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DOE OSTI2021

Investigation of Thermal-Hydraulic Effects of Dry Storage Canister Helium Backfill Loss Using the Horizontal Dry Cask Simulator

A previous investigation produced data sets that can be used to benchmark the codes and best practices presently used to determine cladding temperatures and induced cooling air flows in modern horizontal dry storage systems. The horizontal dry cask simulator (HDCS) was designed to generate this benchmark data and add to the existing knowledge base. The objective of the previous HDCS investigation was to capture the dominant physics of a commercial dry storage system in a well-characterized test apparatus for a wide range of operational parameters. The close coupling between the thermal response of the canister system and the resulting induced cooling air flow rate was of particular importance. The previous investigation explored these parameters using helium backfill at 100 kPa and 800 kPa pressure as well as air backfill with a series of simulated decay heats. The helium tests simulated a horizontal dry cask storage system at normal storage conditions with either atmospheric or elevated backfill pressure, while the air tests simulated horizontal storage canisters following a complete loss of helium backfill, in which case the helium would be replaced by air. The present HDCS investigation adds to the previous investigation by exploring steady-state conditions at various stages of the loss of helium backfill from a horizontal dry cask storage system. This is achieved by using helium/air blends as a backfill in the HDCS and running a series of tests using various simulated decay heats to explore the effects of relative helium/air molar concentration on the thermal response of a simulated horizontal dry cask storage system. A total of twenty tests were conducted where the HDCS achieved steady state for various assembly powers, representative of decay heat. The power levels tested were 0.50, 1.00, 2.50, and 5.00 kW. All tests were run at 100 kPa vessel pressure. The backfill gases used in these tests are given in this report as a function of mole fraction of helium (He), balanced by air: 1.0, 0.9, 0.5, 0.1, and 0.0 He. Steady-state conditions (where the steady-state start condition is defined as where the change in temperature with respect to time for the majority of HDCS components is less than or equal to 0.3 K/h) were achieved for all test cases.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2020

A generalized power-law criterion for rocks based on Mohr failure theory

Nonlinearity of Mohr envelopes confirmed by past laboratory test data can be of considerable importance in theoretical interpretation of rock strength behaviors and many practical applications. Current nonlinear failure criteria are introduced with parameters to empirically fit test data, and the physical and mechanical meanings of these fitting parameters are often not known. Predicted strengths by theoretical criteria (e.g., Griffith criterion) generally do not agree well with test data. Considering the nonlinear properties of a Mohr envelope, a nonlinear failure criterion in a generalized power-law form is derived in this paper based on strength magnitude coefficient (a) and failure envelope curvature coefficient (n) which are expressed in terms of uniaxial tensile strength, uniaxial compressive strength, and angle of internal friction. Test data on granite, marble, dolomite, and andesite from published literature were chosen to test the performance of the proposed criterion along with Griffith and Hoek-Brown criteria. Statistical analysis was performed to evaluate the application of different criteria in predicting the strength of rocks. In addition, some Griffith-typed criteria are mathematically shown to be the special cases of the proposed criterion. The proposed and Hoek-Brown criteria have similar power-law forms with a significant difference in the coefficient functions that govern the shear strength magnitude of rock. The different tensile and compressive failure mechanisms are also investigated from the perspective of the relationship between the uniaxial tension Mohr circle and the proposed failure envelope.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Analysis of conical slump shape reconstructed from stereovision images for yield stress prediction

Highlights: • Conical slump model tends to underpredict yield stress of material by slump height. • Profiles of slumped materials were reconstructed from stereovision images. • Actual profiles were compared to those predicted by cone and cylinder model. • The cause of deviation lies in the cylinder-like behaviour of conical slumping. • The model of equivalent cylinder could give an accurate yield stress value. Slump cones are widely utilised to evaluate the workability of cement materials owing to their simplicity. Analytical models have been established to relate this empirical value to the yield stress. However, they tend to be less effective for the cone and more valid for cylinder slumps. The cause of this deviation is yet to be fully understood. In this work, more details were sought from slump profiles using stereovision technology. A direct comparison of the predicted shapes based on conical model as well as cylindrical model to actual shapes was undertaken. The visual illustration clearly indicated that conical slumping shows a cylinder-like behaviour, and the slumped shapes in cone tests agree well with those predicted by an equivalent cylinder. By converting to cylindrical dimensionless units, the conical slump height can provide an accurate yield stress. The results suggest that the theory is valid if the slumping behaviour is effectively assumed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2022

Dynamic characterization and performance evaluation of a 10-kW power take-off with mechanical motion rectifier for wave energy conversion

The power take-off (PTO) is a key component for wave energy converters. In this paper, a compact PTO with mechanical motion rectification rated at 10 kW is designed and prototyped, and characterized. A piecewise nonlinear dynamic model is established to describe its unique dynamic property. A linear hydraulic actuator is adopted in lab testing to drive the prototype and the unknown parameters of the dynamic model are identified. Further verification shows that the model can predict the dynamic performance of the PTO well. The test results show that the mechanical motion rectifier-based PTO can achieve overall energy transfer efficiency as high as 65% in regular waves even when the generator is working below the rated electric load and speed. In the irregular wave test, the PTO achieved the overall energy transfer efficiency of 54%, and the peak-to-average ratio acquired during the test is 12.5.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2023

Targeted Particle Fractionation Technologies: Proof of Concept

Most methods of particle-size analysis involve particle fractionation which, is often done by filtration or the use of screens. This paper provides proof of concept testing for new in-pipe particle fractionation technologies that can be used at laboratory to industrial scales. These technologies are extensions of recent advancements in bump arrays as well as testing of new inline angled-to-the-flow slats, and advanced boycott-based Avalanche separation technologies. Experiments were conducted for three targeted particle fractionation technologies to evaluate the in-pipe removal of oversized sands in Newtonian slurries prior to the introduction of bump arrays. The mesofluidic system uses an array of staggered posts as configured in a bump array for Newtonian slurry conditions. The methods and results of these experiments are described in this paper. This information could be applied in most industrial and laboratory systems to rapidly remove oversized particles from a flowing slurry.

slurry, solids removal, particle fractionation, bu↗

DOE OSTI2019

Channeling and radiation experiments at SLAC

Since 2014, a SLAC-Aarhus-Ferrara-CalPoly collaboration augmented by members of ANL and MIT has performed electron and positron channeling experiments using bent silicon crystals at the SLAC End Station A Test Beam as well as the FACET accelerator test facility. These experiments have revealed a remarkable channeling efficiency of about 24% under our conditions. Volume reflection is even more efficient with almost the whole beam taking part in the reflection process. A positron experiment demonstrated quasi-channeling oscillations for the first time at high beam energy. In our most recent experiment we measured the spectrum of gamma radiation for crystal orientations covering channeling and volume reflection. We report this series of experiments supports the development of more advanced crystalline devices capable e.g. of producing narrow-band gamma rays with electron beams or studying the interaction of the electrons with the wakefields generated in the crystal at high beam intensity.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Investigation of Thermolytic Hydrogen Generation Rate in Tank 44 Dissolved Saltcake Samples

Saltcake core samples collected from Tank 44 in 2006 were dissolved to provide material for HGR measurements applicable to F-Area dissolved saltcake material. Additionally, characterization was performed on the Tank 44 saltcake material. The following are key results from the Tank 44 saltcake characterization. The Tank 44 Upper Saltcake Composite, corresponding to the 171 to 285 inch tank level, contained by mass approximately 69% sodium nitrate, 11% sodium carbonate, 8% sodium nitrite, smaller amounts of other salts and components, and 9% unquantified (which includes water, water of hydration, oxygen/hydrogen content of oxides and hydroxides, and uncertainty). The Tank 44 Lower Saltcake Composite, corresponding to the 76 to 114 inch tank level, contained by mass approximately 49% sodium carbonate, 18% sodium nitrate, smaller amounts of other salts, at least 8% sludge, and 9% unquantified (see above). The dissolved saltcake contained free hydroxide less than quantifiable (<0.01 M) due to the limited quantity of material that could be removed from the Shielded Cells based on the sample radioactivity. Measurement by pH paper provided an approximate pH of 12. The following are key results from the Tank 44 HGR testing. During boiling at 106.7 °C, HGR for Tank 44 dissolved saltcake without added glycolate was 7.2×10 -8 ft 3 h -1 ga l-1 . During boiling at 106.9 °C, HGR for Tank 44 dissolved saltcake with 1000 mg/L of added glycolate was 8.2×10 -8 ft 3 h -1 gal -1 . ∙ For the test without added glycolate, the first several HGR measurements at 70, 85, and 100 °C gave indication of the release of dissolved hydrogen and should not be used to represent the sustained thermolytic HGR for those temperatures. The measurements at boiling are the best representation of thermolysis in this testing. Carbon dioxide was observed at concentrations up to 6 vol% in the flow-system offgas for the test at boiling. ∙ Methane generation was observed at 100 °C and boiling. Methane concentration in the total gas generated during testing remained well below the lower flammability limit for methane in air. The addition of 1000 mg/L of glycolate did not have a significant impact on the hydrogen generation rates measured during this testing. The low hydroxide concentration in the Tank 44 dissolved saltcake likely influenced the relatively low thermolytic HGR and high carbon dioxide release observations in this testing. Based on the observation that methane was generated or released upon heating SRS radioactive Tank 44 waste samples to 100 °C and above, we recommend gaining a greater understanding of the cause and mechanism of its generation. First, the applicable literature should be reviewed to reveal the thermolytic methane generation mechanisms of possible methane generating species in the SRS CSTF. If warranted, a plan should be developed for simulant tests with methylated siloxanes and other applicable compounds in order to gain a better mechanistic understanding of methane generation in the SRS CSTF.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

Investigation of Thermolytic Hydrogen Generation Rate in Tank 44 Dissolved Saltcake Samples

Saltcake core samples collected from Tank 44 in 2006 were dissolved to provide material for HGR measurements applicable to F-Area dissolved saltcake material. Additionally, characterization was performed on the Tank 44 saltcake material. The following are key results from the Tank 44 saltcake characterization. The Tank 44 Upper Saltcake Composite, corresponding to the 171 to 285 inch tank level, contained by mass approximately 69% sodium nitrate, 11% sodium carbonate, 8% sodium nitrite, smaller amounts of other salts and components, and 9% unquantified (which includes water, water of hydration, oxygen/hydrogen content of oxides and hydroxides, and uncertainty). The Tank 44 Lower Saltcake Composite, corresponding to the 76 to 114 inch tank level, contained by mass approximately 49% sodium carbonate, 18% sodium nitrate, smaller amounts of other salts, at least 8% sludge, and 9% unquantified (see above). The dissolved saltcake contained free hydroxide less than quantifiable (<0.01 M) due to the limited quantity of material that could be removed from the Shielded Cells based on the sample radioactivity. Measurement by pH paper provided an approximate pH of 12. The following are key results from the Tank 44 HGR testing. During boiling at 106.7 °C, HGR for Tank 44 dissolved saltcake without added glycolate was 7.2×10 -8 ft 3 h -1 gal -1 . During boiling at 106.9 °C, HGR for Tank 44 dissolved saltcake with 1000 mg/L of added glycolate was 8.2×10 -8 ft 3 h -1 gal -1 . For the test without added glycolate, the first several HGR measurements at 70, 85, and 100 °C gave indication of the release of dissolved hydrogen and should not be used to represent the sustained thermolytic HGR for those temperatures. The measurements at boiling are the best representation of thermolysis in this testing. Carbon dioxide was observed at concentrations up to 6 vol% in the flow-system offgas for the test at boiling. Methane generation was observed at 100 °C and boiling. Methane concentration in the total gas generated during testing remained well below the lower flammability limit for methane in air. The addition of 1000 mg/L of glycolate did not have a significant impact on the hydrogen generation rates measured during this testing. The low hydroxide concentration in the Tank 44 dissolved saltcake likely influenced the relatively low thermolytic HGR and high carbon dioxide release observations in this testing. Based on the observation that methane was generated or released upon heating SRS radioactive Tank 44 waste samples to 100 °C and above, we recommend gaining a greater understanding of the cause and mechanism of its generation. First, the applicable literature should be reviewed to reveal the thermolytic methane generation mechanisms of possible methane generating species in the SRS CSTF. If warranted, a plan should be developed for simulant tests with methylated siloxanes and other applicable compounds in order to gain a better mechanistic understanding of methane generation in the SRS CSTF.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2021

Precision tests of fundamental physics with η and η ' mesons

Decays of the neutral and long-lived $\eta$ and $\eta'$ mesons provide a unique, flavor-conserving laboratory to test low-energy Quantum Chromodynamics and search for new physics beyond the Standard Model. They have drawn world-wide attention in recent years and have inspired broad experimental programs in different high-intensity-frontier centers. Additionally, new experimental data will offer critical inputs to precisely determine the light quark mass ratios, $\eta$-$\eta'$ mixing parameters, and hadronic contributions to the anomalous magnetic moment of the muon. At the same time, it will provide a sensitive probe to test potential new physics. This includes searches for hidden photons, light Higgs scalars, and axion-like particles that are complementary to worldwide efforts to detect new light particles below the GeV mass scale, as well as tests of discrete symmetry violation. In this review, we give an update on theoretical developments, discuss the experimental opportunities, and identify future research needed in this field.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Automatic Calibration of a Geomechanical Model from Sparse Data for Estimating Stress in Deep Geological Formations

Summary In this study, we demonstrate geomechanical modeling with fully automatic parameter calibration to estimate the full geomechanical stress fields of a prospective US carbon dioxide (CO2) storage site, based on sparse measurement data. The goal is to compute full stress tensor field estimates (principal stresses and orientations) that are maximally compatible with observations within the constraints of the model assumptions, thereby extending pointwise, incomplete partial stress measurement to a simulated full formation stress field, as well as a rough assessment of the associated error. We use the Perch site, located in Otsego County, Michigan, USA, as our case study. The input data consist of partial stress tensor information inferred from in-situ borehole tests, geophysical well logs, and processing of seismic data. A static earth model (SEM) of the site was developed, and geomechanical simulation functionality of the open-source MATLAB Reservoir Simulation Toolbox (MRST) was used to model the stress field. Adjoint-based nonlinear optimization was used to adjust boundary conditions and material properties to calibrate simulated results of observations. Results were interpreted through a Bayesian framework. The focus of this paper is to demonstrate how the fully automatic calibration procedure works and discuss the results obtained; it does not attempt a detailed analysis of the stress field in the context of the proposed CO2 storage initiatives. Our work is part of a larger effort to noninvasively determine in-situ stresses in deep formations considered for CO2 storage. Guided by previously published research on geomechanical model calibration, our work presents a novel calibration approach supporting a potentially large number of linear or nonlinear calibration parameters to produce results optimally agreeing with available measurements and thus extend partial pointwise estimates to full tensor fields compatible with the physics of the site.

Engineering↗

DOE OSTI2021

Evaluation of Nuclear Spent Fuel Disposal in Clay-Bearing Rock - Process Model Development and Experimental Studies (M2SF-21SN010301072)

The DOE R&D program under the Spent Fuel Waste Science Technology (SFWST) campaign has made key progress in modeling and experimental approaches towards the characterization of chemical and physical phenomena that could impact the long-term safety assessment of heatgenerating nuclear waste disposition in deep-seated clay/shale/argillaceous rock. International collaboration activities such as heater tests, continuous field data monitoring, and postmortem analysis of samples recovered from these have elucidated key information regarding changes in the engineered barrier system (EBS) material exposed to years of thermal loads. Chemical and structural analyses of sampled bentonite material from such tests as well as experiments conducted on these are key to the characterization of thermal effects affecting bentonite clay barrier performance and the extent of sacrificial zones in the EBS during the thermal period. Thermal, hydrologic, and chemical data collected from heater tests and laboratory experiments has been used in the development, validation, and calibration of THMC simulators to model near-field coupled processes. This information leads to the development of simulation approaches (e.g., continuum and discrete) to tackle issues related to flow and transport at various scales of the host-rock, its interactions with barrier materials, and EBS design concept.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

LLM Benchmarking with LLaMA2: Evaluating Code Development Performance Across Multiple Programming Languages

The rapid evolution of large language models (LLMs) has opened new possibilities for automating various tasks in software development. This paper evaluates the capabilities of the LLaMA 2-70B model in automating these tasks for scientific applications written in commonly used programming languages. Using representative test problems, we assess the model's capacity to generate code, documentation, and unit tests, as well as its ability to translate existing code between commonly used programming languages. Our comprehensive analysis evaluates the compilation, runtime behavior, and correctness of the generated and translated code. Additionally, we assess the quality of automatically generated code, documentation, and unit tests. Here, our results indicate that while LLaMA 2-70B frequently generates syntactically correct and functional code for simpler numerical tasks, it encounters substantial difficulties with more complex, parallelized, or distributed computations, requiring considerable manual corrections. We identify key limitations and suggest areas for future improvements to better leverage AI-driven automation in scientific computing workflows.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Verification of Maximal Oxygen Uptake in Active Military Personnel During Treadmill Running

Figueiredo, PS, Looney, DP, Pryor, JL, Doughty, EM, McClung, HL, Vangala, SV, Santee, WR, Beidleman, BA, and Potter, AW. Verification of maximal oxygen uptake in active military personnel during treadmill running. J Strength Cond Res 36(4): 1053–1058, 2022—It is unclear whether verification tests are required to confirm “true” maximal oxygen uptake ($\dot{V}_{o2}$max) in modern warfighter populations. Our study investigated the prevalence of $\dot{V}_{o2}$max attainment in U.S. Army soldiers performing a traditional incremental running test. In addition, we examined the utility of supramaximal verification testing as well as repeated trials for familiarization for accurate $\dot{V}_{o2}$max assessment. Sixteen U.S. Army soldiers (1 woman, 15men; age, 21±2 years; height, 1.73±0.06m; body mass, 71.6±10.1 kg) completed 2 laboratory visits, each with an incremental running test (modified Astrand protocol) and a verification test (110% maximal incremental test speed) on a motorized treadmill. We evaluated $\dot{V}_{o2}$max attainment during incremental testing by testing for the definitive $\dot{V}_{o2}$ plateau using a linear least-squares regression approach. Peak oxygen uptake ($\dot{V}_{o2}$peak) was considered statistically equivalent between tests if the 90% confidence interval around the mean difference was within 62.1 ml·kg -1 ·min -1 . Oxygen uptake plateaus were identified in 14 of 16 volunteers for visit 1 (87.5%) and all 16 volunteers for visit 2 (100%). Peak oxygen uptake was not statistically equivalent, apparent from the mean difference in $\dot{V}_{o2}$peak measures between the incremental test and verification test on visit 1 (2.3 ml·kg -1 ·min -1 , [1.3–3.2]) or visit 2 (1.1 ml·kg -1 ·min -1 [0.2–2.1]). Interestingly, $\dot{V}_{o2}$peak was equivalent, apparent from the mean difference in $\dot{V}_{o2}$peak measures between visits for the incremental tests (0.0ml·kg -1 ·min -1 [-0.8to 0.9]) but not the verification tests (-1.2 ml·kg -1 ·min -1 [-2.2 to -0.2]). Modern U.S. Army soldiers can attain $\dot{V}_{o2}$max by performing a modified Astrand treadmill running test. Additional familiarization and verification tests for confirming $\dot{V}_{o2}$max in healthy active military personnel may be unnecessary.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Revisiting the Kinematics of the Cylinder Test

The cylinder expansion experiment is a well-established performance test for condensed explosives that is utilized routinely to determine pressure-energy-volume relationships for detonation products. The modern cylinder test employs optical interferometric techniques to measure velocity, as opposed to older realizations where streak cameras were commonplace. Despite their widespread use, questions sometimes remain as to what kind of data the velocity diagnostics in a cylinder test provide along with how to interpret such measurements and relate them to physical quantities of interest. Here in this study, equations are derived that fully describe the kinematics of the cylinder wall during expansion. These equations are then applied to experimental as well as synthetic data generated via a hydrodynamic simulation in order to verify the mathematical framework developed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

A scalable compressible volume of fluid solver using a stratified flow model

Here, in this paper, a Volume of Fluid method which uses a Stratified Flow model for flux calculation is proposed to solve a compressible multiphase flow in a way that has high parallel efficiency. The solver is part of an open-source computing tool to study fuel entrainment and combustion in the application of paraffin-based hybrid rocket motors. This paper focuses on the compressible Volume of Fluid solver for the liquid and gaseous phases in this environment. This solver uses perfect gas and stiffened gas models for equation of state, with the ability to easily add other models as desired. Additionally a comparison of a Riemann solver versus an AUSM+up scheme is conducted, showing improvement with the later in the solution of multiphase flows. This solver successfully reproduces shock tube cases with the expected accuracy, as well as simulating two-dimensional shear and gravity-driven flows. Results also show that the code is able to utilize a Stratified Flow model to evaluate shear flow without the need for interface reconstruction or gradient calculations. Finally, it is shown that the solver has near-ideal scaling under strong scaling tests as well as good performance in static scaling, giving improved performance over current options and implying future advancement of high-performance computing efficiency for multiphase flow solvers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Validation of Play Fairway Analysis of the geothermal potential of Camas Prairie, south-central Idaho, by an exploration well

Abstract Play Fairway Analysis (PFA) methodology was adapted for geothermal exploration at Camas Prairie, Idaho. Geophysical data, structural and geologic mapping, volcanic rock ages and vent locations, and the distribution of thermal springs and wells all indicated a relatively high geothermal potential along the southern margin of the Prairie. An exploration well (USU Camas-1) was drilled to a depth of 618.3 m to validate the PFA. A permeable zone was encountered at ~ 357.5 m with a maximum measured temperature of ~ 80 °C, which was suppressed following the injection of cold water. A moderate transmissivity of ~ 0.25–1 cm 2 /s estimated from an injection test as well a seasonal artesian flow at ~ 0.7 L/s corroborate the presence of a permeable zone. The existence of a lacustrine clay seal was confirmed near the bottom of the basin-fill sediment occupying the upper 314 m of the well. Geothermometers suggest the USU Camas-1 well water equilibrated at a reservoir temperature of ~ 120 °C. Based on the locations of both thermal and cold wells, geothermal fluids appear to be flowing upward along one or both of two fault systems. The presence of young basalts and elevated helium isotope ratios suggest that the heat source of Camas Prairie is magmatic. However, the faults may be acting as a conduit for geothermal fluids to rise from great depth without a shallow magmatic source being present. Camas Prairie is a promising area for geothermal development, but the relatively low reservoir temperatures indicate this resource may not be suitable for electric generation. Perhaps the best use would be for heating.

Lachmar, Thomas E. (ORCID:0000000249640119)↗

DOE OSTI2021

Determination of two-photon exchange via $$e^+p/e^-p$$ scattering with CLAS12

The proton elastic form factor ratio shows a discrepancy between measurements using the Rosenbluth technique in unpolarized beam and target experiments and measurements using polarization degrees of freedom. The proposed explanation of this discrepancy is uncorrected hard two-photon exchange (TPE), a type of radiative correction that is conventionally neglected. The effect size and agreement with theoretical predictions has been tested recently by three experiments. While the results support the existence of a small two-photon exchange effect, they cannot establish that theoretical treatments are valid. At larger momentum transfers, theory remains untested. This proposal aims to measure two-photon exchange over an extended and so far largely untested $Q^2$ and $\varepsilon$ range with high precision using the {\tt CLAS12} experiment. Such data are crucial to clearly confirm or rule out TPE as the driver for the discrepancy as well as test several theoretical approaches, believed valid in different parts of the tested $Q^2$ range.

Bernauer, Jan C.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Understanding drivers of oil and gas well integrity issues in the greater wattenberg area of Colorado

Well integrity is critically important to maintain to minimize the environmental impacts of oil and gas development and other subsurface energy operations. The Wattenberg Field of Colorado—a top producing field with >40,000 wells—has one of the most robust publicly reported well integrity programs in the country. Here, in this study, we analyzed annular pressure and annular-fluid geochemical test results collected from Wattenberg wells through the end of 2019 to characterize the frequency and spatial variability of integrity issues in the field and understand their drivers. Estimated frequencies of integrity issues among tested wells were 8.2-17.1% between 1955 and 2019 and 6.1-11.4% in 2019 alone. The frequency of integrity issues was nearly four times greater in wells located above the Longmont Wrench Fault Zone. Potential drivers of integrity issues were identified using ensemble decision tree models trained with a broad set of relevant information. Models show that well integrity issues are spatially clustered on regional and sub-regional scales and suggest the relatively high frequency of integrity issues observed is likely attributed to geologic factors. These findings are valuable for regulatory agencies and operators seeking to inform well integrity monitoring, plugging, and emissions reduction efforts and design future subsurface energy projects.

03 NATURAL GAS↗