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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Machine learning informed rational design of high entropy double perovskite oxide universal air/steam electrodes for solid oxide electrochemical cells

Due to their high efficiency and versatility, solid oxide electrochemical cells (SOCs) are poised to play a significant role in future energy conversion and storage applications. In recent years, SOCs have bifurcated into two distinct categories: traditional oxygen-ion conducting SOCs that typically operate from ∼650—850 °C and the more recent proton-conducting ceramic (PCC) SOCs that typically operate from ∼400—650 °C. Current performance and lifetime of both oxygen-ion conducting SOCs and PCCs is primarily limited by the air/steam electrode, which facilitates the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) during fuel cell operation and must also facilitate the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) during electrolysis operation. Here, we present a newly designed high-entropy double perovskite oxide suitable as a universal ORR/OER electrode for both oxygen-ion conducting SOCs and PCCs. Machine learning methods are applied to identify chemical descriptors for highly catalytic high-entropy double perovskite oxides (AA’B 2 O 6 ) across a large compositional space. Based on the machine-learning guidance, we ultimately converge on Ba 0.9 Cs 0.1 (Ca 0.2 Gd 0.2 La 0.2 Pr 0.2 Sr 0.2 )Co 1.5 Fe 0.5 O 6 (CsBaHEO) as a universal air/steam electrode. Structure stabilization is accomplished by an equimolar five-cation high-entropy composition on the A’-site, while cesium substitution on the A-site enhances the electrical conductivity and leads to a higher oxygen vacancy concentration. This material exhibits versatility and high performance in reversible oxygen-ion SOCs, reversible PCCs, and also large-scale tubular PCCs. For example, the CsBaHEO-based PCC reaches 1018 mW∙cm −2 at 600°C, while a large-scale tubular PCC using CsBaHEO for electrolysis achieves a hydrogen production rate of 21.314 ML∙min −1 at 600 °C.

Cell↗
DOE OSTI2021

Light and Airy: A Simple Solution for Relativistic Quantum Acceleration Radiation

We study the quantum radiation of particle production by vacuum from an ultra-relativistic moving mirror (dynamical Casimir effect) solution that allows (possibly for the first time) analytically calculable time evolution of particle creation and an Airy particle spectral distribution. The reality of the beta Bogoliubov coefficients is responsible for the simplicity, and the mirror is asymptotically inertial at the speed of light, with finite energy production. We also discuss general relations regarding negative energy flux, the transformation to the 1-D Schrödinger equation, and the incompleteness of entanglement entropy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Proton-rich Production of Lanthanides: The vi Process

The astrophysical origin of the lanthanides is an open question in nuclear astrophysics. Besides the widely studied s, i, and r processes in moderately to strongly neutron-rich environments, an intriguing alternative site for lanthanide production could in fact be robustly proton-rich matter outflows from core-collapse supernovae under specific conditions—in particular, high-entropy winds with enhanced neutrino luminosity and fast dynamical timescales. In this environment, excess protons present after charged-particle reactions have ceased can continue to be converted to neutrons by (anti)neutrino interactions, producing a neutron-capture reaction flow up to A ∼ 200. This scenario, christened the νi process in a recent paper, has previously been discussed as a possibility. Here, we examine the prospects for the νi process through the lenses of stellar abundance patterns, bolometric light curves, and galactic chemical evolution models, with a particular focus on hypernovae as candidate sites. We identify specific lanthanide signatures for which the νi process can provide a credible supplement to the r/i processes.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterizing secondary neutrons at BLIP for isotope production applications

Fast secondary neutrons created at the Brookhaven Linac Isotope Producer (BLIP) facility following proton irradiation were characterized by the foil activation technique and compared with FLUKA Monte Carlo simulations. The FLUKA-simulated neutron flux was spectrally adjusted following the maximum entropy formalism using the International Reactor Dosimetry and Fusion File (IRDFF-II), with predictions agreeing with experimental measurements to within 9 % following the adjustment procedure. Here, a multitude of degrader configurations were simulated to assess the feasibility of improving the fast (E n > 20 MeV) secondary neutron yield at the proposed neutron target position (“N-slot”). A configuration where the N-slot is closest to the proton degrader produced the highest fast neutron yield, with tungsten degraders achieving the best performance. Assuming the optimized target-degrader configuration proposed in this work, we discuss potential isotope production opportunities with secondary neutrons. In most cases the yields are in the order of several mCi.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Calculated solvent reorganization entropies, free energies, and fluctuations of the energy gaps for intramolecular electron transfer and excitation of the solvatochromic dye B30

Intramolecular electron transfer between two biphenyl groups linked by an androstane spacer and excitation of the pyridinium-N-phenolate betaine dye B30 to the first excited singlet state are studied by quantum/classical molecular-dynamics simulations at temperatures between 150 and 300 K in solvents with a range of polarities. Temperature dependences of the solvent reorganization energies, free energies, entropies, and the inhomogeneous broadening of B30’s absorption band are examined. The variances of fluctuations of the energy gap between the reactant and product states do not have the direct proportionality to temperature that often is assumed to hold. An explanation for the observations is suggested.

Chemistry↗
NASA NTRS2002

Diurnal Cycle of Convection in the East Pacific ITCZ during EPIC-2001

During the last three weeks of September 2001, the EPIC-2001 intensive field campaign focused on studies of deep convection in the ITCZ over the Mexican warm pool region (10N, 95W) of the East Pacific. This study focuses on the pronounced observed diurnal cycle of environmental and convective parameters within the experiment domain. Data from three primary sources are examined: the R/V Ronald H. Brown C-band weather radar, 4-hourly soundings from the Brown and the Global Atmospherics, Inc. National Lightning Detection Network (long range product). Satellite data from TRMM, GOES and OV-1 are also used. The domain boundary layer shows a robust daily evolution of moist enthalpy (as reflect by equivalent potential temperature, theta-e, or wet bulb potential temperature, theta-w), with contributions from changes in both dry and moist entropy. Peak theta-w is found after local nightfall; the average diurnal range of theta-w is approximately 1 deg C. A composite diurnal cycle of convective properties was derived from the C-band volume scans, sampled continuously through the experiment at 10 minute updates. Products derived from the volumetric data include a surface PPI, 15 and 30 dBZ echo top height, vertically integrated liquid, and 6 km (mixed phase region) reflectivity CAPPIs. For almost all products, the parameter means showed virtually no diurnal cycle. However, for the upper-level products, the parameter spectra showed a clear peak in the occurrence of deep/vigorous convection (the "tail end of the distribution") between 7-9 UTC (1-3 AM local), while overall frequency of occurrence peaked later, from 12-15 UTC (6-9 AM local). This represents a daily "outbreak" of isolated deep cells a couple of hours after sunset and subsequent growth, organization and decay through the nighttime hours. The coherence of the diurnal cycle of the convective spectrum is impressive given the wide variety of convective organization observed during the experiment, and given the modulation by passage of 3-5 day easterly waves. While earlier satellite OLR composites suggested an offshore coastal migration of storms into the domain at night, examination of the 150 km and 300 km range radar products showed little evidence of such organization; almost all convection developed "in-place" within the analysis domain. Consistent with the diurnal thermodynamic and microphysical evolution, a clear cycle in cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning occurrence was observed. The local CG diurnal cycle is significantly stronger than the satellite-derived tropical ocean diurnal cycle of total (IC+CG) lightning. Flash rates of 3-4 fl/min were often visually observed after nightfall; these are fairly 'healthy' flash rates for tropical ocean storms, and the domain was qualitatively noted to be unusually lightning-productive by the R/V Brown crew (also consistent with satellite-based climatologies).

Boccippio, Dennis J.↗
DOE OSTI2023

New High-Entropy Perovskite Oxides with Increased Reducibility and Stability for Thermochemical Hydrogen Generation

This project aims to design, synthesize, and test a transformative class of High-Entropy Perovskite Oxides (HEPOs) as redox oxides to enable thermochemical hydrogen generation with improved stability, kinetics, and efficiency. These developed HEPOs are expected to demonstrate improved kinetics with oxygen surface exchange coefficient ( k > 7.5×10 -4 cm/s) in Budget Period (BP) 1, retain its structural stability in a broad range of oxygen non-stoichiometry (Δδ > 0.15) at a low operating reduction temperature of T red < 1400°C in BP 2, and deliver a H 2 yield of over 400 µmol per gram of oxide and high stability with less than 20% degradation after at least 50 cycles in BP 3. This project is feasible due to the unique thermodynamic properties (simultaneously increased reducibility and phase stability) and kinetic characters (stability against particle coarsening and potentially enhanced oxygen transport and surface reaction kinetics) of such HEPOs, and it is enabled by a unique active learning computational design approach. Computational studies have been conducted to investigate the oxygen vacancy formation in complex perovskite systems. * Accurate prediction of V O .. concentration with disordered A-site cations in Fe-based high-entropy perovskite oxides * Combined MC/DFT computation elucidates the mechanism of Co preference on the redox due to the strain introduced by local distortion. In this project, we explored a large number (~150) of perovskite compositions, which are listed in Tables 2 – 4). * All perovskite specimens have been synthesized through a high-throughput high-energy ball milling process, followed by the conventional sintering process. * XRD, SEM/EDS and TGA were performed to confirm the crystal structure, phase homogeneity and oxygen non-stoichiometry for compositionally complex perovskite oxides (CCPOs). * 110 compositions show single-phase from XRD * Unusual aliovalent doping effects in medium-entropy perovskite compositions. * V-shape relation between Δδ vs. x (La 1-x Sr x )(Mn 1/3 Fe 1/3 Ti 1/3 )O 3 * The highest reported hydrogen production for the CCPOs made in this project ( T re = 1350 ºC 30 min, T Ox = 1100 ºC 30 min) * B-site mixing (La 0.8 Sr 0.2 )(Mn 0.2 Fe 0.2 Co 0.4 Al 0.2 )O 3 : 89.97 ± 2.73 mmol H2 /mol oxide (395 ± 10 μmol/g oxide ) (i) No phase transformation during reactions when Co molar ratio is less than 61% (ii) Balance between intrinsic kinetics (oxygen surface exchange) and thermodynamics (oxygen non-stoichiometry) (iii) Preference of Co identified by in-situ XPS * A-site mixing (La 1/6 Pr 1/6 Nd 1/6 Gd 1/6 Ba 1/6 Sr1/6)MnO 3 : 98.48 mmol H2 /mol oxid e (~415 μmol/g oxide )

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Long-Term Creep Behavior of a CoCrFeNi Medium-Entropy Alloy

We report that current research shows that high-entropy alloys (HEAs) can offer superior oxidation resistance compared to more traditional austenitic stainless steels with equivalent tensile mechanical performance. While many reports have been published on creep of CoCrFeNiMn, few focus on the CoCrFeNi family of low to medium entropy alloys. In this manuscript, uniaxial tensile creep test results for more than 46,000 accumulated hours are presented on the equiatomic CoCrFeNi alloy. The alloy was manufactured at NETL using a vacuum induction melt solidification approach with a computationally designed homogenization cycle. After completing the homogenization cycle, the ingot was first hot forged and then hot rolled into 10 mm thick plate, a product form that is relevant to many industries. Creep tests were performed in the temperature range of 600-650 °C using applied stresses from 120 to 189 MPa. This study builds upon previous results on the CoCrFeNiMn family of high-entropy alloys and offers a modicum of clarification about performance compared to small button melts by using ASTM standard test procedures and mechanical test specimens. The apparent creep activation energy and creep stress exponent were similar to those for CoCrFe medium-entropy and CoCrFeNiMn high-entropy alloys. The post-test creep microstructure showed some Cr segregation, which has also been noted for other CoCrFe alloys. The CoCrFeNi alloy also presents a double minimum or two minimum creep rate phenomena.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Entanglement and many-body effects in collective neutrino oscillations

Collective neutrino oscillations play a crucial role in transporting lepton flavor in astrophysical settings, such as supernovae, where the neutrino density is large. In this regime, neutrino-neutrino interactions are important and simulations in the mean-field approximation show evidence for collective oscillations occurring at timescales much shorter than those associated with vacuum oscillations. In this work, we study the out-of-equilibrium dynamics of a corresponding spin model using matrix product states and show how collective bipolar oscillations can be triggered by many-body correlations if appropriate initial conditions are present. We find entanglement entropies scaling at most logarithmically in the system size suggesting that classical tensor network methods could be efficient in describing collective neutrino dynamics more generally. These observation provide a clear path forward, not only to increase the accuracy of current simulations, but also to elucidate the mechanism behind collective flavor oscillations without resorting to the mean-field approximation.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2025

LASSO for CALPHAD Model Selection Enables Data-Efficient Thermodynamic Modeling: An Application in Thermochemical Hydrogen Production Materials

Phenomenological CALPHAD (CALculation of PHAse Diagrams) models, widely used for multicomponent materials, often contain a considerable number of parameters and require fitting using data from a relatively small number of experimental measurements or theoretical calculations. Sometimes these parameters are introduced for the purpose of improving model fits but without clear physical justification, which leads to overparametrized models with poor generalization performance. Automated approaches for optimal model selection based on the available data therefore become critical. Here, in this work, a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based approach is developed for model selection by leveraging the linearity of the CALPHAD model with respect to its parameters to convert the model selection and fitting to a LASSO minimization problem. We demonstrate its utility for thermodynamic modeling of thermochemical hydrogen (TCH) production materials using lanthanum strontium manganite (LSM) as an example. Various TCH-relevant properties, including oxygen stoichiometry as a function of oxygen partial pressure, enthalpy of reduction, and entropy of reduction, are successfully predicted with reasonable accuracy using a minimal set of model parameters. Importantly, the model selection and fitting involve minimal human decision; it can therefore be applied to high-throughput DFT defect calculations and yield efficient workflows for TCH material modeling and optimization.

CALPHAD↗
DOE OSTI2022

Optimization of artificial viscosity in production codes based on Gaussian Regression surrogate models

To accurately model flows with shock waves using staggered-grid Lagrangian hydrodynamics, artificial viscosity has to be introduced to convert kinetic energy into internal energy, thereby increasing the entropy across shocks. Determining the appropriate strength of the artificial viscosity is an art and strongly depends on the particular problem and experience of the researcher. The objective of this study is to pose the problem of finding the appropriate strength of artificial viscosity as an optimization problem and solve this problem using machine learning (ML) tools, specifically using surrogate models based on Gaussian Process regression and Bayesian analysis. We describe the optimization method and discuss various practical details of its implementation. The shock-containing problems for which we apply this method all have been implemented in the LANL code FLAG. First, we apply ML to find optimal values to isolated shock problems of different strengths. Second, we apply ML to optimize viscosity for a 1D propagating detonation problem based on Zel’dovich-von Neumann-Doring (ZND) detonation theory using a reactive burn model. We compare results for default (currently used values in FLAG) and optimized values of artificial viscosity for these problems demonstrating the potential for significant improvement in the accuracy of computations.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Impact of Synthetic Parameters on Structure and Electrochemistry of High-Entropy Layered Oxide LiNi 0.2 Co 0.2 Mn 0.2 Al 0.2 Fe 0.2 O 2

Here, this study explored a high-entropy layered oxide (HELO), LiNi 0.2 Co 0.2 Mn 0.2 Al 0.2 Fe 0.2 O 2 , prepared by coprecipitation followed by heat treatment. Coprecipitation yielded a kinetically favored product, and the subsequent heat treatment under various temperatures and times allowed tuning the material toward more thermodynamically favored structures. Refinement of X-ray powder diffraction (XRD) revealed that after 450 °C treatment, ~12% of the Ni 2+ in the structure was located within the lithium cation layer. After heat treatment at 600, 700, and 800 °C, there was a continued decrease of Ni 2+ in the lithium cation layer to 9.3, 6.3, and 3.7%, respectively. Longer heat treatment times at 800 °C decreased the level to 2.5%. Electrochemical behavior was evaluated by cyclic voltammetry, galvanostatic cycling, rate capability testing, and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy, where increased loaded voltage, functional capacity, rate capability, and decreased impedance were observed for samples treated at higher temperatures with lower cation mixing. X-ray absorption near edge spectroscopy (XANES) data indicated that the redox activity of Ni and Co was dominant in the electrochemistry, while the participation of Mn or Fe was minimal. The level of Ni oxidation state change between charge and discharge related to the heat treatment temperature where the samples with high cation mixing showed lower capacity consistent with some Ni 3+ in the transition metal layer inaccessible for electron transfer. Longer heat treatment times at 800 °C did not continue to provide a benefit in electrochemical function even with some additional reduction in cation mixing.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
NASA NTRS2000

On the Spatial Distribution of High Velocity Al-26 Near the Galactic Center

We present results of simulations of the distribution of 1809 keV radiation from the decay of Al-26 in the Galaxy. Recent observations of this emission line using the Gamma Ray Imaging Spectrometer (GRIS) have indicated that the bulk of the AL-26 must have a velocity of approx. 500 km/ s. We have previously shown that a velocity this large could be maintained over the 10(exp 6) year lifetime of the Al-26 if it is trapped in dust grains that are reaccelerated periodically in the ISM. Here we investigate whether a dust grain velocity of approx. 500 km/ s will produce a distribution of 1809 keV emission in latitude that is consistent with the narrow distribution seen by COMPTEL. We find that dust grain velocities in the range 275 - 1000 km/ s are able to reproduce the COMPTEL 1809 keV emission maps reconstructed using the Richardson-Lucy and Maximum Entropy image reconstruction methods while the emission map reconstructed using the Multiresolution Regularized Expectation Maximization algorithm is not well fit by any of our models. The Al-26 production rate that is needed to reproduce the observed 1809 keV intensity yields in a Galactic mass of Al-26 of approx. 1.5 - 2 solar mass which is in good agreement with both other observations and theoretical production rates.

Sturner, Steven J.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Verification of Viscous Goal-Based Anisotropic Mesh Adaptation

Adaptive unstructured mesh techniques have a limited, but growing impact on production analysis workflows where the control of discretization error is critical to obtaining reliable simulation results. Recent progress has matured a number of independent implementations of flow solvers, anisotropic metric construction methods, and anisotropic mesh adaptation mechanics. A key ingredient for the broader acceptance of unstructured mesh adaptation is the verification of these implementations. Anisotropic metric construction methods are evaluated with analytically defined primal fields and the corresponding entropy variables as adjoint fields. This allows the comparison of different metric formulations and different implementations of the same formulation without the complications of a flow and adjoint solution method. The convergence of the output associated with the entropy variable adjoint is studied for mesh adaptation to these fields and a manufactured solution. Mesh adapted drag output is studied for two simple wings in compressible laminar flow to show fine-mesh convergence of multiple metric construction methods to less than a single drag count. The documentation of these verification exercises helps to prepare these goal-based methods for routine use in more complex simulations for production workflows.

mesh adaptation↗
DOE OSTI2022

Product specific thermal degradation kinetics of bisphenol F epoxy in inert and oxidative atmospheres using evolved gas analysis–mass spectrometry

Knowledge of the degradation kinetics for polymer materials is important for understanding thermal stability. In this study, evolved gas analysis–mass spectrometry and pyrolysis gas-chromatography-mass spectrometry were evaluated for the potential to deliver additional insight into thermal degradation kinetics of diglycidal ether of bisphenol F (DGEBF) epoxy thermoset under inert and oxidative atmospheres. Degradation products of selected precursor ions were evaluated for their uniqueness to the specific precursor using extracted ion thermographs. Unique mass peaks, solely attributed to a single reaction pathway of a specific product, were determined from extracted ion thermographs and used to determine both activation energy (E a ) and pre-exponential factors for the specific primary reaction pathways. These primary reaction pathways for DGEBF epoxy degradation were then evaluated in the context of transition state theory (TST) and related transition state enthalpies (ΔH ‡ ) and entropies (ΔS ‡ ) of activation to further elucidate the degradation process. It was determined under pyrolysis conditions, as suggested by the E a , the formation of bisphenol F monomer was the rate-limiting step toward the formation of xanthene and phenol. In contrast, under thermo-oxidative conditions, reactions involving oxygen containing species were identified as the rate-limiting step for all observed products based on the large negative ΔS ‡ calculated from TST. This work demonstrates a powerful combination of technique and theory that can provide new insight into the degradation of polymer materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

High entropy alloys as catalysts: A focused review

A brief literature review of recent experimental and computational efforts on the use of high entropy alloys (HEAs) as catalysts is presented, while also sharing some perspectives and future insights. To fully broach the vast compositional possibilities of HEA materials, integrating computational modeling with high-throughput experimental synthesis and validation is necessary to accelerate their design and development. Once identified, specific HEAs can be a class of materials for the next generation of catalysts when addressing global challenges related to energy independence, commodity chemical production, environmental remediation, abating emissions, and modernized domestic supply chain resilience.

42 - ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Formation of Phenanthrene via Recombination of Indenyl and Cyclopentadienyl Radicals: A Theoretical Study

This work presents quantum chemical G3(MP2,CC)//B2PLYPD3/6-311G(d,p) calculations of the potential energy surface for the indenyl (C 9 H 7 ) + cyclopentadienyl (C 5 H 5 ) reaction followed by unimolecular decomposition of the C 14 H 11 radicals formed as the primary products, as well as the Rice–Ramsperger–Kassel–Marcus master equation (RRKM-ME) calculations to predict temperature- and pressure-dependent reaction rate constants and product branching ratios. The reaction begins with the barrierless recombination of indenyl and cyclopentadienyl forming a C 14 H 12 molecule with a new C–C bond connecting two five-membered rings, which subsequently dissociates to C 14 H 11 radicals by H losses. The primary products of the C 9 H 7 + C 5 H 5 → C 14 H 11 + H reaction can directly decompose by another H loss to benzofulvalene, and this pathway is most favorable in terms of the entropy factor and hence is preferable at higher temperatures. Otherwise, the initial C 14 H 11 isomers can undergo significant structural rearrangements before eliminating an H atom and producing phenanthrene, anthracene, or benzoazulenes, among which the formation of phenanthrene via the “spiran” pathway is clearly preferred. The calculated barriers along the computed favorable dissociation pathways are relatively low, in the ~30–40 kcal/mol range, making the C 14 H 11 radicals unstable at temperatures above 1000–1250 K at 1 atm. The results of RRKM-ME calculations show that, under typical combustion conditions, the decomposition of the C 14 H 11 radicals predominantly leads to benzofulvalene. However, the latter can be rapidly converted to phenanthrene via H-assisted isomerization with the rate constant for the benzofulvalene + H → phenanthrene + H reaction being close to 10 –11 cm 3 molecule –1 s –1 at 1000–1500 K and 1 atm. Here, the results provide further support for the hypothesis that recombination of two π radicals containing five-membered rings can lead to a growth of PAH with the formation of two fused six-membered rings, but the reaction mechanism may not be direct and is likely to involve two consecutive H atom losses leading to a fulvalene-like product, with subsequent H-assisted isomerization of the latter to a benzenoid PAH.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Deforestation reshapes land-surface energy-flux partitioning

Land-use and land-cover change significantly modify local land-surface characteristics and water/energy exchanges, which can lead to atmospheric circulation and regional climate changes. In particular, deforestation accounts for a large portion of global land-use changes, which transforms forests into other land cover types, such as croplands and grazing lands. Many previous efforts have focused on observing and modeling land–atmosphere–water/energy fluxes to investigate land–atmosphere coupling induced by deforestation. However, interpreting land–atmosphere–water/energy-flux responses to deforestation is often complicated by the concurrent impacts from shifts in land-surface properties versus background atmospheric forcings. In this study, we used 29 paired FLUXNET sites, to improve understanding of how deforested land surfaces drive changes in surface-energy-flux partitioning. Each paired sites included an intact forested and non-forested site that had similar background climate. We employed transfer entropy, a method based on information theory, to diagnose directional controls between coupling variables, and identify nonlinear cause–effect relationships. Transfer entropy is a powerful tool to detective causal relationships in nonlinear and asynchronous systems. The paired eddy covariance flux measurements showed consistent and strong information flows from vegetation activity (gross primary productivity (GPP)) and physical climate (e.g. shortwave radiation, air temperature) to evaporative fraction (EF) over both non-forested and forested land surfaces. More importantly, the information transfers from radiation, precipitation, and GPP to EF were significantly reduced at non-forested sites, compared to forested sites. We then applied these observationally constrained metrics as benchmarks to evaluate the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) land model (ELM). ELM predicted vegetation controls on EF relatively well, but underpredicted climate factors on EF, indicating model deficiencies in describing the relationships between atmospheric state and surface fluxes. Moreover, changes in controls on surface energy flux partitioning due to deforestation were not detected in the model. We highlight the need for benchmarking model simulated surface-energy fluxes and the corresponding causal relationships against those of observations, to improve our understanding of model predictability on how deforestation reshapes land surface energy fluxes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗