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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Comparison of Ce( iv )/Th( iv )-alkynyl complexes and observation of a trans -influence ligand series for Ce( iv )

Organometallic cerium(iv) complexes have been challenging to isolate and characterize due to the strongly oxidizing nature of the cerium(iv) cation. Herein, we report two cerium(iv) alkynyl complexes, [Ce(TriNOx)(C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C-SiMe3)] (1-CeTMS) and [Ce(TriNOx)(C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C-Ph)] (1-CePh) (TriNOx3- = tris(2-tert-butylhydroxylaminato)benzylamine), that include terminal alkyne moieties. The isostructural thorium analogue [Th(TriNOx)(C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C-SiMe3)] (1-ThTMS) was also synthesized and compared with 1-CeTMS in bond distance, 13C-NMR spectra, vibrational spectra and electronic structure. The Ce-C bond distances were 2.501(3) Å for 1-CePh and 2.513(5) Å for 1-CeTMS on the shorter end of the few reported CeIV-C single bonds (2.478(3)-2.705(2) Å), possibly indicating significant Ce 5d- and 4f-orbital involvement. 13C-NMR spectroscopy was also consistent with Ce-C covalency, with significantly deshielded resonances ranging from 185-213 ppm. Such 13C-NMR shifts demonstrate a strong influence from spin-orbit coupling (SOC) effects, corroborated by computational studies. Raman analysis showed ν C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C stretching frequencies of 2000 cm-1 (1-CeTMS) and 2052 cm-1 (1-CePh), indicating the cerium(iv)-alkynyl interaction, compared to the parent HC[triple bond, length as m-dash]CPh (IR = 2105 cm-1 and Raman = 2104 cm-1). L3-edge X-ray absorption measurements revealed a predominant Ce(iv) electronic configuration, and magnetic measurements revealed temperature-independent paramagnetism. Electrochemical studies similarly revealed the electron donating ability of the alkynyl ligands, stronger than either fluoride or imido ligands for the Ce(iv)(TriNOx)-framework, with a cerium(iv/iii) reduction potential of E pc = -1.58 to -1.66 V vs. Fc/Fc+. Evidence for a trans-influence has been observed by evaluating a series including previously reported [CeIV(TriNOx)X]+/0 complexes with axial ligands X = THF, I-, Br-, Cl-, F-, -C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C-Ph, -C[triple bond, length as m-dash]C-SiMe3, -NH(3,5-(CF3)2-Ar), -OSiPh3, -N(M(L))(3,5-(CF3)2-Ar) [M(L) = Li(TMEDA), K(DME)2 or Cs(2,2,2-crypt)]. These data stand in contrast with previous reports of an inverse trans-influence at cerium(iv) and point to differences in involvement of cerium 4f- versus 5d-orbitals in the electronic structures of the complexes.

Yang, Qiaomu↗
DOE OSTI2025

Isolation of Ce( IV ) centered polyoxoalkoxide sandwich-type complexes allows comparison of metal–oxygen bond covalency

The new Ce III centered sandwich-type complex (TBA) 3 [Ce{W 4 O 13 (OMe) 4 MoNO} 2 ] is reported. The redox properties of this molecule, and its all-molybdenum analogue, (TBA) 3 [Ce{Mo 5 O 13 (OMe) 4 NO} 2 ], were investigated using cyclic voltammetry. The data reveals the presence of reversible Ce IV /Ce III redox couples at modest potentials. One electron oxidation of the complexes provides facile access to the corresponding Ce IV derivatives, which were fully characterized. 17 O NMR spectroscopy reveals that the chemical shifts of the oxygen nuclei directly bound to Ce IV are much higher than the corresponding signals in isostructural, diamagnetic, Zr IV , Hf IV , or Th IV centered complexes. Density functional theory (DFT) calculations indicate that the increase in chemical shift correlates with an increase in the covalency of the M IV –O bonds, illustrating that 17 O NMR spectroscopy is a powerful experimental tool for interrogating the nature of metal oxygen bonding in diamagnetic complexes.

Shiels, Dominic [Univ. of Rochester, NY (United St↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparison of the Arrhenius parameters between conventional hydrothermal and microwave-assisted synthesis methods for tin oxide nanoparticles

Microwave (MW) irradiation has emerged as a powerful tool for accelerating materials synthesis, yet the origins of its specific influence on reaction kinetics remain elusive. While multiple studies have attributed the observed enhancements in reaction rates under MW heating to reduced activation energies, other accounts have suggested modifications to the Arrhenius pre-exponential factor as the predominant cause. Distinguishing between these parameters in modern applications of MW processing in nanomaterials requires experimental approaches capable of resolving the dynamic and nuanced structural kinetics that govern MW-assisted chemistry. Here, we combine in-situ synchrotron X-ray total scattering with pair distribution function (PDF) analysis to track the structural evolution of SnO 2 nanoparticles synthesized via MW-assisted and conventional hydrothermal conditions. Avrami modeling and Arrhenius analysis suggest that although MW irradiation yields a higher apparent activation energy, the enhanced crystallization is better explained by a pre-exponential factor several orders of magnitude larger than that of conventional heating. These findings suggest that the MW field induces a higher frequency of successful molecular rearrangements rather than lowering the intrinsic activation barrier. The results contribute further insights clarifying the role of the applied MW field for materials design where MW-specific effects can be deliberately harnessed. Furthermore, this work presents a framework promoting the utility of in-situ PDF characterization coupled with kinetic analysis for developing more sophisticated descriptions of nanoscale transformations for MW-driven reaction kinetics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Scanning tunneling microscopy of ferrocenecarboxylic acid assemblies on Ag(111): a comparison to Au(111)

Scanning tunneling microscopy was used to investigate the arrangement of ferrocenecarboxylic acid (FcCOOH) monolayers on the Ag(111) surface. Four distinct structures were observed, none of which had previously been observed on other surfaces. Structural analysis indicates that these assemblies are primarily composed of dimers. VASP calculations support the molecular assignments of the monolayer structures, while ESI-MS experiments confirm that dimers are the predominant species in solution. Of particular note, the cyclic pentamers and aperiodic packing observed for FcCOOH on Au(111) were not observed, despite (1) the similarity of the Ag(111) and Au(111) surfaces in reactivity, flatness, and lattice constant, and (2) prior explanation of the Au(111) monolayer in terms of molecule–molecule interactions alone. It is clear that while the surface does not have a template structure, it has a significant influence on which structures are formed.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

The DEHVILS in the details: Type Ia supernova Hubble residual comparisons and mass step analysis in the near-infrared

Measurements of type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia) in the near-infrared (NIR) have been used both as an alternate path to cosmology compared to optical measurements and as a method of constraining key systematics for the larger optical studies. With the DEHVILS sample, the largest published NIR sample with consistent NIR coverage of maximum light across three NIR bands ( Y, J , and H ), we check three key systematics: (i) the reduction in Hubble residual scatter as compared to the optical, (ii) the measurement of a “mass step” or lack thereof and its implications, and (iii) the ability to distinguish between various dust models by analyzing slopes and correlations between Hubble residuals in the NIR and optical. We produce SN Ia simulations of the DEHVILS sample and find that it is harder to differentiate between various dust models than previously understood. Additionally, we find that fitting with the current SALT3-NIR model does not yield accurate wavelength-dependent stretch-luminosity correlations, and we propose a limited solution for this problem. From the data, we see that (i) the standard deviation of Hubble residual values from NIR bands treated as standard candles are 0.007–0.042 mag smaller than those in the optical, (ii) the NIR mass step is not constrainable with the current sample size of 47 SNe Ia from DEHVILS, and (iii) Hubble residuals in the NIR and optical are correlated in the data. We test a few variations on the number and combinations of filters and data samples, and we observe that none of our findings or conclusions are significantly impacted by these modifications.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
DOE OSTI2025

The persistent shadow of the supermassive black hole of M87. II. Model comparisons and theoretical interpretations

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observation of M87∗ in 2018 has revealed a ring with a diameter that is consistent with the 2017 observation. The brightest part of the ring is shifted to the southwest from the southeast. In this paper, we provide theoretical interpretations for the multi-epoch EHT observations for M87∗ by comparing a new general relativistic magnetohydrodynamics model image library with the EHT observations for M87∗ in both 2017 and 2018. The model images include aligned and tilted accretion with parameterized thermal and nonthermal synchrotron emission properties. The 2018 observation again shows that the spin vector of the M87∗ supermassive black hole is pointed away from Earth. A shift of the brightest part of the ring during the multi-epoch observations can naturally be explained by the turbulent nature of black hole accretion, which is supported by the fact that the more turbulent retrograde models can explain the multi-epoch observations better than the prograde models. The EHT data are inconsistent with the tilted models in our model image library. Assuming that the black hole spin axis and its large-scale jet direction are roughly aligned, we expect the brightest part of the ring to be most commonly observed 90 deg clockwise from the forward jet. This prediction can be statistically tested through future observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

The AGORA High-Resolution Galaxy Simulations Comparison Project

Context. Satellite galaxies experience multiple physical processes when interacting with their host halos, often leading to the quenching of star formation. In the Local Group, satellite quenching has been shown to be highly efficient, affecting nearly all satellites except the most massive ones. While recent surveys study Milky Way-analogs to assess how representative our Local Group is, the dominant physical mechanisms behind satellite quenching in Milky Way-mass halos remain under debate. Aims. We analyze satellite quenching within the same Milky Way-mass halo simulated using various widely used astrophysical codes, each using different hydrodynamic methods and implementing different supernovae feedback recipes. The goal is to determine whether quenched fractions, quenching timescales, and the dominant quenching mechanisms are consistent across codes or if they show sensitivity to the specific hydrodynamic method and supernovae feedback physics employed. Methods. We used a subset of high-resolution cosmological zoom-in simulations of a Milky Way-mass halo from the multiple-code AGORA CosmoRun suite. Our analysis focuses on comparing satellite quenching across the different models and against observational data. We also analyzed the dominant mechanisms driving satellite quenching in each model. Results. We find that the quenched fraction is consistent with the latest SAGA Survey results within its 1σ host-to-host scatter across all the models. Regarding quenching timescales, all the models reproduce the trend observed in the ELVES survey, Local Group observations, and previous simulations: The less massive the satellite, the shorter its quenching timescale. All of our models converge on the dominant quenching mechanisms: Strangulation halts cold gas accretion in all satellites, while ram pressure stripping is the predominant mechanism for gas removal, and it is particularly effective in satellites with M * <10 8 M ⊙ . Nevertheless, the efficiency of the stripping mechanisms differs among the codes, showing a strong sensitivity to the different supernovae feedback implementations and/or hydrodynamic methods employed.

Local Group↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparison of multi-stage air treatment process divided by the same temperature and enthalpy difference

The multi-stage air treatment system has been proposed recently, and lower grade chilled/hot water could be used and energy efficiency could be improved. However, it has not been studied which division method of air treatment processes has higher energy efficiency. In this study, the model to calculate the energy consumption of multi-stage air treatment process is introduced, and the effects of two division methods, i.e. multi-stage air treatment process divided by the same temperature difference (ST method) or same enthalpy difference (SE method) between inlet and outlet at each stage, under 9 different air inlet parameters in the 2-stage and 3-stage air treatment processes are analysed and compared. The results show that (1) the system energy consumption of the SE method is generally lower than that of the ST method; (2) there is generally a larger energy consumption reduction rate of SE method when the air relative humidity is 70% compared to relative humidity of 50% and 90%; (3) the difference between ST method and SE method is not great, so both methods can be used for the design of multi-stage treatment system although SE method is normally recommended.

Wang, Wentao↗
DOE OSTI2024

Probabilistic and maximum entropy modeling of chemical reaction systems: Characteristics and comparisons to mass action kinetic models

We demonstrate and characterize a first-principles approach to modeling the mass action dynamics of metabolism. Starting from a basic definition of entropy expressed as a multinomial probability density using Boltzmann probabilities with standard chemical potentials, we derive and compare the free energy dissipation and the entropy production rates. We express the relation between entropy production and the chemical master equation for modeling metabolism, which unifies chemical kinetics and chemical thermodynamics. Because prediction uncertainty with respect to parameter variability is frequently a concern with mass action models utilizing rate constants, we compare and contrast the maximum entropy model, which has its own set of rate parameters, to a population of standard mass action models in which the rate constants are randomly chosen. We show that a maximum entropy model is characterized by a high probability of free energy dissipation rate and likewise entropy production rate, relative to other models. We then characterize the variability of the maximum entropy model predictions with respect to uncertainties in parameters (standard free energies of formation) and with respect to ionic strengths typically found in a cell.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparison of Mg-based liquid metal ion sources for scalable focused-ion-implantation doping of GaN

We compare the suitability of various magnesium-based liquid metal alloy ion sources (LMAISs) for scalable focused-ion-beam (FIB) implantation doping of GaN. We consider GaMg, MgSO 4 $\bullet$7H 2 O, MgZn, AlMg, and AuMgSi alloys. Although issues of oxidation (GaMg), decomposition (MgSO 4 $\bullet$7H 2 O), and excessive vapor pressure (MgZn and AlMg) were encountered, the AuMgSi alloy LMAIS operating in a Wien-filtered FIB column emits all Mg isotopes in singly and doubly charged ionization states. We discuss the operating conditions to achieve <20 nm spot size Mg FIB implantation and present Mg depth profile data from time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry. We also provide insight into implantation damage and recovery based on cathodoluminescence spectroscopy before and after rapid thermal processing. Prospects for incorporating the Mg LMAIS into high-power electronic device fabrication are also discussed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Posterior comparison of model dynamics in several hybrid turbulence model forms

Hybrid turbulence models that can accurately reproduce unsteady three-dimensional flow physics across the entire range of grid scales and turbulence dynamics from Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS), through large-eddy simulation (LES), down to direct numerical simulations (DNS) are of increasing interest to the turbulence modeling community. However, despite decades of research and development, the basic tasks of eliminating poor-performing hybrid RANS-LES models and accelerating adoption of superior models through well-designed validation and verification have yet to occur. As a step in this direction, in this work we evaluate thirteen different hybrid RANS-LES models via systematic grid refinement of decaying homogeneous isotropic turbulence. We further derive a novel mathematical framework for assessing the energy partitioning dynamics of each Hybrid RANS-LES model, wherein model-to-model variations in energy partitioning can be interpreted as different feedback mechanisms operating on a low-dimensional nonlinear dynamical system. We found that model forms similar to the flow simulation methodology—also often termed very-large eddy simulation—are dynamically inconsistent with DNS at all resolutions. Additionally, we found a strong dynamical similarity in the feedback mechanisms of all models related to detached eddy simulation and partially averaged Navier–Stokes that is inherent to their general model forms.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

A comparison of probabilistic generative frameworks for molecular simulations

Generative artificial intelligence is now a widely used tool in molecular science. Despite the popularity of probabilistic generative models, numerical experiments benchmarking their performance on molecular data are lacking. Here, in this work, we introduce and explain several classes of generative models, broadly sorted into two categories: flow-based models and diffusion models. We select three representative models: neural spline flows, conditional flow matching, and denoising diffusion probabilistic models, and examine their accuracy, computational cost, and generation speed across datasets with tunable dimensionality, complexity, and modal asymmetry. Our findings are varied, with no one framework being the best for all purposes. In a nutshell, (i) neural spline flows do best at capturing mode asymmetry present in low-dimensional data, (ii) conditional flow matching outperforms other models for high-dimensional data with low complexity, and (iii) denoising diffusion probabilistic models appear the best for low-dimensional data with high complexity. Our datasets include a Gaussian mixture model and the dihedral torsion angle distribution of the Aib9 peptide, generated via a molecular dynamics simulation. We hope our taxonomy of probabilistic generative frameworks and numerical results may guide model selection for a wide range of molecular tasks.

Artificial intelligence↗
DOE OSTI2025

Comparison of laser-produced plasma spatio-temporal electron density evolution measured using interferometry with simulation results

Due to the difficulties associated with experimental measurements of laser-produced plasma (LPP) properties during the earliest stages of plasma evolution, radiation hydrodynamic codes are often used. However, although these codes have been extensively validated in the higher intensity regimes, validation at low to moderate intensities has been limited. In this study, the spatio-temporal electron density evolution in an LPP generated at moderate laser intensities and at various laser wavelengths was validated against the FLASH code for times up to 20 ns. The LPP was generated by focusing the fundamental and various harmonics radiation (1064, 532, and 266 nm) from a 6 ns full width half maximum Nd:YAG laser, at a laser intensity of 10 GW cm -2 , onto a copper target. The spatio-temporal density evolution of the expanding plasma was analyzed using Nomarski interferometry. Experimental measurements were found to be consistent with FLASH simulations, and the dependence of electron densities on wavelength was found to be in agreement with analytical models, varying as n e ∝ λ -0.7 . However, slight differences were noted in the widths and shape functions of the experimental and simulated electron density profiles.

2D fast imaging↗
DOE OSTI2026

Laser absorption measurements of temperature, pressure, CO, and CO 2 at near-MHz rates in post-detonation fireballs with comparison to synthetic measurements

A laser absorption spectroscopy (LAS) diagnostic was used to obtain measurements of temperature, pressure, CO, and CO 2 at 500 kHz or 1 MHz in post-detonation fireballs produced by hemispherical samples of pentaerythritol tetranitrate (PETN). A quantum-cascade laser was scanned over multiple CO absorption transitions near 2008.5 cm −1 at 1 MHz, while an interband-cascade laser was scanned over a CO 2 absorption transition near 2394.8 cm −1 at 500 kHz. Light from each laser was combined onto a single path and passed through a detonation chamber approximately 83 mm above the 12-mm diameter hemispherical PETN charge. The CO and CO 2 absorption signals were post-processed to obtain time histories of temperature, pressure, species column pressures (P CO L, P CO2 L), and species column mole fractions (X CO L, X CO2 L). Additionally, schlieren imaging was performed simultaneously at 500 kHz to aid interpretation of the LAS measurements. Experimental and synthetic (i.e., CFD based) LAS measurements were compared to evaluate the accuracy of the CFD model and its ability to model the turbulent afterburning of the detonation products in air. In general, the experimental measurements exhibit reasonable agreement with the synthetic measurements at early times; thereby supporting the accuracy of the CFD model. Periods of disagreement between experimental and synthetic measurements at later times are most likely due to a reflected shock and detonator cavity jetting, which are not accounted for in the CFD model.

Schwartz, Charles J. [Purdue Univ., West Lafayette↗
DOE OSTI2026

Comparison of time-resolved photoluminescence and deep-level transient spectroscopy defect evaluations in an InAs nBn detector subjected to in situ and ex situ 63 MeV proton irradiation

Deep-level transient spectroscopy and temperature-dependent time-resolved photoluminescence experiments are performed on identical InAs nBn photodetector structures as a function of in situ and ex situ 63 MeV proton irradiation to assess their generation and recombination dynamics. Pre-irradiation, the n-type InAs absorbing region, exhibits a steadily increasing minority carrier lifetime with increasing temperature, providing evidence that excited minority carriers may be recombining via shallow defect levels. From deep-level transient spectroscopy, two features are found between 10 and 275 K: a low temperature broad “shoulder,” which suggests emission from multiple shallow electron defect levels with energies <29 meV and a high temperature minimum occurring at ∼230 K with an activation energy of 539 meV, which suggests a defect in the barrier layer in the device. Two similar nBn detectors are then subjected to 63 MeV proton irradiation in step doses and measured between steps. One experiment is performed in situ with an nBn held at ∼10 K during dosing, and the other experiment is performed ex situ with a similar nBn held at room temperature for dosing. The ex situ dosing results in an evaluation of the defect introduction rate that is three to four times lower than in situ due to partial annealing of the proton-induced displacement damage at room temperature. The results of these two experiments are then compared with the dose-dependent recombination rate analysis, resulting in an estimated recombination defect cross section of 1.6 × 10 −13 cm 2 for the shallow shoulder defect.

Carrasco, Rigo A. [Air Force Research Laboratory (↗
DOE OSTI2025

New K-feldspar Pb isotope results for Mesozoic arc crust in the Pacific Northwest, U.S.A. and Canada: comparison with the Mojave-Salinia province of southern California and Implications for Baja-BC

Measurements of lead isotopic compositions in detrital K-feldspar have been increasingly used as a tool to assess sediment provenance. We compiled a database of previously published Pb isotope data from 700 bedrock K-feldspar samples and 1,423 age-corrected bedrock whole rock samples from western North American igneous and metamorphic bodies. Additionally, we report 66 new K-feldspar Pb isotope data for plutons throughout the Pacific Northwest region of the United States and British Columbia. Results show that the Pb isotope values of plutonic K-feldspar depend on the isotopically juvenile or evolved nature of underlying crust. Samples obtained from the mid Cretaceous – mid Eocene Coast Plutonic Complex, North Cascades, and Intermontane superterrane that occur west of the initial 87 Sr/ 86 Sr (Sri) = 0.706 isopleth exhibit a highly restricted 207 Pb/ 206 Pb and 208 Pb/ 206 Pb values centred upon 0.83 and 2.03, respectively. Conversely, rocks overlying older continental crust further east such as the Middle Jurassic – Late Cretaceous Omineca crystalline belt, Idaho batholith, and Boulder Batholith exhibit far greater variation of Pb isotope values that parallel the 100 Ma isochron calculated from a two-stage Pb evolution model. We demonstrate that Pb isotopic results from the Idaho and Boulder Batholith region can be used to define distinctive subregions for Pb isotopic provenance analysis, and compare these signatures to the Mojave-Salinian batholith of southern California and western Arizona, as these two areas have previously been proposed as source regions for extraregional sediment that was deposited within the Nanaimo Basin during the Campanian – Maastrichtian. Future Pb isotopic analysis of detrital K-feldspar from the Nanaimo Basin of southwestern British Columbia may effectively distinguish between potential extraregional sources separated by thousands of kilometres.

Coast Plutonic Complex↗
DOE OSTI2024

Numerical Simulation and Experimental Comparison of System Analysis Module 1D Mixing Model for Cold Shock Transients in the Gallium Thermal-Hydraulic Mixing Facility

Abstract Liquid metals are being investigated as coolants in many advanced reactor designs because of their high thermal conductivity and effectiveness at high temperatures. However, they often pose challenges to reactor operation and safety because of the complex thermal mixing and stratification in the plenum of pool-type reactor designs. The advanced system analysis code System Analysis Module (SAM) currently under development at Argonne National Laboratory aims to develop and implement thermal mixing models to accurately capture these complex thermal fluid behaviors. In this study, the SAM thermal mixing model was compared against experimental data from the Gallium Thermal-Hydraulic Experiment facility, a scaled liquid metal test facility that uses gallium as a surrogate fluid to investigate the stratification and thermal mixing of low-Prandtl-number fluids in the upper plenum of a liquid metal-cooled reactor. Two cold shock transient cases were used: one with stable stratified flow (Ri = 32) and one with stronger thermal mixing (Ri = 0.5). The resultant temperatures were then compared with the experimental temperatures over the entire plenum to assess the ability of the mixing models to capture the thermal behavior and to better correspond mixing parameters to various flow scenarios. Generally, the zero-dimensional mixing model was more capable of capturing the bulk temperature of the component modeled assuming that an accurate mass flow rate was provided, but it was inherently unable to capture thermal gradients in space. The one-dimensional mixing model was capable of capturing that the thermal gradients provided accurate selection of the mixing coefficients. Further, the temperature at the outlet junction was compared over time for each of the mixing models with the recorded experimental temperature. The implemented mixing models demonstrated the ability to effectively capture the overall thermal behavior for stronger mixing scenarios but struggled with more stably stratified flows. It was found that a system analysis code's covering of the entire range of different operating conditions still remains a challenging task, and it is suggested that further model and closure improvements are necessary to accurately capture complex thermal mixing and stratification phenomena.

stratification↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Practical Comparison of Data-Driven Prognostics Methods for Energy Systems

This study explores data-driven prognostics for nuclear power plant (NPP) condensers, focusing on tube fouling. We utilized the Asherah nuclear power plant simulator (ANS) to compare four methods: Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Fully Connected Neural Network (FCNN), and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM). By simulating various fouling scenarios in the ANS, we generated data with different degradation rates under transient operations. The models were trained and tested on these data, with performance evaluated visually and numerically including uncertainty assessment. The LSTM model excelled, exhibiting minimal prediction noise and the most accurate remaining useful life estimates across all degradation levels. Its ability to capture long-term dependencies and produce cleaner outputs makes it a strong candidate, although accurate training data across the entire component lifespan are crucial. The RF model emerged as a robust alternative, providing reliable predictions with high confidence. The FCNN and SVR models, while less effective overall, showed potential under specific conditions. FCNN offers a less complex alternative to LSTM and might benefit from larger datasets. SVR excels in precision when the quality of the training data is high. Furthermore, this study highlights the operational benefits of advanced prognostics in the energy sector and emphasizes the need for further research in NPP condenser health management through real-life experiments.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗