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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 199 records · Page 11

Model-Specific Metadata for Enhancing Space Science Models

The Space Weather and Heliophysics modeling community, supported by the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC, https://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov), provides a collaborative platform for space weather models and data. Flexible metadata is vital for advancing scientific research and fostering collaboration. Our work in expressing complex simulations of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF), particularly Global Magnetosphere (GM) grid components, in terms of simple metadata records shows great promise in creating searchable and reusable units of knowledge. Such records can be readily utilized to support the process of scientific discovery, closely aligning with the goals outlined in the Open Science initiative. Our primary goal is to show the scalability and benefits of metadata-focused methodologies. This presentation highlights the potential for applying metadata methodologies to other complex models, improving usability, supplying efficient documentation and fostering interdisciplinary research.

space weather↗

A multi-model assessment of global freshwater temperature and thermoelectric power supply under climate change

Water temperature is a key abiotic factor influencing aquatic ecosystem health and the services provided to both nature and humans. Global water temperature models offer possibilities to improve our understanding of water temperature regimes, which is increasingly important against the backdrop of climate change. Yet, existing studies have predominantly relied on a single model, which can lead to an incomplete representation of uncertainty and potential biases, in addition to limited insight into the range of possible future conditions, which ultimately reduces the robustness of climate impact assessments. Here, we provide a comprehensive assessment of surface freshwater temperature changes from various river and lake models for both past conditions and under future scenarios of climate change. Global models consistently simulate that surface water temperatures are currently 0.5 °C–0.8 °C higher than at the turn of the century (i.e. 1981–2000), and that warming will extend and intensify with future global change throughout the 21st century. While the strength of warming is highly sensitive to the different water temperature models, emissions scenarios and global climate models, our multi-model ensemble shows a global average annual water temperature rise of between +1.3 °C and +4.1 °C by the end of the century. To illustrate a potential societal impact of our results, we evaluate how future changes in discharge and water temperature may affect existing thermoelectric power plants, estimating average annual reductions of 1.5%–6% in global usable capacity by the end of the century. However, with river water temperatures projected to exhibit more pronounced seasonal patterns in the future—especially under the more extreme climate change scenarios and during summer months in the Northern Hemisphere—intra-annual reductions in usable capacity can be much more severe. Given the challenges associated with (large-scale) adaptation to control water temperature regimes, strong climate change mitigation is crucial for minimising water temperature rises and its associated negative impacts on humankind and ecosystems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-10980-DND

We plan to perform the following sets of computations on unadapted (fixed) grids: 1) Structured RANS set 1 (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras), 2) Structured RANS set 2 (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Menter SST), 3) Structured RANS set 3 (time permitting) (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-B-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Menter SST), 4) Unstructured RANS set 1 (Code: FUN3D, Grid: Unst-Mixed-FromTet-Nodecentered-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras), and 5) Unstructured RANS set 2 (time permitting) (Code: FUN3D, Grid: Unst-Hex-FromOnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras),. Optional case 3 is not being computed. CFL3D is a structured upwind-biased cell-centered RANS code,1 and FUN3D is an unstructured upwind-biased node-centered RANS code

Elizabeth M Lee-Rausch↗

TPSAS-NF1676L-10454-DND

We plan to perform the following sets of computations on unadapted (fixed) grids: 1) Structured RANS set 1 (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras), 2) Structured RANS set 2 (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Menter SST), 3) Structured RANS set 3 (time permitting) (Code: CFL3D, Grid: Str-OnetoOne-B-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Menter SST), 4) Unstructured RANS set 1 (Code: FUN3D, Grid: Unst-Mixed-FromTet-Nodecentered-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras), and 5) Unstructured RANS set 2 (time permitting) (Code: FUN3D, Grid: Unst-Hex-FromOnetoOne-A-v1 (supplied by HiLiftPW-1 committee), Turbulence model: Spalart-Allmaras),. Optional case 3 is not being computed. CFL3D is a structured upwind-biased cell-centered RANS code,1 and FUN3D is an unstructured upwind-biased node-centered RANS code

C L Rumsey↗

Standardized multiple output power supply

A comprehensive program to develop a prototype model of a standardized multiple output power supply for use in space flight applications is described. The prototype unit was tested and evaluated to assure that the design would provide near optimum performance for the planned application. The prototype design used a dc-to-dc converter incorporating reqenerative current feedback with a time-ratio controlled duty cycle to achieve high efficiency over a wide variation of input voltage and output loads. The packaging concept uses a mainframe capable of accommodating up to four inverter/regulator modules with one common input filter and housekeeping module. Each inverter/regulator module provides a maximum of 100 watts or 10 amperes. Each module is adaptable to operate at any voltage between 4.0 volts and 108 volts. The prototype unit contains +5, + or - 15 and +28 volt modules.

Ragusa, E. V.↗

Generating Finite-Element Models Of Composite Materials

Program starts at micromechanical level, from simple inputs supplied by user. COMGEN, COmposite Model GENerator, is interactive FORTRAN program used to create wide variety of finite-element models of continuous-fiber composite materials at micromechanical level. Quickly generates batch or "session files" to be submitted to finite-element preprocessor and postprocessor program, PATRAN. COMGEN requires PATRAN to complete model.

Melis, M. E.↗

Evaluating U.S. Natural Gas Environmental Performance

This work summarizes the U.S. Department of Energy National Energy Technology Laboratory's (NETL) modeling and analysis of natural gas environmental performance. Over the past year, NETL updated its U.S. natural gas supply chain life cycle baseline model to incorporate 2020 data, regionalize the transmission and distribution network into six regions, incorporate improved gathering and boosting stage and distribution stage emissions factors, and assign environmental burdens among the various co-products (i.e., crude oil, natural gas liquids, natural gas) of the natural gas supply chain. The updated natural gas model helps generate more comprehensive and regionalized natural gas profiles, mapping production basins to the relevant transmission and distribution regions downstream. The work incorporates data from multiple peer reviewed measurement-based studies to achieve the objective of providing a comprehensive understanding of emissions from the U.S. natural gas supply chain. This presentation also explores future work by NETL to develop a platform that enables stakeholders to customize key parameters within the natural gas LCA model and observe the corresponding effects on the carbon intensity of the overall supply chain. The platform aims to offer a convenient method for stakeholders to obtain relevant insights from the updated model, without diving deep into the intricacies of the NETL natural gas model with hundreds of parameters and linkages.

Khutal, Harshvardhan↗

Modeling Gray Zone Tactics Used Against Green Energy Supply Chains

This report documents a project demonstrating capabilities within Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s Cyber and Infrastructure Resilience program to place newly developed numeric simulations into the current, larger geopolitical context. The emergence of state-backed gray zone threats introduces an unprecedented challenge because they fall short of armed conflict and involve ambiguous tactics, requiring a fresh analytical approach to understanding their potential impact and countering them. In the context of our project, we analyze how China might use gray zone tactics to degrade the power of the United States, including our influence over global efforts to combat climate change.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Large-area sheet task: Advanced dendritic-web-growth development

Thermally generated stresses in the growing web crystal were reduced. These stresses, which if too high cause the ribbon to degenerate, were reduced by a factor of three, resulting in the demonstrated growth of high-quality web crystals to widths of 5.4 cm. This progress was brought about chiefly by the application of thermal models to the development of low-stress growth configurations. A new temperature model was developed which can analyze the thermal effects of much more complex lid and top shield configurations than was possible with the old lumped shield model. Growth experiments which supplied input data such as actual shield temperature and melt levels were used to verify the modeling results. Desirable modifications in the melt level-sensing circuitry were made in the new experimental web growth furnace, and this furnace has been used to carry out growth experiments under steady-state conditions. New growth configurations were tested in long growth runs at Westinghouse AESD which produced wider, lower stress and higher quality web crystals than designs previously used.

Duncan, C. S.↗

How Accurately Do Maize Crop Models Simulate the Interactions of Atmospheric CO2 Concentration Levels With Limited Water Supply on Water Use and Yield?

This study assesses the ability of 21 crop models to capture the impact of elevated CO2 concentration [CO2] on maize yield and water use as measured in a 2-year Free Air Carbon dioxide Enrichment experiment conducted at the Thunen Institute in Braunschweig, Germany (Manderscheid et al. 2014). Data for ambient [CO2] and irrigated treatments were provided to the 21 models for calibrating plant traits, including weather, soil and management data as well as yield, grain number, above ground biomass, leaf area index, nitrogen concentration in biomass and grain, water use and soil water content. Models differed in their representation of carbon assimilation and evapotranspiration processes. The models reproduced the absence of yield response to elevated [CO2] under well-watered conditions, as well as the impact of water deficit at ambient [CO2], with 50 percent of models within a range of plus/minus 1 Mg ha(exp. -1) around the mean. The bias of the median of the 21 models was less than 1 Mg ha(exp. -1). However under water deficit in one of the two years, the models captured only 30 percent of the exceptionally high [CO2] enhancement on yield observed. Furthermore the ensemble of models was unable to simulate the very low soil water content at anthesis and the increase of soil water and grain number brought about by the elevated [CO2] under dry conditions. Overall, we found models with explicit stomatal control on transpiration tended to perform better. Our results highlight the need for model improvement with respect to simulating transpirational water use and its impact on water status during the kernel-set phase.

grain number↗

Data-driven modeling to enhance municipal water demand estimates in response to dynamic climate conditions

Altered precipitation and temperature patterns from a changing climate will affect supply, demand, and overall municipal water system operations throughout the arid western U.S. While supply forecasts leverage hydrological models to connect climate influences with surface water availability, demand forecasts typically estimate water use independent of climate and other externalities. Stemming from an increased focus on seasonal water demand management, we use the Salt Lake City, Utah municipal water system as a test bed to assess model accuracy versus complexity trade-offs between simple climate-independent econometric-based models and complex climate-sensitive data-driven models to average to extreme wet and dry climate conditions—representative of a new climate normal. Here, the climate-independent model displayed low performance during extreme dry conditions with predictions exceeding 90% and 40% of the observed monthly and seasonal volumetric demands, respectively, which we attribute to insufficient model complexity. The climate-sensitive models displayed greater accuracy in all conditions, with an ordinary least squares model demonstrating a measurable reduction in prediction bias (3.4% vs. -27.3%) and RMSE (74.0 lpcd vs. 294 lpcd) compared to the climate-independent model. The climate-sensitive workflow increased model accuracy and characterized climate-demand interactions, demonstrating a novel tool to enhance water system management.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Shuttle cryogenics supply system. Optimization study. Volume 5 B-2, part 1: Appendix programmers manual for math model

An appendix to the programmers manual for the mathematical model pertaining to the design of cryogenic supply systems for spacecraft is presented. The program listing was produced using the EXEC-8 LISTALL processor which lists a file in alphabetical order. Since the processor does not differentiate between subroutines, functions, and procedure definition processors, each subprogram has been relabeled to clearly identify the type of symbolic listing.

Source record↗

Resolution matters when modeling climate change in headwaters of the Colorado River

The continued growth of Southwestern cities depends on reliable water export from Rocky Mountain headwaters, which provide ~85% of Colorado River Basin (CRB) streamflow. Despite being more sensitive to warming temperatures, alpine systems are simplified in the regional-scale models currently in use to plan for future water supply. We used an integrated hydrologic model that couples groundwater and surface water with snow and vegetation processes to examine the effect of topographic simplifications as a result of grid coarsening in a representative CRB headwater basin. High-resolution (100 m) simulations predicted headwater streamflow losses of 16% by 2050 while coarse-resolution (1 km) simulations predict only 12%, suggesting that regional-scale models (coarser than 1 km) likely overestimate future Colorado River Basin water supplies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of mixed grain size sediment input on braided river Morphodynamics: Insights from experimental and numerical modeling

The rate of sediment supply has significant impacts on river morphology, making it crucial to understand the geomorphic changes and grain size distribution dynamics in rivers. However, the effects of varying grain size sediment input on morphological changes in braided channels remain poorly understood. This study is the first to investigate the bar development and sediment sorting processes in braided channels with non-uniform sediment inputs using both numerical and experimental approaches. We applied a two-dimensional numerical model, Nays2DH to confirm and generalize experimental results. The model reproduced key experiment results, including 1) stream elevation changes, and 2) grain size distribution. Using this validated model, we explored the morphological changes and sorting process in a braided river with sediment inputs. The numerical experiments demonstrate that sediment input controls the elevation of the stream bed and the grain size distribution. Notably, both the elevation and grain-size distribution become relatively stable in downstream of the channel. Additionally, the simulation results suggest that an increased sediment supply leads to greater channel complexity, with bed surface armoring decreasing.

Nays2DH↗

Long-term hydro-economic analysis tool for evaluating global groundwater cost and supply: Superwell v1.1

Abstract. Groundwater plays a key role in meeting water demands, supplying over 40 % of irrigation water globally, with this role likely to grow as water demands and surface water variability increase. A better understanding of the future role of groundwater in meeting sectoral demands requires an integrated hydro-economic evaluation of its cost and availability. Yet substantial gaps remain in our knowledge and modeling capabilities related to groundwater availability, recharge, feasible locations for extraction, extractable volumes, and associated extraction costs, which are essential for large-scale analyses of integrated human–water system scenarios, particularly at the global scale. To address these needs, we developed Superwell, a physics-based groundwater extraction and cost accounting model that operates at sub-annual temporal and at the coarsest 0.5° (≈50 km × 50 km) gridded spatial resolution with global coverage. The model produces location-specific groundwater supply–cost curves that provide the levelized cost to access different quantities of available groundwater. The inputs to Superwell include recent high-resolution hydrogeologic datasets of permeability, porosity, aquifer thickness, depth to water table, recharge, and hydrogeological complexity zones. It also accounts for well capital and maintenance costs, as well as the energy costs required to lift water to the surface. The model employs a Theis-based scheme coupled with an amortization-based cost accounting formulation to simulate groundwater extraction and quantify the cost of groundwater pumping. The result is a spatiotemporally flexible, physically realistic, economics-based model that produces groundwater supply–cost curves. We show examples of these supply–cost curves and the insights that can be derived from them across a set of scenarios designed to explore model outcomes. The supply–cost curves produced by the model show that most (90 %) nonrenewable groundwater in storage globally is extractable at costs lower than USD 0.57 m−3, while half of the volume remains extractable at under USD 0.108 m−3. The global unit cost is estimated to range from a minimum of USD 0.004 m−3 to a maximum of USD 3.971 m−3. We also demonstrate and discuss examples of how these cost curves could be used by linking Superwell's outputs with other models to explore coupled human–environmental system challenges, such as water resources planning and management, or broader analyses of multisectoral feedbacks.

Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)↗

Frequency response of a jet engine test facility air supply system

The frequency response of a laboratory scale model of a portion of the air supply system of an engine test facility is obtained both experimentally and using one-dimensional, small-signal, distributed parameter theory. The effects of line terminations and mean flow are considered. Good agreement between experiment and theory is obtained. Predictions are extended to a full scale test facility air supply system operating under several possible test conditions.

Franke, M. E.↗

An integrated supply chain analysis for cobalt and rare earth elements under global electrification and constrained resources

As global electrification becomes more prominent, demand is projected to increase for electric vehicles (EVs), their components (EV batteries, rare earth traction motors), and their raw materials (cobalt, rare earths). To analyze the supply chain constraints associated with these components and raw materials, a system dynamics model was developed to simulate the interactions between the rare earth and cobalt supply chains. The results showed that under current understanding of raw material resources, production of the projected volume of EVs could be inadequate. To meet the aggressive EV volume sale projections set by the International Energy Agency, EV manufacturers will need to implement a large portion of traction motors without rare earths and utilize non-cobalt batteries as much as possible. On the supply side, a much faster ramp-up than what being modeled would be needed to meet much higher demand than current market forecasts.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗