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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

HEPOM: Using Graph Neural Networks for the Accelerated Predictions of Hydrolysis Free Energies in Different pH Conditions

Hydrolysis is a fundamental family of chemical reactions where water facilitates the cleavage of bonds. The process is ubiquitous in biological and chemical systems, owing to water’s remarkable versatility as a solvent. However, accurately predicting the feasibility of hydrolysis through computational techniques is a difficult task, as subtle changes in reactant structure like heteroatom substitutions or neighboring functional groups can influence the reaction outcome. Furthermore, hydrolysis is sensitive to the pH of the aqueous medium, and the same reaction can have different reaction properties at different pH conditions. In this work, we have combined reaction templates and high-throughput ab initio calculations to construct a diverse data set of hydrolysis free energies. The developed framework automatically identifies reaction centers, generates hydrolysis products, and utilizes a trained graph neural network (GNN) model to predict ΔG values for all potential hydrolysis reactions in a given molecule. The long-term goal of the work is to develop a data-driven, computational tool for high-throughput screening of pH-specific hydrolytic stability and the rapid prediction of reaction products, which can then be applied in a wide array of applications including chemical recycling of polymers and ion-conducting membranes for clean energy generation and storage.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Rapid Adaptation of Chemical Named Entity Recognition Using Few-Shot Learning and LLM Distillation

Named entity recognition (NER) has been widely used in chemical text mining for the automatic identification and extraction of chemical entities. However, existing chemical NER systems primarily focus on scenarios with abundant training data, requiring significant human effort on annotations. This poses challenges for applications in the chemical field, such as catalysis, where many advancements have traditionally relied on trial-and-error investigations and incremental adjustment of variables. This hinders catalysis science and technology progress in addressing emerging energy and environmental crises. In this work, we propose a few-shot NER model that can quickly adapt to extract new types of chemical entities by using only a limited number of annotated examples. Our model employs a metric-learning approach to transfer entity similarity knowledge from high-resource chemical domains (with abundant annotations) to enable effective entity recognition in low-resource specialized domains (limited annotation). We validate the effectiveness of our model on a few-shot chemical NER benchmark built based on six existing chemical NER data sets. Experiments show that the proposed few-shot NER model can achieve reasonable performance with only 5 examples per entity type and shows consistent improvement as the number of examples increases. Furthermore, we demonstrate how the proposed model can be trained with large language model (LLM) annotated data, opening a new pathway for rapid adaptation of NER systems. Furthermore, our approach leverages the knowledge broadness of large language models for chemistry while distilling this knowledge into a lightweight model suitable for efficient and in-house use.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Autogenerating a Domain-Specific Question-Answering Data Set from a Thermoelectric Materials Database to Enable High-Performing BERT Models

We present a method for autogenerating a large domain-specific question-answering (QA) dataset from a thermoelectric materials database. We show that a small language model, BERT, once fine-tuned on this automatically generated dataset of 99,757 QA pairs about thermoelectric materials, affords better performance in the field of thermoelectric materials compared to a BERT model fine-tuned on the generic English-language QA data set, SQuAD-v2. We further show that mixing the two data sets (ours and SQuAD-v2), which have significantly different syntactic and semantic scopes, allows the BERT model to achieve even better performance. The best-performing BERT model fine-tuned on the mixed data set outperforms the models fine-tuned on the other two data sets by scoring an exact match of 67.93% and an F1 score of 72.29% when evaluated on our test data set. This has important implications as it demonstrates the ability to realize high-performing small language models, with modest computational resources, empowered by domain-specific materials data sets which can be generated according to our method.

biological databases↗
DOE OSTI2026

KBKit: A Python Toolkit for Kirkwood–Buff Theory from Molecular Dynamics

Thermodynamic properties of liquid mixtures govern processes that range from drug delivery to energy storage, yet extracting these properties from molecular simulations remains challenging. Kirkwood–Buff (KB) theory offers a rigorous route by linking microscopic pair distribution functions to macroscopic free energies, but practical use of the theory has been hindered by two obstacles: (i) the long simulations needed to obtain well-converged Kirkwood-Buff integrals (KBIs) and (ii) the specialized corrections required to translate finite-size data to the thermodynamic limit. $\texttt{KBKit}$ is an open-source Python package that removes these barriers. It automatically computes KBIs and derived thermodynamic quantities from GROMACS input files, applies state-of-the-art finite-size corrections, and provides built-in diagnostic tools to quantify statistical uncertainty. Written with modern software-engineering practices—continuous integration, extensive unit testing, and thorough documentation—$\texttt{KBKit}$ is both reliable and easy to extend. By condensing complex KBI analysis into a few intuitive commands, $\texttt{KBKit}$ enables researchers to incorporate KB theory into routine simulation workflows and accelerate the discovery of solution-phase thermodynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Generating Protein Structures for Pathway Discovery Using Deep Learning

Resolving the intricate details of biological phenomena at the molecular level is fundamentally limited by both length- and time scales that can be probed experimentally. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations at various scales are powerful tools frequently employed to offer valuable biological insights beyond experimental resolution. However, while it is relatively simple to observe long-lived, stable configurations of, for example, proteins, at the required spatial resolution, simulating the more interesting rare transitions between such states often takes orders of magnitude longer than what is feasible even on the largest supercomputers available today. One common aspect of this challenge is pathway discovery, where the start and end states of a scientific phenomenon are known or can be approximated, but the mechanistic details in between are unknown. Here, we propose a representation-learning-based solution that uses interpolation and extrapolation in an abstract representation space to synthesize potential transition states, which are automatically validated using MD simulations. The new simulations of the synthesized transition states are subsequently incorporated into the representation learning, leading to an iterative framework for targeted path sampling. Our approach is demonstrated by recovering the transition of a RAS-RAF protein domain (CRD) from membrane-free to interacting with the membrane using coarse-grain MD simulations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Adaptive Variational Quantum Computing Approaches for Green’s Functions and Nonlinear Susceptibilities

Here, we present and benchmark quantum computing approaches for calculating real-time single-particle Green’s functions and nonlinear susceptibilities of Hamiltonian systems. The approaches leverage adaptive variational quantum algorithms for state preparation and propagation. Using automatically generated compact circuits, the dynamical evolution is performed over sufficiently long times to achieve adequate frequency resolution of the response functions. We showcase accurate Green’s function calculations using a statevector simulator on classical hardware for Fermi-Hubbard chains of 4 and 6 sites, with maximal ansatz circuit depths of 65 and 424 layers, respectively, and for the molecule LiH with a maximal ansatz circuit depth of 81 layers. Additionally, we consider an antiferromagnetic quantum spin-1 model that incorporates the Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya interaction to illustrate calculations of the third-order nonlinear susceptibilities, which can be measured in two-dimensional coherent spectroscopy experiments. These results demonstrate that real-time approaches using adaptive parametrized circuits to evaluate linear and nonlinear response functions can be feasible with near-term quantum processors.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Speeding Up Hartree–Fock in JuliaChem with Density Fitting

In this work, the density fitting (DF) approximation is added to the restricted Hartree–Fock (RHF) implementation in the JuliaChem computational chemistry code. Utilizing a DF algorithm that uses symmetry and integral screening, a significant reduction in time to compute the Fock matrix is achieved. The symmetry and screening DF-RHF techniques were adapted to be performed on graphics processing units (GPUs), which are well suited to perform the matrix multiplications that comprise the bulk of the Fock build time in DF-RHF. The JuliaChem DF-RHF GPU algorithm employs a novel approach that automatically switches between two DF-RHF algorithms depending on the number of basis functions in the calculation. The JuliaChem GPU DF-RHF implementation demonstrates up to 2× speedup for Fock build times compared to the existing best-in-class GPU DF-RHF implementation by operating directly on screened intermediate matrices. Due to the high portability of the Julia language code, the JuliaChem CPU and GPU DF-RHF implementations could be benchmarked on a variety of CPU and GPU architectures from multiple hardware vendors.

Hayes, John J. [Ames Laboratory, and Iowa State Un↗
DOE OSTI2025

PySIDT: Subgraph Isomorphic Decision Trees for Molecular Property Prediction

Accurate molecular property prediction is important across all fields of chemistry. Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become increasingly popular due to their ability to train automatically, avoiding the incredibly tedious process of constructing and extending traditional property estimation schemes. However, DNNs require large amounts of training data, are challenging to interpret, require large amounts of memory to load even during inference, and have severe difficulties incorporating qualitative chemical knowledge, which are often desired for molecular property prediction tasks. Here, in this study, we present PySIDT (https://github.com/zadorlab/PySIDT), a software for training and running inference on Subgraph Isomorphic Decision Trees (SIDTs). SIDTs are graph-based decision trees made of nodes associated with molecular substructures. Inference is done by descending target molecular structures down the decision tree to nodes with matching subgraph isomorphic substructures and making predictions based on the final (most specific) nodes matched. SIDTs scale down well to dataset sizes much smaller than is feasible for DNNs. As trees of molecular substructures, SIDTs are inherently readable and easy to visualize, making them easy to analyze. They are also straightforward to extend and retrain, facilitate uncertainty estimation, and enable easy integration of expert knowledge. We demonstrate the SIDT approach discussing its application to a diverse range of molecular prediction tasks: rate coefficient estimation, diffusion coefficient estimation, thermochemistry estimation, transition state bond stretch prediction, p K a prediction, stability of molecular structures, stability of surface structures, and prediction of surface lateral interaction energetics. Additionally, we demonstrate the power of the SIDT algorithms in two direct learning curve vanilla comparisons with the popular DNN-based software Chemprop and the popular gradient boosted trees-based software XGBoost on enthalpy of formation and rate coefficient prediction tasks. In particular, in the enthalpy of formation case, vanilla PySIDT is able to outperform vanilla Chemprop and XGBoost across the full range of training/validation set sizes out to 11,560 data points.

Johnson, Matthew Sean [Sandia National Laboratorie↗
DOE OSTI2025

Resolving the Coverage Dependence of Surface Reaction Kinetics with Machine Learning and Automated Quantum Chemistry Workflows

Microkinetic models for catalytic systems require estimation of many thermodynamic and kinetic parameters that can be calculated for isolated species and transition states using ab initio methods. However, the presence of nearby coadsorbates on the surface can dramatically alter these thermodynamic and kinetic parameters causing them to be dependent on species coverage fractions. As there are combinatorially many coadsorbed configurations on the surface, computing the coverage dependence of these parameters is far less straightforward. We present a framework for generating and applying machine learning models to predict coverage-dependent parameters for microkinetic models. Our toolkit enables automatic calculation and evaluation of coadsorbed configurations allowing us to sample 2,000 coadsorbed adsorbates and transition states (TSs) for a diverse set of 9 reactions on Cu(111), a challenging surface, with four possible coadsorbates. This dataset was then used to train subgraph isomorphic decision trees (SIDTs) to predict the stability and association energy of configurations. We were able to achieve mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 0.106 eV on adsorbates, 0.172 eV on TSs, and due to natural error cancellation in SIDTs for relative properties, 0.130 eV on reaction energies and 0.180 eV on activation barriers. In conclusion, we describe how to use these models to predict coverage-dependent corrections for adsorbates and TSs and demonstrate on H*, HO*, and O* comparing the generated SIDT model with an iteratively refined version.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-Performance Semiempirical Excited-State Molecular Dynamics Powered by Graphics Processing Units

Here, this Letter introduces excited-state molecular dynamics in PYSEQM, a GPU-accelerated semiempirical quantum chemistry engine implemented in PyTorch. The new module enables Born–Oppenheimer molecular dynamics (BOMD) using configuration-interaction singles and random phase approximation for excited states, allowing long trajectories and large statistical ensembles to be simulated efficiently on a single GPU. We also implement an extended Lagrangian excited-state BOMD (XL-ESMD) scheme that propagates auxiliary electronic variables, enabling relaxed ground and excited-state convergence thresholds without compromising energy conservation. The excited-state BOMD implementation scales smoothly from small chromophores to a nearly 900-atom dendrimer (taking 6.5 s per MD step). PYSEQM also supports batched execution, allowing many geometries or trajectories to be evaluated in a single GPU launch, substantially increasing throughput and making ensemble-based protocols routine. As a demonstration, we compute absorption, emission, and infrared spectra from trajectories propagated on the ground and first excited states. The XL-ESMD scheme yields identical spectra at significantly lower computational cost, establishing the role of extended Lagrangian based dynamics for efficient excited-state BOMD simulations. Beyond raw performance, PYSEQM’s PyTorch foundation provides automatic differentiation for forces, efficient GPU batching, and seamless interfacing with machine learning models. These capabilities position PYSEQM as a practical platform for machine learning-augmented excited-state dynamics and lay the foundation for future data-driven nonadiabatic excited-state dynamics modeling of ultrafast spectroscopic probes.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Introducing Molecular Hypernetworks for Discovery in Multidimensional Metabolomics Data

Orthogonal separations of data from high-resolution mass spectrometry can provide insight into sample composition and address challenges of complete annotation of molecules in untargeted metabolomics. “Molecular networks” (MNs), as used in the Global Natural Products Social Molecular Networking platform, are a prominent strategy for exploring and visualizing molecular relationships and improving annotation. MNs are mathematical graphs showing the relationships between measured multidimensional data features. MNs also show promise for using network science algorithms to automatically identify targets for annotation candidates and to dereplicate features associated with a single molecular identity. Here, this paper introduces “molecular hypernetworks” (MHNs) as more complex MN models able to natively represent multiway relationships among observations. Compared to MNs, MHNs can more parsimoniously represent the inherent complexity present among groups of observations, initially supporting improved exploratory data analysis and visualization. MHNs also promise to increase confidence in annotation propagation, for both human and analytical processing. We first illustrate MHNs with simple examples, and build them from liquid chromatography- and ion mobility spectrometry-separated MS data. We then describe a method to construct MHNs directly from existing MNs as their “clique reconstructions”, demonstrating their utility by comparing examples of previously published graph-based MNs to their respective MHNs.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Self-Assembly of a Triblock Copolymer in the Presence of a Rigid Conjugated Polyelectrolyte

The properties of conducting polymers are strongly influenced by structural changes induced by long-range order, which can be achieved by using block copolymers that self-assemble into crystalline structures. These blends result in unique mesophases distinct from the pure components with self-assembly behavior modulated by solution conditions and polymer architectures. High-throughput small-angle X-ray scattering data of aqueous Pluronic P123 (PEO 20 –PPO 70 –PEO 20 ) and conjugated polyelectrolyte poly[3-(potassium-4-butanoate) thiophene-2,5-diyl] (PPBT) blends at various concentrations and temperatures were automatically classified into phase maps by autophasemap, an unsupervised statistical analysis algorithm. The outlined phase boundaries revealed that adding PPBT to high P123 concentrations induced a transition from cubicly ordered spherical micelles to hexagonally packed cylindrical micelles. Shear alignment via rheological small-angle neutron scattering of the blends produced monolithic oriented cubic and hexagonal crystal gels. Furthermore, these insights into the self-assembly of conductive polymer blends will aid in the design of soft materials with tunable structural and electronic properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hyperspectral Detection of the Fluorescence Shift between Chirality-Sorted Empty and Water-Filled Single-Wall Carbon Nanotube Enantiomers

Single-wall carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs) have extraordinary electronic and optical properties that depend strongly on their exact chiral structure and their interaction with their inner and outer environment. The fluorescence (PL) of semiconducting SWCNTs, for instance, will shift depending on the molecules with which the SWCNT’s hollow core is filled. These interaction-induced shifts are challenging to resolve on the ensemble level in samples containing a mixture of different filling contents due to the relatively large inhomogeneous line width of the ensemble SWCNT PL compared to the size of these shifts. To circumvent this inhomogeneous broadening, single-tube spectroscopy and hyperspectral imaging are often applied, which until now required time-consuming statistical studies. Here, we present hyperspectral PL microscopy combined with automated SWCNT segmenting based on either principal component analysis or a convolutional neural network, capable of both spatially and spectrally resolving the PL along the length of many individual SWCNTs at the same time and automatically fitting peak positions and line widths of individual SWCNTs. The methodology is demonstrated by accurately determining the emission shifts and line widths of thousands of left- and right-handed empty and water-filled SWCNTs coated with a chiral surfactant, resulting in four statistical distributions which cannot be resolved in ensemble spectroscopy of unsorted samples. The results demonstrate a robust method to quickly probe ensemble properties with single-enantiomer spectral resolution. Moreover, it promises to be an absolute quantitative method to characterize the relative abundances of SWCNTs with different handedness or filling content in macroscopic samples, simply by counting individual species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structure Prediction of Ionic Epitaxial Interfaces with Ogre Demonstrated for Colloidal Heterostructures of Lead Halide Perovskites

Colloidal epitaxial heterostructures are nanoparticles composed of two different materials connected at an interface, which can exhibit properties different from those of their individual components. Combining dissimilar materials offers exciting opportunities to create a wide variety of functional heterostructures. However, assessing structural compatibility–the main prerequisite for epitaxial growth–is challenging when pairing complex materials with different lattice parameters and crystal structures. This complicates both the selection of target heterostructures for synthesis and the assignment of interface models when new heterostructures are obtained. Here, we demonstrate Ogre as a powerful tool to accelerate the design and characterization of colloidal heterostructures. To this end, we implemented developments tailored for the high-efficiency prediction of epitaxial interfaces between ionic/polar materials, which encompass most colloidal semiconductors. These include the use of pre-screening candidate models based on charge balance at the interface and the use of a classical potential for fast energy evaluations, with parameters automatically calculated based on the input bulk structures. These developments are validated for perovskite-based CsPbBr 3 /Pb 4 S 3 Br 2 heterostructures, where Ogre produces interface models in excellent agreement with density functional theory and experiments. Furthermore, we use Ogre to rationalize the templating effect of CsPbCl 3 on the growth of lead sulfochlorides, where perovskite seeds induce the formation of Pb 4 S 3 Cl 2 rather than Pb 3 S 2 Cl 2 due to better epitaxial compatibility. Finally, combining Ogre simulations with experimental data enables us to unravel the structure and composition of the hitherto unsolved CsPbBr 3 /Bi x Pb y S z interface, and to assign a structure to several other reported metal halide- and oxide-based interfaces. The Ogre package is available on GitHub or via the OgreInterface desktop application, available for Windows, Linux, and Mac.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Real-Time Automated pH Control within Batch Processes Relying on Raman pH Measurement

Nuclear fission is an energy source that can provide consistent power with very low associated carbon emissions. However, management of the used nuclear fuel is an important aspect of the application of nuclear power. Recycling of useful components from used fuel is an attractive option, but this involves chemical processing of the fuel. Possible chemical separation technologies that might be used in this regard are sensitive to solution pH. Raman spectroscopy is a promising technique for monitoring the pH of solutions in real time. Classical pH probes are too fragile to be used in the harsh environments encountered in nuclear fuel processing. Raman probes are robust and can withstand these harsh environments to track pH. Coupled with chemometric analysis, the demonstration of the use of Raman spectroscopy to track and predict the pH in carboxylate-buffered systems is made possible. Utilizing this spectroscopy in conjunction with Programmable Logic Controllers mimics industrial control systems used in many modern industrial settings. This showcases a pragmatic approach toward leveraging Raman spectroscopy and chemometric model outputs as inputs for a real-time control system. The model to predict pH created by chemometrics proved to be successful in tracking pH. The optimal pH for TALSPEAK extraction of lanthanides and actinides from aqueous solution is known to proceed in a narrow pH range of around pH = 2.8 ± 0.1. This study uses Raman optical monitoring and automated control to return and maintain solution pH within this range after acid or base perturbations move the solution pH well outside this region. Root-mean-square errors show that pH changes measured using Raman spectroscopy on the batch process solution are reliably measured and used to automatically correct and maintain solution pH. Measurement of solution pH tracks favorably with electrochemical pH probe comparison measurements. As a result, the ability to showcase Raman spectroscopy paired with chemometrics analysis acts as a durable, better alternative data source compared to traditional pH probes to optimize the separation efficiency in the used nuclear fuel processing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Integrating Ultra-Coarse-Grained Protein Models into Accessible Workflows for Multiscale Molecular Dynamics

To capture protein conformational transitions using molecular dynamics (MD), several simulation resolutions covering different spatial and temporal scales are typically needed. All-atom (AA) simulations provide fine resolution, but are computationally infeasible for large systems over longer durations. Coarse-grained (CG) and ultra-coarse-grained (UCG) models have a lower resolution and computational cost while still being able to conserve essential protein features. Prior work on a Multiscale Machinelearned Modeling Infrastructure (MuMMI) combined both AA and CG simulations to study RAS-RAF protein interactions, leveraging CG models for longer time scales and using AA to investigate unusual conformations in greater detail. However, MuMMI is still resource-intensive, and this study aims to maximize exploration of the protein conformational space while reducing computational cost. In this paper, we build on prior work that integrates UCG models based on heterogeneous elastic network modeling (hENM) into the MuMMI workflow. We demonstrate that UCG models enable accurate sampling of protein conformations, focusing on simulating RAS-RAF protein interactions. Using higher-resolution CG Martini simulation data, we can automatically refine intramolecular interactions in UCG models. We present a scalable Python package that uses fluctuations observed in higher-resolution CG Martini simulations to estimate bond coefficients of the UCG model. We built novel machine learning-based backmapping methods to recover more detailed CG Martini structures from UCG structures, using diffusion models to learn the mapping between scales. Finally, we present UCG-mini-MuMMI, an accessible and less compute-intensive version of MuMMI as a resource for the scientific community. Incorporating UCG models into MD studies is applicable to a broad range of systems and proteins, and our study offers insights into the advantages and limitations of these methods.

Chemical structure↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Climatology and Life‐Cycle Characteristics of Atmospheric Fronts and Their Associated Precipitation

Abstract Atmospheric fronts are one of the main sources of mid‐latitude variability. We employ a novel method for identifying and tracking fronts and frontal precipitation. Thermal and dynamical variables are used to identify fronts as areal objects in space, which are tracked in time using the open‐source TempestExtremes software package. Precipitation objects are co‐located to identify frontal precipitation. The method is subjected to validation and sensitivity tests using manually curated data from the National Weather Service. Climatologies of fronts and frontal precipitation are computed from reanalysis and observations; fronts are present upwards of 14% of the time in the storm tracks, and represent the majority (up to 90%) of total and extreme precipitation. Novel aspects of the method are showcased through the lifetime characteristics of fronts across North America. Three sets of warm and cold fronts were discovered, and their duration, distance‐traveled, and translation velocity are examined. Plain Language Summary Mid‐latitude low‐pressure systems and weather fronts are important for our day‐to‐day experience of weather events, particularly in the mid‐latitudes. This work makes use of standardized atmospheric data and creates a method of automatically tracking these important atmospheric features and their precipitation to quantify their relative role in global precipitation. Weather fronts are persistent in the mid‐latitudes and are associated with the majority of precipitation–particularly the most intense precipitation. Trajectories of fronts over North America are categorized to create a set of archetypal fronts that occur in that region. The differences between these types of fronts are characterized. Key Points An automated, efficient, and skillful frontal detection algorithm is developed and validated Fronts contribute a larger fraction of extreme precipitation than all precipitation in mid‐latitude storm tracks Fronts across North America have substantial variation in characteristics depending on their origin location

extratropical cyclone↗
DOE OSTI2026

Employing Machine Learning for New Particle Formation Identification and Mechanistic Analysis: Insights From a Six‐Year Observational Study in the Southern Great Plains

We present a supervised machine learning (ML) framework to automatically identify new particle formation (NPF) events and analyze key atmospheric factors associated with their occurrence and growth. We applied ML to detect NPF events using start time and particle concentrations across size ranges, while identifying atmospheric variables including ambient temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation intensity (SRI), wind speed, wind direction, boundary layer height, total organics, sulfate, nitrate, total surface area concentration, sulfur dioxide, and turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). We analyzed a 6-year data set from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) site in Oklahoma, USA. Using long-term ground-based measurements, we identified NPF events and applied Random Forest Classifiers, which achieved 90%–95% prediction accuracy. Feature importance analysis highlighted SRI, relative humidity, and ambient temperature as the most influential variables, contributing normalized importances of 28%, 17%, and 10%. Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs) indicated that higher SRI and lower relative humidity were critical in promoting NPF formation at SGP. Seasonally, NPF events were more frequent in winter (42.1%) and spring (35.5%), and least in summer (4.0%). Particle growth rates also exhibited a seasonal variation, with the lowest in winter (below 2 nm hr −1 ) and highest in late spring and early summer (exceeding 5 nm hr −1 ). Temperature, turbulent kinetic energy, and aerosol properties were the primary factors of growth rate variability. This study advances predictive modeling of NPF, offers insights for future campaign deployments, and demonstrates the effectiveness of ML in understanding the formation and growth of atmospheric aerosols.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗