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DOE OSTI2026

A New Window into the Baryon Cycle at Cosmic Noon with Line Intensity Mapping: Forecasts for auto- and cross-correlations in [CII]-158$μ$m, HI 21 cm, CO$_{J+1\rightarrow J}$, and H$α$ galaxies

Across the peak of cosmic star formation at $z\sim1-2$, inflow, processing, and feedback drive rapid changes in the spatial distribution and chemical composition of baryons in galaxies and surrounding reservoirs; this baryon cycle can be tomographically mapped by line intensity mapping (LIM) of atomic hydrogen, ionized carbon, and carbon monoxide. We present a simulation-based forecasting framework for detecting auto- and cross-power spectra between spectroscopic surveys of four such tracers at $z\sim0.5-1.7$ mapping the same deep field - TIM, EoRSpec/FYST, MeerKAT, & Euclid. We forward-model 3-D distributions for these tracers from magnetohydrodynamic simulations, directly capturing the two-halo, one-halo, and shot statistics without relying on analytical decompositions. We further detail a signal-to-noise formalism, tailored to LIM surveys with highly anisotropic geometries and Fourier-space coverage. We demonstrate that galaxy cross-correlations will be the dominant discovery channel for current-generation surveys. These instruments will detect the auto-spectra for CO and HI 21 cm and the CO $\times$ 21 cm cross-spectrum at modest S/N $\sim 1-10$, while placing upper limits on the [CII]-158$μ$m signals. [CII], CO, and HI LIM will be $\sim3-30\times$ ($0.5-1.5$ dex) more sensitive to cross-correlation with the Euclid survey, however, than their respective auto-correlations, constraining all three models of line emission at high significance (S/N $\sim 10-40$) within this decade. Finally, we formulate a staged instrumental trajectory with planned or reasonable improvements, including the as-proposed SKA-Mid. We forecast advancing the per-$k$-mode sensitivities of each auto-, galaxy-line, and line-line spectrum by several orders of magnitude, enabling new percent- and sub-percent level constraints on cosmology and the redshift evolution of star formation and the baryon cycle.

Agrawal, Shubh [Pennsylvania U., Dept. Math.]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Second Order Closures for the Radiative Transfer Equation: Some Are Unstable

The largest existing simulations of cosmic reionization model radiative transfer with moment methods that require a closure relation. The two most commonly used closure relations are M1 and OTVET; both close the moment hierarchy at the first moment. We explore the properties of a higher, second-order closure. We show that direct generalizations of M1 and OTVET to one higher order are physically unstable - i.e., the closure equations themselves result in unstable solutions, not just their numerical implementation. In fact, a generalization of OTVET to any order higher than the first one is unstable. We are also able to show that any local (i.e., depending only on the local moments of the radiation field, like M1) second-order closure that depends only on the radiation intensity and radiation flux, but does not explicitly depend on the radiation pressure, is physically unstable. This result restricts the choice of possible second-order closure relations.

Gnedin, Nickolay Y. [Fermilab; Chicago U., Astron.↗

DOE OSTI2026

Primordial Neutron Stars

We propose a novel cosmological scenario in which baryonic neutron stars could plausibly form in the early universe. If baryogenesis initially produces an excessively-large baryon asymmetry, $Y_B \gg 10^{-10},$ the baryonic mass inside the horizon can exceed the minimum neutron star mass before big bang nucleosynthesis (BBN). While this large asymmetry is present, non-relativistic baryons can dominate the universe and enhanced density perturbations on small scales can gravitationally collapse Hubble patches shortly after horizon re-entry. For some initial perturbations, just below the threshold for black hole formation, this collapse will be arrested only by nuclear pressure, possibly resulting in neutron star formation. Afterwards, there must be a large entropy injection to restore the observed baryon asymmetry, $Y_B \sim 10^{-10}$, and preserve the successful predictions of standard BBN. Unlike neutron stars that form from stellar collapse, primordial neutron stars can, in principle, be as light as $\sim 0.1 M_\odot$, limited only by the nuclear equation of state.

Krnjaic, Gordan [Fermilab; Chicago U., Astron. Ast↗

DOE OSTI2026

MAS-CCD: New technique for measuring low-level charge content based on the multiple amplifier architecture

Low-noise detectors are a key technology for the next generation of astronomical instruments aimed at spectroscopy of faint objects and the search for exoplanets. In this context, the multiple-amplifier sensing charge-coupled device (MAS-CCD) emerges as a promising technology for future scientific instruments. A critical parameter affecting the performance of these devices is spurious charge, produced by the clocking of the gates. Its measurement is typically challenging with existing methods. In practice, the optimization of this parameter often relies on empirical procedures that require significant time and careful consideration of the trade-off with full-well capacity. In this work, we present a new technique to estimate spurious charge based on covariance analysis of the output amplifiers of the MAS-CCD, which measures the same charge packet in different amplifiers at different times. The method enables fast and precise measurements of spurious charge under operating conditions where conventional approaches are difficult to apply. We develop the theoretical framework of the method and validate the model through simulations. The results demonstrate the feasibility of this approach and suggest that it could serve as a basis for reliable large-scale characterization of sensor performance.

Gamero, Miqueas E. [Buenos Aires, CONICET; Fermila↗

DOE OSTI2026

Probing the matter-dominated expansion with multi-redshift Lyman-$α$ BAO from DESI DR2

We present a multi-redshift Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) analysis of the DESI Data Release 2 (DR2) Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest, splitting the forest auto-correlation and its cross-correlation with quasars into three redshift bins. We obtain BAO measurements at effective redshifts $z_{\rm eff} = 2.13$, $2.40$, and $2.81$ with $\sim2.0$--$2.5\%$ precision per bin in the radial and transverse directions, corresponding to $\sim1.1$--$1.2\%$ precision for the isotropic BAO measurement. Using the same data products and modeling framework as the DESI DR2 Ly$α$ BAO analysis, we validate the pipeline on $400$ synthetic datasets and find unbiased BAO recovery with well-calibrated uncertainties. The measurements show an increase in the isotropic dilation parameter $D_V/r_d$ from $30.26\pm0.39$ to $32.22\pm0.47$ and in the Alcock-Paczyński parameter $D_M/D_H$ from $3.96\pm0.15$ to $5.63^{+0.22}_{-0.24}$. The Hubble distance $D_H/r_d$ decreases from $9.40\pm0.20$ to $7.22\pm0.17$, providing a direct measurement of the expansion history consistent with $Λ$CDM and the expected matter-dominated scaling, with $H(z)\propto(1+z)^n$ giving $n=1.34\pm0.16$. The redshift split also provides a self-consistent measurement of clustering evolution: the Ly$α$ forest bias evolves as $(1+z)^γ$ with $γ_α=3.05\pm0.16$, the RSD parameter has a redshift evolution described by $γ_β=-0.97\pm0.26$, and the quasar bias evolves with $γ_Q=1.56\pm0.23$, consistent with independent quasar clustering measurements. Combining these three-bin BAO measurements with DESI DR2 galaxy and quasar BAO measurements yields cosmological constraints consistent with the single-bin Ly$α$ BAO analysis in flat $Λ$CDM and $w_0w_a$CDM and improves curvature constraints by $\sim12\%$ in $Λ$CDM$+Ω_\mathrm{K}$.

Herrera-Alcantar, Hiram K. [Paris, Inst. Astrophys↗

DOE OSTI2026

Strong Lensing Cosmology with Population-level Calibrated Neural Ratio Estimation

Strong gravitational lensing contains key information about cosmic acceleration. Modern and next-generation galaxy imaging surveys are expected to provide high-quality data on $\mathcal{O}(10^5)$ galaxy-galaxy lensing systems. The plethora and complexity of the data are likely to present computational challenges for parameter inference methods for fitting high-dimensional likelihoods, which are often analytically intractable. Neural Ratio Estimation (NRE) efficiently computes individual likelihood ratios that can be combined into population-level posteriors. We use simulations to study the capacity of NRE to jointly predict the dark energy equation-of-state parameter $w$ and the total matter density $Ω_{m}$ from lensing images and companion spectroscopic information. We also introduce a post hoc posterior coverage calibration procedure that mitigates the model overconfidence that is typically found in neural density estimation applications. Our experiments show that the errors on both parameters decrease with increasing inference population sizes. In particular, for 100 lenses in a standard $Λ$CDM Universe, our calibrated NRE model achieves median fractional uncertainty of $22.8\%$ in $w$ and $2.9\%$ in $Ω_{m}$. This proof of concept demonstrates a potentially scalable approach for efficient cosmological parameter inference with large populations of galaxy-scale lenses observed in future surveys.

Jarugula, Sreevani [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000253867↗

DOE OSTI2026

An analytic result for the 0 → ggHHH amplitude

We present a fully analytic calculation of the leading-order one-loop amplitude for triple Higgs production via gluon fusion, gg → HHH, retaining full dependence on the mass of the heavy quark circulating in the loop. This amplitude provides a direct probe of the triple and quartic Higgs self-couplings, the measurement of which is a central goal of current and future colliders. The amplitude can be presented in compact form thanks to the use of analytic reconstruction techniques, based on finite-field and p-adic evaluations, multivariate partial fraction decompositions, and primary decompositions to identify common numerator factors. Although full analytic results are given in the text and in the supplementary material, the main thrust of this paper is to further test and illustrate these analytic reconstruction techniques in a concrete physical example. Our results provide a compact and efficient representation of the matrix element for this process, enabling evaluations that are more than an order of magnitude faster than existing numerical alternatives. Full analytic control of the leading-order, loop-induced amplitude is an important step towards handling more complex 2-loop or real-radiation corrections to this and related processes.

Campbell, John M. [Fermilab] (ORCID:00000002136193↗

DOE OSTI2025

The non-relativistic effective field theory of dark matter-electron interactions

Electronic excitations in atomic, molecular, and crystal targets are at the forefront of the ongoing search for light, sub-GeV dark matter (DM). In many light DM-electron interactions the energy and momentum deposited is much smaller than the electron mass, motivating a non-relativistic (NR) description of the electron. Thus, for any target, light DM-electron phenomenology relies on understanding the interactions between the DM and electron in the NR limit. In this work we derive the NR effective field theory (EFT) of general DM-electron interactions from a top-down perspective, starting from general high-energy DM-electron interaction Lagrangians. This provides an explicit connection between high-energy theories and their low-energy phenomenology in electron excitation based experiments. Furthermore, we derive Feynman rules for the DM-electron NR EFT, allowing observables to be computed diagrammatically, which can systematically explain the presence of in-medium screening effects in general DM models. We use these Feynman rules to compute absorption, scattering, and dark Thomson scattering rates for a wide variety of high-energy DM models.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Galaxy cluster matter profiles - I. Self-similarity, mass calibration, and observable-mass relation validation employing cluster mass posteriors

We present a study of the weak lensing inferred matter profiles ΔΣ(R) of 698 South Pole Telescope (SPT) thermal Sunyaev-Zel’dovich effect (tSZE) selected and MCMF optically confirmed galaxy clusters in the redshift range 0.25 < z < 0.94 that have associated weak gravitational lensing shear profiles from the Dark Energy Survey (DES). Rescaling these profiles to account for the mass dependent size and the redshift dependent density produces average rescaled matter profiles ΔΣ(R/R200c)/(ρcritR200c) with a lower dispersion than the unscaled ΔΣ(R) versions, indicating a significant degree of self-similarity. Galaxy clusters from hydrodynamical simulations also exhibit matter profiles that suggest a high degree of self-similarity, with RMS variation among the average rescaled matter profiles with redshift and mass falling by a factor of approximately six and 23, respectively, compared to the unscaled average matter profiles. We employed this regularity in a new Bayesian method for weak lensing mass calibration that employs the so-called cluster mass posterior P(M200|ζ̂, λ̂, z), which describes the individual cluster masses given their tSZE (ζ̂) and optical (λ̂, z) observables. This method enables simultaneous constraints on richness λ-mass and tSZE detection significance ζ-mass relations using average rescaled cluster matter profiles. We validated the method using realistic mock datasets and present observable-mass relation constraints for the SPT×DES sample, where we constrained the amplitude, mass trend, redshift trend, and intrinsic scatter. Our observable-mass relation results are in agreement with the mass calibration derived from the recent cosmological analysis of the SPT×DES data based on a cluster-by-cluster lensing calibration. Our new mass calibration technique offers a higher efficiency when compared to the single cluster calibration technique. We present new validation tests of the observable-mass relation that indicate the underlying power-law form and scatter are adequate to describe the real cluster sample but that also suggest a redshift variation in the intrinsic scatter of the λ-mass relation may offer a better description. In addition, the average rescaled matter profiles offer high signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) constraints on the shape of real cluster matter profiles, which are in good agreement with available hydrodynamical ΛCDM simulations. This high S/N profile contains information about baryon feedback, the collisional nature of dark matter, and potential deviations from general relativity.Key words: gravitational lensing: weak / galaxies: clusters: general / large-scale structure of Universe

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Label-based Virtual Directories In dCache

Traditional filesystems organize data in directories. These directories are typically a collection of files whose grouping is based on a single criterion, e.g., the starting date of an experiment, experiment name, beamline ID, measurement device, or instrument. However, each file in a directory can belong to several logical groups, such as a special event type, experiment condition, or a part of a selected dataset. dCache is a storage system developed to store large amounts of scientific data, used by many HEP and Photon Science experiments. With recent developments in dCache, we have introduced a concept of file tagging, which dynamically groups files with the same label into virtual directories. The file labels can be added, removed, renamed, and deleted through the admin interface or via REST API. The files in virtual directories are exposed through all protocols supported by dCache. This contribution will describe the details of the implementation for file tagging in dCache and present our future development plans on automatic metadata extractions, a feature that will significantly simplify data management. Additionally, we are exploring the future use of virtual directories as a way to translate scientific data catalogs into filesystem views for direct data analysis.

Sahakyan, Marina [DESY]↗

DOE OSTI2022

Trivalent ion overcharging on electrified graphene

We report the structure of the electrical double layer (EDL) formed near graphene in aqueous environments strongly impacts its performance for a plethora of applications, including capacitive deionization. In particular, adsorption and organization of multivalent counterions near the graphene interface can promote nonclassical behaviors of EDL including overcharging followed by co-ion adsorption. In this paper, we characterize the EDL formed near an electrified graphene interface in dilute aqueous YCl 3 solution using in situ high resolution x-ray reflectivity (also known as crystal truncation rod) and resonant anomalous x-ray reflectivity (RAXR). These interface-specific techniques reveal the electron density profiles with molecular-scale resolution. We find that yttrium ions (Y 3+ ) readily adsorb to the negatively charged graphene surface to form an extended ion profile. This ion distribution resembles a classical diffuse layer but with a significantly high ion coverage, i.e., 1 Y 3+ per 11.4 ± 1.6 Å 2 , compared to the value calculated from the capacitance measured by cyclic voltammetry (1 Y 3+ per ~240 Å 2 ). Such overcharging can be explained by co-adsorption of chloride that effectively screens the excess positive charge. The adsorbed Y 3+ profile also shows a molecular-scale gap (≥ 5 Å) from the top graphene surfaces, which is attributed to the presence of intervening water molecules between the adsorbents and adsorbates as well as the lack of inner-sphere surface complexation on chemically inert graphene. We also demonstrate controlled adsorption by varying the applied potential and reveal consistent Y 3+ ion position with respect to the surface and increasing cation coverage with increasing the magnitude of the negative potential. This is the first experimental description of a model graphene-aqueous system with controlled potential and provides important insights into the application of graphene-based systems for enhanced and selective ion separations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2025

Warm Hawking relics from primordial black hole domination

We study the cosmological impact of warm, dark-sector relic particles produced as Hawkingradiation in a primordial-black-hole-dominated universe before big bang nucleosynthesis. If thesedark-sector particles are stable, they would survive to the present day as Hawking relicsand modify the growth of cosmological structure. We show that such relics are producedwith much larger momenta, but in smaller quantities than the familiar thermal relics considered instandard cosmology. Consequently, Hawking relics with keV–MeV masses affect the growth oflarge-scale structure in a similar way to eV-scale thermal relics like massive neutrinos. Wemodel their production and evolution, and show that their momentum distributions are broader thancomparable relics with thermal distributions. Warm Hawking relics affect the growth ofcosmological perturbations and we constrain their abundance to be less than 2% of the darkmatter over a broad range of their viable parameter space. Finally, we examine how futuremeasurements of the matter power spectrum can distinguish Hawking relics from thermal particles.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

dSph-obic dark matter

We present a mechanism that allows thermal relic dark matter to annihilate efficiently in the Galactic Halo and in galaxy clusters, but not in the lower-velocity environments of dwarf spheroidal (dSph) galaxies. We realize this within a complete model in which the dark matter consists of two distinct states separated by a small mass splitting. An indirect detection signal is generated only through the coannihilations of these two states, requiring both to be present. In the halo of the Milky Way, the dark matter particles in the lighter state can be excited into the long-lived heavier state through scattering. Once excited, these heavier particles can coannihilate with those in the lighter state, yielding a gamma-ray signal with little or no suppression. By contrast, the dark matter particles in dwarf galaxies do not possess enough kinetic energy to be excited, thereby suppressing the coannihilation rate and corresponding indirect detection signals from those systems. This framework breaks the predictive relationship that ordinarily exists between these respective gamma-ray signals and complicates our ability to interpret the results of indirect detection searches.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Chromatic effects on the PSF and shear measurement for the Roman Space Telescope High-Latitude Wide Area Survey

Weak gravitational lensing (WL) is a key cosmological probe that requires precise measurement of galaxy images to infer shape distortions, or shear, and constrain cosmology. Accurate estimation of the point spread function (PSF) is crucial for shear measurement, but the wavelength dependence of the PSF introduces chromatic biases that can systematically impact shear inference. We focus on biases arising from spectral energy distribution (SED) differences between stars, used for PSF modelling, and galaxies, used for shear measurement. We investigate these effects in Roman’s four design reference mission WL bands (Y106, J129, H158, F184) and wide filter (W146). Using Roman-like image simulations, we quantify the induced shear biases and compare them to requirements on those biases. Multiplicative biases over all galaxies hover around ~0.2 per cent in the WL bands and 2 per cent in the wide filter, exceeding the mission requirement of |m| < 0.032 per cent and relaxed requirement of |m| < 0.1 per cent⁠. In individual redshift bins, biases can reach 0.4–0.9 per cent for the WL bands and 3–6 per cent for the wide filter. Additive biases remain acceptable in the WL bands but exceed systematic limits in the wide filter. We develop and test PSF-level corrections, showing that a first-order correction reduces biases within survey requirements for the WL bands; however, higher-order terms are necessary for the wide filter. Our results highlight the necessity of chromatic corrections for precision WL with Roman and provide a framework for mitigating these biases. Finally, we compare analytical colour-based corrections to self-organizing maps and find that both methods effectively reduce biases.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

SENSEI: A Search for Diurnal Modulation in Sub-GeV Dark Matter Scattering

Dark matter particles with sufficiently large interactions with ordinary matter can scatter in the Earth’s atmosphere and crust before reaching an underground detector. This Earth-shielding effect can induce a directional dependence in the dark matter flux, leading to a sidereal daily modulation in the signal rate. We perform a search for such a modulation using data from the SENSEI experiment, targeting MeV-scale dark matter. We achieve nearly an order-of-magnitude improvement in sensitivity over previous direct-detection bounds for dark-matter masses below ∼ 1 MeV , assuming the standard halo model with a Maxwell-Boltzmann velocity distribution, and restrict the amplitude of a general daily modulation signal to be below 6.8 e / g / d .

Bloch, Itay M. [UC, Berkeley; LBL, Berkeley]↗

DOE OSTI2026

Massive black holes seeded by dark matter: Implications for little red dots and gravitational wave signatures

Observations of supermassive black holes (SMBHs) at high redshifts challenge standard seeding scenarios. We examine a dissipative self-interacting dark matter (dSIDM) model in which gravothermal collapse leads to the formation of massive BH seeds ab initio. We utilize a semianalytical framework to predict properties of the dSIDM-seeded SMBH population. Billion solar mass quasars are reproduced along with low-mass faint active galactic nuclei (known as little red dots) with SMBH-to-galaxy stellar mass ratios consistent with recent James Webb Space Telescope observations. To match the abundance of the observed bright quasars, a subpercent-level duty cycle is suggested, implying a large population of dormant SMBHs. The gravitational wave (GW) signals from mergers of these massive SMBHs can be detected by LISA while remaining within the NANOGrav constraints on the GW background. These results provide testable signatures of DM-driven SMBH formation, offering a pathway to probe hidden-sector physics through SMBH and GW observables.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dark matter and galaxy cross-correlations with the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory

The Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO) will be a ground-based Cherenkov telescope performing wide-sky surveys, ideal for anisotropy studies such as cross-correlations with tracers of the cosmic large-scale structure. Cross-correlations can shed light on high-energy γ -ray sources and potentially reveal exotic signals from particle dark matter. In this work, we investigate CTAO sensitivity to cross-correlation signals between γ -ray emission and galaxy distributions. We find that by using dense, low-redshift catalogs like 2 MASS, and for integration times around 50 hours, this technique achieves sensitivities to both annihilating and decaying dark matter signals that are competitive with those from dwarf galaxy and cluster analyses.

Pinetti, Elena [CCA, New York; Perimeter Inst. The↗

DOE OSTI2026

Gamma rays and gravitational waves from inelastic Higgs portal dark matter

We explore a simple and predictive dark matter scenario involving a complex scalar field, ϕ , coupled to the Higgs portal with no additional field content. In the UV, the field possesses a global U ( 1 ) symmetry which is broken by mass terms and Higgs portal interactions. In the mass basis, the complex field splits into a pair of real scalars with a small mass splitting (in analogy to pseudo-Dirac fermions), such that the Higgs portal acquires both diagonal and off-diagonal terms with respect to these eigenstates. In the parameter space where the off-diagonal interaction predominates, this scenario is safe from direct detection constraints. Moreover, this model provides a viable explanation for the longstanding Galactic Center γ -ray excess. Additionally, this model influences the Higgs potential in a way that could facilitate a strong first-order electroweak phase transition in the early Universe, potentially leading to a stochastic gravitational wave background that could fall within the reach of upcoming space-based detectors.

Hooper, Dan [Wisconsin U., Madison] (ORCID:0009000↗