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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Measurement of correlated charge noise in superconducting qubits at an underground facility

The charge environment of superconducting qubits may be studied through the introduction of controlled, quantified amounts of ionizing radiation. We measure space- and time-correlated charge jumps on a four-qubit device, operating 107 meters below the Earth’s surface in a low-radiation, cryogenic facility designed for the characterization of low-threshold particle detectors. The rock overburden of this facility reduces the cosmic ray muon flux by over 99% compared to laboratories at sea level. Combined with 4π coverage of a movable lead shield, this facility enables quantifiable control over the flux of ionizing radiation on the qubit device. Long-time-series charge tomography measurements on these weakly charge-sensitive qubits capture discontinuous jumps in the induced charge on the qubit islands, corresponding to the interaction of ionizing radiation with the qubit substrate. The rate of these charge jumps scales with the flux of ionizing radiation on the qubit package, as characterized by a series of independent measurements on another energy-resolving detector operating simultaneously in the same cryostat with the qubits. Using lead shielding, we achieve a minimum charge jump rate of $0.19^{+0.04}_{-0.03}$ mHz, almost an order of magnitude lower than that measured in surface tests, but a factor of roughly seven higher than expected based on reduction of ambient gammas alone. We operate four qubits for over 22 consecutive hours with zero correlated charge jumps at length scales above three millimeters.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2024

The OSIRIS-REx Sample Return Capsule re-entry: A coordinated seismo-acoustic observational campaign for the study of meteor phenomena

Objects entering Earth’s atmosphere at hypersonic velocities may generate powerful acoustic waves. Depending on atmospheric conditions and acoustic propagation paths, they may be captured using ground or balloon-borne microbarometers and microphones. Impacts into the Earth’s atmosphere by asteroids in a meter-size range are sporadic and unannounced, and thus, well-documented scientific observations of asteroids are rare and generally happen by chance. Arriving from interplanetary space at hypervelocity, spacecraft are considered analogues for low velocity meteoroids and asteroids impacting the Earth’s atmosphere, and as such provide unprecedented and unique opportunity to carry out planned observational campaigns and perform detailed studies of meteor phenomena. However, since the end of the Apollo era, only four instances of a hypersonic re-entry of an artificial body from interplanetary space with an incident speed of 11-12 km/s have been observed and studied. These were the Sample Return Capsules (SRCs) that brought physical samples of extraterrestrial material back to Earth (Genesis, Stardust, Hayabusa 1, Hayabusa 2). These re-entries were also detected by infrasound and/or seismic sensors. The next opportunity to observe an artificial meteor will be on 24 September 2023 with the re-entry of NASA’s OSIRIS-REx SRC that will bring samples of the carbonaceous near-Earth asteroid Bennu. The re-entry consists of several flight phases, including hypersonic and supersonic, providing a unique opportunity to observe these by infrasound and seismic sensors. We will discuss observational campaign efforts aimed to capture geophysical signals generated by the OSIRIS-REx SRC re-entry. This campaign utilizes an unparalleled number of instruments, both ground and airborne, strategically positioned in the immediate and extended region around the projected re-entry trajectory to maximize the scientific output.

47 - OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

The effect of rare-earth substitution on the Debye temperature of inorganic phosphors

In the quest to predict photoluminescent efficiency in rare-earth substituted inorganic phosphors, research has shown that materials consisting of ordered, rigid crystal structures tend to possess the highest photoluminescent quantum yields. A compound's Debye temperature (Θ D ), which can be calculated using ab initio calculations, is an ideal proxy for quantitatively comparing structural rigidity among different inorganic compounds, allowing potentially efficient phosphors to be selected from large crystal structure databases. However, the high computational cost of these calculations limits estimating Θ D for unsubstituted host crystal structures only. It is assumed that the low substitution concentration of the rare-earth luminescent center does not significantly influence a material's Debye temperature. This work evaluates the validity of this approximation by examining the effect of luminescent center substitution on a host structure's Θ D . Two well-known phosphors, (Y 1– x Ce x ) 3 Al 5 O 12 ( x = 0 – 0.05) and Ba 1-δ Eu δ MgAl 10 O 17 (δ = 0 – 0.15), were synthesized with varying rare-earth concentrations, while Θ D was computationally estimated and then determined by ultrasonic pulse-echo speed-of-sound and low-temperature heat capacity measurements. Overall, the ensuing results provide key implications for using Θ D as a proxy for structural rigidity in substituted inorganic compounds.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling the Impact of the Organic Aerosol Phase State on Multiphase OH Reactive Uptake Kinetics and the Resultant Heterogeneous Oxidation Timescale of Organic Aerosol in the Amazon Rainforest

Accurate predictions of chemical lifetime, i.e., oxidation timescale and change in the mass of organic aerosols (OAs) in atmospheric models, are critical to quantify the impacts of OA on aerosol–cloud interactions, radiative forcing, and air quality. The heterogeneous oxidation of OA by hydroxyl (OH) radicals is a key process governing OA mass changes during their oxidation. Recently, laboratory observations of the OH uptake coefficient (γ OH ) and heterogeneous reaction rate (k het,OH ) for different OA systems with varying phase states have been combined to develop a new parameterization of γ OH and k het,OH as a function of the OA phase state, i.e., viscosity (η OA ). Here, in this work, we use a recently published viscosity prediction framework to analyze the new γ OH and k het,OH parameterization with a box model. Subsequently, we implement this box model to predict γ OH and k het,OH over the Amazon rainforest in the dry-to-wet transition season with both significant biomass burning and biogenic influences. Relevant parameters within our box model are specified based on detailed regional model simulations over the Amazon using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). η OA is predicted as a function of species volatility, OA composition (including water uptake) along with ambient relative humidity (RH), and temperature. Based on ambient conditions simulated by WRF-Chem over the entire atmospheric column, we use the box model to predict the upper bounds of the heterogeneous oxidation timescale of OA. Based on previous laboratory measurements, we assume that this heterogeneous OH oxidation causes fragmentation (carbon loss) of OA, followed by the evaporation of the fragmented molecules that results in the exponential decay of OA. We predict that the oxidation timescale of OA is ~1 month near the Earth’s surface in the pristine Amazonian background because of low OH concentrations. But OA is oxidized more rapidly within urban and wildfire plumes near the Earth’s surface with an order of magnitude higher OH concentrations compared to the pristine background, causing the simulated oxidation timescale of OA to be much shorter, ~3–4 days. At 3–5 km altitudes where biomass burning OA is predicted to be semisolid, the heterogeneous oxidation timescale is estimated as ~6 days to 3 weeks and decreases with increasing OH concentrations within plumes. We show that the simulated mass loss of OA is strongly size-dependent, where smaller particles oxidize more rapidly compared to larger particles due to their greater per-particle surface area-to-volume ratio. Increasing urbanization and deforestation in the Amazon in the future might increase OH concentrations in the background Amazon, causing faster oxidation of OA. At higher altitudes above liquid clouds, especially in the upper troposphere where temperatures approach ~250 K, future measurements are needed to reduce the uncertainties related to the mass loss of OA at colder temperatures and low relative humidity conditions due to its heterogeneous OH oxidation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

A high power, low temperature molten sodium battery

Low temperature molten sodium batteries promise low-cost, grid-scale energy storage using earth-abundant materials. To be economically viable, they must demonstrate high current (power) at relevant discharge times. Here a low temperature (135 °C) molten sodium battery with a NaI–AlCl 3 molten salt catholyte and NaSICON separator is explored, minimizing cell ohmic resistances and avoiding precipitation reactions in the molten salt catholyte. Operating currents were increased by as much as 100× compared to the energy-dense baseline design (197 Wh kg −1 and 248 mAh cm −2 ). Cells were cycled 100 times at 50 mA cm −2 (150 mW cm −2 ), averaging 99.8% coulombic efficiency and 79.7% energy efficiency for 30% of the theoretical capacity. Charging currents up to 250 mA cm −2 (1070 mW cm −2 ) are demonstrated for 10% of the theoretical capacity. Toward extending the accessible capacity in these high current systems, the volume ratio of catholyte molten salt to a graphite felt current collector was varied, altering (1) the local current density in the graphite felt and (2) the discharge time at a fixed current density. Optimizing the catholyte : felt ratio dramatically increased capacity utilization to 60% (102 mAh cm −2 ) at 50 mA cm −2 (150 mW cm −2 ) charge and 10 mA cm −2 discharge. This catholyte : felt ratio of 1.4 significantly decreased the cell impedance, minimizing electrode blocking effects seen previously in NaI–AlCl 3 catholytes. Together, these high areal loadings and impressive power outputs demonstrate how low temperature molten sodium batteries can compete with commercialized sodium systems operating at more than twice the temperature.

NaSICON↗
DOE OSTI2021

A General Strategy for Batch Development of High-Performance and Cost-Effective Sodium Layered Cathodes

High-performance and low-cost transition metal (TM) layered oxides using earth abundant elements are promising cathodes for Na-ion batteries. However, it is challenging to obtain desired materials because the large Na size, different Na occupations and various layer stacking sequences multiply the complication in determining the structure of a given composition and exacerbate uncertainty to the structure-property correlation. In this work, we use the attainment of desired NaxMnyNiZTM1-y-zO2-based cathode materials as an example to demonstrate a general roadmap for batch development of sodium layered cathodes towards practical applications. A synthesis phase diagram of NaxMnyNi1-yO2 was created for pre-screening and rational selection of the platform material of P2/O3-structured Na0.85Mn0.6Ni0.4O2. Cationic potential was leveraged in elemental substitution to further promote the material structural stability and electrochemical performance. Several cost-effective O3 and P2/O3 hybrid cathode materials have been obtained, all of which demonstrate excellent performance. In particular, the Na0.85Mn0.5Ni0.4Ti0.1O2 delivers a high specific capacity of ~130 mAh/g between 2-4 V and 91% retention after 500 cycles. The work discovers multiple materials as high-performance and cost-effective Na-ion battery cathodes and offers critical guidance to the rational design of future layered cathode materials.

Xiao, Biwei↗
DOE OSTI2020

Dissolution and initial hydration behavior of tricalcium aluminate in low activity sulfate solutions

Influences of alkali or alkaline earth sulfates on the hydration of cubic tricalcium aluminate (C 3 A) were evaluated by in situ dissolution rate measurements, by ex situ near-surface composition measurements with secondary ion mass spectrometry, and by in situ synchrotron X-ray diffraction to monitor precipitation of hydration products. Both slight reductions in dissolution rate and cation-specific interactions with the solid were observed. The near-surface Ca/Al ratio is significantly lower after some dissolution and the electrolyte cations are incorporated within the surface with different affinities (Mg 2+ > K + > Na + ). An interfacial dissolution-reprecipitation mechanism may explain the observations as well as, or better than, a simple cation exchange. The sulfate concentration in solution affects the rates of both C 3 A dissolution and precipitation of hydration products. Aditionally, sulfate ions likely adsorb at the hydrous Al-rich surface layer, thereby reducing the dissolution rate of aluminates and delaying the precipitation of aluminate hydration products.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Earth as a transducer for dark-photon dark-matter detection

We propose the use of the Earth as a transducer for ultralight dark-matter detection. In particular, we point out a novel signal of kinetically mixed dark-photon dark matter: a monochromatic oscillating magnetic field generated at the surface of the Earth. Similar to the signal in a laboratory experiment in a shielded box (or cavity), this signal arises because the lower atmosphere is a low-conductivity air gap sandwiched between the highly conductive interior of the Earth below and ionosphere or interplanetary medium above. At low masses (frequencies) the signal in a laboratory detector is usually suppressed by the size of the detector multiplied by the dark-matter mass. Crucially, in our case the suppression is by the radius of the Earth, and not by the (much smaller) height of the atmosphere. We compute the size and global vectorial pattern of our magnetic field signal, which enables sensitive searches for this signal using unshielded magnetometers dispersed over the surface of the Earth. In principle, the signal we compute exists for any dark photon in the mass range 10 –21 eV ≲ m A' ≲ 3 × 10 –14 eV . We summarize the results of our companion paper [M. A. Fedderke et al., Search for dark-photon dark matter in the SuperMAG geomagnetic field dataset, arXiv:2108.08852], in which we detail such a search using a publicly available dataset from the SuperMAG Collaboration: we report no robust signal candidates and so place constraints in the (more limited) dark-photon dark-matter mass range 2 × 10 –18 eV ≲ m A' ≲ 7 × 10 –17 eV (corresponding to frequencies 6 × 10 –4 Hz ≲ f ≲ 2 × 10 –2 Hz). These constraints are complementary to existing astrophysical bounds. Future searches for this signal may improve the sensitivity over a wide range of ultralight dark-matter candidates and masses.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Cancer cell membrane-coated rare earth doped nanoparticles for tumor surgery navigation in NIR-II imaging window

With the attractive characteristics of low toxicity, narrow emission spectra, long fluorescence lifetime, and no photobleaching, rare-earth doped nanoparticles (RENPs) have become promising imaging nanoplatforms in the second near-infrared window (NIR-II, 1000–1700 nm). Many studies have been devoted to different surface modification strategies of RENPs to achieve good NIR-II tumor imaging property. However, the tumor imaging efficiency of these approaches remains disappointing. Herein, two methods were pursued to modify RENPs with either polyethylene glycol (PEG) or cancer-cell-membrane to generate PEGylated-RENPs and cancer-cell-membrane camouflaged RENPs (CC-RENPs), respectively. Furthermore, this study demonstrated that cancer-cell-membrane coating of RENPs greatly improved tumor imaging performance in NIR-II window than PEG coating. Besides, CC-RENPs uptakes in liver and spleen significantly decreased. Importantly, CC-RENPs was found to be capable to aid us to pursue precise resection of the tumor. In conclusion, CC-RENPs are capable of targeting tumors and show high tumor NIR-II imaging quality. They are highly promising nanomaterials for future medical applications.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Assessing Two Approaches for Enhancing the Range of Simulated Scales in the E3SMv1 and the Impact on the Character of Hourly US Precipitation

Abstract Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models is essential for understanding and projecting water cycle changes across scales. Progress has been hampered by persistent deficiencies in representing precipitation frequency, intensity, and timing in current models. Here, we analyze simulated US precipitation in the low‐resolution (LR) configuration of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1) and assess the effect of two approaches to enhance the range of explicitly resolved scales: high‐resolution (HR) and multiscale modeling framework (MMF), which incur similar computational expense. Both E3SMv1‐MMF and E3SMv1‐HR capture more intense and less frequent precipitation on hourly and daily timescales relative to E3SMv1‐LR. E3SMv1‐HR improves the intensity over the Eastern and Northwestern US during winter, while E3SMv1‐MMF improves the intensity over the Eastern US and summer diurnal timing over the Central US. These results indicate that both methods may be needed to improve simulations of different storm types, seasons, and regions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Arctic Ocean annual high in ${{\boldsymbol{p}}}_{{{\bf{CO}}}_{{\bf{2}}}}$ could shift from winter to summer

Long-term stress on marine organisms from ocean acidification will differ between seasons. As atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) increases, so do seasonal variations of ocean CO 2 partial pressure (p co 2 ), causing summer and winter long-term trends to diverge. Trends may be further influenced by an unexplored factor—changes in the seasonal timing of p co 2 . In Arctic Ocean surface waters, the observed timing is typified by a winter high and summer low because biological effects dominate thermal effects. Here we show that 27 Earth system models simulate similar timing under historical forcing but generally project that the summer low, relative to the annual mean, eventually becomes a high across much of the Arctic Ocean under mid-to-high-level CO 2 emissions scenarios. Often the greater increase in summer p co 2 , although gradual, abruptly inverses the chronological order of the annual high and low, a phenomenon not previously seen in climate-related variables. The main cause is the large summer sea surface warming from earlier retreat of seasonal sea ice. Warming and changes in other drivers enhance this century’s increase in extreme summer p co 2 by 29 ± 9 per cent compared with no change in driver seasonalities. Thus the timing change worsens summer ocean acidification, which in turn may lower the tolerance of endemic marine organisms to increasing summer temperatures.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Magnetic field effects on the quantum spin liquid behaviors of NaYbS 2

Spin-orbit coupling is an important ingredient to regulate the many-body physics, especially for many spin liquid candidate materials such as rare-earth magnets and Kitaev materials. The rare-earth chalcogenides NaYbCh 2 (Ch = O, S, Se) is a congenital frustrating system to exhibit the intrinsic landmark of spin liquid by eliminating both the site disorders between Na + and Yb 3+ ions with the big ionic size difference and the Dzyaloshinskii-Moriya interaction with the perfect triangular lattice of the Yb 3+ ions. The temperature versus magnetic-field phase diagram is established by the magnetization, specific heat, and neutron-scattering measurements. Notably, the neutron diffraction spectra and the magnetization curve might provide microscopic evidence for a series of spin configuration for in-plane fields, which include the disordered spin liquid state, 120° antiferromagnet, and one-half magnetization state. Furthermore, the ground state is suggested to be a gapless spin liquid from inelastic neutron scattering, and the magnetic field adjusts the spin orbit coupling. Therefore, the strong spin-orbit coupling in the frustrated quantum magnet substantially enriches low-energy spin physics. This rare-earth family could offer a good platform for exploring the quantum spin liquid ground state and quantum magnetic transitions.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2021

Ab initio prediction of an order-disorder transition in Mg 2 Ge O 4 : Implication for the nature of super-Earth's mantles

Here we present an ab initio prediction of an order-disorder transition (ODT) from a I¯42d-type to Th 3 P 4 -type phase in the cation sublattices of Mg 2 GeO 4 , a post-post-perovskite phase. This uncommon type of prediction is achieved by carrying out a high-throughput sampling of atomic configurations in a 56-atom supercell followed by a Boltzmann ensemble statistics calculation. Mg 2 GeO 4 is a low-pressure analog of I¯42d-type Mg 2 SiO 4 , a predicted major planet-forming phase of super-Earths' mantles. Therefore, a similar ODT is anticipated in I¯42d-type Mg 2 SiO 4 as well, which should impact the internal structure and dynamics of these planets. Furthermore, the prediction of this Th 3 P 4 -type phase in Mg 2 GeO 4 further enhances the relationship between the crystal structures of Earth/planet-forming silicates and oxides at extreme pressures and those of rare-earth sesquisulfides at low pressures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Ultra-low concentration terbium (Tb) adsorption on garlic peels biosorbent and its application for $\mathrm{Nd}$-$\mathrm{Fe}$-$\mathrm{B}$ scraps recovery

Motivated by the strategic value of middle-heavy rare earth elements (MHREEs), we proposed a bio-adsorption method to recover ultra-low concentration terbium (Tb(Ⅲ)) from industrial wastewater that originated from the Nd-Fe-B scraps recovery process. It could be found that Tb(Ⅲ) ions as low as 5.34 ng·mL -1 (ppb) could be adsorbed onto Ca(Ⅱ)-modified garlic peels (Ca-GP) within 10 min with the adsorption efficiency of 99.2% at pH 3.5. The adsorption behavior of Tb(Ⅲ) onto Ca-GP conformed the Langmuir isotherm model and pseudo-second-order kinetic model. Attenuated total reflection Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy (ATR-FTIR), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) and density-functional theory (DFT) calculations results showed that Tb(Ⅲ) ions could be ion-exchanged with cations in Ca-GP such as Ca(Ⅱ) and -COOH. In application, column experiment results showed that the maximum bed adsorption capacity for Tb, praseodymium (Pr), neodymium (Nd), dysprosium (Dy), and Total rare earth elements (REEs) ions calculated by the Thomas model was 0.06, 3.50, 9.65, 7.34, and 27.37 µg·g -1 , respectively, with the initial concentration of 0.37 ng·mL -1 Tb, 20 ng·mL -1 Pr, 44 ng·mL -1 Nd, 67 ng·mL -1 Dy and 170 ng·mL -1 total REEs ions of actual solutions (below the solubility of rare-earth hydroxide). Here this manuscript thus provided a novel cost-effective and efficient approach to the enrichment and recovery of MHREEs from ultra-low concentration REEs ions-containing solutions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

On the Nature of Valence Charge and Spin Excitations via Multi-Orbital Hubbard Models for Infinite-Layer Nickelates

Building upon the recent progress on the intriguing underlying physics for the newly discovered infinite-layer nickelates, in this article we review an examination of valence charge and spin excitations via multi-orbital Hubbard models as way to determine the fundamental building blocks for Hamiltonians that can describe the low energy properties of infinite-layer nickelates. We summarize key results from density-functional approaches, and apply them to the study of x-ray absorption to determine the valence ground states of infinite-layer nickelates in their parent form, and show that a fundamental d 9 configuration as in the cuprates is incompatible with a self-doped ground state having holes in both d x 2 - y 2 and a rare-earth-derived axial orbital. When doped, we determine that the rare-earth-derived orbitals empty and additional holes form low spin (S = 0) d 8 Ni states, which can be well-described as a doped single-band Hubbard model. Using exact diagonalization for a 2-orbital model involving Ni and rare-earth orbitals, we find clear magnons at 1/2 filling that persist when doped, albeit with larger damping, and with a dependence on the precise orbital energy separation between the Ni- and rare-earth-derived orbitals. Taken together, a full two-band model for infinite-layer nickelates can well describe the valence charge and spin excitations observed experimentally.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Highly Reversible Sodium Ion Batteries Enabled by Stable Electrolyte-Electrode Interphases

Sodium (Na) ion battery is a very promising technology for the alternative energy storage systems because of the abundance and low cost of Na element in the Earth’s crust. However, the limited cycle life and safety concerns still hinder its large-scale applications. Here, we report a nonflammable localized high concentration electrolyte (sodium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide - triethyl phosphate/1,1,2,2-tetrafluoroethyl-2,2,3,3-tetrafluoropropyl ether (1:1.5:2 in molar ratio)), which enables a very high initial Coulombic efficiency (CE) of 97.8% for Na||Na-CNFM (O3-NaCu1/9Ni2/9Fe1/3Mn1/3O2) cells and stable cycling of Na||hard carbon (HC) cells with a capacity retention of 95.4% after 500 cycles. The HC||Na-CNFM full cells using this electrolyte retain 82.5% capacity after 200 cycles with a CE of ~99.9% compared to 48.4% capacity retention in the carbonate electrolyte (1 M NaPF6/EC+DMC (1:1 in weight)). The extremely high CE and stability of HC||Na-CNFM cells in this electrolyte can be attributed to the stable interphase layers formed on both HC anode and Na-CNFM cathode. These layers minimize undesirable reaction between HC and electrolyte, and block the dissolution of transition metal from cathode. The insight obtained in this work can be used to further improve cycling stability and safety of rechargeable batteries.

Jin, Yan↗
DOE OSTI2023

Anthropogenic Aerosols Contribute to the Recent Decline in Precipitation Over the U.S. Southwest

Abstract The winter‐spring precipitation over the Southwestern United States (SWUS) decreased since 1980. It is frequently attributed to Pacific internal decadal variability, but recent studies found anthropogenic aerosols (AA) can also induce a transition to a negative Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV) phase. We revisit the attribution of SWUS drying by quantifying the contributions of anthropogenically forced decadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs). Applying a low‐frequency component analysis to observations, Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) all‐forcings and single‐forcing large ensembles, we find up to 42% of the observed precipitation trend to be related to the AA‐induced negative PDV‐like pattern, which is driven by the emission shift from the Western to the Eastern Hemisphere. In CESM2, other radiative forcings counteract the influence of AA, but it remains unclear whether the model correctly simulates this balance. This implies that the near‐future trajectories of these forcings, in particular Asian aerosols, are important for projections of SWUS precipitation.

Geology↗