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At least 217 records · Page 12

A chemical kinetic analysis of knock propensity of methanol-to-gasoline fuel

Production of low carbon gasoline-like fuels such as methanol-to-gasoline (MTG) is a promising approach to achieve rapid greenhouse gas emission reduction of the transportation sector. Despite the fact that gasoline that meets the ASTM D4814 standard for automotive spark-ignition engine fuel can be readily produced from these processes, it is unclear how the composition of MTG may affect engine performance and emissions. Here, in this paper, a surrogate for an MTG is used to numerically study the effects of gasoline composition on knock propensity and on the sensitivity of knock to thermal and fuel stratification, to oxygen dilution and to nitric oxide from exhaust gas recirculation of residual gases. Simulations were performed in ANSYS CHEMKIN-PRO using a comprehensive chemical kinetic mechanism for gasoline surrogates, and results of the MTG surrogate were compared against those of a petroleum-based regular E10 gasoline, termed PACE-20. A premium-grade MTG fuel was also formulated by adding ethanol to the MTG surrogate, and results were compared against those of four premium-grade, gasoline-like fuels representative of future alternative gasoline formulations. Surrogates and mechanism were evaluated by comparison against experimental engine data, and the model showed high accuracy at stoichiometric conditions (mean absolute error of ignition timing equal to 1.46 crank angle degrees) but larger deviations at lean conditions (mean absolute error of ignition timing equal to 5.52 crank angle degrees). Despite the fact that the MTG surrogate has a RON 1.1 units higher than that of PACE-20, it may show higher knock propensity at medium temperature conditions due to a less intense NTC behavior. MTG autoignition was more temperature- and equivalence ratio-sensitive than that of PACE20, suggesting that MTG can benefit more from naturally-occurring thermal stratification or from induced fuel stratification of the end gas to mitigate knock intensity. The sensitivity of autoignition reactivity to oxygen dilution and to NO concentration was higher for MTG than for regular gasoline at medium loads, but the opposite trend was observed at high loads due to the effect of pressure on the low-temperature chemistry of regular gasoline. Approximately 14 % vol ethanol content was required to upgrade the octane rating of MTG from regular grade to premium grade. Adding 13.6 % vol ethanol made the fuel autoignition less sensitive to both oxygen dilution and NO content (ignition time varies approx. 17 % and 50 % less with oxygen dilution and NO addition, respectively, when adding ethanol at high engine loads).

02 PETROLEUM↗

Concurrent measurement of strain and chemical reaction rates in a calcite grain pack undergoing pressure solution: Evidence for surface-reaction controlled dissolution

Pressure solution is inferred to be a significant contributor to sediment compaction and lithification, especially in carbonate sediments. For a sediment deforming primarily by pressure solution, the compaction rate should be directly related to the rate of calcite dissolution, transport along grain contacts, and calcite reprecipitation. Previous experimental work has shown that there is evidence that deformation in wet calcite grain packs is consistent with control by pressure solution, but considerable ambiguity remains regarding the rate limiting mechanism. We present the results of laboratory compaction experiments designed to directly measure calcite dissolution and precipitation rates (recrystallization rates) concurrently with strain rate to test whether measured rates are consistent with predicted rates both in absolute magnitude and time evolution. Recrystallization rates are measured using trace element chemistry (Sr/Ca, Mg/Ca) and isotopes (87Sr/86Sr) of fluids flowing slowly through a compacting grain pack as it is being triaxially compressed. Imaging techniques are used to characterize the grain contacts and strain effects in the post-experiment grain pack. Our data show that calcite recrystallization rates calculated from all three geochemical parameters are in approximate agreement and that the rates closely track strain rate. The geochemically inferred rates are close to predicted rates in absolute magnitude. Uncertainty in grain contact dimensions makes distinguishing between surface reaction control and diffusion control difficult. Measured reaction rates decrease faster than predicted from standard pressure solution creep flow laws. This inconsistency may indicate that calcite dissolution rates at grain contacts are more complex, and more time-dependent, than suggested by geometric models designed to predict grain contact stresses.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Assessing the sensitivity and repeatability of permanganate oxidizable carbon as a soil health metric: An interlab comparison across soils

Soil organic matter is central to the soil health framework. Therefore, reliable indicators of Soil organic matter is central to the soil health framework. Therefore, reliable indicators of changes in soil organic matter are essential to inform land management decisions. Permanganate oxidizable carbon (PDXC), an emerging soil health indicator, has shown promise for being sensitive to soil management. However, strict standardization is required for widespread implementation in research and commercial contexts. Here, we used 36 soils-three from each of the 12 USDA soil orders-to determine the effects of sieve size and soil mass of analysis on PDXC results. Using replicated measurements across 12 labs in the US and the EU (n = 7951 samples), we quantified the relative importance of 1) variation between labs, 2) variation within labs, 3) effect soil mass, and 4) effect of soil sieve size on the repeatability of PDXC. We found a wide range of overall variability in PDXC values across labs (0.03 to 171.8%; mean = 13.4%), and much of this variability was attributable to within-lab variation (median = 6.5%) independently of soil mass or sieve size. Greater soil mass (2.5 g) decreased absolute PDXC values by a mean of 177 mg kg -1 soil and decreased analytical variability by 6.5%. For soils with organic carbon (SOC) >10%, greater soil mass (2.5 g) resulted in more frequent PDXC values above the limit of detection whereas the lower soil mass (0.75 g) resulted in PDXC values below the limit of detection for SOC contents <5%. A finer sieve size increased absolute values of PDXC by 124 mg kg -1 while decreasing the analytical variability by 1.8%. In general, soils with greater SOC contents had lower analytical variability. These results point to potential standardizations of the PDXC protocol that can decrease the variability of the metric. We recommend that the PDXC protocol be standardized to use 2.5 g for soils <10% SOC. Sieve size was a relatively small contributor to analytical variability and therefore we recommend that this decision be tailored to the study purpose. Tradeoffs associated with these standardizations can be mitigated, ultimately providing guidance on how to standardize PDXC for routine analysis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Regional-scale soil carbon predictions can be enhanced by transferring global-scale soil–environment relationships

Accurate modelling and mapping soil organic carbon are crucial for supporting soil health restoration and climate change mitigation at both regional and global scales. However, regional soil predictions often suffer from data scarcity and high prediction uncertainty. Utilizing a pre-trained global-to-regional soil carbon predictive model can be a potential solution to address this challenge. Despite its promise, how to construct and apply the global-scale model to enhance regional-scale soil carbon mapping remains largely unexplored. Here, we propose the Global Soil Carbon Pre-trained Model (GSoilCPM), a deep-learning-based domain adaptative model, to enhance regional-scale soil carbon predictions. Based on large amount of environmental covariate data and 106,167 soil samples across the globe, we verify our hypothesis of the effectiveness of this 'global-to-regional' modelling strategy. The pre-trained model can be then transferred and fine-tuned to bridge the regional- and global-scale soil–environment relationships. We applied and validated this modelling strategy in four regional-scale study areas, three in the Northern Hemisphere and one in the Southern Hemisphere, each with distinct environmental background. Compared to traditional modelling approaches as a baseline, four case studies all demonstrated significant improvement in prediction accuracy across diverse environments and varying data availabilities. The average percentage improvement across all regions is 10.93% (absolute values decreased by 1.20 g kg−1 averagely) in MAE and 29.04% (absolute values increased by 0.10 averagely) in CCC. The applicability and future horizons of using GSoilCPM were further discussed. We further reveal that regions with fewer soil samples or lower baseline accuracy benefit more from the pre-trained global model. Our findings highlight the advantages of leveraging the generalized knowledge from global models to enhance specifically localized soil modelling, positioning a potential paradigm shift in digital soil mapping, and far-reaching implications for soil monitoring and land management.

Deep learning↗

Statistical chronometry of meteorites. I. A Test of 26 Al homogeneity and the Pb-Pb age of the solar system’s $t=0$

Here, we use rapidly cooled achondrites to test the assumption of 26 Al homogeneity in the solar nebula, by checking if there is a single value of t SS , the absolute “Pb-Pb” age of the Solar System’s t=0, that makes concordant their ages from the Al-Mg and Pb-Pb systems. We find that values t SS =4568.42 ± 0.24 Myr do make these ages concordant, and therefore the hypothesis of homogeneous 26 Al is not falsified. This age, defined to be when the solar nebula had ( 26 Al/ 27 Al) = 5.23 × 10 –5 , is significantly older than the ≈ 4567.3 Myr inferred from direct measurements of Pb-Pb ages in CAIs. Discrepancies between the Al-Mg and Pb-Pb chronometers in chondrules and CAIs have previously been interpreted as arising from heterogeneities in 26 Al, under the presumption that the Al-Mg and Pb-Pb systems in CAIs closed simultaneously. We examine this assumption and show that resetting is to be expected in CAIs. In particular, we quantitatively demonstrate that it is plausible that Pb-Pb ages of CAIs were reset at late times, without resetting the earlier Al-Mg ages, if they were transiently heated in the same manner as chondrules. We critically examine Pb-Pb isochrons, refining data and suggesting best practices for their calculation and reporting. We advocate reporting chronometry as times of formation after t=0 rather than absolute ages, as only the former is useful for astrophysical models of the solar nebula. We advocate averaging of multiple samples, rather than anchoring to individual meteorites, to improve precision.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Developing a peptide concatemer (PepCon) as a process control for LC-MS based proteomics

Quantitative concatenated peptide (QconCAT) technology is currently used for the absolute quantification of proteins of interest in a biological sample. It relies on artificially created proteins that are concatenations of different, isotopically labeled peptides. Because these isotopically labeled peptides are at a 1:1 ratio and correspond to naturally occurring peptides in the biological sample, each peptide can be used as a standard for the absolute quantitation of all proteins of interest at once. Although the QconCAT technology has utility for quantitation of known peptides in a mixture, it is not helpful for scientists who need a proteomics standard (1) that can be spiked into a protein mixture at an extremely low level, (2) that can be co-purified during sample fractionation, and (3) that is optimized for ESI used in mass spectrometry. Thus, there exists a need for an ideal standard protein that is large enough to behave as a protein but consists of multiple, concatenated copies of the same peptide, which, upon digestion, amplifies (e.g., >10-fold) into a detectable peptide species. Here, this technical report describes the development of “PepCon”, a peptide concatemer that fulfills this unmet need.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

High and Ultra-High Temperature Reaction Kinetics by Single Nanoparticle Mass Spectrometry

Methodology is presented for non-destructive, optically-detected single nanoparticle (NP) mass spectrometry, with the goal of extracting surface reaction kinetics for single NPs at high temperatures. Methods for determining the NP charge, mass, and temperature as a function of time are discussed, and the data are used to extract both the absolute kinetics for mass change, as well as the efficiencies of the surface processes that cause them. Factors that contribute to the uncertainties in absolute and relative mass determination, and in the resulting kinetic parameters, are discussed. The method allows the NP-to-NP variations in initial reactivity to be measured directly, along with the time evolution of reactivity resulting from NP structural/compositional changes that occur under reaction conditions. The strengths and limitations of single nanoparticle mass spectrometry as a high temperature surface kinetics tool are discussed in the context of sublimation and O2 oxidation kinetics experiments for single hafnium (Hf) NPs at temperatures ranging above 2400 K. The Hf oxidation kinetics are compared to analogous oxidation experiments for silicon, graphite, and carbon black NPs. In all four cases, the oxidation chemistry was dominated by processes that result in net mass loss, and the distinct mechanisms responsible are discussed. All four NPs also eventually passivated, i.e., the efficiencies for oxidative etching decreased by at least two orders of magnitude, relative to the initial efficiencies. Furthermore, the passivation mechanisms, which are quite different for carbon, compared to silicon or hafnium, are discussed. Carbon NP passivation is attributed to structural isomerization leading to fully coordinated, fullerene-like NP surfaces, while for silicon and hafnium, passivation results from delayed formation of an oxide layer, triggered by accumulation of oxygen in the NP sub-surface region.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

In Tube Condensation Heat Transfer and Pressure Drop for R454B and R32—Potential Replacements for R410A

The heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) industry in the United States seeks near-term alternative refrigerants to replace R-410A in unitary equipment. Two potential replacement refrigerants are R-454B and R-32. It is of interest to investigate the capability and accuracy of existing heat exchanger design methods when applied to these replacement refrigerants. To that end, this work presents empirical condensation quasi-local heat transfer coefficient and pressure drop data for R-454B and R-32. These data were obtained in a $\frac{3}{8}$ in. (9.52 mm) outside diameter (OD) smooth copper tube with a wall thickness of 0.032 in. (0.81 mm). The experimental variables and their ranges included refrigerant absolute pressure ( 1960 ≤ P a b s ≤ 3196 kPa), condensation temperature ( 35 ≤ T c o n d ≤ 50 °C), mass flux ( 100 ≤ G ≤ 200 kg m -2 s -1 ), vapor quality ( 0 ≤ x ≤ 1 ), and heat flux ( 32.9 ≤ q ″ ≤ 62.97 kW m -2 ). It was found that the heat transfer correlation developed by Cavallini et al. Cavallini et al. (2006) predicted the experimental condensation heat transfer data, for both R-454B and R-32, with the greatest accuracy. Using the Cavallini et al. correlation, it was found that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was 10.5% and 15.1% for R-454B and R-32, respectively. Additionally, the pressure drop correlation developed by Friedel Friedel (1979) predicted the experimentally determined pressure gradient with a MAPE of 7.7% and 5.5% for R-454B and R-32, respectively. These results will assist the practicing thermal engineer to choose the most appropriate design correlation for these near-term replacement refrigerants.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Towards operational atmospheric correction of airborne hyperspectral imaging spectroscopy: Algorithm evaluation, key parameter analysis, and machine learning emulators

Atmospheric correction of airborne hyperspectral imaging spectroscopy (AHIS) to obtain high-quality surface reflectance is the prerequisite for remote sensing applications. Over the last decades, different atmospheric correction methods have been developed based on radiative transfer models (RTMs), however, the relative performances of different algorithms are unclear. Automated operational atmospheric correction methods to process large-volume AHIS data in a high-accurate and high-throughput manner are still lacking. Therefore, this study proposed an operational atmospheric correction pipeline for deriving surface reflectance from AHIS data. To ensure the accuracy and efficiency of the pipeline, we focused on three specific aspects: (1) selecting a suitable RTM for the development of atmospheric lookup tables (LUTs) by comparing the commercial MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN) and open-sourced Library for Radiative TRANsfer (LibRadTRAN) models, where the widely-used software, Atmospheric/Topographic Correction for Airborne Imagery (ATCOR), was used as benchmarks; (2) identifying key atmospheric correction parameters and determining suitable sources for parameter retrievals including AHIS, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET); and (3) testing the performance of using machine learning emulators to speed up the RTM-based atmospheric correction. Results indicate that (1) atmospheric correction based on MODTRAN LUTs can produce surface reflectance accurately with mean absolute errors < 0.05 and cosine similarities > 0.98 compared to field measurements, which is comparable to the software ATCOR and slightly outperforms the LibRadTRAN LUTs; (2) sobol global sensitivity analysis demonstrates that in the atmospheric correction, visibility and water vapor are two key parameters that can be accurately derived from AHIS in contrast to MODIS or AERONET data; and (3) Random Forest emulators can produce accurate estimations of surface reflectance with mean absolute errors < 0.03 and cosine similarities > 0.98 for higher processing efficiency and determine a suitable set of wavelengths for retrieving atmospheric visibility and water vapor. In conclusion, the proposed atmospheric correction pipeline also improved the four-stream radiative transfer theory for airborne applications by considering adjacent effects from airborne surrounding pixels and can also be applied for atmospheric correction of hyperspectral data from spaceborne missions.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Influence of sampling frequency and estimation method on phosphorus load uncertainty in the Western Lake Erie Basin, Ohio, USA

Accurate estimates of nutrient loads are necessary to identify critical source areas and quantify the impact of management practices on pollutant export. Previous studies have investigated nutrient load estimate uncertainty, but they often focus on nutrient loads estimated using an interpolation method for large-scale watersheds with short-term datasets. The study objective was to quantify uncertainty in soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP), total phosphorus (TP), and suspended solids (SS) load estimates from two small (<10 3 km 2 ) agricultural watersheds in the western Lake Erie Basin resulting from different sampling frequencies. Each watershed had high temporal resolution datasets of discharge (15 min) and nutrient concentration (1 to 3 samples per day) collected over a 30-year period (1990–2020). Firstly, SRP, TP, and SS loads were calculated using the high temporal resolution datasets, which was assumed as “true loads”. Secondly, the high temporal concentration data were decomposed to semiweekly, weekly, biweekly, and monthly sampling and annual loads were estimated using four common load estimation methods to assess the effect of sampling frequency and load estimation method on load estimate error. Across the four different methods, the composite method had the lowest relative root mean square and absolute bias, but the rectangular interpolation method was the most precise. Furthermore, even with semiweekly sampling, the composite method resulted in an unacceptable level of precision (average imprecision = 39 %), while the interpolation method resulted in an unacceptable bias (average absolute bias = 16 %). Because neither method could provide acceptable accuracy and precision at the lowest decrease in sampling (e.t. semiweekly sampling), continued daily sampling is recommended in these watersheds.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improved guided-wave acoustic defect detection and localization in pipes under varying temperature conditions using deep learning

Early defect detection in pipelines is critical across industries, particularly in the oil and gas sector, where failures result in significant maintenance costs and operational disruptions. Acoustic guided-wave techniques are widely used for nondestructive evaluation of pipeline defects due to their long-distance propagation capability. However, environmental variations, sensitivity limitations, and complex signal interpretation challenges limit the effectiveness of traditional signal processing approaches with guided-wave signals. Recent advances in deep learning methods have demonstrated remarkable success in solving complex real-world problems in many fields. In particular, deep-learning-based signal processing holds substantial promise to overcome limitations and challenges of conventional signal processing. This study presents a deep learning framework for pipeline inspection using acoustic guided-wave signals under temperature varying environments. The proposed framework employs a dual-path one-dimensional convolutional autoencoder that combines defect detection, localization, and temperature prediction functions. The proposed system utilizes multi-mode and broadband acoustic waves with an optimized number of sensors that provide high accuracy while retaining practical simplicity. Experimental validation is performed on a carbon steel pipe. The results indicate exceptional defect detection accuracy and precise defect localization with a mean absolute error of 66 mm. The proposed technique also predicts the effective average temperature of the pipe with a mean absolute error of 0.2°C. Comparative analysis shows superior performance of the proposed method over a traditional method previously developed by the authors' team. These results highlight the potential of integrating deep learning methods into guided-wave pipeline inspection systems to improve reliability under varying environmental conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Nuclear Data Sheets for A=194

Experimental nuclear structure and decay data are evaluated for all of 14 known nuclides of mass 194 (Ta, W, Re, Os, Ir, Pt, Au, Hg, Tl, Pb, Bi, Po, At, Rn). Detailed evaluated spectroscopic information is presented for each reaction and decay experiment, and by combining all the available data, recommended values are provided for energies, spins and parities and half-lives of levels, together with energies, branching ratios and multipolarities of gamma radiations from the levels, and characteristics of beta and alpha radiations in radioactive decays. No excited states have yet been identified in 194 Ta, 194 W, and 194 Rn. Only limited spectroscopic data are available for 194 Re, with a 45–μs isomer identified, but its absolute energy yet to be determined. Only two levels at unknown absolute energies are reported for 194 At, both of which are isomeric but neither can be unambiguously identified as the ground state. Data are scarce for 194 Os, 194 Bi and 194 Po, while 194 Pt, 194 Au, 194 Hg, 194 Tl and 194 Pb are well studied through decays and reactions. For 194 Ir, although a major (n, γ), E=thermal study and two particle-transfer studies provide large amounts of spectral data, still several problematic issues are found in the assignment of multipolarities for the secondary gamma transitions in the (n, γ) study by 2008Ba25, 1998Ba85 and 1998Ba42, all from the same group. Some issues have been resolved by the evaluators, but we suggest that further experimental work is needed on 194 Ir structure to resolve standing issues, and verify the conclusions made by 2008Ba25. Furthermore, our attempt to contact the prime authors of the 2008Ba25 paper was not successful. The present work supersedes all the earlier evaluations of A=194 nuclides by 2006Si17, 1996Br26, 1989Si01 and 1972Au11.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

New approach to precisely measure γ-ray intensities for long-lived fission products, with results for the decay of 95 Zr

For many fission products, the rays emitted following decay provide an easily-detectable signature that can be used to identify their quantities and distributions in a sample. As a result, γ-ray spectroscopy is often exploited to study fission-product yields, provided sufficiently accurate information on the γ-ray intensity is available. However, in many cases, the uncertainties in the existing nuclear data are large enough that they compromise the precision achievable for modern experiments and applications. To address this need, we have developed a new experimental method that is well suited to precisely measure absolute γ-ray intensities in the β decay of long-lived fission products. The approach involves the production of a radiopure sample by implantation of a mass-separated ion beam from the CAlifornium Rare Isotope Breeder Upgrade (CARIBU) facility on a thin carbon foil. The emitted β-decay radiation is detected with a 4π gas proportional counter and a meticulously efficiency-calibrated high-purity germanium (HPGe) detector. As a first measurement to demonstrate the approach, we studied the absolute γ-ray intensities of the strongest transitions following the β decay of 95 Zr and its decay-daughter 95 Nb, and determined them to fractional precisions of better than 1–2%. In addition, with a larger sample of activity produced through neutron irradiation of an isotopically-enriched Zr foil, we performed a high-precision measurement of the relative γ-ray intensities following the decay of 95 Zr with just the HPGe detector. Here, the sample-production method at CARIBU and the coincidence detection approach demonstrated here can be applied to study fission products with half-lives longer than a day, which includes isotopes important not only for nuclear-energy and national-security applications, but also for medical-isotope research and environmental monitoring.

4π↗

The LSU-Argonne conversion electron spectrometer: A new detector for the X-Array and SATURN decay station

In this study, a new conversion electron detector has been commissioned at the ATLAS/ CARIBU facility at Argonne National Laboratory. The LSU-Argonne Conversion Electron Spectrometer (LACES) is a LN 2 -cooled Si(Li) detector system designed to be incorporated into a decay station that comprises the dedicated HPGe clover array with a box geometry (X -Array) and the Scintillator and Tape Using Radioactive Nuclei (SATURN) device. This integration enables simultaneous measurements of conversion electrons and gamma-rays in decay experiments, yielding novel information on transition multipolarities, electric monopole transitions, and isomeric states that decay mostly via conversion electrons. A measurement of the energy resolution of LACES yielded 2.3-keV FWHM at 975 keV for electrons and 1.3-keV FWHM at 75 keV for X-rays. A detailed study of the absolute detection efficiency (at 5 mm from the source) was performed, where this quantity was determined experimentally in the range of electron transition energies between 25.5 keV and 1047.8 keV and subsequently simulated using the GEANT4 code. Measurement and simulations are found to be in excellent agreement. A precise characterization, for this type of detector system, of the absolute detection efficiency for such a wide energy range is reported for the first time.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Machine learning framework for predicting uranium enrichments from M400 CZT gamma spectra

A machine learning framework was developed for predicting uranium enrichments from M400 CZT gamma spectra. This framework leverages the availability of a large amount of measured M400 gamma spectra and uses a recently updated version of Gamma Detector Response and Analysis Software (GADRAS) for gamma spectrum analysis and generation. It also leverages the existing machine learning modules in Python for gamma spectrum data processing, curation, model training, benchmarking, and optimization of the deep machine learning models. The framework is used to develop a deep learning model to analyze gamma spectra from a set of U 3 O 8 samples with enrichments ranging from 0.31 to 93.17% and UF 6 cylinders with enrichments ranging from 0.2 to 4.95%, and the model performance is tested using a set of measured spectra and the respective declared enrichment values. Results show that the model can correctly classify 99.35% of the U 3 O 8 sample enrichments, and can predict the samples’ enrichments within an average absolute error of 0.099% (in percentage points of enrichment). For the UF 6 cylinders, the average absolute error was approximately 0.03%, with an accuracy of 98% in classifying discrete enrichment values of UF 6 samples. Finally, the results also show that the model has performed significantly better in terms of predicting enrichments in UF 6 cylinders based on measured gamma spectra than the GEM code, with a standard deviation (of the relative errors) of 2.23% (compared with the 11.51% value for the GEM code) based on results from a set of test data.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Long-term thermal stability and calibration of Type-II fiber Bragg grating array inscribed in radiation-hardened fibers

This paper investigates the long-term thermal stability of Type-II fiber Bragg grating (FBG) arrays, inscribed by femtosecond laser in radiation-hardened fiber, for potential applications as multiplexed sensors in high-temperature energy systems. The thermal stability of FBG sensors was assessed through 16 thermal cycles from room temperature (RT) to 750 ℃ about two months, involving 100 FBG sensors. The results show that the absolute temperature drift of FBG sensors can be reduced to less than 0.4 pm/day after 54 h thermal annealing process at a constant temperature of 800 ℃. As temperature sensors, the FBGs demonstrated stable performance, achieving a standard deviation (STD) of 1.8 pm (corresponding to a temperature resolution of 0.118 ℃) post-annealing. Repeated thermal cycles revealed a random drift of 2.3 pm in the FBG wavelength at RT. Polynomial fitting was explored as a calibration method to convert FBG wavelength shifts into absolute temperature measurements. By optimizing calibration temperature points (RT, 200 ℃, 400 ℃, and 750 ℃), the study shows that cubic polynomial calibration using four points yields an average R2 of 0.9997 and an RMSE of 3.58 ℃ across the entire temperature range (RT to 750 ℃). This approach represents an 11.53-fold improvement over empirical slope calibration and a 1.34-fold improvement over four-point piecewise fitting. The findings indicate that Type-II FBGs inscribed in radiation-hardened fibers can function as accurate temperature sensors, with performance on par with or exceeding that of thermocouples. With their multiplexing capability, robust signal transmission over long lead cables, and immunity to electromagnetic interference, FBG sensors offer a promising alternative to traditional electronic sensors for energy system monitoring.

Dominguez-Ontiveros, Elvis [ORNL] (ORCID:000000018↗

A novel probabilistic regression model for electrical peak demand estimate of commercial and manufacturing buildings

Due to the high cost of electricity in commercial and industrial sectors, demand forecast models have gained increasing attention. However, there are two unresolved issues: (1) Models are not adaptable when exposed to previously unknown data (2) The value of regression methods vs. state-of-the-art machine learning models has not been made apparent before. This study’s goal is to develop probabilistic demand estimation models. Herein, we propose a probabilistic Bayesian regression framework that can not only estimate future demands with high accuracy but also be updated once new information is available. By applying the proposed algorithm to two real-world case studies (commercial and manufacturing), we show a 40.3% and 30.8% improvement in terms of mean absolute error for the two cases. Moreover, the proposed technique outperforms powerful machine learning approaches, including support vector machine by 10.39%, random forest by 6.17%, and multilayer perceptron by 9.14% in terms of mean absolute percentage error.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Rapid Determination of Uranium Isotopic Abundance from Cotton Swipes: Direct Extraction via a Planar Surface Reader and Coupling to a Microplasma Ionization Source

The collection of solid particulates and liquids from surfaces by the use of cloth swipes is fairly ubiquitous. In such methods, there is a continuous concern regarding the ability to locate and quantitatively sample the analyte species from the material. In this effort, we demonstrate the initial coupling of an Advion Plate Express plate reader to a liquid sampling–atmospheric pressure glow discharge (LS-APGD) microplasma ionization source with an Orbitrap mass spectrometer to perform uranium isotopic analyses of solution residues on cotton swipes. The Plate Express employs a sampling probe head to engage and seal against the swipe surface. Subsequentially, the analyte residues are desorbed and transported within a 2% HNO 3 electrolyte flow to the ionization source. Quantitative recoveries were observed following a single 30 s extraction step, with the absolute mass sampled per extraction being ~100 ng. While the intrasample variability in the analytical responses for triplicate sampling of the same swipe yield ~30% RSD, this lack of precision is offset by the ability to determine isotope ratios for enriched uranium specimens with a precision of better than 10% RSD. Pooled, intersample precision ( n = 9) was found to be <5%RSD across the various sample compositions. Finally, 235 U/ 238 U determinations (ranging from 0.053 to 1.806) were accurate with errors of <10%, absolute. The 234 U- and 236 U-inclusive ratios were determined with similar accuracy in enriched samples. While the driving force for the effort is in the realm of nuclear nonproliferation efforts, the ubiquitous use of cloth swipes across many application areas could benefit from this convenient approach, including the use of versatile, reduced-format mass spectrometer systems.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗