The model is then tested on three dense granular flow problems: the formation of static piles, the discharge from a flat-bottom hopper and the self-induced granular Rayleigh-Taylor instability.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Impacts of PV Module Connector Failures on Cost and Performance of Utility Scale Photovoltaic Systems

The reliability, cost and performance of electrical connectors are a concern in all types of electrical systems, and demands on connectors used on photovoltaic (PV) systems include that connectors maintain electrical conductivity and physical strength, endure ultraviolet sunlight and high ambient temperature, and resist moisture and chemical intrusion over a very long (>25 year) performance period. Connector failures increase operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and reduce plant production, but connector failure can also cause safety and liability problems, which are of greater concern. This work results from a three-year collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technology Office (SETO) under Agreements #39035 and #38531 "Connector Reliability Across the US Solar Sector." a multi-pronged investigation of PV connector health across the US (see https://energy.sandia.gov/pvconnectors/). This report presents derivation of a Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that models failure modes and frequencies (how often failure occurs), estimates O&M costs and lost production associated with connector failures, and then calculates the effect that PV module connectors can have on Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The model is informed with initial data from quantitative assessment of failure rates, root causes and mechanisms, in-situ diagnostics and data collection, lab-based forensics, and interviews with PV connector manufacturers and plant operators. SNL conducted site inspections at multiple utility-scale sites in different climates and subjected field samples of new, used, and degraded connectors to visual and electrical characterization. EPRI conducted metallurgical analysis of the pin and sleeve conductors to study failure-induced morphological and compositional changes. There is in general a shortage of statistically valid data, but data from PVROM database maintained by SNL was sufficient to ascertain failure rates and lost production as well as provide qualitative insight in its curated maintenance records. This report details the structure of the mathematical model but the sources of data to inform the model will continue to evolve. Analysis of a 100 MW PV plant is provided as an example of the use of the model, with results indicating that connectors are responsible for Annualized O&M Costs of $\$$71,933/year; Annualized Unit O&M Costs of $\$$0.72/kW/year; that a Reserve Account of $\$$187,220 should be available to fund repairs related to connectors; that connectors add $\$$1,494,004 to the Net Present Value of the O&M Costs (project life); and that O&M related to connectors adds about $\$$0.00088/kWh to the Levelized Cost of Energy. The impact of this model is to provide a tool to make the US solar sector more robust by quantifying and monetizing the reliability risks to utility-scale PV systems posed by poorly installed, mismatched and/or poorly designed and manufactured connectors. The TEA provides a model incorporating failure statistics, O&M cost data, and lost production into a single figure of merit, informing decisions and enabling practitioners to optimize cost and performance trade-offs. Stakeholders include connector manufacturers, system designers and equipment specifiers, standards bodies, installers and O&M providers, investors and insurance underwriters. This report supports continued growth of PV predicated on assurances that properly installed and maintained PV system connectors are safe and reliable. The project team is proposing future work including accelerated testing of connectors and expanding the approach taken here to other PV system components, such as TEA for rapid shut-down devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Inferring Stochastic Rates from Heterogeneous Snapshots of Particle Positions

Many imaging techniques for biological systems—like fixation of cells coupled with fluorescence microscopy—provide sharp spatial resolution in reporting locations of individuals at a single moment in time but also destroy the dynamics they intend to capture. In this study, these snapshot observations contain no information about individual trajectories, but still encode information about movement and demographic dynamics, especially when combined with a well-motivated biophysical model. The relationship between spatially evolving populations and single-moment representations of their collective locations is well-established with partial differential equations (PDEs) and their inverse problems. However, experimental data is commonly a set of locations whose number is insufficient to approximate a continuous-in-space PDE solution. Here, motivated by popular subcellular imaging data of gene expression, we embrace the stochastic nature of the data and investigate the mathematical foundations of parametrically inferring demographic rates from snapshots of particles undergoing birth, diffusion, and death in a nuclear or cellular domain. Toward inference, we rigorously derive a connection between individual particle paths and their presentation as a Poisson spatial process. Using this framework, we investigate the properties of the resulting inverse problem and study factors that affect quality of inference. One pervasive feature of this experimental regime is the presence of cell-to-cell heterogeneity. Rather than being a hindrance, we show that cell-to-cell geometric heterogeneity can increase the quality of inference on dynamics for certain parameter regimes. Altogether, the results serve as a basis for more detailed investigations of subcellular spatial patterns of RNA molecules and other stochastically evolving populations that can only be observed for single instants in their time evolution.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Missing baryons recovered: A measurement of the gas fraction in galaxies and groups with the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel’dovich effect and CMB lensing

We present new constraints on the halo masses and matter density profiles of DESI galaxy groups by cross-correlating samples of luminous red galaxies (LRGs) and bright galaxy survey (BGS) galaxies with the publicly available CMB lensing convergence map from ACT DR6. This provides an independent, lensing-based calibration of halo masses, complementary to methods relying on clustering or dynamics. We derive constraints on the mean halo mass for three DESI-selected samples, finding log⁡(𝑀 halo /(𝑀 ⊙ /ℎ)) ≈ 13.18, 13.03 and 13.02 for the main LRG, extended LRG, and BGS samples, respectively. Using a halo model approach, we also compare the projected galaxy-matter density profiles with previously reported gas profiles inferred from measurements of the kinematic Sunyaev-Zel’dovich (kSZ) effect. This work addresses one of the key uncertainties in interpreting kSZ signals—the unknown host halo mass distribution—by providing an independent and consistent mass calibration. The agreement between the gas and total mass profiles at large aperture suggests that sufficiently far from the group center (2–3 virial radii), we recover all the baryons, offering a resolution to the missing baryon problem. We further study the cumulative gas fractions for all galaxies as well as for the most massive galaxy groups in the sample [log⁡(𝑀 halo /(𝑀 ⊙ /ℎ)) ≈ 13.5], finding values that are physically sensible and in agreement with previous findings using kSZ and x-ray data: compared to the TNG300 simulation, the observed gas fractions are systematically lower at fixed radius by ≳ 4⁢𝜎, providing compelling, independent evidence for stronger baryonic feedback in the real Universe. These findings highlight the power of combining CMB lensing with galaxy surveys to probe the interplay between baryons and dark matter in group-sized halos.

Hadzhiyska, Boryana [Lawrence Berkeley National La↗

Snowmass 2021 cross frontier report: Dark matter complementarity

The fundamental nature of Dark Matter is a central theme of the Snowmass 2021 process, extending across all frontiers. In the last decade, advances in detector technology, analysis techniques and theoretical modeling have enabled a new generation of experiments and searches while broadening the types of candidates we can pursue. Over the next decade, there is great potential for discoveries that would transform our understanding of dark matter. In the following, we outline a road map for discovery developed in collaboration among the frontiers. A strong portfolio of experiments that delves deep, searches wide, and harnesses the complementarity between techniques is key to tackling this complicated problem, requiring expertise, results, and planning from all Frontiers of the Snowmass 2021 process.

Boveia, Antonio [The Ohio State Univ., Columbus, O↗

Quantum Computing Technology Roadmaps and Capability Assessment for Scientific Computing - An analysis of use cases from the NERSC workload

The National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC), as the high-performance computing (HPC) facility for the Department of Energy’s Office of Science, recognizes the essential role of quantum computing in its future mission. In this report, we analyze the NERSC workload and identify materials science, quantum chemistry, and high-energy physics as the science domains and application areas that stand to benefit most from quantum computers. These domains jointly make up over 50% of the current NERSC production workload, which is illustrative of the impact quantum computing could have on NERSC’s mission going forward. We perform an extensive literature review and determine the quantum resources required to solve classically intractable problems within these science domains. This review also shows that the quantum resources required have consistently decreased over time due to algorithmic improvements and a deeper understanding of the problems. At the same time, public technology roadmaps from a collection of ten quantum computing companies predict a dramatic increase in capabilities over the next five to ten years. Our analysis reveals a significant overlap emerging in this time frame between the technological capabilities and the algorithmic requirements in these three scientific domains. We anticipate that the execution time of large-scale quantum workflows will become a major performance parameter and propose a simple metric, the Sustained Quantum System Performance (SQSP), to compare system-level performance and throughput for a heterogeneous workload.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Computational methods based on density functional theory for reactions and processes involving electronic spin (Final Technical Report)

This award supports one post-doctoral researcher for 1.5 years. Publications that acknowledge this grant: Refs. 1–14. Refs. 3,10,12 assess current methodology for the evaluation of magnetic exchange couplings in transition metal complexes. In particular, Ref. 10 validates the use of an approximate (non-iterative) Green’s function approach for the calculation of magnetic exchange couplings and will be the foundation for Thrust 2 in this proposal. Refs. 3 and 12 focus on widely used density functional approaches based on the standard energy differences methodology for the particular case of oxo-bridged Fe(III) complexes. Refs. 2,4–7,11 apply current methodologies to problems of practical interest in molecular magnetism. Ref. 13 presents a methodology to explicitly simulate the dynamics of open quantum systems within density functional theory (DFT) calculations based on the Liouville-von Neumann equation of motion for quantum systems driven out-of-equilibrium. Ref. 8 uses non-collinear spin DFT to explain the mechanical behavior of magnetic mono-atomic Pt wires produced in break-junction experiments in the presence of a magnetic field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Interactions of a Microdischarge with a Premixed Flame (Final Technical Report)

In this project we introduced an experimental platform that facilitates the study of the two-way interaction of plasma and flame, and the exploration of the impact of the spatial location of the discharge on its kinetics, in a controlled environment. The experimental platform is a mesoscale CH4/air premixed flame burner that also acts as a dielectric barrier discharge (DBD) operated by nanosecond pulsed voltage. A unique feature of this setup is that the DBD utilizes transparent electrodes, made of Indium Tin Oxide (ITO), to unlock optical access along the line-of-sight parallel to the dominant electric field. This platform is suitable to study both the forward problem (impact of plasma-on-flame), which manifests itself as a modified flame speed as well as flame wrinkling; and the backward problem (impact of flame-on-plasma), which includes plasma regime transitions, between microdischarges and uniform modes, driven by the flame passage. Prior work at MIT has focused on electrical measurements and direct imaging studies of the plasma-flame interaction through the ITO electrode. This project, which was awarded experimental runtime at the Low-temperature Plasma Research Facility (PRF) at Sandia National Laboratories, quantifies the flame-plasma interaction through temporally resolved measurement of key radicals (oxygen atom, O) produced by the nanosecond repetitively pused discharge (NRPD) in an individual microdischarge, using two-photon absorption laser-induced fluorescence (TALIF).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

History of the Chemical Stockpile Emergency Preparedness Program – Volume 2: Lessons Learned (Final Report 2026)

The CSEP Program involved multiple federal agencies, multiple states, and numerous local units of government. The involvement of diverse agencies at different levels of government led to conflict and difficulty in resolving issues. That, in turn, led to slow progress in achieving program goals. Program management was criticized repeatedly by the U.S. General Accounting Office (GAO). After other mechanisms for interagency coordination had failed to give the desired results, FEMA and the Army agreed to form site-specific and national-level IPTs. The IPTs worked well to break the logjam and accelerate implementation of the program. Key elements of the IPTs’ success included constant interagency communication, solving problems at the lowest level, and obtaining buy-in from higher authority. The IPT technique could be applied to other emergency management and homeland security programs that require interagency coordination.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Compositional Variation Tests on DuraMelter 100 with LAW Sub-Envelope C2 Feed in Support of the LAW Pilot Melter (Final Report)

One of the principal objectives of the DM100 melter tests was to demonstrate that the LAW Sub-Envelope C2 feeds with ± 15% variations in the amounts of waste simulant are suitable for large-scale tests on the LAW Pilot melter. The other principle objective for the DM100 tests was to determine the relative effects of sugar versus waste organics on glass redox state, NOx emissions, sulfur emissions, sulfur retention in the glass, secondary sulfate layer formation, and glass-melt foaming. Additional objectives included measurement of the feed rheological properties and collection of melter emissions data. Screening tests are conducted at the DM100 scale in order to identify and correct potential problems before testing at the larger scale LAW Pilot melter. Testing goals were met in that the results of the DM100 melter test resulted in selection of LAW Sub-Envelope C2 feed suitable for Pilot Melter testing.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Uranyl Capture and Activation with Lewis Acids and Macrocyclic Hosts (Final Technical Report)

This document is the final report for the project with the title, “Uranyl Capture with Lewis Acids and Macrocyclic Hosts.” Nuclear power is attractive for meeting the current and future energy needs of society, in that it does not release carbon dioxide or other pollutants into the atmosphere during routine use. This motivated the project, because preparation of nuclear fuel, recovery of useful components from used fuel, and handling of waste materials remain significant impediments to further deployment of important nuclear technologies. In part, these problems arise from limited availability of chemical reactions that can reliably interconvert forms of uranium and other heavy elements during preparation and processing. For example, harsh and expensive chemicals are often required for making and breaking chemical bonds to uranium, and the reactions involved are inefficient. The overall objective of this research was to harness knowledge of chemical structure and bonding to develop a useful and predictive und

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Partnership Center for High-Fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (Final Report)

Within the Partnership Center for High-Fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (HBPS), work at UT-Austin was aimed at improved verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) for edge plasma simulations and on performing gyrokinetics simulations of pedestal instabilities and turbulence in order to expand foundational understanding of pedestal transport. Regarding VVUQ, the accomplishments can be summarized as follows. First, it was shown that the Moment Preserving Constrained Resampling technique, when applied periodically in particle-in-cell simulations in the XGC code, can dramatically improve the accuracy of the simulation at essentially equivalent computational cost. Second, a technique for estimating model correlations, which are required to solve the model selection and sample allocation problem in multifidelity UQ techniques, without sampling the highest fidelity, most computationally expensive model, was developed and demonstrated. Third, previously developed methods for estimating statistical and discretization errors were applied to numerical methods relevant to edge plasma simulations, namely in particle-in-cell-based approaches, and shown to work. Finally, benchmark studies for comparing gyrokinetic codes were developed and performed, leading to reasonable agreement between four commonly used codes. Regarding physics studies, gyrokinetic simulations to investigate microtearing modes in the DIII-D pedestal were performed using the GENE code.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Artificial Intelligence for Data Center Operations (AIOps): Cooperative Research and Development (Final Report)

High performance computing data centers will increasingly need to rely on automation to keep pace with exascale growth in compute capability and to manage and optimize the data center environment and facility resources. Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches provide the means to improve HPC data center operational efficiency, by learning historical trends and training models to operate on real-time data collected from both IT and facilities sources. NREL has developed methods of real-time collection, aggregation and streaming of these data in the ESIF HPC Data Center and has collected a significant dataset of relevant metrics across computer systems, racks, environmental, building and utility sources for research into various predictive analytics problems. HPE's Advanced Technology Group (ATG) is doing comprehensive research into exascale monitoring and management for High Performance Computing (HPC) systems (hereinafter HPE's Data Monitoring/ Management Technology). NREL and HPE will collaborate to add Artificial Intelligence (AI) to NREL's real-time data collection/ aggregation/ streaming system and HPE's Data Monitoring/ Management System, with the goal of improving the operational efficiency of NREL's Energy Systems Integration Facility (ESIF) HPC Data Center through data analytics on both historical and real-time data from IT systems and facilities operations. This collaboration will consist of efforts in Data Management, Data Analytics, and AI/ML Optimization for both manual and autonomous intervention in data center operations. This will be a multi-year, multi-staged effort with a goal towards building capabilities for an Advanced Smart Facility, and demonstration of these techniques in the NREL ESIF HPC Data Center.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Reaction mechanisms for electrical doping of organic semiconductors using complex dopants

Electrical doping of organic semiconductors (OSCs) can be achieved using simple one-electron reductants and oxidants as n- and p-dopants, respectively, but for such dopants, increased doping strength is accompanied by increased sensitivity to ambient moisture and/or oxygen. “Indirect” or “complex” dopants—defined here as those that generate OSC radical cations or anions via pathways more complex than a single simple electron transfer, i.e., by multistep reactions—represent a means of circumventing this problem. Further, this review highlights the importance of understanding the reaction mechanisms by which such dopants operate for: (i) ensuring a researcher knows the composition of a doped material; (ii) predicting the thermodynamic feasibility of achieving doping with related dopant:OSC combinations; and (iii) predicting whether thermodynamically feasible doping reactions are likely to be rapid or slow, or to require subsequent activation. The mechanistic information available to date for some of the wide variety of complex n- and p-dopants that have been reported is then reviewed, emphasizing that in many cases our knowledge is far from complete.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Modeling Enhancements, Cross-Section Generation Updates, and Benchmarking with Shift

This technical report documents the modeling enhancements, cross-section generation updates, and bench marking with the Shift Monte Carlo code performed under the US Department of Energy Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Program in FY 2024. The work performed included several modeling enhancements, such as integration of cross-section generation in Titan and the ability to produce microscopic multigroup cross sections with Shift. Benchmarking of the cross sections produced by Shift and the two-step workflow with Griffin was performed for three problems: the Advanced Breeder Test Reactor, a generic pebble bed reactor, and a TRISO heat pipe microreactor. Comparisons of results from these benchmark problems were done with Serpent, OpenMC, and Griffin. These enhancements provide a robust foundation for applying Shift for both reference and two-step neutronics analysis for advanced reactor simulation.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach to Inference in Transient Surface Kinetics

Here, in this work, we develop a novel Bayesian approach to study the adsorption and desorption of CO onto a Pd(111) surface, a process of great importance in natural sciences. The motivation for this work comes from the recent availability of time-resolved infrared spectroscopy data and the need for model interpretability and uncertainty quantification in chemical processes. The objective is to learn the relevant parameters that characterize the process: coverage with time, rate constants, activation energies, and pre-exponential factors. Our approach consists of three main schemes: (i) a problem design and probabilistic model for the whole system, (ii) a particle Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler to learn the hidden coverages and rate constant parameters, and (iii) two Bayesian formulations to infer the activation energies and pre-exponential factors. The flexibility of the Bayesian framework allows for uncertainty quantification where possible and integration of mathematical constraints in the model to reflect the system physically. We found that our results for the activation energies and pre-exponential factor are in agreement with those reported in the experimental literature, independently, and we provide discussions on the advantages and disadvantages as well as applicability to other systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗