SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Modeling and Performance Analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 217 records · Page 12

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

NASA NTRS1975

Development of a three dimensional numerical water quality model for continental shelf applications

A model to predict the distribution of water quality parameters in three dimensions was developed. The mass transport equation was solved using a non-dimensional vertical axis and an alternating-direction-implicit finite difference technique. The reaction kinetics of the constituents were incorporated into a matrix method which permits computation of the interactions of multiple constituents. Methods for the computation of dispersion coefficients and coliform bacteria decay rates were determined. Numerical investigations of dispersive and dissipative effects showed that the three-dimensional model performs as predicted by analysis of simpler cases. The model was then applied to a two dimensional vertically averaged tidal dynamics model for the Providence River. It was also extended to a steady state application by replacing the time step with an iteration sequence. This modification was verified by comparison to analytical solutions and applied to a river confluence situation.

Spaulding, M.↗

NASA NTRS2016

A Taxonomy-Based Approach to Shed Light on the Babel of Mathematical Models for Rice Simulation

For most biophysical domains, differences in model structures are seldom quantified. Here, we used a taxonomy-based approach to characterise thirteen rice models. Classification keys and binary attributes for each key were identified, and models were categorised into five clusters using a binary similarity measure and the unweighted pair-group method with arithmetic mean. Principal component analysis was performed on model outputs at four sites. Results indicated that (i) differences in structure often resulted in similar predictions and (ii) similar structures can lead to large differences in model outputs. User subjectivity during calibration may have hidden expected relationships between model structure and behaviour. This explanation, if confirmed, highlights the need for shared protocols to reduce the degrees of freedom during calibration, and to limit, in turn, the risk that user subjectivity influences model performance.

model parameterisation↗

DOE OSTI2022

Automated Vulnerability Detection (AVUD) for Compiled Smart Grid Software

This project developed and implemented a system for conducting cybersecurity vulnerability detection of smart grid components and systems by performing static analysis of compiled software (“firmware”). The resulting system for automated vulnerability detection (AVUD) was implemented as part of Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s existing test bed for smart meters, the Sustainable Campus Initiative. The work consisted of two phases: the first phase implemented the necessary software and computational models to perform the analysis, and the second phase demonstrated the system on example firmware in partnership with smart meter manufacturer Sensus USA, Inc. The resulting system won an R&D 100 award and has been successfully commercialized, winning a National Laboratory Consortium Commercialization Award.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration

Building energy consumption prediction plays an irreplaceable role in energy planning, management, and conservation. Constantly improving the performance of prediction models is the key to ensuring the efficient operation of energy systems. Moreover, accuracy is no longer the only factor in revealing model performance, it is more important to evaluate the model from multiple perspectives, considering the characteristics of engineering applications. Based on the idea of model integration, this paper proposes a novel improved integration model (stacking model) that can be used to forecast building energy consumption. The stacking model combines advantages of various base prediction algorithms and forms them into “meta-features” to ensure that the final model can observe datasets from different spatial and structural angles. Two cases are used to demonstrate practical engineering applications of the stacking model. A comparative analysis is performed to evaluate the prediction performance of the stacking model in contrast with existing well-known prediction models including Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Decision Tree, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, and K-Nearest Neighbor. The results indicate that the stacking method achieves better performance than other models, regarding accuracy (improvement of 9.5%–31.6% for Case A and 16.2%–49.4% for Case B), generalization (improvement of 6.7%–29.5% for Case A and 7.1%-34.6% for Case B), and robustness (improvement of 1.5%–34.1% for Case A and 1.8%–19.3% for Case B). The proposed model enriches the diversity of algorithm libraries of empirical models.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2018

E-band fiber laser performance and power analysis with longitudinally averaged population modeling

To help facilitate the modeling of new fiber laser systems, such as those with complex functional microstructures, we report on a simplified modeling methodology that can accommodate the parasitic kinetic effects often present in such systems. The essence of our approach is to integrate kinetics over the length of the gain medium at the outset, thereby forfeiting longitudinally resolved information about the system but simplifying its energetics analysis. To illustrate the benefits of our new approach over more conventional coupled-rate-equation analyses, we apply our model to an Nd 3 + -doped fiber laser operating on the F 3 / 2 4 - I 4 13 / 2 transition at 1400 nm. The model produces closed-form solutions for the various output channels available to the pump power and enables projections of ultimate laser performance to be conveniently generated.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

NASA NTRS2017

Finite Element Modeling and Analysis of Mars Entry Aeroshell Baseline Concept

The structure that is developed and analyzed in this project must be able to survive all the various load conditions that it will encounter along its course to Mars with the minimal amount of weight and material. At this stage, the goal is to study the capability of the structure using a finite element model (FEM). This FEM is created using a python script, and is numerically solved in Nastran. The purpose of the model is to achieve an optimization of mass given specific constraints on launch and entry. The generation and analysis of the baseline Rigid Mid-Range Lift to Drag Ratio Aeroshell model is a continuation and an improvement on previous work done for the FEM. The model is generated using Python programming with the axisymmetric placement of nodes for beam and shell elements. The shells are assigned a honeycomb sandwich material with an aluminum honeycomb core and composite face sheets, and the beams are assigned the same material as the shell face sheets. There are two load cases assigned to the model: Earth launch and Mars entry. The Earth launch case consists of pressure, gravity, and vibration loads, and the Mars entry case consists of just pressure and gravity loads. The Earth launch case was determined to be the driving case, though the analyses are performed for both cases to ensure the constraints are satisfied. The types of analysis performed with the model are design optimization, statics, buckling, normal modes, and frequency response, the last of which is only for the Earth launch load case. The final results indicated that all of the requirements are satisfied except the thermal limits, which could not yet be tested, and the normal modes for the Mars entry. However, the frequency limits during Mars entry are expected to be much higher than the lower frequency limits set for the analysis. In addition, there are still improvements that can be made in order to reduce the weight while still meeting all requirements.

Ahmed, Samee W.↗

NASA NTRS1998

Design and Performance Analysis of a Massively Parallel Atmospheric General Circulation Model

In the 1990's computer manufacturers are increasingly turning to the development of parallel processor machines to meet the high performance needs of their customers. Simultaneously, atmospheric scientists study weather and climate phenomena ranging from hurricanes to El Nino to global warming that require increasingly fine resolution models. Here, implementation of a parallel atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) which exploits the power of massively parallel machines is described. Using the horizontal data domain decomposition methodology, this FORTRAN 90 model is able to integrate a 0.6 deg. longitude by 0.5 deg. latitude problem at a rate of 19 Gigaflops on 512 processors of a Cray T3E 600; corresponding to 280 seconds of wall-clock time per simulated model day. At this resolution, the model has 64 times as many degrees of freedom and performs 400 times as many floating point operations per simulated day as the model it replaces.

Schaffer, Daniel S.↗

NASA NTRS1982

The JT9D Jet Engine Diagnostics Program

The various engine deterioration phenomena that affect JT9D performance retention were studied, and approaches to improve performance retention of engines were identified. The program included surveys of historical data, monitoring of in service engines, ground and flight testing of instrumented engines, analysis, and analytical modeling. Performance deterioration is made up of both short and long term modes, both of which are flight cycle related phenomena. Short term deterioration occurs primarily during airplane acceptance testing prior to delivery to the airline. This effect is caused by flight load and power induced clearance closures and engine deflections with resulting rubbing of airfoils and seals. Long term deterioration is caused by erosion of airfoils and gas path seals during ground operation and take off and by cyclic induced thermal distortion of the high pressure turbine airfoils. Studies of possible remedial approaches have shown that performance retention within 1 to 2 percent of initial revenue service performance can be achieved with a proper program of hot section and cold section maintenance.

Olsson, W. J.↗

NASA NTRS2009

International Space Station Solar Alpha Rotary Joint Failure Analysis: The Materials and Processes Perspective

This paper summarizes the on-orbit structural dynamic data and the related modal analysis, model validation and correlation performed for the ISS configurations spanning ISS Stage 12A. The objective of this analysis is to validate and correlate analytical models used to verify the ISS critical interface dynamic loads and improve its fatigue life prediction. On-Orbit dynamic responses were measured during the ISS configurations throughout ISS Stage 12A by the two main ISS instrumentation systems; Internal Wireless Instrumentation System (IWIS) and the Structural Dynamic Measurement System (SDMS). These nominal on-orbit events include Russian vehicle docking and undockings. Also, the ISS photogrammetric system recorded the movements of the 2A and 4A solar arrays during a modified ISS maneuver. Modal analyses were performed on the measured data to extract modal parameters including frequency, damping and mode shapes. Correlation and comparisons between the test and analytical frequencies and mode shapes were performed to assess the accuracy of the analytical models for the ISS configurations under consideration.

Dasgupta, Rajib↗

NASA NTRS2009

ISS Stage 12A Post-Flight Modal Analysis, Model Validation and Correlation

Fitzpatrick, Kristin↗

NASA NTRS1984

Evaluation methodologies for an advanced information processing system

The system concept and requirements for an Advanced Information Processing System (AIPS) are briefly described, but the emphasis of this paper is on the evaluation methodologies being developed and utilized in the AIPS program. The evaluation tasks include hardware reliability, maintainability and availability, software reliability, performance, and performability. Hardware RMA and software reliability are addressed with Markov modeling techniques. The performance analysis for AIPS is based on queueing theory. Performability is a measure of merit which combines system reliability and performance measures. The probability laws of the performance measures are obtained from the Markov reliability models. Scalar functions of this law such as the mean and variance provide measures of merit in the AIPS performability evaluations.

Schabowsky, R. S., Jr.↗

DOE OSTI2017

Kriging-Based Inverse Uncertainty Quantification of BISON Fission Gas Release Model

Nuclear reactor fuel performance analysis studies the thermo-mechanical behavior of fuel rods and verify their compliance with safety criteria under both normal operation and accidental conditions. One of the major concerns in fuel performance analysis is the behavior of the fission gases xenon and krypton in uranium dioxide fuel, which significantly affect the thermo-mechanical performance of the nuclear fuel rods employed in current LWRs. Previously, the modeling of fission gas release (FGR) in nuclear fuel performance codes have been relying on empirical models which are not applicable beyond their range of calibration. Recently a more efficient and flexible physics-based FGR and swelling model that can describe a wider range of reactor operation conditions have been implemented in fuel performance code BISON. In this work, we performed Bayesian calibration to inversely quantify the uncertainties associated with the 5 tuning parameters in BISON FGR model, based on the time-dependent FGR measurement data from Riso-AN3 benchmark. It takes around 1 hour and 40 minutes for BISON to simulate the Riso-AN3 benchmark with a moderate mesh size using 32 processors. As hundreds of thousands of BISON simulations are needed during Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, running BISON directly is not a viable solution. Therefore we propose to use Kriging-based metamodels to replace BISON during MCMC sampling. Surrogate model is an approximation of the input/output relation of a computer code/model. It is also called metamodel, response surface, emulator. Surrogate models usually take much less computational time than the original model (like BISON) while maintaining the input/output relation of the original model to a desirable accuracy. Constructing the metamodels normally requires small number of executions of the original model. Once validated, metamodels can be used to perform uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Bayesian calibration, optimization, etc.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Impacts of benchmarking choices on inferred model skill of the Arctic–Boreal terrestrial carbon cycle

Abstract Land surface models require continuous validation against observations to improve and reduce simulation uncertainty. However, inferred model performance can be heavily influenced by subjective choices made in the selection and application of observational data products. A key area often misrepresented by models is the Arctic–Boreal region, which is a potential tipping point region in Earth’s climate system due to large permafrost carbon stocks that are vulnerable to release with climate warming. We use the International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMB) framework to evaluate how the model skill of TRENDY-v9 models varies based on the choice of observational-based benchmark and how benchmarks are applied in model evaluation. This analysis uses global datasets integrated into ILAMB and new, regionally-specific observational products from the Arctic–Boreal Vulnerability Experiment. Our results cover the overall time period of 1979–2019 and show that model scores can vary substantially depending on the data product applied, with higher model scores indicating better model performance against observations. The lowest model scores occur when benchmarked against regional, compared to global, datasets. We also evaluate observed and modeled functional relationships between ecosystem respiration and air temperature and between gross primary production and precipitation. Here, we find that the magnitude and shape of the responses are strongly impacted by the choice of observational dataset and the approach used to construct the functional relationship benchmark. These results suggest that model evaluation studies could conclude a false sense of model skill if only using a single benchmark data product or if not applying regional data products when performing a regional model analysis. Collectively, our findings highlight the influence of benchmarking choices on model evaluation and point to the need for benchmarking guidelines when assessing model skill.

Poe, Jeralyn (ORCID:0000000318495278)↗

DOE OSTI2018

Hydrologic Model Analyses for Decision Support at the Los Alamos National Laboratory Site - 18363

Modeling hydrologic flow and transport in the subsurface presents a number of challenges including large datasets that contain limited information about the properties of the subsurface and models with a large number of parameters characterizing the properties of the subsurface and the ambient hydrologic conditions (e.g., groundwater recharge). This, in turn, leads to substantial uncertainty in predictions about quantities of interest (e.g., the concentration of a contaminant at points of compliance). We present a number of methods and tools that have recently been developed to address these problems. The model calibration tools are capable of assimilating large datasets (for example, on the order of 1,000,000 model calibration targets) into numerical models, calibrating models with a large number of model parameters (on the order of 1,000,000), or both. These tools leverage recently developed methods in numerical linear algebra such as matrix-free methods and randomized matrix sketching. The uncertainty quantification tools are highly-parallel and enable us to robustly quantify the uncertainties in model parameters (and therefore uncertainty in quantities of interest). Having these capabilities in model analysis tools enables more informed decision making related to remediation of groundwater contaminants. The model analyses that we present are related to the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) chromium site. The analyses are performed by MADS (Model Analysis and Decision Support; http://mads.lanl.gov). (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2019

Safety Analysis of the Mo-99 Production Upgrade to the University of Missouri Research Reactor (MURR) with Highly-Enriched and Low-Enriched Uranium Fuel

The University of Missouri has been working in conjunction with Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) in the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) Material Management and Minimization (M3) Reactor Conversion Program to support conversion of the University of Missouri- Columbia Research Reactor (MURR®) from highly enriched uranium (HEU) to low-enriched uranium (LEU) fuel. MURR is one of five U.S. High Performance Research Reactors (USHPRR) plus a critical facility that plans to convert to the use of LEU fuel. The purpose of this report is to document the safety margins for both HEU and LEU cores with the Mo-99 production upgrade proposed, designated as the 2017-RBM-99 device in this report. In addition to the 2017-RBM-99 device, the neutronics models also include descriptions of the experimental facilities and experiment loading that are currently typical for MURR and which are different from the experiments that were modeled in the analysis performed for the PSAR. Lastly, there have been changes to the LEU fuel element design with regard to the coolant channel thickness tolerances for the innermost and outermost coolant channels based on feedback from the fuel fabricator. This design change did not change the nominal dimensions of the coolant channels/fuel plates or fuel loading of the fuel plates in the element. Thus, for the purpose of the neutronics analysis for the 2017-RBM-99 upgrade, which is based on nominal dimensions and fuel loadings, the components of the LEU element are modeled the same as in the PSAR analysis. However, the design tolerance changes were incorporated in the calculations of the steady-state safety margins for both HEU and LEU. While the use of fewer significant figures has simplified fabrication, yet there were no negative impacts, including on safety margins, since the end channels were not limiting locations.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

NASA NTRS1972

Transportation Systems Evaluation

A methodology for the analysis of transportation systems consisting of five major interacting elements is reported. The analysis begins with the causes of travel demand: geographic, economic, and demographic characteristics as well as attitudes toward travel. Through the analysis, the interaction of these factors with the physical and economic characteristics of the transportation system is determined. The result is an evaluation of the system from the point of view of both passenger and operator. The methodology is applicable to the intraurban transit systems as well as major airlines. Applications of the technique to analysis of a PRT system and a study of intraurban air travel are given. In the discussion several unique models or techniques are mentioned: i.e., passenger preference modeling, an integrated intraurban transit model, and a series of models to perform airline analysis.

Fanning, M. L.↗

NASA NTRS1982

Optical communications research to demonstrate 2.5 bits/detected photon

The transmission of information by optical signals over a space channel with a power efficiency of 2.5 bits/detected photon markedly increases the amount of information that can be transmitted to satellites. An account is given of the research program at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory that is attempting to demonstrate that optical signals can be used to transmit information over a space channel with this power efficiency. It is noted, however, that the ability to attain 2.5 bits/detected photon (or higher) depends heavily on the validity of the mathematical models used in the performance analysis. Therefore, verification of the channel dark current noise models is a crucial first step. Another prerequisite is a high-brightness, single-spatial mode laser emitter. It is believed that single spatial model devices with power outputs of about 1W can be achieved by coherently combining a number of GaAs lasers in what effectively amounts to a phased array.

Lesh, J. R.↗

NASA NTRS1992

The evolution equation for the flame surface density in turbulent premixed combustion

One central ingredient in flamelet models for turbulent premixed combustion is the flame surface density. This quantity conveys most of the effects of the turbulence on the rate of energy release and is obtained via a modeled transport equation, called the Sigma-equation. Past theoretical work has produced a rigorous approach that leads to an exact, but unclosed, formulation for the turbulent Sigma-equation. In this exact Sigma-equation, it appears that the dynamical properties of the flame surface density are determined by a single parameter, namely the turbulent flame stretch. Unfortunately, the flame surface density and the turbulent flame stretch are not available from experiments and, in the absence of experimental data, little is known on the validity of the closure assumptions used in current flamelet models. Direct Numerical Simulation (DNS) is the obvious, complementary approach to get basic information on these fundamental quantities. Three-dimensional DNS of premixed flames in isotropic turbulent flow is used to estimate the different terms appearing in the Sigma-equation. A new methodology is proposed to provide the source and sink terms for the flame surface density, resolved both temporally and spatially throughout the turbulent flame brush. Using this methodology, the effects of the Lewis number on the rate of production of flame surface area are described in great detail and meaningful comparisons with flamelet models can be performed. The analysis reveals in particular the tendency of the models to overpredict flame surface dissipation as well as their inability to reproduce variations due to thermo-diffusive phenomena. Thanks to the detailed information produced by a DNS-based analysis, this type of comparison not only underscores the shortcomings of current models but also suggests ways to improve them.

Trouve, A.↗